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Goldtrend

Have you caught up with this golden opportunity?The 4-hour K-line pattern of gold shows that the upward trend remains intact, focusing on the strong support range of 3360-3365 (technical resonance with the 5-week moving average). Before the price effectively breaks below the support band, the bulls still have upward momentum, otherwise the trend may reverse. The 3365-3400 range is maintained for intraday fluctuations. The gold operation strategy recommends arranging long orders in the 3370-3375 area when the price falls back, and adding positions to long positions if the support of 3360-3365 is broken. Operation strategy: Gold recommends going long near 3370-3375 now, and adding positions to long positions in the support area of ​​3360-3365 when the price breaks, with the target of 3380-3390. If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
1
Have you seized the golden opportunity again and again?Today, the strength of gold is very weak. It only rushed up at the opening, and quickly fell below the 3400 mark. Keeping above the key point of 3400, gold continues to be bullish. Now that it has fallen below 3400, the short-term has gone out of the small-level top, and the market is no longer so strong. For our short-term operations, the short-term correction of gold prices focuses on the daily cycle MA5 support, and the weekly MA5 support is long. The rebound focuses on the 3403-3408 resistance card. The rebound can be followed by the short-term! Although gold has fallen below 3400, the short-term direction has changed, but the general direction has not changed. It is still bullish. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize. Now we can only follow the trend. We will do what the market does. From a technical point of view, the current macd high dead cross in 4 hours has a large volume, and the smart indicator sto is oversold, which represents the 4-hour shock trend. The current bollinger band three-track shrinkage in 4 hours also represents the range compression. At present, the upper pressure of 4 hours is located at the adhesion point of the middle rail and the moving average MA10 at 3404-3409, while the support corresponds to the moving average MA30 and MA10 near the 3380-3363 line. From the current 4 hours, if the price is to fall directly, the rebound will not exceed the 3420-3422.5 line. The current macd dead cross of the gold 1-hour line is shrinking and sticking, and the smart indicator sto is running downward, indicating that the hourly line continues to fluctuate weakly. What we need to pay attention to now is the adhesion pressure of the upper moving average MA60 and MA30 corresponding to the 3412 line. Pay attention to the resistance of 3403 in the short term. Today's short-term operation of gold recommends rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary, and pay attention to the support of 3380-3370 in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Golden opportunity comes again!Gold fluctuated all day yesterday, and finally did not break the range we gave. Today we continue to focus on the strong support range of 3365-3360, because this position is also the important key support we gave yesterday. Today we continue to look for opportunities to go long when we step back. As long as the strong support position below is not broken, there will be hope for the bulls to make a comeback. From the current analysis of gold trends, gold continues to focus on the short-term support near 3375-3370 below, and the important support is around 3365-3360. The short-term focus is on the short-term suppression near 3400-3415 above. The operation is temporarily based on the range. There is a high probability that the short-term fluctuations will continue. Wait patiently for the key points to enter the market. Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold steps back to 3375-3370, and cover long positions when it steps back to 3365-3360. The target is around 3380-3390-3400. If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Continue to be bullish after successful adjustment of low longToday, gold opened high at 3448, and fell under pressure after touching 3452. It fell after repeatedly confirming resistance at high levels. We arranged short orders in the 3445-3450 area, successfully touched the target of 3330, and realized profit-taking. Then the market fell back to around 3409 and stabilized and rebounded. We arranged long orders and stopped profit at around 3420. Then we fell back and arranged long orders of 3385 and 3395 to take profits at 3405. Overall, gold fell slowly after opening high, and maintained sideways consolidation in the European session. The US session continued to fall due to the easing of the geopolitical situation. At present, the focus of the evening is on the support of 3390. If it does not break after the retracement, it can still go long. Pay