Middle East war, gold breaks through 3400 early next week
Hello everyone:
Let's analyze the gold price next week (June 23, 2025 to June 27, 2025)
📌Gold information:
Gold prices held steady on Friday, hovering around $3,369, and are expected to fall nearly 1.90% this week as the market digests U.S. President Donald Trump's decision to abandon immediate military action against Iran and turn to diplomacy. As of writing, XAU/USD fell 0.11%.
While easing geopolitical tensions helped boost risk sentiment, concerns that the United States may restrict allies operating semiconductor factories in China put additional pressure on gold, according to Bloomberg. Trump's restraint on Iran encouraged risk appetite and suppressed the appeal of this safe-haven metal.
What has President Trump been busy with in the past 24 hours? (2025-06-22)
1. Announced the successful airstrike on Iran's three nuclear facilities - Trump issued a message saying that he had successfully launched attacks on Iran's three nuclear facilities, including Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan. The main target Fordow nuclear facility was bombed with a full load of bombs. All fighter jets are returning safely. Iran's Fordow (nuclear facility) no longer exists.
2. Was willing to go to Turkey to negotiate with Iran in person - According to the AXIOS website, sources said that when Trump attended the G7 summit last Monday, Erdogan called and proposed to hold talks between US and Iranian officials in Istanbul the next day to explore diplomatic solutions to the war. Trump agreed, and he was willing to send Vice President Vance and White House envoy Vitkov, and even if necessary, he was willing to go in person. But it was later cancelled because Khamenei could not be contacted.
3. Threatening to strike Iran again if the conflict does not stop - According to Reuters, US President Trump said in a telephone interview that tonight was a stunning success and Iran should immediately achieve peace and stop the war, otherwise they will be hit again.
4. Saying that Iran will either usher in peace or fall into tragedy - Trump said that the US goal is to destroy Iran's nuclear enrichment capabilities and stop Iran's nuclear threat. Iran's facilities have been completely destroyed. Iran will either usher in peace or fall into tragedy. Many goals have not yet been achieved. Tonight's strike is the "toughest target". If peace is not achieved in the future, other targets will be accurately struck.
5. Warning Iran not to retaliate - Trump posted on social media: "Any retaliatory action by Iran against the United States will lead to a military response 'far beyond what we saw tonight.'"
6. US Democratic lawmakers call for Trump's impeachment - On the evening of June 21, local time, according to NBC, New York Democratic Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said that President Trump's decision to attack Iran without the authorization of Congress "absolutely and clearly constitutes grounds for impeachment." She said that the US President's disastrous decision to bomb Iran without authorization was a serious violation of the Constitution and Congress' war powers.
📣Personal analysis:
Tensions in the Middle East escalate, and gold prices will continue to rise above 3400 at the beginning of next week
🔥 Technical:
Based on the resistance and support levels of gold prices on the 4-hour chart, Labaron identified the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3395, $3448
Support: $3302, $3255
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
Goldprice
With the United States joining the war, can gold return to 3,500
💡Message Strategy
The United States has already participated in the war. On Saturday, the United States announced that it had carried out a devastating strike on Iran's nuclear facilities. Iran's nuclear facilities no longer exist, and emphasized that Iran must accept peace unconditionally.
After the strike, Iranian officials said that the US military bases and personnel in the Middle East will become legal total targets, and the United States and Israel will be severely retaliated.
After striking Iranian targets again, it was stated that Iran must accept peace talks and cannot retaliate. Obviously, the United States does not want to fall into the quagmire of the Middle East war, and Iran is unlikely to stop.
As a result, a new Middle East war has been formed, and the United States will be involved in this war anyway.
Once the war escalates, the capital market will dislike the huge waves again. Gold will enter the second half of the bull market.
After hitting the high of 3,500 in April, it has not been able to break through so far, but it has continued to fluctuate around the highs and has not fallen. A new support platform has been consolidated.
Gold will inevitably open higher next week, but whether it can continue to rise after opening higher depends on whether Iran launches a strong counterattack. If the counterattack is not strong enough or the losses caused are limited, the short-term increase in gold will still be limited, and it is more likely to be a volatile upward trend.
