Brent and WTI: Is $100 oil just Around the corner?#Brent and #WTI prices are steadily climbing, now reaching $73.30 and $71.15 per barrel. The market is showing strong signs of an upward trend, similar to what we saw in 2021–2022. With global demand picking up and increased interest from major market participants, analysts believe prices could soon push past the $100 mark — especially amid ongoing global tensions and rising consumption.
Standard Chartered forecasts Brent reaching $95 by December 2025, while some outlooks go even higher. What’s fueling this potential rally? Top 5 reasons oil may surge in the coming months:
Global instability : Tensions in the Middle East and unrest in key producers like Venezuela and Nigeria raise concerns about supply disruptions. Any flare-ups could push prices to $90, $95 — or beyond.
Economic recovery : Asia and developing economies are bouncing back fast. With industrial activity rising, so does energy demand — including for oil.
OPEC+ tight supply policy : OPEC+ is likely to maintain production cuts to support prices and keep the market balanced.
Low reserves, limited expansion : Stockpiles remain tight, and exploration has lagged in recent years. If demand spikes, producers may struggle to scale output quickly.
Aviation and petrochemicals rebound : Global air traffic and plastic manufacturing are growing, increasing demand for jet fuel and oil-based feedstocks.
Together, these factors create a strong setup for upward momentum in Brent and WTI prices. According to FreshForex analysts , the current levels could mark the beginning of a new growth cycle.
Fundamentalanalsysis
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 16, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
15:30 EET. USD - Empire Manufacturing Manufacturing Index
GBPUSD:
The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive below Friday's three-year high, although it lacks bearish conviction and is trading in a narrow range around 1.3500 during the Asian session.
The latest UK consumer inflation data will be released on Wednesday, ahead of Thursday's Bank of England (BoE) meeting, which will play a key role in influencing the British pound (GBP). In addition, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) plans to announce its monetary policy decision on Wednesday, which will affect the US dollar (USD) exchange rate and give a significant boost to the GBP/USD pair.
Meanwhile, weaker UK GDP data released on Friday, which showed that the economy contracted more than expected by 0.3% in April, reinforced expectations that the BoE will cut interest rates more aggressively than anticipated. On the other hand, the US dollar is receiving some support from the global flight to safe assets caused by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which is helping to limit the growth of the GBP/USD pair.
However, growing recognition that the US central bank will also resume its rate-cutting cycle in September amid signs of weakening inflation in the US is holding back dollar bulls from aggressive bets. Moreover, the generally positive risk sentiment acts as a barrier to the dollar as a safe haven and provides some support to the GBP/USD pair, which requires some caution before confirming that spot prices have peaked.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.35500, SL 1.35300, TP 1.36400
GBPJPY – Golden Pocket Breakout SetupTimeframe: 1H | 🎯 Bias: Bullish Breakout
GBPJPY is testing a key Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5–0.618) from the recent impulse leg (194.00 → 196.195). This golden pocket sits inside strong demand and could launch the next leg higher.
🔍 Technical Confluence
Fib Support Zone: 195.270–195.447 (0.618–0.5)
Price Action: Consolidating near golden pocket, showing rejection wicks
Structure: Higher highs and higher lows intact
RSI: Resetting around 45–50, leaving room for momentum buildup
Next Resistance: 196.200 (previous high), then 197.300 and 198.500
🧠 Fundamental Confluence
GBP Strength Drivers:
BoE's "hawkish cut" tone — restrictive policy to fight sticky inflation
UK macro improving: upcoming GDP & labor data could surprise to the upside
Market pricing less aggressive easing compared to peers = GBP premium
JPY Weakness Factors:
COT RSI at 100% = overbought positioning
BoJ delays normalization to 2027
Risk-on flows (VIX ~16.7) reducing safe-haven demand
Macro Flows: Bullish NASDAQ + stable oil → support GBPJPY upside
Macro Themes:
Oil & NAS100 bullish = supports GBPJPY upside
Market unwinding defensive positions = bullish for GBPJPY
🛠 Trade Plan
📥 Entry Option 1: Buy on bullish reaction from 195.27–195.45 (Fib golden pocket)
📥 Entry Option 2: Break and close above 196.200 (confirmation entry)
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 195.00 (under Fib + recent structure)
🎯 TP1: 196.80
🎯 TP2: 198.00 (measured move)
📌 “Golden pockets don’t lie when fundamentals align.”
