XAU/USD) Back support level Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar) – 2H Timeframe:
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XAU/USD Bearish Rejection from Resistance – Short-Term Sell Setup
Key Observations:
1. Rejection from Upper Channel & Resistance Zone:
Price was rejected sharply after touching the upper boundary of the ascending channel and the newly established resistance zone (~3400–3420).
A strong bearish candle confirms selling pressure at the top.
2. Support Retest in Progress:
The price is currently descending toward the EMA 200 and the KYY support zone (approximately 3343–3348).
The previous bounce originated from this level, making it a significant retest zone.
3. EMA 200 as Confluence:
The 200 EMA (currently at 3346.92) aligns with the support zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce or at least temporary pause in bearish momentum.
4. RSI Bearish Signal:
RSI has dropped below 50, confirming a momentum shift toward the downside.
Still above oversold territory, suggesting more downside room.
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Trade Idea:
Bias: Bearish (Short-Term)
Entry Zone: Around 3390–3400 (confirmed rejection area)
Target Zone: 3348 – 3343 (KYY support + EMA 200)
Stop Loss: Above 3425 (just above resistance zone)
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
Gold has faced a clear rejection at a key resistance zone within an ascending channel, and is now targeting the EMA 200 and previous structural support. Short opportunities could be considered toward the 3343–3348 zone, with RSI and price action supporting the move.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Goldmansachs
GOLD/USD – Bullish Reversal Pattern FormingGOLD/USD – Bullish Reversal Pattern Forming 🟢📈
📊 Chart Analysis:
The chart shows a strong Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which is a classic bullish reversal signal:
🔹 Left Shoulder and Right Shoulder – Marked with orange circles, both found support near the 3,263 level (purple line), suggesting strong buying interest at this zone.
🔹 Head – The lowest point in between the shoulders, also bouncing from support.
🔹 Resistance Zone – Marked with red arrows around 3,500–3,520. This zone has rejected price action multiple times in the past.
🔹 Support Zone – Marked below 3,200, where previous consolidation and buying took place.
📈 Projected Move:
The neckline breakout suggests a potential move toward the 3,520+ level. A minor pullback is expected before continuation. If price breaks above resistance, we could see a strong bullish rally.
📌 Key Levels:
Support: 3,263 🟩
Resistance: 3,500–3,520 🟥
Potential Target After Breakout: 3,550+ 🎯
✅ Bias: Bullish above 3,263 support
⚠️ Invalidation: A break below the neckline would cancel the bullish setup
Have you seized the golden opportunity again and again?Today, the strength of gold is very weak. It only rushed up at the opening, and quickly fell below the 3400 mark. Keeping above the key point of 3400, gold continues to be bullish. Now that it has fallen below 3400, the short-term has gone out of the small-level top, and the market is no longer so strong. For our short-term operations, the short-term correction of gold prices focuses on the daily cycle MA5 support, and the weekly MA5 support is long. The rebound focuses on the 3403-3408 resistance card. The rebound can be followed by the short-term! Although gold has fallen below 3400, the short-term direction has changed, but the general direction has not changed. It is still bullish. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize. Now we can only follow the trend. We will do what the market does.
From a technical point of view, the current macd high dead cross in 4 hours has a large volume, and the smart indicator sto is oversold, which represents the 4-hour shock trend. The current bollinger band three-track shrinkage in 4 hours also represents the range compression. At present, the upper pressure of 4 hours is located at the adhesion point of the middle rail and the moving average MA10 at 3404-3409, while the support corresponds to the moving average MA30 and MA10 near the 3380-3363 line. From the current 4 hours, if the price is to fall directly, the rebound will not exceed the 3420-3422.5 line. The current macd dead cross of the gold 1-hour line is shrinking and sticking, and the smart indicator sto is running downward, indicating that the hourly line continues to fluctuate weakly. What we need to pay attention to now is the adhesion pressure of the upper moving average MA60 and MA30 corresponding to the 3412 line. Pay attention to the resistance of 3403 in the short term. Today's short-term operation of gold recommends rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary, and pay attention to the support of 3380-3370 in the short term.
