Gold fluctuates in the short term, pay attention to 3344 and go 📌 Driving Events
After the Fed’s interest rate decision, as expected, the Fed kept the interest rate unchanged in terms of gold, which was in line with market expectations. The price of gold continued to fluctuate and fall in the short term, and the bullish momentum was not obvious. Even if regional conflicts triggered risk aversion, it is likely to show a trend of rising first and then falling. As the price of gold is under pressure at 3,400 points, the intraday rebound will still fall back briefly under the pressure of 3,400 points.
📊Comment Analysis
Short sellers continue to exert selling pressure on gold prices. Accumulate to below 3400
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3390-3400 SL 3410
TP1: $3385
TP2: $3375
TP3: $3365
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3360-$3370 SL $3355
TP1: $3380
TP2: $3390
TP3: $3400
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
Goldinvestment
Gold may usher in new opportunities
Key fundamental drivers
- Middle East tensions and nuclear negotiations Despite the ongoing tensions, Iran's signal of restarting nuclear talks has reduced risk aversion, triggering an intraday sell-off in gold, and the market has digested the reduced possibility of escalation of the conflict. The turbulent situation in the Middle East remains a trigger for market volatility, and any downgrade/escalation signals may trigger sharp fluctuations in gold prices.
- Fed policy and rate cut bets The Fed kept interest rates unchanged this week, but Powell's "data-dependent" stance has raised market expectations for a September rate cut to 60%. A dovish meeting statement could push gold prices above $3,400, while a delayed rate cut signal could drag gold prices to $3,350.
Short-term outlook
In the short term, gold prices may fluctuate between $3,350 and $3,450, and a breakthrough depends on:
- Upside catalyst: Escalating tensions in the Middle East + weak retail sales data may push gold prices to $3,450.
- Downside risks: Fed hawkish signals + fading geopolitical risks could push prices to $3,300.
Key event risks
- June 19: Fed policy meeting (expected to be dovish)
- June 21: US CPI data (inflation indicator to measure the timing of rate cuts)
- Middle East situation: progress in nuclear negotiations and conflict dynamics
💰Strategy Package
Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3390-33396 SL 3400
TP1: 3380 US dollars
TP2: 3375 US dollars
🔥Buy gold area: $3374-$3366 SL $3360
TP1: 3390 US dollars
TP2: 3400 US dollars
Gold is under pressure! What is the key to breaking the deadlock
📌 Core driving events
The conflict between Iran and Israel has entered the fifth day. Air raid alerts in Tel Aviv are frequent. The fire on a cruise ship in the Strait of Hormuz has exacerbated the panic of energy transportation. Safe-haven buying supports gold prices;
Trump's contradictory statement of "peace talks + tough" (may send executives to meet but demand "unconditional surrender") has exacerbated the market's disagreement on the direction of the conflict, and risk aversion has fluctuated repeatedly.
The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision today. The market expects it to remain unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, but Powell's statement on rate cuts will affect the trend of the US dollar (Trump continues to pressure for a 1 percentage point rate cut).
📊Comment Analysis
1-hour chart: 3396 becomes the intraday strength and weakness watershed
The Asian morning session hit a high of 3396 US dollars and fell back. This point is the previous high pressure point. If the intraday rebound does not break through this position, the bearish thinking will be maintained;
💰Strategy Package
Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3390-33396 SL 3402
TP1: 3380 US dollars
TP2: 3375 US dollars
🔥Buy gold area: $3374-$3368 SL $3362
TP1: 3390 US dollars
TP2: 3400 US dollars
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
Continue the rally, get ready for gold to return to 3443
⭐️Gold News:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) fell for the second consecutive trading day on Tuesday, retreating from the gains in the early Asian trading hours, which had briefly pushed above $3,400. A slight rebound in the US dollar (USD) continued to put pressure on the precious metal, acting as a major resistance. However, the downside for gold seems limited due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and growing market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will further cut interest rates in 2025.
Meanwhile, the ongoing air conflict between Israel and Iran has entered its fifth day, exacerbating concerns about further escalation in the region. This ongoing geopolitical uncertainty supports demand for safe-haven assets such as gold. Investors also remained cautious ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)'s two-day policy meeting, the outcome of which could affect the next move of non-yielding gold.
⭐️Technical analysis:
Gold price gets liquidity from the support level below: 3385, 3373 completed, short-term downward trend breaks, gold price will soon return to above 3400.
Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3443-3453 SL 3458
TP1: $3435
TP2: $3422
TP3: $3407
🔥Buy gold area: $3358-$3350 SL $3345
TP1: $3368
TP2: $3376
TP3: $3390
Geopolitics and Fed policies dominate the trend of gold prices
📌 Gold news
On Monday, boosted by the risk aversion of the Iran-Israel war, the gold price hit a high of 3452, but the continuity was not strong, and a series of other adjustments appeared; let's briefly sort it out:
1: Adjustment: Adjustment is normal. If the market rises, if the risk aversion does not continue to exert force, then the gold price can only return to technical adjustments. Therefore, Monday's adjustment trend and the decline trend are normal!
2: Risk aversion trend: The risk aversion trend will not be reversed for the time being! Once the war starts, it will not end easily; unless the interests of both sides are not damaged, the two sides agree to a ceasefire, but at present, the hope and probability are relatively small, so the risk aversion trend is the mainstream of the current global market;
3: The direction of the Iran-Israel war is nothing more than a few possibilities:
A: The war expands, the surrounding countries stand in line, and the US and Western imperialism join the battlefield; the war expands rapidly! At the same time, Iran is forced to block the Strait of Hormuz! This is a manifestation of escalating war;
B: Both sides, as well as the forces behind them, have calculated their interests, reached an agreement, and agreed to end the war conflict; this mainly depends on Iran's attitude; is it "powerful and unyielding", continuing to oppose the United States and imperialism; or is it pro-American, completely changing its identity, or changing its identity to submit to Israel and the United States;
To sum up: risk aversion eased slightly on Monday, but the overall global market is still risk-averse; technical adjustments are normal trends; but don't completely ignore the importance of risk aversion and risk aversion control because of technical adjustments; in addition, the subsequent results of the Middle East war are nothing more than the above two; what determines all this is the attitude of both sides;
📊Comment Analysis
Although the gold price fell below 3400 and the short-term trend changed, the general direction still remains bullish. In the future, it is still expected to hit the high point of 3500, but it is necessary to wait patiently for the bottom to stabilize before choosing the opportunity to buy the bottom. The current market is changing rapidly, and investors should adhere to the principle of following the trend and flexibly adjust their trading strategies.
💰Strategy Package
Short-term gold 3383-3393 long, stop loss 3372, target 3420-3440;
Short-term gold 3420-3430 short, stop loss 3435, target 3390-3370;
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
Iran releases easing signals, gold is still bullish
📣Golden News
1. Iran sends a signal of easing. U.S. media reported that under the pressure of Israeli air strikes, Iran has used Arab intermediaries to send a peace signal to the United States and Israel - asking the United States not to carry out air strikes as a prerequisite for restarting nuclear negotiations, and emphasizing to Israel that controlling violence is in the common interest.
2. Israel's firm stance. Israeli warplanes fly freely over the Iranian capital, and Iran's counterattack is ineffective. Israel is still focused on dismantling Iran's nuclear facilities and weakening its theocratic regime, and there is no motivation to cease fire in the short term.
3. Gold's reaction and strategy. Iran's peace proposal caused the price of gold to plummet to as low as $3,382. However, since the situation in the Middle East has not eased significantly, it is recommended to buy on dips and pay attention to the support level of $3,400. ⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3465-3475 SL 3485
TP1: 3450 USD
TP2: 3440 USD
TP3: 3430 USD
🔥Buy gold area: 3390-3388 USD SL 3383 USD
TP1: 3400 USD
TP2: 3410 USD
TP3: 3422 USD
Gold, continued to rise after a pullback
📌 Driving events
Israel and Iran launched a new round of attacks on each other on Sunday (June 15), exacerbating market concerns that the escalation of the war could trigger a wider regional conflict, and gold continued to receive support from safe-haven buying. (The author believes that according to media reports, Iranian leaders have shown a tougher attitude, and Iran cannot be ruled out to give Israel a strong counterattack, so the geopolitical situation in the Middle East may escalate in the next few days, and gold as a safe-haven asset will shine even brighter.
Kremlin: (On Putin's possible mediation of the Israeli-Iranian conflict) Russia is ready to intervene at any time if necessary. (The author hopes that the two countries will be reconciled as soon as possible)
📊Comment Analysis
1-hour chart: The rising channel breaks down, and short-term shorting is at 3442.
