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Gold continues to rise! When will the price of gold fall?Market news: In early Asian trading on Monday (June 16), London gold prices continued to rise last week, hitting a nearly seven-week high of $3,451/ounce, as Israel and Iran launched a new round of attacks on each other on Sunday (June 15), exacerbating market concerns that escalating wars may trigger wider regional conflicts, and international gold continued to receive support from safe-haven buying.The continued rise of gold during the conflict depends on whether it is in a bull market and whether the conflict is likely to escalate. The inflow of funds into gold stock ETFs shows an increase in retail interest, especially silver outperforming spot gold, suggesting that market sentiment is turning. In addition to the geopolitical situation, this week will also usher in the test of the US retail sales monthly rate (commonly known as "terror data") and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.This trading day also needs to pay attention to the US New York Fed Manufacturing Index in June and the G7 Leaders' Summit, and pay attention to China's May total retail sales of consumer goods and China's May industrial added value annual rate. Technical Review: The technical price of gold is in good condition with the buying structure of the trend. The MA10/7/5-day moving averages on the daily chart remain open upward, the RSI indicator is hooked upward, and the price is running in the upper and middle track of the Bollinger Bands. The moving average system of the short-term four-hour chart maintains a golden cross opening upward, the price gradually moves up from the high point of the MA10-day moving average, and the Bollinger Bands remain open upward in the same hourly chart. Affected by the market fundamentals, gold has triggered risk aversion.The price of gold continues to rise, and the graphics of various time periods have formed obvious and strong support. In the daily chart, gold fell back to the trend line support after the triangle convergence breakthrough, and ushered in a rising trend again. In the short term, the upward momentum of gold is still strong.      Based on the last round of retracement low of $3120 as the starting point of the wave structure, the push of the third wave may cause the price of gold to rise to $3600-3640. Combined with the current fundamentals, news and geopolitical situation, the medium- and long-term upward trend of gold is far from over. Today’s analysis: At present, the entire market is still affected by the geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Gold has been at a high level for a long time. If there is no turning point, the gold price will continue to remain above 3400 today. We will have the opportunity to see the gold price refresh the historical high of 3500 again today or tomorrow, and the probability is also very high. Then our operation idea is to buy to the end before the trend changes! The trend of the gold one-hour market is still strong. From the short-term trend, it continues to maintain a high-level shock pattern, and the low point continues to rise. The high point has been continuously broken. Although the high opening and high movement of the Asian market failed to be directly continued, the high and fall back just gave us the opportunity to buy in! Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3420-3423, stop loss at 3411, target at 3450-3470; Sell short-term gold at 3468-3471, stop loss at 3480, target at 3420-3400; Key points: First support level: 3423, second support level: 3410, third support level: 3392 First resistance level: 3458, second resistance level: 3467, third resistance level: 3483
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NuggetsWarriors
Gold----Buy near 3417, target 3440-3450Gold market analysis: The continuous bombing of Israel and Iran for several days has allowed gold to stand on 3400 again. The big tombstone before the weekly line was wiped out, and the weekly line closed with a big positive line again, and formed a positive-enclosing-negative pattern. This is the long-term rebound caused by geopolitical factors. There is an old saying in the market that cannonballs are always worth a lot of gold. We are not sure how long the situation between Iran and Israel will last, but what is certain is that the buying situation is obvious. The next operation is to follow the buying. I estimate that gold will continue to rise this week. In addition, under such fundamentals that control the market, we must strictly carry out each order with a loss. The market will not change the trend because you resist the