Is gold a short-term correction or a bull market turning point?Market news:
The London gold price has experienced a significant correction after hitting an eight-week high. Spot gold fell more than 1% on Monday, wiping out all the gains of last Friday. However, the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, especially the continued conflict between Israel and Iran, still provides support for international gold prices. The upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting has become the focus of market attention.The continued tension in the Middle East is an important driving factor for the recent fluctuations in spot gold. The conflict between Israel and Iran has escalated significantly since June 12. Israel's air strikes on the Iranian National Radio and Television Building and the Natanz uranium enrichment plant have caused serious damage to Iran's nuclear facilities. In addition to geopolitical factors, the policy trends of the Federal Reserve also have an important impact on international gold.For gold, the Federal Reserve's maintenance of high interest rates usually puts pressure on its price, because gold, as an interest-free asset, is less attractive in a high-interest rate environment. However, geopolitical risks and rising inflation expectations may offset some of the negative impacts, causing gold prices to remain volatile in the short term. Investors should pay close attention to the latest developments in the situation between Israel and Iran, the results of the G7 summit, and the Federal Reserve's economic forecasts, while being wary of the short-term impact of market sentiment and technical factors on gold prices. The monthly rate of US retail sales (commonly known as "horror data") will also be released on this trading day, and investors also need to pay close attention!
Technical review:
Technically, the daily price of gold is still running above the MA10/7-day moving average at 3364, the RSI indicator is above the value of the middle axis 50, and the price is running in the upper track of the Bollinger Band channel. The short-term four-hour chart MA10/7-day moving average high 3420 dead cross opens downward, the price pulls back to the middle track of the Bollinger Band, and the RSI indicator retreats to the middle axis. The short-term formation is a bearish shock and fall, but the gold price is still in the buying structure channel on the daily and weekly charts. The main idea of today's trading is to sell at a high price and buy at a low price! Gold began to pull back when the situation eased. The fermentation of this round of news was relatively restrained by large funds, and did not test the high point of 3500 upwards. Overall, the increase in gold prices was not large, and there was still a process of pulling. The fundamentals have not changed, and gold is still in a bull market. As we said before, if we keep above the key point of 3400, gold will continue to be bought. Now that it has fallen below 3400, the short-term has gone out of the small-level top, and the market is no longer so strong. For our short-term operations, the short-term correction of gold prices should focus on the daily cycle MA5 support and the weekly level MA5 support to buy!
Today's analysis:
Gold continues to weaken in the short term. After the rapid decline last night, the rebound strength is not strong at all. It is obvious that there is a large selling pressure above. For the market that broke the original upward trend, we also said last night that the decline is not very large. It just changed from buying to shock. Our intraday operations can be sold in the short term first!Although gold has fallen below 3400, the short-term direction has changed, but the general direction has not changed. It is still buying. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize before we go to buy the bottom. I will say later that in the current market, we can only follow the trend. We will do whatever the market goes!
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3383-3385, stop loss at 3372, target at 3420-3440;
Sell short-term gold at 3420-3423, stop loss at 3432, target at 3390-3370;
Key points:
First support level: 3383, second support level: 3372, third support level: 3353
First resistance level: 3418, second resistance level: 3430, third resistance level: 3450
Forward-looking trading, focus on 3380 support📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East
2. Iran nuclear talks
3. Retail sales data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold prices are currently in a narrow range of fluctuations again, and the signal of Iran restarting nuclear negotiations has weakened risk aversion, triggering a correction in gold prices during the session, but tensions in the Middle East remain an uncertain factor. In the short term, we still need to focus on the breakthrough of the 3380 support line. If the 3380 support line is strong, we can still maintain a long trading idea in the short term and look to 3400. On the contrary, once it falls below, it is expected to look to the 3350 line. Pay attention to the breakthrough of 3400 on the upside. If the Asian and European sessions cannot effectively break through this short-term resistance, gold will continue to fluctuate.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3380-3370
TP 3390-3400-3450
SELL 3400-3390
TP 3380-3370-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GOLD/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance ZoneGOLD/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance Zone 📉🟥
📊 Technical Overview:
The chart for GOLD/USD shows a clear price action behavior between a well-defined resistance zone (~3,480–3,510) and a support zone (~3,260–3,280).
