GOLD:The strategy of going short
Gold was stimulated by the news surface, out of a wave of accelerated decline, and then rebounded slightly into a small shock. Before around 3288 support long ideas have been perfect realization, at present 3288 this support has fallen below, so in the short term we can regard this position as pressure level, short term can be around this position to short mainly.
So the trading strategy :SELL@3288-94 TP@3260-50
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Goldprediction
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Formation ManipulationHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold's rebound is weak and the bearish trend is dominant.The 1-hour gold chart shows that the Bollinger Bands open downward, and the gold price is running near the lower track, with a weak short-term trend. If it fails to rebound effectively and break through the 3290 line, the support below will focus on the 3240-3230 area. Overall, the gold price fluctuates downward, the moving average system is in a short position, and the downward pressure is further revealed. It is currently recommended to continue to maintain a high-altitude thinking and focus on short-selling opportunities after the rebound.
In the short-term operation of gold during the day, rebound short-selling is the main focus. Pay attention to the pressure level of the 3290-3280 area above, and the support level of the 3240-3230 area below. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to arrange short orders when the gold price rebounds to the 3280-3290 range. This is a key pressure area, and it is necessary to pay attention to the market reaction in this range.
Gold: Primarily HigherIn our primary scenario, we expect gold to set a new all-time high as part of the ongoing beige wave I. To achieve this, the price should soon generate more upward momentum during the subordinate light green wave 5 and surpass the current all-time high from April 22. Once the wave I cycle has concluded at higher levels, we anticipate the start of a new bearish phase. However, there remains a 40% chance that the precious metal has already completed the beige wave alt.I and is now entering a fresh downward cycle. Under this alternative scenario, the price would break directly below the supports at $3,123 and $2,970.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
GOLD increased in the short term, approaching an important levelFrom a recent price action standpoint, the move on Gold may have offered cues of encountering weakness, and could serve as a key trigger for bearish traders. This is why I’m anticipating further short-side follow-through. The negative outlook is not confirmed yet, however a bounce off the trendline could once again attract sellers, for a decent move to 3,240 support zone . This latter zone, could be a key turning point that if broken, would lead to a good opportunities for buyers looking to get involved on the dips, anticipating a potential shift in momentum.
But a strong move up and break of trendline at around 3335-3340, would allow Gold to reclaim the 3400 mark and climb even further.
On Monday in my last analysis I predicted that the price gold would fall as low as 3290, after which the price has rebounded short term. All this being said, I am closely watching how price will react when it encounters the trendline as shown and I will wait for any confirmation clues.
Please note that I will not get involved without proper confirmation
GOLD - SELLING FROM PULLBACKPrice has shown a reaction from the low around 3,245 and is now approaching a strong confluence zone around the DAILY FLIP, which acted as prior support AND now resistance. This zone coincides with the upper boundary of the descending channel.
Bias: Bearish, unless price breaks above 3,305 with strong momentum and closes outside the descending channel.
TRADE IDEA:
SELL from 3,295–3,300 (wait for bearish confirmation)
once activated, I will update SL and TP
Let me know what your opinion.
GOLD H1 Intraday Chart Update For 29 May 2025As you can see that there are some strong zones mentioned in chart
Intraday Trend remains down because market sustains below 3300 Psychological level
once market will break 3300 psychological level successfully then move towards 3335
Scalping Range is 3250-3280
if Market breaks 3250 level it will move towards 3200
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Skeptic | Gold (XAU/USD): Breakout Triggers Set to Pop?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s fire up this Thursday morning with a fresh Gold (XAU/USD) analysis! 😊 We’re diving into the Daily Timeframe to spot the trend, then zooming into the 4-Hour Timeframe for juicy long and short triggers. Stay with me—let’s get to it! 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
Gold’s been on a tear, climbing to a high of 3416.19 (it went higher, but I’m using the candle close for faster triggers when we hit those levels :)). Now, we’re in a correction phase, forming a downward channel . This correction has been solid, dropping to the 0.5% Fibonacci retracement. What’s cool about this channel is how cleanly it’s reacting to the ceiling, floor, and midline, making it super valid for us. A break of either the ceiling or floor could give us some killer triggers. But since we’re in a correction, it’s smart to dial back risk on all positions. Lowering risk can mean taking profits quicker, shrinking position sizes, tighter stop losses, or a mix of these to keep your account safe.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
Now, let’s get to the 4-hour chart for our long and short triggers.
📈 For longs, we’ve got two setups. The first is a bit risky since we haven’t confirmed the downward channel breakout yet—it’s a preemptive move. You can go long after breaking the resistance at 3366.71 . Our main long trigger, though, is a break above 3416.19 , which also cracks the channel’s ceiling and sets us up for new all-time highs. If you catch this one, don’t rush to take profits too fast—let it run!
