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Goldprediction

Gold fell below 3,200 today? 📌 Driving Events In early Asian trading on Tuesday, gold prices (XAU/USD) fell slightly to around $3,230, affected by a slight rebound in the US dollar (USD). However, continued concerns about the health of the US economy - especially after Moody's recent credit rating downgrade - may help limit further downside for precious metals. The rebound in the US dollar has curbed the upward momentum of dollar-denominated assets such as gold. Nevertheless, heightened economic uncertainty is still supporting safe-haven demand. Moody's downgraded the US sovereign rating from "Aaa" to "Aa1" on Friday, citing its rising debt levels and interest payments that have exceeded other similarly rated countries. These developments have kept risk sentiment fragile and provided potential support for gold prices. 📊Comment Analysis Accumulating along the upper and lower trend lines, the gold price will break out and require more liquidity than the downward trend 💰Strategy Package 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3224-3226 SL 3230 Scalping TP1: $3215 TP2: $3208 TP3: $3200 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3276-3278 SL 3283 Scalping TP1: $3260 TP2: $3250 TP3: $3240 🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3152 - $3150 SL $3145 TP1: $3165 TP2: $3180 TP3: $3195 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Putin's phone call changed the market? 📌 Driving Events Putin's "peace smoke bomb", gold is under short-term pressure Just when gold was soaring due to risk aversion, a piece of news on Monday cooled the market instantly - after Putin and Trump talked on the phone, both sides released the signal that "Russia and Ukraine will soon ceasefire negotiations." Trump even announced loudly: "Russia and Ukraine will start ceasefire negotiations immediately!" US President Trump said, "We will do everything we can to stop the conflict in Ukraine." This news caused the market's risk appetite to rise briefly, and the gold price fell slightly to around $3,220 in the Asian market on Tuesday. But senior observers soon discovered that Putin's words were full of diplomatic rhetoric - he only said that the peace efforts were "on the right track" but did not promise a specific ceasefire time. Former Swedish Prime Minister Bilt pointed out: "This is Putin's victory. He successfully delayed the ceasefire pressure while continuing military operations." Market truth: Geopolitical risks have not really subsided, and the safe-haven demand for gold is only a short respite. 📊Comment analysis For investors, the question now is not "whether to buy gold", but "when to buy and how much to buy". At the moment when the global economic order is being reconstructed, the light of gold may have just begun to shine. 💰Strategy Package Bullish breakout scenario: If the price breaks through the high of last Friday's rebound at $3,252 and continues to rise, you can go long with a light position near $3,260, targeting the $3,280-$3,290 range. Bearish breakout scenario: If the price breaks below the key support level of $3,200 and further declines, you can go short near $3,190, targeting the $3,170-$3,160 range. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
XAUUSD Sell Setup from Supply Zone | TP1 & TP2 BelowWe're keeping an eye on a clear rejection from the supply zone marked between 3,230 and 3,236. The price has dipped into this area, showing signs of slowing momentum, and is now breaking downwards. 📉 Sell Plan Details: 🔻 Sell Entry: 3,222 – 3,225 (just below where we saw the supply zone rejection) 🛑 Stop Loss: 3,232 (set above the supply zone for added safety) 🎯 TP1: 3,210 (a minor support level / our first target) 🎯 TP2: 3,195 (a major demand zone / our final exit point) 📦 Zone Mapping: 🔲 Supply Zone: 3,230 – 3,236 This is where sellers stepped in, creating downward pressure. 🔲 Demand Zone: 3,192 – 3,196 A strong bounce area that’s likely to draw in buyers for a reversal or partial exits. 📊 Bias: As long as the price stays below 3,230, the bearish sentiment holds. If we see a breakout above 3,232, this setup will be invalidated. 🔁 Execution Tip: Watch for bearish candles or rejection wicks in the entry zone for confirmation. TP1 is great for quick scalps, while TP2 serves as a position target near structural demand. ⚠️ Always prioritize risk management – never trade without a stop loss!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradesThug
Gold Price Soars After Moody's US Downgrade: What's Next?Gold's Resurgence: A Deep Dive into the Moody's Downgrade and Market Tremors The world of finance is a complex ecosystem, where a single event can trigger a cascade of reactions across global markets. Recently, such an event unfolded as Moody's Investors Service, one of the leading credit rating agencies, delivered a significant blow to the United States' financial standing by downgrading its sovereign credit rating. This unexpected move, occurring after a period of notable decline for gold, sent shockwaves through the financial landscape, prompting a sharp rally in the precious metal's price. In the early hours of Asian trading, gold surged by as much as 1.3%, reaching approximately $3,245 an ounce, a clear testament to its enduring appeal as a safe-haven asset in times of uncertainty. The Catalyst: Moody's Downgrade and its Implications Credit ratings are critical indicators of a borrower's ability to meet its debt obligations. For a sovereign nation, its credit rating influences borrowing costs, investor confidence, and its overall standing in the international financial community. Moody's decision to lower the U.S. sovereign credit rating by one notch, from the pristine Aaa to Aa1, was not taken lightly. The agency pointed to a confluence of persistent and concerning factors. Chief among these were the United States' chronic budget deficits, which have shown little sign of abatement despite various economic cycles. Moody's also highlighted a perceived erosion of political will and institutional strength to effectively address the nation's deteriorating fiscal trajectory. The growing burden of national debt and the escalating costs of servicing this debt were explicitly mentioned as significant concerns underpinning the downgrade. This wasn't the first time the U.S. had faced a credit rating downgrade. In 2011, Standard & Poor's (S&P) stripped the U.S. of its top-tier AAA rating, a move that also sent tremors through global markets. The parallels are noteworthy, as both instances underscored deep-seated concerns about the sustainability of U.S. fiscal policy. A sovereign downgrade, particularly for an economy as pivotal as the United States, has far-reaching consequences. It can lead to higher borrowing costs for the government, potentially impacting everything from infrastructure spending to social programs. Furthermore, it can dent investor confidence, leading to capital outflows or a re-evaluation of risk associated with U.S. assets. The immediate market reaction to Moody's announcement was a textbook flight to safety. The U.S. dollar, typically a beneficiary of global uncertainty, found itself under pressure. As the world's primary reserve currency, the dollar's value is intrinsically linked to the perceived strength and stability of the U.S. economy. A credit downgrade, by questioning that stability, naturally led to a weakening of the greenback. This weakening, in turn, provided a direct tailwind for gold. Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so a cheaper dollar makes gold more affordable for investors holding other currencies, thereby stimulating demand. Simultaneously, U.S. Treasury bonds, long considered one of the safest investments globally, experienced a sell-off. This might seem counterintuitive, as a flight to safety often includes government bonds. However, a credit downgrade directly impacts the perceived creditworthiness of those bonds. Investors demand a higher yield (return) to compensate for the increased perceived risk, leading to a drop in bond prices (yields and prices move inversely). The Treasury yield curve, which plots the yields of bonds with different maturities, steepened, indicating greater uncertainty about longer-term economic prospects and inflation. U.S. stock futures also registered declines, reflecting concerns that higher borrowing costs and diminished confidence could negatively impact corporate earnings and economic growth. Gold: The Evergreen Safe Haven Amidst this turmoil, gold shone brightly. Its rally was a classic demonstration of its role as a premier safe-haven asset. Throughout history, gold has been a store of value, a tangible asset that retains its worth when paper currencies or other financial instruments falter. Its appeal transcends economic cycles and geopolitical shifts. Unlike fiat currencies, which can be devalued by inflation or government policy, gold's supply is finite, giving it an intrinsic scarcity value. In times of economic stress, such as those signaled by a sovereign credit downgrade, investors flock to gold for several reasons. Firstly, it acts as a hedge against currency depreciation. If the U.S. dollar weakens significantly, holding gold can preserve purchasing power. Secondly, gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. If a government resorts to inflationary policies to manage its debt burden, the real value of money erodes, while gold tends to hold or increase its