order. Following the trend is the kingly way. In the Asian session, we first focus on the hourly support of 3417 and the shape support of 3419. The position of 3417 is also the watershed of strength and weakness in the short term. If it breaks, it will reach around 3407. In addition, 3451 is the top of the daily line. There was a dive at this position before. If the daily line cannot stand on it for a long time, there is also the possibility of another dive. 3407 is a hurdle in the big cycle. If it breaks, it may bring a waterfall drop. Support 3417, strong support 3407, suppression 3451, the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3417. Fundamental analysis: There are many fundamental analyses and data in the recent period. Geopolitical factors are the main reason for its violent fluctuations. In addition, there is a holiday in the United States this week, and there is also a Federal Reserve interest rate result. Operation suggestion: Gold----Buy near 3417, target 3440-3450
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NuggetsWarriors
Gold May Pull Back Short-Term📊 Market Overview: After several strong bullish sessions, gold prices are under short-term pressure as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East temporarily ease and the US Dollar shows slight recovery. While expectations for a steady Fed policy remain, traders are locking in profits after gold tested the $3,445 resistance zone. 📉 Technical Analysis: Key Resistance: $3,445 – $3,460 Nearest Support: $3,394 – $3,380 EMA 09: Price has dropped below the 09 EMA, signaling a potential short-term bearish shift. RSI/Candles/Momentum: RSI is pulling back from overbought levels. A red candlestick pattern has emerged after a strong rally, suggesting a technical pullback may be forming. Trading volume is starting to decrease. 📌 Outlook: Gold may correct lower in the short term toward the $3,390–$3,380 support zone if it fails to reclaim the 09 EMA. However, the medium-to-long-term trend remains supported by safe-haven demand and dovish Fed expectations. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: SELL XAU/USD at: $3,440 – $3,445 🎯 TP: $3,420 ❌ SL: $3,455 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,390 – $3,395 🎯 TP: $3,410 ❌ SL: $3,380
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold, continued to rise after a pullback 📌 Driving events Israel and Iran launched a new round of attacks on each other on Sunday (June 15), exacerbating market concerns that the escalation of the war could trigger a wider regional conflict, and gold continued to receive support from safe-haven buying. (The author believes that according to media reports, Iranian leaders have shown a tougher attitude, and Iran cannot be ruled out to give Israel a strong counterattack, so the geopolitical situation in the Middle East may escalate in the next few days, and gold as a safe-haven asset will shine even brighter. Kremlin: (On Putin's possible mediation of the Israeli-Iranian conflict) Russia is ready to intervene at any time if necessary. (The author hopes that the two countries will be reconciled as soon as possible) 📊Comment Analysis 1-hour chart: The rising channel breaks down, and short-term shorting is at 3442. 💰Strategy Package Today's US market plans to sell high and buy low in the 3408-3452 range. If the range breaks, follow the trend, strictly lighten the position and set a good stop loss. ⭐️ Note: I hope traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds I hope everyone will set rules, control emotions, and take a long-term view, and slowly get rid of the control of desire, be at ease in the trading market, find their own way to make money, and truly enjoy the fun and rewards brought by trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
The international situation is bad. Gold fell back.Information summary: Latest news: Israeli fighter jets "flew freely" over Tehran, and Iran lost air supremacy over the entire west. Israel's goal turned to a wider range of Iranian military and infrastructure. Iran's counterattack, Tel Aviv, Haifa and other Israeli cities are being attacked by Iranian missiles. Both sides are currently suffering heavy losses. But the price of gold fell back at this time; I think the biggest reason is that this week, the global "super central bank week" is about to hit, the market will usher in a very critical Federal Reserve interest rate decision, and central banks such as Japan, Switzerland and the United Kingdom will also hold monetary policy meetings one after another, and investors are on high alert. Under the influence of multiple conditions, the price of gold has a technical correction. Technical