Gold fluctuates repeatedly and opportunities emerge.Gold bottomed out in the Asian session and rebounded to break through the opening of the decline. The European session continued to break through yesterday's high. The US session continued to break through the key pressure position of 3335-3345, and walked out of the standard strong cycle. After the break, it is necessary to change the thinking and follow the trend to be bullish. Pay attention to the support below 3315-3325. In terms of operation, it is mainly long when it falls back. The upper side gradually looks to 3352 and 3365. If the pressure is not broken, look at the falling space!
Operation suggestion: Go long when gold falls back to 3325-3315, and look at 3338 and 3352! If the pressure above 3352 and 3365 is not broken, you can short!
The recent trading strategy ideas are all realized, and all the points are predicted accurately. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
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Another try on the gold short tradeTo be honest, it was beyond my expectation that gold could continue to rebound above 3340. According to my original expectation, the upper limit of gold's rebound in the short term was around 3336-3338. However, gold has already touched around 3342 during the rebound, but because gold failed to close above 3345, I still advocate shorting gold in batches in the 3335-3345 area.
Recently, both the long and short sides of gold have not continued, and the overall market tends to be volatile. In the short term, as long as gold does not break through 3345, gold still has a chance to retrace, which also means that the rebound is an opportunity for us to short gold, but with the rebound of gold, we need to moderately reduce the expectation of gold retracement, so for short-term short gold, our primary retracement target is in the 3325-3320 area.
So for short-term trading, I think we can still try to short gold again!
Perfect grasp of the high altitude and low multi rhythm!The current trend of gold continues yesterday's trend, maintaining a high rebound and volatile market. But don't panic, focus on the performance of the rebound. If the rebound fails to break through the upper resistance level, continue to focus on shorting. The upper suppression area is locked at the 3335-3345 line. Although the bullish performance has been strengthened, if it cannot effectively break through this range, it is still a short-term weak signal. From the current market, the upper pressure is obvious, and the rebound can rely on this range to layout the main short, focusing on the continuation of the decline. The lower support focuses on the 3293-3300 integer mark, and the overall long and short wide range of volatile market is maintained. Before the daily level fails to effectively break through and stand firm at the 3345 mark, it is difficult to say that the bulls will turn strong, and operations need to be cautious. If the market adjusts, the strategy will be updated simultaneously.
Operation strategy suggestion: Gold rebounds to the 3335-3345 first-line area to choose the opportunity to short, target the 3295-3306 range, strictly control risks, and follow the trend.
Gold fluctuates repeatedly, hiding great opportunities!After the opening of gold today, the bulls and bears played fiercely. In the early trading, it fell to 3293 and received temporary support, then stabilized and rebounded. It broke through the high point of 3320 in the Asian session and continued to rise above 3330. However, the price was under obvious pressure near 3330, and the momentum indicators (MACD, RSI) showed a top divergence at the same time, reflecting the exhaustion of bullish momentum and limited short-term upside space.
From the technical structure, gold has effectively fallen below the middle track support of the H4 cycle, and at the same time lost the upward trend line built since the low point in June. The two breakout positions are highly overlapped, constituting an obvious technical weakening signal. The current trend is trapped in the key resistance suppression area, and it is expected to enter a high-level shock and weakening stage.
The operation suggestions are as follows:
🔸Strategy direction: short-term thinking
🔸Entry area: 3335–3345 range
🔸Defense reference: stop loss above 3350
🔸Target expectation: look down to 3305, break to 3293 or even 3280 near the extension support
In terms of fundamentals, the US dollar index is under short-term pressure, mainly due to the decline in the US fiscal outlook and US Treasury yields; but the non-agricultural data boosted economic resilience, which cooled the market's expectations for a rapid rate cut this year, restricting the rebound space of gold prices. Although risk aversion has support, it has not yet become a dominant driver. The current market sentiment remains cautiously neutral.
Overall judgment: The short-term rebound of gold prices is limited, and the short-term trend is gradually released after the structural break. It is recommended to follow the trend and go high, control risks, and steadily execute trading plans.
