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Gold (XAU/USD) Daily Trading Plan - 28th July 2025🔺 Technical Analysis Gold opened the Asian session this week with a slight retracement, testing the 0.382 Fibonacci Retracement level before bouncing back strongly to last week's closing price around 3339. This move further solidifies the price action from a technical perspective. Notably, gold has broken through a minor resistance on the M15 timeframe, invalidating the bearish structure and forming a full-bodied H1 candle. This sets the stage for a potential corrective uptrend to unfold. On the Daily timeframe, the initial session's decline retested the bullish trendline and bounced back within the boundaries of the flag pattern. It's likely that this week, the price will continue towards the end of this pattern, providing a clearer confirmation of the medium-term trend. 🔺 Key Macroeconomic News This week promises to be volatile with several crucial economic announcements, particularly as it marks both the end of the month and the start of a new one. Two key events that traders should pay close attention to are: FOMC Interest Rate Decision: Always a focal point for the market, with significant impact on safe-haven assets like gold. Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Report: Vital US labour market data, capable of triggering substantial movements in both the USD and gold. Therefore, be prepared for potential market shocks and exercise careful risk management. 📈 Trading Strategy & Considerations Given the technical setup and upcoming macroeconomic events, consider the following: Potential Corrective Uptrend: The invalidated bearish structure on M15 and the strong H1 candle suggest a short-term bullish bias for a corrective move. Daily Flag Pattern: Monitor price action as it approaches the end of the flag pattern on the Daily timeframe for medium-term trend confirmation. High Volatility Ahead: Exercise extreme caution around the FOMC and NFP announcements. These events can lead to significant and rapid price swings. Risk Management: Prioritise strict risk management. Consider reducing position sizes or employing wider stop-losses during high-impact news events. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold may still be unfolding Wave C of a triangle — don’t rushGold appears to be forming a contracting triangle pattern, and we could currently be in the midst of Wave C. In a triangle structure (A-B-C-D-E), Wave C typically unfolds as a corrective move and is often mistaken for a potential breakout phase. However, triangles are continuation patterns, and premature entries can lead to whipsaws or false breakouts. If Gold is indeed still in Wave C, we can expect further choppy, sideways movement before the pattern completes with Waves D and E. Patience is key — let the structure mature. A more reliable opportunity may emerge after the triangle resolves and the larger trend resumes.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by wavetraders
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 3350.10, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit will be at 3311.79, a swing low support level. The stop loss will be placed at 3384.57, a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDShort
by Tradu
Gold under pressure as USD strengthensGold is facing significant selling pressure as the US dollar regains momentum. Currently, XAU/USD is trading near $3,337, down over $31 from the session high, and pressing directly against the ascending trendline. The stronger USD is making gold—an asset that yields no interest—less attractive to investors. If this dollar strength continues, the likelihood of a trendline break and further downside is very high. On the economic front, U.S. jobless claims have fallen to their lowest level in three months, signaling a resilient labor market despite sluggish hiring. This stable jobs data is expected to support the Fed’s decision to hold interest rates steady at 4.25–4.50% in the upcoming policy meeting, even amid rising inflation pressure driven by President Donald Trump’s tariff policies. At this moment, sellers are in control. Traders should closely watch upcoming support zones and trading volume to spot reasonable entry points. Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
1
GOLD - GC Weekly Recap & Outlook | 27.07.2025🧾 Weekly Recap: • Price tapped into the 1H Demand Zone (red box) and ran the 4H swing liquidity before bouncing to clear internal range liquidity. • This move was followed by a retracement which led to a break of the bullish trendline. This may signal the beginning of a broader accumulation phase. Expect choppy price action targeting internal liquidity both above and below, before a clear trend resumes. 📌 Technical Analysis: Price has closed below the bullish trendline, leading to two possible scenarios: 1. Bullish scenario (black path): – Price runs the W C DOL (3313$) → – Finds rejection → – Retests broken trendline → – Breaks above the trendline → – Continues toward 3444$ and potentially 3474$ 2. Bearish scenario (orange path): – Price runs W C DOL (3313$) → – Rejects from the broken trendline → – Fails to reclaim it → – Continues downward to target M C DOL (3256$) 📈 Setup Trigger: Wait for clear 1H–4H supply/demand zone creation and structure shift before initiating a trade. 🎯 Trade Management: • Stoploss: Above/below relevant supply-demand zone • Targets: – Bullish: 3444$, 3474$ – Bearish: 3256$ 🟡 If you liked the idea, feel free to drop a like & comment — and don’t forget to follow for more weekly updates.
