EUR/USD - Bullish parallel channel formation!The EUR/USD currency pair is currently exhibiting a bullish market structure on the 4-hour timeframe, moving steadily within a well-defined ascending parallel channel. Price action has consistently bounced between the lower and upper boundaries of the channel, with each dip finding support at the lower trendline and each rally meeting resistance near the upper trendline. This ongoing pattern suggests a strong and orderly bullish trend as the pair continues to make higher highs and higher lows within the channel.
The Market’s Upward Momentum
One notable feature of this trend is the recurring formation of 4-hour Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) during each upward leg. These FVGs act as temporary inefficiencies in the price movement, which the market consistently returns to fill before resuming its bullish momentum. As shown in the chart, the EUR/USD has filled multiple FVGs over the past week. Today, the pair once again retraced to fill a newly formed 4H FVG and has since continued its move higher. This repeated behavior reinforces the strength of the uptrend, as the market efficiently corrects itself and then propels further in the direction of the overall trend.
Bullish Outlook
From a bullish perspective, the key level to watch is the horizontal resistance zone around 1.1766. A confirmed break and hold above this level would signal a strong continuation of the current uptrend. Should the price sustain itself above this level, it could initiate a renewed push toward the upper boundary of the ascending channel, potentially targeting levels near 1.1820 and beyond. This scenario would confirm market confidence and open the door for further gains.
Bearish Risk
On the flip side, the bearish case would involve a false breakout above the 1.1766 resistance level, followed by a sharp rejection and a break below the rising lower trendline of the channel. Such a move would invalidate the current structure and shift the bias to the downside. In that case, the 4-hour FVG located between approximately 1.1710 and 1.1740 will act as a critical support zone. If this area fails to hold, it could trigger a deeper retracement and potentially lead to a more prolonged bearish correction.
Final thoughts
In summary, the EUR/USD is currently respecting a bullish parallel channel on the 4-hour timeframe, with upward moves consistently leaving and then filling 4H FVGs before continuing higher. The 1.1766 level is pivotal, a sustained break above it favors continued bullish momentum, while a rejection and breakdown from the channel could signal a bearish reversal. Traders should closely monitor price behavior around this key level and the integrity of the ascending channel to anticipate the next significant move.
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Fvg
Bitcoin - Bullish Reversal PotentialBitcoin is currently consolidating within a well-defined range, with repeated rejections from the upper resistance zone and strong reactions from the support below. Price continues to respect both ends of the structure, suggesting that liquidity is being built up on both sides. Until a clear breakout occurs, we should expect more range-bound movement with sharp rejections near the boundaries.
Support Zone and Liquidity Engineering
The support zone beneath current price action has already held several times, showing clear buying interest. However, the lows around this area remain relatively clean. A sweep of those lows would not only engineer sell-side liquidity but also set the stage for a reversal if buyers step back in. This would align well with typical accumulation behavior seen during consolidation phases.
Rejections from Resistance and FVG Influence
Price has shown multiple rejections from the resistance zone, particularly inside the fair value gap that sits just above it. This confirms that the area is actively defended and will likely be the next upside target if price manages to bounce from support. The FVG itself acts as a magnet once price begins to trend again, especially if a strong displacement follows a sweep.
Expected Flow and Trade Opportunity
The anticipated scenario involves price dipping back into support, possibly sweeping the lows for inducement, and then bouncing with a shift in short-term structure. If that happens, we can expect a move back toward resistance, completing another rotation within the range. The sweep would offer an added layer of confirmation, giving a stronger reason to look for long setups.
Invalidation and Risk Perspective
If support fails to hold and price breaks beneath the range without immediate recovery, that would invalidate the bullish view and point to a potential shift in directional bias. As long as price stays inside the current consolidation, however, this remains a waiting game for either a clean reaction from support or a sweep followed by structure shift.
Conclusion
Bitcoin remains locked in a clear range, and until the breakout happens, the edges of that range offer the best trading opportunities. A sweep of the lows would act as a high-probability signal for a reversal back to the highs. Patience is key, wait for the sweep and confirmation before committing to the upside.
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to identify BPRs on Brent Oil FuturesI am not good at the ICT price action style. So I got 2 questions for traders that know this well.
1. Did i draw the correct BPRs? I use both bars and volume profile to filter FVGs
2. Do you only use BPRs to do after break trend following or position closing, or you can actually use them in resistance reversal entry?
