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Gold Extends Rally as New High Emerges📊 Market Overview: Gold reached a new intraday high at $3,447 today, supported by a weaker USD and stable U.S. Treasury yields. Prices then pulled back slightly to $3,423 amid short-term profit-taking. Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and expectations that the Fed may hold or cut rates continue to drive demand for safe-haven assets like gold. 📉 Technical Analysis: Key Resistance Levels: • $3,447 – Intraday high on June 13 • $3,465 – Strong Fibonacci extension resistance • $3,480 – Next upside target if price breaks above $3,447 Key Support Levels: • $3,423 – Current price and intraday congestion zone • $3,410 – Minor support on the H4 chart • $3,400 – Psychological support & 20-day MA • EMA: Price is trading above the 09-day EMA → short-term trend remains bullish • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: Strong bullish candle with high volume; RSI at 67 indicates further upside potential. Short lower wicks suggest limited selling pressure. MACD on both H4 and daily charts favors continued upside momentum. 📌 Outlook: Gold is likely to continue rising if it holds the $3,410–$3,423 support zone. A break above $3,447 may open the path toward $3,480 or higher. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: • Entry: $3,420 – $3,425 • 🎯 TP: $3,480 • ❌ SL: $3,408 🔻 SELL XAU/USD • Entry: $3,445 – $3,450 • 🎯 TP: $3,423 – $3,410 • ❌ SL: $3,457
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
"XAU/USD Bearish Setup: Rising Channel Breakdown AnticipatedPrevious Resistance Zone (Red Rectangle): The chart shows a clear resistance zone between ~3,340 and ~3,370 USD. Price was rejected sharply from this zone earlier (marked by the large blue dot at the swing high). Current Rising Channel (Blue Channel): A rising wedge or ascending channel is forming, typically a bearish continuation pattern when found in a downtrend. Price is currently testing the upper boundary of this pattern. Bearish Projection (Red Path & Arrows): The chart creator expects a rejection from the top of the channel, leading to a breakdown and a move toward the next key support at ~3,246.94 USD. A large red arrow and projected box highlight the short setup zone with an implied favorable risk/reward ratio. Support Target: Blue horizontal line at 3,246.94 marks the next significant support level, likely a take-profit target for short sellers. Macro Factors: Three small icons indicate upcoming U.S. economic events, possibly influencing XAU/USD volatility and confirming the move. ✅ Summary: Bias: Bearish Pattern: Rising Channel (bearish structure) Entry Zone: Around 3,350–3,360 USD (top of channel) Target Zone: ~3,246 USD Risk: Invalid if price closes strongly above the resistance zone (~3,370 USD)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZareeFxTradingAac
Bull market continues? Beware of the possibility of a pullback📰 Impact of news: 1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates 📈 Market analysis: In the short term, gold is expected to rise further. Relatively speaking, there is still room for further increase. If it continues to rise today, it depends on the test of 3440 points, which is the opening position of the previous decline. In the short term, pay attention to the 3340-3350 resistance. If it can break through and stay above it, the 3468-3493 line we gave in the morning can still be used as a reference, and it is even expected to reach 3500. But at the same time, the RSI indicator in the hourly chart is approaching the overbought area, so we still need to be vigilant about the possibility of a pullback. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3440-3450 TP 3430-3420 BUY 3415-3400 TP 3420-3440 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
XAUUSD:Go long, go long "Israel announced a strike on Iran" broke out the news, gold and crude oil in the Asian session soared. Again help us recently do long ideas, too late to explain so much, the follow-up trading ideas are still long after the pullback. After 3403 broke through has been converted into strong support, short - term to 3415-20 to do more. Trading Strategy: BUY@3415-20 TP:3440-50 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
After the Pullback, Gold May Head Toward the 3500 Mark📊 Market Overview: Gold surged to 3444 during the Asian session on rising expectations of an early Fed rate cut after softer-than-expected US CPI data. However, profit-taking pushed prices back to the 3425 zone. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: 3444 • Nearest Support: 3403 – 3406 • EMA 9: Price remains above EMA 9 → trend is still bullish. • Momentum & RSI: RSI has cooled off from near-overbought territory (~70), suggesting a short-term pullback may occur. 📌 Outlook: Gold may correct slightly toward support before resuming its upward trend if the 3403–3406 zone holds firm. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3440 – 3444 🎯 TP: 3420 ❌ SL: 3449 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3406 – 3403 🎯 TP: 3426 ❌ SL: 3399
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
1
