7.22 London Gold Market Analysis and Operation SuggestionsFrom the market perspective, the trend suppression line from the historical high of 3500 to the secondary high of 3452 has moved over time and is now around 3420, which can be used as an important resistance level reference for this week; the previous resistance level of 3376 can be converted into support after breaking through. For intraday short-term operations, focus on this range of callbacks and go long, wait for the key resistance level to be touched before going short, or see if there is an opportunity to arrange a mid-term short order based on the real-time trend.
Specific intraday operation ideas:
①. When the gold price falls back to around 3380, participate in long orders and call, protect the position of 3374, and first look at the position of 3402, the high point on Monday;
②. After yesterday's high point breaks, wait for a correction to around 3395 to continue to participate in long orders and call, protect the position of 3388, and look at the key suppression level of 3420;
③. (Aggressive orders, for those who are afraid of missing out) If you are short or have enough positions, you can first participate in long orders with a light position at the current price of 3388, and wait for 3380 to increase your position, and the target is the same as above.
Goldtradingstrategy
Analysis of short-term gold trading on July 22Technical aspects:
From the daily candlestick chart, gold has recently shown signs of breaking upward after five weeks of sideways fluctuations. In terms of MACD indicators, the MACD bar chart has turned from green to red, and the fast and slow lines have formed a "golden cross", strengthening the expectation of a short-term technical rebound.
At the same time, the 14-day RSI index rebounded to 57.67, still in the neutral and strong area, and has not yet entered the overbought area, indicating that the price still has room to rise. Analysis shows that the middle track of the Bollinger Band 3342 constitutes initial support, while the strong support below is at the two previous lows of 3247.87 and 3120.64.
If the bulls maintain their advantage above the integer position of 3400, they are expected to hit the high point of 3451.14 in the short term, and even further test the historical high of 3499.83; on the contrary, if they fall back below 3342, the short-term upward momentum will be tested.
Bull analysis:
If gold successfully stands above 3400, the market will turn its attention to the two key resistance areas of 3451 and 3499, the high point of the year. Breaking through the former will open up the space to test the historical high upward; combined with the current MACD golden cross pattern, if the capital side and the fundamentals continue to cooperate, it is not ruled out that there will be a short-term accelerated rise.
Bear analysis:
If the breakthrough fails, especially if gold falls back below the middle track of Bollinger, the adjustment pressure will be restarted, and the lower edge of the previous consolidation range of 3300 will constitute an important support. If it falls below again, it is necessary to pay attention to the important technical support near 3247 and the 100-day moving average of 3180.
7.22 Gold falls back and continues to be bullish, 3400 is not thFrom the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below is 3370, the important support is 3350-55, and the upper resistance is 3400-05. The overall support during the day is to maintain the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles in this range. For the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold’s Rapid Surge: A Trap Before the Drop?Gold finally showed signs of retreat. We are still holding a short position near 3400. So far, we have made a profit of 50 pips. However, I will still hold it to see if gold can fall back to the 3385-3375 area as expected. We have completed 2 transactions today, and there is still 1 transaction left to hold.
1. First, we bought gold near 3345 and ended the transaction by hitting TP: 3370, making a profit of 250 pips, with a profit of more than $12K;
2. We shorted gold near 3385 and ended the transaction by hitting SL: 3395, with a loss of 100 pips, a loss of nearly $5K;
3. We are still holding a short gold transaction order near 3400, with a current floating profit of 60 pips and a floating profit of nearly $4K;
The above is the detailed transaction situation today. To be honest, today's rebound strength far exceeded my expectations, and after our first long position hit TP, the market never gave any chance to go long on gold after a pullback, but accelerated to around 3401. But obviously, the accelerated rise of gold is suspected of catching up with the top, and in the short term it faces resistance in the 3405-3410 area, and secondly pressure in the 3420-3425 area. So I don't advocate chasing gold at the moment. On the contrary, I am still actively trying to short gold around 3400, first expecting gold to pull back to the 3385-3375-3365 area.