Gold is expected to continue to fall to 3280 or even 3250In the short term, the operation of gold is completely in line with my expectations. I clearly pointed out yesterday that gold will encounter resistance in the 3330-3340 area and will at least retest the area around 3315-3305 again. At present, gold has rebounded slightly after retesting the area around 3302 and is trading around 3309.
According to the strength of yesterday's rebound, gold did not effectively break through the 3300-3340 area. Gold is still weak in the short term, and the head and shoulders top structure is constructed in the 3328-3338-3328 position area in the short term, which suppresses gold to a certain extent and limits the rebound space of gold. After multiple tests, the area around 3300 may be more conducive to being broken. After gold has been under pressure and fallen many times, the current short-term resistance area has been reduced to the 3310-3320 area; so I think gold still has a good downward space in the short term, which may continue to 3280, or even around 3250.
So for short-term trading, I think it is possible to consider continuing to short gold.
Rebound is a good opportunity to short goldGold gradually rebounded after touching 3295. The highest price has rebounded to 3338. Although the rebound has reached $43, the upward momentum is not strong during the rebound. Therefore, the current rebound cannot be confirmed as a reversal trend. Moreover, gold has not yet effectively broken through the 3330-3340 area. Gold is still weak in the short term. Gold still has the potential to fall after the rebound. It will at least retest the 3315-3305 area again.
Therefore, there is no need to fear the rebound of gold for the time being. The rebound of gold is a good opportunity to short gold. I think gold will at least retest the 3315-3305 area again, and even exceed expectations to the area around 3280. Shorting gold is the password for profit in the short term!
Short Gold,gold is expected to test 3300 or even 3280 againAlthough gold is currently above 3310, it does not mean that gold has stopped falling and stabilized. As long as gold remains below 3330-3340, gold is still in a weak state, so I think the decline of gold may not be over yet. Judging from the current trend, I think gold will have to retest 3300 at least again, or even around 3280 before it will have a chance to stop falling and rebound.
So for the grasp of short-term trading opportunities, I think you can consider shorting gold with 3330-3340 as resistance.
Perfect prediction of Monday's opening trendGold opened near 3310 today, and fell under pressure after reaching a high of 3321, which was in line with our previous prediction of the short-selling layout in the 3320-25 area. We successfully entered the short order and successfully stopped profit at 3305. Then the market was supported and stabilized near 3296. We decisively went long and also realized profit.
From the current trend, the short-term suppression during the day is still focused on the 3320-3325 line, and the key suppression area is around 3338-3345. Gold closed in an inverted hammer shape last week. From a technical point of view, the rebound is still mainly short-selling. If you are not in a good rhythm in gold trading recently, welcome to communicate and reduce unnecessary trial and error.
【Short-term technical analysis】
The upper short-term pressure focuses on the 3320-3325 area. If it rebounds to this point, it will be short first and look for a decline. If it rises strongly to the 3338-3345 range, it will still be the focus of short positions. The lower support focuses on the 3295-3285 area. The overall strategy of "high-short-low-long" is maintained. It is not recommended to frequently chase orders in the middle position. Be patient and wait for key point signals. I will remind you of the specific entry and exit plan during the session. It is recommended to pay attention in time.
【Gold operation strategy】
1. Go short first at the rebound 3320-3325 line. If it touches the 3338-3345 area, you can cover your position and go short. The target is 3306-3295. If it breaks, continue to hold and look down.
Gold on Monday depends on this wave of operationsBefore the non-agricultural data on Friday, gold maintained an overall oscillating pattern, opening at 3354, briefly rising to around 3375 and then falling under pressure, entering an overall oscillating downward mode. We also caught the rhythm of long orders many times and successfully exited the market with profits. Although the non-agricultural data was bearish, gold did not dive quickly, but rebounded to around 3363 after short-term fluctuations, and then fell under pressure again, and finally closed in an inverted head shape, with obvious technical bearish signals.
From the perspective of form, gold is expected to continue to rebound high and high next week. Focus on the support of this week's low point of 3296. Once it falls below, it is possible to further explore the 3270-3260 area. However, if this position remains stable and unbroken, the market still has room for rebound and repair.
From a specific technical perspective, the obstructed decline of the 3375 line on Friday is more critical, with the lowest intraday drop to 3307, and the bearish momentum is still strong. It is recommended to be prudent in operation and do not blindly chase orders.
