General Market Ramblings - $BTCUSD, $TSLA, $GDX, $DAL, $BBEUHi, all. Wanted to get something published for the first time in awhile. Unfortunately my mom passed away recently and that has been something I have been going through. It is therapeutic to record something and get it out to you all. I am approaching feature film length on this one, so kudos if you make it through the whole video.
I just wanted to discuss some general market thoughts here - especially as we are now in an interesting time. I hope you do find some value here! Believe me, this really is just scratching the surface of my market thoughts and the different stocks that I have thoughts on. But again, really just wanted to get something out to you guys. Even if you tune in for a minute or two, thanks for watching! It means a lot. Feel free to provide feedback as well of course.
As always, a lot of my thoughts are based on the "Time @ Mode" method that we discuss in the Key Hidden Levels TradingView chat.
Also, as always, these are strictly my thoughts and opinions. I am not a professional and I encourage you to do your own research before making investment/trading decisions. These opinions are not financial advice.
Assets in this video: COINBASE:BTCUSD , COMEX:GC1! , NASDAQ:TSLA , AMEX:GDX , CBOE:BBEU , NYSE:DAL , maybe others I forgot about.
Goldminers
3.7 Gold wedge wide consolidation, waiting for non-agricultural 2928 is the defensive point, short near 2923, if weak, it is 19-20 here, once the four-hour below the medium-term moving average, it is dispensable for the evening data, basically it is a rebound short, pay attention to the three points below 95-84-65. Personally, I expect that today will be a Black Friday.
Trading is for profitable trading, not for gambling or trading, so traders must understand what operations to take at what stage the price is! Traders are not always long or short, and traders always change with market changes! Traders must have their own defense system to control risks!
Gold must be watched tonight.Everyone, open your eyes. From the current technical trend, this wave of rise has been under continuous pressure near 2920. The short-term upward momentum is insufficient. The short-term high-level oscillation of 2915-2920 is maintained.
At present, the trend of gold today is slightly weak, and it has not continued the bottoming out and rebounding the day before yesterday. Because the current position is close to the previous high point, and the current risk aversion sentiment has eased slightly, the impact of breaking the previous high again is not strong, so we can see that gold has been oscillating around the 2914-2917 range, and most of the time there is not much breakout trend!
Operation plan, today, focus on whether it will break through 2920 again. If the US market still cannot break through 2920, you can directly short gold. If it breaks through 2920 again, it is not recommended to chase high. The strong pressure area above is concentrated in the 2925-2930 area, and the possibility of a sharp rise in the short term is not great. The support area below is concentrated in the 2895-2885 area. If it falls below the support point of around 2860 again tonight, you can directly chase higher.
Gold futures intraday trading bibleAt present, from the technical trend, this wave of rise has been under pressure near 2910, and the short-term rise is insufficient. The short-term fluctuates at a high level. Although it broke a new high yesterday, the strength was obviously insufficient. It fell again after being under pressure near 2930. It is not recommended to continue chasing highs in the short term. According to the current trend, it is likely to fluctuate around a high range. Even if it does not break through, it will only be a correction in the short term, and the possibility of a sharp drop is not great. The gold price will continue to fluctuate in a high range, and the medium-term trend is still bullish.
XAUUSD: 6/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 2957, support below 2892
Four-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2887
One-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2912
Gold news analysis: As the US tariffs on many countries continue to take effect, and more tariff plans for Europe and other countries are about to be implemented, gold's position as a safe-haven asset remains solid. Earlier this week, US President Trump imposed a 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico. However, to the surprise of the market, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted that some tariff relief may be provided to the two US neighbors. According to Bloomberg, Lutnick said in an interview with Fox Business Channel that there may be a way to reduce some tariffs. This news may put some pressure on the upward trend of gold prices in the short term. As tensions in the physical market ease, the extreme dislocation of gold prices is fading, indicating that the craze for shipping gold to the United States may have peaked. This change in supply and demand dynamics may also have an impact on the recent trend of gold prices. US Treasury yields have rebounded slightly, although there is still a long way to recover. The change of yield rate usually shows an opposite relationship with the gold price, which is also one of the factors that the market pays attention to.