Need your help and advice mates.
Bitcoin - Triangle pattern consolidation!The Bitcoin price action is currently coiling within a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart, as illustrated in the chart provided. After a significant bullish move earlier this month, BTC has now entered a phase of consolidation, marked by a series of lower highs and higher lows. This has formed a triangle pattern, suggesting an imminent breakout as price nears the apex. The upper boundary of the triangle acts as dynamic resistance, while the rising lower trendline provides firm support. Given the preceding upward momentum leading into this consolidation, the bias slightly favors a breakout to the upside, though the market can always surprise.
Bullish Scenario
In the bullish case, Bitcoin would need to break convincingly above the descending resistance trendline. Should that occur, the next key level to watch lies within the 4-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $120,500 and $121,400. This region represents an area of inefficiency where price moved rapidly in the past, and it is likely to attract selling pressure again. Bulls would ideally aim to reclaim this zone with strong momentum and potentially use it as support in a retest scenario. A successful retest of the triangle’s upper boundary could also trigger a liquidity grab above recent highs, particularly above the all-time high levels.
Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, a bearish breakout would involve BTC breaking below the ascending support trendline. If this happens, the most probable downside target would be the CME gap left behind from two weekends ago, located between $114,300 and $115,500. This price gap occurred due to the discrepancy between Friday’s closing price and Sunday’s opening price on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, often a magnet for price reversion. After this gap is filled, it is possible that BTC sees a short-term bounce to retest the triangle from below, before potentially continuing lower to address further imbalances in price action.
How to Confirm a Valid Breakout
Trading triangle patterns can be deceptive, as BTC often exhibits false breakouts designed to trap traders on the wrong side. To confirm a valid breakout, it's crucial to observe at least a few 4-hour candles closing decisively above or below the triangle boundaries. Additionally, breakout strength should be accompanied by a noticeable increase in volume. A breakout without volume confirmation is often a sign of a fake move, and entering trades under such conditions can be highly risky.
Final Thoughts
BTC is currently consolidating within this symmetrical triangle formation, signaling a period of indecision and potential volatility ahead. While both bullish and bearish scenarios are plausible, it is essential to wait for clear confirmation before committing to a position. Patience and discipline are key, especially when navigating patterns prone to fake-outs. For now, remaining on the sidelines until a confirmed breakout occurs may be the most prudent strategy.
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EURAUD: Waiting for the FVG Tap and Confirmation to ShortPrice ran previous liquidity and dropped aggressively, creating a clean FVG.
I’m now watching for price to retrace into that imbalance and form a strong bearish candle. If it does, I’ll be looking to short down
Clean structure. Just waiting for confirmation.
The Layout tool that Changed the Game for MeTradingView’s layout tool has really helped me stay focused. Using the 1-hour on the left and the 4-hour on the right gave me clarity. The 1H showed many Fair Value Gaps, but it was hard to know which one to trust.
The 4H chart made it easier. It showed one clean FVG lining up with the 50 to 61.8 Fib zone. That is the area I will wait for.
If price returns to that zone and I see a clear bearish confirmation candle, I will take the trade with confidence.
This layout tool has improved my analysis. I will make a short video soon to show how I use it. Big thanks to TradingView for building tools that make trading simpler and smarter.
GBPAUD: Liquidity Grab and Fair Value Gap RejectionPrice recently swept liquidity above a key level, grabbing stops resting above that range. Following that, it quickly reversed and left behind a clean Fair Value Gap , suggesting a possible shift in intent.
We are now watching price retrace into the FVG zone. If price reacts from there with a strong bearish confirmation candle like a bearish engulfing or another sign of rejection, we could see a continuation move lower. Our short-term target would be the previous day’s low.
This setup reflects how important it is to wait for confirmation and not chase the first reaction. Let price come to you and show its hand. Patience leads to clarity and better entries.
A trade without confirmation is just a guess. A trade with structure, confluence, and patience is a plan. Stay sharp.
NZDCAD: Patience Before the PushNZDCAD on the 1H chart just completed a clean liquidity sweep below the previous day’s low. That long wick aggressively took out resting sell stops before price sharply reversed.
We’ve now seen a break of structure to the upside, showing a possible shift in market direction. Price is currently pulling back toward two visible imbalance zones (iFVGs), both sitting just below the previous day’s low.
