Bitcoin - V-shape recovery down towards the 4h FVG at $111.000?The move began with a strong rally that peaked near the $123,000 level. After hitting that high, Bitcoin quickly reversed and sold off aggressively, forming a classic V-shaped pattern. This type of formation typically indicates a strong shift in momentum, where bullish control is quickly overtaken by sellers, leading to swift downward movement.
4H bearish FVG
Shortly after the initial drop, Bitcoin made a retest of the bearish 4H FVG (Fair Value Gap) around the $119,000 to $120,500 zone. This fair value gap was created during the sharp move down and represented an area of inefficiency in price. The chart shows that price moved back into this zone and was “perfectly retested,” getting rejected almost immediately. This rejection confirmed that sellers are respecting this imbalance, turning it into a short-term resistance level.
Market structure
As the price failed to reclaim the fair value gap and continued lower, it broke the market structure at around $117,000. This break suggests that the previous higher low was taken out, signaling a bearish shift in the intermediate trend. The market structure break often acts as confirmation that buyers are losing control and lower prices are likely.
CME gap
Adding to the downside pressure is the CME gap, labeled as the "BTC CME GAP" on the chart. This gap spans from roughly $114,000 to $116,300 and was formed over the weekend when the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) was closed. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to "fill" these gaps by revisiting the price levels within them. The current price action has already started to dip into this region, which could suggest further downside to complete the gap fill.
Bullish 4H FVG with support
Finally, the chart hints at the potential drop to the lowest 4H FVG and previous resistance, located just above $111,000. This fair value gap aligns closely with a prior resistance level from earlier in the month, making it a logical magnet for price if selling pressure persists. It represents a confluence zone where buyers may look to step in again, especially if the CME gap is filled and the market is searching for support.
Conclusion
In summary, Bitcoin is showing bearish technical signs following a V-shape top and a strong rejection from the 4H FVG at $120,000. The break of market structure and ongoing fill of the CME gap suggest that further downside toward the $111,000 level is a strong possibility. Traders should watch closely for price reaction in that lower fair value gap zone, as it could serve as a critical area for a potential bounce.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Fvg
Bitcoin - Liquidity sweep before the next move!Weekend Consolidation
During weekends, Bitcoin often moves sideways as institutional players step back and retail traders prepare for the next move. During this consolidation phase between $117.000 and $119.000, liquidity builds up on both sides—sell-side liquidity below the range and buy-side liquidity above it. After these weekend consolidations, Bitcoin typically sweeps one side of liquidity before continuing in the opposite direction.
Manipulation Above the Buy-Side Liquidity
A significant amount of liquidity has formed just above the all-time high, right below the $120,000 level. Retail traders are positioning for a potential downward move, making this area a prime target for a liquidity sweep. This aligns perfectly with the psychological barrier of $120,000, a level where many traders are likely to take profits.
Manipulation Below the Sell-Side Liquidity
Over the weekend, traders are entering both long and short positions while placing stop-loss orders just below recent lows. This behavior creates a buildup of liquidity underneath the range. Bitcoin could dip below these lows to stop out retail traders before reversing to higher levels.
4-Hour Unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG)
If Bitcoin sweeps the all-time high and enters a distribution phase, there’s a strong chance it will retrace to fill the unfilled Fair Value Gap on the 4-hour chart at $113.000 - $111.000. This imbalance was created during a sharp move up, leaving behind unfilled orders. Such levels often get revisited as price action seeks to rebalance.
How to Execute This Trade
Wait for Bitcoin to sweep either the low or the high of the weekend range. Avoid entering the market immediately after the sweep. Instead, wait for confirmation that price is returning back inside the range, signaling a clean sweep. On lower timeframes, such as the 5-minute chart, you can look for entry models like an inverse Fair Value Gap to refine your entry.
Final Thoughts
At this point, it’s unclear which direction Bitcoin will take next. The best approach is to wait for a clear liquidity sweep and signs of a reversal before entering any trades. That said, there’s a possibility we may first move up to test and claim the $120,000 psychological level before revisiting and filling the lower 4-hour imbalance zones.
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$BTC Rejection at 119K | Eyes on 112K Retest as RSI Cools DownBitcoin faces strong rejection near the $119K resistance zone, showing signs of a cooling market as the RSI exits the overbought territory. Historically, BTC tends to revisit key structural levels after such overheated moves. A favorable re-test zone lies between $114K and $112K, with $112K aligning closely with the previous all-time high — a psychologically significant support area.
