Gold Declines as PCE Inflation Data Cools📊 Market Overview:
Gold is currently trading around $3,289/oz, down from the day's high of $3,322. This decline follows the U.S. PCE inflation data showing a 2.1% annual increase in April, below the forecast of 2.2% and March's 2.3%. Core PCE also rose 0.1% monthly and 2.5% annually, the lowest since early 2021.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,310 – $3,330
• Nearest Support: $3,270
• EMA: Price is currently below the 09 EMA, indicating a short-term downtrend.
• RSI Indicator: The RSI is declining, signaling increasing selling pressure.
• Candlestick Pattern: A bearish candlestick pattern has formed after failing to break above the $3,330 resistance zone.
📌 Outlook:
If gold fails to hold the $3,270 support level, it may continue to decline towards $3,250. However, maintaining above $3,270 could see a rebound towards the $3,300 – $3,310 range.
💡Suggested Trade Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,310 – $3,315
🎯 TP: $3,290
❌ SL: $3,320
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,270
🎯 TP: $3,290
❌ SL: $3,260
Goldshort
Trade Idea:XAUUSD SHORT ( SELL STOP )🔍 Multi-Timeframe Analysis
📉 H4:
• Price is compressing below the 20 and 50 SMAs.
• Recent attempts to break higher failed to sustain; MACD is slightly bearish, hinting momentum is fading.
• Consolidation after the big push suggests potential for another leg down if support breaks.
🕒 M15:
• Strong bounce into resistance, now stalling at the underside of the previous structure (~3315–3320).
• 20 SMA is curling down and converging with the 50 SMA, signaling a potential momentum shift.
🕒 M3:
• Price just lost short-term bullish structure after failing to break 3318.
• Flattening and slight downward curl in the 20 SMA.
• Volume shows a slowdown on the bounce and heavier selling earlier in the day — signs of weakness.
⸻
✅ Trade Idea
Type: Sell Stop
Entry: 3308
Stop Loss: 3322
Take Profit: 3273
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🧠 Why This Setup Works
• This is a momentum breakdown trade: placing a sell stop just below short-term support (3308) to catch the shift in momentum if price breaks lower.
• Price already rejected the high around 3318; if it pushes below 3308, it confirms that sellers have taken back control.
• There’s clean room down to 3273 — a previous reaction zone and recent demand level — offering a good risk-to-reward.
⸻
🛡️ Risk Management & Execution
• SL to BE Rule: Move stop loss to break-even once price reaches 3293 (15 points in your favor, 1R). That’s the halfway point to target and right above a small reaction zone that could cause a pullback.
• Invalidation Window: If price moves above 3325 before activating entry, cancel the trade idea. That would invalidate the lower-high structure and suggest momentum has shifted bullish again.
⸻
⏱️ Session Timing & Considerations
• NY session opens at 6:30 AM Pacific (PT).
• Ideally, this trade should activate and move by pre-New York to early NY session. If price stalls or consolidates near the entry level for too long into the session (after 9:30–10:00 AM PT), consider canceling or reassessing.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
XAUUSD SHORTThis chart appears to be a technical analysis setup for **Gold (XAU/USD)** on the **15-minute timeframe**, using **Heikin Ashi candles**.
Here's a breakdown of what’s visible:
### **1. Price Action:**
* The chart is trading within a **descending channel** (highlighted by the dotted white trendlines).
* **Resistance levels** are marked at:
* 3366.015
* 3331.470
* **Support zone** around: 3245.560
* The price is currently around **3291.690**, testing the lower region of a recent consolidation zone or distribution area.
### **2. Indicators:**
#### a. **RSI (Middle Panel):**
* RSI is around **41.552**, suggesting mild bearish momentum but not yet oversold.
* RSI is not giving a strong divergence signal at this moment.
#### b. **MACD or Custom Oscillator (Bottom Panel):**
* Appears to be a custom oscillator with histogram + signal cross system.
* Red and green dots possibly indicate buy/sell signals.
* Currently showing **bearish pressure** as histogram and signal lines are below zero with red dots (sell signal confirmation).
### **3. Trade Setup:**
* The red and green box overlay suggests an **active short trade** setup:
* Entry near **3291.690**
* Stop-loss zone near **3331–3335**
* Take-profit zone extending well below **3245**, likely near **3188.498–3189.980**
### **4. Signal Arrows (Blue Up / Red Down):**
* These are likely part of an indicator marking **swing highs/lows or reversal points**.