value. Thirdly, in periods of heightened geopolitical risk or systemic financial instability, gold provides a sense of security that other assets may not offer. It is a universally accepted medium of exchange and store of wealth, independent of any single government or financial institution. The downgrade by Moody's amplified concerns about the U.S.'s fiscal health, a narrative that has been building for some time. Commentators pointed to over a decade of what they termed "fiscal profligacy," where successive administrations and Congresses have struggled to implement sustainable long-term solutions to the nation's growing debt. The phrase "ticking debt timebomb" resurfaced in financial commentary, underscoring the anxieties surrounding the long-term implications of current fiscal policies for the world's largest economy. These anxieties naturally fueled demand for gold as a protective measure. Adding another layer to these concerns were reports of a U.S. House panel approving proposed tax cuts, which, according to some economic analyses, could add trillions more to the national debt, further exacerbating the fiscal imbalance. The Preceding Slump: A Market Breather The vigorous rally in gold prices was particularly striking given its performance in the preceding week. The metal had been on a downward trajectory, poised for what was described as its steepest weekly decline in six months. This earlier weakness was primarily attributed to a strengthening U.S. dollar and an apparent easing of trade tensions between the United States and China. When geopolitical risks appear to subside and economic optimism grows, investors often rotate out of safe-haven assets like gold and into riskier assets, such as equities, in pursuit of higher returns. This is often referred to as a "risk-on" environment. The announcement of a 90-day pause on tariffs between the U.S. and China had injected a dose of optimism into the markets. This temporary truce in the protracted trade war improved investor sentiment, reducing the perceived need for the kind of insurance that gold provides. Consequently, capital flowed towards assets perceived to benefit more directly from improved global trade and economic growth, leading to a pullback in gold prices. However, the Moody's downgrade swiftly reversed this trend, highlighting how quickly market sentiment can pivot in response to unexpected news. Navigating a Complex Web of Global Influences Gold's price is rarely determined by a single factor. It is subject to a complex interplay of global economic data, geopolitical developments, central bank policies, and investor sentiment. While the Moody's downgrade was the immediate catalyst for the recent rally, other elements continue to shape the landscape. Ongoing geopolitical tensions in various parts of the world provide a persistent undercurrent of support for gold. Any escalation of conflicts or emergence of new geopolitical flashpoints can quickly send investors seeking refuge in the yellow metal. Furthermore, mixed economic data from major economies contributes to market volatility. For instance, softer-than-expected economic indicators from China, the world's second-largest economy, can dampen global growth expectations and influence risk appetite, which in turn affects gold. Statements from key policymakers also carry significant weight. Comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent regarding the potential reimposition of "Liberation Day" tariffs if trade negotiations with certain partners were not conducted in "good faith" served as a reminder that trade uncertainties remain. Such pronouncements can easily reignite concerns and support gold prices. The Long-Term Horizon: Bullish Undertones Persist Despite the short-term volatility, many analysts maintain a constructive long-term outlook for gold. Several underlying factors are expected to provide structural support for the precious metal in the coming years. One such factor is the potential for ongoing U.S. dollar weakness, driven by the country's twin deficits (budget and current account) and a gradual shift by some central banks to diversify their foreign exchange reserves away from an overwhelming reliance on the dollar. This diversification trend, if it continues, could provide a sustained tailwind for gold. Moreover, the policies of major governments and central banks can also influence gold's trajectory. For example, periods of expansionary monetary policy, characterized by low interest rates and quantitative easing, can reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold (which yields no income) and potentially lead to inflationary pressures, both of which are typically gold-positive. It's important to note that gold had already demonstrated