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GOLD recovers to $3,371, biggest data day of the weekOANDA:XAUUSD maintained its intraday recovery trend and the current gold price is around 3,371 USD/ounce, retesting the initial target increase sent to readers in the weekly publication. In this trading day, investors will focus on the US non-farm payroll data, which is expected to trigger major market movements. Today (Friday), the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the highly anticipated non-farm payroll data for May. The market expects 130,000 new jobs and the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 4.2%. On Wednesday, the ADP jobs report, also known as the “mini-non-farm,” showed the smallest number of jobs created by the U.S. private sector in two years. The report could be a precursor to a negative non-farm payrolls report. Payroll processor ADP reported on Wednesday that private sector payrolls increased by just 37,000 in May, down from a revised 60,000 in April and below the Dow Jones forecast of 110,000. It was the smallest monthly job gain since March 2023, according to ADP. The U.S. Department of Labor reported on Thursday that initial jobless claims unexpectedly rose last week as concerns about the labor market mounted. The data showed initial jobless claims hit 247,000 in the week ended May 31, up 8,000 from the previous week and above the 236,000 expected in a Dow Jones survey. If non-farm payrolls data released today is much worse than expected, it could weigh on the U.S. dollar and send gold prices soaring. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, after making a fresh weekly high and correcting lower yesterday, gold has recovered to reach its initial target at $3,371, the price point of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement. Following the uptrend, gold is likely to head towards the full price point of $3,400 in the short term, rather than $3,435. Currently, the technical structure has not changed much with the uptrend completely dominating the technical chart. And the notable price points will also be listed as follows. Support: 3,350 – 3,326 – 3,300USD Resistance: 3,400 – 3,435USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3412 - 3410⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3416 →Take Profit 1 3404 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3398 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3301 - 3303⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3297 →Take Profit 1 3309 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3315
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
2025-06-05 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Good day for the bears but if you look at the daily or 4h chart, do you really want to sell this? Of course not. Most traders will wait and see where the bears fail to long this for another try at 22000. Technically we had at least 3 legs up in this wedge and 21936 qualifies as a top. I would still not sell this yet. Favoring the bulls for some bounce, can be higher or lower high. Below 21390 I would be neutral and we could try to test down to 21200 or 21000. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 20700 - 22000 bull case: Bulls will likely be eager to buy close to the bull trend line which we have not touched since early Monday. Question then is, will we get a lower high or finally the 22000 print? You never know in advance. What you can know is that selling below 21600 is most likely a bad trade. Invalidation is below 21390. bear case: Bears getting more confident in shorting new highs since they make decent money doing so. Until we see 21000 again, they will still likely only scalp and not hold on to positions for longer. The bull wedge is too obvious to hold short and pray for a break. If bears would stay below 21700 tomorrow, that would certainly change their outlook and more bulls would start doubting that we can get to 22000. Daily 20ema is around 21200 and the bull trend line around 21400, those are the next targets for bears. Invalidation is above 22100. short term: Neutral but if I had to have a position, I’d be long with stop 21050. I will sit on hands and wait for bears to give up and scalp some longs tomorrow. If bears continue down, it will be without me because I don't like getting trapped. medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-24: Will update this section more after the coming week but in general the thesis is as for dax. Down over the summer and sideways to up into year end. I don’t think the lows for this year are in. trade of the day: Longing 21700 was a good trade a couple of times today. You could have made decent money doing so and then getting stopped out on the break below 21630 but that would have been still a profitable day. Get comfortable losing.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
GOLD trades around target of 3,371 USD, positive outlookOANDA:XAUUSD rose significantly, retesting the $3,371 target as weak US economic data and a weaker dollar were the main reasons for the rise in gold prices. The market is also struggling to cope with growing political and economic uncertainties. OANDA:XAUUSD recovered from yesterday's session low of $3,343/oz after ISM and ADP reports confirmed a slowdown in the US economy. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump signed an executive order to increase tariffs on steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%, effective from June 4, escalating trade tensions. Federal Reserve officials remain cautious on easing policy; markets await initial jobless claims and nonfarm payrolls data for further policy clues. The first major data release on Wednesday, the ADP jobs report, dubbed the “mini-nonfarm,” showed the number of private jobs created in the United States was the lowest in two years. Payroll processor ADP reported on Wednesday that private-sector job creation nearly stalled in May, hitting its lowest level in more than two years amid signs of labor market weakness. Jobs increased by just 37,000 in the month, down from a revised 60,000 in April and below Dow Jones' forecast of 110,000. This was the lowest monthly job gain since March 2023, according to ADP statistics. Following the ADP private sector jobs report, US President Trump immediately urged Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to cut interest rates in a furious manner. Trump posted on Truth Social: "ADP data is out!!! Powell, who is 'too late', must cut interest rates now." Trump's order to double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports has taken effect, and the White House has confirmed rumors that it has asked trading partners to submit their "best offer" by Wednesday to avoid higher tariffs. Gold is considered a safe haven from political and economic uncertainty and typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments. This Friday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its highly anticipated non-farm payrolls data, with markets expecting 125,000 new jobs and the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 4.2%. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold continues to hit the first bullish target of note to readers in the past 2 weeks at $3,371, the price point of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement. Currently, gold is also trading around this level, with price action above $3,371 opening the door for a new bullish outlook and the next target around $3,400 in the short term. In terms of momentum, gold still has a lot of room to rise as the RSI is operating above 50 pointing upwards but still far from overbought territory, which should be considered a bullish signal in the coming trading session. There are no technical factors that suggest the possibility of a decline becoming a specific trend, the declines as long as gold remains within/above the price channel should only be considered as a short-term correction or a buying opportunity. Meanwhile, the nearest support is the confluence of the EMA21 with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement and the short-term trend is highlighted by the price channel. Finally, the bullish outlook for gold prices during the day will be highlighted by the following positions. Support: 3,350 – 3,326 USD Resistance: 3,400 – 3,435 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3412 - 3410⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3416 →Take Profit 1 3404 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3398 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3299 - 3301⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3295 →Take Profit 1 3307 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3313
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
2025-06-04 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: When in doubt, zoom out. Market is leaving gaps below and daily bar closed at the high (at least for futures). Bulls will likely get another spike above 24430 to run the stops but I don’t know if they can get more. Buying above 24200 is there but lackluster but that’s still enough for the bulls because bears are not doing anything, so do not look for shorts. I think we are days away from the top but it’s a rough guess. current market cycle: broad bull channel key levels: 23700 - 24500 bull case: Bulls remain in control. There are making higher highs and higher lows. That’s all you need to understand about the current price action. Do not sell this unless you are really really good at reversals. The easy money is buying pullbacks. Do that until we make lower lows. Next targets are 24430 and then 24500. Invalidation is below 24130. bear case: Even if bears get below 24130, we have another trend line around 24000 and for now we can not expect bears to just appear. They will likely need an event or market has to spend more time building a credible top before we can reverse. Invalidation is above 24550. short term: Neutral. Bulls remain in full control but buying up here is just too easy to get trapped and I will rather wait. 24500 is the next obvious target. I think it’s more likely we are in a trading range 23700 -24500 than getting another strong move above 24500. medium-long term from 2025-05-25: My rough guess from early May was down over the summer and up into year end. POTUS certainly helped with the 50% tariffs. I need to see market reaction next week and if there is no 180° reversal until Friday, they will become reality the week after and dax should do 20-30% down over the next months. Markets were not positioned for any risk what so ever. Now we got the atomic trade bomb. trade of the day: Long overnight or EU session for 24400. The short from 24371 was not obvious nor easy to take. Also went much further than I expected it to go. Buying the double bottom 24160 was the second best trade. Market found not acceptance below the 1h 20ema and it was also the Globex low.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