analysis: From a technical point of view, the impact of the conflict in the Middle East did not directly push up prices, but instead rushed up and fell back, which shows that the market has great pressure on the upward trend. Therefore, for the upward trend, it is necessary to be relatively conservative. From the position point of view, the support below is around 3410. From a trading perspective, most traders are waiting for the release of some data, which will change the overall trend of gold. However, according to the latest analysis of 14 Wall Street analysts, 10 analysts expect prices to continue to rise. So I guess that this time the gold price pullback is accumulating energy for upward movement. At present, the price has started to rise after falling back to around 3410. The point of this pullback rebound is expected to stop around 3440, and then start to fluctuate at a high level. If the price breaks through 3440 strongly and stabilizes above this position, the price may hit the upward pressure level of 3455 again.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_1
Analysis of gold trend on June 16! 📣Gold information: Gold prices (XAU/USD) climbed to $3,445 in early Asian trading on Monday, the highest level in more than a month, as rising tensions in the Middle East and expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve boosted demand for safe-haven assets. Investors remain focused on geopolitical risks despite stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data on Friday. The University of Michigan's consumer confidence index jumped to 60.5 in June, well above market expectations of 53.5 and 52.2 in May. However, the market largely shrugged off the data. Instead, attention turned to the escalating conflict in the Middle East, with Israel's recent attack on Iran fueling concerns about instability in the wider region. In response, Iranian authorities warned that they would "respond firmly to any adventurism," which boosted gold's appeal amid global uncertainty. ⭐️Technical review and analysis: For the current short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to rebound high and go long, with the upward resistance level of 3450-3500 and the downward support level of 3385-3335. ⭐️Set gold price: 🔥Sell gold area: 3465-3475 SL 3485 TP1: $3450 TP2: $3430 🔥Buy gold area: $3390-$3388 SL $3383 TP1: $3400 TP2: $3422
TVC:GOLDShort
by labaronAA
1
Gold Regains Bullish MomentumGold Regains Bullish Momentum Gold price started a fresh surge above the $3,375 resistance level. Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today - Gold price started a fresh surge and traded above $3,420 against the US Dollar. - A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,415 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen. Gold Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed a base near the $3,300 zone. The price started a steady increase above the $3,350 and $3,375 resistance levels. There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,400. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,420 resistance zone. A high was formed near $3,450 and the price is now consolidating gains. On the downside, immediate support is near the $3,415 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,301 swing low to the $3,451 high. Besides, there is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,415. The next major support sits at $3,375 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,301 swing low to the $3,451 high. A downside break below the $3,375 support might send the price toward the $3,335 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,300 support zone. Immediate resistance is near the $3,450 level. The next major resistance is near the $3,460 level. An upside break above the $3,460 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,480. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,500 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
Gold Breaks Out as Iran Tensions Flare🚨 Israel’s Iran strike fears are sending gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) soaring to $3448! reports Israel may target Iran’s nuclear sites (June 16, 2025), fueling safe-haven demand as oil prices climb. 4H Chart Analysis: Price Action: XAUUSD cleared $3440 resistance (a June 2025 high) after a 2-week consolidation, confirming an uptrend. Volume: 4H volume surged 20% vs. the prior week, reflecting strong buying pressure. Key Levels: Current Support: $3440 (former resistance, now support, tested today). Next Support: $3410-$3420 (consolidation low, held three times since June 1, 2025). Context: Gold is up 6.49% this month, with $3448 the highest 4H close since May 2025, driven by Middle East risks. The $3440 breakout with high volume shows buyers dominating. $3410-$3420 is a key support zone for pullbacks, backed by recent price action. Track Iran news and volume for breakout strength or reversal signals. How’s your 4H gold setup looking? Drop your charts! 👇 #GoldPrice #XAUUSD #IsraelIran #SafeHaven #TradingView