strong performance in 2025, even before this latest surge. Year-to-date, the metal had appreciated significantly, reportedly by around 23%, and had even briefly surpassed the $3,500 an ounce mark for the first time in history during April. This underlying strength suggests that broader market forces were already favoring gold. Major financial institutions have also echoed this optimistic long-term view. JPMorgan, for instance, has projected that gold could average $3,675 an ounce by the end of the year, with a potential to reach $4,000 before the close of 2026. Similarly, Goldman Sachs maintained its forecast of $3,700 by year-end and a $4,000 target by mid-2026. These forecasts often consider a range of scenarios, including the path of Federal Reserve interest rate policy and the likelihood of a U.S. recession. Even with expectations of delayed Fed rate cuts and a potentially lower U.S. recession risk, these institutions see considerable upside for gold. Investor Strategy in a Shifting Landscape For investors, the recent events serve as a potent reminder of gold's role in a diversified portfolio. While gold can be volatile in the short term, its ability to act as a hedge against various risks makes it a valuable component for long-term wealth preservation. The Moody's downgrade and the subsequent market reaction underscore the importance of not being complacent about sovereign risk, even in developed economies. Retail investors might consider gold through various avenues, including physical bullion (coins and bars), gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the gold price, or shares in gold mining companies. Institutional investors, such as pension funds and endowments, often allocate a portion of their portfolios to gold as a strategic hedge and a diversifier. The key is to view gold not as a speculative tool for quick profits, but as a long-term strategic holding that can provide stability and protection during periods of economic or geopolitical stress. The optimal allocation to gold will vary depending on an individual's risk tolerance, investment goals, and overall market outlook. Conclusion: Gold's Enduring Relevance The sharp rebound in gold prices following Moody's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating is a multifaceted event with significant implications. It highlights gold's unwavering status as a safe-haven asset, its sensitivity to shifts in U.S. dollar valuation, and the profound impact of sovereign creditworthiness on global financial markets. The downgrade served as a stark reminder of the underlying fiscal challenges confronting the United States and their potential to create ripples of uncertainty that benefit traditional stores of value. Looking ahead, investors and market observers will be keenly focused on upcoming U.S. economic data, pronouncements from the Federal Reserve regarding monetary policy, and the evolving geopolitical landscape. While short-term fluctuations are inevitable, the fundamental factors that have historically supported gold – its role as an inflation hedge, a currency hedge, and a crisis commodity – remain firmly in place. As the global economic and political environment continues to navigate complex challenges, gold is likely to retain its allure as a critical component of a well-diversified investment strategy, a timeless guardian of wealth in an ever-changing world. The recent bounce may be more than just a fleeting reaction; it could be a reaffirmation of gold's enduring value proposition in an era of increasing uncertainty.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Unlock XAUEUR Riches: Thief Trading’s Epic Long Setup!💎 Epic Gold Heist: XAUEUR Trade Plan💎 Greetings, Wealth Raiders & Market Mavericks! 👋🌍 Ready to pull off a legendary heist in the XAUEUR "Gold vs Euro" market? Our Thief Trading Style blends slick technicals with sharp fundamentals to unlock the vault. Follow this cunning plan, aim for the high-stakes Red Zone, and let’s swipe the profits! 🤑💰 This is a high-risk, overbought setup with potential for consolidation or a trend reversal—perfect for bold traders. Stay sharp, trade safe, and let’s get rich! 💪🎉 📈 Entry: Crack the Vault! The bullish trend is ripe for the taking! 💥 Place buy limit orders at the most recent swing low or high within a 15 or 30-minute timeframe. Pro tip: Set price alerts on your chart to catch the perfect entry. For the fearless, jump in at market price—the heist is LIVE! 🚀 🛑 Stop Loss: Guard Your Loot Protect your stash with a Thief Stop Loss: Set SL at the nearest/recent low on the 4H timeframe (~€2800.00 for swing trades). Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of orders. Stay disciplined—don’t let the bears snatch your gains! 