And I think if gold wants to continue to test the 3405-3415 area, or even sprint to the area around 3425, gold must go through a pullback to increase liquidity to accumulate upward momentum. I think it will at least pull back to the 3385-3375 area.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
We started with our Bullish target 3356 hit, followed with ema5 cross and lock above 3356 opening 3381. This was also hit perfectly completing this target. We now have a further ema5 cross and lock above 3381 leaving 3404 open with already a nice push up, just short of the full gap.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3356 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3356 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3381 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3424
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3458
BEARISH TARGETS
3331
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3331 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3311
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3311 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3289
3266
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Analysis of short-term operations of gold on July 21Daily Analysis:
On the daily chart, it can be seen that gold has rebounded from the main rising trendline again, and bargain hunters have set clear risks below the trendline, betting on a price rebound to the 3438 resistance level. Bears need the price to break below the trendline to open up space for a deeper correction, with the next target looking at the 3120 level.
4-hour analysis
On the 4-hour chart, it can be seen that there is a secondary resistance area near 3377. If the price rebounds to this level, it is expected that bears will intervene here and set risks above the resistance, with the goal of pushing the price below the main trendline. Bulls will look for the price to break through this resistance to increase their bullish bets on the 3438 level.
Buy first when gold falls back, and pay attention to the strengtGold went on a roller coaster ride last week. It rose to around 3377 at the beginning of the week and then fell back under pressure. After stabilizing near 3309 on Thursday, it strengthened again on Friday and came under pressure near 3361. It fell back slightly to around 3344 at the opening in the morning and is currently rising again. In the morning, pay attention to the opportunity to buy first after the pullback, pay attention to the strength of the European session, and pay attention to the pressure near 3378/80 on the upside.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3356 and a gap below at 3331. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3356
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3356 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3381
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3424
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3458
BEARISH TARGETS
3331
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3331 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3311
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3311 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3289
3266
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3364 and a gap below at 3297. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3364
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3364 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3297
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3297 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3242
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Daily Chart Follow-Up – Structure Still in Full Control
Just a quick update on our daily structure roadmap. Price continues to respect our Goldturn levels with surgical precision.
After the previous bounce off 3272, we saw over 800 pips of upside follow through. That level once again proved its weight, holding beautifully as support and launching price firmly back toward the upper boundary.
Since last week’s update, nothing has changed structurally – the range remains intact and fully respected. Price is still trading between the well defined 3272 support and the untested 3433 resistance. We’ve yet to revisit 3433, which remains our key upside target and a potential inflection point.
Here’s what we’re focusing on next:
🔹 Range scenario active:
Until price breaks out cleanly, we anticipate continued swings between 3433 resistance and 3272 support. This remains the active range setup.
🔹 EMA5 cross and lock:
We’re still watching for a decisive EMA5 break and lock. Without that, we expect more range-bound action rather than a breakout.
🔹 Structure remains intact:
No EMA5 breakdown off 3272 during the recent retest means buyers are still in control. Dips into 3272 remain valid long entries within this structure.
Key Levels This Week
📉 Support – 3272
Proven bounce zone. Continues to hold structure. As long as this holds, the bias remains constructive.
📈 Resistance – 3433
Open gap + channel top confluence. Still untested. Watching for a reaction or breakout confirmation here.
Thanks again for all the continued support, your likes, comments, and follows mean the world.
Wishing you another focused and profitable week ahead!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our Weekly Chart idea.
As of now, nothing has changed structurally, the framework remains fully intact, and price continues to trade cleanly within the defined range.
After delivering a rejection at the channel top, price pulled back into 3281 support, where buyers once again stepped in decisively. That level held firm on a weekly closing basis, validating it as a reliable pivot and launching price back into bounce mode.
Despite the progress, we’ve yet to test the 3387 gap, which continues to act as a short term magnet. The longer range gap at 3482 also remains open and in focus as the larger objective.
Key takeaways from the current structure:
🔹 Structure unchanged:
The rising channel remains orderly. EMA5 still hasn’t locked bearishly, and the mid-line continues to climb beneath price, maintaining a constructive bias.
🔹 Support confirmed – 3281:
Held for a second time, reaffirming its significance in the broader structure.
🔹 3387 gap still in play:
While price is gravitating toward this zone, it has not yet been tested. Expect a reaction on first contact.
Updated Levels to Watch:
📉 Immediate Support – 3281
Held again, reinforcing its status as the key structural axis.
📈 Resistance 1 – 3387
Still untested. Remains the active near term target.
📈 Resistance 2 – 3482
Unfilled weekly gap and broader objective.