Oil prices soar after Israel attacks IranIsrael launched an airstrike on Iran in the early hours of Friday (June 13), targeting its nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and senior military commanders, once again escalating tensions in the region. The head of Iran's Revolutionary Guard was reportedly killed, and the military leader was not the only target. Six Iranian nuclear scientists were also killed in the attack. Iran has responded by launching more than 100 drones, some of which may have been intercepted by Israel's "Iron Dome" air defense system. The attack came as the United States and Iran were negotiating a new deal that could have allowed Iran to maintain a limited nuclear program in exchange for reduced sanctions on its oil exports. The next round of talks, originally scheduled for Sunday, has been canceled by Iran, although the United States claims that it was not involved in the night attack. Crude oil futures give up some early gains Oil prices soared after news of the attack broke. WTI and Brent crude futures initially jumped more than 10% before retreating, narrowing gains to nearly 6% during European trading hours. While there are no signs that Israel attacked any Iranian oil facilities, this major escalation has the potential to turn into something more nasty, such as a wider and more prolonged regional conflict. At the very least, the recent nuclear deal has been put on hold, which provides a floor for oil prices even if tensions ease in the coming days. Dollar rebounds from three-year low Safe haven assets, including the battered dollar, also rose, while stocks fell sharply. The dollar regained some of its appeal today and rebounded as geopolitical risks intensified. The dollar outperformed other safe haven currencies, including the yen and Swiss franc, despite rising expectations of a Fed rate cut after weak U.S. CPI and PPI data this week. However, the dollar may still face pressure in the long run: the trade war is not going to end in the short term, while Trump has again raised the possibility of intervening in Fed policy. On Thursday, Trump expressed his dissatisfaction with the government's annual $600 billion debt interest payments due to high interest rates, saying "I may have to take some coercive measures." His cryptic comments heightened market anxiety, coming a day after he said on Wednesday that countries would unilaterally set tariffs if no trade deal was reached by the July 9 deadline. Later today, the focus will turn to the University of Michigan's preliminary consumer confidence survey. Ahead of the data, the dollar rose about 0.3% against a basket of currencies, recovering from a more than three-year low hit yesterday. Yen edged higher ahead of Bank of Japan decision The yen was also positive today (except against the dollar), further boosted by a Bloomberg report that Bank of Japan officials expect inflation to be slightly higher than expected this year, even though markets expect no rate hike at next week's meeting. The June decision is likely to focus on the Bank of Japan's bond-buying program as markets worry that long-term yields have risen too quickly. But any slowdown in the reduction of bond purchases is likely to be accompanied by a more hawkish outlook on short-term rates. Gold shines as stocks avoid a sharp sell-off Meanwhile, gold prices broke through the $3,400 mark, heading towards April's all-time high of $3,500. If military tensions between Israel and Iran escalate further, the precious metal could well hit new records. In addition, heightened doubts about whether the U.S. can sign new trade deals with major trading partners in time for the next deadline also provide significant support for gold prices in the short term. The only surprise is that despite all the uncertainty, stock markets have been relatively resilient: Asian stocks fell less than 1% on Friday, while European stocks and U.S. futures are currently down 1%-1.5%. FX:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD VELOCITY:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Charlie_Analyst
1
As conflict escalates, gold is cautiously long📰 Impact of news: 1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates 📈 Market analysis: The worsening geopolitical situation caused a surge in gold prices. The intraday short-term support points of 3420, 3402, and 3380 will all become key support for testing bulls. If the European session is strong, 3420 cannot be lost. If it falls back and loses, it will move closer to the top and bottom conversion position of 3402. If you go long later, you must pay attention to the weakening of the upward momentum. If the European session continues to break the high of 3440, then the US session can be seen around 3468-3493. If the upward momentum in the European session weakens, we need to watch out for a short-selling counterattack and a sharp decline. The geopolitical situation is unstable. Bros must strictly control SL when trading independently. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3420-3402-3380 TP 3390-3400-3420-3460-3490 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum Breakout🔔 GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum Breakout 💥📈 📊 Overview: Gold has confirmed a strong bullish breakout from the consolidation zone, driven by sustained support and recent upward pressure. After rebounding from the MAIN SUPPORT zone around $3,200, price action has surged and successfully touched the 1st Take Profit (TP1) zone at $3,429. 