💰Strategy Package
Today's US market plans to sell high and buy low in the 3408-3452 range. If the range breaks, follow the trend, strictly lighten the position and set a good stop loss.
⭐️ Note: I hope traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
I hope everyone will set rules, control emotions, and take a long-term view, and slowly get rid of the control of desire, be at ease in the trading market, find their own way to make money, and truly enjoy the fun and rewards brought by trading.
Analysis of gold trend on June 16!
📣Gold information:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) climbed to $3,445 in early Asian trading on Monday, the highest level in more than a month, as rising tensions in the Middle East and expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve boosted demand for safe-haven assets.
Investors remain focused on geopolitical risks despite stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data on Friday. The University of Michigan's consumer confidence index jumped to 60.5 in June, well above market expectations of 53.5 and 52.2 in May. However, the market largely shrugged off the data. Instead, attention turned to the escalating conflict in the Middle East, with Israel's recent attack on Iran fueling concerns about instability in the wider region. In response, Iranian authorities warned that they would "respond firmly to any adventurism," which boosted gold's appeal amid global uncertainty.
⭐️Technical review and analysis: For the current short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to rebound high and go long, with the upward resistance level of 3450-3500 and the downward support level of 3385-3335.
⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3465-3475 SL 3485
TP1: $3450
TP2: $3430
🔥Buy gold area: $3390-$3388 SL $3383
TP1: $3400
TP2: $3422
Is this week a chance for gold to break through 3,500?
⭐️Gold Information:
Gold prices surged for the third consecutive trading day on Friday as geopolitical tensions intensified after Israel launched a military strike on Iranian targets, including nuclear facilities and key leaders. The escalation of the situation triggered widespread risk aversion in global markets, stimulating demand for safe-haven assets. As of the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading at $3,431.
Gold surged to a five-week high of $3,446 before giving up gains as traders took profits before the weekend. Geopolitical turmoil, coupled with dovish signals released by recent US inflation data, reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin to cut interest rates later this year - despite improved consumer confidence. These factors together support the bullish momentum of gold.
⭐️Personal Comment:
Continued military tensions next week are a big driving force for gold prices to continue to break through 3,500
. 🔥 Technical aspects:
Based on the resistance and support levels of gold prices in the H4 framework, the following important key areas can be identified:
Resistance: $3488, $3502, $3562
Support: $3382, $3342
Geopolitical tensions, gold prices may reach 3480 points⭐️Personal comments:
Due to the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, market risk sentiment has slightly rebounded, and investors are more inclined to buy traditional safe-haven assets-gold
Moving towards 3480
⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3478-3480 SL 3485
TP1: $3462
TP2: $3450
TP3: $3435
🔥Buy gold area: $3375-$3377 SL $3370
TP1: $3389
TP2: $3400
TP3: $3412
Israel attacks Iran, gold price correction can be long gold
📣Gold news
Today, Israel launched an attack on Iran, and the gold price reached a high of $3,433/ounce, the highest level since May 6, and the weekly increase exceeded 3.6%, the highest level since the week of May 19.
Spot gold continued to rise during the US trading session on Thursday, reaching a weekly high of $3,398.55/ounce. However, in the afternoon of the same day, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce stated that China and the United States reached a principled agreement on implementing the consensus of the heads of state call and consolidating the results of the Geneva talks, and made new progress in resolving each other's economic and trade concerns. Affected by the easing of the Sino-US trade situation, the safe-haven demand for gold dropped sharply, and the price fell rapidly by $30 from the high, reaching a low of $3,338/ounce. The market risk appetite has rebounded significantly, and the risk aversion sentiment has cooled significantly. Combined with the fact that the monthly and annual rates of the US CPI released in the evening were both lower than expected, indicating that inflationary pressure has not intensified. After the data was released, the market's expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points before the end of the year have further increased.
📊Technical analysis:
Technically, the upper track of the daily line is still in a flat state. The current market has reached a high of around 3444. After the rise on Thursday, it is expected that there will be little room above. Since the market is in a volatile rise, it is not suitable to directly chase the rise. The 4-hour Bollinger band continues to diverge upward, and the moving average is arranged in a bullish pattern, indicating that the current market is in a strong position. If it breaks high on Thursday, there will be a chance of rising on Friday. In terms of operation, keep the idea of calling back and going long. If it falls below 3367 again, there will be repeated fluctuations.