TVC:GOLDLong
by DCAChampion
XAU/USD Chart Analysis Following Israel-Iran StrikesXAU/USD Chart Analysis Following Israel-Iran Strikes In 2025, the price of gold continues to form a long-term upward trend, highlighted by the black line. The red line previously acted as resistance, resulting in the formation of a contracting triangle on the XAU/USD chart – a typical sign of market equilibrium. However, this red line was breached (as indicated by the arrow) amid news of the exchange of strikes between Israel and Iran. In response, gold price movements have more clearly outlined the rising blue channel, which began to take shape in the second half of May. Over the weekend, the strikes continued, and on Monday morning, trading opened with a modest bullish gap. This indicates that geopolitical risk concerns are helping to keep gold prices anchored above the red line. What could happen to the price of gold next? Much will depend on how the situation in the Middle East develops. Should the exchange of strikes between Iran and Israel subside and official statements offer hope for de-escalation, a pullback from the upper boundary of the blue channel is likely. If such a scenario plays out, technical analysts may focus on the support zone around $3,390–3,400 on the XAU/USD chart, formed by: → the psychological level of $3,400; → the red line, which previously acted as resistance; → the median of the blue channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
Gold Technical & Fundamental Outlook for Next WeekIn this video, I break down the recent surge in gold prices, what drove the momentum, including rising tensions between Israel and Iran, and the impact of weaker U.S. inflation data that’s pushing Fed rate cut expectations. Gold is now sitting just below the all-time high of around $3,500. With major U.S. economic events like Retail Sales and the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision coming up, this is a key moment for us to prepare. 💥 Will we see a breakout above resistance, or is a healthy dip on the cards before the next move? I’ll walk you through the key levels, the market psychology, and how I’m planning my trades this week. 💡 Make sure to like, comment, and subscribe for more weekly gold and forex market insights. Disclaimer: Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading. #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldPrice #ForexTrading #MarketOutlook #GoldForecast #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #FOMC #FedRateDecision #RetailSales #SafeHaven #GoldBreakout #TradingStrategy #ForexMentor
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
Oil Extends Rally as Israel-Iran Conflict Stokes Supply FearsBrent jumps 5.5 %, bullion hits fresh records, but analysts still see $65 crude by Q4 if key shipping lanes stay open The crude-oil market loves nothing more than a geopolitical headline, and the one that flashed across terminals this past weekend was a whopper: escalating hostilities between Israel and Iran. Within minutes of the first wire stories, Brent crude vaulted 5.5 % to an intraday high of $76.02 a barrel—its largest single-session pop since Russia invaded Ukraine in early 2022—before giving back part of the gain to settle just under $76. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) traced a similar arc, peaking at $74.11 and closing fractionally lower. At the same time, investors stampeded into traditional havens. COMEX gold pierced $2,450 an ounce for the first time, while silver sprinted above $33—blowing past the decade-old high set during the meme-metal frenzy of 2021. The twin moves in energy and precious metals underscore how fragile risk sentiment has become even as global demand growth, OPEC discipline, and U.S. shale resilience point to a more balanced physical market later this year. Below we dissect the drivers of crude’s latest surge, explore the scenarios that could push prices back toward—or away from—the $65 handle by the fourth quarter, and explain why bullion refuses to loosen its grip on record territory. ________________________________________ 1. What Sparked the Spike? 