* More red arrows recently suggest bearish short-term sentiment.
---
### 🧠 **Interpretation:**
* The chart shows a **bearish bias** with a short position in play.
* Price is within a downward channel and rejected the resistance area.
* Oscillators and RSI support further downside unless a strong reversal occurs.
XAU/USD on the 45-minute timeframeSupport Zone Rejection (around 3,250 USD):
Price sharply reversed after testing a key support area (highlighted with a circle).
Volume increased at the reversal point, signaling strong buyer interest.
Break Above Minor Resistance (~3,280 USD):
Price has broken above the immediate resistance level with strong bullish momentum.
A bullish candle has closed above this zone, indicating a potential continuation.
Next Target Resistance Zones:
First Target: Around 3,320 USD, which aligns with a previous structural high and supply zone.
Final Target: Around 3,345–3,350 USD, representing a major resistance zone and previous swing high.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Above 3,280 (already in motion).
Target 1: 3,320
Target 2: 3,345–3,350
Stop Loss: Below 3,260 (below recent low and support zone)
Bullish Structure:
Higher low has been established.
Momentum is supported by volume confirmation
Gold Continues to Decline as USD Strengthens📊 Market Developments:
Gold prices continued to decline on May 29, reaching weekly lows below $3,250/oz. The primary driver is the strong recovery of the US Dollar following a US court's decision on tariffs and cautious FOMC minutes indicating the Fed remains vigilant about inflation, reducing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,285 – $3,300
• Nearest Support: $3,240 – $3,230
• EMA: Price is below the 09 EMA, indicating a short-term downtrend.
• Candlestick Patterns / Volume / Momentum: Price has broken below a short-term ascending trendline and is retesting the resistance area, confirming bearish signals.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to decline in the short term if the USD maintains its recovery and the price fails to break above the $3,285 – $3,300 resistance zone.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,275 – $3,285
o 🎯 TP: $3,240
o ❌ SL: $3,305
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,230
o 🎯 TP: $3,270
o ❌ SL: $3,215
Gold May Undergo Short-Term Correction as USD Rebounds📊 Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,309/oz after retreating from the $3,350 region during the Asian session today. Selling pressure emerged as U.S. Treasury yields rose and the USD rebounded slightly, despite expectations of potential Fed rate cuts in the near future.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: $3,350
• Nearest Support: $3,290
• EMA 09: Current price is below the EMA 09, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
• The downtrend is confirmed by bearish candlestick patterns and increasing trading volume in recent sessions.
📌 Outlook
Gold may continue its short-term correction if the USD continues to rebound and U.S. Treasury yields remain elevated. However, long-term support factors such as concerns over U.S. national debt and expectations of Fed rate cuts persist.
XAUUSD 1H | Bearish Order Block Reaction + Liquidity Sweep🔻 XAUUSD 1-Hour Breakdown — May 14, 2025
Gold gave a strong supply rejection at a marked Order Block zone. This isn’t just a pullback — it’s a potential continuation setup targeting lower lows. Here’s what’s cooking:
🧩 1. Market Structure
Clean rejection from premium OB zone at ~$3,220
Massive bearish impulse candle right after sweeping demand zone liquidity
Price formed a lower low and is now forming a lower high
🛠 2. Key Confluences
🟪 Order Block: Solid rejection with no candle closes above
💧 Liquidity Sweep: Deep wick into OB zone → trapped breakout buyers
🔺 Strong High Protected: Market respects structure, suggesting continuation
🔻 Weak Low Targeted: Clean draw to imbalance & potential sweep zone near $3,116
🧠 3. Trade Setup
Entry: Rejection near $3,207–3,220 OB
SL: Above $3,229 (invalidates structure)
TP: First TP zone near $3,116, extended TP: $3,100
RRR: 1:4 to 1:6 setup depending on partials
⚠️ 4. Risk Management
Watch for NY session reversal attempts
Secure profits at first demand zone reaction
Consider trailing stop above last bearish engulfing candle
📌 Price respects structure. If bulls don’t step in quick, sellers will run the table. This is a classic SMC bearish continuation off OB + liquidity grab — don’t sleep on it!