Support levels to watch: $112K (favorable retest) and $110K (strong base).
As RSI continues to cool, keep an eye on bullish reactions around these levels for potential entries.
Bitcoin : Missed $100K? Don’t Miss What’s Coming Next!!MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN BINANCE:BTCUSDT continues to show exceptional strength and strong bullish momentum. When we look back at the charts from 2023 and 2024, a clear and reliable pattern stands out. Each time Bitcoin touched the 50 EMA on the weekly chart, it triggered a significant rally that led to new all-time highs. That same setup appears to be forming once again.
MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN tested the 50-week EMA around the $75,000 level and has since bounced with conviction. The price has reclaimed the $100,000 mark and is now challenging previous all-time high resistance. Historically, a successful bounce from this key moving average has not only signaled recovery but also sparked explosive upside moves.
Following this repeating pattern, the current cycle target is positioned at $150,000. A clean breakout above the current resistance zone could act as the trigger that launches Bitcoin into uncharted territory. The technical structure remains bullish, momentum is clearly accelerating, and the overall trend continues to favor the upside.
This moment represents a textbook Buy and HODL opportunity. Technical indicators are aligning, market sentiment is turning increasingly optimistic, and all signs suggest that Bitcoin could be preparing for another historic rally. Stay ready for what could be the next big move.
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Bitcoin – Rejection Confirms Trap, Next Stop: $107kBitcoin attempted to take out the swing high around 110.5k but failed to clear the previous all-time high, resulting in a sharp rejection. This failure marks a significant turning point, suggesting a lack of bullish momentum at premium levels. The rejection came after a sweep of equal highs within a well-defined resistance zone, indicating a potential liquidity grab.
Highs Swept, But No Breakout
After dropping into support around the 107.5k region, price managed to push up and form a new swing high, but once again met heavy selling pressure after sweeping the prior equal highs. That sweep and the subsequent rejection give this structure the character of a classic liquidity trap, where smart money runs the highs only to reverse.
Weak Lows Below
The support zone has now been tapped multiple times, and the most recent low is structurally weak. It failed to produce a higher high, which makes it vulnerable to a clean stop hunt. Given this context, these lows are likely to be targeted next, as price seeks out sell-side liquidity resting beneath.
Expected Path Forward
I’m expecting further downside to unfold from here. The rejection from resistance, paired with the weak internal structure, suggests Bitcoin will take out the weak lows near 107.5k. Once those lows are swept, I expect a bullish reaction from the same demand zone, setting up a potential long opportunity back into the 109k–110k area. The plan is to look for signs of a reversal after the sweep, such as a 5M market structure shift or a fair value gap entry setup.
Liquidity Map and Trade Plan
The current price action is best viewed through the lens of liquidity. The highs were engineered to trap breakout buyers and then rejected. Now, the weak lows offer the next logical draw on liquidity. My focus is on short-term downside targeting that 107.2k–107.5k support region, followed by a potential bullish reversal setup once that liquidity is cleared.
Conclusion
This is a clean example of a failed breakout, followed by engineered liquidity moves in both directions. As long as price respects the current structure, my bias remains short into the weak lows, followed by a high-probability long setup once those lows are swept and the market shifts.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bitcoin - Liquidity grab at $111.000?This 4-hour BTCUSD chart illustrates a potential short-term bullish continuation scenario followed by a deeper retracement, highlighting key liquidity levels and an important Fair Value Gap (FVG) support zone.
Liquidity sweep
At the top of the current price action, just above the $110,612.16 level, there is a clear area of resting liquidity. This zone has likely accumulated a significant number of stop-loss orders from traders who are shorting the market or who went long earlier and are protecting profits below previous highs. The market tends to seek liquidity to fill institutional orders, making this zone a high-probability target for a sweep. As a result, price is likely to take out these resting stop orders in a quick upward move, often referred to as a "liquidity grab" or "stop hunt", before potentially reversing or consolidating.
Bullish 4H FVG
Following this liquidity sweep, the chart suggests a retracement into a bullish 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) located around the $106,600 to $107,400 region. This imbalance zone was formed during an impulsive move up, leaving behind a gap between the wicks of consecutive candles. Such gaps represent areas where demand previously overwhelmed supply, and they often act as strong support on a retest. If price revisits this zone, it is expected to offer support and could serve as a base for another upward push, assuming bullish momentum remains intact.