Gold operation suggestion: Yesterday, gold experienced a wide range of long and short fluctuations in the volatile trading. The price rebounded slightly in the Asian and European sessions. The European session was suppressed below 2922 and fell back and fell. The US session accelerated downward and broke through the 2900 integer mark to reach 2894 and stabilized and began to rebound. Finally, it broke through the 2929 mark and began to fall and consolidate. The overall gold price formed a wide range of long and short fluctuations around the 2894-2929 mark.
From the current trend analysis, today's lower support continues to focus on the one-hour level 2912 first-line support and the daily level support 2892. The upper pressure focuses on the vicinity of 2930. Continue to rely on this range to participate in high selling and low buying during the day, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Buy: 2892near. SL:2887 (can be entered repeatedly)
Buy: 2900near. SL:2895 (can be entered repeatedly)
Buy:2912near. SL:2908
Sell:2930near. SL:2935
Go long on gold 05-10, and continue to go long in the short termRecently, the market is also fermenting around the new US tariff policy and the US-Ukraine mineral agreement, which has triggered the Russian-Ukrainian war. Things that should have been clear have not been implemented, which has led to increased uncertainty. In addition, the Federal Reserve also plans to accelerate the pace of interest rate cuts due to the increased risk of economic downturn, so the current market trend is also very repeated. In terms of operation, it is still a repeated shock pattern before the non-agricultural data. From the trend point of view. Comparing long and short positions, long positions are still slightly stronger. At present, the gold price fluctuates in a narrow range around 2900. There is no major news to boost or suppress the gold price in the short term. Therefore, after consuming a certain amount of short-selling power, the bulls will regain control of the situation, and there will be very good trading opportunities for long gold. Now we are long gold around 2905-2910. The target is 2918-2928 area, wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to go long on gold?
Want to expand profits but not expand profits, unclear about the direction, and don’t know how to analyze the market. If you are like this. Then you can try to change your trading style with a fast trading strategy. If you are interested, you can join my bottom article.
First go long gold, then go short goldThe current international gold price shows a typical head and shoulders bottom reversal pattern, with 2900-2905 below being the key support area for gold. From a technical perspective, it shows that gold has accumulated reversal momentum at the bottom after falling, and the release of ADP employment data may promote the accelerated rise of gold prices. Then the resistance above gold will first focus on the suppression of the 2930 line. If gold breaks through 2930, then we can test the key resistance area of 2945-2955, the historical high.
Therefore, in short-term trading, I advocate going long gold. When gold falls back to around the 2910-2900 area, we can go long gold.
In fact, as long as you grasp the rhythm, it is easy to profit from gold trading. If you don't know the accurate trading rhythm, you can follow my trading ideas. I post my trading ideas every day and I also post free trading signals on a regular basis. Many friends have given feedback that it is very helpful. If you want to learn market trading logic, or you want clear trading signals and make more profits, I can satisfy you. Follow the bottom of the article to enter for details!
3.4 Short-term technical analysis of goldLatest technical analysis of gold
Despite the rebound in gold prices in the Asian session on Monday, the technical side of gold prices deserves caution before making new bullish bets.
From a technical perspective, gold prices fell below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the rebound from December to February last year last week, which is seen as a key trigger by sellers. In addition, oscillators on the daily chart have just begun to gain negative traction and support the prospect of gold prices continuing the corrective pullback from the historical peak.
Therefore, any subsequent gains may still be seen as selling opportunities and are limited near $2,885/oz. The $2,900/oz mark is closely followed, and if it is broken, gold prices may climb to $2,934/oz before moving towards the record high near $2,956/oz.
On the other hand, Friday's swing low (around the $2,833-2,832/oz area) now seems to protect the recent downside. If it falls below the above area, gold prices may fall to the 38.2% Fibonacci level (around $2,815-2,810/oz). If gold encounters some follow-up selling and falls below the $2,800/oz mark, it may indicate that gold prices have peaked and may pave the way for further declines.
3.3 Gold is under high pressure, beware of a pullbackThe gold four-hour line is also suppressed by the moving average, and the rebound is short-lived, and it is directly pressed on the floor. At the same time, the upper resistance of 2880 and 2890 is an obvious resistance. The K line is just a rebound and is definitely not a reversal. It is obviously still empty below the two resistances, and the K line is suppressed directly to the point of being unable to breathe, and is pressed on the floor. The K line goes down from 2955 to 2830. This big short is obviously still strong.
