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XAUUSD Strong break-out ahead to $3700.Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a Channel Up, while being supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This is similar to the December 19 2024 - January 30 2025 Channel Up, which when it broke above the previous Higher High Resistance, it rose straight to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. As a result, as long as the 1D MA50 supports, we are looking for a medium-term bullish break-out, possible by the end of July, targeting at least 3700. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
XAUUSD 16 June – Liquidity Trap or Smart Money Rotation? XAUUSD 16 June – Liquidity Trap or Smart Money Rotation? Gold surprised many traders with a sharp spike during the Asian session, only to reverse aggressively hours later. While headlines screamed “war” and panic, the price behavior told a different story—one of strategic distribution and smart money rotation... 🌍 Macro & Fundamental Context Geopolitical triggers: Rising tensions in the Middle East (Israel-Iran) and political assassinations triggered emotional buying across safe-haven assets like gold and oil. Institutional rotation: Major funds appear to be offloading gold positions to rebalance into equities (in correction) and oil (strong upside potential). Market narrative: News-induced FOMO drives retail into overbought zones, allowing larger players to exit at premium prices. 📈 Technical Overview (M30 Structure) Price Action: Gold tapped into major resistance at 3456–3458, showing an aggressive rejection shortly after. EMA Behavior: EMAs (13/34/89/200) are flattening across M15 and M30—early signs of a possible bearish crossover. Volume Drop: Declining volume after the spike suggests buyer exhaustion, reinforcing the idea of a bull trap. Fair Value Gap (FVG): A visible liquidity void remains below the 3390 area. Price often returns to fill these zones. 🎯 Trading Plan for Today ✅ Scenario A: Buy from Demand Zone (Liquidity Fill) Entry: 3383 – 3385 Stop Loss: 3377 Targets: 3386 → 3390 → 3394 → 3398 → 3402 → 3406 → 3410+ 📌 Best executed during London or NY session if price shows absorption or reversal confirmation. ❌ Scenario B: Sell from Resistance Only on Clear Rejection Entry: 3456 – 3458 Stop Loss: 3462 Targets: 3452 → 3448 → 3444 → 3440 → 3435 → 3430 ⚠️ Only enter shorts if clear bearish engulfing or pin-bar setup forms near resistance zone. 🧠 Market Psychology Retail FOMO is being exploited by larger players to exit risk positions. Liquidity engineering is likely in play—smart money drives price up on headlines, then exits into buyer momentum. Equity & Oil rotation signals a shift in institutional preference short-term. 📌 Final Thoughts This isn’t a time to chase breakouts. Gold is entering a volatile re-accumulation phase where news is being weaponized to induce emotional trading. The real edge lies in waiting for price to come to your level and only executing with confirmation. 🎯 Zone to Watch: 3383 – 3385 📉 Avoid chasing moves 📊 Respect your SL & manage risk like a pro — 🧭 Stay patient. The next big move will reward those with discipline and timing.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Toward $3,500? Gold Faces Key Policy DecisionsGold is currently trading around $3,438 and continues to show positive momentum. After a week focused on inflation data, the gold market is now shifting its attention to interest rate decisions and policy guidance from major central banks. The week begins with the Empire State Manufacturing Index, a key indicator of economic activity in the New York region. Following that, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its monetary policy decision, and investors are closely watching to see whether the BoJ will continue normalizing its interest rates. Next comes U.S. retail sales data for May — a crucial gauge of consumer spending, which remains the backbone of the U.S. economy. Any signs of weakness in consumer activity could increase expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. However, the main focus remains the upcoming Fed meeting. While markets widely expect rates to be held steady, investors are awaiting clear signals from Chair Jerome Powell regarding the path and timing of potential rate cuts ahead. According to Kitco’s weekly gold survey, professional analysts remain optimistic about gold’s outlook, while retail investors are showing more caution. With central bank decisions approaching and geopolitical tensions lingering, investors need to stay alert. Risks such as rising social unrest in the U.S., escalating conflicts in the Middle East, and ongoing de-dollarization trends are all fueling demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Given expectations that the Fed will hold rates steady, gold maintains its defensive appeal. In my view, the precious metal may soon retest its highs near $3,500, as its role as a global safe haven becomes even more pronounced amid mounting uncertainty.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Edward_TradingFX
1