1. Tit-for-tat escalation. Reports of Israel striking Iran-linked assets in Syria and Iran responding with drone attacks near the Golan Heights raised fears of a direct Israel-Iran confrontation—a worst-case scenario that could spill into the Strait of Hormuz and threaten 20 % of global seaborne oil. 2. Thin pre-holiday liquidity. Monday volume was 30 % below the 20-day average with several Asian markets closed, exaggerating price swings and triggering momentum-chasing algos. 3. Options market gamma squeeze. Dealers short upside calls scrambled to hedge as spot pierced $75, accelerating the melt-up. Open interest in $80 Brent calls expiring in June ballooned to 45,000 contracts—four times the 3-month norm. ________________________________________ 2. How Real Is the Supply Risk? While the headlines are chilling, physical flows remain intact for now: • Strait of Hormuz: No tankers have been impeded, insurance premia have widened only 25 ¢ per barrel—well below the $3 spike seen after the 2019 Abqaiq attack in Saudi Arabia. • Iraqi-Turkish Pipeline: Still shuttered for unrelated legal reasons; volumes have been offline since March 2023 and are therefore “priced in.” • Suez Canal / SUMED: Egyptian authorities report normal operations. In short, the rally is risk premia, not actual barrels lost. That distinction matters because premia tend to deflate quickly once tension plateaus, as the market witnessed in October 2023 after Hamas’s initial assault on Israel. ________________________________________ 3. Fundamentals Point to Softer Prices by Autumn Four forces could push Brent back into the $65–68 corridor by Q4 2025 if the geopolitical situation stabilizes: Force Current Status Q3–Q4 Outlook OPEC+ Spare Capacity ~5.5 mbpd, most in Saudi/UAE Ability to add 1–2 mbpd if prices spike U.S. Shale Growth 13.3 mbpd, record high +0.6 mbpd y/y, breakeven $47–55 Refinery Maintenance Peak spring turnarounds remove 1.5 mbpd demand Units restart by July, easing crude tightness Global Demand +1.2 mbpd y/y (IEA) Slows to +0.8 mbpd on OECD weakness Add seasonal gasoline demand ebbing after August, and the supply-demand balance tilts looser just as futures curves roll into Q1 2026 deliveries—a period typically beset by refinery slowdowns and holiday travel lulls. ________________________________________ 4. Scenario Analysis: Three Paths for Brent 1. Escalation (20 % probability) • Direct Israeli strike on Iranian territory → Tehran targets Hormuz traffic • 3 mbpd disrupted for one month • Brent overshoots to $100+, backwardation widens above $10 • Biden releases 90 mb from the SPR; OPEC signals emergency meeting 2. Containment (60 % probability) • Hostilities remain proxy-based in Syria/Lebanon; shipping unscathed • Risk premium bleeds off; Brent drifts to $70–72 by July • By Q4 oversupply emerges; prices test $65 3. Detente (20 % probability) • U.S.-mediated cease-fire; hostages exchanged • Iran de-escalates to focus on reviving JCPOA talks • Risk premium collapses; Brent revisits mid-$60s by August and low-$60s into winter ________________________________________ 5. Why Gold and Silver Are On Fire The precious-metals rally is less about oil and more about real yields and central-bank buying: • Real 10-year U.S. yield sits at 1.05 %, down from 1.55 % in February, boosting gold’s carry cost competitiveness. • PBoC & EM central banks added a net 23 tonnes in April—the 17th straight month of net purchases. • ETF inflows turned positive for the first time in nine months, adding 14 tonnes last week. Silver benefits from the same macro tailwinds plus industrial demand (solar panel capacity is growing 45 % y/y). A tight COMEX inventory cover ratio—registered stocks equal to just 1.4 months of offtake—amplifies price sensitivity. ________________________________________ 6. Cross-Asset Implications 1. Equities: Energy stocks (XLE) outperformed the S&P 500 by 3 % intraday but could retrace if crude fizzles. Miners (GDX, SILJ) may enjoy more durable momentum given new-high psychology. 2. FX: Petro-currencies CAD and NOK rallied 0.4 % vs. USD; safe-haven CHF gained 0.3 %. JPY failed to catch a bid, reflecting carry-trade dominance. 3. Rates: U.S. 2-year yields slipped 6 bp as Fed cut odds edged up on stagflation fears, but the move lacked conviction. ________________________________________ 7. What Could Invalidate the Bearish Q4 Call? • OPEC+ Discipline Frays: If Saudi Arabia tires of single-handedly absorbing cuts and opens the taps, prices could undershoot $60—but Riyadh’s fiscal breakeven (~$82) makes this unlikely. • U.S. Election Politics: A new White House may re-impose harsher sanctions on Iran or ease drilling restrictions, tilting balances either way. • Extreme Weather: An intense Atlantic hurricane season could knock Gulf of Mexico output offline, squeezing physical supply just as refineries demand more