GOLD falls then recovers slightly, markets eye jobs dataMainly due to the strengthening of the TVC:DXY , OANDA:XAUUSD have fallen sharply from a near four-week high, with a one-day drop of nearly $30 on Tuesday and a slight recovery in today's Asian trading session on Wednesday, June 4. DXY rebounded from its lowest level in more than a month hit earlier in the session on Tuesday and ended the day up 0.6%, which put some minor pressure on gold in yesterday's session. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics' Employment and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) released on Tuesday showed that total job vacancies in the United States reached 7.39 million in April, up from 7.2 million in March. Economists had expected job vacancies in the United States to be 7.1 million in April. OANDA:XAUUSD fell on Tuesday as a surprise rise in U.S. job vacancies boosted risk appetite and helped the dollar strengthen, according to Bloomberg. The rise in job vacancies encouraged investors to believe that the U.S. economy remains resilient despite the threat of U.S. President Trump’s tariff agenda. Looking ahead, U.S. employment data, including Friday’s May nonfarm payrolls report, could help guide the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, Bloomberg said. Lower interest rates are generally good for non-interest-bearing gold. Gold traders will be looking ahead to key employment data, including the ADP and nonfarm payrolls reports, to determine the Fed’s policy path. In terms of technical structure, there are no changes to the chart or previous analysis so readers can review it in the previous publication. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3412 - 3410⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3416 →Take Profit 1 3404 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3398 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3299 - 3301⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3295 →Take Profit 1 3307 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3313
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Technical Analysis – HBAR/USDT + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis – HBAR/USDT (Daily Chart as of June 4, 2025) Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish) The chart indicates a classic falling wedge pattern, often interpreted as a bullish reversal signal. This pattern is marked by descending converging trendlines, suggesting declining volatility and potential breakout. Breakout point is illustrated just above the wedge’s resistance line, with a bullish breakout expected. Key Support & Resistance Levels Immediate Support Zone: $0.1625 – $0.1723 (blue zone) Primary Resistance Targets: Short-term: $0.1849 (top of Bollinger Band) Mid-term: $0.2070 – $0.2200 Long-term: $0.3400 (strong historical resistance) Indicators Summary Bollinger Bands: Price near the lower band, indicating potential upside volatility. Volume Profile: Slightly increasing near wedge apex, often a precursor to a breakout. VMC Cipher_B: Multiple green dots signal bullish divergence; momentum may be reversing upward. RSI (14): Currently recovering from oversold territory (~39.5), suggesting bullish momentum building. Money Flow Index (ArTy): Moving back into the green, indicating capital inflow and potential accumulation. Stochastic RSI: Crossed upward from oversold zone (currently ~23), a common signal for trend reversal. Trading Plan Long Position Setup (Swing Trade) Entry Zone: $0.1650 – $0.1725 (upon retest of breakout from wedge or candle close above wedge resistance) Stop-Loss: $0.1580 (below wedge support and key structure low) Take-Profit Targets: TP1: $0.1850 (Bollinger Band and resistance zone) TP2: $0.2070 (resistance from March 2025) TP3: $0.2200 – $0.2400 (target zone for full wedge breakout) TP4: $0.3400 (macro-level resistance, if rally continues) Risk-to-Reward: Minimum R:R of 1:2.5 to 1:5 depending on TP level. ⚠️ Risk Management & Strategy Notes Wait for confirmation breakout candle with strong volume above wedge resistance before entering. Scale in gradually between $0.1650–$0.1725 if confirmed. Trail stop-loss after reaching TP1 to lock in profits. Monitor Bitcoin price trend and overall market sentiment—HBAR tends to follow macro market structure. The combination of the falling wedge, bullish divergence, and oversold momentum indicators supports a strong potential for bullish continuation. However, conservative confirmation is essential before committing capital. Outlook: Bullish bias, pending confirmation breakout above the wedge resistance.
Long
by elfabiiani
Technical Analysis – Velas (VLX/USD) + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis – Velas (VLX/USD) + TRADE PLAN Date of Analysis: June 4, 2025 Timeframe: 4-hour (H4) Current Price: $0.0023541 Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal Potential) Pattern Description: The price is consolidating within a falling wedge formation — historically a bullish reversal pattern. Breakout Potential: If price breaks upward through the wedge resistance, strong momentum could follow. Support Zone: $0.0020 – $0.0022 (Weekly low zone, strong historical support) Resistance Zones: Immediate: $0.00339 – $0.00397 Secondary: $0.00444 – $0.00513 Major: $0.00707 (high target zone) Indicators Overview VMC Cipher_B (Momentum Oscillator): Momentum is deep in the red, approaching oversold territory. Green dots signal potential bullish divergence forming (trend exhaustion). RSI (14): Current: 13.30 → Oversold, significant bounce potential. Last low this deep preceded a strong rally — suggesting a possible bottom. Arty Money Flow Index (MFI): Shows low volume inflows → not ideal, but can turn quickly on bullish reversal. Stochastic RSI: Crossing upwards from deep oversold (<15). Bullish crossover forming → early sign of reversal. Two Scenarios – Trading Plan Scenario A: Bullish Breakout (Primary Scenario) Entry: On confirmed breakout of falling wedge → above $0.0026 with volume Targets: TP1: $0.00339 TP2: $0.00444 TP3: $0.00513 TP4 (Moon Target): $0.00707 Stop Loss: $0.00215 (below wedge bottom) Risk/Reward: 1:3 to 1:5 depending on TP level Confidence: 4/5 (RSI + Wedge support) Scenario B: Bearish Continuation (Fails to Break Out) Trigger: Break below $0.00215 with volume Action: Short-term panic sell possible down to $0.0015 – $0.0012 Watch for capitulation wick and rapid V-recovery Re-entry Opportunity: If oversold bounces with large green engulfing or V-bottom reversal 🧠 Strategic Notes: Velas is at a make-or-break point. Fundamentally, adoption and development updates from the team (esp. Alex & Co.) will heavily influence investor confidence. DYOR Reminder: This is a highly speculative coin in an oversold state. Best used for swing trades or speculative long-term entries with tight risk control.