📊Technical aspects
From the 4-hour analysis chart, the support below is around 3340-45, and the resistance above is around 3380-85, which is also near the 5-day moving average of the daily line and the middle track of the 4-hour Bollinger band. Breaking through here will ease the short-term downward pressure, and we can continue to pay attention to the high point of Thursday near 3390 US dollars;
For the support below gold, we can pay attention to the intraday low of 3340 US dollars, and then pay attention to the weekly MA10 moving average of 3315 US dollars. The 5-day moving average has a trend of forming a dead cross, the MACD indicator has begun to form a dead cross, and the KDJ and RSI indicators have a dead cross upward. The short-term technical aspect shows that the gold price has a further upward trend.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3355-3365,SL:3345,
Short-term goals: 3380-3390
When will the price of gold fall?Market news:
In the early Asian session on Friday (June 20), spot gold fell narrowly and is currently trading around $3,360 per ounce. London gold prices fluctuated violently under the dual influence of the Fed's hawkish stance and geopolitical tensions. Powell's hawkish stance cooled the market's expectations for interest rate cuts. As a non-yielding asset, international gold is under obvious pressure under high interest rate expectations. In sharp contrast to the Fed's hawkish stance, geopolitical tensions have provided important safe-haven support for international gold prices. The escalation of the Israeli-Iranian conflict has not only exacerbated tensions in the Middle East, but also triggered market concerns about the global security environment. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold is often sought after when geopolitical risks rise. In the short term, the continued escalation of the conflict between Israel and Iran may continue to drive safe-haven funds into the gold market, but the direction of the Fed's monetary policy and the specific implementation of the Trump administration's tariff policy will have a key impact on the medium- and long-term trend of gold prices.
Technical Review :
Gold maintained a volatile closing. The daily chart closed with alternating buying and selling for four consecutive trading days. There was no trend continuation. We will continue to pay attention to the 3350/3390 range during the day. Today's trading ideas are still short-term, selling at high prices and buying at low prices to participate in the volatile trend.So far this week, gold has been difficult to break out of the continuity of buying and selling. Yesterday, Thursday, under the temporary performance of gold's short-term dollar trend, we are optimistic that gold will fluctuate in the range, with the maximum range at 3350/3400, but there may often be a breakout on Thursday. Therefore, today we should pay attention to both trading within the range and the strength after the breakout.
Today's analysis:
Gold fluctuated overall yesterday due to the early closure of the US market, and the fluctuation was not large. However, gold as a whole is still biased towards selling. Gold is now weak in buying and rebounding, so there is a lot of room for gold selling. Next, we will continue to sell gold. If there is no particularly large profit to support gold, then gold buying may not cause any big waves in the short term. Gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross and sell downward. Gold selling is strong and there is still room for downward movement. After gold fell yesterday, the highest rebound was around 3378, and then it continued to fall back. After rebounding several times, it did not break through 3378 again. Gold continued to sell at high prices under pressure at 3378. Gold is now fluctuating and falling, and the center of gravity is constantly moving downward. With this trend, gold may accelerate downward at any time.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3335-3338 buy, stop loss 3328, target 3370-3380;
Short-term gold 3360-3370 short, stop loss 3387, target 3330-3340;
Key points:
First support level: 3352, second support level: 3344, third support level: 3331
First resistance level: 3378, second resistance level: 3388, third resistance level: 3400
XAU/USD Bullish Breakout from Flag PatternBullish Flag Formation: The price consolidated in a downward-sloping flag after a sharp bullish move. A breakout has occurred, signaling renewed buying pressure.
Support Zone: The breakout aligns with the horizontal support area around 3,392, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Upside Targets: Based on price structure and measured move projection:
First target: 3,435 – 3,452
Final target zone: 3,500+
Momentum Confirmation: The Ichimoku cloud supports bullish continuation as price trades above it, showing strong upward momentum.
Conclusion:
Gold appears to be resuming its uptrend after a brief consolidation. As long as price holds above the breakout level (around 3,392), the bullish targets remain valid. Ideal scenario for continuation traders looking for entries on minor pullbacks
Gold Rebounds from Support, Eyes Breakout Above 3,370📊 Market Dynamics:
– Gold briefly dipped to 3,344 this morning before rebounding to 3,355 as of now.
– The USD is steady after cautious Fed commentary, while geopolitical tensions continue to support safe-haven flows into gold.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: 3,370 – 3,380
• Immediate support: 3,344 – 3,340
• EMA: Price remains above EMA 09, signaling continued short-term bullish bias.
• Patterns / Momentum: A bullish engulfing pattern formed on the H1 chart at 3,344.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to rebound toward 3,370–3,380 in the short term. A break above 3,380 could open the path to 3,400.
💡 Trading Strategies:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3,375 – 3,380
🎯 TP: 3,355 – 3,360
❌ SL: 3,385
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3,344 – 3,348
🎯 TP: 3,365 – 3,370
❌ SL: 3,335
Gold XAUUSD Summer Price Action - Trading Psychology☀️ Summer Trading Blues? Here’s How to Stay Sharp Without Burning Out
Summer trading on Gold isn’t for the impulsive or the greedy. Liquidity dries up, sessions lose momentum, and the clean, aggressive price action we love? It goes on vacation too.