Short-term suggestion 2880 SELL
3.3 Short-term technical analysis of goldThe gold market completed its February structure last week. Looking back at the market in February, the market fell back after opening at 2880.9 at the beginning of the month. The monthly line reached a low of 2770.47 and then the market fluctuated and rose strongly. The monthly line reached a high of 2956.3 and then the market fell back due to profit-taking in the late trading. The monthly line finally closed at 2859 and closed in an inverted hammer pattern with an upper shadow longer than the lower shadow. After the end of this pattern, the market will have certain pressure to continue to adjust in early March. However, the large cyclical bullish pattern is complete and the trend is still bullish.
GOLD | Bearish Reversal Pattern – More Downside Ahead?### **Analysis & Description:**
This is a **1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar)** from TradingView, highlighting a **bearish trend reversal pattern**. The price action forms a series of **lower highs and lower lows**, indicating a clear **downtrend formation**.
#### **Key Observations:**
1. **Lower Highs & Lower Lows:**
- The chart outlines a classic **bearish market structure** with multiple rejection points.
- Each bullish rally is met with strong selling pressure, leading to a downward continuation.
2. **Momentum Weakness (MACD Indicator):**
- The MACD at the bottom indicates **bearish momentum**, with both the MACD line and Signal line in negative territory.
- This suggests that selling pressure dominates and further downside movement is likely.
3. **Price Projection:**
- The final arrow suggests **further downside movement**, possibly breaking below key support zones.
- If price breaks below the **$2,807 support**, it could accelerate selling toward **$2,780 – $2,750 zones**.
4. **Possible Trading Strategy:**
- **Bearish Confirmation:** Traders should watch for a breakdown below **$2,807** for a short-selling opportunity.
- **Bullish Reversal?:** If price forms a strong support at **$2,807**, we may see a bounce before further downside.
### **Conclusion:**
Gold is currently in a **short-term downtrend**, and traders should be cautious of potential bearish continuation. However, **fundamental news events** could also impact price action, so it's essential to monitor economic data and market sentiment.
#### **Key Levels to Watch:**
- **Support:** $2,807 – $2,780
- **Resistance:** $2,846 – $2,880
📉 **What do you think? Will gold continue to drop, or will we see a reversal soon? Drop your thoughts below!** 🚀
I have been emphasizing that gold is in a bearish trend recentlyI have been emphasizing that gold is in a bearish trend recently. Gold tested the support of 2830 as expected, and I made a lot of profit in all short trades. However, after gold touches 2930, you cannot directly chase short gold. According to the structure of gold, there is a certain degree of technical support near 2830, so gold may rebound to 2850 again after touching this level; and once gold fails to break through the 2850-2860 area as expected during the rebound, gold will fall again.
Then gold will easily pierce the 2830 mark during the second decline, and once gold effectively falls below 2830, gold will continue to fall and test the 2820-2810 area, and may even go lower to the area near 2800.
At present, shorting gold near 2850 has made a lot of profits. I wonder if you have followed the trading signals of shorting gold? Then the short-term will still focus on the resistance area of 2850-2860 above, and the break of 2830 below.
XAUUSD: 25/2 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3000, support below 2892.
Four-hour chart resistance 3000, support below 2921.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold fell first and then rose yesterday, ushering in a strong bull bottoming out and breaking through the high. The US market accelerated to break through the 2956 mark and was suppressed and fell back. It quickly fell and once broke through the 2940 mark to reach around 2930, stabilized and rebounded, and finally returned to 2950 and closed.
From the current 4-hour analysis, the support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 2921, and the short-term pressure above focuses on the 2950-55 line. Continue to sell high and buy low in this range, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Buy: 2930near. SL: 2925
Buy: 2921near. SL: 2915
Buy: 2892near. SL: 2888
Use small size, control risk
GDX - Gold Miners ETF: Inverse Head & shouldersGold prices have surged to unprecedented levels in light of recent trade policy changes. The announcement by US President Donald Trump regarding a new 25% tariff on essential imports such as cars, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals has created a wave of uncertainty among investors. This risk-off sentiment has driven many to seek refuge in safe-haven assets like gold.
