The trend is clear, why do I choose to be firmly bullish on goldGold Trend Analysis: Yesterday, the gold market demonstrated strong upward momentum, opening near 3290 before falling slightly to a low of 3281 before fluctuating upward. Boosted by the non-farm payroll data, the gold market surged during the US trading session, reaching a single-day gain of 2.02%, reaching a high of 3363 and closing there. The daily chart formed a long bullish candlestick with a long lower shadow, forming a Morning Star pattern, reinforcing the bullish trend. From the perspective of the cycle structure, the daily level is clearly in the 5-wave upward stage, and the upward trend of the large cycle has not changed. At the indicator level, the daily MACD momentum column (the column below the zero axis) represents the short-selling momentum. Its "gradual shortening" means that the short-selling force is weakening and the downward momentum is gradually fading. It is a potential signal of stopping the decline or rebounding. KDJ is about to form a golden cross between 20-50, which is a signal that short-term bullish power is beginning to increase, and the overall trend is bullish.
The 4-hour level shows typical bullish characteristics: the moving average system is arranged in a bullish pattern, but there is a certain deviation between the short-term price and the moving average. The technical side needs to correct the deviation rate through a callback before continuing to rise. The short-term support below is focused on the line near 3330-3335. This position is both the relay support level in the previous rise and the intersection of the 4-hour moving averages MA10 and MA20, which has strong support strength; the short-term resistance above is focused on the line near 3370-3383. This area is a pressure-intensive area near the previous high point. If it can be effectively broken through, it will further open up upward space. A successful breakout would open up further upside potential. A breakout would further open up the 3400 mark.
For gold trading, the short-term strategy is to buy on dips. If the price pulls back to the 3330-3335 support level, consider entering a long position with a target of 3355-3365. If it reaches 3370-3380, consider a short-term short position with a target of 3350-3340.
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Gold is surging, can it hit 3500?Due to the trade tensions caused by tariffs and the continued conflict between the White House and the Federal Reserve, gold continued to rise, and the current highest has reached around 3438. Obviously, after gold rose strongly and broke through the 3400 and 3420 areas, the bullish sentiment of gold has been ignited. Next, we need to pay attention to whether gold can test and stand firm at 3450.
Gold is currently extremely strong, and there is basically no room for retracement during the rise. As gold rises, the short-term support below has also moved up to the 3415-3405 area; and the upper side needs to pay attention to the breakthrough of the 3450 mark. If gold continues to break through 3450, then gold has the potential to challenge 3500 again; however, if gold still cannot effectively break through when it touches the area near 3500 again, the sentiment of gold cashing out and leaving the market may be stimulated, resulting in gold There may be room for retracement in the short term. If gold falls below 3400 during the retracement, the decline may continue to the 3395-3385 area.
Therefore, for the next short-term trading, we can first wait for the opportunity for gold to pull back, and then consider going long on gold with the 3415-3405 area as support; if gold does not give a chance to pull back, then when gold first touches the area around 3440-3450, we can consider starting to short gold.
More Pain for Gold? The Charts Say It’s PossibleSince the start of the London market, gold has almost maintained a narrow range of fluctuations in the 3390-3385 area. Compared with yesterday, the market is much weaker today, and gold has failed to stabilize at 3400 several times, indicating that the sentiment of cashing out near this area is also very high. From the current gold structure, gold is obviously biased towards a long structure. Since gold broke through 3400, 3375-3365 has become the key support area after the top and bottom conversion in the short term.
However, gold rose strongly yesterday but did not stabilize at 3400. The bullish sentiment may no longer be strong. Moreover, after the accelerated rise in gold, the sustainability was not strong, so gold still needs to retreat in the short term. This is why I insisted on shorting gold again near 3400 yesterday. Therefore, I think gold has not yet retreated to the right level. I will pay attention to the opportunity to go long on gold after it pulls back to the 3375-3365 area.
Gold fell after touching 3400 twice. Whether a short-term effective "M" double top structure has been formed, I think more signals are needed to verify. However, in the short term, it is still under pressure in the 3405-3410 range, so if there is no major positive news, I think gold may maintain a wide range of fluctuations in the 3410-3360 range. Therefore, if gold rises to the 3400-3410 range again, I will continue to try to short gold!