🔍 Key Levels: 🟩 Main Support: $3,200 zone — held firm and acted as a launchpad for the bullish reversal. 📌 1st TP (Touched): $3,429 — resistance level has been tested and price is currently hovering near it. 🎯 Next Target (TP2): $3,504 — price is expected to approach this zone as bullish momentum continues. 📈 Technical Outlook: Price structure shows a clear higher low formation followed by a strong impulse breakout. Current momentum suggests bulls are in control, with volume and volatility increasing on the upward leg. As long as the price remains above the $3,366 short-term support, the bias remains bullish. 🛑 Risk Note: Watch for possible rejection near TP2. A failure to hold above $3,366 may trigger a pullback to retest lower zones. ✅ Conclusion: The bullish continuation scenario remains valid with potential to hit the $3,504 mark. Traders may look for long opportunities on pullbacks while maintaining tight risk management. 🔐📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VikingFx-Community
6
Gold/XAUUSD Possible Move 13 June 2025 The market continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum within a well-respected ascending channel. After an impulsive breakout to the upside, price is now retracing in a healthy corrective move, offering high-probability buying opportunities at two well-defined demand zones. 🔍 Technical Structure: Price is trending inside an ascending parallel channel, with clear respect for both the median and outer trendlines. A significant bullish impulse pushed price above previous local highs, suggesting institutional interest and continuation potential. Currently, price is retracing and approaching two key demand areas that align with bullish continuation setups. 🎯 Key Buy Zones: ✅ Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412 Minor mitigating demand zone, likely to act as support if the market retraces slightly. Ideal for aggressive long entries if price shows confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, LTF structure shift). ✅ Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385 Deeper unmitigated demand zone, aligned with a potential liquidity sweep and strong institutional support. Considered a high-probability entry area for larger impulse moves. 🌍 Fundamental Context: Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, can lead to sharp intraday moves, with 100+ pip 5-minute candles not being out of the question. Given this backdrop, demand zones become critical areas for smart money entries as traders seek to align technical levels with macro drivers. 📈 Trade Signal: Bias: 🔵 Bullish Buy Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412 SL: Below 3,395 TP: 3425, 3440, trail till 3,470 R:R: ~1:3 Buy Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385 SL: Below 3,368 R:R: ~1:4 🧠 Final Note: Watch for price reaction at both zones. Use LTF confirmation before entry and respect your risk management. With news-driven volatility in play, quick movements are expected, offering excellent trade opportunities for prepared traders.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by QuinnReed_Charts
Gold Buy Setup📍 GOLD 4H BUY SETUP Price bounced perfectly off a major demand zone, reclaiming structure and pushing above the Ichimoku cloud — classic bullish confirmation. ✅ Entered at 3372 with a tight SL at 3331 🎯 Targeting 3499 — key buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs 📊 Risk-to-Reward: 1:3.18 (High probability setup) We’ve got: Strong volume surge off demand EMA support holding firm Structure break + reaccumulation 📈 Eyes on wave continuation — clean long into liquidity.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by jamesibartram
1
The situation in the Middle East has triggered global shock The escalation of tensions in the Middle East, especially Israel's military strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, has caused crude oil prices to soar, safe-haven assets such as gold and the Swiss franc have been sought after, while Asian stocks and Wall Street stock index futures have fallen sharply. Global financial markets are experiencing a violent shock caused by a geopolitical storm. The escalation of tensions in the Middle East, especially Israel's military strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, has caused crude oil prices to soar, safe-haven assets such as gold and the Swiss franc have been sought after, while Asian stocks and Wall Street stock index futures have fallen sharply. Investors have adjusted their investment strategies against the backdrop of increasing uncertainty, and market sentiment seems to be uneasy. Middle East conflict escalates: Israel's "preemptive strike" has attracted global attention Israel's military action against Iran On Friday (June 13), Israel announced a so-called "preemptive strike" against Iran, targeting Iran's nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and military commanders. Israel claimed that the action was aimed at preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons and warned that the military