🔻 Bearish Signals:
The price has tested the resistance zone multiple times (highlighted with red arrows and orange circles) but failed to break above it, indicating strong selling pressure.
The current price action suggests another lower high formation, which is a bearish signal 📉.
Recent candles are rejecting the upward move, pointing to potential downside movement.
🟩 Support Confirmation:
Previous reactions from the support zone (green arrows) show that buyers have consistently stepped in near the 3,260–3,280 range.
This level remains a key demand zone where a bounce might be expected.
🔁 Outlook:
If the price continues to reject the resistance and follows the pattern, we might see another drop towards the support area.
A break below the support zone would confirm a bearish breakout and could open the door to deeper downside targets.
📌 Conclusion:
GOLD/USD is trading within a range, but the repeated failures at resistance suggest bearish momentum might take control in the short term. A move back toward the support zone is likely unless a breakout above resistance occurs.
📉 Resistance: 3,480–3,510
🟩 Support: 3,260–3,280
🔍 Bias: Short-term Bearish unless resistance breaks
Falling below 3380,testing 3365,the low position remains bullish📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East
2. Iran nuclear talks
3. Retail sales data
📈 Market analysis:
After rebounding to the 3400 line, gold encountered resistance and fell back to test the support level of 3380. Although it was very close to the point of 3405 we gave, I did not enter the trade because gold has been in the middle section in the short term and has not rebounded to the ideal point.
There are too many long orders at high levels in gold. The international situation is so tense that gold is still slowly declining, but the geopolitical situation is still continuing. In addition, the retail sales data is bullish. Then, as the trading strategy given at noon, it is expected to test the short-term support of 3365-3355 below. I will consider going long in this range
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3365-3355
TP 3380-3390-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
3400 3380 are the two points that determine the trend of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical risks
2. Expected Fed policy
📈 Market analysis:
This week, the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, retail sales data, initial jobless claims and geopolitical situation will be the core factors affecting global markets. In the short term, gold rebounded after hitting the 3383 line. This round of decline was relatively rapid. At the same time, there is a certain resistance at the 3405-3410 line above in the short term, which is also the main reason for our long orders to leave the market. In the short term, it is recommended to first look at the support situation at the 3380 line below, and then enter the long order after obtaining effective support above this position. On the contrary, if it falls below this short-term support, the gold price is expected to fall to the 3350 mark! For the evening layout, it is recommended to focus on the 3400 long-short watershed, pay attention to the 3410 line of resistance, and pay attention to the 3380 line of support below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3390-3380
TP 3400-3410-3420
SELL 3400-3390
TP 3380-3360-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold----Buy near 3417, target 3440-3450Gold market analysis:
The continuous bombing of Israel and Iran for several days has allowed gold to stand on 3400 again. The big tombstone before the weekly line was wiped out, and the weekly line closed with a big positive line again, and formed a positive-enclosing-negative pattern. This is the long-term rebound caused by geopolitical factors. There is an old saying in the market that cannonballs are always worth a lot of gold. We are not sure how long the situation between Iran and Israel will last, but what is certain is that the buying situation is obvious. The next operation is to follow the buying. I estimate that gold will continue to rise this week. In addition, under such fundamentals that control the market, we must strictly carry out each order with a loss. The market will not change the trend because you resist the order. Following the trend is the kingly way.
In the Asian session, we first focus on the hourly support of 3417 and the shape support of 3419. The position of 3417 is also the watershed of strength and weakness in the short term. If it breaks, it will reach around 3407. In addition, 3451 is the top of the daily line. There was a dive at this position before. If the daily line cannot stand on it for a long time, there is also the possibility of another dive. 3407 is a hurdle in the big cycle. If it breaks, it may bring a waterfall drop.
Support 3417, strong support 3407, suppression 3451, the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3417.
Fundamental analysis:
There are many fundamental analyses and data in the recent period. Geopolitical factors are the main reason for its violent fluctuations. In addition, there is a holiday in the United States this week, and there is also a Federal Reserve interest rate result.
Operation suggestion:
Gold----Buy near 3417, target 3440-3450
Goldman and BofA agree: The dollar is losing its edgeGoldman Sachs now expects the EUR/USD to hit 1.20 by the end of the year. While this prediction draws comparisons to the 2017 rally in the pair, Goldman notes a key difference. This time, the pricing reflects pessimism in the US dollar, rather than optimism in the euro.