Plan:
As long as 3281 continues to hold, the bias remains for a measured grind higher toward 3387 and, eventually, 3482. If 3281 fails, we’ll reassess at the rising mid line for the next structured long opportunity.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
How to seize deterministic trading opportunities?The rebound momentum of the gold market has been significantly enhanced today. After breaking through the 3345 resistance in the Asian session, it has continued to rise. It has now reached around 3360, and has rebounded by more than US$50 from this week's low of 3310, setting a new rebound high in the past three trading days. After the gold price effectively broke through the key resistance band of 3340–3350, it triggered some short stop loss trading and trend funds to enter the market, driving the price to accelerate the upward trend. Judging from the hourly chart, the trading volume has increased by about 30% compared with the same period yesterday, indicating that the market's recognition of this round of rebound has increased significantly.
A physically full sun candle chart has been closed in the 4-hour cycle, successfully standing on the Bollinger middle track, further confirming the upward structure, the mid-track support area 3340–3345 has become a key position for bulls' defense, and the short-term structure of the market is still relatively strong. Overall, the intraday retracement range of gold is limited, and the probability of continuing to rise is relatively high. In terms of strategy, it is still recommended to go long. In the short term, focus on the 3340–3345 area retracement support, and the stop-profit target is 3365–3370; if the upward breakthrough, pay attention to the suppression performance of the 3370–3375 line, beware of highs and falls, and pay attention to controlling risks.
Step-By-Step Guide to Building a Winning Gold Trading Strategy
In the today's article, I will teach you how to create your first profitable gold trading strategy from scratch.
Step 1: Choose the type of analysis
The type of analysis defines your view on the market.
With technical analysis you rely on patterns, statistical data, technical indicators, etc. for making trading decisions.
Fundamental analysis focuses on factors that drive the prices of gold such as micro and macroeconomics, news and geopolitics.
A combination of technical and fundamental analysis implies the application of both methods.
For the sake of the example, we will choose pure technical approach.
Step 2: Specify the area of analysis
Technical and fundamental analysis are complex and multilayered subjects. That is why it is crucially important to choose the exact concepts and techniques that you will apply in gold trading.
For example, with a technical analysis, you can trade harmonic patterns, or apply a combination of key levels and technical indicators.
With fundamental analysis, you can build your trading strategy around trading the economic calendar or important news releases.
Here we will choose support & resistance levels and smart money concepts.
Step 3: Select a trading time frame
Your trading time frame will define your trading style. Focusing on hourly time frame, for example, you will primarily catch the intraday moves, while a daily time frame analysis will help you to spot the swing moves.
You can also apply the combination of several time frames.
We will choose the combination of a daily and an hourly time frames.
Step 4: Define your trading zones
By a trading zone, I mean an area or a level on a price chart from where you will look for trading opportunities.
For example, a technical indicator trader may apply moving average as the trading point.
For the sake of the example, we will choose support and resistance levels on a daily time frame as our trading areas.
Step 5: Choose confirmations
Confirmation is your entry reason . It is the set of conditions that indicates a highly probable projected outcome.
For an economic calendar traders, the increasing CPI (inflation) figures can be a solid reason to open a long position on Gold.
Our confirmation will be a local change of character on an hourly time frame.
Step 6: Define your stop loss placement, entry and target selection and desired reward to risk ratio
You should know exactly where should be your entry point, where will be your stop loss and where should be the target.
We will open a trading position immediately after a confirmed change of character, stop loss will lie below the lows if we buy or above the highs if we sell.
Target will be the next daily structure.
Minimal reward to risk ration should be 1.5.
Step 7: Define Your Lot Size and Risk Per Trade
You should have precise rules for the calculation of a lot size for each trade.
For our example, we will strictly risk 1% of our trading deposit per trade.
Step 8: Set trade management rules
When the trade is active, trade management rules define your action:
for example, whether you strictly wait for tp or sl, or you apply a trailing stop loss.
In our strategy, we will move stop loss to entry 10 minutes ahead of the release of the US news in the economic calendar.
Step 9: Back test your strategy
Study the historical data and back test at least 50 trading setups that meet your strategy criteria.
Make sure that the strategy has a positive win rate.
Step 10: Try a trading strategy on a demo account
Spend at least a month on demo account and make sure that you obtain positive overall results.
If you see consistent profits on a demo account, it is the signal for you that your strategy is ready , and it's time to start trading on a real account.
In case of negative results, modify your trading conditions and back test them again, or build a new strategy from scratch.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
End of week update following up on yesterday’s 1H chart outlook.
✅ 3353 was hit and respected to the pip, just as we mapped out and highlighted yesterday.
We saw the EMA5 cross and lock above 3328, confirming continuation.