attention to the key pressure levels of 3410 and 3422 above. The current market is still in the adjustment stage of the upward trend. After the adjustment, it is expected to continue the upward rhythm. Operation suggestion: Go long on gold when it falls back to around 3390-3392, with the target at 3410 and 3435. If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Short positions fall as expected, long opportunities reappearToday, gold maintained high and fluctuated repeatedly after opening, but the upper side has not been effectively broken through. After repeated pressure, the resistance signal was confirmed. We arranged short orders near 3445. The market fell back as expected and accurately hit the target position. The trend was highly consistent with the prediction, which once again confirmed the trading concept of "planning before the market, execution before emotion". From the current trend structure, gold is still in a bullish trend as a whole, and short-term adjustments are normal. The support below focuses on the 3420-3415 area, which is the first defense position for short-term retracement; and the more critical bullish defense line is still at the 3405-3400 line. If this area stabilizes, it is still our core layout area for low-multiples with the trend. The daily structure is still intact, and the long arrangement of the moving average system has not been destroyed. Short-term fluctuations do not affect the overall bullish logic. Therefore, the operation is still based on retracement and main longs, and following the trend is the kingly way. Short orders can only be participated in the short term, and stop when you reach the point, and do not hold against the trend. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy at the bottom, and pay attention to it in time. The key next is to pay attention to the stabilization signals below and wait for the market to provide new opportunities for momentum release. If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time. 🌐
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Adjustments do not change the trend, continue to be bullishToday, gold opened high at 3448, and fell under pressure after reaching 3452. After repeatedly confirming resistance at high levels, it went down. We arranged short orders in the 3445-3450 area, successfully reached the target of 3330, and secured profits. Then the market fell back to around 3409 and stabilized and rebounded. We arranged long orders to stop profit near 3420. The current market is still in a bullish trend after the shock and retracement. Adjustment does not change the trend. Retracement is an opportunity. The key is to find the right entry point. From a technical perspective, the support below focuses on the 3410-3405 area, and the key support is at 3400-3390. If the daily level stabilizes in the above area, the upward structure will continue, and the short-term is still expected to test the previous high. Short orders need to strictly control risks, and the trend of low and long is still the main theme. Gold operation strategy: Buy gold when it falls back to around 3410-3405, and consider covering positions when it falls back to 3400-3395, with the target at 3430-3440. For more real-time strategies, I will remind you at the key points as soon as possible,🌐 remember to pay attention! If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
The golden opportunity comes again.This week, gold showed a slow bullish upward pattern, rising repeatedly and circuitously, and finally closed positive on the weekly line. On Friday, it was blocked twice at the high level of 3445, and the closing price remained sideways. The market is expected to continue the upward trend next week. If it breaks through 3445, it is expected to further challenge the 3500 mark or even set a new high. Combined with the recent fundamentals and the continued warming of the geopolitical situation, it provides solid support for bulls. However, the current market shock sweep is still the main rhythm, and it is not advisable to blindly chase highs in operation. It is still recommended to focus on retracement and long positions. The key support of the daily line refers to the top and bottom conversion position of 3403 and the low point of 3419 on Friday. If it falls back to the above area, you can rely on the support to arrange long positions at the right time. The overall trend is still inclined to bulls, and short positions can only be tried with a light position. Remember that strict risk control is required against the trend. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy at the bottom, and pay attention to it in time. Operation suggestion: Gold is recommended to go long near 3405-3400, with the target looking at 3445 and 3465. If it is strong, rely on the support of 3420-3415 area and choose the opportunity to go long. If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time. 🌐