📉 For shorts, a break below support at 3249.68 opens the door, with RSI hitting oversold as a solid confirmation. But since this goes against the major uptrend, it’s risky—take profits early and keep position sizes small to stay safe. :)
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
Don't chase gold if it falls below $3,300
The Trump administration's tariff policy has been stopped through judicial procedures. Affected by this news, it is inevitable that gold will continue to fall back today: yesterday's rebound hit the resistance level and fell back to $3,325. The market fell sharply in the early trading, and the market pattern quickly changed from range fluctuations to bearish dominance. From a technical analysis, the bearish pattern of the medium-term weekly cycle is forming effective pressure. Even if there is a sharp rebound in the future and breaks through the recent highs, it is very likely to be a bull trap-essentially a precursor to a return to a downward trend after a decline.
Gold/USD
Sales @3270-3280
TP: 3250-3240
sl: 3290
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold rebounded after hitting the bottom. Don't shortOn Wednesday, the New York International Trade Court of the United States stopped Trump's planned tariff policy; it ruled that Trump's act of imposing comprehensive tariffs on countries that export more to the United States than imports without the authorization of Congress was an overstep. This means that most of Trump's tariffs will be suspended.
After the news came out, gold fell rapidly, hitting a low of $3,245. It has now adjusted back and maintained around 3,270 for consolidation. From the current point of view, most traders with short strategies have taken profits around 3,250.
From the hourly chart, gold has started to pull back from $3,265 this week, and as of the current low of $3,245, it is a three-wave downward trend. The first wave fell to $3,225, and then rebounded to $3,350. The second wave fell from $3350 to $3285, and then rebounded to $3325.
The third wave of decline has been completed. According to the early decline and then the rise, the current rebound from $3245 is likely to test around $3300.
However, considering that $3285 is the previous low point, $3285 is also the upward pressure position this time.
Therefore, we should pay close attention to the pressure range of $3285-3295. If it can stabilize below $3295, then we can rely on the $3295-3285 range for short operations.
On the contrary, if the rebound is stabilized above 3300, it is necessary to stop loss in time.
XAUUSD Idea: Structure, Fibonacci Setup & S&P 500 Correlation📉 XAUUSD Trade Outlook 🧠🔍
Currently analyzing Gold (XAUUSD), and things are getting interesting. On the daily timeframe, we’ve seen a clear bearish break of market structure, and this shift is also evident on the 4-hour chart. 🕰️📉
I’m watching closely for a bullish retracement into my key Fibonacci 61.8% level, where I’ll be looking for confirmation of a bearish structural break to initiate a short position. 🎯🔽
When we compare this setup to the US500 (S&P 500), it becomes even more compelling. The indices have rallied hard and appear overextended — a correction seems likely. 📊🧾
If we do get that pullback in the indices, gold may rally temporarily, but my overall bias remains bearish. If the indices resume their uptrend after a pullback, I expect gold to weaken further, aligning with my current short-side outlook. ⚠️📉
🛑 This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis and manage risk according to your trading plan.
💬 What are your thoughts on gold right now? Are you leaning bullish or bearish? Let me know in the comments! 👇
Fed Uncertainty and Rejected Trendline ResistanceOANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold trades around $3,270 after rebounding from the $3,240 support zone, but remains capped below the $3,287–$3,290 resistance zone, which now acts as resistance after the breakdown. Technically, the price is struggling under a descending trendline (TL2), and the $3,287 zone also aligns with previous support turned resistance.
Fundamentally, the rejection of Trump's “Liberation Day” tariffs by the U.S. trade court helped ease risk sentiment, reducing safe-haven demand and pressuring gold. At the same time, market focus shifts to today’s U.S. GDP data and Friday’s Core PCE inflation report—both of which may sway Fed expectations and drive short-term volatility.
If XAU/USD fails to break back above $3,287, a renewed test of the $3,240 breakout zone is likely. Sustained downside may open the path to $3,207 or lower. On the upside, reclaiming $3,290 would weaken the bearish bias and challenge the TL2 trendline.
Resistance : $3,287 , $3,302
Support : $3,240, $3,207
Risk aversion cools down, gold may continue to fall
📌 Driving events
The International Trade Court in Manhattan, USA, blocked Trump's "Liberation Day" trade measures. This news is conducive to shorting gold. This news is undoubtedly a reversal of Trump's "reciprocal tariff" policy implemented on April 3, slapping Trump in the face! Gold has been mainly driven by tariffs this year, and the decline is mainly due to the easing of tariffs. Spot gold has fluctuated sharply recently. After opening at $3285.91/ounce in the Asian session, it reached a high of $3294.46/ounce, and then fell sharply. The lowest reached around $3240 and continued to fall.