Analysis of short-term operations of gold on July 21Daily Analysis:
On the daily chart, it can be seen that gold has rebounded from the main rising trendline again, and bargain hunters have set clear risks below the trendline, betting on a price rebound to the 3438 resistance level. Bears need the price to break below the trendline to open up space for a deeper correction, with the next target looking at the 3120 level.
4-hour analysis
On the 4-hour chart, it can be seen that there is a secondary resistance area near 3377. If the price rebounds to this level, it is expected that bears will intervene here and set risks above the resistance, with the goal of pushing the price below the main trendline. Bulls will look for the price to break through this resistance to increase their bullish bets on the 3438 level.
Is This the Start of a New Gold Bull Run?News that must be paid attention to:
1. The Middle East region is in constant conflict and the situation is unstable, which may re-stimulate the market's risk aversion sentiment;
2. Trump strongly called for a rate cut, and many Fed directors agreed to the rate cut. Under the situation of internal and external troubles, can Powell withstand the pressure of rate cuts? In addition, the tense relationship between Trump and Powell, as well as the development of Powell's dismissal storm, have increased the market's risk aversion demand and enhanced the market's bullish sentiment;
3. The uncertainty brought about by the tariff issue may disrupt the market.
Technical aspects:
This week, the gold market is roughly a bottoming out and rebounding trend. We can clearly see from the recent candle chart that the recent trend line suppression is located near 3380, and this week gold has repeatedly encountered resistance and fallen in the 3375-3380 area, which has strengthened the suppression effect of resistance in this area to a certain extent; and gold has repeatedly tested the 3320-3310 area support during the retracement process. Gold has not fallen below the support of this area during multiple retracements, giving the market bulls great confidence.
On Friday, gold hit 3360 during the rebound and closed above 3350, which is strong in the short term. As gold continues to rebound, the current bull-bear dividing line is in the 3345-3335 area. If gold cannot even fall below the 3345-3335 area during the retracement next week, it will greatly boost buying power and is expected to hit the 3380 area again. Once gold breaks through the 3380 area during the rise, there will be a chance to further continue the rise and test 3400, or even the 3420 area.
Therefore, at the beginning of next week, if gold retreats to the 3345-3335 area for the first time, I think we must make an attempt to buy gold, first focusing on the target 3370-3380 area, and then bullish to the 3400-3420 area after a strong breakthrough.
How to seize deterministic trading opportunities?The rebound momentum of the gold market has been significantly enhanced today. After breaking through the 3345 resistance in the Asian session, it has continued to rise. It has now reached around 3360, and has rebounded by more than US$50 from this week's low of 3310, setting a new rebound high in the past three trading days. After the gold price effectively broke through the key resistance band of 3340–3350, it triggered some short stop loss trading and trend funds to enter the market, driving the price to accelerate the upward trend. Judging from the hourly chart, the trading volume has increased by about 30% compared with the same period yesterday, indicating that the market's recognition of this round of rebound has increased significantly.
A physically full sun candle chart has been closed in the 4-hour cycle, successfully standing on the Bollinger middle track, further confirming the upward structure, the mid-track support area 3340–3345 has become a key position for bulls' defense, and the short-term structure of the market is still relatively strong. Overall, the intraday retracement range of gold is limited, and the probability of continuing to rise is relatively high. In terms of strategy, it is still recommended to go long. In the short term, focus on the 3340–3345 area retracement support, and the stop-profit target is 3365–3370; if the upward breakthrough, pay attention to the suppression performance of the 3370–3375 line, beware of highs and falls, and pay attention to controlling risks.
7.18 Gold intraday operation strategy, short-term short first stFrom the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below continues to focus on around 3316-25, the short-term suppression above focuses on the 3340-45 line, and the key pressure above focuses on the 3380 line. The overall support of 3316-3345 range still maintains the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold’s Last Stand? Major Retest at 3310–3300 Under the influence of negative news, gold today fell below the recent low of 3320 and continued to fall to around 3310. The current gold structure looks particularly obvious, the center of gravity of gold gradually moves downward, and the short trend is extremely obvious; however, as gold repeatedly probes the 3320-3310 area, we can clearly see the resistance of gold to falling, and multiple structural supports are concentrated in the 3320-3300 area. So as long as gold does not fall below this area, gold bulls still have the potential to rebound.