CRYPTO:VLXUSDLong
by elfabiiani
2025-06-03 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls buy every dip and so should you, until it stops working. Clear target above and also clear invalidation level below us. Trade the wedge. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 20700 - 22000 bull case: Bulls will likely get a third leg up tomorrow and if they want it bad, we could accelerate upwards for 22000. Right now the wedge is clear but if we get so close to 22000, I doubt market will hesitate to print it. Bulls have to stay above 21500 or risk a deeper pullback to 21300 and I don’t know if they could do 22000 afterwards. If we print below 21500, I think I’d expect a lower high below 21800 but for now they are in full control and are favored for 22000. Invalidation is below 21500. bear case: Literally the exact same play every day. Globex and EU sell it, US session pumps. Don’t fight it. Will end soon but just don’t be early. Below 21500 would be a start but only a daily close below 21000 will make me turn bear. Invalidation is above 22100. short term: Neutral because longs above 21650 are bad. Wait for a pullback to 21600 or 21550. Can you make them work? Sure but you would have to have a stop at least 21400 and scale in. Bears have nothing for now. medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-24: Will update this section more after the coming week but in general the thesis is as for dax. Down over the summer and sideways to up into year end. I don’t think the lows for this year are in. trade of the day: Longing the double bottom on the 15m tf on US open at 24500.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) 1h timeframe 1. "Bullish Breakout Anticipation: Gold Eyes $3,435 Zone" This title emphasizes the potential breakout scenario: The chart shows price pushing into a previous supply zone (highlighted rectangle). The green box and arrow indicate a bullish target near $3,435. Key resistance has been tested multiple times (red circles), suggesting weakening seller control. 📈 2. "Double Bottom Reversal Validates Bullish Momentum in XAU/USD" This reflects a technical pattern recognition: A potential double bottom forms near the May 15th and late May lows. The breakout from the neckline (around $3,350–$3,370) confirms the reversal. Red-to-green zone suggests the projected move post-breakout. 🔄 3. "Range Consolidation Broken: XAU/USD Breaks Key Resistance" Focuses on market structure: Horizontal support/resistance lines indicate a range-bound market. The recent move above previous highs signals a range breakout. Blue arrow suggests a retest could offer a long entry point. 💡 4. "Buy Opportunity Triggered on Retest: Targeting Supply Zone Break" This suits a trading plan scenario: Red and blue arrows suggest a pullback-and-go trade setup. The price may revisit the breakout level (~$3,348) before heading higher. The green zone is the profit target area. ⚔️ 5. "Battle of Supply and Demand: Bulls Gaining Control Above $3,370" Captures the market sentiment shift: Multiple failed attempts to break lower (marked with red circles). Final bullish breakout shows momentum shift to buyers. If volume confirms, the breakout could be strong and sustained.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZareeFxTradingAac
SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Price Testing Resistance Trendline - DailySPY (S&P500 ETF) price is currently testing a resistance trendline above ($593 to $595 price levels). SPY price in the medium-term has been uptrending since April and May 2025. SPY price in the short-term has been consolidating sideways, and a large volume breakout or breakdown has not occurred yet. The 12EMA (blue line) has been holding as support for 5 trading days. Resistance targets to the upside would be $598 to $600. The grey gap and the 26EMA (purple line) are downside support targets if a rally does not occur this month ($576 to $567). Breaking news and tariff trade deals are supposed to occur in June and July 2025.