AUDCAD - Fundamentals vs Momentum – Betting on CAD🕓 Timeframe: 4H | ⚠️ Bias: Bearish From Supply Zone
AUDCAD is rejecting the 0.8940–0.8960 supply zone, a key resistance that's been respected multiple times. With RSI turning over near overbought and CAD fundamentals improving, this looks like a clean short opportunity.
📊 Technical Confluence
🔴 Resistance Zone: 0.8940–0.8960 (historical supply zone)
📉 Bearish Structure Intact: Still in a broader HTF downtrend (lower highs)
⚠️ RSI Divergence: Slowing near 62, suggesting momentum exhaustion
🕯️ Price Action: Current candle showing indecision – early signs of rejection
🌍 Fundamental Confluence
🇦🇺 AUD Weakness:
RBA paused rates, inflation easing → Dovish
AUD overextended after sentiment shift (conditional score ↑ too fast)
AUD vulnerable if sentiment shifts risk-off
🇨🇦 CAD Strength:
BoC holding firm on rates, hawkish tone
Oil production recovering → CAD-positive
COT net long position + seasonal strength
🎯 Trade Plan
📍 Entry: 0.8940–0.8955 (on bearish confirmation: engulfing/pin bar)
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.8975 (above resistance zone)
🎯 Take Profit 1: 0.8870 (mid-range)
🎯 Take Profit 2: 0.8830 (into demand zone)
⏱️ Optional: Partial entry now, scale in at 0.8960 if tapped
🧠 “Don’t chase the move. Sell the retest when momentum fades and fundamentals align.”
Gold (XAUUSD) Eyes 3,330 Zone as Safe-Haven Demand Builds!!Hey Traders, In today’s trading session, we’re keeping a close watch on XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 3,330 zone. Gold continues to trade within a strong uptrend, and is currently undergoing a healthy correction, bringing it near a key support/resistance level that could act as a springboard for the next leg higher.
From a fundamental perspective, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have led to the evacuation of diplomatic personnel and increasing concerns of potential military escalation. As uncertainty grows, safe-haven assets like gold tend to attract stronger demand from investors seeking protection against volatility and risk.
If the situation deteriorates further, we could see a surge in gold prices as market participants hedge against geopolitical instability.
Trade safe,
Joe
GOLD PAY ATTENTION TO BULISHXAUUSD (Gold) Technical Signal ⚠️ | Price action is forming a classic bull flag pattern, showing consolidation after a strong upward move. The flag is starting to 'blush' — early signs of momentum building for a potential breakout. If price breaks above the upper trendline with volume confirmation, we could see a continuation toward higher resistance levels. Traders, keep a close eye – gold may be preparing for its next leg up. #XAUUSD #GoldSignal #BullFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals #GoldBreakout #PriceAction"
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 4, 2025 USDJPYEvents to pay attention today:
17:00 EET. USD - ISM Services Business Activity Index
15:15 EET. USD - ADP Employment Change
USDJPY:
The Japanese yen (JPY) is attracting some intraday buyers after falling against the US dollar during the Asian session, and, at least for now, it seems that its pullback from the weekly high reached yesterday has paused. An upward revision of Japan's services business activity index, as well as expectations that wage growth will lead to faster inflation, leave open the possibility of another interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in 2025. In addition, ongoing geopolitical risks and trade uncertainty are key factors supporting the JPY.
Meanwhile, cautious statements by BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda on Tuesday sparked speculation that the next interest rate hike will not happen anytime soon. However, this still differs significantly from expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut rates by at least 25 basis points (bps) by the end of this year. This, along with concerns about the US budget, is causing a new wave of selling of the US dollar (USD) after Tuesday's decent rebound from a six-week low and is putting some pressure on the USD/JPY pair during the Asian session.