However, for now, after experiencing discontinuous sharp rises and falls, gold needs to undergo a short-term technical repair, so it may be difficult for a unilateral trend to appear in the short term. So I have reason to believe that gold will focus on rectification and repair next. The important resistance area we have to pay attention to above is in the 3340-3350 area; and the important support below is in the 3310-3300 area.
Currently, gold is fluctuating in a narrow range around 3340, and the short-term rebound momentum is sufficient, but I still believe that gold will fall back again and test the support of 3320-3300 area after consuming the bullish energy. So for short-term trading, first of all, I advocate shorting gold in the 3340-3350 area, and expect gold to retreat to the 3320-3300 area during the consolidation process.
Gold is accelerating downward, pay attention to important supporThe U.S. inflation data for June was released overnight. The actual data showed that U.S. inflation rebounded slightly in June, but it did not exceed expectations. After the data was released, Trump made a speech at Truth A post on Social said that given the low consumer prices, the Fed should lower interest rates. He has been calling for a rate cut for some time, so the market still has some uncertainty about the timing of the Fed's subsequent rate cuts, but the probability is in September. The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged this month is high. The US dollar index is also supported and continues to rebound. Gold fluctuated higher from around 3344 in the morning of the previous trading day. During the European session, it refreshed the intraday high and touched the 3366 line under pressure and maintained repeated narrow consolidation. After the data was released, it first rebounded quickly to the 3360 line and then quickly fell back. After two repetitions, it finally moved downward. In the evening, it fell below the intraday low and once touched around 3320 and then stabilized and rebounded. The daily line closed with a middle shadow. Technically, the continuation of the previous convergence triangle after the break is currently returning to the downward channel again.
Pay attention to the pressure of 3342/44 during the day, and pay attention to the support near 3308 below. If it falls below 3308 again, it will return to the downward channel.
How to find stable trading opportunities in gold fluctuations?Today, the rhythm of gold going short first and then long is perfectly grasped. Congratulations to those who followed the trading plan for reaping good returns. We are still holding long orders at present, and the overall position is arranged around the idea of stepping back to low and long. From the current market structure, the 3325-3320 area below is an important dividing line for the bulls to be strong, and it is also a key support level that determines the subsequent direction. If this area stabilizes, the short-term structure will still be bullish and unchanged, and the rhythm of stepping back to low and long is expected to continue. It is expected that gold will rebound to 3340-3350 and the upper target again. If 3320 is lost, it is recommended to stop loss as soon as possible, and the defense position is recommended to be set below 3315 to prevent the short-term structure from turning short and bringing further callback risks. The core of this round of trend is that only by holding the support can we be qualified to talk about rebound; if the support is lost, we need to turn decisively to prevent being passive. The current market volatility has intensified, but the direction has not yet completely broken. The focus of operation is still on entering the market around key points, switching positions between long and short positions to find the rhythm, blindly chasing orders and emotional operations will be taboos in the current market. Opportunities are not absent, but they belong to those who are always ready. The structure is not broken and the low and long will not change.
Gold bearishness once again in line with expectationsThe data released so far show that the US inflation data is stable and tends to decline, which increases the possibility of the Fed's monetary policy. The US dollar index fell first and then rose. Gold opened at around 3344 and rebounded all the way. The current highest rebound is around 3366. It fell back to 3352 before the data was released, and then quickly rebounded to 3360. After the data was released, it fell again quickly, and the current lowest touched around 3346. The short orders around 3360-3365 that we shared with brothers before were basically the highest short orders of the day, and we successfully completed our first goal. The brothers who participated in it all made good profits. Judging from the current trend of gold, we continue to participate in short orders during the rebound, and the long position is still around 3335-3330. After the release of the CPI data, it is bearish overall. The core is that it is lower than market expectations but higher than the previous value. Inflation has heated up again, which has once again suppressed the expectation of interest rate cuts. After this data, it also laid a good foundation for the decline in the market. If the price goes up again, it will still rely on the 3365 level to go short again. The data is obviously bearish, and it scared a lot of long positions before it was released.