If price trades into these iFVGs and gives us a clear bullish confirmation like a bullish engulfing candle, a rejection wick, or a strong break of structure on lower timeframes, we could look for continuation toward the liquidity above the highs.
📌 Key Levels
• Liquidity sweep below PDL
• Bullish break of structure
• iFVGs aligning as potential entry zones
• Final target: liquidity resting near 0.81900
🧠 Psychology Tip
The best trades don’t need to be forced. Wait for confirmation. A setup without a signal is just a theory. Protect your capital, trade your plan, and trust the process.
Bitcoin – Breakout Coming, But May Be a TrapBitcoin is trading within a well-defined bullish pennant structure on the 1H chart, with clear compression between a rising support and descending resistance. This pattern typically signals a continuation of the prior trend, but given the surrounding liquidity and recent FVG formation, the setup looks more nuanced. After a liquidity sweep earlier this session, price has rebounded and is currently respecting a newly formed 1H fair value gap within the pennant range.
Pennant Structure and Price Reaction
The consolidation is tight and clean, with buyers stepping in off the ascending trendline support. This area overlaps with a small FVG that has so far held as intraday support, suggesting active demand. Until this gap is violated, the structure remains intact and favors a breakout play to the upside. However, with a larger unmitigated FVG sitting just under 121,000 and a previous swing high forming a strong liquidity pool, the upside might be limited.
Buy Side Liquidity and Reversal Area
If price can push above the descending trendline, the next logical target is the buy side liquidity sitting around 120,800 to 121,200. That zone is also where sellers may step in, given it aligns with prior inefficiency and a probable stop hunt level. This makes it a high-probability reversal area. I expect price to take out that buy side before we get a meaningful shift lower again.
Displacement and FVG Reactions
Any clean displacement toward the upside, particularly into the 121k range, will be key to watch for rejection signs. Should we see rejection or an SFP at the liquidity zone, that would likely confirm the short-term top. At that point, I’d expect a return into the pennant or even a sweep of the trendline support again, setting up a deeper retracement.
Short-Term Expectations
In the immediate term, as long as price holds above the current FVG and trendline confluence, I expect Bitcoin to slowly grind higher and break out of the pennant. The objective is the liquidity above 120,800. Once that’s taken, I’ll be watching closely for signs of exhaustion or reversal patterns to get positioned short again.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is compressing within a bullish pennant and currently holding a fair value gap, suggesting bullish continuation in the short term. However, the real play may come after a sweep of the buy side liquidity near 121k, where I expect a bearish rejection and opportunity for downside positioning. The market structure remains neutral to bullish until that liquidity is tagged.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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ENA — Range Deviation & Reclaim: LTF Long Setup
ENA traded in a tight LTF range, then deviated below support, forming a sweep/liquidity grab.
Price quickly reclaimed the range low and retested the FVG (Fair Value Gap) below the range.
This reclaim/flip is a classic bullish reversal setup after a sweep.
Entry on the retest of FVG and previous support, targeting a move back to mid-range and then range highs.
Invalidation below the deviation low (stop).
Price action shows a textbook range deviation and reclaim setup. ENA swept liquidity below the range, trapped shorts, and reclaimed support, forming a bullish reversal signal. The retest of the FVG provided a high-probability entry for a move back to the range highs. This play relies on the principle that deviation and reclaim below a range often leads to a reversal as trapped sellers are forced to cover.
BITCOIN current and past FAIR VALUE GAPS -Watch for the future ?An explanation of what a FAIR VALUE GAP ( FVG) is at the end of this post.
The stand out for me here is simply how almost EVERY Fair Value Gap ( FVG) gets filled in every cycle. There are very few FVG from the 2017 to 2021 ctcle and only one from 2013 to 2017.
The question I now pose to myself is what will happen this time ? Because things are very different.
The potential for a return to the 50K area is Very real should we go back into a BEAR.
But to enter a Bear, we need the corporations to sell up..
Will they ?
We have to wait and see
Fair Value Gap
A fair value gap (FVG) is a price range on a chart where an imbalance exists between buyers and sellers, often resulting from sudden and strong price movements that leave a void where little or no trading took place.
These gaps occur when there is a significant difference between buy and sell orders, indicating an imbalance that can influence market prices.
Traders use FVGs to identify market imbalances and inefficiencies, which can present potential trading opportunities.
Definition: A fair value gap is a price range on a chart where an imbalance exists between buyers and sellers, often resulting from sudden and strong price movements that leave a void where little or no trading took place.