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3340 and a gap below at 3418. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3340 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3463 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3463 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3483 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3483 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3508 BEARISH TARGETS 3418 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3418 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3393 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3393 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3372 3353 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3393 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3330 3306 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
15
Bulls are in control, and pullbacks are opportunities!Gold rose directly at the opening today due to risk aversion, reaching a high of around 3446.8. We successfully stopped profit twice when we went long. Subsequently, we also notified everyone to enter short positions at 3445 and exit with profit at 3425. Pay attention to the support situation at 3395-3408. Going long on pullbacks is still the main trend at present. From the current gold trend analysis, today's gold mid-line pulled up and broke through and stood above the 3400 mark to further continue its strength. The short-term support below is around 3310-3408, and the key support below is around the recent top and bottom conversion position of 3395-3405. The intraday pullback relies on this position to continue to be bullish and the short-term bullish dividing line moves up to 3345-3350. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the trend of low-long rhythm. Be cautious about short orders against the trend. I will give you tips on specific operations, and pay attention in time. Gold operation strategy: Buy gold when it falls back to around 3395-3405, and target around 3425-3440. If it is strong, continue to buy gold at the support of 3410-3408. When operating, be sure to strictly set stop loss, strictly control risks, and respond to market fluctuations steadily.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Hit the target with one strike! Gold perfectly cashed in 3435Gold closed sideways at a high level yesterday, and closed positive again overnight. It opened back to 3379 and pulled up strongly, breaking through the 3400 mark and then increasing in volume. The recent low-multiple bullish ideas have been realized. There is no doubt that it will continue to be bullish and long today. The market has turned from the previous sweeping upward to a strong unilateral trend. The upper side will first look at the previous high pressure of 3435. Continued breakthrough will further open up the upper space, or it will hit 3500 or even a new high again. The lower support focuses on the top and bottom conversion position of 3395-3405, and then pay attention to the 1H cycle support near 3410. The intraday operation is mainly long on the decline. Operation suggestion: Go long on gold when it falls back to 3395-3345, and look at 3434 and 3450. If it is strong, continue to go long with the support of 3415-3410. When operating, be sure to strictly set stop loss, strictly control risks, and respond to market fluctuations steadily.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
The summit is just around the corner, just one final push away!Gold closed sideways at a high level yesterday, and closed positive again overnight. It opened back to 3379 and pulled up strongly, breaking through the 3400 mark and then increasing in volume. The recent low-multiple bullish ideas have been realized. Today, there is no doubt that it will continue to be bullish and long. The market has turned from the previous sweeping upward to a strong unilateral trend. The upper side will first look at the previous high pressure of 3435. Continued breakthrough will further open up the upper space, or it will hit 3500 or even a new high again. The lower support focuses on the top and bottom conversion position of 3395-3405, and then pay attention to the 1H cycle support near 3410. Intraday operations are still mainly based on falling back and long. Operation suggestion: Go long when gold falls back to 3395-3345, and look at 3434 and 3450. If it is strong, continue to go long with the support of 3415-3410.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