action would last for a long time. In response to possible retaliation from Iran, Israel has declared a state of emergency. U.S. Secretary of State Rubio publicly stated that Israel's action was a unilateral action taken out of self-defense, showing its tough attitude towards the situation in the Middle East. Iran's tough response The Iranian Revolutionary Guard responded quickly and issued a statement saying that Israel would pay a "heavy price" for killing the Revolutionary Guard Commander-in-Chief Salami. This statement further exacerbated market concerns that the situation in the Middle East might get out of control. Analysts pointed out that Iran's possible retaliatory actions, including missile and drone attacks, would further escalate regional tensions and bring more uncertainty to the global economy and energy markets. Crude oil prices soared: supply risks pushed up oil prices Oil prices once soared 14%, hitting a recent high Directly affected by the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, the global crude oil market responded quickly. Brent crude oil futures prices once rose by $8 to $78.47 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate oil prices rose 14% to $77.62 per barrel, the highest since January 21. Market concerns about oil supply disruptions in the Middle East are the main driving force behind the surge in oil prices. Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo Bank, pointed out that if geopolitical tensions continue to intensify, crude oil prices may continue to rise. Outlook for the energy market As a key region for global energy supply, any escalation of conflict in the Middle East could lead to disruptions in oil production and transportation. Analysts warn that if Iran retaliates, it could further push up oil prices and even trigger a global energy crisis. This not only poses a challenge to countries that rely on imported energy, but may also increase global inflationary pressures. Safe-haven assets are hot: gold approaches historical highs, Swiss franc and yen strengthen Gold prices approach record highs Against the backdrop of rising risk aversion in the market, gold has become the focus of investors' pursuit. Spot gold prices once rose 1.7% to about $3,444 per ounce, just one step away from the all-time high of $3,500.05 set in April. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold is often favored when geopolitical and economic uncertainties intensify. Swiss franc and yen appreciate In addition to gold, safe-haven currencies are also sought after by the market. The Swiss franc rose about 0.58% against the U.S. dollar (CHF=EBS) to 0.8072; the yen appreciated 0.4% against the U.S. dollar, but now both have given up their gains due to the rise in the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar index fell first and then rose, and is now up 0.5% to 98.36, indicating that the market demand for the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset is also increasing. U.S. Treasuries are in demand The U.S. Treasury market also reflects the rising risk aversion. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell 1% to 4.31%, a one-month low, indicating that investors prefer to hold low-risk assets in turbulent times. Global stock markets are under pressure: Asian stocks and U.S. stock futures fell sharply Asian stock markets plunged Asian stock markets generally fell on Friday, dragged down by the sharp drop in Wall Street stock index futures. Japan's Nikkei index fell 1.6% at one point, South Korea's benchmark stock index fell 1.7% at one point, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 1% at one point. MooMoo strategist Jessica Amir said that global stock markets have continued to rise since April, and the MSCI global market stock index hit a record high this week, but the market is ready for a correction, and the escalation of the situation in the Middle East is just a catalyst to trigger the decline. US and European stock index futures plummeted US S&P index futures fell 2% at one point, Nasdaq index futures fell 2.1% at one point, and the pan-European STOXX 50 index futures fell 1.6%. Market analysts pointed out that investors tend to cut risk positions before the weekend to cope with the uncertainty that the situation in the Middle East may further deteriorate. Market Outlook: Dual Pressures of Geopolitics and Trade Policy Geopolitical risks continue to ferment Charu Chanana of Saxo Bank pointed out that the escalation of geopolitics has added new uncertainties to the already fragile market sentiment. If the situation in the Middle East continues to deteriorate, crude oil and safe-haven assets will continue to be sought after, and global stock markets may face greater downward pressure. Investors need to pay close attention to Iran's response and Israel's subsequent military actions. Uncertainty in trade policy At the same time, US President Trump's trade policy has also added pressure on the global economy. Tariff barriers and trade restrictions may further weaken global economic growth expectations, and combined with geopolitical risks in the Middle East, they may have a more far-reaching impact on financial markets. Summary: Investment strategies in market turmoil