GBPCAD: The Hunt for the Previous Month's LowLike a predator stalking its prey, the market often moves with a clear objective. For GBPCAD, the primary target is now the massive pool of liquidity resting below the Previous Month's Low. This isn't a random drop; it's a calculated hunt. This analysis lays out the plan to join the reversal after the hunt is complete.
The price of GBPCAD is approaching a large pool of liquidity in the form of the Previous Month's Low (PML) , with the May 5th low located just below it. There is a high probability that this liquidity will be swept in the near future, because with only a few days left until the end of the month, the PML will no longer act as such a strong magnet for the price as it does now.
The capture of this liquidity would be accompanied by the mitigation of a daily order block in conjunction with a daily FVG . This confluence of factors could act as strong support for a potential price bounce, with a minimum target of a liquidity sweep of the Previous Week's High (PWH) .
SETUP CONDITIONS
The condition for the long setup to form would be a sharp downside liquidity sweep with a candle wick, which mitigates the upper part of the daily order block, followed by the start of a bullish order flow on a lower timeframe .
► Invalidation: Invalidation of the long scenario would be a daily candle body closing below the May 5th low, or a sharp drop to the middle of the daily order block.
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The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this insightful trading community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setup that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setup are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always apply a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
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