💬 Type “🔻” if you're riding this short wave with us!
🎯 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for sniper SMC plays every day!
GOLD possible outcomesGold is now approaching 3275 area, which is probably the biggest make or break are right now
If we will see break, we gonna see some retest of previous resistance and we could see retest of ALL TIME HIGH again
If we hold this important 3275 area, we could see one more leg to the lower trendline (Daily TL) and possibly testing higher timeframe support of 3150 area... Possible retest of Daily trendline could lead us to even bigger decline all the way down to 2970 support area
Gold rebound height is limited, short goldTechnical aspects:
Gold has failed to make a major breakthrough in the recent rebound process, and the rebound height has been limited to a smaller and smaller level. Overall, gold is now in a state of shock and short position; as the center of gravity of gold shifts downward, the current short-term resistance is in the 3220-3230 area; and gold has tested downward many times recently, which makes it easier for gold to fall below 3200. Once gold falls below 3200 again, it is very likely to extend to 3190, or even around 3160.
Trading strategy:
Consider starting to short gold in batches in the 3220-3230 area, TP: 3205-3195
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
After a powerful bullish rally since the beginning of 2025, gold has entered a corrective phase
In the current price zone, we expect a temporary upward retracement, potentially offering short-term relief, before the downtrend resumes.
For a safer bearish entry, it's recommended to wait for a confirmed break below both the marked support zone and the ascending trendline to validate continuation to lower levels.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gold Under Pressure from USD and the FedThe gold market is currently under pressure due to:
- Recent statements from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed).
- A stronger U.S. dollar, which reduces gold’s appeal.
Previously, gold had been supported by:
- A weaker dollar following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating.
- However, increased interest in risk assets and hopes for peace between Russia and Ukraine have reduced demand for gold.
Key factors to watch going forward:
• Statements from the Fed
• Developments in trade negotiations
Possible scenario:
• The bearish trend remains dominant.
• A short-selling wave and a breakdown from the triangle pattern may occur.
• A further drop toward the 3150–3120 zone is possible.
XAUUSD Sell Setup from Supply Zone | TP1 & TP2 BelowWe're keeping an eye on a clear rejection from the supply zone marked between 3,230 and 3,236. The price has dipped into this area, showing signs of slowing momentum, and is now breaking downwards.
📉 Sell Plan Details:
🔻 Sell Entry: 3,222 – 3,225 (just below where we saw the supply zone rejection)
🛑 Stop Loss: 3,232 (set above the supply zone for added safety)
🎯 TP1: 3,210 (a minor support level / our first target)
🎯 TP2: 3,195 (a major demand zone / our final exit point)
📦 Zone Mapping:
🔲 Supply Zone: 3,230 – 3,236
This is where sellers stepped in, creating downward pressure.
🔲 Demand Zone: 3,192 – 3,196
A strong bounce area that’s likely to draw in buyers for a reversal or partial exits.
📊 Bias:
As long as the price stays below 3,230, the bearish sentiment holds. If we see a breakout above 3,232, this setup will be invalidated.
🔁 Execution Tip:
Watch for bearish candles or rejection wicks in the entry zone for confirmation. TP1 is great for quick scalps, while TP2 serves as a position target near structural demand.
⚠️ Always prioritize risk management – never trade without a stop loss!
XAU/USD weekly outlook My analysis revolves around the continuation of the current short-term bearish trend. To capitalise on this move, I’ll be watching for price to mitigate either the 4-hour supply zone or the 3-hour supply zone. If price instead decides to respect a nearby demand zone, I’ll shift focus and wait for a potential reaction from a 1-hour demand zone.
From there, we could see signs of accumulation followed by a bullish reaction, leading price back up into a supply zone before continuing the sell-off in line with the prevailing trend. However, if price breaks below the 1-hour demand, that would further confirm a stronger bearish bias.
Confluences for GOLD sells are as follows:
- Price has broken structure to the downside, confirming the short-term bearish trend.
- Price is approaching both the 4-hour and 3-hour supply zones, which could act as strong sell areas.
- There is a lot of downside liquidity that remains untapped and could be targeted.
- On the higher timeframes, price appears overbought due to the recent corrective move.
P.S. If price fails to respect the nearby supply zones and breaks through them, I’ll then look for a reaction from a more premium supply level. Overall, my long-term bias remains bullish based on the higher timeframes.