🔸Operation ideas for gold next week:
1️⃣ If it rebounds to 3320-3325, you can try to arrange short orders. If it rebounds further to 3338-3345, it is recommended to cover short positions.
2️⃣ The first target is the 3295-3306 area. If it effectively falls below, continue to hold and look for a lower position.
3️⃣ The support below is focused on the 3295-3285 area, and the pressure above is still mainly 3335-3345. The market is mainly oscillating in the middle of the range. It is recommended to watch more and act less, and wait for key point signals before intervening.
If you are currently having trouble with gold operations, welcome to communicate with me. I will update the strategy as soon as possible according to the intraday market and try my best to make your investment less detours.
Gold falls below key support, short-term bearish approachAt present, the hourly level has fallen below the key support level of 3330, which is effectively broken as the short-term long-short watershed, which means that the market is weak and volatile in the short term. However, it does not constitute a short trend for the time being. The short-term trend in the future may still fluctuate downward, but there is no basis for a deep decline. Short-term short orders can be participated in, but the general direction remains bullish.
This week is coming to an end. If there are still operation plans, you can wait for a small rebound and then participate in a wave of short-term short operations. The target is controlled at 10-30 points. Enter and exit quickly, and don't be greedy.
Looking ahead to next week, it is expected that the market will fluctuate around 3,300 and then bottom out and then resume its upward trend. The thinking will continue to be mainly "short-term short and long-term long".
The current gold 1-hour moving average system has begun to turn downward. If a dead cross structure is further formed in the future, the downward space will be opened. After gold fell under pressure from a high level yesterday, it continued to be weak today. Combined with the bearish non-agricultural data, there is a lack of support for risk aversion. There is still room for short-term downward movement, and the overall rebound is still the main focus.
Operation suggestions:
Aggressive investors may consider shorting in the 3333-3335 range;
Conservative investors may wait for a rebound to the 3345-3350 area and enter the short position at an appropriate time.
The target is 10-30 points. It is not recommended to hold more than the target.
The rebound is not strong, and gold still has room to fallThere is no good entry point to participate in the transaction at present, but the highlight of today is the NFP market, so there is no need to rush to enter the market when there is no trading opportunity.
Although gold rebounded slightly after touching 3340 overnight, to be honest, the rebound strength is far less than expected, and as long as gold remains below 3365-3375, gold will remain weak in the short term, so I think gold still has room to fall. First, pay attention to the support near 3330, followed by the support near 3310. However, in trading, we must pay attention to guard against the trend of falling after rising in the NFP market.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider continuing to short gold in the 3375-3385 area, TP: 3360-3350;
2. Consider trying to go long gold in small batches in the 3325-3315 area, TP: 3340-3350
Today’s gold strategy: go long on support and short on pressure!Today, there is a high probability that the volatile bullish trend will continue. In terms of operation, we should seize the opportunity of short-term bullish. The key support level of the daily line is around 3350-3355. If it falls back to this level, you can arrange short-term bullish with a light position. If the market is strong and there is no obvious correction, you can enter the long position in advance at the 3370 line. Pay attention to the upper resistance level of 3400-3405. Once it breaks through effectively, wait for the opportunity to arrange short positions after the surge. In the volatile market, both long and short positions have opportunities. Don't chase the rise and sell the fall. Be sure to wait patiently for the right time to enter the market and strictly control the position.
Gold operation suggestions: short gold rebounds around 3400-3405. Go long gold when it falls back to around 3350-3360. Go long at 3370 first if it is strong and does not pull back.
Gold is expected to continue to 3410-3420At present, gold has risen to around 3395 in the short term, breaking through the short-term high of around 3392, and there is no clear peak signal; and after breaking through the previous high of around 3392, there is no need to worry about the suppression of the technical double top structure for the time being. From this point of view, gold still has the potential to continue to rebound in the short term, and is even expected to reach the 3410-3420 area; this morning, gold has not fallen below 3360 during the adjustment process. As gold rises, the lower support area gradually moves up. The current short-term support area is in the 3385-3375 area.