feedstock. ________________________________________ 8. Trading and Hedging Playbook Asset Bias Vehicles Key Levels Brent Crude Fade rallies toward $80; target $68 by Oct ICE futures, Jul $70 puts Resistance $78.80 / Support $71.30 WTI Similar to Brent NYMEX CL, calendar-spread (long Dec 24, short Dec 25) Resistance $75.20 Gold Buy dips if real yields fall below 0.9 % Futures, GLD ETF, 25-delta call spreads Support $2,390 Silver Momentum long until $35; tighten stops Futures, SLV ETF, 2-month $34 calls Resistance $36.20 Energy Equities Pair trade: long refiners vs. short E&Ps ETFs: CRAK vs. XOP Watch crack spreads Risk managers should recall that correlation spikes under stress: a portfolio long gold and short crude looks diversified—until a Middle-East cease-fire nukes both legs. ________________________________________ 9. Macro Backdrop: Demand Still Fragile Even before the flare-up, oil demand forecasts were slipping: • OECD: Eurozone PMIs languish below 50; German diesel demand –7 % y/y. • China: Q2 refinery runs flatlining; teapot margins < $2/bbl. • India: Bright spot with gasoline demand +9 %, but monsoon season will clip growth. On the supply side, non-OPEC production is rising 1.8 mbpd this year, led by Brazil’s pre-salt, Guyana’s Stabroek block, and U.S. Permian efficiency gains. Unless Middle-East barrels exit the market, the call on OPEC crude will shrink from 28 mbpd in Q2 to 26.7 mbpd in Q4, forcing the cartel to decide between market share and price. ________________________________________ 10. Historical Perspective: Geopolitical Risk Premiums Fade Fast Event Initial Brent Jump Days to Round-Trip Barrels Lost? 2019 Abqaiq Attack +15 % 38 < 0.2 mbpd for 30 days 2020 U.S.–Iran (Soleimani) +5 % 10 None 2022 Russia-Ukraine +35 % Still elevated > 1 mbpd rerouted Based on precedent, a 5–7 % surge without real supply disruption typically unwinds within six weeks. ________________________________________ 11. Outlook Summary • Base Case: Containment; Brent averages $70–72 through summer, melts to $65–68 Q4. Gold consolidates above $2,350; silver churns $30–34. • Bull Case (Oil): Hormuz threatened; Brent $100+, gas prices soar, Fed forced to juggle inflation vs. growth. • Bear Case (Oil): Cease-fire + soft demand; Brent breaks $60, OPEC+ grapples with fresh round of cuts. • ________________________________________ 12. Conclusion The Israel-Iran flashpoint has injected a fresh geopolitical premium into oil and turbo-charged safe-haven metals, but history suggests emotion-driven rallies fade quickly when physical barrels keep flowing. Unless missiles land near Hormuz or an errant drone strikes a Saudi export terminal, the structural forces of rising non-OPEC supply and cooling demand should reassert themselves, dragging Brent back toward the mid-$60s by year-end. For traders, that means respecting the tape today but planning for mean reversion tomorrow—selling gamma-rich call structures in crude, rolling stop-losses higher on bullion longs, and watching like hawks for any hint that shipping lanes are no longer merely a headline risk but a tangible bottleneck. Until that line is crossed, the smart money will treat each price spike not as the dawn of $100 crude, but as an opportunity to hedge, fade, and position for a calmer, cheaper barrel in the months ahead.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Geopolitical conflict re-emerges, price points to 3500?Information summary: The powder keg of the Middle East situation exploded. A new round of fierce fighting between Israel and Iran has pushed the global financial market into a risk-averse storm. In just one day, gold soared. In the early Asian session on Monday, the price of gold was unstoppable, hitting a nearly seven-week high of $3451/ounce. Under the dark clouds of geopolitical conflict, gold bulls are in full swing, and the $3500 mark seems to be within reach. In addition, the market will face two major tests this week: the monthly rate of US retail sales and the highly anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Technical analysis: At the daily level, the MA10, MA7, and MA5 moving averages are diverging upward, the RSI indicator turns upward, and the gold price is running steadily in the upper and middle track area of ​​the Bollinger band. In the four-hour cycle, the moving average forms a golden cross arrangement and the opening continues to expand. The price continues to rise along the MA10 daily moving average, and the Bollinger band also maintains an upward opening shape. The current market is dominated by geopolitical risks in the Middle East, and the gold price is consolidating at a high level. If the situation does not change, the gold price will most likely remain above $3,400 today, and it is even very likely to refresh the historical high of $3,500 today and tomorrow. Therefore, before the trend changes, the long strategy is still the best choice. Operation strategy; Buy near 3420, stop loss 3410, target 3460-3470.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_1