The sudden escalation of the situation in the Middle East has plunged global financial markets into turmoil, with soaring crude oil prices, strengthening safe-haven assets, and sharp declines in stock markets, reflecting investors' high sensitivity to uncertainty. In the coming days, Iran's response and the mediation efforts of the international community will become the focus of market attention. For investors, in a highly volatile market environment, it would be a wise choice to remain cautious, pay attention to safe-haven assets, and closely follow geopolitical developments. At the same time, the trade and energy challenges facing the global economy also remind us that future uncertainties may be far from over. FX:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Charlie_Analyst
1
Gold Bull Run: Wave 5 on the Way! Elliott Wave Setup – We're in Wave 5, riding a powerful upward channel from the recent Wave 4 low, aiming for ~$3,500–3,600 Key Resistance & Breakout – The $3,497–3,500 area is critical. A clean breakout above this could open the next leg toward ~$3,600–3,700, echoing forecasts from ANZ and Cantor . Support Level – Immediate support lies around the $3,392 area (recent resistance turned support). A dip back to $3,420–3,440 could provide a strong buying opportunity. Macro Drivers – Geopolitical tensions (especially in the Middle East) and a soft U.S. dollar are fueling safe-haven buying, matching broader bullish sentiment . 📈 Outlook: Minor pullback expected, then resumption of rally. Breakout above $3,500 could trigger the next surge. 🛡️ Strategy Tip: Consider buying on dips around $3,420–3,450 with resistance-based stop-loss and targets at $3,500 then $3,600–3,700.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
GOLD/USD Bullish Breakout ConfirmationGOLD/USD Bullish Breakout Confirmation 🚀📈 📊 Technical Analysis Overview: The chart illustrates a bullish breakout above a well-defined resistance zone around $3,390–$3,400. Price action has decisively closed above this resistance, suggesting strong bullish momentum. 🔍 Key Observations: 🟦 Support Zone: Marked clearly between $3,250–$3,280, this level has held firm multiple times (highlighted with green arrows and orange circles), confirming buyer interest and market structure. 🟦 Resistance Turned Support: The previous resistance zone around $3,390–$3,400 has now potentially turned into a new support. Price retesting this zone and holding would further validate the breakout. 📈 Future Projections: The chart anticipates a retest-pullback-continuation scenario: Pullback to new support 📉 Bullish continuation toward $3,460+ 🎯 if support holds. ✅ Bias: Bullish as long as price remains above the $3,390 zone. Break and hold below would invalidate the bullish setup. 📌 Strategy Tip: Look for confirmation on the lower timeframes (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) on the retest before entering long.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MrStellanSight
Spot gold is expected to test the $3,450 resistance levelSpot gold continued to rise in the Asian session on Friday (June 13), reaching a high of $3,443.18 per ounce, an increase of about 1.57%. Reuters technical analysts pointed out that spot gold is expected to test the resistance level of $3,450 per ounce, breaking through which it may rise to the range of $3,473 to $3,488. The c wave that opened at $3,294 briefly broke through the 86.4% forecast level of $3,429. Currently, the wave is moving towards the 100% forecast level of $3,450. The current rise is classified as a continuation of the previous upward trend that started at $3,245. The support level is at $3,413, and a break below this level may cause gold prices to fall to the range of $3,372 to $3,391. The daily chart shows that gold prices are expected to return to the high of $3,500 on April 22. Depending on how deep the decline is from this high, gold prices could eventually rise to $3,800. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLDQ2025 OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Charlie_Analyst
Gold May See Minor Pullback After Testing $3400📊 Market Development: Gold surged to approach the $3,400 mark after U.S. Unemployment Claims came in higher than expected. The weak labor data increased speculation of an earlier rate cut by the Fed, pressuring the USD and bond yields, which in turn supported gold prices. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,400 • Nearest Support: $3,365 • EMA: Price remains above EMA 09 → bullish bias intact • Candle/Volume/Momentum: Long upper wick on H1 suggests profit-taking near $3,400; declining volume may signal weakening momentum. 📌 Outlook: Gold may experience a short-term pullback if it fails to break above $3,400 and the USD strengthens in the New York session. 💡 Suggested Trade Setup: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,395–$3,400 🎯 TP: $3,375 ❌ SL: $3,406 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,365–$3,370 🎯 TP: $3,390 ❌ SL: $3,355