But that’s not a bad thing. It’s an opportunity.
This is the season where traders either burn out... or build.
Here’s how to keep your edge sharp while the markets slow down — and why a positive, focused mindset is your biggest asset until volatility returns.
Why Summer PA Feels “Off” on Gold
You’re not imagining it — gold price action does shift in the summer, and here’s why:
🏖️ Bank Holidays & Institutional Slowdowns
• Major global banks take scheduled breaks — including in the US, UK, EU, and Asia.
• Trading desks reduce activity, and high-volume players shift into passive management mode.
• This results in lower volume, fewer impulsive moves, and more algorithmic fakeouts.
📆 Official Holidays + "August Mode"
• US Independence Day (July 4), UK Summer Bank Holiday (late August), and more → NY and London sessions thin out or lack follow-through.
• Most institutional traders go on leave. Some desks run skeleton crews. No joke.
• Unless a major geopolitical catalyst (e.g. war escalation or surprise central bank move) hits the headlines, price will drift or trap.
🏄♂️ Retail Overreach & Emotional Traps & Vacation Time
• Retail traders often “force” trades in quiet markets to stay busy.
• This leads to chasing, overtrading, and emotional fatigue — the exact trap smart traders avoid.
• Most regular traders also go on vacation or scale back — unless they’re mentally obsessed with Gold and can’t let it go.
Bottom line:
Summer PA is slower, trickier, and full of emotional bait. Learn to read the stillness — not fight it.
💡 Your Summer Trading Mindset Kit
Instead of complaining about the range, use this time to train your mindset.
Here’s how:
⚖️ Stay Emotionally Neutral — Even When Price Isn’t
Summer markets bait your emotions: fake breakouts, slow reactions, and dead zones.
To stay in control, build structure around your execution:
✅ Pre-market: Make a clear plan with meaningful zones and set alerts — don’t wing it on hopes and dreams
✅ Post-market: Write down why you stayed out or why your trade was clean — not just wins or losses
Neutrality isn’t passive — it’s disciplined clarity, even when the chart’s doing nothing.
🎯 Focus Over FOMO
Short sessions. Laser focus. Clean execution.
→ Limit distractions
→ Trade only clear, structured setups
→ Respect no-trade days as productive days
Flow isn’t magic — it’s discipline + environment.
🤝 Find the Trading Circle That Matches Your Style — to reinforce your style
Not every group fits you — and not every voice deserves your attention.
Look for people who:
• Respect structure over noise
• Give thoughtful, honest feedback
• Celebrate patience and growth, not screenshots and bragging and 20-30 pips wins
A real trading circle matches your energy and raises your game — not your cortisol.
💭 Reconnect With Your “Why”
If you’re here just to “make money,” summer will test you hard.
Purpose anchors you when price doesn’t. Ask yourself:
• Why do I trade?
• Who am I becoming through this process?
No purpose = burnout.
Purpose = clarity, even in silence.
📈 Discipline Pays When Gold Doesn’t
Forget chasing fireworks in dead markets.
Summer rewards the trader who does less but does it right:
✅ You skipped noise? That’s a win.
✅ You waited for your zone? Pro-level move.
✅ You tracked your behavior? You’re not guessing — you’re evolving.
While others burn out chasing crumbs, you’re stacking discipline — and that’s what you’ll cash in when the real moves return.
Final Words: Quiet Traders Get Loud Later
Summer might be slow. But your growth doesn’t have to be.
While others force trades, smart traders sharpen edge.
You’re not falling behind by sitting out chop — you’re building mastery for when real money moves return.
🗓️ So in September YOU are going to show up: stronger, clearer, and 3x more prepared.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
Gold (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Analysis- 20 June 2025On the 4-hour chart, gold has been trading in a fairly wide range.
The market has not clearly broken down, and many analysts see it as still structurally bullish as long as key support holds. Currently price is pulling back toward a confluence of support around $3,353–$3,355 (a zone overlapping a trendline and prior demand).
In other words, buyers have defended roughly the 3,340–3,355 area recently. Resistance lies just above in the $3,370–$3,380 region, with a major psychological pivot at $3,400. One analyst notes gold is “boxed between resistance at $3,450 and support at $3,340–$3,335”, so the immediate bias depends on these zones.
A clean break above 3,380–3,400 would signal bullish continuation (targeting 3,450+), while a drop below the 3,340–3,350 support zone would shift the bias bearish.
Overall, the market structure on H4 is mixed-to-bullish: we see higher swings in larger timeframes, and only a minor short-term down leg so far. As one analysis notes, gold remains “structurally bullish” and an upside break could chase the $3,500–$3,550 area.
