Weekly Forecasts UPDATES! ALL Markets Analyzed! Stocks & FOREXIn this Weekly Forecast UPDATE, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Metals futures, and the FOREX Majors for Thursday, May 8th.
The targets set in last weekend's forecasts are still in play! Trade accordingly.
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GBPUSD
GBPUSD Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.328.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.349 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPUSD range bound ahead of BoE Rate Decision GBP/USD maintains a bullish bias, with the broader trend and structure supporting upside continuation. The recent intraday move appears to be an overbought corrective pullback toward a key prior consolidation area.
Key Support: 1.3210 – aligns with the previous consolidation zone and potential bullish inflection point.
Upside Targets:
1.3435 – initial resistance level
1.3500 and 1.3580 – medium to long-term bullish targets
If price finds support at 1.3210 and forms a bullish reversal, it would confirm the continuation of the uptrend toward the mentioned resistance levels.
However, a break and daily close below 1.3210 would invalidate the bullish scenario, suggesting deeper retracement toward 1.3120, with further support at 1.3015 and 1.2980.
Conclusion
GBP/USD remains bullish above 1.3210. Look for a bounce from this level to confirm upside continuation. A daily close below 1.3210 would turn the outlook bearish, exposing lower support levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD - UniverseMetta - Signal#GBPUSD - UniverseMetta - Signal
W1 - Formation of 3 stop candles from the level, which may indicate a potential change in trend.
D1 - Formation of the 3rd wave + 3rd fractal/peak. . Stop behind the maximum of the 2nd wave.
Entry: 1.32548
TP: 1.31381 - 1.30654 - 1.29492 - 1.27081
Stop: 1.34080
More signals in our groups
GBP/USD Pressure Mounts on Weak UK DataThe GBP/USD currency pair faced downward pressure on Wednesday, largely due to disappointing data from the UK’s Purchasing Managers Index (PMI). This index showed a contraction in private sector business activity for April, signaling potential challenges in the UK economy. As a result, the Pound Sterling weakened against its major counterparts during European trading hours, reflecting growing concerns among investors about the economic outlook.
As the day progressed, the focus shifted to the US Dollar (USD), which was buoyed by increasing optimism regarding easing tensions between the United States and China. Investors reacted positively to news surrounding potential diplomatic efforts and economic collaborations, leading to a stronger USD and further pulling the GBP/USD pair lower. This shift in sentiment highlights how geopolitical developments can significantly impact currency markets.
Interestingly, the price action in the GBP/USD pair reached a notable Weekly Supply zone. This area has historically acted as a resistance level, and despite the current bearish trend, many retailers remain bullish on the Pound. This divergence in sentiment suggests that traders are closely monitoring the situation for signs of a reversal. Given the current conditions, there is speculation that the pair could experience a turnaround as it interacts with this important price level.
Overall, the dynamics between the GBP and USD underscore the ongoing volatility in the foreign exchange market, driven by economic data and geopolitical events. Moving forward, market participants will likely keep a close eye on upcoming indicators and developments that could influence the trajectory of this currency pair, particularly in light of the recent fluctuations and the current positioning within the Weekly Supply zone.
Weekly chart 6B1!
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GBP Steady Near $1.33, BoE Rate Cut ExpectedThe British pound hovered near $1.33 as traders awaited the BoE’s decision, with a 25 bps cut to 4.25% widely expected. Markets are also eyeing new economic forecasts for signals of further easing. While Trump’s tariff plans have stoked global slowdown fears, the UK is less exposed due to a U.S. goods surplus. A fresh trade deal with India, expected to generate £4.8 billion annually by 2040, may also cushion the economy.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels come in at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support lies at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.
CadChf daily bias confirmedGood day traders, I’m back with CadChf but this one is special cause it provides us a clean setup where I will get an opportunity to explain some of ICT concepts that I look for and have made me the trader I am today but I’m not here to talk about Michael!! Just his thoughts behind this type of setup.
Well my excitement is that this setup is happening on the daily timeframe so hopefully it’ll be much more understandable. First let’s start with some tape reading on the left hand side we can see that price has been bearish and have reason to believe that price has bottomed as we can see that price left a low only to later take out creating a new one than made a run higher shifting structure on the lower TF’s but here on the daily what price did was leave the first presented FVG which you can see on the chart I have marked it. Back to the tape, if you take a closer look at that F.PFVG you’ll see that price only touch the upper quarter of the level and price made a move higher. Here why I said this one was special👂 ICT teaches how to look at price from a naked eye just by dividing gaps, FVG and OB’s and more.. by 4 quarters and FIB retrace works wonders here 0,25,50,75,100. 50 being the midpoint. Price from experience since paying attention to details always comes for the F.PFVG midpoint ATLEAST!🔊
If you look at the chart again you’ll see a red arrow pointing to that wick’cosidered a gap’, now if we consider that wick a gap than we gonna treat it as one. If you take you FIB and get the levels you’ll see price was a few pips shy of the midpoint of that gap!!👂
Our narrative than becomes…we wanna see price reach the midpoint of that wick considered a gap. Than we gonna shoot down if we can just get to that midpoint 🤞🏾
Because we cannot I repeat we cannot trust price, we can expect it to disrespect that buyside but not close higher 🛑✋, our draw on liquidity is the one below.
Please study this setup carefully 🙏🏽🙏🏽
GBPUSD H4 Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.3168, a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Our take profit is set at 1.3289 a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.3079, a pullback support.