Today's trading strategy:
1. Consider shorting gold when it first touches the 3410-3420 area, TP: 3395-3385
2. Consider trying to go long gold in small batches when gold falls back to the 3385-3375 area, TP: 3395-3405
Double top pressure appears Gold short-term bearishThe current price shows a sign of hesitation after experiencing a sharp rise. The bulls hit a high of 3384 twice and then pulled back. The high point and yesterday's high point formed a double top suppression. Two attempts to test Monday's high of 3392 failed, indicating that the bullish momentum has weakened. The short-term high-altitude strategy for gold is mainly used. Pay attention to the key support of 3340-3345 below. If it is effectively broken, it may fall to the 3325 trend line conversion support level below. In terms of operation, it is recommended to rely on the double top pressure of 3384-3392 to arrange short orders at highs. Market volatility may intensify before the release of non-agricultural data.
Gold operation suggestions: short gold near 3384-3392, target 3370-3360.
Continue to short gold after the reboundTechnical analysis:
Gold rebounded after hitting 3333 overnight. So far, it has reached 3361. However, it can be clearly seen from the rebound process that the rebound is not strong, so I think the rebound space may not be too high. In the short term, it faces resistance in the 3365-3375 area. The strong resistance above the 3390-3400 area still exists, so it may be difficult for bulls to make a major breakthrough in the short term; and the support area below in the short term is in the 3340-3330 area, and the important support is in the area around 3320;
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3365-3375 area, TP: 3350-3340
The pullback did not change the bullish trendGold maintained a weak structure of shock in the Asian and European sessions, and the price slowly adjusted back, forming a secondary bottoming pattern during the day. The current trend is mainly structural consolidation. From a technical perspective, 3328 and 3335 below constitute key short-term support. If it does not break expectations, it will effectively stop the decline and stabilize, and provide a basis for a rebound.
At present, the profit space for chasing shorts is limited. The only stable idea is to wait for the gold price to fall back and stabilize before participating in the long position layout. In terms of operation, it is recommended to arrange long positions near the support level, focusing on the strength of gold's retracement in the 3325-3330 range, and confirming the stabilization of the decline.
Once it stabilizes and rebounds, the short-term long target can be seen at 3350 and 3378, and the extended target focuses on the previous high of 3392. If it breaks through strongly and stands firm at this position, it will further open up to 3400-3410 space.
Operation suggestion: If gold falls back to the 3325-3330 range, go long with a light position. If it falls to 3335 and stabilizes, you can enter long orders in advance, with targets at 3350 and 3378.
Under pressure in the short term, short gold after rebound!In the short term, gold has risen sharply under the simultaneous stimulation of tariffs and geopolitical conflicts, but it has gradually fallen back after reaching around 3392, and has not broken through the 3400 mark in one fell swoop, indicating that the bullish momentum does not have the potential to continue to rise for the time being, so it may still need a certain degree of technical support, so gold has a need to retrace in the short term;
In addition, if gold continues to retrace, then there may be a structural form at the technical level that offsets the short-term double bottom structure support, so gold may also form a double top structure in the short term. The first thing we need to pay attention to is the resistance near 3370, followed by the resistance near 3390; and below we must first pay attention to the support near 3345, followed by the 3330-3320 support area.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider continuing to short gold in the 3370-3380 area, TP: 3355-3345;
2. If gold first retreats to the 3345-3335 area and does not fall below this area, consider going long on gold; TP: 3360-3370
As gold's rally stalls, do bears have a chance?Technical aspect:
Gold is currently fluctuating in a narrow range around 3310, and the short-term direction is not clear. However, the rebound potential is relatively weak, but for the London market, gold's willingness to retreat is not strong; however, from a technical perspective, the current gold structure is still biased towards bulls, and gold still has the potential to continue to rebound to the area around 3330, or even the area around 3350;
However, after the rise of gold stagnates, we still cannot aggressively chase gold in trading, one is to prevent technical retracement after the sharp rise of gold; the other is to prevent the retracement of gold in order to grab liquidity after the rise of gold stagnates. In the short term, the support area we must pay attention to is in the 3285-3275 area, followed by the 3260-3250 area. If gold cannot break through the 3320-3330 area in the short term, gold may still continue to test the support area.