Gold reference ideas:
Continue to short when it rebounds to around 3358-3365, with a target around 3350-3340;
Go long when it falls back to around 3335-3330, with a target around 3350.
How to grasp the key trading points of gold?Yesterday, gold tested the 3375 line several times but failed to break through effectively. The selling pressure on the market was obvious, and the price immediately fell back, reaching a low of around 3341. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow, indicating that the bullish momentum has weakened and the short-term market has entered an adjustment phase. From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, the continuous negative trend has led to the gradual closing of the Bollinger Bands, and the middle track position has temporarily gained support, but the overall market is volatile and weak. Today, we will focus on the 3354 watershed. If the rebound fails to effectively stand at this position, the pressure on the upper side will still be strong, and there is a risk of a short-term decline.
Key technical positions: upper resistance: 3365, 3354, lower support: 3340, 3330. In terms of operation rhythm, it is recommended to deal with it with a high-selling and low-buying, oscillating approach, and maintain flexible adjustments.
The operation suggestions are as follows: You can choose to short in the 3360-3365 area, with the target around 3350 and 3340; if the rebound is blocked below 3354, you can also enter the short order in advance. It is recommended to enter and exit quickly in the short-term weak market; strictly control the stop loss to avoid risks caused by sudden changes in the market.
The current market is obviously volatile, so don't blindly chase the rise and fall. It is particularly important to operate around the key pressure and support areas. The grasp of the rhythm will determine the final profit, and steady trading is the kingly way.
Eyes on 3335–3325: Next Bullish Launchpad!!!Today, gold hit 3375 several times and then fell back after encountering resistance. The lowest has reached 3341. Although the rising structure has not been completely destroyed, and the technical double bottom structure and the inverted head and shoulder structure support resonance effect still exist below, since gold fell below 3350, it has not even been able to stand above 3350 in the current rebound. The gold bull pattern has been weakened to a certain extent, and the market has begun to diverge in the long and short consciousness.
Gold encountered resistance and fell back near 3375 three times, proving that the upper resistance is relatively strong. Gold must increase liquidity by retracement to store more energy for breakthrough, so the short-term correction of gold is actually within my expectations, which is why I advocate brave shorting of gold today! However, according to the current retracement range and the fact that gold has been unable to stabilize above 3350, I believe that gold has not fallen to the right level and there is still room for retracement below. So I think gold will continue to pull back to test the 3335-3325 area. If gold retests this area and does not fall below, we can boldly go long on gold in this area.
Once gold rebounds after testing the 3335-3325 area, as liquidity increases, the market may form a strong bullish force to support gold to continue its rebound and continue to the 3380-3390 area, or even the 3400-3410 area.
Two lines of defense for bulls: 3340 and 3330 are the key!Gold maintains a strong pattern in the short term, and it is recommended to mainly buy on dips. The short-term support below focuses on the neckline of the hourly line at 3340 last Friday. The more critical support is locked at the 3330 line. This range is an important watershed for judging the continuation of short-term bullish momentum. As long as the daily level can remain stable above the 3330 mark, the overall trend will remain upward. Before falling below this position, we should adhere to the idea of buying low and buying low, and rely on key support levels to arrange long orders. At present, the price has completed a technical breakthrough and broke through the upper edge of the 3330 convergence triangle under the dual positive factors of Trump's tariff landing to stimulate risk aversion and the support of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, and formed three consecutive positive daily lines. It is necessary to pay attention to the short-term pressure at the 3375 line. The overall operation strategy will be combined with the real-time trend prompts during the trading session, and pay attention to the bottom in time.
Gold rises strongly, aiming for a new high!Last Friday, gold continued to rise strongly, breaking through 3320 in the Asia-Europe session and accelerating its rise. The European session broke through the 3340 mark continuously. The US session broke through 3369 and then fell back. The daily line closed with a big positive line. It broke through the high for three consecutive days and returned to above 3360. The unilateral bullish pattern was re-established. Today, the gold price jumped high and broke through 3370 and then fluctuated at a high level. Although it rushed up, the strength was limited. It must be adjusted after a short-term retracement before it can continue to rise. Therefore, in terms of operation, we continue to maintain the main idea of retreating and multiplying. Pay attention to the 3340-3345 area for short-term support during the day, and look at the 3330 line for strong support. If it does not break, it will continue to be a good opportunity to buy low and do more. Taking advantage of the trend is still the current main tone. As long as the daily level does not break 3330, the bullish structure will not be destroyed.