🐻 🎯 Target: Grab the Gold Aim for €3070.00 or exit early to secure profits. Scalpers: Stick to long-side scalps with quick hits. Use trailing SL to lock in gains. Swing Traders: Hold for the big score, trailing your SL to ride the trend safely. 💸 🧠 Why This Trade? Real-Time Data & Insights (May 19, 2025) The XAUEUR market is riding a bullish wave, fueled by macro and fundamental drivers. Here’s the latest scoop: Technical Analysis 📊: Gold broke key support at $3200 (~€3000) last week but is showing signs of consolidation near €3050. RSI indicates overbought conditions, hinting at a potential pullback or reversal. Watch for bearish traps at €3070. 4H chart shows a strong uptrend with support at €3000 and resistance at €3070. Fundamental Drivers 📰: US-China Trade Deal Hopes: Easing tensions are weighing on gold’s safe-haven appeal, pushing prices lower. Central Bank Buying: Demand from China and emerging markets (1,136 tonnes in 2022) supports long-term bullishness. US Economic Data: Mixed signals from April’s US CPI and a Q1 2025 GDP contraction (-0.3%) keep markets volatile. Macro Economics 🌍: Trump’s tariffs (25% on Mexico/Canada, 20% on China) are stoking inflation fears, which could boost gold if growth falters. A weaker USD (down 3% from February highs) supports XAUEUR’s upside. ECB may cut rates below 2%, weakening the Euro and lifting XAUEUR. COT Report & Positioning 📋: OANDA sentiment shows 73% of traders net-long on gold, signaling bullish bias but potential for a squeeze if sentiment shifts. Comex gold inventories are rising, indicating arbitrage opportunities and strong physical demand. Seasonal Factors 📅: Gold typically sees strength in Q2 due to wedding season demand in Asia and safe-haven buying amid geopolitical noise. May often marks consolidation after Q1 rallies, so watch for volatility. Sentiment Outlook (May 19, 2025) 😊: Real-Time Sentiment: Market mood is cautiously bullish, with 65% of analysts favoring longs but warning of overbought risks. Risk appetite is improving due to trade deal optimism, but geopolitical tensions (e.g., EU-US tariff threats) keep gold attractive. Social media buzz on gold’s resilience despite recent dips, with traders eyeing €3100 by June. Future Trend Outlook Score ⭐: Short-Term (1-2 weeks): 7/10 (Bullish with caution due to overbought signals). Medium-Term (1-3 months): 8/10 (Supported by central bank demand and inflation fears). Long-Term (6-12 months): 9/10 (Gold could hit €3200 if trade wars escalate). ⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Management News releases can flip the market faster than a getaway car! 🚗💨 Avoid new trades during high-impact events (e.g., US CPI, Fed speeches). Use trailing stop-loss orders to lock in profits and protect running positions. Check economic calendars for updates—Thursday’s macro data could shake things up! 💥 Boost the Heist! Love this plan? Smash the Boost Button to supercharge our robbery squad! 🚀 Every like and view fuels our mission to conquer the markets. Join the Thief Trading Style crew, steal profits daily, and live the wealthy life! 🤝💖 Stay tuned for the next heist—I’ll be back with another epic plan! 🐱‍👤🤑
FPMARKETS:XAUEURLong
by Thief_Trader
(XAU/USD) Buy Trade Setup – Entry, Target & Risk Management PlaEntry Point: 3,140.34 USD This is the suggested level to enter a long (buy) trade. Stop Loss (SL): 3,121.66 USD A protective level to limit losses if the trade goes against the setup. Target Point (Take Profit - TP): 3,251.33 USD This is the EA target point — where profits are expected to be taken. --- 3. Risk/Reward Ratio: Risk: From 3,140.34 to 3,121.66 = 18.68 points Reward: From 3,140.34 to 3,251.33 = 110.99 points Risk/Reward Ratio ≈ 1:6, which is very favorable. 4. Resistance Point: Around 3,222.45 - 3,227.27 This area might act as a challenge for price movement, potentially leading to temporary retracements. 5. Indicators: Moving Averages: Red (shorter period) and Blue (longer period) lines help indicate trends. The price is moving above the short-term MA but currently under the long-term MA, which might suggest a short-term bullish move within a broader downtrend or sideways range. Conclusion: This is a bullish setup, anticipating a reversal or continuation to the upside after a pullback: Buy Zone: 3,140.34 Stop Loss: 3,121.66 Take Profit: 3,251.33 If the price drops to the entry point zone
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
29