Bank of America seemingly agrees and warns that even a “hawkish” dot plot at this week’s FOMC meeting, where Fed officials signal fewer rate cuts, may only cause a brief bout of euro weakness against the dollar.
EUR/USD has recently broken out of a long-term descending triangle pattern, which capped price action from mid-April through early June, aligning with Goldman Sachs’ and BofA’s view of a broad EUR strength/ USD weakness.
This recent pullback to the 1.1480 area is a retest of former resistance turned support, suggesting a potential continuation pattern if buyers defend this level.
Buy on dips and seize rising opportunities📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical risks
2. Expected Fed policy
📈 Market analysis:
The market opened higher in the morning and then continued to fall. From a medium-term perspective, the market is still in a medium-term bullish position. The price will only be under further pressure if it breaks below the weekly support. Observing from the daily level, the price broke through the daily resistance again last Wednesday and continued to soar after the breakthrough. The current price is testing the monthly high, and the subsequent gains and losses of the previous high are the key. Judging from the 1H chart, the short-term death cross continues to fall. At the same time, according to the 4H level, as time goes by, we need to pay attention to the support of 3413-3403. This support is the key watershed of the short-term trend. As long as it does not fall below this support, the bulls still have a chance.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3413-3403
TP 3430-3440
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XUA/USD) Bullish trand support level Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe, incorporating a support zone and trendline confluence strategy. Here's a breakdown
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Analysis Summary
Key Technical Elements:
1. Uptrend Channel:
Price is trading within a rising channel.
Higher highs and higher lows indicate bullish momentum.
2. Support Zones:
Key Support Level (near 3,400): A horizontal support zone has been marked where price previously bounced (confirmed by green arrows).
Trendline Support: This upward sloping trendline adds confluence to the horizontal support zone.
3. EMA 200 (3,377.96):
Acts as a dynamic support level.
Price is well above the EMA, supporting bullish sentiment.
4. Projected Price Move:
The chart anticipates a dip back to the support area (~3,400), followed by a bullish bounce.
Target is clearly defined at 3,504.01, with a measured move of about +103.36 points from the support.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is around 57, which is neutral to slightly bullish.
No overbought/oversold signal yet – supporting potential for more upside.
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Bullish Bias Reasoning:
Confluence Zone: Horizontal + trendline + EMA 200.
Healthy Price Structure: Higher lows being maintained.
Momentum Indicator (RSI) supports continuation.
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Risks / Considerations:
If price breaks below the confluence support (~3,400), bullish invalidation may occur.
Monitor for false breakouts or heavy selling pressure near resistance.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trading Plan
Buy Zone: Around 3,400 (support confluence).
SL: Below the trendline/EMA – e.g., 3,370 or lower.
TP: Around 3,504 (target zone marked).
Please support boost this analysis)
GOLD/USD Bullish Breakout PotentialGOLD/USD Bullish Breakout Potential 🚀📈
🔍 Chart Analysis (June 15, 2025):
The GOLD/USD price action shows strong bullish momentum after a successful breakout above the previous resistance zone (now turned support) around $3,400. This level had previously acted as a key resistance multiple times (evidenced by the price rejection in early June), but has now been flipped into a support zone. The chart highlights two major elements:
📌 Key Highlights:
✅ Support Zone:
The $3,390–$3,410 range is now a confirmed support area after price broke above and retested it. This zone was previously tested multiple times (marked by arrows) and is expected to act as a launchpad for further upside.
🎯 Target Point:
The projected bullish target lies in the $3,610–$3,640 range. This level has been highlighted as a potential area where price might face resistance again.
📈 Bullish Projection:
A bullish continuation is expected if the price remains above the $3,400 level. The chart suggests a possible pullback to support before continuation towards the target zone.
⚠️ Technical Outlook:
As long as price holds above support, the bias remains bullish.
A drop below $3,390 would invalidate this bullish scenario and call for reassessment.
Conservative entry may wait for a confirmed bounce from support.
🔮 Summary:
Bullish bias is active for GOLD/USD with a short-term target around $3,620. Watch the $3,400 support closely for confirmation of the upward momentum.