Downside risk
However, if the bullish FVG fails to hold as support and price breaks down through this imbalance zone, it would signal a weakening of bullish structure. In that case, the breakdown would likely lead to a deeper correction or even a trend reversal, with price seeking lower levels of support further down the chart. This would invalidate the short-term bullish scenario and suggest that sellers are gaining control, possibly triggering further liquidations and more aggressive selling pressure.
Conclusion
Overall, the chart is currently leaning bullish, anticipating a liquidity sweep to the upside followed by a potential pullback into the FVG. The reaction at the FVG will be critical in determining whether the market can continue higher or if it shifts into a deeper bearish correction.
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EURUSD - Compression Before Expansion? Key Reversal ZoneEURUSD is currently trading within a clear descending channel after rejecting a key resistance area. This move signals a shift in short-term sentiment, with bearish momentum guiding price action lower. The channel structure is intact, and as long as price respects this slope, lower levels remain in play.
Rejection From Resistance
After tapping into the major resistance zone, price failed to break higher and began forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming seller control. The rejection was clean and initiated the current bearish structure, which now serves as a roadmap for potential continuation lower.
Imbalance and Downside Targets
Below current price, there’s a visible imbalance that remains unfilled within the highlighted purple zone. This area acts as a magnet for price, especially if the bearish structure continues. A drop into this zone would align with a textbook move to fill inefficiency before a potential reversal can occur.
Support Structure and Liquidity Zone
There’s a strong support level marked just above the imbalance, which may offer a temporary reaction or even serve as a springboard for a reversal. This is also a likely liquidity pool, and a sweep of these lows could generate the fuel needed for a bullish move back toward mid-channel or even higher.
Projection and Scenarios
Price may either continue respecting the channel boundaries with stair-step retracements down into the imbalance, or break structure early with a more aggressive reversal once the inefficiency is filled. A deeper move into the purple zone followed by a reaction would suggest a potential shift in momentum.
Conclusion
The pair remains in a bearish corrective phase for now, with room to dip further into the unmitigated imbalance. Watch for how price reacts at support and whether a clean sweep and reversal setup presents itself. Until then, the channel remains the dominant structure guiding this move.
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Watch me trade NQ LIVE!This is a just a quick video showing what I look for in order to take a trade.
I entered a short on NQ minutes ago, looking for 2.44 RR!
Apologies for this rough cut video. It was spur of the moment, and I wanted to share with my followers and viewers!
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Bitcoin - Last move down, ready for ATH?Bitcoin is showing clear signs of a corrective move within a broader bullish structure. After forming a second consecutive lower high, price is now pressing downward, creating space for a potential liquidity grab and discount entry. Despite this short-term weakness, the macro narrative remains intact. The all-time high remains untapped above, holding a thick layer of liquidity that the market has yet to collect.
Liquidity and Fib Confluence
There is a visible equal low structure around the 107.8k area. This is a prime zone for a sweep, where smart money is likely to trigger sell stops before reversing. Below that lies a Fair Value Gap (FVG) extending into the 106.5k range. Within this same zone, we also have strong Fibonacci confluence, especially at the 0.786 level near 106.2k. This makes it a high-probability entry area if price delivers a clean displacement after the sweep.
Short-Term Bearish, Long-Term Bullish
The market is respecting a trendline drawn across the lower highs, giving the impression of sustained bearish control. However, this is likely a trap. Once the sell-side liquidity below the 107.8k low is taken and the imbalance around 106.5k is filled, price will be primed for a reversal. The true target lies much higher, with the all-time high around 110.5k as the main magnet.
FVG Fill and Reversal Mechanics
This entire drop is likely engineered to fill inefficiencies left behind earlier in the move up. The FVG acts not only as a magnet, but also a springboard for the next leg. Expecting price to show a reaction at the 0.786 level, where the order flow could shift and confirm a bullish reversal, is key here. Ideally, we see a clean sweep, a displacement, and a reclaim of previous structure before targeting higher levels.
Projection and Trade Setup
The anticipated sequence is a sweep of 107.8k, fill of the gap and fib zone down to 106.2k, then a potential reversal structure forming. If that structure confirms, the next major move should aim for the untouched all-time highs, where significant liquidity remains resting. Traders should remain patient and let the sweep and confirmation unfold before entering.
Conclusion
We are watching a classic setup where engineered downside movement is likely to create the conditions for a powerful reversal. As long as price respects the 106k zone and gives a strong reaction, the path toward the ATH remains wide open.
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XAUUSD Short term Long ideaGold is in bearish market structure currently for long term but we might have a very good chance taking long trades valid for this week only.