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold Price Analysis June 12Yesterday's D1 daily frame bounced and closed above 3348. That led to a price gap today. 3375 is a resistance zone that is showing price reaction in the Asian session. If it cannot be broken at the end of the session, it is possible to set up a sell at 3355 for BUY strategies in the GAP zone. Any price decrease today is considered a good opportunity for buying Gold to aim for 3411. Pay attention to the 3355-3347-3338 zone for BUY signals today. Target is still 3411 but there is still 3386 which may have a reaction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
Gold prices soared again!Market news: Spot gold continued to be strong in the early Asian session on Friday (June 13), and is currently trading around $3,423 per ounce. London gold prices have risen for three consecutive days, fueled by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut bets caused by the cooling of US economic data. The global financial market is in a complex environment with multiple factors intertwined, and the attractiveness of international gold as a safe-haven asset has once again become prominent.Tensions in the Middle East have become an important catalyst for the rise in gold prices. The supporting role of geopolitical risks on gold prices cannot be underestimated. Historically, whenever there is a major conflict or escalation of tensions in the Middle East, gold has often become a safe haven for funds. At present, the confrontation between Iran and the United States and the potential conflict risks of regional military bases have provided solid momentum for gold prices to rise.In the short term, gold still has strong upside potential, especially driven by geopolitical risks and expectations of interest rate cuts. However, investors need to be wary of the risk of a correction that may be brought about by inflationary pressures and uncertainty in trade policies. For long-term investors, the value of gold as a safe-haven asset in a diversified investment portfolio cannot be ignored. Technical review: Technically, gold maintains a strong positive structure, and yesterday's sharp rise approached the 3400 mark. The daily chart still remains above the MA10/5-day moving average, and the RSI indicator is at the 50-value axis and turns upward, and the price is in the upper track of the Bollinger band. The short-term four-hour chart moving average system maintains a golden cross opening upward, and the price gradually moves up along the MA10-day moving average, and the price is running in the upper track of the Bollinger band channel. The technical side of gold continues to fluctuate upward, with low-multiple layout as the main idea and high-altitude auxiliary. The current market is strong. If it breaks through the high on Thursday, there will be a second chance of rising on Friday. In terms of operation, keep the idea of ​​buying on pullback. Pay attention to the support near 3407 below in the short term, and pay attention to the resistance near 3438 above. It may fall back after a strong pressure of 3450; Today's analysis: The situation in the Middle East has escalated. Gold has risen again due to risk aversion, directly breaking through 3400. The risk aversion sentiment of gold has heated up, and there are signs of easing for the time being. Then the risk aversion sentiment of gold may increase, and gold is expected to continue to rise. Gold bulls have begun to take the lead again under the blessing of risk aversion. At present, gold buying is better, so continue to buy. The 1-hour moving average of gold has formed a golden cross upward buying arrangement. The buying power of gold is getting stronger and stronger, and it is unstoppable. The outbreak of risk aversion is completely an emotional catharsis. Only when the emotions are fully released, the strength of gold bulls will weaken. The decline of gold is buying. The Asian session of gold fell back to the 3400-line barrier to support low-price buying. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3410-3420, stop loss at 3395, target at 3430-3450; Sell short-term gold at 3447-3450, stop loss at 3458, target at 3400-3380; Key points: First support level: 3407, second support level: 3392, third support level: 3378 First resistance level: 3438, second resistance level: 3450, third resistance level: 3473
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NuggetsWarriors
XAU/USD(20250613) Today's AnalysisMarket news: The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending June 7 was 248,000, higher than the expected 240,000, the highest since the week of October 5, 2024. The monthly rate of the core PPI in the United States in May was 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.30%. Traders once again fully priced in the Fed's two interest rate cuts this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 3374 Support and resistance levels: 3434 3412 3397 3351 3337 3314 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3397, consider buying in, and the first target price is 3412 If the price breaks through 3374, consider selling in, and the first target price is 3351
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NuggetsWarriors
1