GOLD/USD Bullish Breakout ConfirmationGOLD/USD Bullish Breakout Confirmation 🚀📈
📊 Technical Analysis Overview:
The chart illustrates a bullish breakout above a well-defined resistance zone around $3,390–$3,400. Price action has decisively closed above this resistance, suggesting strong bullish momentum.
🔍 Key Observations:
🟦 Support Zone:
Marked clearly between $3,250–$3,280, this level has held firm multiple times (highlighted with green arrows and orange circles), confirming buyer interest and market structure.
🟦 Resistance Turned Support:
The previous resistance zone around $3,390–$3,400 has now potentially turned into a new support. Price retesting this zone and holding would further validate the breakout.
📈 Future Projections:
The chart anticipates a retest-pullback-continuation scenario:
Pullback to new support 📉
Bullish continuation toward $3,460+ 🎯 if support holds.
✅ Bias:
Bullish as long as price remains above the $3,390 zone. Break and hold below would invalidate the bullish setup.
📌 Strategy Tip:
Look for confirmation on the lower timeframes (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) on the retest before entering long.
Gold price fluctuates again, layout in the evening📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial jobless claims data favors bulls
📈 Market analysis:
The high of 3392 in the US market fell back for the first time to test the 3377 area to stop the decline and then tried again but failed to break through the 3400 integer mark. It can be seen that this position is very suppressed. The top and bottom conversion of 3377 has become the watershed for bulls to defend in the future market. 3400 is the short-term key pressure and the closing line has a long upper shadow K. If 3377 is lost, the price will fluctuate again. In the short term, focus on the 3390-3400 resistance on the upside and the 3377-3365 support on the downside.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3385-3395
TP 3370-3360
BUY 3365-3360
TP 3390-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS – June 11, 2025 GOLD PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS – June 11, 2025 🟡
Technical Breakdown & Bearish Scenario Ahead ⚠️📉
🔍 Overview:
The chart presents a clear range-bound structure with strong horizontal resistance around the $3,400–$3,420 zone and support around the $3,120–$3,160 level. Price is currently trading near the upper range of the consolidation.
📊 Key Technical Levels:
🔴 Resistance Zone: $3,400 – $3,420
➤ Price has been rejected here multiple times (highlighted by red arrows and orange circles), showing strong supply pressure.
🟣 Intermediate Support: $3,260.618
➤ This level acted as a minor support and could be tested again if the current pullback deepens.
🟤 Major Support Zone: $3,120 – $3,160
➤ A key demand area where price previously bounced significantly.
📉 Bearish Setup:
A potential lower high is forming just below the resistance zone.
The projected path suggests a minor pullback to form a bearish retest, followed by a potential breakdown below $3,260.
If the $3,260 support is broken decisively, further downside toward the $3,120–$3,160 support is likely (blue arrow projection).
🔄 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation):
A breakout and strong close above $3,420 could invalidate the bearish structure.
In that case, price might attempt to target higher resistance levels beyond $3,440.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold remains in a range with a bearish bias unless the $3,420 resistance is breached.
🔽 Watch for confirmation below $3,260 for bearish continuation.
✅ For bulls, wait for a strong breakout above resistance with volume.
Gold rises and then falls, short at 3330📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Impact of the US dollar trend on gold
📈 Market analysis:
Gold rebounded again after falling to 3301, but the upper 3330-3340 line still has strong suppression on gold. Judging from the current trend, because the gold price has risen in the short term and returned to the 3325-3327 line, the short-term resistance is still 3330-3335 and it is expected to fall under pressure. Look for the 3315-3310 position. If it falls below this support, look down to the 3300-3290 line.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3330-3340
TP 3315-3310-3300
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Evening gold trend analysis and operation layout📰 Impact of news:
1. The streets of Los Angeles are full of "gunpowder smell"! Immigration protests escalate, and Trump sends troops to suppress them
2. Geopolitical situation
3. Federal Reserve political expectations
📈 Market analysis:
Gold rebounded as expected and touched the 3330 line. In the short term we need to pay attention to the 3335 line. On the one hand, it is the top and bottom, and on the other hand, the annual average line is also the pressure point of the upper track of the downward channel. Once it is suppressed below 3335, it will continue to fluctuate downward. If it unexpectedly breaks through 3335 or even 3340, then 3293 is likely to become the short-term bottom.