Formation: FVGs occur when buying or selling pressure leads to significant price movements, leaving behind gaps on price charts. These gaps can be identified through technical analysis involving the analysis of candlestick patterns and price chart patterns.
Types: Traders can categorize FVGs into two types: Undervalued FVGs, where prices are lower than fair value, and Overrated FVGs, where prices are higher.
Identification: FVGs are typically identified through a three-candle pattern on a price chart. The first and third candles serve as barriers, while the middle candle is the largest, creating a gap between the wicks of the first and third candles.
Trading Strategy: The fair value gap trading strategy involves identifying price gaps, waiting for the price to return to the gap, and executing trades based on the expectation that the price will resume its original trend. This approach requires a disciplined risk management plan.
EURUSD - Parallel channel in play!The following chart offers a closer look at the current structure of the EUR/USD pair on the 4-hour timeframe. Price action has been respecting a well-defined bearish parallel channel, which has provided clear boundaries for both resistance and support. Based on the ongoing reaction to these levels, we outline both bullish and bearish scenarios that could unfold in the coming sessions.
Bearish Parallel Channel
Since June 30, EUR/USD has been consistently moving within a downward-sloping bearish parallel channel. Each attempt to break above the upper boundary of the channel has been rejected, while the lower boundary continues to act as dynamic support. This sustained rejection from the upper trendline confirms the strength of the bearish momentum currently at play. The pair remains structurally weak unless a clean breakout to the upside occurs, accompanied by strong bullish confirmation.
Bullish Scenario
A potential bullish reversal could materialize if EUR/USD manages to hold above the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) located between 1.1620 and 1.1600. This zone may provide the necessary support for the bulls to step in. If the price maintains strength within or just above this FVG and buyers begin to show dominance, a rebound toward the upper boundary of the channel could occur. A successful breakout above the channel could then trigger a stronger rally, possibly targeting the 1.1750–1.1800 region, marking a clear shift in short-term momentum.
Bearish Scenario
Conversely, if the pair fails to hold the 4-hour FVG between 1.1620 and 1.1600 and closes a strong bearish 4-hour candle below this zone, the market may be setting up for further downside. This would suggest a rejection of the FVG as resistance and open the path for a drop toward the lower end of the channel. Interestingly, this area also aligns with a previously established larger 4-hour FVG. A move into this deeper FVG could present a more favorable zone for a longer-term bullish reversal, as it offers a stronger liquidity pool and potential demand area.
Final Thoughts
The EUR/USD pair is at a critical juncture. Price is hovering near a key support zone within a bearish channel that has defined its movement for several weeks. Whether bulls can hold this support and break above the channel, or bears take control and push it lower toward the broader 4-hour FVG, will determine the next major directional move. Traders should closely monitor price action around the 1.1620–1.1600 level for clues on the likely breakout direction.
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BNB LongI see a buy zone around 735 just after a significant FVG, and moreover, given the overall bullish strength of BNB, the pullback to happen next won't be a deep pullback but rather a light one. Confirming with the Fib retracement tool that zone sits well at the 38% pull back level, which is a good sign of a light bull back to continue the bullish move
GOLD ( XAUUSD ): Watching For A Short Term Buy ConfirmationIn this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of July 21-25th
Gold has been in consolidation for a couple of weeks now. The price action hasn't allowed for very many FVGs... until last week. There is a +FVG I am keeping an eye on, as it will be very telling how price reacts to it upon contacting this POI.
If it holds, higher prices will ensue.
If it fails, to the lows of the consolidation we go.
We'll soon see how it plays out.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
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All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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ETH — Rally Exhaustion or More Upside?ETH has been on an absolute tear. After retesting its old 2018 all-time high, it marked a bottom at $1383 — a brutal -66% correction over 114 days from the $4109 top.
From there, ETH ripped +100% in just one month, followed by 40 days of consolidation, and now, over the past 28 days, it’s surged another +76%, currently trading around $3715 — all without any major correction.
So the big question:
What’s next? Are we near a short setup, or is it time to long?
Let’s break it down.
🧩 Key Technicals
➡️ Bounce Zone:
On June 22, ETH retested the 0.5 fib ($2131.63) of the prior 5-wave Elliott impulse, with extra confluence from:
Anchored VWAP
Speed fan 0.618
➡️ Key Highs to Watch:
$3746 → recent local high
$4109 → 2021 all-time high
➡️ Fib Retracement Levels:
ETH has smashed through all major fibs, including the golden pocket (0.618–0.65) and 0.786 fib. The 0.886 fib at $3798.27 is the last major resistance, just above the $3746 key high.