Trading recommendation: SELL 144.20, SL 144.40, TP 143.20
AUDUSD BULLISH RUNAUDUSD is expected to buy to complete the Deep crab pattern. With higher than expected CPI figures AUD is expected to bully the green-back which is struggling with low interest rate figures as a result of declining inflation figures nearing its 2024 inflation target of 2% and global trade wars.
expecting AUDUSD to hit around0.66000 psychological level
NZDUSD BUYSNZDUSD is expected to buy to complete the crab pattern around 0.61200 psychological level BOUNCING FROM A 1HR FVG(Fair value Gap). we saw an expected rate cut of NZD interest rate at 25 basis point(0.25%) was was a dovish stand by the central bank. with investment sentiment still high on risk-on assets, I expect nzd to bully the green-back which is struggling with low interest rate figures as a result of declining inflation figures nearing its 2024 inflation target of 2% and global trade wars.
WHAT'S THE FATE OF INTEL CORPORATION STOCK?From the perspective of technical analysis, INTC is approaching a key psychological level at $19. In addition, it's in a downtrend. If the key level should hold by pushing price higher, leading to a break out of the downtrend line and closing with a strong bullish candle above the down trend line and resistance level around $22, this will indicate a strong bullish signal. Likewise, this is supported by a bullish divergence signal from the awesome oscillator. Otherwise, a failure of the psychological level of $19 may lead to price dropping further.
Furthermore, we need to look beyond technical analysis. Fundamental analysis also has some insights for our decisions.
Fundamentals for INTC established a bearish bias. The summary is as follows:
Financial Health:
• Negative EPS (-$4.47): Intel is losing money.
• High Debt ($50B): This can limit growth and increase risk.
• Declining Revenue: Sales dropped from $80B (2021) to $51B (2024).
Valuation:
• Cheap P/S (1.66x), but no P/E (due to negative earnings).
• Dividend yield (2.56%) is at risk of being cut.
Sentiment:
Stock price fell from $56 to $19.55 (65% drop). Institutional investors may be wary.
Fundamentally, INTC is weak — best suited for speculative, long-term bets (if you believe in a turnaround).
Strategy for Traders:
1. Conservative Approach:
- Wait for:
- Break out of downtrend line and resistance around $22 and positive earnings/news.
- Rising volume to confirm momentum.
- Target: $27–$30
- Stop-loss: Below $17 (apply proper risk management).
2. Aggressive Approach:
- Buy near $18–$19 with tight stop-loss ($16).
- Target resistance level at $22.
3. Avoid If:
- You’re risk-averse or prefer stable companies.
- Intel’s debt/revenue trends worsen.
Note:
- Short-Term Trade: Only if breakout confirms ($22+). High risk, but possible 20% bounce.
- Long-Term Investment: Avoid unless Intel shows profit/debt improvement.
Always use stop-losses —Intel’s fundamentals make it volatile.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. Don't take the signal if you can't accept the risk.
WHAT'S THE FAITH OF INTEL CORPORATION STOCK? From the perspective of technical analysis, INTC is approaching a key psychological level at $19. In addition, it's in a downtrend. If the key level should hold by pushing price higher, leading to a break out of the downtrend line and closing with a strong bullish candle above the down trend line and resistance level around $22, this will indicate a strong bullish signal. Likewise, this is supported by a bullish divergence signal from the awesome oscillator. Otherwise, a failure of the psychological level of $19 may lead to price dropping further.
Furthermore, we need to look beyond technical analysis. Fundamental analysis also has some insights for our decisions.
Fundamentals for INTC established a bearish bias. The summary is as follows:
Financial Health :
• Negative EPS (-$4.47): Intel is losing money.
• High Debt ($50B): This can limit growth and increase risk.
• Declining Revenue: Sales dropped from $80B (2021) to $51B (2024).
Valuation:
• Cheap P/S (1.66x), but no P/E (due to negative earnings).
• Dividend yield (2.56%) is at risk of being cut.
Sentiment:
Stock price fell from $56 to $19.55 (65% drop). Institutional investors may be wary.
Fundamentally, INTC is weak — best suited for speculative, long-term bets (if you believe in a turnaround).
Strategy for Traders:
1. Conservative Approach:
- Wait for:
- Break out of downtrend line and resistance around $22 and positive earnings/news.
- Rising volume to confirm momentum.
- Target: $27–$30
- Stop-loss: Below $17 (apply proper risk management).