3400 3380 are the two points that determine the trend of gold📰 Impact of news: 1. Geopolitical risks 2. Expected Fed policy 📈 Market analysis: This week, the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, retail sales data, initial jobless claims and geopolitical situation will be the core factors affecting global markets. In the short term, gold rebounded after hitting the 3383 line. This round of decline was relatively rapid. At the same time, there is a certain resistance at the 3405-3410 line above in the short term, which is also the main reason for our long orders to leave the market. In the short term, it is recommended to first look at the support situation at the 3380 line below, and then enter the long order after obtaining effective support above this position. On the contrary, if it falls below this short-term support, the gold price is expected to fall to the 3350 mark! For the evening layout, it is recommended to focus on the 3400 long-short watershed, pay attention to the 3410 line of resistance, and pay attention to the 3380 line of support below. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3390-3380 TP 3400-3410-3420 SELL 3400-3390 TP 3380-3360-3350 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
Gold XAUUSD Move 16 June 2025Market Structure: The market isin a clear uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows until a recent break of the ascending trendline, signaling a short-term structural weakness. Current price is in a retracement phase, heading towards previous demand zones. 🔹 Zone 1 (3408–3414): Confluence of: Broken trendline retest (former support). Minor order block / demand zone. Overlapping price reaction area. Risk: This zone may act as a liquidity inducement before price sweeps deeper into Zone 2. Entry trigger: Bullish engulfing or LTF market structure shift on 1m/5m. 🔹 Zone 2 (3380–3384): Stronger demand zone: Aligned with previous accumulation base. Larger imbalance (FVG-type area) and bullish impulsive origin. More convincing for high-RR entries. Higher probability: If Zone 1 fails or only wicks price, Zone 2 may provide the main entry opportunity. Entry trigger: Shift in LTF structure with volume spike or breaker flip. ✅ Trade Signal Suggestions 🟦 Setup 1: Buy from Zone 1 Entry: 3410 (upon bullish confirmation) SL: 3400 (below structure low) TP: 3434 (prior high) RR: ~2.4R Note: Only take if price forms bullish structure (MSS or BOS) on lower timeframe. 🟦 Setup 2: Buy from Zone 2 Entry: 3380/3384 (upon confirmation) SL: 3372 (below demand zone) TP: 3411 or 3434 (scalp to intraday swing) RR: ~1:3 or better Note: Wait for clean rejection or reversal candle from this zone. ⚠️ Risk Management Risk 0.5–1% per trade. Use entry confirmation such as: Bullish engulfing Fair value gap reaction Break of internal structure
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by QuinnReed_Charts
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,622 (UPDATE)Gold moving perfectly, according to our bullish analysis which I posted for you all last week. Gold been bullish for a technical perspective for a while, now we're seeing the elite push out the fundamental factor of the Israel attack on Iran, to help Gold keep moving up. Gold is still within a 'Bullish Accumulation' phase, hence why it's not moving up very strong. Bare in mind, we are in the FINAL WAVE 5 bullish move on a HTF, so we can experience choppy price action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BA_Investments
GOLD's room for growth is still wide, new all-time peakThe Israel-Iran conflict has increased the safe-haven role of gold, while pushing up oil prices, putting further pressure on inflation alongside the tariff pressure from the Trump administration. Although the Israel-Iran conflict may continue to push gold prices higher this week, investors should be cautious and avoid chasing the development of this conflict. Because, gold price increases due to geopolitical events are usually short-lived. In addition to the Israel-Iran conflict, markets will witness a speech by Fed Chairman Powell this week. With the Trump administration’s tariff policy still complicated and the Israel-Iran conflict escalating, the Fed Chairman may continue to signal that interest rates will remain unchanged at the July FOMC meeting. However, there is growing speculation that the Fed may begin laying the groundwork for a rate cut later this year. In the short term, gold prices may be less affected by the Fed's monetary policy. Investors will pay more attention to the Trump administration's tariff policy, especially when the 90-day tariff suspension is about to end. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Technical analysis still shows an upward trend in gold prices in the medium and long term, although gold prices will inevitably have periods of adjustment and accumulation, especially when the Israel-Iran conflict subsides. Accordingly, if the gold price surpasses 3,446 USD/oz, it may continue to increase to the 3,500 USD/oz area. Conversely, if the gold price trades below 3,446 USD/oz, it may adjust to around 3,344 - 3,373 USD/oz, or even lower. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,400 – 3,371 USD Resistance: 3,435 – 3,500 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3485 - 3483⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3489 →Take Profit 1 3477 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3471 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3417 - 3419⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3413 →Take Profit 1 3425 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3431
