How should GBP bulls prepare for battle?The GBP/USD came under pressure during the North American session, trading near 1.353. The market is digesting a series of upcoming UK domestic data and global macro risk events, with overall volatility likely to increase. The recent high of 1.3616 forms a short-term resistance, while the 1.3500 level below serves as a key support zone. Short-term bulls need to hold the 1.3500 support band. If the price rebounds without breaking this level and can break above the 1.3570–1.3616 resistance area with increased trading volume,
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
GBPUSD
Bearish GBP/USD Outlook: Shorting the Pound Against the DollarI can write a lot of text here but let make it short, liek and sub from you for that:
3 options:
pump till PDH then dump to weekly FVG 1.34 area
dump from here till weekly FVG 1.34 area
if it breaks above PWH with good volume and closing at least on 4h then only longs
GBPUSD [Possible longsHere' how I'm watching GBPUSD for a potential buy trade. I reckon the buy would hold, although I'd be risking 0.5% of my equity because we didn't see the market take out previous high with deliberate candle closes, and that could mean that there are sellers lurking somewhere around.
However, until the sell is confirmed, the trend is our friend.
DYOR
09/06/2025: WILL WE SEE A BREAKOUT ABOVE 1.3550?GBP/USD PLAN – 09/06/2025: WILL WE SEE A BREAKOUT ABOVE 1.3550?
🌍 Macroeconomic & Fundamental Context:
UK Economic Outlook (BoE): The Bank of England (BoE) is under pressure due to inflation and has to make decisions regarding interest rate policy. Diverging opinions on whether to raise or lower rates are creating uncertainty in the market.
US Economic Outlook (Fed): The Federal Reserve's monetary policy continues to be a major influence on the USD, especially as the Fed maintains its rate hikes to control inflation.
US-UK Trade Relations: Trade negotiations between the US and the UK will remain an important factor this week, and any new developments could impact GBP/USD.
📉 Technical Analysis – GBP/USD:
On the H4 and H1 timeframes, GBP/USD is consolidating within a corrective structure, and price has broken several key Fibonacci levels. The EMA indicators (13, 34, 89) are showing strong momentum.
Key Resistance Levels:
1.3550 – This is a major resistance level. If broken, GBP/USD could continue its rally towards 1.3612.
Key Support Levels:
1.3520 – A short-term support level. If this breaks, price may retrace back to 1.3470.
🎯 Trading Scenarios for Today:
🟢 BUY ZONE:
Buy Zone: 1.3520 – 1.3500
SL: 1.3480
TP: 1.3550 → 1.3570 → 1.3600 → 1.3620 → 1.3650
If price retraces to 1.3520 – 1.3500, this would be an ideal buying opportunity with a target at 1.3550. Look for confirmation from technical indicators and the current trend.
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Sell Zone: 1.3550 – 1.3570
SL: 1.3590
TP: 1.3520 → 1.3500 → 1.3470 → 1.3450 → 1.3420
If price reaches the resistance zone of 1.3550 – 1.3570, consider selling with targets at the support levels below.
🟡 Scalping:
Buy Scalping: 1.3520 → 1.3500
Sell Scalping: 1.3570 → 1.3600
Look for short-term opportunities when price moves within the range.
⚠️ Important Notes:
Pay close attention to short-term fluctuations and any major economic data releases from the BoE and Fed.
Risk management is key during volatile periods.
📌 Conclusion:
GBP/USD is in a short-term corrective phase, but a breakout above 1.3550 could trigger a strong rally. Traders should monitor support and resistance levels carefully and ensure risk management is in place.
GBPUSD Edges HigherGBPUSD Edges Higher
GBP/USD is attempting a fresh increase above the 1.3500 resistance.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.3515.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3535 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair declined after it failed to clear the 1.3615 resistance. The British Pound even traded below the 1.3575 support against the US Dollar.
Finally, the pair tested the 1.3500 zone and is currently attempting a fresh increase. The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3540. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3535.
The pair tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3616 swing high to the 1.3507 low. It is now showing positive signs above 1.3540.
On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near 1.3575 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3616 swing high to the 1.3507 low.
The next major resistance is near 1.3590. A close above the 1.3590 resistance zone could open the doors for a move toward 1.3615. Any more gains might send GBP/USD toward 1.3650.
On the downside, immediate support is near the 1.3515. If there is a downside break below 1.3515, the pair could accelerate lower. The first major support is near the 1.3500 level. The next key support is seen near 1.3450, below which the pair could test 1.3420. Any more losses could lead the pair toward the 1.3350 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Eur, Gbp & DXY Dynamics: We have reached fair valueWith equilibrium being established we are stuck in an internal liquidity range. We do expect the trending targets to be hit although we are seeing a preliminary shift in structure.