2. Aggressive Approach:
- Buy near $18–$19 with tight stop-loss ($16).
- Target resistance level at $22.
3. Avoid If:
- You’re risk-averse or prefer stable companies.
- Intel’s debt/revenue trends worsen.
Note:
- Short-Term Trade: Only if breakout confirms ($22+). High risk, but possible 20% bounce.
- Long-Term Investment: Avoid unless Intel shows profit/debt improvement.
Always use stop-losses —Intel’s fundamentals make it volatile.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. Don't take the signal if you can't accept the risk.
EGX30 Increases by 0.62%EGX30 stock has jumped to an upper region, and it's apparent that this has been a gradual upward trend due to a mutual connection between positive fundamental news and the technical candlestick analysis. It has already breached the resistance line of 32,621.248 and reached the maximum at 32,695.736 points. On a personal level, I expect it to rebound not because of any negative news but because of taking into consideration the short-term history patterns. In case of rebounding, it may reach the support line 32,536.119, the support line 32,408.426, then the support line 32,376.503. In conclusion, EGX30 is increasing in the pink region by 0.62%.
USDCAD Short Setup – Support Broken, More Downside Ahead?Bias: ✅ Strong Sell
Timeframe: 4H
Pair: USDCAD
Week: 26–30 May 2025
⸻
🔍 Technical Setup:
USDCAD just broke a major support zone around 1.3732, opening the door for continued downside into the next demand zone.
• Entry: Break and retest or continuation below 1.3732
• Stop Loss: Above resistance at 1.3813
• Take Profit: Next support near 1.3467
• Risk-Reward Ratio: ~3.9R
• Structure: Lower highs, clean breakdown, bearish momentum
⸻
🧠 Macro Confluence:
• 📉 USD Weakness: Dovish Fed, weak macro outlook (Investogenie Score 1.8 ↓)
• 🇨🇦 CAD Recovery: Hawkish BoC, conditional score surged from 2 → 10
• 📊 Seasonals: CAD favored
• 🧾 COT: Net bearish shift in USD, CAD corrective phase expected
• ⚠️ News Risk: CAD GDP & US GDP this week could accelerate the move
⸻
⚠️ Risk Notes:
• Watch for FOMC and GDP reports before scaling positions
• Break & close confirmed – trail stops on lower timeframe
⸻
📌 Momentum is in favor – ride the breakdown, but stay data-aware.
Share setups or feedback below 👇
USDJPY Short Setup – Bearish Breakout WatchBias: ✅ Strong Sell
Timeframe: 4H
Pair: USDJPY
Week: 26–30 May 2025
🔍 Technical Setup:
USDJPY is sitting on a critical support zone around 142.55. A decisive break and 4H close below this level would confirm a bearish continuation.
Entry: Break below 142.55
Stop Loss: Above resistance at 142.80
Take Profit: Major support around 140.05
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~4R
Structure: Lower highs, pressure on demand – momentum building
🧠 Macro Confluence:
📉 USD Weakness: Dovish Fed, worsening macro (Investogenie Score 1.8 ↓)
💴 JPY Strength: Seasonal bias, bullish COT positioning, risk-off sentiment
🧾 COT: JPY net long positions at 92% RSI
📊 Conditional Scores: JPY ↑, USD ↓
⚠️ Risk Sentiment: VIX 22.68 – risk-off favors JPY
⚠️ Risk Notes:
Wait for confirmation candle before entry
Watch FOMC + GDP (USD) for volatility spikes
Consider scaling in on retest of broken support
📌 Let the level break before jumping in. Precision matters.
Share your thoughts or charts below 👇
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 22, 2025 USDJPYEvents to pay attention to today:
15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims
16:45 EET. USD - Services PMI
USDJPY:
The Japanese Yen (JPY) demonstrated resilience by rebounding from an early decline during the Asian trading session. This recovery was largely influenced by positive machinery orders data from Japan, which effectively quashed recession fears and significantly bolstered expectations of an economic recovery. This occurred in anticipation of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) potentially raising interest rates again in 2025, which would have been a positive development for the JPY. Furthermore, flight to safety is identified as a contributing factor to the strengthening of the yen.