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
Beyond the News: Why I Trust the Charts When Trading GoldBased on the current structure, I believe gold is in the fifth wave of a larger Elliott Wave formation. On the higher time frame, the price action appears to be contained within a channel that resembles a leading diagonal pattern—where Wave 1 is typically the longest. From this perspective, I anticipate a potential retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the most recent upward move, or a test of the lower boundary of the channel before a reversal may occur. My trading plan involves two potential entry strategies: Enter at the 0.618 Fib retracement with a stop-loss set near the 0.881 level. Wait for a bounce off the lower channel, followed by a pullback and a breakout above the start of the pullback before entering the position. While no trader can be right all the time, having a structured plan with predefined take-profit and stop-loss levels is key to effective risk management and long-term survival in the markets. Why I Favor Technical Over Fundamental Analysis For those wondering why I rely more on technical analysis—especially Elliott Wave Theory—over fundamental news, here’s my reasoning: I’ve found that news and earnings-based trades often behave irrationally. A company may report strong earnings and guidance, only to see its stock sell off, fake a rally the next day, and then sell off again. Conversely, a company with poor earnings may drop ahead of the report, only to rally immediately after. These inconsistencies made it difficult to build a reliable strategy based solely on fundamental data. Over time, I observed that despite news events, the market often completes its technical structure—such as Elliott Wave formations and Fibonacci cycles—before fully reacting to news. In these cases, fundamental developments tend to accelerate or confirm the direction already implied by the technical setup, rather than override it. Gold is no exception. While it's common to assume that the S&P 500 (ES) and gold move in opposite directions due to risk-on/risk-off dynamics, I’ve noticed that they can trend in the same direction when their respective Elliott Wave structures align. This doesn't eliminate the inverse correlation concept entirely, but it highlights the importance of integrating technical analysis into a fundamentally driven view for more precise entries and exits. Ultimately, I view fundamentals as the fuel, and technicals as the engine that defines the path.
TVC:GOLDLong
by polarity
GOLD LIVE TRADE SIGNAL – June 16, 2025 (Price: $3415)🔵 Setup: BUY on Breakout — targeting continuation after corrective pullback 📉 Market Structure: Bullish impulse completed a clear 5-wave Elliott structure Current pullback forming a potential Wave 2 or IV Price sitting above the breakout zone (~3391.6 support) ✅ Trade Details: Entry: Buy @ 3422 (on bullish candle close above local resistance zone) Stop Loss: 3408 (below consolidation low) Target 1: 3445 Target 2: 3468 RRR: ~1:2.3 Confidence: HIGH — strong momentum wave + clean structure 🔍 Technical Confluence: Wave (2) retracement respected Channel breakout held (blue ascending) Minor resistance around 3420 is being retested Volume likely to spike in NY session Caution: Avoid entry if price breaks below 3391.6 – would invalidate short-term structure.
TVC:GOLD
by filatovarthur
XAUUAD UPDATE 16- 6 +2025The chart you provided is a 45-minute time frame analysis for Gold CFDs (US$/OZ). Here's a breakdown of the key elements and what they suggest: --- Current Price $3,414.93, down -18.42 (-0.54%) --- Analysis Summary Price Action The price has recently rejected from a resistance zone (around $3,445–$3,450). It is currently pulling back, heading downward from this resistance. Support Zones Highlighted Multiple horizontal yellow zones mark previous support/resistance levels. The key immediate support level lies near $3,400–$3,405. A deeper support area is visible around $3,360–$3,365, and further below near $3,320. --- Forecast Indication (Based on Markings) A short-term pullback (blue arrow up) may retest the breakdown level (~$3,430). Then, a potential drop toward the next support at $3,360 is expected (blue arrow down). A bearish continuation scenario is emphasized with a red downward arrow, suggesting price may head further down to the $3,320 area if $3,360 fails to hold. --- Implications for Traders Bearish Bias: Suggested by the forecast arrows and recent resistance rejection. Potential Setup: Short on pullback near $3,430 (if price fails to reclaim this zone). Target: $3,360 and possibly $3,320. Stop-loss: Above $3,450 resistance. --- Would you like a trading plan or signal based on this analysis?