Nevertheless, this upward momentum may encounter challenges if a trade agreement with China comes to fruition. A successful deal could alleviate global trade tensions, leading to a decrease in gold demand and possibly resulting in selling pressure.
However sustained high bullion prices could prove to be a significant advantage for gold miners. The GDX ETF is showing a persistent inverse head and shoulders pattern, indicating potential for further gains.
Canadian Venture index --- Inverse head & shouldersGold has reached unprecedented heights, approaching the $3000 mark—a prediction we made with precision. Now is the moment to turn our attention to silver and the mining sector.
To start, let's examine the Canadian venture index, which is displaying a promising inverse head and shoulders pattern. I am confident that the logarithmic projection will be achieved without much difficulty.
XAUUSD: 19/2Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2950-3000, support below 2852
Four-hour resistance 2950, support below 2896
Gold operation suggestions: Gold stabilized at 2890 yesterday and ushered in a strong unilateral rise. The Asian and European sessions slightly retreated and stabilized at 2892 and quickly bottomed out and rebounded. The European session continued to break through the 2907 mark and continued to be strong. The US bulls further raised their heads and stood on the 2920 mark and accelerated to break through 2936 and closed strongly at almost the highest point of the day.
From the current 4-hour trend, the support below is around 2869, and the short-term pressure above is around 2950. Overall, rely on this range to keep selling high and buying low. Patiently wait for key points to enter the market
BUY:2930near SL:2925
BUY:2920near SL:2915
90% of traders struggle in the GOLD market, are you the same?From the current 4-hour trend, the support point below is 2905-2908. The short-term pressure level above is around 2940-2943, and the overall support is in this range. The rhythm of high-altitude low-multiple cycles is maintained, but David believes that GOLD will break through the short-term pressure level. In the middle position, keep more watching and less action, and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2927
TP:2940-2950
SL:2894 OANDA:XAUUSD TFEX:GO1!
Shocking GOLD newsSome people burn all their assets in just one month, while others can accurately buy at the bottom and reap multiple profits. In the last issue, those who followed my advice to short at 2915 have already made a profit.
This time, I will give you an accurate analysis. The current gold price is around 2927. It is difficult to break through the pressure level of 2940. Combining technical indicators and trend lines, it is difficult for the gold price to rise in the short term.
If you are more worried about when the gold price will fall? David recommends that all traders short.
SELL:2927
SL:2950
TP:2900
TFEX:GO1! OANDA:XAUUSD
Shocking comprehensive analysis of GOLDDear traders:
The current gold price is $2920.34/ounce, and the short-term support level is in the $2880/ounce-$2850/ounce area. If it falls below $2850/ounce, it may trigger a change in the situation.
The current resistance level is $2940/ounce. After breaking through, there is a great hope to move towards the $3000/ounce mark
Market dynamics:
Global trade tensions still exist, such as US President Trump's threat to impose tariffs on cars on April 2, and the hope of peace talks in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is still uncertain. The continued geopolitical uncertainty supports the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
The market has high expectations for the Fed's interest rate cuts. Traders expect that interest rates may be cut in September or October, which has enhanced the attractiveness of gold, but the hawkish remarks of Fed officials such as Michel, Bowman, Kritosfo, Waller, etc. have limited the rise of gold.
If you agree with my analysis, please continue to pay attention. I will share my views for free later-(David)
If you don't know when to trade, you can continue to pay attention TFEX:GO1! OANDA:XAUUSD
Comprehensive analysis of the heavyweight GOLD (exclusive)Dear traders
As of now, the gold price is 2909.97/ounce, with an increase or decrease of 0.37%, a high of 2915.26, and a low of 2891.4.
technical analysis
There was a big drop last Friday, and the decline continued on Monday to close positive. Today's opening price is between the short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10.
First, pay attention to the support level of last Friday near 2877, and then the low point of 2864 near the rebound last Wednesday.
Pay attention to yesterday’s rebound high resistance level of 2906-2908, and above it is the 2916 pressure level.
Factor analysis:
1. There is still uncertainty in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Although there is news of negotiations, the situation is not completely clear. As long as the conflict is not completely resolved, it may trigger risk aversion in the market at any time, leading to an increase in gold prices.