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Fed pleases everyone, except for one. BoE is next on the watchThe Federal Reserve came out with its rate decision and it seems that all market participants got pleased, except for one.
Today it's the BoE's turn to deliver rates.
Let's dig in!
TVC:DJI
TVC:DXY
FX_IDC:GBPUSD
MARKETSCOM:100UK
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
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GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D8 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D8 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD | 1H | BULLGood Morning Traders;
My target level for GBP/USD is 1.33966—just wait for this level and stay patient.
I put in a lot of effort to prepare these analyses for you, so don’t hold back on showing your support with a like! A huge thank you to everyone who supports me—every single like is a source of motivation for me to keep sharing my insights.
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 8, 2025 GBPUSDEvents to pay attention today:
15:30 EET. USD - Number of Initial Jobless Claims
14:00 EET. USD - Bank of England Key Interest Rate Decision
GBPUSD:
GBP/USD was down six-tenths of a per cent on Wednesday as markets continued to hold on to the safe-haven US dollar. The Federal Reserve (Fed) left rates unchanged as markets had expected, but Fed policymakers, still adopting a wait-and-see stance, curbed risk appetite during the midweek market session. The Bank of England (BoE) will hold its own rate meeting on Thursday and is expected to cut rates by another quarter point.
Forex Today: All eyes on the Bank of England
Market sentiment declined after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference. He said that US trade tariffs could hamper the Fed's inflation and employment targets this year. Powell warned that continued policy instability could force the Fed to take a ‘wait-and-see’ approach to interest rates. While the Trump administration's tariffs have weighed heavily on consumer and business sentiment, the lack of significant negative economic data makes it difficult for the Fed to justify an immediate change in interest rates.
Powell: The right thing to do is to wait for further clarity
The Bank of England is expected to cut the rate by a further quarter point at its upcoming meeting on Thursday, marking the fourth rate cut since it peaked in 2023. The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is expected to vote nine to one in favour of another rate cut in an attempt to support the faltering UK economy.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3330, SL 1.3350, TP 1.3230
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 1.3264
1st Support: 1.3233
1st Resistance: 1.3338
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D7 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D7 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D6 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D6 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Bullish bounce?GBP/USD is reacting of the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3336
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3299
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3402
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Will GBP/USD head lower from THIS major resistance zone?Sterling finds itself walking a financial tightrope this week. The GBP/USD is delicately poised between transatlantic central bank decisions and murky trade headlines. As the Federal Reserve holds court across the pond and the Bank of England gets ready to show its hand, traders are bracing for a possible divergence in tone—and in policy. The dollar has taken a softer step into the week, retreating after two weeks of modest gains. But don't be fooled: that weakness could easily reverse if the Trump administration’s trade negotiations result in new agreements. Officials suggest deals with partners beyond China might be inked by week's end. Until then, the markets remain unimpressed. Friday’s US nonfarm payrolls came and went with little fanfare, and Monday’s ISM services PMI barely registered. So far, the macroeconomic data has taken a backseat to geopolitical posturing.
Trade Truce Could Revive the Dollar’s Fortunes
The dollar index has wobbled a little after a brief two-week recovery, helped by an unwind of previous “Sell America” trade. But the big question remains: will Washington and Beijing finally bury the hatchet? Equity markets are behaving as if they expect some form of resolution—however vague—but the greenback hasn't followed suit. Fed independence is also under the microscope, with President Trump’s persistent rate-cut rhetoric raising eyebrows. The political fog isn't helping matters. Yet, a trade breakthrough—particularly with China—could lend support to the dollar, shifting sentiment swiftly.
Sterling's Fate Hinges on Central Bank Theatre
Two heavyweight monetary policy announcements are set to dominate fate for the GBP/USD currency pair over the next 24 hours or so.
• FOMC Rate Decision – Wednesday, 7 May, 19:00 BST
No surprises expected here. The Fed is widely tipped to hold rates steady at 4.25–4.50%. The real drama lies in the messaging. With political noise in the background, Powell may aim to exude calm and control. Markets will scour the statement for hints of June’s outlook.
• Bank of England Rate Decision – Thursday, 8 May, 12:00 BST
Here’s where the action really lies for sterling. A 25bp cut is largely priced in, and a dovish 9-0 vote wouldn’t shock anyone. But traders will pay close attention to the inflation outlook—especially with energy prices softening. A slightly more optimistic growth revision could temper the dovishness. Any hint of hawkish resistance may offer the pound a temporary reprieve, perhaps even lifting GBP/USD to flirt with 1.3500.
Technical Outlook: Cable Bumps Up Against Familiar Ceiling
Technically speaking, GBP/USD is looking a bit overextended, though bears haven’t been vindicated just yet. Last week’s weekly chart printed an inverted hammer—a warning shot, perhaps, but without any firm follow-through so far.
The pair recently tested September’s high at 1.3434 before retreating. But more formidable resistance lurks between 1.35 and 1.40—a zone that’s proved impenetrable since the Brexit saga began. So, the path upward may be limited from here on.
On the downside, keep an eye on 1.3250 for initial support, followed by the psychological barrier at 1.3000.
Final Word
It’s shaping up to be a pivotal week for cable. Trade chatter has failed to energise the dollar, while sterling stands on the edge, waiting for the Bank of England’s cue. With Powell and Bailey both stepping into the spotlight, and global trade deals waiting in the wings, this week could deliver the jolt that the GBP/USD has been waiting for. For now, a cautious stance on sterling feels justified—but everything’s in play, and sentiment may turn quickly.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com