If there was anything I missed in this analysis please let me know. Share this with anyone who may be interested 🙏🏾
GBPUSD INTRADAY Uptrend continuation supported at 1.3500The GBP/USD currency pair maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by a rising trendline and sustained higher lows. The recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback within an overall uptrend, indicative of a consolidation phase rather than a reversal.
Key Support Level: 1.3500
This level aligns with a previous consolidation zone and is acting as a pivotal support. A pullback toward this level could offer a potential buying opportunity, especially if bullish momentum returns.
Upside Targets (on bullish continuation from 1.3500):
1.3610 – Initial resistance from prior swing high
1.3650 – Intermediate resistance level
1.3700 – Long-term target and potential top of the current bullish channel
Bearish Scenario (if 1.3500 fails):
A daily close below 1.3500 would invalidate the current bullish setup, signaling a potential shift in trend. In that case:
Immediate support at 1.3480
Deeper retracement could extend to 1.3450
Conclusion
The broader trend in GBP/USD remains bullish, with the current consolidation viewed as a potential pullback rather than a reversal. The 1.3500 level is critical — a bounce from here could resume the uptrend toward 1.3610 over time. However, a break and close below 1.3500 would weaken the bullish case and open the door to further downside. Traders should monitor price action closely around this key level for confirmation.
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Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3411
1st Support: 1.3100
1st Resistance: 1.3714
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GBPUSD H1 Bearish eversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.3567, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.3537, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 11.3602, above the recent swing-high resistance level.
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GBPUSD is relatively stable, main uptrendOANDA:GBPUSD performed relatively steady among major currencies. The UK's avoidance of Trump's new steel and aluminum tariffs supported the pound and market sentiment remained relatively upbeat.
The UK releases April GDP and employment data this week, and markets are paying close attention. If the unemployment rate rises, that could drag the pound down; if it shows a healthy labour market, that could push it higher.
Bank of England Governor Bailey said he would continue to adopt a “gradual and cautious” interest rate cut strategy, reflecting a cautious stance amid heightened market volatility. The statement was interpreted by the market as hawkish, which helped support the pound. Britain is not a target of Trump’s new tariff policy, and the market believes that the US-UK trade relationship is relatively friendly, which has boosted the British stock market and the pound.
The fact that the UK is not affected by Trump’s steel and aluminium tariffs is a positive for the pound, but this week’s jobs data will be key. If unemployment rises in April, it could undermine sterling’s gains. The market is positive about the Bank of England’s cautious monetary policy stance, believing that this will help the pound maintain its strength in the short term.
On the daily chart, OANDA:GBPUSD is temporarily capped by the 1.35877 price level of the 0.618% Fibonacci extension and the overall technical outlook remains overwhelmingly bullish.
Key supports are seen by the rising price channel and the EMA21, while the bullish RSI has yet to reach overbought levels, suggesting that there is still plenty of room for GBP/USD to move higher in terms of momentum. As long as GBP/USD remains within the price channel, it will remain bullish in the short term, and once GBP/USD breaks above 1.35911, which is the nearest horizontal resistance, it will be eligible to continue its technical rise towards the next target around 1.37104 in the short term.
During the day, the bullish outlook of GBP/USD will be noticed by the following technical positions.
Support: 1.35015 – 1.34441
Resistance: 1.35877 – 1.35911
GBPUSD(20250609)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Harker: Amid uncertainty, the Fed may still cut interest rates later this year. Musallem: There is a 50% chance that the trade war will lead to a sustained inflation outbreak. Tariffs may push up inflation within one or two quarters. The ECB cut three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle will end, and the market is no longer fully pricing in another 25 basis point rate cut this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3538
Support and resistance levels:
1.3615
1.3586
1.3568
1.3509
1.3491
1.3462
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3538, consider buying in, with the first target price of 1.3568
If the price breaks through 1.3509, consider selling in, with the first target price of 1.3491
GBPJPY UPDATE!!Good day traders, I am back again with an update and this time it's on GBP/JPY. On the 1st of June I posted a setup but I mentioned that I will explain it later because I will be able to make my point clearer and easy to understand.
When this setup was posted I had that daily order block in mind, only because I needed to see it revisit the order block for the last time before price could make a run for that internal liquidity resting inside an unfilled FVG(BISI). We can also use that thought as confluence when looking for short term reversals or partial exits. Just by taking a look on the chart I posted again I will put it in the description below, you can see in the sell side of the chart we have a lot of equal lows and ICT teaches us that price looks for relative lows/equal lows and old lows.