2. The United States faces the dual pressure of high debt and high interest rates, which affects the credit of the US dollar, leading to the continuous purchase of gold by central banks around the world, which will provide strong support for gold prices in the long run.
3. The Fed is expected to enter a rate cut cycle, which resonates with the purchase of funds and pushes up the price of gold.
4. From the perspective of demand, the trend of global central banks buying gold has been extended. In 2024, the demand for gold from central banks of various countries reached 1,044.6 tons. It is expected that global gold reserves will continue to increase in the next 12 months. The growth in demand has room for gold prices to rise.
If you agree with my analysis, please keep paying attention. I will share my views for free later. (David) OANDA:XAUUSD TFEX:GO1!
David's analysis of the latest trend in international goldHello everyone
The current real-time gold price is $2902.77/ounce, with an increase or decrease of 23.4 and an increase or decrease of 0.81%
According to market surveys, 71% of analysts predict that the price of gold will continue to rise this week, 14% of analysts predict that it will fall, and 15% of analysts believe that the price of gold will remain stable, but gold has continued to rise over the past seven weeks, and David predicts that it will continue to rise.
Analysis factors:
The uncertainty of the Trump administration's policies, such as tariff increases and geopolitical conflicts, will promote safe-haven demand and support gold. In addition, the Fed's interest rate cut expectations coexist with inflation risks. If the US fiscal expansion exacerbates inflation, the opportunity cost of holding gold will be significantly reduced, which is conducive to the rise in gold prices
GOLD real-time trading opportunities, the current support below is around 2881-2885, and the upper pressure is around 2915-2920. If it breaks through $2900, you can add more positions
If you agree with my analysis, please continue to pay attention, and I will share my views for free later-(David) TFEX:GO1! OANDA:XAUUSD
Big news: "Comprehensive analysis of international gold trends"
Since 2025, the price of gold has risen several times. In the first week of 2025, it rose to around US$2,800, and broke through US$2,900 on February 10. However, it fluctuated sharply on February 15, with XAUUSD falling 1.76% in a single day. As of February 16, the price of gold remained at US$2,882.085 per ounce.
Analysis of the reasons for the impact:
Economy and policy: The Fed's interest rate cut is uncertain. Although the interest rate remains unchanged in March, it is relatively high, but the market expects a possible interest rate cut, and the lower actual interest rate supports the attractiveness of gold. Including the expansion of U.S. government debt and measures to freeze the assets of other countries, resulting in damage to the credibility of the U.S. dollar.
Geopolitics: The situation in the Middle East is tense, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine continues, and the trade confrontation that may be triggered by the US tariff policy has further amplified the market's demand for safe havens. Gold, as a relatively traditional safe haven asset, has become a "safe haven" for funds.
Other banking policies; currently the world's major banks, such as the European Bank and the Bank of England, have started an interest rate cut cycle, and the relatively loose market flow environment has provided underlying support for gold prices.
If you agree with my analysis, please stay tuned and I will share my views for free in the future - (David).👈👈👈👈👈👈 OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Next GOLD situation analysisDear traders;
The market is changing rapidly, and following the trend is the way to go.
When trading, remember not to act on impulse. I believe many traders have deeply experienced that the more you want to make money, the more rational you need to be. When the floating loss continues to increase, you can't eat or sleep well, and you miss a lot of opportunities in vain. When you have these troubles, you might as well follow my pace to change a trading method, which will definitely make you suddenly enlightened.
If you need help, I will always be here
GOLD closed with a long upper shadow this week. Technically, there is a need to fall back, so it fell back many times this week. The weekly support is near 2856. If it breaks down effectively, there is a probability of going to 2830. If it does not break, it will temporarily fluctuate at a high level, and then choose the direction with the help of major data.
The daily line quickly fell after failing to break the new high twice yesterday, and then fell sharply to the 2876 line, and finally closed down.
GOLD fell below 2900 and fluctuated, which is also in line with the technical correction, so there is no need to panic. The bullish trend has not changed. Although GOLD has experienced a correction this time, David believes that GOLD will inevitably rise after the next cycle. After all, the strong support of the current market is a major factor in driving GOLD upward.
Keep paying attention to the subsequent sharing of views