The 4H structure shows IFVG formed Monday which is a strong bullish signal to reach the liquidity above, Once we reach the liquidity I will be shifting my trades to bearish.
Gold – Is $3430 the Next Target After This Breakout?Gold recently completed a clean sweep of the 4H swing lows, taking out downside liquidity just before breaking out of a well-defined descending channel. This move marked a shift in momentum and structure, suggesting that the bearish leg may have concluded and the market is now transitioning into a more bullish phase.
Breakout Confirmation and Retest Zone
Following the breakout, price retraced and tapped directly into a confluence area where a fair value gap aligns with the upper boundary of the broken channel. This acted as a high-probability retest zone, and the reaction was strong. The market respected this structure perfectly, adding conviction to the breakout's validity.
Support and Resistance Dynamics
Currently, price is hovering between a nearby support level and a short-term resistance zone above. The support is holding firm after the retest, while the resistance is capping upward momentum for now. This is a healthy consolidation following the breakout, and it provides a clear structure for monitoring continuation.
Imbalance Target and Flow Outlook
Should the market gain enough strength to break through the overhead resistance, there is a large unmitigated imbalance further above that stands as a strong magnet. It represents a clean fair value gap left behind during the previous selloff and could be the next major draw if bullish momentum continues.
Overall Flow and Trade Logic
The sequence is very clean: sweep of liquidity, bullish breakout, efficient retest, and now consolidation above support. As long as price continues to form higher lows and respect the current structure, the probability of further upside remains favorable. Patience around the resistance area will be key for confirmation.
Conclusion
Gold is displaying a textbook reversal setup driven by liquidity and structure. If the current support continues to hold and buyers reclaim control above resistance, the path toward the upper imbalance becomes highly probable. The market is aligned for continuation, with bullish momentum building gradually.
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ZK — Trendline Break & FVG RetestHTF sweep + FVG retest + trendline break — clean R/R setup. Enter after confirmation, main target $0.0806, stop below $0.043.
1. Buy zone: $0.043–0.049 (FVG + trendline retest)
2. Enter after clean reclaim above trendline
3. Main target: $0.0806
4. Stop: below $0.043
If fails to reclaim — stay flat
EURUSD – Bearish Reversal Confirmed After Structural BreakEURUSD has shifted out of its bullish environment after a sustained rally inside a clean ascending channel. Price recently rejected a resistance zone that capped previous buying pressure and has now started to rotate downward. This marks the first serious challenge to the trend and sets the tone for a potential bearish phase.
Channel Breakdown and Price Behavior
The ascending channel had been respected for several sessions, guiding price upward with consistent higher highs and higher lows. The recent breakdown from this structure is significant, as it shows the market is no longer willing to support higher prices within that controlled environment. This type of breakout often signals a loss of momentum and increased volatility in the opposite direction.
Break of the Low and Shift in Structure
After breaking the channel, price also took out a major internal low, which had previously held during retracements. This is a key signal of a structural shift, confirming that the uptrend has been interrupted. When price breaks a low that buyers had been defending, it shows sellers have stepped in with conviction and are likely aiming lower targets.
Short-Term Target and Reaction Zone
The first area of interest sits just below current price where a support shelf and price inefficiencies line up. This zone, marked with the dollar sign symbol on the chart, may attract a short-term reaction. If buyers are still present, this is where they would likely try to step in. However, the rejection from resistance and the structural break suggest this level could eventually give way.
Imbalance Zone Below and Liquidity Target
If that support fails, the next high-probability draw is the large untested imbalance sitting further below. This zone has remained untouched since the rally began and represents unfinished business for the market. Price often seeks out these inefficiencies, especially after trend shifts, making it a natural target for sellers if momentum continues.
Conclusion
EURUSD is showing clear signs of bearish pressure after rejecting resistance, breaking structure, and leaving behind unmitigated downside targets. As long as we remain below the broken low, the path of least resistance points lower. The imbalance zone below remains the key destination unless the market shows signs of reversal higher.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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US100 - Reversal after liquidity sweep to target new highs?The chart presented shows a 1-hour analysis of the US100 (Nasdaq 100), illustrating a clean and structured price action narrative. Initially, we observe that the market swept liquidity at the lows, indicated by a sharp wick that pierced beneath the previous support levels. This type of liquidity sweep is common when smart money looks to grab stop-loss orders before reversing the trend.
Liquidity sweep to the downside
Following this liquidity sweep, price action aggressively moved upwards, breaking a lower high structure that had previously marked the bearish control of the market. This break of structure is a key bullish signal, suggesting a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish, and often signifies the beginning of a new upward leg.