Key Zones and Levels (4H)
Strong Support (Demand) Zone: ~$3,340–$3,355. This zone (around the recent swing lows) has attracted buying. Analysts mark $3,350–$3,355 as a key buy zone. Breaking below ~$3,340 would be a warning, putting 3,300 as the next floor.
Supply Zone / Resistance: ~$3,370–$3,380. This is the near-term resistance cluster (multiple analysts cite 3,370–3,380 as key). A rejection here would keep gold rangebound.
Major Pivot: $3,400. This round number is acting as an important hurdle. A decisive close above $3,400 would open the door to the $3,434–$3,450 area (prior highs). Conversely, failure at $3,400 can push price back toward the support zone.
Larger Resistances: If the uptrend resumes, look to ~$3,450 (April swing high) and beyond. Many long-range targets point to $3,500+ in a strong bull move.
Secondary Supports: Below the main support zone, watch ~$3,300 and down at $3,281 (the 50-day moving average). These act as deeper floors if weakness continues.
4-Hour Bias
In plain terms, as long as $3,340–$3,355 holds as support, the bias tilts bullish or neutral. We can say bullish bias above that zone: buyers will look to enter on pullbacks there. If price stays under $3,370, gains will likely be capped short-term. A break above $3,380/$3,400 would confirm a bullish breakout. On the flip side, a break below $3,340 shifts us to a bearish bias, with attention turning to lower support levels. On indicators, shorter-term momentum has eased (recent RSI is flattening around 60), suggesting some fatigue. But the longer-term trend is up, supported by strong safe-haven demand (central bank buying, geopolitical risk).
In summary: neutral-to-bullish on 4H, favor buyers near support but cautious near overhead supply.
Intraday (1H) Setups
Zooming into the 1-hour chart, we look for trades that align with the above bias. The clearest setups involve buying around demand zones and selling near supply areas:
Buy the Dip (~$3,344–$3,355): Wait for gold to dip into the 3,340–3,350 area. If you see a bullish price-action signal (e.g. a clear hammer or bullish engulfing candle), that’s a potential buy. Place a stop just below (~$3,335). Initial targets are around $3,370–$3,380 (near resistance). For example, one analysis suggests: “Buy XAU/USD at 3,344–3,348, TP 3,365–3,370, SL 3,335”.
Sell the Rally (~$3,375–$3,380): If price runs up to $3,375–$3,380 and shows signs of stalling (e.g. bearish candle), consider a short. Stop would be just above (~$3,385), with a target back down toward $3,355–$3,360 or the 1H demand zone. (One example from analysis: “Sell XAU/USD at 3,375–3,380, TP 3,355–3,360, SL 3,385”.) This aligns with fading the high of the range.
Breakout Strategy: If momentum is strong and gold breaks convincingly above ~$3,380–$3,400 on the 1H, one can enter long on the breakout. The next resistances are ~$3,434 and $3,450.
Stops should be very tight in that case (just under the breakout candle).
Risk Management: Keep position sizes small (1–2% risk). Use stops under/above the structural levels. Always wait for a clear 1H candle signal before pulling the trigger, to avoid false moves.
Key 1H levels: We can cite the strong short-term zones: support ~$3,344–$3,348 and resistance ~$3,375–$3,380.
If price skims these areas, watch carefully for a signal to buy or sell as described above. If 1H breaks below $3,340, be ready for a move toward the lower demand zone (around $3,335) or even $3,300–$3,280.
Takeaway
Gold is currently trading between ~$3,340 and $3,380 on the 4H chart. The simplest guidance is to trade the range: buy on dips near $3,340–$3,355 with stops just below, aiming for the $3,370–$3,380 area, and sell near $3,375–$3,380 if rallies stall. Maintain a bullish tilt as long as that $3,340+ support holds, but be ready to switch bearish if gold decisively closes under ~$3,340.
Single Takeaway: Treat ~$3,340–$3,355 as a key demand zone – a bounce here would be a high-probability long entry (targeting $3,370–$3,380), whereas a break below would turn the bias lower.
XAU/USD(20250620) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25%, and the voting ratio showed that internal differences were increasing. Traders expect the bank to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3369
Support and resistance levels:
3409
3494
3384
3353
3344
3329
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3369, consider buying, and the first target price is 3384
If the price breaks through 3353, consider selling, and the first target price is 3344
Gold price analysis June 20Daily candle continues to show the dispute while the Sellers are dominating. Today there may be a deep sweep and then recovery at the end of the day.
Yesterday and this morning's 3343 zone did not sweep, so we cancel this zone. BUY must wait until below 3323. Note additional daily support at 3296 for today's 2 buy strategies.