COMEX:GC1!
by UA_CAPITAL
XAUUSD 4Hour TF - July 27th, 2025XAUUSD 7/27/2025 XAUUSD 4 hour Neutral Idea Monthly - Bullish Weekly - Bullish Daily - Bullish 4hour - Bearish Last week we saw a perfect setup playout and then it retraced 100% to close out the week. This is looking more bearish on the 4Hour timeframe now but we need to see how price action reacts at the 3,320 support zone first. Here are two potential scenarios we want to see for the week ahead. Bullish Reversal - If we are to see gold as bullish again we would ideally like to see some consolidation at the current level followed by strong bullish conviction. We need to see convincing price action before we can begin targeting higher. Consolidation + Bullish conviction will be our best chance at a long position. Bearish Continuation - The 4hour sure looks bearish but will it sustain? Looking ahead into the week we want to see price action push below 3,320 with bearish structure below. I would also like to see a pattern or a few hours to a day of consolidation below 3,320. If this happens we can begin to target lower toward major support levels like 3,225.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by ForexLeague
XAUUSD (GOLD): Wait For The BOS! FOMC and NFP Looms!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of July 28 - June 1st. Gold is in the middle of a consolidation. Bas time to look for new entries! FOMC on Wednesday and NFP on Friday. Potential news drivers to move price in a decisive direction! Wait for a break of structure (BOS) either direction before entering a new trade. Be mindful that the Monthly is bullish, and the Weekly is neutral. The Daily is bearish, with 3 days of data indicating so. I am leaning towards this bias, as the draws on liquidity are near and obvious. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RT_Money
10
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jul 28 - Aug 01]This week, OANDA:XAUUSD prices had a positive start, rising sharply from 3,345 USD/oz to 3,439 USD/oz because investors were concerned about the risk of financial market instability when US President Donald Trump continuously pressured the FED Chairman to reduce interest rates, and there were even rumors of the Fed chairman resigning. However, the upward momentum in gold prices was not maintained when the US continuously reached trade agreements with partners such as Japan, Indonesia, Philippines..., cooling down the trade war. This caused gold prices to drop sharply for three consecutive trading sessions, at one point the gold price dropped to 3,325 USD/oz and closed at 3,336 USD/oz. Trade war worries are starting to subside. Therefore, we continue to witness a shift of investment capital flows from gold to risky assets such as stocks.. Notably, this week is the fourth time gold prices broke the $3,400 threshold but did not stay above this level. Next week, in addition to the FED meeting, the market will also receive information about US non-agricultural employment (NFP) data. If this index falls stronger than expected, it will further strengthen expectations that the FED will continue to keep interest rates at the current level in upcoming meetings, causing gold prices to drop even more sharply next week. 📌In terms of technical analysis, the three crows pattern (3 long red candles) appeared on the D1 chart, showing that sellers were still in control throughout the past 3 trading sessions without much buying power. This technical pattern often suggests that gold prices may be shifting from their recent upward trajectory into a more prolonged period of decline. This technical signal also quite coincides with the context of many fundamental factors, such as geopolitical conflicts, trade wars, low physical gold demand in the summer... no longer strongly supporting gold prices as before. However, according to many experts, if the gold price drops sharply, it will be a good opportunity to buy, because the gold price is forecast to still increase strongly in the long term. On the H4 chart, gold price may continue to adjust down below the 3,285 USD/oz mark, before recovering again. Meanwhile, the 3,450 USD/oz area is still a strong resistance level for gold prices next week. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,430USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3383 - 3381⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3387 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3316 - 3318⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3312