At this zone, we also have:
Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Monthly Resistance
Negative Fib Extension Golden Pocket Target
➡️ Momentum Signal:
ETH is currently on its 8th consecutive bullish daily candle — historically, after 8–13 consecutive candles, price tends to cool off or correct. A sign to be cautious about longing here and consider profit-taking.
🔴 Short Trade Setup
Look for a potential SFP (swing failure pattern) at the key high $3746 to initiate a short trade.
This offers a low-risk setup with:
Entry: around $3746 (if SFP confirms)
Target (TP): ~$3300
Stop-loss: above SFP
R:R ≈ 1:4+
💡 Educational Insight: Why You Don’t Want to Long the Top
Markets often trap late longers near key highs or resistance zones — this is where smart money distributes while retail piles in emotionally.
Lesson: Look for zones of confluence (fib, VWAP, liquidity, FVG) and avoid chasing extended moves after multiple bullish candles.
Patience and confirmation at reversal points lead to higher-probability setups — you don’t need to catch every pump.
Final Thoughts
We’re approaching major highs, so this is a time for caution, not FOMO. Watch for reaction and potential reversals near $3750–$3850.
Stay sharp, manage risk — and remember, tops are where longs get trapped.
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SUIUSD Liquidity Trap in Motion: Price Targeting Deeper Pools🧠 Market Structure Insight (SMC Framework)
🔍 1. Break of Structure (BOS):
The most recent BOS around the $3.95 level marked a bull trap, indicating a transition from bullish momentum to a distribution phase. This suggests institutional players offloaded liquidity at premium prices before initiating a markdown.
🕳️ 2. FVG (Fair Value Gap):
A visible Fair Value Gap (Imbalance) remains unmitigated above the current price action. This zone acted as a supply area, where price sharply moved down, leaving inefficiency in its trail—now serving as a potential point of rejection if revisited.
📌 Liquidity Zones:
Upper Liquidity Cleared: Price has swept highs before reversal (a sign of engineered liquidity grab).
Double Liquidity Pools Below:
First pool: Around $3.55 - $3.60
Second pool: Deep liquidity around $3.30 - $3.35
These levels are highly attractive for Smart Money to target next, suggesting continuation to the downside.
📉 Current Price Behavior:
Market is consolidating in a tight range just below FVG, signaling potential re-accumulation of sell orders.
The chart pattern suggests a potential lower high forming, likely to precede a bearish leg towards liquidity zones.
Bollinger Bands show compression, hinting at volatility expansion soon.
🎯 Trade Outlook (Not Financial Advice):
🔻 Bearish Bias:
Unless price breaks above the FVG zone with strong bullish momentum, the probability favors a bearish continuation targeting:
1st Target: ~$3.55
2nd Target (Deeper liquidity grab): ~$3.30
A rejection from FVG followed by a BOS to the downside would serve as confirmation for this bias.
📚 Educational Takeaway:
This chart is a clean illustration of Smart Money Concepts in play:
BOS > FVG > Liquidity Sweep
Price respects institutional footprints: grab liquidity, fill imbalances, then drive toward untouched liquidity zones.
Recognize market intent through structure shifts and imbalance reaction.
7/21/25 ((NAS100)) analysisPrice is definitely going up
may come down to quickly tap the daily FVG first
perhaps in the beginning of the week
---Monday/Tuesday style but not married to that Idea
could also come back to hit that volume weekly line thing
I just decided to implement lol who knows
anyways I plan to be in BUYS all week long BABYYY
Bitcoin - Bearflag Structure Taking ShapeBitcoin is showing signs of weakness after a clean rejection from a 4H fair value gap, where price also swept the previous swing high. This aligns well with a broader bearish context as the market failed to sustain above the upper bounds of the trend channel, indicating potential exhaustion of the bullish correction.
Rejection Zone and Fair Value Gap
The rejection took place precisely within a 4H imbalance, adding confluence to the idea that this was a premium retracement in a bearish leg. The high formed inside that zone has now been swept, setting up conditions for distribution. A smaller 1H fair value gap was also left behind during the displacement move down, creating a clean area for price to return to and potentially react from.