The gold trend is perfectly in line with expectations.The recent trend of gold is consistent with my expectations. Overall, the rebound is mainly based on fluctuating downward, and the rhythm of the oscillation between long and short positions is perfectly grasped. The upper resistance is still strong, and gold can still be shorted if the rebound is not broken. From the current analysis of the gold trend, the lower support focuses on the area around 3315-3305. If it falls back to this position range, continue to look at the continuation of the rebound upward; the upper resistance focuses on the area around 3350-3362. The overall rhythm of the high-altitude and low-multiple range is still maintained, and the strategy is mainly to participate in the range back and forth. 1. Go long when gold falls back to 3315-3305, and the target is 3330-3340; 2. Go short when gold rebounds to 3350-3360, and the target is 3340-3330.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
5
Gold rebound is still a short-selling opportunityFirst of all, let's take a look at why the market is still not reversing after a big rise, and there is a rapid rise and fall? The data is bullish, and gold is rising rapidly, but we should pay attention to the sustainability of the rise, and secondly, the current trend direction. The overall trend of gold is still fluctuating downward recently, so even if the data is bullish, it is likely to just give an opportunity to "go high and short". Although gold performed strongly after the data was released, it began to fall under pressure at the 3360 line, the trading concentration area of ​​the last box shock, indicating that the bulls' volume is still not enough to break through the upper resistance. It is reasonable to rise and fall. Since gold is currently in a market that is tempting to buy more, it means that the main trend is still bearish. The rebound is still dominated by short selling. The gold 1-hour cycle closed with a long upper shadow, indicating that the upward attack is weak, indicating that the area above 3350 is still a strong pressure area. This upward rush is just a short-term effort with the help of data benefits, which is a typical false breakthrough. Therefore, gold rebounded to the 3350-3360 area in the US market, and it is still dominated by high shorts. This is the charm of the market - some people are always hesitant in the ups and downs, while others can always grasp the key turning points. The premise is to be able to see the trend clearly and follow the trend. Don't be led by the market, but understand: Is the current fluctuation a trap or an opportunity? If the direction is wrong, the effort will be in vain; if the direction is right, you will get twice the result with half the effort. Don't make excuses for failure, just find ways to succeed. Have you found it? All recent trading strategies and ideas have been realized, and the point predictions are accurate. If your current gold operation is not ideal, we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Today’s gold strategy: go long on support and short on pressure!Today, there is a high probability that the volatile bullish trend will continue. In terms of operation, we should seize the opportunity of short-term bullish. The key support level of the daily line is around 3350-3355. If it falls back to this level, you can arrange short-term bullish with a light position. If the market is strong and there is no obvious correction, you can enter the long position in advance at the 3370 line. Pay attention to the upper resistance level of 3400-3405. Once it breaks through effectively, wait for the opportunity to arrange short positions after the surge. In the volatile market, both long and short positions have opportunities. Don't chase the rise and sell the fall. Be sure to wait patiently for the right time to enter the market and strictly control the position. Gold operation suggestions: short gold rebounds around 3400-3405. Go long gold when it falls back to around 3350-3360. Go long at 3370 first if it is strong and does not pull back.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
The pullback did not change the bullish trendGold maintained a weak structure of shock in the Asian and European sessions, and the price slowly adjusted back, forming a secondary bottoming pattern during the day. The current trend is mainly structural consolidation. From a technical perspective, 3328 and 3335 below constitute key short-term support. If it does not break expectations, it will effectively stop the decline and stabilize, and provide a basis for a rebound. At present, the profit space for chasing shorts is limited. The only stable idea is to wait for the gold price to fall back and stabilize before participating in the long position layout. In terms of operation, it is recommended to arrange long positions near the support level, focusing on the strength of gold's retracement in the 3325-3330 range, and confirming the stabilization of the decline. Once it stabilizes and rebounds, the short-term long target can be seen at 3350 and 3378, and the extended target focuses on the previous high of 3392. If it breaks through strongly and stands firm at this position, it will further open up to 3400-3410 space. Operation suggestion: If gold falls back to the 3325-3330 range, go long with a light position. If it falls to 3335 and stabilizes, you can enter long orders in advance, with targets at 3350 and 3378.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