3235 line becomes short-term resistance? Golden layout at night!🗞News side: 1. Trump's dialogue with Russia and Ukraine on ceasefire 2. The seriousness of the situation in Israel 📈Technical aspects: In the short term, the three key factors affecting the gold market are the certainty of tariff policies, geopolitical risks, and the pace of the Fed's interest rate cuts. The Russian-Ukrainian conflict is a tail risk that deserves attention. Its impact on the global order far exceeds other geopolitical conflicts. It is expected that the conflict may see a key turning point in May and June, and the Fed's interest rate cut is likely to be implemented in the third quarter. At that time, the gold and silver markets may face greater negative pressure, and prices may fall back to 3000-2800 or even lower. Technically, the double top pattern at the daily level has been established. Although there is a certain resistance at the 3235 line of gold in the short term, considering the tail risk, the possibility of evolving into a triple top cannot be ruled out, and we need to be vigilant against the inducement of multi-money rises and washes. 🎁BUY 3220-3215 🎁TP 3230-3240 🎁SELL 3250-3255 🎁TP 3235-3225 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell
Gold bottomed out and rebounded, US market ideas! 📊Comment analysis During the European and American markets, the market rebounded to 3249. Before the rebound, it was mentioned that the first resistance today was around 3251, followed by the defense point of 3265. As expected, gold plunged slightly near the resistance level of 3251, and fell to 3227 at its lowest. 💰Strategy package Short at the current price of 3239-40, add shorts near 3242 and 3245, stop loss 3253 target 3200-3165 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
Beware of a sharp surge at the beginning of the week!🗞News side: 1. The India-Pakistan conflict has been eased, but India has increased its troops in Kashmir 2. The situation between Russia and Ukraine has escalated again 3. Trump has asked Walmart to absorb the impact of tariffs on its own 📈Technical aspects: Gold jumped higher in the Asian session in the morning and once tested the 3250 resistance line. In the short term, the upward space is limited and there is a certain suppression. At present, gold is testing the 3210-3200 support level again. Judging from the 4H chart, if the gold price breaks through this short-term support level, it is likely to go to the 3170 level next, or even test the strong support level of 3150. If it gets effective support at 3210-3200, gold may test the resistance area again. Therefore, in the short-term trading in the Asia and Europe sessions, maintain the high-level short-selling and low-level long-selling cycle to participate. On the upside, focus on the 3250-3260 resistance area. If it breaks through, it is expected to look towards the 3300 line. On the downside, focus on the 3210-3200 support line. If it breaks through this support, look to the 3170-3150 important support. If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell
1
Buy gold, it is expected to hit 3280-3290Fundamentals: 1. Focus on the speeches of Fed officials; 2. Pay attention to Trump's calls with Putin, Zelensky and others; Technical aspects: Gold continued its rebound momentum today, but failed to break through the short-term resistance area of ​​3250-3260 many times. However, after multiple tests, it will become easier to break through this area. According to the current structure, gold rebounded from around 3120, and then built a secondary low point structure around 3154. Today, during the Asian session, it built a structural retracement area around 3206 again. As the low point is continuously raised, an obvious bullish structure is formed in the short term. For short-term trading, we can start to try to go long on gold based on the structural form; if gold successfully breaks through the 3250-3260 area, gold will continue to the 3280-3290 area, or even the area around 3320. Trading strategy: Consider going long on gold after gold retreats to the 3225-3215 area, TP: 3250-3260
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Gold fluctuates. Will it break through resistance and start to rWe analyzed the fundamentals and technical aspects comprehensively over the weekend, and the overall trend tends to be upward. The Asian market opened, and the price rose to around $3,250 and fell back; in yesterday's analysis, I thought that the Asian market would rise rapidly after the opening due to the impact of the US sovereign credit rating. As I predicted, the opening in the morning quickly rose to the intraday high of $3,250, and then began to fall. Finally, it fell to $3,210 and strengthened again, and the trend was the same as my analysis. From the current market, gold continues to fluctuate greatly. It is relatively strong at present, but it is suppressed by the $3,250-3,255 area. Therefore, it is expected that the price will continue to rise after adjustments below $3,250; if the price stabilizes above $3,210, there is still room for the