ELLIOT WAVEOANDA:XAUUSD 4 HOUR **According to the Elliott Wave theory, the ongoing pattern appears to be a double correction. Wave 3 of {Y} has been completed, and Wave 4 is currently in progress. A potential buying opportunity may arise between the levels of 3360 and 3350. ** **However, if gold breaks below the 3350 level, further downside movement is expected, with the next support zone likely between 3315 and 3297. ** **Furthermore, if gold breaks the critical level of 3250, it may extend its decline toward the 3215–3197 range.**
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ozil17
Gold price fluctuates again, layout in the evening📰 Impact of news: 1. Initial jobless claims data favors bulls 📈 Market analysis: The high of 3392 in the US market fell back for the first time to test the 3377 area to stop the decline and then tried again but failed to break through the 3400 integer mark. It can be seen that this position is very suppressed. The top and bottom conversion of 3377 has become the watershed for bulls to defend in the future market. 3400 is the short-term key pressure and the closing line has a long upper shadow K. If 3377 is lost, the price will fluctuate again. In the short term, focus on the 3390-3400 resistance on the upside and the 3377-3365 support on the downside. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3385-3395 TP 3370-3360 BUY 3365-3360 TP 3390-3400 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
Gold hits 3400. What is Wall Street betting on?On Thursday (June 12), the U.S. Department of Labor released the Producer Price Index (PPI) for May and the initial jobless claims data for the week ending June 7. The data showed that the annual rate of PPI in May was 2.6%, in line with market expectations, and the previous value was 2.4%; the core PPI monthly rate only increased by 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.3%, and the previous value was -0.4%. The number of initial jobless claims remained unchanged at 248,000, slightly higher than the market expectation of 240,000, and the four-week average rose to 240,200, while the number of continued claims increased sharply by 54,000 to 1.956 million, setting a recent high. These data reflect that the U.S. labor market continues to cool, and inflationary pressures have eased but there are still uncertainties. The market's sensitivity to the Fed's expectations of rate cuts has further increased, coupled with the economic uncertainty caused by tariff remarks, investor sentiment has become cautious. Immediate market reaction: Risk aversion heats up, and the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields are under pressure After the data was released, the financial market reacted quickly, and the dollar index fell 1.02% to 97.63, reflecting market concerns about slowing inflation and a weak labor market. U.S. Treasury yields continued to fall, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling 6.7 basis points to 4.343%, a daily decline of 1.63%, showing investors' cautious attitude towards the economic outlook. Short-term interest rate futures prices rose, and traders further bet on the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year. The probability of a rate cut at the September 17 meeting rose from 76% before the data was released to nearly 80%. In the stock market, S&P 500 futures fell 0.25%, continuing the previous day's 0.3% drop. Market sentiment was affected by weak labor market data and sudden events in the aviation industry. Boeing's stock price plummeted 7% due to the crash of Air India's 787 Dreamliner, dragging down the performance of the Dow Jones Index. The gold market showed safe-haven appeal. Spot gold broke through $3,390/ounce to $3,390.13/ounce, up 1.05% on the day; the main contract of COMEX gold futures rose 1.97% to $3,410.40/ounce, reflecting the market's rising demand for safe-haven against economic uncertainty. In the foreign exchange market, the pound rose to 1.3600 against the US dollar, up 0.42% on the day. Compared with market expectations before the data was released, the mild performance of the PPI data slightly eased inflation concerns, but the high level of initial jobless claims and the significant increase in the number of continued claims intensified the market's concern about the weak labor market. Before the data was released, some institutions expected the PPI monthly rate to reach 0.2%, while the number of initial claims could fall back to 240,000. The actual data was lower than inflation expectations but higher than employment expectations, and market sentiment shifted from cautious optimism to risk aversion, and the decline in the US dollar and US Treasury yields reflected this shift. Data interpretation: Weak labor market and inflationary pressure coexist From the data details, the annual PPI rate of 2.6% in May was in line with expectations, slightly higher than the previous value of 2.4%, indicating a mild recovery in inflationary pressure on the production side, but the core PPI monthly rate increased by only 0.1%, lower than expected, indicating that the inflation momentum after excluding food, energy and trade was limited. This is consistent with the recent trend of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, suggesting that inflation has stabilized overall, but has not yet fully returned to the Fed's 2% target range. In terms of the labor market, the number of initial unemployment claims has continued to run