Channel Structure and Bearflag Formation
Structurally, price has been climbing in a rising channel that resembles a bearflag pattern. The recent market structure shift broke the channel low, confirming that the rising structure is likely corrective. The rejection from the top of the flag and the subsequent breakdown align with a typical bearflag setup, suggesting a continuation move to the downside.
Short-Term Retracement Expectation
Before the next leg down, price may retrace to fill the unmitigated fair value gap while possibly sweeping the minor swing high that caused the current drop. This retracement would offer a premium shorting opportunity in alignment with the bearish bias, especially if internal structure remains weak on the lower timeframes during the return to the FVG.
Draw on Liquidity and Price Objective
The main objective for this setup is a sweep of the last equal lows near 115950, which represents a strong draw on liquidity. If the bearflag setup plays out fully, this area is highly vulnerable and could be the next significant target once the FVG is filled and lower timeframe distribution confirms.
Conclusion
Price has rejected from a 4H imbalance and swept liquidity to the upside, forming a clean bearflag structure. As long as price remains below the recent high and fills the 1H FVG without invalidating the shift, the path of least resistance looks to be down toward the liquidity resting below 115950. I’ll be watching for signs of weakness during the return to the FVG for a potential short trigger.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZD/USD Technical Analysis | Smart Money Perspective🧠 NZD/USD Technical Analysis | Smart Money Perspective
On the current NZD/USD chart, price is trading around 0.5960, positioned between a clearly defined resistance zone (0.6130–0.6150) and a support zone (0.5890–0.5900).
We can observe the following key technical elements:
🔹 1. Liquidity Sweep
Price recently broke below the previous swing low near 0.5900, tapping into a pool of sell-side liquidity. This movement is commonly interpreted as a liquidity grab, where institutions manipulate price to trigger retail stop losses before reversing.
🔹 2. Double Bottom Formation
The chart indicates a potential double bottom forming at the support level — a classic accumulation signal. This pattern suggests buyers may be stepping in after liquidity has been taken out, anticipating a reversal.
🔹 3. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
An FVG (imbalance) is visible in the range of 0.5985 to 0.6015. This inefficiency was created by a sharp bearish move, leaving price action unbalanced. Price is now expected to retrace into this area to rebalance orders — a common smart money behavior.
🔹 4. Market Structure Outlook
If the double bottom confirms with a bullish break of structure above 0.5980, we could expect a continuation toward:
First Target: FVG zone around 0.6015
Second Target: Major resistance near 0.6150, where past distribution occurred.
✅ Conclusion
This setup combines key smart money concepts:
Liquidity grab below support
Accumulation phase at demand
FVG as target
Potential bullish market structure shift
Traders should monitor price action around the support zone for confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or break of short-term highs) before entering long positions. Targets remain at the FVG and resistance zones, but risk management is essential in case of a deeper sweep or macroeconomic catalyst.
USDT.D — 1W FVG Test & RSI Bull Div | Caution for RiskUSDT Dominance is testing a major 1W FVG support area while developing bullish divergences on the 4H RSI. Although a short-term bounce and market correction are likely, the overall bullish trend in BTC means a sharp reversal is not guaranteed. Risk management is a priority here — no high-risk positions until the RSI resets and market context is clearer.
1W FVG support + 4H RSI bull div
Bounce likely = correction on risk assets
RSI needs reset to 50 before reassessing
If lost — risk-off, possible slice down
Reasoning: Support + momentum, but trend is bullish — not risking gains here
$Eth Faces Double Top Resistance with Bearish RSI DivergenceETH/USDT | 4H Analysis
Ethereum is currently showing signs of weakness on the 4H chart, forming a potential double top pattern around the $3,700-$3,680 range.
Adding to this, the RSI is exhibiting bearish divergence, suggesting that bullish momentum is fading. There's a visible liquidity gap between $3,200–$3,180, which might act as a magnet in the short term. A retest of this zone is likely before ETH attempts to resume its upward move.
Key Observations:
🟠 Double top structure on 4H chart
🔻 Bearish RSI divergence
🕳️ Favorable gap: $3,200 – $3,180
🔁 Watch for price reaction after retest
⚠️ If ETH holds the $3,180 support after filling the gap, a bullish bounce toward higher levels could follow.
📌 This idea is for educational purposes. Trade wisely with proper risk management.
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – July 17-18, 2025Hello traders!