Today's operation strategy💰
If the gold price falls back to around 3375, go long. If it is around 3370 and 3365, add more. Stop loss at 3360. Target 3420-3430
Sell short near 3430. Add shorts in batches near 3430 and 3435. Stop loss at 3440. Target 3380-3374
(If you have just entered the market, the gold market is confusing. The operation direction is always reversed. The entry price is not sure. The position is trapped. You can contact Labaron to get the gold price trend analysis And online guidance for unwinding! )
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Keep gold shorts open and look forward to profits!After breaking through the resistance areas near 3335 and 3355, gold continued to rise to around 3379; although the rise in gold was relatively large, after gold touched above 3370, the bullish momentum weakened and there were signs of high-level stagflation, so gold is still expected to usher in a wave of retracement in the short term.
After the sharp rise in gold, the current relatively obvious support area is located in the 3345-3335 area. If gold cannot effectively break through 3380, then gold is expected to retrace to test the support of the 3345-3335 area again.
As the trading strategy shared in my previous opinion, I have shorted gold in batches in the 3370-3380 area as planned. At present, we still hold short positions. Let us look forward to the expected retracement of gold!
CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:DXY
Continue to short goldTechnical aspect:
Gold rebounded gradually after hitting 3120, and has now rebounded to around 3200. Where will gold rebound? Is there still a chance to continue to short gold?
In fact, from the current structure, gold has not shown a clear bottoming signal, so this wave of rebound can only be regarded as a technical repair after the decline; however, the rebound from 3120 to around 3200 is not small, which will significantly increase the probability of 3120 as a short-term bottom; so where will gold rise? I think gold is currently under resistance in the 3200-3210 area, and it may be difficult to break through this resistance area in a short period of time. When facing this resistance area, gold may fall under pressure and test the 3165-6155 area again;
If gold really needs to form a reversal structure, it is necessary for gold to retest the 3165-3155 area support again and form a "W" double bottom structure with the 3120 low; only in this way can a complete reversal structure be formed.
Trading strategy:
Consider continuing to short gold in the 3195-3205 area, TP: 3165-3155
No fear of retracement, continue to be long on goldFundamentals:
1. First, focus on Trump and the Fed’s dynamics;
2. Pay attention to whether the geopolitical conflicts escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran, etc.
Technical aspects:
Gold fell after touching 3330, but it is obvious that the retracement space of gold is being compressed. The lowest price of gold only fell back to 3313, and it did not even make any attempt below 3310. With the continuous consolidation and strengthening of the support in the 3310-3300 area, the double bottom structure and the arc bottom form a technical resonance in the short term. Gold should still have room to continue to rise. I expect that gold is likely to continue to rebound and extend to the 3350-3360 area.
Trading strategy:
It is possible to consider going long on gold again after gold falls back to the 3315-3305 area, and expect gold to rise above 3350 as expected!
Gold’s decline is not over yet, aim at: 3160-3150Gold fell below the 3200 mark several times during the test. Although it recovered above 3200 several times, the rebound momentum is gradually weakening, giving short sellers the opportunity to counterattack.
From the perspective of the morphological structure, gold has perfectly constructed an arc top structure, laying a solid foundation for gold to usher in a retracement at any time. The 4-hour candle chart shows that the fall has just begun, so gold still has plenty of room for retracement. At present, gold has rebounded slightly after touching around 3200, but if it cannot break through the 3216-3220 zone during the rebound, it will further confirm the downward trend of gold, then gold will inevitably retreat to the 3160-3150 zone, and in the process of decline, once the profit chips are cashed in or even panic selling is triggered, gold may even have the opportunity to retreat to the 3130-3120 zone!
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, I still advocate shorting gold in batches. The decline of gold has not ended. Let us look forward to gold bringing us huge profits during the retracement!
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Gold Approaches 3100, Short Opportunity EmergesGold has reached a high of around 3085, now just a step away from the 3100 level. However, for short-term trading, I view the 3085-3105 range as an ideal zone to consider short positions on gold.
📍Short-Term Trading Strategy:
Consider scaling into short positions within the 3085-3105 range. Pay close attention to position sizing and risk management when setting up trades.