high, with the four-week average rising to 240,200 and the number of continued claims increasing to 1.956 million, indicating that it is more difficult for the unemployed to find jobs. Although the median unemployment duration has dropped from 10.4 weeks in April to 9.5 weeks in May, there has been no large-scale layoffs in the labor market, but the growth momentum has slowed significantly. Analysts from well-known institutions pointed out that part of the reason for the cooling of the labor market is related to the economic uncertainty caused by tariff rhetoric, and companies tend to hoard labor rather than actively expand. In addition, the White House's recent tightening of immigration restrictions has further compressed the labor supply. The Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) data indicate that job growth from April 2024 to May 2025 may be overestimated, and Barclays economist Jonathan Millar expects that the benchmark revision in 2025 may reduce job growth by 800,000 to 1.125 million, an average monthly decrease of 65,000 to 95,000. This forecast further reinforces market concerns about an economic slowdown. Institutional and retail views also reflect similar sentiments. Before the data was released, retail investors expected that if the PPI increase was lower than expected and the initial claims data was higher than expected, the Fed would be under more pressure to cut interest rates. After the data was released, the PPI data was moderate and the initial claims data was high. The market's expectations for the Fed's September rate cut were further heated up, and the trend of gold and US Treasury yields has already said it all. Some retail traders believe that both the initial claims data and PPI are weak, the US dollar index fell below 98, and they are bearish on the US dollar in the short term, and gold bulls have opportunities. Compared with the optimistic expectations before the data was released, retail sentiment turned cautious, and some investors began to pay attention to the allocation opportunities of safe-haven assets. Expectations of Fed rate cuts and changes in market sentiment After the data was released, the market's expectations for the Fed's monetary policy changed subtly. Before the data was released, the market's probability of a rate cut at the Fed meeting on July 30 was only 23%, and the probability of a meeting on September 17 was 76%. After the release of PPI and initial claims data, the probability of a rate cut in September rose to nearly 80%, reflecting the market's comprehensive judgment on slowing inflation and a weak labor market. Traders have fully digested the possibility of two rate cuts this year, and the rise in short-term interest rate futures further confirms this expectation. However, tariff rhetoric and potential fiscal stimulus policies (such as the Republican tax cut plan) may put upward pressure on inflation, limiting the Fed's room for rate cuts. From the perspective of market sentiment, before the data was released, investors' expectations for PPI and initial claims data were relatively divided. Some institutions expected that inflation might exceed expectations, while labor market data might improve. The mild performance of actual data dispelled concerns about overheating inflation, but the weakness of employment data exacerbated expectations of an economic slowdown. Outlook for future trends Looking ahead, market trends will remain volatile under the combined influence of the Fed's monetary policy expectations, tariff rhetoric and the global macro environment. In the short term, the mild performance of PPI data provides the Fed with greater policy flexibility, but the weakness of initial and renewal data indicates that the labor market may slow down further, and the probability of a rate cut in September will remain high. However, the upward risk of inflation caused by tariff rhetoric and potential fiscal stimulus policies may limit the extent of rate cuts. The market needs to pay close attention to the July non-farm payrolls data and June CPI data to further confirm the trend. From a historical perspective, the S&P 500 index often shows a volatile pattern against the backdrop of mild inflation data and weak employment data. The current index is 2% lower than the historical high on February 19, and may continue to be under pressure in the short term. Gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset is increasing, and a breakthrough of $3,390/ounce may indicate further upside. The weakness of the US dollar index may continue, but we need to be wary of the support for the US dollar from safe-haven demand caused by tariff policies or geopolitical risks (such as the situation between Russia and Ukraine). In the long run, continued weakness in the labor market may prompt the Fed to adopt a more accommodative policy in the second half of 2025, but the uncertainty of inflationary pressure will keep the policy path cautious. Investors should pay attention to the guidance of subsequent economic data, especially the revision of QCEW data, to judge the true situation of the job market.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Charlie_Analyst
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