AMEX:SPY
by NoFomoCharts
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – KASPA/USDT (Daily Chart) + TRADE PLANTECHNICAL ANALYSIS – KASPA/USDT (Daily Chart) Chart Pattern & Price Action: Descending Channel (Falling Wedge): KASPA has been trading within a falling wedge pattern, typically a bullish reversal setup. Breakout Zone Approaching: Price is currently testing the upper resistance of the wedge (~$0.086–$0.088). A breakout from this level may indicate trend reversal. Key Resistance Zone: $0.105 – $0.127: Significant supply area (marked in red). Previously rejected, it is the next target if price breaks out upward. Support Zone: $0.073 – $0.082: Demand zone. Coincides with the Bollinger Band lower range and historical support. Indicators Overview: Bollinger Bands: Price is trading at or near the middle band, showing a neutral-to-slightly bearish bias. A breakout above the upper band (~$0.0895) could trigger bullish momentum. MACD (VMC Cipher_B_Divergences): Strong bearish momentum continues, but we can observe potential bullish divergence forming. Green dot signal at the bottom may indicate a possible local bottom. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 37.06, near oversold territory. Could signal a bounce if RSI climbs above 40 and confirms strength. Money Flow Index (Art’ Money Flow): MFI is deep in negative; however, these levels often precede trend reversals. Watch for a crossover into positive territory as confirmation. Stochastic RSI: Bullish crossover around 14.53 / 15.67 in the oversold zone. Early sign of potential short-term bounce. TRADING PLAN Entry Points: Zone Type Price Range Reason Buy Spot 1 Conservative $0.073 – $0.082 Strong historical support & bottom of wedge Buy Spot 2 Aggressive ~$0.086 – $0.089 Breakout of descending wedge Buy Spot 3 Momentum Break above $0.105 Bullish confirmation + breakout of major resistance Take Profit Zones: TP Level Price Notes TP1 $0.105 First resistance / psychological level TP2 $0.127 Strong resistance – expect rejection here TP3 $0.15–0.16 Major extension target if strong momentum Stop-Loss Strategy: Strategy Type Placement Conservative Below $0.073 Aggressive Below $0.080 Risk Management: Use position sizing relative to account size (e.g., 1–3% risk per trade). Adjust stop-loss dynamically if entering at breakout. Combine with on-chain metrics or volume spikes for higher conviction. SCENARIOS: 🔼 Bullish Scenario (Blue Up Arrow): Breakout above wedge → retest → rally toward $0.105+ Break $0.105 confirms macro uptrend continuation 🔽 Bearish Scenario (Blue Down Arrow): Rejection at wedge top → breakdown of $0.082 → revisit $0.073 support Below $0.073 would invalidate short-term bullish structure
Long
by elfabiiani
GOLD expected to rebound, key trends, jobs data This week, we have the facts that Trump has stirred up the market, Powell has not changed his stance. With the biggest data of the week, the US Non-Farm Payrolls, to be released, the price of OANDA:XAUUSD is expected to rise again after a week of consolidation. Last Week in News After weeks of tariff-easing talks that sent U.S. stocks soaring, Wall Street has once again been caught up in the constant flux surrounding Trump’s trade regime. This week, a U.S. court also questioned the legality of the White House’s tariffs on global trading partners as the Trump administration ramps up its policy plans. Market sentiment took a turn for the worse on Friday following news about tariffs. US media reported that the White House plans to impose broader sanctions on some foreign technology industries. In addition, Trump said that starting next week, tariffs on imported steel will increase from 25% to 50%. In addition to the tariff headlines, traders also had to contend with weakening US economic data. US consumer spending slowed after recording its strongest month of growth since early 2023 in April. Here are the events markets will focus on in the new week • Next week, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and several members of the board and voting members will speak. • Trump met with Powell for the first time in his second term, and Powell continued to emphasize the independence of monetary policy. The US core PCE inflation rate was 2.1% year-on-year in April, slightly below the expected 2.2%. While that bolsters the case for a rate cut, Fed officials have reiterated their patient stance. Minutes from the May FOMC meeting confirmed that policymakers considered the current economic situation sufficient to delay policy action. Despite the weakening sentiment, traders are still betting on a September rate cut from the Federal Reserve. Key Data: Non-farm data in focus this week The focus of next week’s data will be non-farm payrolls on Friday. The pace of hiring in the US is likely to have slowed in May as households became more cautious, businesses reconsidered investment plans amid shifting trade policies and employers focused on controlling costs. Economists are forecasting a gain of 125,000 in May, according to the median in a Bloomberg survey, after job gains beat expectations in March and April. That would keep the average gain over the past three months at a solid 162,000. The unemployment rate remains at 4.2%. Fed officials are also waiting for clarity on how trade and tax policies will affect the economy and inflation, so they are likely to be cautious about the labor market report. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has been mostly sideways despite the volatility over the past week. The sharpest drop saw gold test the $3,250 support level before recovering to close the week around the confluence of the EMA21 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement. On the big picture, gold is still technically bullish with the channel as the main trend, while the near-term supports are the $3,250 level followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement. A sustained move above $3,300 would be viewed as a positive factor going forward. On the momentum front, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, which in this case acts as momentum support and is still well away from overbought territory so there is still room for upside. The weekly target is the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level in the short term, rather than the raw price point of $3,400. As long as gold remains within the channel, its main technical trend is bullish, and any declines that do not take gold below the channel should be considered short-term corrections rather than a specific trend. Next week, the technical bullish outlook for gold will be focused again on the following positions. Support: $3,250 – $3,228 Resistance: $3,371 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3337 - 3335⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3341 →Take Profit 1 3329 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3323 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3246 - 3248⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3242 →Take Profit 1 3254 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3260
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
#202522 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: First weekly bear bar since end of March but I doubt we just go down. Much more likely is a trading range until more bulls doubt we get above 112k. Can you buy 103k? Only with a stop maybe 98k since the risk of hitting 99.9k are too big to have a stop there. But that trade is much more likely to succeed than shorting 103k with a stop 112.1k. current market cycle: Broad bull channel on the weekly and monthly chart. Tight bull channel on the daily chart break this week and we are likely in a trading range before we get the next impulse. key levels: 100k - 115k bull case: If you are still long this and have not taken profits at 110k, I don’t know what you are waiting for. Market is clearly not finding buyers above 110k and it’s a perfect double top with 2024-12 and 2025-01. Can we hit 115k oder 120k? Sure but the odds are so low. If you are HODLing for 1mil, will hold through 70k again and buy more? If so, good luck to you. Got nothing for the bulls other than a trading range. Invalidation is a daily below 100k with follow-through. bear case: Bears need a gap down and it has to stay open if they want more downside. I think the selling this week was decent and without much resistance by the bulls. Contraire to nq and sp500, Friday did not produce a big reversal, which makes me a bit more bearish than it probably should. We are at bigger prior support and I can only really favor the bears once we close the gap down to 97k and the April high. Invalidation is above 116k. short term: Neutral. I expect a trading range and likely another test of 110k or even 115k but this will likely be the double top many are waiting before they will short this. A very rough guess of another two-legged move higher is on the chart but don’t trade based on that as of now. Wait for stronger buying again and be prepared to not get more than 110k. medium-long term - Update from 2025-05-25: Will update this next week but plan here is the same as other markets. I wait for this to top out and trade it back down to 80k over the summer.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
#202522 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: 3 weeks inside a tight range but market keeps getting rejected under the weekly 20ema and it’s consecutive bear bars now. Below 59.8 I favor the bears for more downside. current market cycle: monthly time frame is a broad bear channel - weekly tf is a bear wedge - daily is a trading range key levels: 55 - 64 bull case: Bulls need a daily close above 64 to retest the bear trend line of this big bear wedge from the January high 78.1. That’s the whole story for now. Market oscillates around 61 without any momentum, so buy low, sell high until it stops working. Invalidation is below 59.8. bear case: Bears need a daily close below 59.8 for more downside but market has been pretty much in balance for 3 weeks around 61. Problem for the bulls is, that we closed lower again and the tails above the weekly bars are much bigger than the ones below bars. So bears are slightly favored but only very slightly. Invalidation is above 64.4 short term: Neutral. Playing the range until it stops working but mostly only small scalps. Market is likely waiting for an end to the tariff madness which might not come. medium-long term - Update from 2025-05-25: Need a clear break of the trading range 54 - 64 before we can come up with new targets. Bear trend (wedge) is valid until the trend line breaks.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