At present, the rise has slowed down after rising to 3330, and the technical side shows a top divergence signal, so in the short term, we still maintain the idea of shorting at a high level of fluctuation.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3335-3345-3355
TP 3310-3300
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold rebound is difficult to change the current weakness
Gold prices have risen strongly in 2025 and continue to hit new highs. It is worth noting that gold prices have risen by more than 25% so far this year, but have recently retreated as the latest US non-farm payrolls report showed continued strength in the labor market. At the same time, the rebound in gold prices in 2025 was largely driven by uncertainty over Sino-US trade tensions and broader geopolitical risks, which led to sharp stock market fluctuations.
However, a call between the leaders of China and the United States last Friday eased concerns about the trade war, causing gold prices to extend their decline. Although underlying concerns remain, the call briefly calmed investors' nerves.
Views on today's gold trend
The European session continued to retreat and the lowest price reached 3293, then slowly strengthened. The current highest price reached 3328, which is still a little short of our expected highest price of 3330. Therefore, today's strategy does not need to be changed for the time being. If the current market price reaches 3330-35 again, short orders can still be entered. The current trend is still weak, and there is a high probability that it will fall for the second time. Therefore, the current idea of shorting on pullback remains unchanged for the time being.
Gold: short at 3330-3335 on rebound, defend above 40, and target 3290-3280
Gold weakness continues, bears continue to exert force📰 Impact of news:
1. The streets of Los Angeles are full of "gunpowder smell"! Immigration protests escalate, and Trump sends troops to suppress them
2. Geopolitical situation
3. Federal Reserve political expectations
📈 Market analysis:
At present, the hourly moving average of gold price is spreading downward. At the same time, the 4H chart has retreated from a high and lost the middle track, breaking through the rising trend line. The low point of the trend line coincides with the middle track. Today's operation uses the low point of 3330-3335 as the critical point of strength and weakness. If the market rebounds below this range, you can just go bearish. If it breaks through this dividing point, you need to be cautious. On the whole, the recommended short-term operation strategy for gold today is to mainly short on rebound. Focus on the resistance of 3330-3340 on the upper side in the short term, and focus on the support of 3290-3280 on the lower side in the short term. The market fluctuates greatly, and stop loss is strictly controlled!
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3325-3335
TP 3300-3290-3280
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news:
This week (June 2 to June 6), the spot gold market has become more volatile due to the interweaving of multiple factors. Spot gold prices fell more than 1% on Friday due to the impact of strong US employment data, but still recorded a 0.8% increase for the whole week, showing the game between safe-haven demand and the strengthening of the US dollar. The trade uncertainty caused by Trump's tariff policy, the continued increase in international gold holdings by global central banks, and the tense geopolitical situation provide support for London gold prices, while the solid US employment data pushed up US Treasury yields, weakened the Fed's expectations of rate cuts, and put pressure on international gold prices. The market continues to pay attention to geopolitical risks and trade uncertainties. Silver performed even better, hitting its highest level since 2012, and platinum and palladium also recorded weekly gains. The precious metals market as a whole was driven by speculative funds. The market's uncertainty about the Trump administration's steel and aluminum tariffs and fiscal policies has driven global central banks to increase their gold holdings. And the cautious attitude of Federal Reserve officials towards rate cuts is beneficial to long-term demand for gold. Next week, the US CPI data and the progress of trade negotiations will become the focus of the market. If inflationary pressure rises, it may further push up US bond yields and put pressure on gold prices; if the data is soft, it may rekindle expectations of interest rate cuts, which is good for gold. In addition, the progress of trade negotiations and geopolitical risks such as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will continue to affect market sentiment.