The market respected structure beautifully
Rejections gave us clean dip buying entries
EMA5 methodology guided our execution
High probability Goldturn levels played out exactly as planned
Our discipline and patience were rewarded, yet again. Another strong end to the week.
We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
7.18 Gold intraday operation strategy, short-term short first stFrom the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below continues to focus on around 3316-25, the short-term suppression above focuses on the 3340-45 line, and the key pressure above focuses on the 3380 line. The overall support of 3316-3345 range still maintains the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
3340-3300: Lock in the buy high and sell low in this area!Under the influence of unemployment benefits and zero monthly sales data, gold fell sharply in the short term, but it did not effectively fall below 3310 during multiple tests, effectively curbing the further downward space of the shorts. Multiple structural supports are also concentrated in the 3310-3300 area, so as long as gold does not fall below this area, gold bulls still have the potential to rebound.
However, for the current gold market, it may be difficult to see a unilateral trend in the short term. After experiencing discontinuous surges and plunges, gold may focus on consolidation and repair, and the consolidation range may be limited to the 3340-3300 area.
So for short-term trading, first of all, I advocate going long on gold in the 3320-3310 area, and expect gold to rebound and reach the 3330-3340 area;
If gold reaches the 3335-3345 area as expected, we can start to consider shorting gold, and expect gold to step back to the 3320-3310 area during the shock and rectification process.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Quick follow-up on yesterday’s 1H chart update
After hitting 3353, we did not see an EMA5 cross and lock above this level. That lack of confirmation was key and it validated a rejection right at 3353, leading to another drop into the retracement zone.
As per plan, that retracement provided yet another clean bounce, perfectly in line with our dip buying strategy.
We are once again looking toward 3353, and just like before, we will be closely watching for an EMA5 cross and lock confirmation to validate any continuation.
This kind of movement continues to confirm the power of patience, structure, and disciplined execution. No chasing just clean planned executions with high probability setups based on our EMA5 methodology.
We’re also still watching the 3381 gap a key magnet above, and a level we’ve been tracking since the Monday outlook. The roadmap remains unchanged. We’re trading the structure, managing risk, and letting confirmations guide the execution.
Updated Reminder of Key Levels:
BULLISH TARGET
3381
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK ABOVE 3381 opens
3416
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK ABOVE 3416 opens
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3353 ✅ HIT
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3353 opens
3328 ✅ HIT
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3328 opens
3305
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3305 opens Swing Range:
3288
3259
As always, we’ll continue monitoring and sharing updates, as price reacts around these zones. Thank you all for the continued support, your likes, comments, and follows are genuinely appreciated!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Continue to go long after bottoming outYesterday, the Trump and Powell incident caused gold to rise strongly to around 3377. The rise in gold was only short-lived. In the end, gold closed positively on the daily line, but it closed with a super long upper shadow line. In the end, the gold price quickly rose and broke through the 3377 mark, but fell back under pressure and closed in a volatile market. The daily K-line closed high and fell back in a volatile market. Although the overall gold price repeatedly fluctuated and washed out under the stimulation of news, it ultimately failed to break through the recent large box oscillation range. Today we continue to pay attention to the support line of 3318-25 below, and we will continue to go long if it falls back!
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below continues to focus on around 3318-25, the short-term suppression above focuses on the 3340-45 line, and the key pressure above focuses on the 3380 line. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Analysis of 7.17 Gold Operation: Buy High and Sell LowYesterday, the trend of gold in the first half was quite regular. The rebound in the Japanese session was under pressure, and the European session continued to fall back to test the 3320 mark. The key here has been repeatedly emphasized yesterday. The gold market in the second half was more exciting. First, the news was released that Trump was ready to draft the dismissal of the Federal Reserve Chairman. Gold directly rose by 50 US dollars and broke through the recent high of 3375. Then he said that he had no intention of dismissing the Federal Reserve Chairman. Gold rushed up and fell back by 40 US dollars. The daily line finally closed with an inverted hammer pattern with a very long upper shadow line.
After the end of this pattern, today's market is still bearish. If the market is extremely weak, it will continue to fall below 3358. Pay attention to the attack and defense of the 3320 mark below. If it falls below, it will open the downward space to test the 3300 mark. During the day, we will temporarily set the small range of 3320-3358 to run, sell high and buy low, and retreat to 3325. One low long, defend yesterday's low, look up to 3335, 3342, 3358, and then reverse high.