XAUUSD Monthly Outlook – May 2025"Momentum Meets Maturity: Gold Faces Its Final Trap?" 🔹 Overview: Gold has delivered an explosive rally through Q1–Q2 2025, breaking all structural ceilings and printing a new All-Time High (ATH) at 3500 in April. May followed with aggressive bullish continuation, but failed to break that high, closing with a strong body but signs of momentum cooling. We are now trading inside a premium liquidity zone, where retracement becomes increasingly probable. 🔹 Monthly Structure & Bias 🔎 Component Status / Detail Current Price Range 3285–3310 Market Bias Bullish, but overextended ATH Confirmed 3500 (April 2025) May High 3435 – did not break ATH Structure HH + BOS above 2108 = bullish macro EMA Trend Full EMA 5/21/50/100/200 bull lock RSI Likely near overbought (watch June) 🔹 Refined Monthly Zones – GoldFxMinds Precision 📍 Zone Type Key Levels Explanation 🔺 Premium SELL Zone #1 3335 – 3368 First rejection layer inside premium. Previous wick reactions. 🔺 Premium SELL Zone #2 3368 – 3405 Final inducement from May. Ideal for stop hunts and traps. 🔺 ATH Trap Zone 3405 – 3500 Full liquidity cluster around ATH. Extreme caution here. 🔹 Local Monthly Support 3112 – 3098 Minor support below May’s PNL. First reaction floor. 🔹 FVG/OB Buy Zone 3060 – 3038 Valid monthly FVG + OB zone. Stronger confirmation area. 🔵 Macro Swing Support 2638 – 2612 Monthly OB and last HL before the 3000+ breakout. Solid base. 🔵 BOS Origin / HL Base 2592 – 2570 True origin of macro bullish structure. Swing trader interest. ⚫ Equilibrium Major #1 2280 – 2265 Fibonacci 50% of full macro range + EMA50. Potential macro reentry. ⚫ Equilibrium Major #2 2245 – 2212 Liquidity from past accumulation zones (2023–2024). 🔹 Fibonacci Context Full swing: 1045 (2015 low) → 3500 (ATH April 2025) Price is now pressing between the 1.618 and 2.0 extension zone, ideal area for macro distribution. The 50% equilibrium of the macro range sits at ~2240, aligning with EMAs and historical demand. 🔹 Liquidity Analysis ✅ Buy-side liquidity swept at every major milestone: 2108 → 2500 → 3000 → 3300 🎯 Final liquidity pool lies above 3435 into 3500 → this is where many late buyers could be trapped. 💧 Sell-side liquidity sits cleanly around 3110 → 2590 → 2240 — these are the likely draw targets if correction begins. 🔹 Macroeconomic Context (May–June 2025) 📰 Federal Reserve: Markets expect a possible rate cut in Q3, which still supports gold, but with less surprise. 🌍 Geopolitical Risks: Persistent global instability continues to back the gold rally. 🧮 Equity Overextension: Rotation from risk assets to safety could fuel one more push — or trigger a sharp correction. 💹 Inflation Outlook: Any spike in CPI may trigger further bullish flows — but positioning is already saturated. 🔚 Summary – What's Next? ✅ Trend: Still bullish, but at the final stages of maturity ⚠️ Risk: Sharp rejection likely near 3435–3500 📌 Scenarios to watch: Push into 3435–3500: Final inducement → possible sharp rejection Break below 3110: Opens path to 3038 or even 2630 Major swing buys only valid around 2638 or 2240, if macro retracement triggers 🧠 GoldFxMinds Final Word: The monthly chart shows strength, but we are now deep inside premium, under the shadow of a freshly printed ATH. If June opens with a wick or false breakout above 3435, expect a high-probability retracement toward 3110 or deeper. This is not the time to chase buys blindly — but rather to position smartly at real OBs and FVGs, where structure confirms.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
GoldFxMinds – XAUUSD Battle Plan for May 30, 2025Hello, GoldMinds snipers! Big news day ahead — Core PCE ). This is the kind of day where one news candle can change the whole game! Let’s get our sniper zones ready for both bullish rallies and bearish reversals. ⚡️ Macro & News Context Core PCE is a Fed favorite: high-impact, high-volatility. Gold just closed near 3317, high in premium territory — but market structure is coiled, not committed. Any PCE surprise can send us flying… or dumping. 📈 If Price Stays Bullish / News is Dovish 3325–3335: First resistance, the "fortress wall." If price clears and HOLDS above, next upside targets activate. 3348–3360: Next sniper zone above — historical supply, D1 OB, liquidity magnets. A strong close above 3335 = bulls control. Watch for quick tests of this upper block. If price breaks above 3360: The next “wild zone” is 3378–3388 — untapped liquidity above all previous swings. Only super strong rallies reach here, so trail your stops tight if you’re long. 📉 If Price Reverses / News is Hawkish 3315–3305: Trap zone, choppy — avoid entries here. 3285–3295: Key H1 demand, look for bounce or structure reclaim. 3250–3260: Deep discount sniper zone. Only buy if you see real reversal; if this breaks, expect panic to 3220 or even 3200. 