📊Comment analysis
The volatility of the Asian session highlights the fierce game between long and short positions. The changes in risk aversion caused by previous geopolitical and economic data, and investors' profit-taking and other factors are intertwined. Subsequent investors need to keep a close eye on key information such as the minutes of the subsequent Federal Reserve meeting in order to grasp the trend of gold prices.
💰Strategy Package
After the Asian session opened, gold was affected by the news and quickly plunged through the 3280-85 area support. After a rapid decline in important support, the upper 3280-85 constituted the next strong resistance, the strong and weak dividing line. Below it, the weak position is expected to gradually fall to 3245-50 before reversing the short pattern, and further to 3225-20 and 3200. Given that the 3250-45 area is a recent bullish breakthrough, the 3245-50 area support is bound to usher in a strong rebound during the day, and further attention will be paid to the 3220-25 area and the 3200 mark support rebound. Refer to it to formulate trading strategies!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Trade Idea:XAUUSD Short ( SELL LIMIT )📉 Multi-Timeframe Breakdown
🔹 H4 Chart (Macro Bias)
• Trend Context: Price is still broadly in an uptrend on the H4, but it’s testing the 50 SMA from above.
• MACD: Bearish crossover below the signal line suggests waning bullish momentum.
• Volume: Slight uptick in bearish volume as price pulls back from the recent highs.
• Bias: Neutral to Bearish Short-Term (H4 trend remains up, but weakening).
🔹 M15 Chart (Setup Zone)
• Structure: A sharp selloff broke both the 20 SMA and 50 SMA.
• Momentum: RSI ~16, oversold—but that can persist in strong trends.
• Volume: Large spike on the breakdown candle = strong bearish interest.
• ATR: 7.97 = elevated volatility.
• Bias: Bearish momentum, potential pullback retest opportunity.
🔹 M3 Chart (Execution Focus)
• Price Action: Freefall with clean rejections at the 20 SMA.
• Volume Spike: Bears in control, RSI also confirms momentum exhaustion but no reversal confirmation yet.
• Bias: Bearish with potential for bounce/pullback retest entry.
⸻
✅ Primary Trade Setup
Type: 🟥 Sell Limit
Rationale: Let price retrace into resistance before fading it, using structure for confirmation.
Entry Zone: 3270–3276 area (prior support becomes resistance near 20 SMA on M15 and 50 SMA on M3).
Stop Loss: Above structure high → 3283
Take Profit: Next key support zone ~3245–3250 (measured move + demand zone on M15/M3).
📌 Sell Limit Order
• Sell Limit @ 3273
• SL @ 3283
• TP @ 3248
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Gold price shorts stabilize, continuing to fall
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices fell into a weak consolidation pattern as the U.S. dollar continued to rebound and market risk appetite increased, suppressing safe-haven demand. Although it rebounded slightly, it failed to stand firm at $3,300, indicating that the upper resistance is still strong.
From a fundamental perspective, the recently released US durable goods orders and consumer confidence index performed better than expected, providing support for the US dollar.
Specific data showed that US durable goods orders fell 6.3% in April, better than the expected -7.9%, although far lower than the revised value of 7.6% last month; core orders (excluding transportation) recorded an increase of 0.2%. In addition, the US consumer confidence index rebounded sharply to 98 in May, the largest monthly increase in nearly four years, reflecting the improvement of economic and employment prospects.
Trump's postponement of the 50% tariff on the European Union until July 9 has strengthened risk appetite in the short term and weakened the safe-haven demand for gold. However, there are still major uncertainties in trade policy, coupled with the continued deterioration of the US fiscal situation and continued geopolitical risks, which provide some support for gold prices.
In addition, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice in 2025, and this prospect is gradually being factored into gold prices. In particular, if the "Beauty Act" is passed, it will aggravate the fiscal deficit, which may put medium-term pressure on the US dollar and provide long-term support for non-yielding gold.
📊Technical aspects
On the technical level, gold prices fell below the short-term rising trend line on Tuesday and then fell further. It is currently testing the $3,300 level where the 200-period moving average of the 4-hour chart is located. Once the moving average is clearly broken and a valid close is formed, the short-term downward trend may be confirmed.
The initial support level below is in the $3,250-3,245 area. This range has formed a consolidation platform in the past few trading days. Once it falls below or triggers more stop-loss selling, the target will point to the $3,200 integer mark.
Therefore, for the next gold, the best way is to suppress the decline at 3320, break through 3285 (expand the range to find 3275), and successfully break through the downward switching space range of about 30-40 US dollars. If the price breaks through 3320, it will be treated as a sweep, waiting for the upper side to determine the higher resistance of 3330-3325, and then look down to 3285 (expand the range to find 3275), breaking through the switching space
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3320-3330,3340-3350
GOLD - LET CLIMB THE MOUNTAIN OF GOLDTeam, I was being patience for a week, did couple of long position, then short then long.