Technical Review:
From the perspective of this week's market, the high-rise and fall-down trend continued, and the low point was refreshed. The signal that gold is heading towards an extremely weak pattern is getting stronger and stronger, and selling has the capital to pierce 3300. From a technical perspective, on the weekly chart, this week's high-rise and fall closed with an inverted head, and the MACD indicator showed signs of a dead cross downward at a high level. The current pattern is conducive to continued selling! On the daily chart, two consecutive negative lines on the daily chart caused the price to run below the short-term moving average, and led to a downward trend near the 10-day moving average of 3330. The 5-day moving average also followed closely at around 3355. In addition, the upward momentum of other periodic indicators weakened, and the MACD indicator showed a dead cross downward pattern, so the daily chart should tend to be short. However, one thing is worth noting, that is, after the gold price rebounded at 3307 on Friday, the middle track of the Bollinger Band has moved up, which means that the buying defense has been strengthened. Therefore, while the daily line is biased towards selling, we must also pay attention to the strength of the bulls' counterattack.
Next week's analysis:
Next week's operation suggestion is to maintain the idea of selling as the main idea, supplemented by buying at low prices. For the upper resistance, pay attention to the 3328-3330 area first, and then pay attention to the 3345-3350 area. The former is regarded as the key to selling and exploring the low point, or even breaking the middle track of the Bollinger Band at 3295, which is also the low point of this week. The latter is a strong defense for selling in the short-term shock trend! In other words, selling below 3330 can complete the touch of the low point or new low next week in the short term, while selling below 3350 is still expected to test the new low, but the time period will be extended. As for the support below, focus on 3280. It is expected that it will be close to or touched at the beginning of next week, but whether it can break directly needs to be judged according to the actual trend, so it is best to wait for it to touch or break once before taking more. The 1-hour moving average of gold has formed a dead cross downward, so gold still has downward momentum. After the 1-hour high box of gold oscillated, gold finally broke through the box downward, indicating that gold is better sold. Then the bottom of the gold box has now formed resistance, and the short-term 3333 line of gold has formed resistance to gold. If gold is under pressure at 3333 at the beginning of next week, then gold can continue to be sold.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3277-3280, stop loss at 3268, target at 3310-3330;
Sell short-term gold at 3330-3333, stop loss at 3342, target at 3300-3280;
Key points:
First support level: 3300, second support level: 3280, third support level: 3261
First resistance level: 3330, second resistance level: 3348, third resistance level: 3375
Accurately grasp the gold trend analysis next week📰 Impact of news:
1. The geopolitical situation is gradually deteriorating
2. Trump again calls on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates
📈 Market analysis:
The current weekly moving average support for gold prices is roughly 3250-3260. If 3250-60 can be maintained, then gold may continue to maintain consolidation and wait for an opportunity to choose a trend. If it falls below 3250, then it can directly see the 3200 mark. If 3200 falls below again, then it will see 3100. In the short term, the first focus of the gold price below is 3315. As long as it stays above 3315, gold is still in a bullish trend. Secondly, pay attention to the 3280 line below. If it falls below 3280, the gold price will further test the support of 3260-3250. It is possible that gold will form a head and shoulders top structure on the daily chart next week. It may fall to 3250-60 at the beginning of the week to lure shorts into the market, and then stretch and rebound to around 3350 to form a shoulder position, and finally directly dive down to around 3150.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold falls below key support, short-term bearish approachAt present, the hourly level has fallen below the key support level of 3330, which is effectively broken as the short-term long-short watershed, which means that the market is weak and volatile in the short term. However, it does not constitute a short trend for the time being. The short-term trend in the future may still fluctuate downward, but there is no basis for a deep decline. Short-term short orders can be participated in, but the general direction remains bullish.
This week is coming to an end. If there are still operation plans, you can wait for a small rebound and then participate in a wave of short-term short operations. The target is controlled at 10-30 points. Enter and exit quickly, and don't be greedy.
Looking ahead to next week, it is expected that the market will fluctuate around 3,300 and then bottom out and then resume its upward trend. The thinking will continue to be mainly "short-term short and long-term long".
The current gold 1-hour moving average system has begun to turn downward. If a dead cross structure is further formed in the future, the downward space will be opened. After gold fell under pressure from a high level yesterday, it continued to be weak today. Combined with the bearish non-agricultural data, there is a lack of support for risk aversion. There is still room for short-term downward movement, and the overall rebound is still the main focus.
Operation suggestions:
Aggressive investors may consider shorting in the 3333-3335 range;
Conservative investors may wait for a rebound to the 3345-3350 area and enter the short position at an appropriate time.
The target is 10-30 points. It is not recommended to hold more than the target.