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD SNIPER OUTLOOK – JULY 28, 2025🔥 Macro & Sentiment The dollar remains dominant — DXY holding above 105 keeps gold under pressure. No fundamental support for bullish continuation unless major macro shifts. Risk flows are defensive, not aggressive. FOMC and US GDP data remain key drivers for direction this week. BIAS: • Short-term bearish under 3350 • Market still in distribution mode — every bounce gets sold • Real buy interest only deep below 3315 🔻 INTRADAY SUPPLY ZONES (Short Only With Rejection) 1. 3382–3370 (H1/M30 Premium Supply) 🔹 H1 order block, FVG alignment, EMA21/50/100 convergence 🔹 Liquidity inducement above → then rejection 📍 Short only if rejection shows via engulf / upper wick. 2. 3355–3340 (Decision Zone / Micro Supply) 🔹 EMA100/200 alignment, former support flipped resistance 🔹 M30 FVG fully filled, structure flip from mid-July 📍 Short bias below. Long only if reclaimed with H1 close above 3355. 🔵 NEUTRAL / PIVOT ZONE 3. 3338–3326 (Decision Band – M30/M15) 🔹 Consolidation area post-BOS, internal liquidity sweeps 🔹 EMA21 base on M15, no clear dominance 📍 Wait for clean reaction. Bullish engulf = scalp long to 3355. Failure = slide to demand. 🟢 DEMAND ZONES (Buy Only On Strong Reversal Confirmation) 4. 3314–3302 (M30/M15 Deep Demand) 🔹 H1 OB + hidden FVG + fib 38.2% 🔹 First real demand zone where buyers may engage 📍 Long only if strong M15 confirmation: engulf + RSI cross + EMA5/21 angle change. 5. 3289–3272 (True Reversal Demand – H1/M30) 🔹 Full NY reversal origin (July 18), major FVG left unfilled 🔹 Institutional volume + liquidity grab zone 📍 Buy only on full flush + fast snapback with BOS on M15/H1. 🧭 BIAS & EXECUTION BY TIMEFRAME H4 Bias: Bearish while below 3350. No valid supply above until 3370+. Avoid longs unless price sweeps 3314 or 3272 and confirms. H1 Bias: Sell clean rejection at 3355 or 3370–3382. Only flip long above 3355 with full-bodied close. M30 Bias: Watch decision zone 3338–3326 for direction. No-man’s land in between — don’t force trades. M15 Bias: Scalp long from 3314 or 3272 only on full confluence (OB + RSI + EMA realignment). Short only confirmed rejections above. 📊 FULL INTRADAY KEY LEVELS (Top → Bottom) Level Context 3405 Fib ext. 127% (HTF sweep target only) 3385 OB 3375–3350 Valid Premium Supply (H1 shelf) 3350–3340 Micro Supply / Flip Zone 3338–3326 Decision Zone – watch reaction 3314–3302 Deep Demand (H1/M30 confluence) 3289–3272 Extreme Demand Base 3260 Fib 61.8% + HTF support 3250 Minor volume node 3240 Final structural floor ✅ EXECUTION NOTES ⛔ Avoid entering inside 3340–3326 → fakeout zone ✅ Play only clean sniper triggers with structure ⚠️ Wait for macro — FOMC / GDP releases may fake both sides 💡 Patience wins. Pick your zone, wait for setup, strike. Which zone are you watching to strike? Drop your bias below. 📍 Like, comment & follow GoldFxMinds for the most precise sniper maps on TradingView. Disclosure: This plan is based on the Trade Nation chart feed. I am part of their Influencer Program.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
6
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3348 and a gap below at 3328 . We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3348 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3369 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3369 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3397 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3397 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3422 BEARISH TARGETS 3328 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3305 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3305 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3289 3267 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
17