On the daily TF price is currently inside a bearish order block and what we do not wanna see is price going over the wick of that wick of a candle that was booked on the 29th of May. We are also inside the premium zone of the wick meaning we can expect to run from there to our objectives below. As always my first objective is always the internal liquidity and that is only because that internal liquidity are my LTF | Highs/Lows.
On the 4H price is inside a balanced price range again that's in my favour meaning I have to note it. ICT teaches that we always wanna trade towards the direction where all our PD arrays are lining up and in this case, it's in the sellside, I believe we are in the starting phase of ICT's sell model.
My name is Teboho Matla but you...you don't know me yet!!
GBPUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
US May Nonfarm Payroll data influences Fed policy expectations: slowing job growth but strong wage growth raises odds of a September rate cut, exerting pressure on the USD. Meanwhile, the UK manufacturing sector faces headwinds from US tariff policies, while domestic policy adjustments (e.g., tightened stamp duty relief) impact the economy. Diverging expectations on BoE rate policy and unimplemented parts of the US-UK trade agreement add uncertainty.
Technical Analysis (4-hour chart):
MACD histogram remains negative but is shrinking, indicating marginal bullish momentum recovery amid an unclear overall trend.
Rising prices with declining volumes signal weakening upward momentum.
Key resistance: ~1.3600; support: ~1.3400.
Trading Recommendation:
Aggressive traders may initiate light long positions near 1.3450 on price retracement.
Trading Strategy:
buy@1.3450-1.3480
TP:1.3550-1.3600
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GBPUSD: Weekly Overview 9th of June 2025GDP m/m is in this week! Take this under consideration. Any significant bearish surprise for this announcement means a possible break of the bullish channel.
******************************************
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
NQ tumbles?Good day traders, I don't know why but I get a bit scared when it comes to analyzing NQ. I always doubt myself with it.
On the weekly TF price is trading inside an order block and for the past two weeks price has visited the order block two times. In the two times that price revisited the order block it failed to close above the midpoint indicating the strength of the order block, going into the new week I am going to use the discount zone of the OB+ as my resistance.
On the daily TF before I say much, THERE IS A GAP, and price did not trade to it since opening high on the 12th May. That gap is my target and I want to see price go and fill that volume imbalance as ICT calls it.
Still on the daily TF...when you read price for past two weeks on NQ, you'll quickly come to a realization that price has been expanding higher since Tuesday 3rd June, but expanding to where?...well liquidity resting above the high of the candle booked on the 29th of May.
Now on the 4 hour TF things are opening up and price is becoming clearer and it goes to show the importance of multi time frame analysis. The lows of Tuesday and Thursday make the relative equal lows that are shown on the chart. The internal liquidity shown below is my short term target or TP1. The red triangle represents that 4H inverse FVG and once price is trading below the inverse any movement inside that inverse should show weakness!
Potential bearish drop?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3545
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 48.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3576
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3501
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPUSD - Technical analysis 2HGood morning, traders, dear TradingView. It's Nika.
I want to share this trading idea, for a reason we have very important resistance level breakout!
I think the price of this pair will continue growing and will reach level 1.37097!
So some of you can just open long now, or wait and enter after a little correction.
Thank you.
Have a profitable day.
Skeptic | This Week's Most Profitable Setups: Gold, Forex & SPX!hey, traders, it’s Skeptic ! 😎 Our last watchlist was straight fire, racking up some sweet profits with tons of setups. This week’s looking just as juicy, so stick with me to catch these killer opportunities! 🚖 Welcome to my Weekly Watchlist, where I lay out the markets I’m trading with active triggers—forex pairs, commodities, and CFD indices. No FOMO, no hype, just pure reasoning to keep your trades sharp. Let’s jump in! 📊
DXY (Dollar Index)
Let’s kick off with DXY, ‘cause getting this right makes analyzing other indices and pairs a breeze. After multiple failed attempts to break support at 98.8 , it’s still ranging. This is a monthly support, so confirmation of a break needs to come on a monthly or at least weekly chart. Personally, I’m betting it’ll bounce from here. A break above 99.36 gives early confirmation of a rise, but the real deal is breaking resistance at 100 —then you can short USD pairs like EUR/USD . If 98.8 gives way, look for longs, but this monthly zone is tough, so expect some chop! 😬
EURX
EURX seems to be in a weak upward channel. A break above 1063 could push us to 1071 . On the flip side, breaking the channel’s midline at 1058 might drag us to the floor or even support at 1049 . So, our EURX game plan is clear.