price to rise. Below this, it will start a downtrend that could potentially hit last week’s cycle low of $3,150. In the short term, we need to pay attention to the support level of $3225. If it breaks through the resistance level of $3250-55, it will open up room for growth. We will further pay attention to the high point of $3270-3290. Until the price breaks through the upward resistance zone of $3250-3255 with a strong force, it is recommended not to adopt a long strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Bet on a short position near 3265! On Monday, the international gold price rose again by more than 1%. Benefiting from the weaker US dollar and the boost of safe-haven demand, gold first fell to 3206 and then rebounded to 3250, reversing the decline in the early trading. Gold has been under pressure in recent weeks because the market has gradually digested the expectation of stagflation and repriced the expectation of interest rate cuts. The market currently expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by about 58 basis points by the end of the year, while the expectation at the peak of panic in April was as high as 120 basis points. Views on the trend of gold in the evening! The market trend in the past few days is a little speechless for friends who like unilateralism. The market is nothing more than falling or rising first, but basically it rises as much as it falls, and it always fluctuates back and forth in a range. This is actually quite similar to the trend last week. It is nothing more than not as drastic as last week. Tonight, I still prefer to see shocks rather than breakthroughs! The upper resistance is at the previous high of 3265±3, and the lower support is to continue to look at the 3200 integer mark! From the hourly chart, the step-by-step rise is quite obvious, but the first resistance is at 3251. Only after the rise can we continue to see the suppression of 3265. So for today, the position near 3251 is the first attempt at short positions, and the second is 3265. If the rebound is in place, we will continue to play a short position. It is not a big problem to see a profit of 20 to 30 points. If it falls directly below 3200, there will be more room for surprises! Gold: Short when it rebounds near 3251, defend above 8 US dollars, and if you are prudent, just wait for 3265, and target the 3230-20 line!
TVC:GOLDShort
by Yuliya1l11
It’s the right time to shortUS President Trump recently criticized Fed Chairman Powell again, calling him "slow to act" and emphasizing that the Fed should cut interest rates as soon as possible to support the economy. Trump believes that delaying interest rate cuts may lead to the risk of recession in the US economy, but the Fed still takes inflation and employment data as the core of decision-making, and the two sides have obvious differences in policy positions. At present, the Fed's interest rate cut expectations have been postponed and the magnitude has been reduced. Coupled with the expectation of rising US bond yields, the gold market sentiment has weakened. The world's largest gold ETF recently reduced its holdings by 8.98 tons to 918.73 tons, reflecting the cooling of institutions' short-term bullish enthusiasm for gold. Technically, gold prices continued to weaken after breaking through key support last week, and the weekly closing was negative, suggesting that shorts were dominant; the daily level was constrained by the 20-day moving average, and the volatile downward trend may continue in the short term. Focus on the 3250-3265 line resistance during the day. If it cannot break through, the $3,200 mark below may face a test. Gold recommendation: short sell when it rebounds to 3245-3252 range. Target 3230-3220.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
1
Bullish Inflation Data Fuels Gold Rebound — Impulsive Waves!?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to fall from the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) as I expected in the previous idea , but 50_SMA(Daily) and Support lines were able to hold Gold . ---------------------------------- Today, key U.S. economic data was released: Core PPI m/m: -0.4% (vs. 0.3% forecast) Core Retail Sales m/m: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% expected) PPI m/m: -0.5% (vs. 0.2% forecast) Retail Sales m/m: 0.1% (in line) Unemployment Claims: 229K (as expected) Outlook : The weaker-than-expected inflation data, especially the PPI figures, indicate easing inflationary pressures. This may increase expectations for potential Fed rate cuts, which generally supports gold as a non-yielding asset. Conclusion : Today’s data is overall bullish for gold. Watch for continued upside if sentiment shifts further toward dovish Fed expectations. However, keep an eye on upcoming Fed commentary for confirmation. ---------------------------------- Gold is moving above the Heavy Support zone($3,200-$3,136) and has managed to break the Resistance lines . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold seems to have completed the corrective waves , and we can expect the start of an impulsive wave . Breaking the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) can be a good sign for the start of an impulsive wave and a gold pump . I expect Gold to start rising again after a pullback to the Resistance lines(broken) , probably from the Fibonacci Levels inside the chart , and attack the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) . Note: If Gold touches $3,154 , we can expect more dumps. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
22
Yield Wars and Crypto Surge: Is Gold Losing Its Luster?Gold currently lacks fundamental backing, as macroeconomic conditions continue to favor alternative investment vehicles. Surging U.S. Treasury yields have diminished the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold, while Bitcoin’s ascent beyond the $100,000 mark indicates a significant shift in risk-on sentiment. Once considered the premier safe-haven asset, gold has seen substantial capital outflows—particularly after President Trump's inauguration—as institutional interest shifted toward cryptocurrencies and government bonds. From a technical perspective, gold is currently testing a key supply zone around the 3250 level. A confirmed Break of Structure (BOS) would require a strong move above the 3255 area. However, should a 4-hour candle close below this zone, it would reinforce bearish intent and potentially trigger a 300-pip correction. With both macro and technical factors aligning, the directional bias remains clearly defined—further analysis is unnecessary at this stage.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by wickywicks
XAU/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Wave 5 Setup in PlayHey traders! Just wanted to share this clean Elliott Wave setup I’m tracking on Gold (XAU/USD). We’ve just completed what looks like a textbook Wave (4) correction, finding support right at the lower boundary of this long-term ascending channel. Price also respected the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement perfectly, lining up around the $3,090 level. That level is acting as a key demand zone right now. 🌀 According to the wave count: Wave (3) topped out near $3,500 Wave (4) retraced sharply into the channel base We are now potentially at the launch point for Wave (5) — the final impulse leg 💹 Wave (5) Projection: Targeting the upper channel boundary, which aligns closely with $3,740–$3,750 This area also completes the measured move and matches key structural confluence 📈 Technical Confluence Supporting the Bullish Bias: RSI bounced cleanly from oversold territory Bullish EMA crossover (20/50) is happening right near the bounce zone We’re also seeing a break of the corrective trend line, suggesting momentum is shifting back in favor of the bulls 📍 Key Levels to Watch: $3,149: minor pullback area / possible retest $3,283: Fib 23.6% resistance — needs to be cleared for confirmation $3,500: Major resistance & previous high — breakout zone $3,747: Wave 5 target ⚠️ Invalidation Zone: If price breaks below $3,090, and especially $3,041, I’ll be reassessing the wave count. That would suggest a deeper Wave 4 or a breakdown in bullish structure. 📌 Conclusion: I’m watching this setup closely. Gold looks poised for a strong upside leg if current levels hold. The structure is clean, momentum is turning, and we’ve got multiple confirmations in place. I’ll be scaling in with proper risk management and looking to ride this potential Wave 5 to new highs. Drop your thoughts below — are you long on Gold? Let’s talk setups 👇 @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WrightWayInvestments
XAUUSD:Short mainly Gold continued its pullback last week, bouncing back after meeting key support and closing below the negative shadow line. At the present stage, the trend is relying on the key support level shock, and the rebound has not made a breakthrough, the pressure after the retreat of risk aversion is more and more obvious, and there is still the possibility of deepening the decline. Today's trend personal expected sideways shock, short-term pressure above 3245-3250, can be around this area short, below the first support to see 3200, after breaking the 3145-3150. This week's overall operating range relies on the 3145-3250 range band. ↓↓↓ The detailed strategy club will have tips, updated daily, come and get them →→→
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Boooob_