📍Key Support Levels to Watch:
-First target: 3065-3055
-Second target: 3045-3040
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Short gold at the right time after rebound📍Gold experienced a sharp decline to around 3002 in the short term — did it catch you off guard? Despite the rapid drop, I remained committed to my trading logic and strategy. As long as gold holds above the 3005-2995 support zone, a rebound toward the 3015 level remains likely. After stabilizing, gold has already rebounded above 3014, nearly reaching our target zone of 3015. In response, we opted to manually close our positions to lock in profits.
📍Looking ahead, our primary focus will be on the 3015-3025 resistance zone. In the short term, gold has shown signs of forming a descending channel structure. If it fails to decisively break above the 3015-3025 zone and invalidate the downtrend channel, there remains a possibility of a retest of the 3000 level, with further downside potential toward the 2995-2985 range.
🔎Trade Idea:
Xauusd: Sell at 3015-3025
TP:3010-3000
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
📩Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
Gold is about to take off like a rocket, boldly go long gold!Bros, don't have any doubts about the rise of gold. Gold is just accumulating upward momentum during the shock process. Once the shock ends, gold will take off like a rocket.
In the short term, gold has tested the support of the 2900-2890 area many times and has never fallen below, confirming that the support in this area is effective. In addition, the candle chart forms multiple long lower shadows in the short period, indicating that the gold price refuses to fall, which will attract more off-market funds to buy gold. In this market, the longer the gold shock time, the higher the increase, so please relax and let us look forward to the gold rocket taking off! The first target in the short term is 2920. Once gold stands above 2920, gold is bound to reach 2930, and it is even expected to continue to rise to 2955
Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
Buy gold aggressively and grab bargains!Bros, I have just clearly pointed out in the last article that gold will continue to rise after repeatedly testing and confirming the support of the 2900-2890 zone. I expect gold to at least test the 2920-2930 area again, and once gold stands above 2920, it will inevitably break through 2930 and even hopefully reach the previous high of 2955 again.
So brothers, gold falling back to the 2900-2890 zone is a good time for us to pick up bargains. I have picked up a lot of bargains in this zone, have you picked them up?
Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
Short gold! Target to earn 400 pips!!!Bros, gold has failed to effectively break through the 2920 area after many attempts during the rebound, and has consumed too much bull momentum near the resistance area. The shorts will become relatively stronger; gold has just fallen below 2900 strongly during the decline, further indicating that gold will choose a downward direction, and the current gold rebound is more likely to reserve room for a decline in the NFP market tomorrow.
So in terms of short-term trading, I still insist on shorting gold. At the latest on Friday in the US market, I expect gold to usher in a wave of big declines, at least retreating to the 2880-2870 area again, or even near the 2860 area. Brothers, are you optimistic about the big decline in gold?
Bros, only by following the right people can you execute the right transactions and master the skills to make money. If you want to master independent trading skills and thinking while copying trading signals and making stable profits, you can join the channel at the bottom of this article to liberate your trading talent!
Keep the trading rhythm of shorting goldBros, although gold seems to want to continue to rise, it still faces resistance in the 2930-2940 zone in the short term, and even resistance near the stage high of 2955, so it is not easy for gold to seek a breakthrough upward.
Moreover, it is easy for technical false breakthroughs to occur before the NFP market on Friday, and there are technical temptations to do long candlesticks. Therefore, before breaking through the key resistance area, we can still short gold, and it is not difficult to expect gold to retreat to the 2910-2900 zone.
Bros, did you follow me to short gold? Wise choices are far greater than hard work. Only by following the right people can we execute the right transactions and accumulate profits that change our lives and destiny. If you want to copy trading signals and make stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and techniques in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Short trade in progressBros, today's trading view is very clear. We still continue to short gold, and there is no problem in making 200-300pips of profit in the short term.
Gold faces multiple key resistances above 2930. It is difficult to have enough momentum to break through the multiple key resistances above in the short term; and before the NFP market on Friday, both long and short sides are relatively cautious, and it is difficult to form a unilateral trend market. The overall market still fluctuates within the range. So I think shorting gold is still profitable.
In terms of short-term trading, I have taken the 2930-2940 area as resistance and shorted gold below 2930. At present, gold has fallen back to below 2920. Our short position has made a good profit. What we need to do now is to wait patiently for gold to continue to fall back, so as to bring us more lucrative profits.
Bros, did you follow me to short gold? Wise choices are far greater than hard work. Only by following the right people can we execute the right transactions and accumulate profits that change our lives and destiny. If you want to copy trading signals and make stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and techniques in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!