#202522 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaqGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: Not much difference to the dax or sp500, so you can skip the text and just watch the chart. Should look similar to you and you should trade it the same. If you have not read my dax update, please go read it. current market cycle: trading range key levels for next week: 20700 - 22000 bull case: Bulls are trapping bears into decent looking shorts just to reverse them strongly. Bulls are still hopeful af and until we have a daily close below 20700, the bull wedge is alive and can lead to higher prices. Bulls are heavily favored to continue until then. Target is obviously 22000. Invalidation is below 20600. bear case: Bears need a daily close below 22700 and close the giant gap down to 20200. Until then they have been making money shorting new highs but only for scalps. If we get another good move down next week, you should take big profits before they vanish again. Daily 20ema held for 6 weeks now, expect the next touch to get bought as well. Invalidation is above 22100. short term: Bullish that we stay above 20700 and hit 22000 next week. The buying on Friday was so strong, that we can expect higher prices. I will need strong signals though since we had bad news after hours Friday and Friday was also end of month, which can always distort the market bias somewhat. medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-01: Market is refusing to go down but I can not see this going much more up. Maybe we hit 22000 maybe we don’t. My assumption is still that latest around end of June we begin to decline over the summer. If EU tariffs go through next week or there is no really good news before end of day Friday, expect a blood bath if they come into effect. It’s a trade embargo. No one will ship anything with 50% on top of it and markets are trading like everything is literally perfect.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by priceactiontds
#202522 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: Max bearishness last Friday but markets refuse to go down and take tariff risks at face value. Q2 earnings will tell the story so buckle up. Earnings season kicks off in about 3 weeks. Until then the next big event will be in 8 days when 50% EU tariffs may or may not come into play. Until then I don’t expect a big move to the downside, since bears tried couple of times but market refuses to go down. The big upper channel line runs up to 25000 and that is the next obvious big target. For bears it’s a break below the bull wedge and retesting 23300. current market cycle: bull wedge and on the weekly tf it’s a broad bull channel and we are at the very top key levels for next week: 23000 - 25000 bull case: 25000 is the next big round number but I highly doubt we get there. I was wrong last week and until we leave bear gaps behind us, bulls are favored for everything because the reality is that buying every dip has been profitable for months now. Bulls have to keep printing higher lows though. Invalidation is below 23300. bear case: I doubt we have much more upside in store but we could very well spike to 25000 before we can expect more bulls to stop buying every dip. Bears get spikes and zero follow-through, which leads to many bear traps. Scalping both sides was fine the past 2 weeks but bears have to take quick profits or they vanish quickly. Bears need a daily close below 23300 for more downside and until then, swing shorts are account destroyers. We need a big gap down which does not close to stop the BTFD crowd. So if we get a decent one next week and market only corrects sideways, that will be the trigger for more selling. Invalidation is above 24500. short term: Neutral. Scalping both sides but I will only turn full bear with an open bear gap and a daily close below 23300. medium-long term from 2025-05-25: My rough guess from early May was down over the summer and up into year end. POTUS certainly helped with the 50% tariffs. Markets were not positioned for any risk what so ever. Now we got the atomic trade bomb. This view has not changed, just the time horizon which aligns better with Q2 earnings and my expectation that we will see the tariff madness coming through. Markets can ignore risks for longer than you can maintain your account but that does not change the reality and if you think this tariff war has a happy ending, you have not paid attention to anyone but the US government or their echo chamber.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
#ES_F Weekly Prep 06.01 - 06.06.25Last week we have consolidated, built a cost basis under HTF Edge Top and made a push into new HTF Ranges Value on Wednesday after some news, we made it into the Mean of that range but failed to hold before the open trapping Supply in Value. Thursday held under the Edge and by Friday built up enough supply to flush Holiday Cost basis into lower Value where the selling stopped at the Mean and we started covering, being mid day Friday and End of Month we got strong enough covering to take us all the way back into the Edge/into current Intraday Ranges top which is around 930 - 25 Area. Question for this week is, was that a strong bid on Friday which will give us a hold and continued pushes into above VAL over the Edge or was it just a retest of this Edge top from below, momentum traders pushed us out on news and now we are back inside 930 - 770s HTF Range ? Looking at