Watchlist Breakdown
Let’s hit the watchlist, starting with XAU/USD (Gold ).
Triggers here are tricky, but I cloned last week’s downward channel and placed it above—this trick often gives us solid setups. If we bounce off the channel’s floor, a break above resistance at 3340 opens a long. For shorts, I don’t have a trigger yet since the market’s already dumped. If we form a 1-hour range, a break below its floor could trigger a short targeting 3249 or the previous channel’s midline.
Now, XAG/USD (Silver)
—no triggers this week. Our long trigger from last week’s analysis at 33.68 smashed it, spiking 8%! 🎉 That’s a lock even Bitcoin traders would drool over, but in Skeptic Lab :)
Next, EUR/USD.
The long trigger is set at a break above resistance at 1.14555 , which lines up with the DXY support break I mentioned. Heads-up: this trade won’t be easy. Reduce risk ‘cause we’re in for a big fight at this level—wild swings and tight stop losses get hunted fast. Stay sharp! 😤
GBP/USD Update
My GBP/USD long got stopped out, so let’s break it down. I went long after a resistance break, with crazy uptrend momentum and RSI hitting overbought (which I see as a long confirmation). Everything looked dope except my stop loss placement. The prior move was so sharp that my stop had to be wide, tanking my R/R. It hit the box ceiling target but then dumped, nailing my stop. Lesson? Either jump in before the main momentum or let the move play out and skip it. Mid-move entries with big stops? Recipe for pain...
SPX 500
Our SPX 500 long trigger from breaking the box ceiling already fired and seems to have pulled back. My target’s 6128.55 , and my open position has a stop loss below 5952.51. If you missed last week’s trade, a new trigger could be a 1-hour resistance break at 6014.20 . If you’re already long, no need to double up.
Final Note
my max risk per trade is 1%, and I suggest you stick to that or lower. I’m cooking up a Money management guide soon, diving deep into why it’s the key to outpacing 90% of traders and boosting your odds of consistent profits. Stay tuned! 🚨 No FOMO, and have an awesome week!
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this watchlist lit a spark, hit that boost—it means a ton! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for rolling with me—keep trading smart! ✌️
"Continue to maintain strength"The GBP/USD trended higher in a volatile manner this week, rising 0.5% on a weekly basis and demonstrating relatively robust performance among major currencies. The UK's exemption from Trump's newly imposed steel and aluminum tariffs provided support for the British pound, with market sentiment remaining relatively optimistic. Analysts noted that the UK's immunity to Trump's steel and aluminum tariffs constitutes a positive factor for the GBP, but next week's employment data will be pivotal. A rise in the unemployment rate for April could weaken the pound's upward momentum. The market holds a positive view on the Bank of England's (BoE) cautious monetary policy stance, believing it will help the GBP maintain its strength in the short term.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
GBPUSD - Very InterestingWith NFP creating massive volatility on Friday this pair is a bit messy.
We have however created an internal structure shift on the 15min timeframe to the downside lower the HTF order flow still being bullish
This could be a case of get what we can to the downside until we hit the HTF demand and look to get long.
As you can see I am already trying to forecast ahead of what could potentially happen with this pair as when it gets to certain levels and there are reactions it will come as no surprise.
If I can be of assistance to anybody please don't hesitate to message.
Bitcoin plummets!!Good day traders, I am back with yet another update on BTC/USD. My last update on bitcoin what I was expecting price to do unfortunately did not happen as price was very weak, I had a FVG(SIBI) that I really wanted price to revisit and the two price levels that make up the SIBI are 107752 and 107149.
Now that both our sellside liquidity were taken does that mean price is now gonna look for the buyside liquidity? My honest opinion is I don't think because I said 97k is insight and I believe it can still happen and it will according to my HTF perspective.
On the daily TF we have clear sight of relative highs that we wanna see price take and that might happen today but my short term objective is the high that was booked on Tuesday. That Tuesday's candlestick has a very large wick and from my time learning with ICT's content, wicks contain a lot of price data that can be used either for entries or exits.
4H- Here we had a shift in market structure lower on Thursday but price has been bullish ever since the shift happened. On this respective TF we have equal highs too, and ICT teaches us to always focus our attention on them mainly because price looks for liquidity and imbalances on the 4 hour TF...should we look closely on the left of our screens or chart, there is an order block from the wick I mentioned above. Again what are the rules of an order block?..
FROM TOMORROW PRICE WILL START TO PLUMMET!!