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3354 and a gap below at 3297. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3354 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3424 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3499 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3561 BEARISH TARGETS 3297 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3297 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3236 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3089 3001 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
7
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Daily Chart Update – Bounce + Rejection: Structure Still Dominates Just a quick follow up on our range structure, we got exactly what we were anticipating. Price gave us the perfect bounce off 3272, launching into 3433 for THE test of resistance. That move delivered another clean 160+ pip rotation, once again showing how laser accurate the structure has been. As expected, 3433 held as resistance, and the lack of a break and hold above confirms another clean rejection. The range between 3272 support and 3433 resistance remains firmly in play, and structure continues to govern price action to the pip. Here’s where we are now: 🔹 Range Still Active Price continues to rotate inside our 3272–3433 box. Until we see a clean break and close beyond either boundary, we’ll keep playing the range. 🔹 No Breakout = No Change The failure to break and lock above 3433 confirms rejection. We’re still looking for EMA5 lock for potential breakout confirmation, until then, range trades rule. 🔹 Precision Holds Both 3272 and 3433 have now been tested and held perfectly. The respect these levels continue to show reaffirms their importance in our roadmap. Updated Key Levels 📉 Support – 3272 Continues to act as a major pivot. Valid long entries remain on dips into this zone, unless a breakdown occurs. 📈 Resistance – 3433 Now officially tested and confirmed. Watching closely for any future breakout attempts or another rotation lower. Thanks again for all the amazing support. Sticking to the plan, trading the structure, and staying disciplined. Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Weekly Chart Update – 3387 Tested, Channel Top Rejected Quick follow up on our Weekly Chart roadmap – price continues to respect the structure with precision. As anticipated, we got the test of 3387, completing the short term magnet move we've been tracking. That level aligned perfectly with the channel top, and true to form, we saw a clean rejection right on cue just short of the full channel top leaving that open. Importantly, there was no close or lock above that zone, reaffirming it as valid resistance for now. As a result, the range remains active, with price still oscillating between 3281 support and 3387 resistance. Key structural notes: 🔹 Structure remains intact No weekly close above 3387, no breakdown below 3281. The rising channel is still fully respected, and EMA5 has yet to turn bearish. 🔹 3281 Holding Strong This level continues to act as a key weekly pivot. As long as it holds, we maintain a constructive outlook within the current range. 🔹 3387 Tested + Rejected First test gave us the expected reaction. Until we see a confirmed close above, it remains the top of the current range. Updated Levels to Watch: 📉 Support – 3281 Weekly pivot and current range low. Still our key area for dip buys within this structure. 📈 Resistance – 3387 Now tested and confirmed. No break or lock above = valid rejection level. 📈 Resistance 2 – 3482 Unfilled weekly gap. Still the broader target, but we need a proper breakout above 3387 first. Plan: We continue to treat 3281–3387 as the active weekly range. If 3281 fails, we reassess at the midline of the channel. If 3387 breaks and holds, we shift focus toward 3482. Thanks again for all the incredible engagement and support, it means a lot to us here at GoldViewFX. Stay focused, stay disciplined. Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
16