1H FVG
An important element on this chart is the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), initially acting as a bearish imbalance. However, due to the strong bullish momentum, price not only reclaimed this level but did so decisively. As a result, this bearish FVG is now considered a bullish FVG, indicating that it may serve as a support zone on any short-term pullback.
Liquidity taken from the upside
After reclaiming the FVG and breaking structure, price surged further, taking out upside liquidity just above recent highs. This action typically leads to a short-term pullback, as profit-taking and new supply enter the market. The chart suggests that any retracement may find support at the 1H FVG, providing a potential entry point for bullish continuation.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the US100 demonstrated a textbook liquidity grab at the lows, followed by a break in bearish structure, a shift in momentum, and an inversion of a key FVG zone from bearish to bullish. The short-term upside liquidity has been cleared, and the next logical target is the high marked on the chart. Should the price respect the newly formed bullish FVG on any pullback, we can expect continuation toward that upper high, completing the bullish run.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold Setup for July 3th: Don’t Get Caught in the Liquidity Net🌙 Good evening, sniper — lock in, load up, and let’s dance with Thursday’s chaos 💣
🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Pulse
Thursday’s setup is not for amateurs:
🔸 Non-Farm Employment Change
🔸 Unemployment Rate
🔸 Initial Jobless Claims
🔸 ISM Services PMI
🔸 Factory Orders
Add to that:
• A Fed still talking tough on rates
• Geopolitical flare-ups in the Black Sea and Middle East
• Gold trading deep into premium…
💡 This is where markets hunt weak hands, then flip direction without mercy.
We don’t chase candles. We wait for exhaustion. Then we execute.
🎯 Bias Snapshot (D1 → H4 → H1)
• Daily closed bullish but deep into old CHoCH + OB
• H4 printed HHs, but structure now presses into stacked supply
• H1 shows momentum fading — RSI divergence + weakening push
📌 Core bias: Still bullish — but every pip above 3360 is loaded with risk.
If 3380 fails to break cleanly, expect rejection.
If it breaks — the market likely wants full liquidity above 3400.
🗺️ Battlefield Zones
🟢 Buy Zone #1 – 3310 to 3320
The sniper’s discount pullback: Fibo 38.2%, M30 OB, EMA 50, and clean imbalance.
Wait for news spike + bullish confirmation to go long.
🟢 Buy Zone #2 – 3285 to 3295
The deep reaction zone.
Fibo 61.8% + OB + gap. Enter only on violent wick and rejection — but RR is exceptional.
🟡 Flip Zone – 3334 to 3340
This is where momentum flips:
• Hold above = continuation toward premium
• Break below = bearish reversal unlocked
No entries here — this is your compass, not your trigger.
🔴 Sell Zone #1 – 3357 to 3366
Classic CHoCH retest. H1/H4 OB with layered liquidity.
If price rejects here on post-news spike — short it back toward the flip.
🔴 Sell Zone #2 – 3387 to 3395
Top-of-range sweep.
If gold blows through zone 1, this becomes liquidity trap central.
Wait for rejection wick + bearish PA confirmation.
🔴 Sell Zone #3 – 3410 to 3420
The final premium kill zone.
This is where the market finishes stop-hunting every breakout buyer.
Fibo extension 1.272–1.618 hits here. If we wick this zone and stall — sniper short back to 3380–3366.
⚔️ Execution Blueprint
Wait for news to trigger the chaos — early entries are a donation.
Short 3357–3366 on exhaustion → target flip zone.
If price overextends into 3387–3395, get ready for the reversal play.
Extreme spike to 3410–3420? That’s your killshot short — ride it back down.
If price retraces into 3310–3320, it’s your safe sniper long.
Panic into 3285–3295? Deep long entry, only with confirmation.
Watch the flip zone (3334–3340) — above = bullish bias holds; below = bears back in control.
🎯 No guesswork. No hope. Just precision. Wait, confirm, and strike.
💬 Let’s stay sharp tomorrow — market will offer clean setups, but patience and clarity are key.
If this plan helped, drop a comment or share your thoughts below.
👉 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper-entry plans crafted with precision.
Smash that🚀🚀🚀 if this plan sharpened your edge.
📝 You already know — we don’t guess, we execute. 🦅
Good night, snipers 💛
⚠️ Disclosure
I’m part of TradeNation’s Influencer Program and use their TradingView charts for analysis & educational content.