After yesterday’s high-volatility trap and NY session recovery, we now stand at a major structural junction. Buyers reclaimed 3310–3314 with precision, but price is pressing into multi-timeframe supply. Let’s break it down clearly
🔸 HTF Bias
Daily Bias: Bullish correction inside a larger range. Demand at 3310–3305 was swept and respected, but supply at 3347–3360 caps upside.
H4 Bias: Bullish flow into supply. Structure printed clean HLs from 3295–3310. However, current zone is full of short-term profit-taking risk.
H1 Bias: Bullish short-term trend. Price built higher lows from 3310, but now sits at 3340–3347 — reactive zone where momentum could fade if no breakout.
🔸 Key Structural Zones (with role)
🔺 Supply Zones (Above Price):
3347–3360 (D1/H4/H1 Supply)
🔹 Multi-timeframe confluence
🔹 Previous reaction + NY trap zone
🔹 Expect heavy rejection or false breakout wicks
3366–3385 (D1 Supply)
🔹 Final liquidity shelf for buyers
🔹 Only valid if 3347 breaks clean
🔹 Longs must wait for confirmation after breakout
⚔️ Decision Zones (Middle):
3335–3328 (Intraday Flip Zone)
🔹 M15-M30 structure control
🔹 Buyers can reload here on clean bounce
🔹 If price closes below, opens door for bearish momentum
🔻 Demand Zones (Below Price):
3314–3310 (H1/H4 Demand – Key Buy Area)
🔹 Institutional demand origin
🔹 Price tapped, swept, and reclaimed
🔹 Ideal sniper buys only on retest with bullish M15 BOS
3305–3295 (Deep Reversal Demand)
🔹 Extreme discount
🔹 Valid only if 3310 fails
🔹 High RR buys if liquidity sweep appears
🔸 Sniper Battle Plan 🎯
Scenario 1 – Fade from 3347–3360:
🔹 If rejection signs (M15 FVG + RSI divergence), short toward 3335, 3314
🔹 Only enter if NY open confirms exhaustion
Scenario 2 – Pullback to 3335–3328:
🔹 Ideal quick buys on bounce with confirmation
🔹 Watch for BOS on LTF for sniper entry
Today’s zones require real discipline: no rush, no panic — just clear steps, sharp entries, and clean rejections or retests. You already saw what 3310–3305 reacted. The next move? You plan it. You take it. You own it.
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EURUSD – Bearish Rhythm ContinuesEURUSD is currently moving within a well-defined descending channel on the 4H timeframe, maintaining a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows. This confirms that bearish order flow remains intact, especially after the recent rejection from the upper boundary of the channel. The previous move up was largely a liquidity grab, taking out short-term highs before swiftly reversing, which adds confluence to a continuation lower.
Liquidity and Imbalance Zones
After sweeping some upside liquidity near 1.1670, price left behind a clean set of equal lows and an unmitigated fair value gap (FVG) sitting below, acting as a magnet. The purple zone marks this FVG, which is likely to be the next area of interest for price as it aligns with the midpoint of the channel and previous demand. Below that, there’s also a clear support region with resting liquidity, giving price a solid reason to reach deeper before reversing.
Projected Path and Channel Dynamics
As long as we remain inside the current bearish channel, we should expect price to respect the internal structure and continue pushing lower. The expectation is for price to trickle down through lower highs and lower lows, tapping into the FVG and potentially sweeping the lows beneath it. The projected internal path mimics this staircase-style movement down before any potential reversal can happen.
Reversal Zone and Bullish Scenario
If price does sweep the lows around 1.1450 and fills the imbalance cleanly, this would create ideal conditions for a bullish reversal. A reaction from this zone could lead to a break of the channel structure, initiating a shift in market sentiment. The upside target, in that case, would be the clean area around 1.1700 where previous liquidity was removed but not yet retested.
Short-Term Expectation
In the short term, the path of least resistance remains bearish. The most probable scenario is a continuation down into the FVG and potential liquidity sweep before we see any meaningful upside. Any premature breakout from the channel without first collecting this liquidity would be viewed as a weak move lacking proper fuel.
Conclusion
EURUSD remains technically bearish while inside the descending channel. Liquidity has been taken on the upside, and the path is now open to target unmitigated imbalances and resting lows. A full sweep into the FVG area could provide the setup for a clean reversal, but until then, trend continuation is favored.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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