🔹Support focus: 3340-3345, key support level 3330
🔹Resistance focus: 3380-3393 area
1️⃣ If the price falls back to 3340-3350, a light long position will be intervened, with the target of 3365-3370. A strong breakthrough can see a new high;
2️⃣ If the price rises to 3380-3393 and is under pressure, a short-term short position adjustment can be tried, with a short-term target of around 3360.
The specific real-time points and position arrangements will be updated at the bottom. Interested friends are advised to pay attention to my strategy tips in a timely manner and seize every opportunity reasonably.
The bulls have started, aiming at 3400!Gold rose as soon as the market opened, and the highest has now reached above 3374. The upward momentum of gold is strong. It can be seen that after breaking through the recent high of 3365, its morphological structure has obviously tended to a bullish structure, and the technical form shows a "W" double bottom structure and an inverted head and shoulder resonance. The resonance of this technical structure will continue to support the continued rise of gold.
At present, gold is under pressure near the 3380 area in the short term, followed by the area near 3405. At present, gold has a technical retracement near 3380, but it is difficult to destroy the already formed rising structure based on the current retracement strength. Once gold rises again, 3380 will definitely be conquered! It will even continue to the 3400-3410 area; and the area with obvious short-term support is concentrated in the 3350-3340-3330 area, so gold may still rebound again with the support of this area after the decline, and continue to rise.
So for short-term trading, I would consider buying gold in batches based on the support of the 3350-3330 area, with the first target looking at 3380, followed by the 3400-3410 area.
It is the right time to go long after the shock and adjustmentGold opened higher at 3364 today, and after a brief surge to 3374, it entered a stage of shock and retracement. Our plan to arrange short orders near 3370 was successfully implemented, and we stopped profits in batches in the 3360-3355 range, making short-term profits. Overall, although it jumped higher due to the stimulus of news such as the increase in tariffs over the weekend, the momentum of the surge is limited, and the technical side still needs to retrace to digest the gains.
At present, the market has returned to the technical rhythm. The key support refers to the breakthrough point of 3340-3345 last Friday. Further exploration will look at the strong support of 3330. The overall rhythm is still mainly to arrange long orders near the low support, and going with the trend is the key. As long as the 3330 support is not broken, the daily line structure will still maintain a strong bullish trend. Do not blindly chase the short position. The operation of short orders against the trend needs to be particularly cautious. I will promptly remind you of the specific operation strategy according to the changes in the market. You can pay attention to the bottom notification. It is recommended that you keep paying attention and respond to the market rhythm steadily.
Reference for gold operation strategy: Go long on gold near the 3345-3355 area, target the 3365-3370 line. If it breaks above 3370, you can continue to hold and hope for further continuation.
The 3400 mark will be the key for next week!Gold has been up and down this week, and the shock wash has intensified. It bottomed out and rebounded at 3282, and then steadily pulled up. After a slow rise to 3368 on Friday, the retracement was limited, and finally closed at 3355. So can gold be expected to be strong? Is it possible to reach 3400 next week? From the trend point of view, it is too early to say that it will turn strong. 3400 is an insurmountable barrier. Only by breaking through 3400 can we see a stable strong bull. If it is suppressed below 3400, the bulls will not be stable and may fall back at any time. We can only see large range fluctuations. From the overall trend point of view, gold is currently fluctuating widely in the large range of 3250-3400. It is safe to buy below 3300, and it is easy to go up. After all, it is still upward in the long run. Next week, we will focus on the gains and losses of the 3400 mark. It is not recommended to chase the high position directly on Monday. On the one hand, the interruption of the market after the weekend holiday can easily cause discontinuous rise. In addition, after three consecutive positive lines on the daily line, there will either be a negative correction and a fall, or a large positive volume. Combined with the current trend and rhythm of gold, be careful of a high-rise fall, and it is easy to get trapped by chasing long positions at high positions. Don't feel that it will soar as soon as it rises, and the high point of 3500 seems to be within reach; don't feel that it will fall sharply as soon as it falls, and the 3000 mark is not a dream. We should stay away from those who sing long when it rises and sing short when it falls. The direction is not because you see it, so you believe it, but because you believe it, so you see it. There will always be a time when you chase the rise and sell the fall and you will return with nothing.