The proposed tax bill introduced by US President Donald Trump has led to concerns regarding the financial stability of the US government. This, in addition to the resurgence of tensions between the US and China, is exerting downward pressure on global risk sentiment and prompting investors to seek refuge in traditional safe haven assets, including the yen. This, coupled with the prevailing US Dollar (USD) selling bias, has led to the USD/JPY pair reaching a two-week low, approaching the round figure of 143.00 on Thursday.
Trade recommendation: SELL 143.100, SL 143.700, TP 142.350
Gold : Sell or Wait for Pullback to buy?Price is approaching a strong Sell Zone (3320–3345), which aligns with Daily & Weekly Resistance.
🔻 Sell Idea:
Entry: 3325–3330
🟢 Buy Idea (if pullback):
Entry: 3245–3255
I will update SL and TP once trade is activated.
Watching for rejection in the Sell Zone or a retest of the Buy Zone before entering.
Share your opinion below. Trade safe! 💥
NZDCAD Long – Breakout + Retest Opportunity Backed by Macros🔹 Pair: NZD/CAD
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Direction: Long
🔹 Status: Breakout of resistance → waiting for retest at turncoat support
🔹 Entry Zone (Planned): 0.8250–0.8260
NZD is the top gainer this week with strong conditional momentum and seasonal strength. CAD is stagnating under weak macro support. We're now watching for a pullback to the breakout zone for an ideal long entry.
Will look to enter between 0.8250–0.8260, SL under 0.8230, and aiming for 0.8295+.
📊 Macro & Fundamental Confluence
🇳🇿 NZD – Bullish
Biggest Weekly Gainer: Conditional score surged 🚀 from 8 → 13
Seasonal Bias: Strong buy signal from mid-May onward
Central Bank: RBNZ remains hawkish amid stable inflation targets
Risk-On Regime: VIX < 20 favors high-beta currencies like NZD
🇨🇦 CAD – Bearish
Policy vs Data Mismatch: BoC hawkish, but weak retail & CPI data
Global Headwinds: Commodity weakness and trade risks weigh on CAD
🧩 Confluences
✅ NZD macro & conditional strength
✅ CAD stagnation
✅ Risk-on favors NZD
✅ Technical breakout + higher high confirmed
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 19, 2025 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair attracted new sellers on Monday and fell to a one-week low of around 144.800 during the Asian session. Furthermore, the current economic climate suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices remains to the downside, which supports the prospects for a continuation of the recent corrective decline from the nearly six-week high reached last Monday.
It is widely anticipated that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates again in 2025, a development that is expected to continue providing support to the Japanese Yen (JPY). Furthermore, the unexpected downgrade of the US government's credit rating is discouraging investors from taking risks and is instead favouring traditional safe-haven assets, including the Japanese Yen. On Friday, Moody's downgraded America's main sovereign credit rating by one notch, to 'Aa1', citing concerns over the country's rising debt.
Meanwhile, investors seem convinced that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue to cut rates amid signs of weakening inflation and the likelihood that the US economy will see several quarters of sluggish growth. At the start of the new week, the US Dollar remains depressed and exerts additional downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair. However, the lack of follow-through selling below the psychological 145.00 mark is forcing bears to exercise caution before positioning themselves for deeper losses.
On Monday, the US will not release any market-moving economic data, so the dollar will be influenced by speeches by influential FOMC members. Furthermore, an improvement in risk sentiment is likely to result in increased demand for the Japanese Yen, thereby providing some momentum to the USD/JPY pair. However, the diverging policy expectations of the BoJ and the FOMC confirm the negative outlook for the near term. Consequently, any recovery attempt could be perceived as a strategic opportunity for divestment, and is likely to be constrained.
Trade recommendation: SELL 144.700, SL 145.500, TP 143.800
Gold Eases as Risk Sentiment Improves, but Long-Term Demand IntaMacro theme:
- Gold prices retreated from recent highs as improved risk sentiment following the US-China trade deal and a stronger US dollar weighed on safe-haven demand.
- Gold ETFs recorded modest outflows in Apr, but the withdrawal slowdown suggests easing profit-taking pressure.
