Goldmovement — Trading Ideas on TradingView

XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – Premium Territory Battle Begins Hey team! Hope you're all feeling sharp and focused — here’s what we’re watching this week on XAUUSD 👇Week of June 9–13, 2025 📍 Bias: Bullish, but cautiously reactive at premium supply 🔹 1. 🔍 Market Structure (W1) Strong impulsive BOS continuation from 3245 → current price near 3312. Weekly structure shows clean Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) since Q4 2023. The premium zone around 3380–3500 is now in play — it’s a weak high zone with upside liquidity targets still intact. 🔹 2. 🧱 Key Weekly Zones Zone Type Price Range Notes 🔼 Premium Supply Zone 3380 – 3500 Final weak high zone, imbalance + OB supply above 🔽 Demand Support 1 3115 – 3170 Recent impulsive candle origin & imbalance 🔽 Demand Support 2 2950 – 3020 Prior CHoCH base & last HL support 🔽 Long-Term Demand 2660 – 2720 Weekly OB, deep discount zone 🔹 3. 📊 EMAs Context EMA 5 / 21 / 50 / 100 / 200: Full bullish alignment. Price is aggressively extended above all EMAs, suggesting possible retracement into the 3115–3170 zone if price fails to break above premium supply cleanly. 🔹 4. 🎯 Fibonacci Swing Analysis Main fib: 3245 (last HL) → 3395 (current swing high). 50% retracement = ~3320, current price is hovering around this equilibrium. A move back to 3115–3170 = golden zone, could serve as a clean long re-entry if premium gets rejected. 🔹 5. 🧠 RSI Context Weekly RSI remains overbought, hovering near 70+. Momentum remains strong, but any failure to break the weak high may trigger a cooling phase (pullback to EMA50 or fib 61.8%). 🔹 6. 🌍 Macro + Geopolitical Notes NFP released Friday (June 6): Mixed impact — job creation weak but hourly earnings slightly strong. Fed still data-dependent → CPI (next week) will be key. Gold remains sensitive to inflation + Fed rate expectations. A dovish shift or inflation spike could send price beyond 3400. 📌 Weekly Scenarios 🔼 Bullish Continuation Break above 3380–3395 → 3450–3500 target zone Needs impulsive close above premium with volume and no rejection wick. 🔽 Retracement Play Failure to break 3380 → pullback into 3115–3170 Clean demand, imbalance, and fib confluence support re-entry. ✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note Gold is now in premium pricing — either distribution begins, or we’ll witness a parabolic extension into 3450–3500. 🧠 Watch reactions, not just zones. Trade confirmation. 💬 Let us know how you're positioning for the week — are you buying dips or fading premium? Stay sharp, — GoldFxMinds 💡

XAUUSD Market Update – April 14, 2025 🟡 XAUUSD Market Update – April 14, 2025 (End of NY) 🔍 Market Structure Overview Trend (HTF): Still bullish on H4 with a strong impulsive leg from 3120 → 3248. Current pullback is testing premium zone around 3205–3215. LTF Structure: M15-H1 shows a textbook liquidity sweep + internal CHoCH, followed by BOS. Price is currently in a reaccumulation phase between 3205 and 3215. Range: Price is bouncing between the weak high @ 3247 and key support zone @ 3172–3180. Volume thinning out during late NY. 🧠 Key Observations Fakeout sweep @ 3215: Clear internal liquidity grab followed by CHoCH on M5–M15, triggering short-term upside. 3209 Entry Zone Rejected: Price swept that level without reaction — confirms liquidity engineering. Premium Distribution Active: H4 OB + FVG zone between 3233–3247 still unmitigated — price may revisit before broader move. Daily FVG below: Unmitigated bullish gap around 3172–3180, aligning with M30-H1 demand and FIB 61.8 retracement. 🔵 Mitigated Zones 🔹 3205–3210 (EQ zone from earlier CHoCH): Fully mitigated. 🔹 3188 (micro OB): Mitigated and invalidated — no longer valid. 🔹 3215 (fakeout + sweep): Fully played. 🔴 Unmitigated Zones 🔸 3233–3247 (H1–H4 OB + Premium + FVG): 🔥 Active supply area. 🔸 3172–3180 (Daily Imbalance + H1 demand): Strong bounce candidate. 🔸 3120–3130 (Deep discount + demand): Only if a deeper correction forms. 🧭 Current Bias Short-term bullish into potential rejections near 3225–3233. Overall market still bullish, but a correction toward 3172–3180 is healthy before continuation. ⚠️ What to Watch 3233–3247: If price spikes into this supply area and shows M5/M15 CHoCH → potential reversal. 3215–3220: Micro liquidity zone may induce late buyers → be cautious. 3172–3180: Strong bounce or continuation zone — RSI confluence and clean M30 imbalance. 🧾 Summary XAUUSD is currently consolidating between key supply (3233–3247) and demand (3172–3180). Price is sweeping intraday liquidity, hinting at another attempt toward the upper zone before a deeper correction. Patience is key — sniper entries only around the unmitigated OBs with clear M5 confirmation. Stay sharp, stay selective. Don’t chase, let price come to your zone. 🔔 Like this style of analysis? Drop a comment, follow and subscribe, or share your views with the community. Let’s grow together. 🫱🏽‍🫲🏽 #GoldMinds #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #FVG #SniperEntry

SELLERS IN THE BUILDING 1H time frame is turning bearish and under equilibrium, there has being a bullish channel forming from the close of yesterday into today's Asian session, which spells continuation for sellers. am looking for price reaction @ 2415-2412. failure of price to rise above Asian high and a break of Asian low would mean more sellers in the market. looking to take profit at 2355 a 1 to 5 risk to reward trade. trade responsibly, never risk more than 1 % of account on any trade.