3362 gives a SELL Breakout signal in the Asia-Europe session. If Gold closes back above 3362, then BUY will go up to 3400, the target of the two upper resistance zones remains the same as yesterday at 3415 and 3443
Gold Nears A Bullish BreakoutDepending on one’s timeframe, gold has either stalled or is gradually grinding higher. This is because gold has been moving sideways since mid-April but has been trending upward within a technical trading channel since mid-May. It has been a frustrating period for gold traders, with numerous false starts moving higher and lower. However, long-term holders certainly can’t complain.
The rising trading channel and the ascending 10-day exponential moving average are bullish signals, suggesting that gold could continue to climb if these trends remain intact. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also trending upwards, further supporting a bullish outlook.
The significant test for gold remains at $3,400, an area where gold has repeatedly failed to break through. Yet, one could argue that the more gold tests this resistance level, the greater the likelihood of an eventual breakout.
However, should gold fail to break out and instead slip below the rising channel and the 10-day exponential moving average, it would create a bearish scenario, potentially pushing prices beneath support at around $3,325. Breaking this support could set the stage for declines towards $3,230, and possibly even down to $3,170, although current indicators suggest this scenario is less likely.
With geopolitical tensions escalating and economic uncertainty heightened by global trade concerns, gold is likely to remain an attractive safe-haven asset in the near term. Nevertheless, should these tensions ease or uncertainties diminish, gold may face a pullback; yet, for now, further upside appears to be the most probable outcome.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management.
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
Gold-----sell near 3393, target 3380-3366Gold market analysis:
Yesterday, gold was basically a repeated shock, the K line was repaired at one position, and buying and selling were back and forth around the M side of the suppression platform 3405. Yesterday, our analysis was completely in line with our expectations. Yesterday, we also repeatedly arranged 5 sell orders, arranging 3382 break sell, 3387 sell, 3393 sell, 3382 sell, 3377 sell. Today's idea is to continue selling. The daily line cannot determine the bottom of this wave of decline. There are data in European and American time today. I think we can rely on the 3405 platform to be bearish before the data. If 3405 breaks, we adjust our thinking to be bullish. Otherwise, we can sell repeatedly. Gold is oscillating in the short term. Try not to chase it and wait for it to rebound and suppress the position to sell. In addition, the daily moving average suppression position of the moving average is 3396-3363, which is also the main reason for its repeated game at this position. The weekly buying momentum is not dead yet. Be cautious of its rocket in the second half of the week.
In today's Asian session, we will first focus on the suppression of 3395. The risk of taking more is relatively large. The low point below is not stable. The Asian session fell to 3370 and rebounded quickly. From the perspective of the pattern, 3372-3366 is the support. The suppression position of the 1H hourly moving average is near 3395. Yesterday's US session rebounded at around 3396, and the hourly K suppression position was 3400. All the above are suppressed. In addition, the opening position today is also near 3393.
Pressure 3393, 3400, 3405, support 3382, 3370, and the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3382.
Fundamental analysis:
In the previous fundamentals, we have been paying attention to geopolitical factors. The situation in the Middle East has indeed changed the way gold and crude oil are traded. Today we focus on the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, and there is also a speech by Chairman Powell during the US session.
Operation suggestions:
Gold-----sell near 3393, target 3380-3366
Gold Gains Ahead of Fed📊 Market Overview
• Reason: Gold is trading around ~$3,380–$3,400/oz, supported by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates before potentially cutting later this year.
• Weak U.S. economic data (retail sales, housing, industrial production) also adds to safe-haven demand, providing further support for gold prices.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key resistance: $3,410 – $3,465
• Nearest support: $3,340 – $3,300
• EMA 09 (short-term): Price remains above the 09 EMA, rebounding from ~$3,366 and holding above the 50 EMA → indicates a bullish trend is still intact.
• Candlestick patterns & volume: Bearish engulfing appeared on June 17 but lacked follow-through. Lower volume suggests range-bound movement ahead of the Fed announcement.
📌 Outlook
Gold may continue to rise modestly (bullish) in the short term if:
• The Fed keeps rates unchanged or takes a moderately hawkish stance,
• Geopolitical risks persist,
• U.S. economic data continues to show weakness.
However, a surprise from the Fed or a strong USD could lead to a pullback. Watch key levels: $3,340 (support), $3,410 (resistance).