7.17 Gold Short-Term Operation Technical Analysis!!!After a strong rise in the 1-hour gold price, it quickly fell back and closed with a long upper shadow line. The gold bulls did not successfully stabilize the market. This market is actually a venting of the news. The gold bulls are not very confident about rising again. The 1-hour gold moving average is still in a dead cross short pattern. So the gold rebound will continue to be short. The 1-hour gold pattern excludes the influence of the upper shadow line stimulated by yesterday's news. In fact, the whole rhythm is still fluctuating and falling. The upper shadow line is not long, and it is probably just a lure to buy more. After the ups and downs of gold last night, it rebounded again to the 3357 line or continued to fall under pressure. So gold will continue to rebound in the early trading and continue to be short at highs under the pressure of 3357.
3325–3315: Potential Bullish Reversal ZoneGold maintained a volatile trend today, but the highest intraday price only touched 3343. Overall, gold is still weak, but the bulls have not completely given up, and there is still a certain amount of energy, which limits the retracement space of gold. The current short-term support is in the 3325-3315 area. If gold cannot fall below this area in such a weak situation, the market may reach a consensus that 3325-3315 is the support area, thereby attracting a large amount of buying funds to flow into the gold market, thereby boosting gold to regain the bullish trend again and is expected to hit the 3350-3360 area.
So for short-term trading, I currently prefer to start long gold with the 3325-3315 area as support, first expecting gold to recover some of its lost ground and return to the 3350-3360 area!
Gold is accelerating downward, pay attention to important supporThe U.S. inflation data for June was released overnight. The actual data showed that U.S. inflation rebounded slightly in June, but it did not exceed expectations. After the data was released, Trump made a speech at Truth A post on Social said that given the low consumer prices, the Fed should lower interest rates. He has been calling for a rate cut for some time, so the market still has some uncertainty about the timing of the Fed's subsequent rate cuts, but the probability is in September. The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged this month is high. The US dollar index is also supported and continues to rebound. Gold fluctuated higher from around 3344 in the morning of the previous trading day. During the European session, it refreshed the intraday high and touched the 3366 line under pressure and maintained repeated narrow consolidation. After the data was released, it first rebounded quickly to the 3360 line and then quickly fell back. After two repetitions, it finally moved downward. In the evening, it fell below the intraday low and once touched around 3320 and then stabilized and rebounded. The daily line closed with a middle shadow. Technically, the continuation of the previous convergence triangle after the break is currently returning to the downward channel again.
Pay attention to the pressure of 3342/44 during the day, and pay attention to the support near 3308 below. If it falls below 3308 again, it will return to the downward channel.
Gold market trend analysis and exclusive analysis.Analysis of the latest gold market trends:
Analysis of gold news: The U.S. Department of Labor released the much-anticipated June Consumer Price Index (CPI) data at 20:30 Beijing time. After the CPI data was released, the financial market responded quickly, showing investors' recalibration of inflation data and monetary policy expectations. The U.S. dollar index (DXY) fell 16 points in the short term after the data was released, reflecting the market's interpretation of the core CPI being slightly lower than expected, which was dovish. The gold market reacted particularly sensitively. The core CPI was lower than expected, pushing spot gold up by $6 in the short term, indicating a brief rebound in safe-haven demand. In the short term, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is close to 100%, but the mild performance of the core CPI reserves the possibility of a rate cut in September or earlier. The market needs to pay close attention to subsequent data, especially the July CPI and PCE price index, to determine whether inflation will continue to rise.
Gold technical analysis: This week's upward breakthrough of 3375 further bullish on the 3400 mark; the daily average line diverges upward to support bulls, and bullish on bullish gains. However, if you want to rise, you must exert your strength today, otherwise the bulls may end at any time! The current support level is near the daily MA5 and the middle track. The next step is still the focus. If you want to rise, you can't go down here. Going down means continuing to sweep back to 3320 and 3300. Today's European session also broke high without continuation, and the US session formed a retracement to test the MA5 support level. As long as the middle track is not lost, the short-term will continue to touch the high, so the operation is very clear. In the short term, the short-term will rely on the support of the middle track to see a rebound, and the upper resistance is 3665-3375. The daily Bollinger Bands continue to close. If the upper 3375 is not broken, do not chase the high position, and beware of high-level selling. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends that the callback is mainly long, and the rebound is supplemented. The upper short-term focus is on the 3350-3360 line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3320-3310 line support.