Moreover, the high point of 3365 has not formed a substantial break and stabilized. On Monday, we still need to focus on the gains and losses of this position, so we need to look at it from two aspects:
1. If it rises directly at the opening, pay attention to the pressure near 3370-3380 and you can go short, and the target is 3350-3340!
2. If the market falls back at the opening, go long around 3340-3330, with the target above the high point of 3360-3368.
Try shorting once below 3355!The market closed at 3326 on Thursday and still failed to break through the small range of long and short positions. The overall market is in a strong bullish trend and this trend indicates the possibility of a breakout in the future. In this week's trading example, after confirming that the 3315 low support is effective, a short-term long operation was successfully carried out below the area and profited. The picture and truth can be checked in the article on Thursday. In the short term, continue to pay attention to the range shock and pay close attention to the breakthrough direction of key points. The first thing to pay attention to is the strong pressure of 3355. If it breaks through and stands firmly at this position, it will open up further upward space, and the potential target can be seen in the 3365 or even 3400 area. On the contrary, if the gold price is always under pressure below 3355, the market is likely to continue the current shock and consolidation rhythm. Therefore, breaking through the 3355 mark will be a key signal to judge whether the market can release significant upward momentum in the future. Before the effective breakthrough, continue to intervene in the low-long opportunity at the 3325-15 support level of the shock range. On the upper side, you can arrange short positions at 3345-3455.
How to seize gold trading opportunitiesNews:
On Friday (July 11) in the Asian time zone, US President Trump posted a "tariff change" on social media, announcing that a 35% tariff would be imposed on all Canadian goods from August 1, a 10 percentage point increase from the current rate. This decision was like a thunderbolt, instantly igniting the market's risk aversion sentiment, and the spot gold price soared, reaching a high of $3,344 per ounce during the session. Although Trump extended the tariff agreement to August 1, which once suppressed the gold price, he subsequently stated that it would not be extended after the expiration, and launched further tariff attacks after the expiration, announcing a new 50% tariff on copper imports from the United States and a 50% tariff on goods from Brazil, which increased concerns about tariff risks and pushed the gold price to rebound from the bottom;
Gold trend analysis:
The market is fluctuating repeatedly now, and it is possible to rise or fall, but under the bullish trend, the main force is still rising. Therefore, this week's trading is to fall back and do more at a low price. Whether it is the previous 3285, 3304, or 3317, there are good profits. Although it is temporarily unable to break out of the bullish volume, at least the trend remains unchanged, and there will definitely be a large upward space in the future. Today is Friday, and we still pay attention to the possibility of bullish volume. This Monday has been emphasizing that if it rises during the week, it will look at the 3345 high point. If 3345 breaks, there are still 3365 and 3400 above. Friday will see whether this idea is realized.
From a technical point of view, all cycles are obviously bullish now. The daily line bottomed out on Tuesday, and Wednesday and Thursday were all small broken Yang rising. If it continues, we will first see whether the daily Bollinger middle rail 3345 pressure is broken. After the break, the big Yang closes high. This wave of rise may reach 3400. Therefore, the daily cycle has a lot of room for growth and should not be taken lightly. The H4 cycle needs to see whether today's rise can break 3345, because if it breaks 3345, there is a possibility of the upper rail opening. After the upper rail opens, gold will have a unilateral trend. Therefore, today's bullish target is 3345. If 3345 is not broken, there is still a possibility of a decline. If 3345 breaks, there will be 3365 and 3400 above. Here, it is clearly bullish and optimistic about the break of 3345. After determining the direction, the trading idea on Friday is also clear. It must be mainly long on the decline. The support below is 3320-3310. Don't chase more in the European session. Trade again if there is a decline.
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go long if it falls back to around 3315-3325, with the target at 3335-3345; it is recommended to consider shorting if it touches 3345 but does not break, with the target at 3335-3325.