TVC:GOLDShort
by Mr_Zakrii
XAU/USD Bullish Continuation SetupThe chart illustrates a bullish market structure for XAU/USD, with price action currently trending upwards. Key technical observations: Support Zone: Price has recently bounced from a support zone around 3,399.710, indicating strong buying interest. Bullish Projection: A bullish continuation is expected. The chart outlines a potential scenario with a minor retracement towards 3,432.835 or 3,399.710, followed by a strong upward move. Targets: Immediate resistance is around 3,502.669. If broken, price may aim for 3,550.351. Final projected target lies near 3,680.000, which aligns with a historical supply zone. Indicators: The green enveloping bands suggest increasing volatility, with the price respecting the upper band, supporting bullish momentum. Conclusion: XAU/USD appears poised for a bullish breakout continuation. A potential pullback could offer a buy opportunity, targeting higher resistance zones as long as the structure remains intact
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZareeFxTradingAac
GOLD Is Very Bullish! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,327.72. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,385.41. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
2
xauusd Entry Level: 3,416.000 USD Price is currently at 3,425.640 USD, so the entry was already triggered and the position is active and in profit. Stop-Loss (SL): 3,407.500 USD Positioned below the minor FVG area; protects against deeper downside if structure fails. Take-Profit Targets (TP): TP1: 3,423.000 USD (short-term scalp zone — already reached) TP2: 3,439.000 USD (medium-term resistance) TP3: 3,452.500 USD (strong upside target; likely near a previous high) Shift Stop to entry after reaching TP1
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tdawly_Official
Gold becomes a strategic anchorPrecious metals continue to climb as investors rush into safe-haven assets following Israel’s airstrikes on Iran, sparking fears of a broader conflict in the Middle East. Many now view the confrontation between Israel and Iran as the most significant geopolitical event since the Russia–Ukraine war. In times of economic turbulence and geopolitical uncertainty, gold once again stands out as a reliable store of value. Adding to the bullish case, weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data earlier this week has strengthened expectations of a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This shift has put downward pressure on the dollar and Treasury yields, giving gold even more room to rise. From my perspective, when geopolitics and monetary policy both signal instability, gold is no longer just a defensive hedge — it becomes a proactive strategy. Holding gold right now is not just about safety — it’s about positioning for a new phase where capital seeks true value and trusted refuge.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lucas-TradingFX
Gold rallies amid global unrestGold continues to assert its strong position as it surged further last week, reaching $3,440 per ounce by the weekend. This upward momentum has been driven by two key factors: escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and growing expectations that the US Federal Reserve may soon begin cutting interest rates. Many experts believe the bullish trend is likely to extend into this week, with the next psychological target set at $3,500. That said, a brief pullback cannot be ruled out after such a rapid ascent. From my perspective, following the recent period of consolidation, gold appears to be regaining strength for another attempt at new highs. The ongoing global political uncertainty continues to fuel demand for this safe-haven asset. As gold pushes higher, investors should ride the trend—but with caution. Staying closely informed on Fed policy shifts and geopolitical developments will be essential for making well-timed, rational trading decisions in this sensitive market environment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lucas-TradingFX
XAUUSD: June 16 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3500, support below 3338 Four-hour chart resistance 3470, support below 3419 One-hour chart resistance 3450, support below 3428-19 Gold news analysis: Last Friday, the further intensification of the geopolitical situation in the Middle East promoted the rise of risk aversion sentiment. Spot gold once broke through $3446, setting a new high in two months. This wave of rise was driven by multiple factors, including the weak inflation data in the United States last week, which further strengthened the market's expectations of the Fed's interest rate cut, thereby increasing the attractiveness of gold. On Monday, gold prices are still likely to continue to benefit from risk aversion and are expected to challenge the 3500 mark in the short term. In addition, this week's market will also be affected by the Fed's resolution and Powell's speech. Investors should pay attention to the potential impact of the Fed's policy trends on gold prices. It is worth noting that US President Trump will visit Canada from June 15 to 17 to attend the G7 Leaders' Summit. The speech during the summit may also cause gold price fluctuations, which needs to be paid attention to. Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the four-hour support 3419 and the one-hour support 3428. The pressure above focuses on the suppression near the daily level 3500. The short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed 3419 is the first-line barrier. Before the four-hour level does not fall below this position, continue to maintain the rhythm of buying on dips and look to 3500. Buy: 3419near SL: 3414 Buy: 3428near SL: 3423
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Gold on the Rise – Will It Break New Highs?Hey traders! What’s your view on XAUUSD? Yesterday, gold surged over 400 pips and the rally hasn't slowed down. Price is now hovering around $3,428, right below a key resistance above the all-time high. Why the spike? US CPI came in lower than expected, boosting hopes for a Fed rate cut. The dollar weakened, tensions in the Middle East grew, and central banks are buying gold aggressively. Personally, I expect a breakout. What about you – will gold pull back or continue its climb? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Edward_TradingFX
3