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry zone: $3,410–$3,420
• 🎯 TP: ~$3,390 – $3,400
• ❌ SL: ~$3,430
•
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry zone: $3,340–$3,350
• 🎯 TP: ~$3,360 – $3,370
• ❌ SL: ~$3,330
Gold fluctuates in the short term, pay attention to 3344 and go 📌 Driving Events
After the Fed’s interest rate decision, as expected, the Fed kept the interest rate unchanged in terms of gold, which was in line with market expectations. The price of gold continued to fluctuate and fall in the short term, and the bullish momentum was not obvious. Even if regional conflicts triggered risk aversion, it is likely to show a trend of rising first and then falling. As the price of gold is under pressure at 3,400 points, the intraday rebound will still fall back briefly under the pressure of 3,400 points.
📊Comment Analysis
Short sellers continue to exert selling pressure on gold prices. Accumulate to below 3400
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3390-3400 SL 3410
TP1: $3385
TP2: $3375
TP3: $3365
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3360-$3370 SL $3355
TP1: $3380
TP2: $3390
TP3: $3400
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
The market is closed today. How to arrange gold in the evening?📰 Impact of news:
1. The interest rate remains unchanged and leads to new lows in the short term
2. Geopolitical tensions provide support for risk aversion
📈 Market analysis:
The market is expected to not fluctuate much today. Generally speaking, it is difficult to stand on one foot to form a short-term bottom. There should be a second wave of bottom exploration, a secondary low point, and then the bottom is explored and pulled up to break through the previous high point. Only then can the turning point be officially established and the decline end. Moreover, the 1H moving average is spreading downward. Therefore, in the short term, we still pay attention to the 3375-3385 line of resistance and the 3360-3355 line of support below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3375-3385
TP 3365-3360-3355
BUY 3360-3355
TP 3370-3380-3405-3420
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The reason why gold was suddenly sold off
💡Message Strategy
Market dehydration news:
1. On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained a stable stance on interest rates, maintaining them in the target range of 4.25% to 4.5%. The Fed expects to implement two rate cuts this year, but policymakers expect inflation to rise. They also lowered their outlook for gross domestic product (GDP).
2. After the Fed's decision was released, the spot gold price fell sharply from the level near $3,396 per ounce; during Powell's speech, the gold price accelerated its decline, once falling to around $3,362 per ounce.
3. Powell said that the current policy stance is ready for flexible response, "At present, we are in a good position to wait for more information about the possible direction of the economy before considering adjusting policies."
4. Powell pointed out that the Fed needs to further understand the current situation before considering adjusting monetary policy. He said that given the continued changes in trade, fiscal and regulatory policies, the Fed needs more time to assess their impact on the economy.
📊Technical aspects
On the 1H chart of gold, gold fell back from a two-month high, hitting a new low in a week, and the short-term trend is biased towards adjustment.
For the upper pressure of gold, pay attention to the intraday high point of gold price rebound at 3380-90 US dollars, which is also near the 5-day moving average of the daily line. Secondly, pay attention to the integer position of 3400 US dollars, which is also the high point of gold price rebound on Wednesday. For further strength, pay attention to the upper track of the daily Bollinger band at 3425 US dollars;
For the lower support of gold, pay attention to the intraday low of 3355-60 US dollars, which is the middle track position of the daily Bollinger band and near the weekly MA5 moving average. The 5-day moving average golden cross turns down, the MACD indicator is close to forming a slight dead cross, the KDJ indicator dead cross slows down, and the RSI indicator dead cross turns up. The short-term technical aspect shows that there is a risk of correction in gold prices.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:3390-3400,SL:3410,Target: 3370-3360
Long Position:3355-3365,SL:3345,Target: 3380-3390
XAU/USD) Back Bullish trand Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 3-hour timeframe based on a price action setup within a rising channel and a key support zone. Here's a breakdown of the analysis:
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Technical Overview:
Trend Structure:
The price is moving within a rising channel (marked by the black trendlines). Recent touches on both the top and bottom of the channel suggest that it is being respected.
Key Support Zone (Yellow Box):
Price recently tested a strong support zone around $3,338 – $3,350, which aligns with:
Historical price reaction area.
The 200 EMA (blue line).
An uptrend line support.
A bullish reaction (green arrow) confirming demand.
Bear Trap Breakout:
There’s a false breakout below the support followed by a sharp reversal (green arrow), which could indicate a bear trap, often followed by a bullish rally.
Price Projection:
The projected move suggests a bullish rally toward $3,478.89, offering a potential 3.97% gain (~133 points).
The path includes a possible consolidation before a breakout (illustrated by the wavy arrow).
RSI Indicator:
RSI is recovering from the oversold zone (~45), indicating increasing bullish momentum.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Around $3,350–$3,370 (post-retest of support)
Target: $3,478.89
Confirmation: Bullish price action at support, 200 EMA bounce, RSI reversal
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XAU/USD) Back support level Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar) – 2H Timeframe:
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XAU/USD Bearish Rejection from Resistance – Short-Term Sell Setup
Key Observations:
1. Rejection from Upper Channel & Resistance Zone:
Price was rejected sharply after touching the upper boundary of the ascending channel and the newly established resistance zone (~3400–3420).