7.11 Gold bulls rise again, beware of the black swan coming on FYesterday, Thursday, the US dollar index rose first and then fell. It once approached the 98 mark before the US market, but then gave up most of the gains.
Yesterday, spot gold fluctuated around the 3320-30 US dollar mark. After the US market, it once touched 3310, but finally rebounded to above 3320 for consolidation.
Today, Friday, gold broke through the high point of 3330 yesterday in one fell swoop in the early trading.
So this is relatively good news for bulls.
If the high point of yesterday breaks through and stabilizes, it means that the bullish upward trend may continue today.
From the current 4-hour chart:
It can be found that the current 4-hour chart of gold has stabilized in the breakthrough range.
So if gold continues to go up, simply look at the previous high point.
The two recent high points are around 3345 and 3360.
Gold’s Uptrend Is a Mirage,Bears Are Lurking Beneath!Gold has rebounded to around 3336, and seems to have tried to stand above 3335, but it has not stood firm. Therefore, it cannot be considered that the bulls have an advantage just because gold has tried to break through 3335. Recently, I have been reminding everyone that before gold stands above 3335, the bears still have the spare power to dominate the market, so I fully believe that the gold bulls and bears will fight fiercely for control around 3335!
Why do I think it is difficult for gold bulls to have a good performance in the short term? Because since gold fell and touched 3285, it has fallen below many key supports. The market is short-selling. The previous support has become a key resistance under the effect of technical top and bottom conversion, and multiple resistances are concentrated in the 3335-3345-3355 area. Under the suppression of multiple resistances, it is difficult for gold bulls to make any progress in the short term.
So before the resistance is effectively broken, I think any rebound may be an opportunity to short gold, so I will try to find the band top and short gold based on the resistance area, and now I think it is still worth a try to short gold in the 3330-3340 area as originally planned! And look at the target area of 3320-3310
Gold has a big win this dayNews: In the early Asian session on Thursday (July 10), spot gold fluctuated slightly higher, once regaining the 3320 mark, and is currently trading around $3323/ounce. On Wednesday, gold prices rebounded strongly after hitting a two-week low of 3282.61, closing at $3313.38/ounce, showing strong momentum for recovery. Trump extended the tariff agreement to August 1 and began to collect tariffs again. Although it eased market tensions, his remarks will not be extended after the expiration, and he issued tariff threats, which increased global trade uncertainty and pushed up risk aversion. The market is still facing economic and inflation concerns brought about by tariffs, which will also weaken the dollar and support gold prices.
Analysis of gold trend: After the full-day trend of gold on Wednesday, the lowest price was 3282 and the highest price was 3322, with a range of $40, so the bullish strength has come out. However, Li Siyu would like to emphasize here that gold is in a bullish trend for the time being, but it is not an absolute unilateral trend, but a fluctuating trend under the bullish trend. There are opportunities both up and down on Thursday. If it rises, you can look at 3345, and if it falls, you can look at 3285. Therefore, before there is an absolute strong unilateral rise, it is recommended that everyone keep looking at this wave of gold fluctuations. However, today's market is more important. Today is Thursday, and Thursday is often the node of the weekly change time. Today is likely to continue the rebound on Wednesday and continue to rise.
From a technical point of view, the daily line closed positive under the rebound of 3282 and stood firmly above the lower Bollinger track. If it continues to close positive on Thursday, it is necessary to pay attention to the suppression of the middle Bollinger track, that is, the high point of 3345. After breaking through, there will be another wave of rise on Friday, and you can see 3365 and 3400. Therefore, today's gains and losses of 3345 are crucial. The strong rebound in the H4 cycle is quite obvious. When it falls, it is very weak and continuous. When it rises, it is very strong and continuous. It depends on whether the continuous positive trend on Thursday will continue. Now the K-line stands firmly on the middle track of Bollinger. If it continues to rise, the high point of the upper track is around 3340-3345. In principle, the continuation of the long position will test the high point of the upper track. Therefore, it is still possible to go long today. Of course, it is not an absolute long trend now, so don't chase the rise. The support below the small cycle is around 3310-3300. If it falls back to this price, you can continue to go long. Clearly define the target. Today, we will see the gains and losses of 3345.