USDCAD Analysis week 31🌐Fundamental Analysis The Canadian dollar continued to decline against the US dollar on Friday. Trump returned to threatening tariffs on Canada as trade deals remain limited. The August 1 deadline for tariffs is approaching and Canada has not made much of a move so far. 🕯Technical Analysis USDCAD continues to rally towards the 1.4000 resistance zone. A recovery of the pair to 1.365 is a good momentum for USDCAD to break the trendline and break 1.37700. The trading strategy for next week is mainly to look for BUY points when there is a recovery of the wave structure. If the important support of the week 1.357 is broken, the uptrend will reverse. 📈📉Trading Signals BUY USDCAD 1.365-1.363 Stoploss 1.360 BUY Break out 1.37700
by TVS-Trader
Gold: dropped on trade deals The safe-haven asset had its ups and downs during the previous week. The week started with an uptrend, where the price of gold reached its highest weekly level at $3.430, on trade tariff tensions. However, the deal made between the US and Japan, pushed the price toward lower grounds, ending the week at $3.340. In addition, Friday's drop was supported by announced tariffs negotiations between the US and EU in Scotland during the weekend. The RSI dropped below the level of 50 on Friday, ending the week at the level of 48. The MA50 slowed down its divergence from MA200, however, the potential cross is still far away. Still, weekly lows of the price of gold found support at MA50 levels. The week ahead brings several currently very important US macro data, including JOLTs, PCE, NFP and Unemployment data. In addition, the FOMC meeting will be held where the market will receive the latest Fed's view on economic developments in the country and future expectations. Also, further news on trade tariff agreements, especially regarding ongoing negotiations between the EU and the US in Scotland, might make an impact on investors sentiment for safe-haven assets. As per current charts, the price of gold might revert a bit to the upside, after a drop during the last three days of the previous week. In this sense, the resistance level at $3,4K might be tested. On the opposite side, the situation on charts is a little bit tricky. Namely, there is a line which perfectly connects all lows from February this year. Friday's closing was exactly at this line, which again adds to the probability of a short reversal. However, if, in any case, the price of gold breaks this longer term trend, then it will indicate that the longer path to the downside is in store for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – “Fed Week: Only the Real Zones”Hello, gold traders! FOMC week is here, the dollar’s flexing, and gold is stuck under a fortress of supply. No fantasy, no overlaps, just your real, actionable H4 map—zones spaced, logic tight, and all fluff deleted. ⬜Bias: Neutral to bearish while price is capped under 3,355 and the EMA cluster. Only flip bullish if price closes and holds above 3,375 with strong confirmation after news. Current Price: 3,336.81 Summary for your audience: Neutral–bearish: All the EMAs (21/50/100/200) are overhead, and the primary supply and decision zones are blocking any upside. No reason to flip bullish unless gold breaks out and holds above both the decision zone and the full supply ceiling after major news. All bounces into supply are likely to get faded, unless the structure changes dramatically post-FOMC. 🟥 ULTRA SUPPLY ZONE: 3,390 – 3,405 127–161.8% Fib extension—liquidity grab and stop-hunt target for news-driven spikes Only short if you see a monster upper wick and hard rejection 🟥 PRIMARY SUPPLY: 3,365 – 3,375 All EMAs (21/50/100/200) are stacked overhead; unfilled FVG at 3,370–3,375 Short on a clear rally rejection or bearish engulfing candle—this is where most breakouts get trapped 🔶 DECISION ZONE: 3,340 – 3,355 EMA100/200 straddle this level; small FVG at 3,350–3,352 Market “decides” here—fade unless price closes decisively above 3,355 🔵 EQUILIBRIUM SHELF: 3,320 – 3,335 50% Fib at 3,327; filled FVG at 3,325–3,330; SMA50 just below Bounce/fake-break zone—wait for a clean H4 reversal, not a guess 🟢 FIRST DEMAND BASE: 3,290 – 3,310 H4 Order Block, hidden FVG (3,300–3,305), Fib 38.2% around 3,295 Longs only with strong pin-bar/engulf and quick EMA50 reclaim 🔵 DEEP PULLBACK BAY: 3,250 – 3,280 Weekly EMA21 and 61.8% Fib (~3,260), strong volume Only consider a long on a panic flush and a powerful reversal wick ⚡️ MACRO CONTEXT USD: On fire into ADP and FOMC; gold