But this time I wait and wait until it reach my entry range price
GOLD is good to entry NOW
target 1 at 3272-3276
Target 2 at 3283-3306
STOP LOSS at 3232 - Once it hit our first target - bring stop loss to BE
i expect the GOLD will likely recover a little during TOKYO, but definitely fly back during UK market opening..
so therefore you need to be patience on this.. as the TRENDING still down trend.
XAU/USD) 3 top technical analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe, with key elements and potential price scenarios illustrated. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind this analysis:
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1. Key Levels and Zones
Resistance Zone (~3,320–3,330):
Marked with red arrows indicating multiple rejections.
A crucial supply zone that the price failed to break several times.
Support Zone (~3,280–3,290):
Labeled as “nak support level” (likely means "neckline" support in a possible head-and-shoulders structure or just a key level).
Important for bullish structure continuation.
Lower Target Zone (~3,205):
A demand zone if the support fails.
Labeled as another “target point” indicating a bearish projection.
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2. Trend Context
The price was in an upward channel (highlighted as "up trend"), which has now been broken.
EMA 200 (~3,251) is acting as a dynamic support.
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3. Potential Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (Red/Blue Arrows Up):
If the price holds the “nak support level” and breaks back above resistance (~3,320):
A bullish move toward 3,367 and even 3,435 is expected.
The blue arrow shows a projected upside target of ~105 points.
Bearish Scenario (Black Arrow Down):
If the price breaks below the neckline/support and EMA 200:
A drop toward the 3,205 area is anticipated.
Target aligns with previous structure lows and a clean demand zone.
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4. RSI Indicator (Bottom Panel)
RSI is hovering around neutral (~45–50), offering no strong momentum bias.
Could support either a bounce or a breakdown, depending on upcoming moves.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion / Idea Summary
This chart presents a conditional trade setup:
Above 3,320: Long toward 3,367–3,435.
Below 3,280–3,250 (and EMA 200): Short toward 3,205.
The market is currently at a decision point, and traders should wait for confirmation (breakout or breakdown) before entering a trade.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
XAU/USD) Bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis for Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas and strategy behind it:
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Key Elements of the Chart:
1. Descending Channel Pattern:
Price is moving within a descending channel (downward sloping resistance and support lines).
The red arrows mark previous rejections from the upper boundary of the channel.
2. Supply Zone / Resistance Area:
Highlighted in yellow, the price has entered a supply zone (between 3,412.00 and 3,440.42), historically where selling pressure has emerged.
The analysis suggests sellers may dominate again in this zone.
3. Price Action Projection:
Expected to reject from the supply zone, possibly forming a lower high.
Price is projected to break the short-term upward trendline, then fall sharply.
4. Target Points:
First target: 3,206.96 – likely aligned with a minor support level or Fibonacci retracement.
Second target: 3,085.56 – near the lower boundary of the descending channel.
5. EMA 200 (3,238.55):
Price is currently above the 200 EMA, but the projection anticipates a breakdown below it, confirming further bearish sentiment.
6. RSI Indicator:
RSI is at 67.56, near overbought territory, suggesting limited upside and a possible correction.
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Between 3,412 – 3,440 (supply zone)
Confirmation: Rejection at the trendline + RSI divergence
Targets:
TP1: 3,206.96
TP2: 3,085.56
Invalidation: Break and hold above 3,440.42 (channel breakout)
Mr SMC Trading point
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Risk Management Note:
Ensure stop-loss is placed above the resistance zone (e.g., around 3,450) to mitigate false breakouts. Monitor fundamentals like upcoming US economic data, as they can heavily impact gold.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
XAU/USD Technical Analysis – 15-Minute Chart (May 28, 2025)Chart Summary
Current Price: ~$3,312.50
Short-term Pattern: Bearish rejection forming a potential downward wave
Key Resistance: ~$3,400 (longer time frame resistance)
Supply Zone: ~$3,230–$3,250
Target Zone: Around $3,288 initially, potentially extended to the supply zone
Analysis
Short Time Frame Rejection: Price attempted to rally but faced strong rejection, forming a lower high. This suggests that bearish pressure is building up.
Bearish Setup: A descending move from the rejection zone aligns with a possible ABC corrective pattern or flag breakdown.
Volume Profile: Higher selling volume near the top hints at distribution.
Trade Plan – Sell Setup
Criteria Details
Entry $3,312–$3,315 (current price area)
Stop Loss Above recent high ~$3,325
Target 1 $3,288
Target 2 $3,240 (supply zone low)
Risk/Reward Approx. 1:2+ depending on exit
Trade Management
If price breaks below $3,288 with momentum, trail stop to breakeven.
Watch for a bounce near $3,250–$3,240 supply zone and reduce position size accordingly.
Avoid new sells if price breaks above $3,325 convincingly, as that may invalidate the setup.
put your valuable comments and support the setup thanks.