GOLD MARKET OVERVIEW – WEEKLY SUMMARY 📉 Key Developments
• Gold price (XAU/USD) dropped from a weekly high of $3,252 to a low of $3,154, indicating strong selling pressure.
• U.S. bond yields have edged higher, making gold less attractive to investors.
• Recent inflation data suggests the Federal Reserve may maintain higher interest rates for longer, adding downward pressure on gold.
• Profit-taking has intensified following a strong rally in previous weeks when gold hit multiple all-time highs.
🔮 Expected Short-Term Scenario
• Market sentiment leans towards profit-taking, especially since the $3,200–$3,250 zone has failed to hold.
• The inability to sustain higher levels indicates weakening buying momentum, increasing the likelihood of a deeper correction.
• Over the past week, gold formed strong bearish candles and repeatedly tested the $3,150 support zone, signaling that this level is weakening and could be broken soon.
📉 Conclusion & Outlook for Next Week
Based on:
• Weak price behavior
• Negative technical indicators
• Profit-taking sentiment
• Bearish macroeconomic backdrop
→ The scenario of breaking below $3,150 support and continuing downward toward $3,100 or lower is highly plausible in the coming week.
📌 SHORT-TERM TRADING STRATEGIES
🔻 SELL
• Entry Zone (SELL): 3245 – 3248
• Take Profit (TP): 3235 – 3238
• Stop Loss (SL): 3253
🔼 BUY
• Entry Zone (BUY): 3120 – 3123
• Take Profit (TP): 3133 – 3135
• Stop Loss (SL): 3116
🔁 Note: Only enter trades based on clear confirmation signals. Manage risk carefully — limit exposure to no more than 1–2% of your account per trade.
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 15.05.2025Key Supply Zones to Watch for Short Opportunities:
3170–3175 Zone:
→ Strong supply area.
→ If price rejects this zone with confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, M5/M15 BOS or CHoCH), enter sell.
3150–3155 Zone:
→ Mid-level supply.
→ If price fails to reach 3170 and breaks below this level, wait for a break & retest of this zone for potential sell entries.
📉 Trade Signal (Sell Bias):
Scenario 1 – Rejection at 3170–3175:
Sell Entry: On confirmation at 3170–3175
SL: Above 3178
TP1: 3155
TP2: 3145
TP3: 3125 (final target – next demand zone)
Scenario 2 – Break of 3150–3155:
Sell Entry: On retest of 3150–3155 zone after breakdown
SL: Above 3160
TP1: 3135
TP2: 3125
✅ Confirmation Tools:
Candlestick pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing / M15 BOS)
Lower timeframe structure shift (M5-M15 CHoCH)
Volume spike or momentum fade at zone
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Short-Term Outlook: Gold Slumps After Breaking Key Support📉 Short-Term Trend Analysis – XAU/USD
- Gold (XAU/USD) is under heavy selling pressure after decisively breaking below the key support level at $3,200, marking a significant shift in short-term momentum.
- The $3,176 zone, which marks the April 11 low, now serves as a crucial technical support. A clear break below this level could open the door for a deeper drop toward the next key support around $3,140.
If the $3,176 level fails to hold and bearish momentum continues, the market is likely to push lower toward the $3,140 support zone.
📰 Fundamental Drivers Behind the Decline
No major news has been released today, but the market continues to be weighed down by:
- Ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions, which remain unresolved.
- U.S. CPI data for April came in weaker than expected, causing investors to adjust interest rate expectations and favoring short-term downside for gold.
🔮 Short-Term Technical Scenario
After breaching the $3,200 support level, gold is expected to consolidate briefly in the $3,176–$3,190 range before potentially resuming its downtrend.
💡 Short-Term XAU/USD Trade Setups
🔻 SELL
Entry Zone: 3193 – 3190
Take Profit: 3188 – 3185
Stop Loss: 3198
🔺 BUY
Entry Zone: 3179 – 3176
Take Profit: 3184 – 3181
Stop Loss: 3171
📌 Note:
In the current market environment, short-term strategies are preferred.
Apply strict risk management as volatility may increase due to geopolitical headlines or technical retracements.
Closely monitor price action around $3,176 — a confirmed break below this level could accelerate the move toward $3,140.