Is this week a chance for gold to break through 3,500? ⭐️Gold Information: Gold prices surged for the third consecutive trading day on Friday as geopolitical tensions intensified after Israel launched a military strike on Iranian targets, including nuclear facilities and key leaders. The escalation of the situation triggered widespread risk aversion in global markets, stimulating demand for safe-haven assets. As of the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading at $3,431. Gold surged to a five-week high of $3,446 before giving up gains as traders took profits before the weekend. Geopolitical turmoil, coupled with dovish signals released by recent US inflation data, reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin to cut interest rates later this year - despite improved consumer confidence. These factors together support the bullish momentum of gold. ⭐️Personal Comment: Continued military tensions next week are a big driving force for gold prices to continue to break through 3,500 . 🔥 Technical aspects: Based on the resistance and support levels of gold prices in the H4 framework, the following important key areas can be identified: Resistance: $3488, $3502, $3562 Support: $3382, $3342
TVC:GOLDLong
by labaronAA
2
XAU/USD(20250617) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Trump: The United States may still intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict. If Iran launches an attack on the United States, the United States will "fight back with all its strength on an unprecedented scale." Iran and Israel should reach an agreement. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 3419 Support and resistance levels: 3486 3461 3445 3394 3378 3353 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3445, consider buying in, the first target price is 3461 If the price breaks through 3419, consider selling in, the first target price is 3394
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NuggetsWarriors
Risk aversion escalates, prices continue to rise?Information summary: On the last trading day of last week, gold rose again under the stimulation of risk aversion. The gold market is shrouded in risk aversion in the Middle East. In the short term, the trend of gold is still supported by risk aversion and may continue to rise. At present, the relationship between Israel and Iran has not been eased; there is the latest news: Iran may retaliate against the air strikes it suffered this time. This will provide momentum for the rise of gold. Market analysis: Gold 1 hour shows that the moving average forms a golden cross and diverges upward, and the bullish trend of gold is still there. After the rise of gold risk aversion, gold has adjusted sideways in the short term, but it is still oscillating strongly at a high level; it is still in the process of rising. The short-term fluctuation of gold is the adjustment in the process of rising, and it will continue to rise at any time. After the gold bulls broke through 3400, they have been stabilizing above this position, so the strategy for next week is still to buy on dips. However, it should be noted that if the international situation suddenly changes, the price may not fall back, but directly rush to a new high. In addition, if the international situation eases and falls below 3400, we must adjust the operation strategy in time to avoid losses. Important positions: Resistance levels: 3450, 3475, 3490 Support levels: 3410, 3400, 3380 Operation strategy: Buy near 3410, stop loss at 3400, win range above 3450 points. There are still 7 hours left before the Asian market opens. I hope my analysis can help all traders gain something in the gold market.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_1