A strong bearish candle confirms selling pressure at the top.
2. Support Retest in Progress:
The price is currently descending toward the EMA 200 and the KYY support zone (approximately 3343–3348).
The previous bounce originated from this level, making it a significant retest zone.
3. EMA 200 as Confluence:
The 200 EMA (currently at 3346.92) aligns with the support zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce or at least temporary pause in bearish momentum.
4. RSI Bearish Signal:
RSI has dropped below 50, confirming a momentum shift toward the downside.
Still above oversold territory, suggesting more downside room.
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Trade Idea:
Bias: Bearish (Short-Term)
Entry Zone: Around 3390–3400 (confirmed rejection area)
Target Zone: 3348 – 3343 (KYY support + EMA 200)
Stop Loss: Above 3425 (just above resistance zone)
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
Gold has faced a clear rejection at a key resistance zone within an ascending channel, and is now targeting the EMA 200 and previous structural support. Short opportunities could be considered toward the 3343–3348 zone, with RSI and price action supporting the move.
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Accurately grasp the interest rate trend, today's gold layout📰 Impact of news:
1. The interest rate remains unchanged and leads to new lows in the short term
2. Geopolitical tensions provide support for risk aversion
📈 Market analysis:
I told you yesterday that 3363 is not the recent low. Today's lowest point has reached around 3347. The current day's K-line closed with a medium-sized negative line with balanced upper and lower shadows. The shape shows that gold will fluctuate in the short term and be bearish. Therefore, it is not suitable to blindly guess the bottom in the short term. As geopolitical tensions still exist, it is expected that the lowest level may reach 3330. During the day, focus on the upper resistance range of 3380-3390. If the rebound is blocked, try to intervene with short orders. The lower support is at the key level of 3330-3320. Pay attention to the defense of the support area.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3335-3325
TP 3360-3380-3390-3400
SELL 3375-3385
TP 3365-3355-3345-3300
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GOLD SHORT-TERM CORRECTION AFTER 3,360 – Consolidation likely📊 Market Summary:
Gold pulled back to around 3,363 USD, currently trading near 3,373 USD USD strength post-Fed comments and overbought conditions are prompting a short-term correction, while geopolitical tensions provide mild underlying support .
📉 Technical Points:
• Resistance: ~3,387–3,388, then 3,400 .
• Support: ~3,363, with secondary support 3,352–3,355 .
• EMA/SMA: Above EMA50, below 20 SMA (~3,347), indicating range-bound behavior
• Momentum: RSI & MACD neutral, Stochastic ~58%—suggesting sideways movement .
📌 Outlook:
Expect continued consolidation between 3,352–3,388. Breach above may lead to breakout, breach below possibly triggers pullback toward 3,320.
💡 Trading Plan:
SELL XAU/USD: 3,380–3,385
• 🎯 TP: ~3,360
• ❌ SL: ~3,395
BUY XAU/USD: 3,363–3,365
• 🎯 TP: ~3,380–3,387
• ❌ SL: ~3,350
Is 2025 the right time to make plans?Market news:
On Thursday (June 19) in the early Asian session, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,380/ounce. As an important safe-haven asset in the global financial market, the price fluctuations of international gold are often affected by macroeconomic policies, geopolitical situations and market sentiment. Recently, the gold market has shown a complex and eye-catching trend under the dual influence of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.The Federal Reserve decided to keep the benchmark overnight interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50% at its meeting on June 18. This decision was in line with market expectations, but its subsequent statement brought new uncertainty to the London gold price market. This cautious stance weakened the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's rapid easing, causing gold prices to fall 0.57% on Wednesday to close at $3,369/ounce.The current gold market is in a complex environment with multiple factors intertwined. The Federal Reserve's cautious monetary policy stance and inflation expectations caused by tariffs have brought short-term pressure on gold prices, but geopolitical tensions and signs of economic slowdown have provided potential upward momentum for gold prices. Pay attention to the dynamic changes in the global economy and geopolitics to seize investment opportunities in the gold market.
Technical Review:
Gold fell to the MA10-day moving average of 3662 in the early morning and counterattacked 3380 in the Asian session. The Asian session will continue to look at the rebound strength. The gold price will continue to fluctuate and adjust. The large range is 3408/3343, and the small range is 3390/3360. The daily chart fell back to the 10-day moving average at 3362, and the MA5/7-day moving average was suppressed at 3385/90. The RSI indicator continued to flatten the middle axis. The short-term four-hour chart price is running in the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Band!