Trading strategy:
1. If gold still cannot effectively break through the area around 3320 in the short term, you can consider trying to short gold in small quantities around 3310-3320; TP: 3280-3270, set up protection to prevent gold from continuing to rise to 3330 or even 3350;
2. Consider going long on gold when gold retreats to the 3285-3280 area, set up protection to prevent gold from continuing to retreat to the 3260 area.
Is there still a chance for short sellers to make a profit?At present, gold continues to rebound to around 3230, and the intraday rebound has reached $100. Today, both short trades have touched SL, giving back most of the profits of the long positions in the morning. So are there still opportunities for shorts to make profits?
I think there are still considerable profit opportunities for shorts. Although gold has rebounded strongly to around 3230, it will soon face the short-term resistance area of 3240-3245, which happens to be the 38.2% split area when it retreats from 3435 to 3120, so this area has a certain suppression effect on gold in the short term! Then there is the suppression effect of the area around 3260; so I think there are still considerable profit opportunities for gold shorts. As gold rebounds, the short-term support below is raised to 3200-3190, followed by 3175-3165.
Trading strategy:
Consider trying to short gold in the 3235-3245 area, TP: 3200-3190
Firmly bullish on gold to 3280-3290 areaAs the trading strategy I published in my last article, I am still holding my gold long position. Obviously, I am confident that gold still has the potential and space to rebound. Gold just hit a low of around 3226 during the decline, and did not break the "W" shape structure formed by the recent low of 3207 and the second low of 3215. The oscillating upward structure remains intact, which is conducive to the continued rise of gold; the foreseeable resistance area in the short term is in the 3280-3290 area. Once this area is broken, the area around 3320 is just around the corner!
Trading strategy:
At present, our gold long position has made very good profits, continue to hold it, and let gold fly for a while!
TVC:DXY FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD
CPI data market, buy gold!Fundamentals:
Focus on CPI;
Technical aspects:
As expected in my previous article, gold has rebounded to the area around 3250-3260 as expected.According to the current structure, gold tends to fluctuate upward in the short term; it may even extend to the 3280-3290 area.Gold rebounded after touching 3207, and combined with the secondary low point near 3215 to form a "W" structure. This technical structure has formed a strong support structure for gold prices; and after the bad news is exhausted, the on-site wait-and-see funds will gradually enter the market, which will also push up the gold price to a certain extent. So I think gold still has the conditions to challenge the 3280-3290 area!
Trading strategy:
Consider starting to go long on gold in batches in the 3250-3240 area, target price: 3270-3280
Continue to short gold after the reboundFundamentals:
The positive signals from the China-US negotiations have eased the market's concerns about the US economic recession, and the weakening of risk aversion has stimulated a sharp pullback in gold. Market funds are no longer eager to seek safe-haven assets, so they withdraw their funds from gold and turn to risk markets.
Technical aspects:
The gold price plummeted by $110 during the day. Although it has rebounded slightly at present, the overall rebound momentum is relatively weak. The upper 3280-3290 area is currently the main short-term suppression level, followed by the 3240-3250 area. If the rebound in this area is not broken, you can continue to short gold, and the shorts may continue to reach new lows; focus on the support of the 3200 mark below. If 3200 is not broken, then the bulls may try to counterattack and fill the upper gap; if gold falls below 3200, gold will continue to fall to the area around 3170.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider shorting gold after it rebounds to the 3245-3255 area, TP: 3220
2. Consider going long on gold after it continues to fall to the 3180-3170 area, TP: 3220;
3. If gold stabilizes above 3200, we can consider going long on gold around 3200 in advance.
Start buying goldTechnical aspects:
Gold has bottomed out and rebounded after a rapid decline today. It has now stood above 3330. When gold breaks above 3330, it has to some extent broken away from the technical repair structure and began to tend to a bullish pattern in terms of form. Although gold is currently under pressure in the 3350-3360 area, as the center of gravity of gold moves up, the support below has gradually moved up to the 3325-3315 area. So I think there is still room for gold to rise, and it may continue to rebound to the 3345-3365 area.
Trading strategy: Consider going long on gold in the 3330-3320 area, TP: 3345-3365