moves will be explosive, not logical Events: Tue: ADP Wed: FOMC + Powell Thu: Core PCE Fri: NFP, ISM Bias: Neutral-bearish under 3,355; only bullish if we close and hold above 3,375 EMAs: Clustered tightly overhead—bulls get no respect until this ceiling is crushed 🎯 TRADE LOGIC Shorts: 3,390–3,405 (big wicks and clear rejection only) 3,365–3,375 (news spike or failed breakout with bearish candle) Longs: 3,340–3,355 (only on a confirmed close above) 3,320–3,335 (strong reversal only—don’t front run) 3,290–3,310 (classic H4 pin-bar/engulf + EMA50 reclaim) 3,250–3,280 (deep panic flush and major reversal only) NO TRADE: In the gaps—let the gamblers get chewed up, not you. 💬 Which zone will you snipe? Drop a comment and show you’re here for structure, not noise! 👍 Like & Follow for high-value, real-time sniper maps every day. Disclosure: Chart via Trade Nation’s TradingView feed. Influencer Program participant. GoldFxMinds 💛
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
14
Daily XAUUSD Outlook — Riding the Fed Wave (July 28, 2025)Hey Gold Hunters! 🌟 Today feels like the calm before a storm—ADP whispers tomorrow, the Fed speaks Wednesday, and gold is inching toward its next big move. Let’s weave the macro pulse into our Smart‑Money map, highlight the five real zones, then plot our sniper‑perfect entries. No fluff—just the human beat of the market. 1️⃣ Macro Pulse & Market Mood US Dollar: Bullish tilt as markets price in another hawkish Fed pause. Tomorrow (Tue): ADP jobs print could spark an early swing. Wed PM: FOMC Statement & Powell’s press conference—biggest catalyst this week. Thu/Fri: Core PCE, Unemployment Claims, then Friday’s NFP + ISM Manufacturing. Gold is caught in suspense: a squeeze here (into supply) or a slide there (into demand) will come fast once the Fed drops its hint. 🧭 Bias: Neutral‑bearish—looking for lower highs under the 3,345–3,375 supply zone, with a preference to short rallies into that band until price convincingly breaks and holds above 3,375. Once we see a clean weekly‑style close above that level, we’ll flip to neutral‑bullish. 2️⃣ Five Breathing Zones (Top → Bottom) 🛑 Zone 1 “Sky Trap” (3,380 – 3,415) The final airspace above our daily EMAs (10/50) where stops are hunted. Fib ext’s 127%–161.8% and an unfilled Fair‑Value Gap live here. Any spike that ends in a long upper wick or bearish engulf = short‑trap. (let price fall clear of this zone before the next) ⚔️ Zone 2 “Premium Supply” (3,345 – 3,375) The two‑week high order block, hugged by EMA50 and Fib 61.8%. Friday’s rejection candle was born here. Watch for bearish PA after a retest—your core sell zone. (space down to next) 🌊 Zone 3 “First Demand Cove” (3,290 – 3,320) Where mid‑June’s buyers piled in: June consolidation OB, filled FVG, and Fib 38.2–50% confluence. SMA100 sits below for extra gravity. A clean drop and bullish reaction here = sniper‑long trigger. (gap to deep zone) 🚀 Zone 4 “Deep Pullback Bay” (3,240 – 3,270) Hidden Fair‑Value Gap, BOS origin, and weekly EMA21 converge. If Zone 3 breaks, this is your deep‑dip reload—hunt that D1 reversal wick. (last space) 🛡️ Zone 5 “Macro Reset Block” (3,000 – 3,140) The root of 2024’s CHoCH, EMA200/SMA200 cluster, and 78.6–88.6% Fib retrace. Only if gold truly panics on a USD blitz—ultimate accumulation. 3️⃣ Sniper‑Perfect Scenarios 🔴 Short Setup Where: A thrust into Zone 1 or 2 (3,345+). Cue: Long upper wick → bearish engulf on D1/M30. Edge: FVG fill + Fib confluence + RSI rollover. 🟢 Long Setup Where: A dip into Zone 3 or, if swept, Zone 4. Cue: Bullish pin‑bar or engulf + reclaim of EMA10/50. Edge: June OB base + RSI bounce from ~50. 4️⃣ Your To‑Do List Morning Watch: Does gold flirt with 3,375? Prep your shorts. Mid‑Day Pull: A drop to 3,300? Hunt your longs. Avoid: The gaps between zones—those are “no‑man’s land.” News Trades: Let the daily candle close post‑Fed before committing. 💬 What’s your plan today? Comment below—let’s refine our edge! 👍 Enjoyed this map? Smash that Like & Follow for more pulse‑driven, zero‑fluff outlooks. Disclosure: Chart powered by Trade Nation’s TradingView feed. I participate in their Influencer Program. GoldFxMinds 💛
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
6