This week, gold rose sharply to 3450 at the opening, and gradually fell slowly to 3365, with a strength of 100 US dollars. Although the main strength in the first two trading days was a decline, the buying trend remained unchanged. In an uncertain environment, there is still a chance of a big rise in the future. So this week's idea continues to maintain short-term selling and long-term buying.
Today's analysis:
After the Fed's interest rate decision, the Fed kept the interest rate unchanged as expected, which was in line with market expectations. Gold continued to fluctuate and fall in the short term, and there was no obvious upward momentum for buying. Even if it was a risk aversion, it might be careful of the trend of rising and falling. Since gold was under pressure at 3400, it continued to sell at high prices when it rebounded under pressure at 3400 during the day.The gold 1-hour moving average continued to sell downward dead cross patterns, and the gold buying rebound was weak. It was under pressure at 3400 for many times in the past two days and began to fall. The short-term 3400 line of gold has become a strong resistance. If gold buying cannot break through 3400 strongly, then gold buying will be difficult to improve. It is likely that it will still be the main venue for gold selling. Gold rebounded at 3400 during the day and continued to sell at high prices.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3365-3368 buy, stop loss 3356, target 3390-3440;
Short-term gold 3395-3398 sell, stop loss 3407, target 3370-3350;
Key points:
First support level: 3368, second support level: 3354, third support level: 3333
First resistance level: 3396, second resistance level: 3408, third resistance level: 3420
Data is stable. Will the price go down?Information summary:
The Fed kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, and did not make a rate cut decision for four consecutive meetings, which was in line with market expectations. The Fed said that uncertainty about the outlook has eased, but it is still at a high level. The Fed lowered its GDP forecast for 2025 to 1.4%, while raising its inflation forecast to 3%.
The Fed kept interest rates unchanged, which may suggest that the pace of future rate cuts will slow down.
Market analysis:
From the current 4-hour chart:
The price has fallen below the key support level of 3380. If it returns to below 3370 again, it is very likely to reach today's low. The low point of the downward trend is at the extreme position of 3350-3330.
From the hourly chart, the downward range has also been broken. The early rebound in the Asian market also failed to stabilize above the support level. Then from the hourly Fibonacci, the 0.382 position below is around 3350.
Therefore, if it goes down, the first target is also around 3350.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3380, stop loss at 3390, profit range 3350-3330.
Thoughts before the Golden Decision
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices continued to fluctuate at high levels this week, lacking a clear direction. The Federal Reserve is about to announce its June interest rate decision. Although the market generally expects that the interest rate will remain unchanged this time, the key focus lies in the update of the dot plot and Powell's wording in the press conference. The market is currently betting that a rate cut cycle may begin in September, mainly based on a series of weak US economic data released recently. US retail sales fell 0.9% month-on-month in May, significantly lower than the market's expectation of -0.7%, while industrial output also unexpectedly shrank by 0.2%, indicating that the US economic momentum has slowed down.
At the same time, the US CPI data in May cooled down across the board, with both the annual rate and the core annual rate lower than expected, which further strengthened the market's expectations for a rate cut in September. Against this background, the US dollar fell from its high on Tuesday, boosting the short-term decline in gold prices.
In terms of geopolitical situation, according to Reuters, the six-day conflict between Israel and Iran showed no signs of cooling down. US President Trump publicly put pressure on Iran and released remarks that he would impose tariffs on the pharmaceutical industry. Coupled with the uncertainty of the trade outlook, the market's risk aversion sentiment has been strengthened, which will help gold maintain a high level.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart, the gold price has been running between the middle and upper tracks of the Bollinger Bands since late May. The Bollinger Bands have gradually converged, suggesting that volatility has decreased and the market is on the eve of a change.
The current gold price is hovering between the middle track of the Bollinger Bands at $3,322.96 and the upper track at $3,446.14, in a typical oscillating pattern.
In terms of MACD indicators, the current bar chart is close to the zero axis, and the DIFF line and the DEA line are in a state of convergence, and no effective golden cross or dead cross is formed, reflecting that the current situation is a typical consolidation market. RSI remains near 56, indicating that the market is not obviously overbought or oversold, and the short-term momentum is neutral.
Based on the above judgment and analysis, it is believed that gold is currently at a critical node. If it breaks through the 3400-line resistance band and is accompanied by a large volume, it will be expected to challenge the high of $3450. On the contrary, if it falls below the $3360 support, it may trigger a short-term adjustment, with the target pointing to the lower track of the Bollinger band at $3200.
At present, the overall adjustment of gold is supported by the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut, and the bulls are relatively strong. Long positions are deployed before the decision.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:3380-3385,SL:3370
First target: 3400, second target: 3450