Gold is Ready For The Next Bullish Run- Taking a Long Trade HereAfter a series of bearish structures on 4Hour time frame, which is actually a bullish retracement on higher time frame, Gold has now broke the bearish structure with series of bullish candles which turned the trend from bearish to bullish trend.
After the bullish break of structure, Gold retrace into a fair value price level, formed a swing low plus a bullish price action which further confirmed the bullishness of Gold, which is were I took an entry for a buy long trade.
My target for this trade is for Gold to reach the price level of $3,436 which is a 5.36RR return.
I will be monitoring price and manage my trade accordingly as price move in my direction.
Bitcoin - Price struggles below resistance, correction to $104k?This 4-hour chart for BTC/USD illustrates a detailed technical analysis scenario highlighting key resistance and support zones, as well as a critical fair value gap (FVG). The chart shows that Bitcoin is currently facing strong resistance in the $108,000 to $109,000 range. This area has been tested multiple times without a successful breakout, indicating significant selling pressure. The price is currently trading just below this resistance zone, struggling to gain momentum above it.
Support zone in the consolidation
A clear support level has been marked in the recent consolidation area around $106,000. This zone has served as a short-term base during the recent upward movement, and a retest here could provide a temporary bounce or pause in bearish momentum. However, if this support fails to hold, the next major area of interest lies within the 4-hour bullish FVG between approximately $103,000 and $104,000.
4H FVG
There is a clear 4-hour bullish FVG between approximately $103.000 and $104.000. This level can act as a strong support for buyers after filling up the inbalance zone. it is highly important to hold this level as support and not to break below it.
Upside potential
On the upside, if BTC can defend the support in the consolidation zone and reclaim momentum, a push back to the $108,000 to $109,000 resistance area is probable. A successful breakout above this zone would invalidate the bearish scenario and may trigger a bullish continuation, with the potential to reach higher targets such as $111,000 or beyond.
Downside risk
The downside risk becomes more pronounced if BTC breaks below the 4H FVG. A sustained move beneath this level would likely signal weakness in buyer interest and potentially open the path to deeper downside targets. In such a scenario, the price could accelerate lower toward the psychological support level at $100,000. This round number also carries technical and emotional significance for traders, which could create both a strong support area and potential buying interest.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Bitcoin remains at a critical juncture. The key levels to watch are the support within the current consolidation and the 4H FVG imbalance zone. A breakdown below the FVG could lead to a decline toward $100,000, while holding above these levels keeps the door open for another test of resistance at $108,000 to $109,000. A breakout from there would indicate bullish strength and a shift in market sentiment. Traders should remain cautious and reactive to how price behaves around these critical areas.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bitcoin - Rejection From Major Resistance, Eyes on 103.8K SupporBitcoin is once again reacting to a major resistance zone around 108.8K, a level that has consistently rejected price in the past. The market attempted a breakout but failed to sustain momentum, forming multiple wicks and signs of weakness near the highs. This repeated rejection suggests that sellers are still in control up here and that this zone remains a strong ceiling for price.
Immediate Downside Scenario
With bearish pressure building at resistance, price is now pulling back and eyeing the first key support level around 103.8K. This zone previously acted as a significant base, with an imbalance overlap and structural demand from past price action. If price taps into this zone and buyers defend it, we could see a recovery bounce and potentially another retest of the upper resistance.
Breakdown Risk and Bearish Expansion
However, if 103.8K fails to hold, this opens the door for a deeper correction. The next logical downside target would be in the 98K region, where a higher timeframe imbalance sits and where price last found strong demand during the last major push up. This would also align with a full sweep of recent liquidity build-ups below.
Bullish Recovery Path
In the bullish case, holding 103.8K could initiate a rebound back toward the 108.8K resistance. This would likely depend on a solid reaction and displacement from the support zone, potentially forming a new higher low structure. For bulls to regain full control, we would need to see a clean breakout above the resistance zone with continuation.
Key Zones to Watch
The red resistance zone near 108.8K remains the clear invalidation for further upside, while the grey support block around 103.8K is the first major level that could decide the short-term trend. If that breaks, the purple demand zone near 98K is a high-probability area for price to find support again.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is still stuck between a strong resistance ceiling and a critical mid-range support zone. The rejection from the top signals that we may see downside in the near term, but whether this turns into a full reversal or just a retracement depends entirely on how price reacts around 103.8K. Hold it and we bounce, break it and we likely drop toward 98K. Keep watching how price behaves at these levels to gauge momentum and direction.
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