our structure, we had Trend Change on Thursday during RTH Open and for now we have closed Friday in downward correction Trend. This tells us that its possible that we have failed to accept inside new above HTF Range and if that is the case then we could target moves back down towards lower areas of VAH / Mean / VAL and if there will be volume moves under it. For things to change and to see stability + strength out of here we would need to see a good push over 930s which could hold over AND see a move over 941 - 45 area, without that need to be careful with longs into those areas as our Supply and Sellers are around and over us. Things have been slow and moves take a while to set up so Current Intraday Range could act as support and we can see price trade back and forth inside it with Holiday Cost basis providing Support, BUT if we do get through that under VAH then we can see further moves down towards Mean and VAL which has another cost basis there that we can try to fill out and it could hold the price around it, to see any more weakness from there we would need to find ourself under VAL and be able to get into that 800 Balance area, it is new Month and we do have Market Moving Data this week so it could happen. If this will be the case good entry areas for continuation lower could be found around 914 - 10 // 900 - 896 // 869 - 65 // 855 - 51 careful around 824 - 20 and IF we attempt for move into lower Balance could find entries for it at 810 - 06 IF Trend does change and we hold over the Edge OR we hold Current Intraday Range and some of the weekly Data/News will push us over 941 - 45 then we could see moves into above VAL / Mean and would look for Entries around 955 - 59 // 986 - 90 if this will be the case need to be careful with looking for too much continuation over the Mean as there will be selling closer to above VAH we get and especially if we see pushes into/over it as there is more supply above, if move higher happens we would probably look to stay under 630 - 20s and If Holiday Cost Basis holds as Support the could also find long entries at 896 - 900 area after we hold under but need to be careful with looking for big moves and try to grab area to area as market moves and back fills very efficiently lately so watch out for back and forth trading while its moving towards targets.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
Technical Analysis – KASPA/USDT (1D) + spot trade planTechnical Analysis – KASPA/USDT (1D) Trend Structure & Price Action KASPA experienced a strong bullish rally (highlighted in orange) starting in mid-April, followed by a descending channel (bullish flag) correction (highlighted in green). Currently, the price is approaching major support zones, indicating a potential reversal opportunity. Support & Buy Zones (Marked) Buy Spot 1: ~$0.062–$0.067 → Key historical support, potential bottom range. Buy Spot 2: ~$0.070–$0.075 → Moderate support, former resistance turned support. Buy Spot 3: ~$0.078–$0.081 → Current local demand zone and trendline interaction. These zones represent incremental buying opportunities during correction. Indicator Analysis Market Cipher / Divergence Indicators Multiple bullish divergence signals are forming (green dots), suggesting buyer interest is growing. Momentum is in deep negative territory and may be bottoming. RSI (14) RSI is at 32.95, which is approaching oversold territory (below 30), signaling a potential reversal. Money Flow Index (MFI) MFI is at 19, which is also considered oversold, showing capital is leaving but likely nearing exhaustion. Stochastic RSI Stochastic RSI is below 10 (6.22) and starting to cross, indicating a strong potential bullish reversal in the short term. Trading Plan – KASPA/USDT (Spot Strategy) Entry Strategy (DCA) Buy Spot Entry Range Allocation Reason Spot 1 $0.062 – $0.067 50% Major long-term support, deep oversold zone Spot 2 $0.070 – $0.075 30% Mid-range support, confirmation zone Spot 3 $0.078 – $0.081 20% Early entry for aggressive traders Risk Management Stop Loss (optional): Below $0.060 (break of long-term structure) Average Entry (if all 3 zones are filled): ~$0.071 (estimated) Capital Allocation: Use max 3–5% of total capital per setup for risk control. Profit Targets Target Level Price Rationale TP1 $0.092 – $0.095 Top of descending channel TP2 $0.105 Previous swing high (April peak) TP3 $0.120 Breakout and continuation target KASPA is currently in a healthy correction within a bullish continuation pattern (falling channel). The confluence of oversold indicators (RSI, MFI, Stoch RSI), support zones, and bullish divergence suggests a favorable buying opportunity for swing or position traders. If the price respects these zones, a bounce toward the prior high or breakout levels is likely.
Long
by elfabiiani
1
DJIA — Setting Up for Breakout and New ImpulseThe Dow Jones Index is approaching a critical resistance zone. After a deep V-shaped recovery and clear bullish structure, price is preparing for a breakout. Chart shows a clean long entry with a stop below the recent consolidation. A break and hold above 45,000 could lead to a move toward 46,000, and if momentum holds — up to 49,300. Partial profit-taking levels: — Target 1: 45,225 — Target 2: 49,380 Fundamentally, US equity markets remain strong, and DJIA may play catch-up after lagging during the last correction.
OSE:DJIA1!Long
by InvestWorld_777