- In the near term, trade optimism may keep gold under pressure, though central bank demand and portfolio diversification continue to support the long-term outlook.
Technical theme:
- XAUUSD pulled back from the swing high near 3430, forming a lower high and moving into a sideways structure between EMAs.
- A close below 3230 could trigger further downside toward 3135,
- On the contrary, holding above 3230 may prompt a retest of the 3430 level.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
DXY Rebounds on Fed Pause and Trade Deal Hopes.Macro approach:
- DXY edged higher, recovering earlier losses as the Fed held rates and Powell was cautious.
- Jun cut hopes faded, though markets expect three cuts this year, potentially lifting DXY short-term.
- A potential US-UK trade deal also helps ease bearish sentiment on the dollar.
Technical approach:
- DXY is hovering around the key resistance at around 100.200, confluence with EMA21, indicating a potential short-term correction.
- If DXY closes above the resistance at 100.200, the price may continue to claim to retest the following resistance at 101.800.
- Conversely, closing below the current trendline may lead DXY to retest the swing low at around 98.000.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 8, 2025 GBPUSDEvents to pay attention today:
15:30 EET. USD - Number of Initial Jobless Claims
14:00 EET. USD - Bank of England Key Interest Rate Decision
GBPUSD:
GBP/USD was down six-tenths of a per cent on Wednesday as markets continued to hold on to the safe-haven US dollar. The Federal Reserve (Fed) left rates unchanged as markets had expected, but Fed policymakers, still adopting a wait-and-see stance, curbed risk appetite during the midweek market session. The Bank of England (BoE) will hold its own rate meeting on Thursday and is expected to cut rates by another quarter point.
Forex Today: All eyes on the Bank of England
Market sentiment declined after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference. He said that US trade tariffs could hamper the Fed's inflation and employment targets this year. Powell warned that continued policy instability could force the Fed to take a ‘wait-and-see’ approach to interest rates. While the Trump administration's tariffs have weighed heavily on consumer and business sentiment, the lack of significant negative economic data makes it difficult for the Fed to justify an immediate change in interest rates.
Powell: The right thing to do is to wait for further clarity
The Bank of England is expected to cut the rate by a further quarter point at its upcoming meeting on Thursday, marking the fourth rate cut since it peaked in 2023. The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is expected to vote nine to one in favour of another rate cut in an attempt to support the faltering UK economy.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3330, SL 1.3350, TP 1.3230
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 7, 2025 EURUSDEURUSD:
EUR/USD failed to hold on Tuesday, marking a new short-term consolidation range near the key 1.1300 mark as traders wait for a reason to move. The key event this week is the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate announcement in the middle of the week, which has pinned investor sentiment to the pole for now.
The Fed's upcoming rate decision on Wednesday remains the focus of markets this week. While many expect the Fed to maintain current rates, investors will be closely monitoring comments from policymakers, especially Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, for any signs that the shift to a rate-cutting cycle may occur sooner than expected.
Recently, the Fed has been facing increasing pressure to lower interest rates. Market participants have consistently sought lower funding costs, and the Trump administration has been particularly vocal in insisting that the Fed must cut rates to ease the cost of servicing US debt. However, this stance runs counter to the Fed's dual mandate of promoting full employment and controlling price stability, which President Donald Trump does not appear to be taking into account.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.1350, SL 1.1330, TP 1.1440
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 6, 2025 USDJPYUSDJPY:
The Japanese Yen (JPY) declined against its US counterpart during Tuesday's Asian session, albeit without any follow-through selling. Despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) ‘restrained’ guidance last Thursday, Japan's rising inflation and prospects for continued wage increases leave the door open for further policy tightening by the central bank. In addition, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's trade policy and rising geopolitical tensions continue to act as tailwinds for the safe-haven yen.
Meanwhile, the prospect of more aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) is not helping the US Dollar (USD) attract meaningful buyers and is helping to limit the upside for the USD/JPY pair. Traders also seem unwilling to wait for more signals on the Fed's policy outlook before positioning for the next leg of directional movement. Thus, the main focus will be on the outcome of the two-day FOMC meeting, which starts this Tuesday and which will give the dollar a fresh impetus.
Trading recommendation: BUY 143.90, SL 143.60, TP144.80