XUA/USD) Bullish trand support level Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe, incorporating a support zone and trendline confluence strategy. Here's a breakdown --- Analysis Summary Key Technical Elements: 1. Uptrend Channel: Price is trading within a rising channel. Higher highs and higher lows indicate bullish momentum. 2. Support Zones: Key Support Level (near 3,400): A horizontal support zone has been marked where price previously bounced (confirmed by green arrows). Trendline Support: This upward sloping trendline adds confluence to the horizontal support zone. 3. EMA 200 (3,377.96): Acts as a dynamic support level. Price is well above the EMA, supporting bullish sentiment. 4. Projected Price Move: The chart anticipates a dip back to the support area (~3,400), followed by a bullish bounce. Target is clearly defined at 3,504.01, with a measured move of about +103.36 points from the support. 5. RSI Indicator: RSI is around 57, which is neutral to slightly bullish. No overbought/oversold signal yet – supporting potential for more upside. --- Bullish Bias Reasoning: Confluence Zone: Horizontal + trendline + EMA 200. Healthy Price Structure: Higher lows being maintained. Momentum Indicator (RSI) supports continuation. --- Risks / Considerations: If price breaks below the confluence support (~3,400), bullish invalidation may occur. Monitor for false breakouts or heavy selling pressure near resistance. Mr SMC Trading point --- Trading Plan Buy Zone: Around 3,400 (support confluence). SL: Below the trendline/EMA – e.g., 3,370 or lower. TP: Around 3,504 (target zone marked). Please support boost this analysis)
FX:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
Is 3500 gold still far away? 💡Message Strategy Gold prices rose overall this week, with bulls showing strength. This was mainly due to the positive CPI data from the Federal Reserve, the escalation of tensions in the Middle East, the uncertainty of trade tariffs, and strong long-term support from fundamental demand, which led to the continued strong trend of gold prices. As risk aversion rebounded, gold prices rose rapidly, hitting the upper track of the Bollinger Band, which also caused gold prices to rise by more than 3.6% this week. 📊Technical aspects As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensify over the weekend, gold prices may continue to benefit from risk aversion next week, and gold prices are expected to target $3,500/ounce at the beginning of next week The key support point is 3408. The current price has broken through and stabilized above 3400, and is expected to run above this level for a period of time. When the first market correction tests around 3420, you can continue to buy. Judging from the cycle operation, there is a high probability of a high-level oscillation market in the 3500/3400 range. Before the Fed's results are announced on Thursday, you can sell high and buy low in this range. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position:3420-3430 Combined with the current tense situation, you can buy light positions at the opening price, and add positions to make up for the rise when the market falls back to the target point. Don't blindly chase the short position.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheodoreSilas
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Daily Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Towa🔥 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Daily Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Towards New ATH 📈✨ 📊 Chart Overview: Gold has shown a strong bullish daily candle breakout above the key Resistance & Support Zone around $3,430, turning this critical level into a potential support. The upward move signals continuation of the trend, especially amid global tensions (as annotated: “War going on...”), which historically drive gold prices higher due to its safe-haven appeal. 🪙🛡️ 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: 🟩 Resistance Turned Support – Price has decisively broken the previous resistance (green zone), suggesting bulls are in control. A successful retest of this area could provide a solid base for further upside. 🚀 Next Target: New All-Time High (ATH) – The chart projects a bullish move towards the $3,480+ level, forming a new ATH. Momentum and macroeconomic factors (e.g., geopolitical conflict) support this bias. 🟫 Support Level – The orange zone below (~$3,140–$3,160) remains a strong support area and demand zone, providing a cushion if price pulls back. 🕯️ Candlestick Structure – Recent candles show strong bullish momentum with minimal wicks on top, indicating buyers are closing near highs — a bullish signal. 📈 Projection Path – An ideal bullish path is visualized: a potential pullback/retest followed by a continuation rally. 🔔 Conclusion: Gold looks poised to rally further, supported by technical breakout and macro catalysts. 📌 Watch for: Confirmation of the retest holding. Continuation volume. Potential pullbacks as re-entry opportunities. 🛎️ Trading Idea: Buy on retest confirmation ✅ 🎯 Target: $3,480+ 🛡️ Stop-loss: Below $3,410 (to protect against false breakout) 📌 Stay alert for global headlines! 🌍📰 Gold remains a prime asset in uncertain times.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VikingFx-Community