🧠 Bias, Playbook, and Caution Bias: Neutral but flexible. Above 3335, bulls have momentum — look for breakouts. Below 3285, sellers control the show. Do not rush the first move after PCE. Real direction comes after the volatility traps. 🏹 Battle Plan Long only above 3335, with a confirmed breakout and volume. Short only at supply zones (3325–3335 or 3348–3360) if you see strong rejection. Never chase the spike. Wait for M5/M15 structure to confirm. Trap zone (3305–3315): Sit on your hands. Let the bots fight. 🔥 Final Word This is a two-way battle: If gold rockets above, follow the flow — but don’t forget, every hero rally can be a trap! If the bears win, be ready to strike on the drop. Comment your bias (🚀 or 🔻), hit follow for the post-news recap, and trade like a sniper, not a gambler. — GoldFxMinds 🟡🚨
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
6
Gold at a Psychological Level Gold has now risen to 100 times its previously fixed price of $35 per ounce. Is this a psychological milestone signaling a correction ahead, or is there still more upside potential? Under the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, gold was officially priced at $35, a rate maintained until 1971, when President Nixon suspended the dollar’s convertibility into gold, effectively ending the gold standard. This historic move, known as the “Nixon Shock,” allowed gold to trade freely in the market. By December the same year, the market price had already climbed to around $43–44 per ounce. So why has gold risen from $35 to $3,500? Gold is widely recognized as a hedge against inflation—but in reality, it has proven to be more than that. Let’s consider this: If inflation had compounded at the target rate of 2% per year since 1971, gold should be priced at $102 today. But at $3,500, the also implied that the compounded annual growth rate is around 8.9%. So, what explains this outperformance? One key driver is the expansion of the money supply, especially through debt, and more critically, debt financed by money printing. Periods of high inflation are can be preceded by an unjustified increase in the money supply, not backed by corresponding income or production output. In 2018, we saw the beginning of Trump’s Tariff 1.0. Since the anticipation of Trump’s Tariff 2.0, I’ve incorporated a framework I call the QTD Matrix—which stands for Quantitative Easing, Tariffs, and Debt—to track the trajectory of gold prices. As long as we continue to see: • Central banks deploying Quantitative Easing during crises, • Ongoing or escalating Tariff wars, and • Persistent growth in national Debt, It is reasonable to expect gold to remain firm and potentially break into new highs. Historical Observations: • Let’s start with Gold vs QE. Each major wave of QE has triggered a significant rally in gold—from Japan’s QE in 2001, to US QE1, QE2, and QE3 following the 2008 crisis, and the massive Covid-era QE in 2020. • Next Gold vs Tariffs. When Trump’s Tariff 1.0 was announced in August 2018, gold pivoted on that very day and began trending higher. In October 2022, Biden’s export controls on advanced chips acted as a tariff-equivalent event, once again prompting gold to rise. After Trump's re-election in November last year, markets began pricing in Tariff 2.0, and gold responded by trending upward once more. • Finally Gold vs Debt. Gold has also moved in close tandem with the rising US debt over the years. As of now, I believe that QE (Q), Tariffs (T), and Debt (D) will remain in play. Hence, it's reasonable to expect: • The cost of living to remain elevated, • Inflationary pressures to persist, and • Gold prices to continue their long-term uptrend. That said, I’m also noticing technical and psychological resistance in the mid-term after it reached $3,500. This is a quarterly chart, once I have identified its primary uptrend line, I would like to mirror it to its significant peak (going back way back the 1980s, a period of high inflation), which appears to intersect around the psychological level of $3,500. With the trade war currently on pause, gold may temporarily take a breather. But as long as QTD remains intact, it may just be a matter of time before gold tests its recent resistance—and, if broken, continues its upward trajectory. We should also ask: Is there any possibility that the Q, T, or D could shift in the opposite direction? If so, that could be a positive sign for equity markets. Micro Gold Futures & Options Ticker: MGC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.sweetlogin.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
COMEX:GC1!Short
by konhow
XAUUSD Monthly Outlook – May 2025👋 Hey GoldMindsFX! 🕰️ Timeframe: Monthly 📍 Current Price: 3,204 📈 Bias: Cautious Bullish-to-Neutral 📏 Trend: Strong long-term bullish, but in monthly exhaustion/cool-off mode 🔍 STRUCTURAL OVERVIEW BOS (Break of Structure): Confirmed above 2,075 (2020/2022 key resistance). Rally: Sustained higher highs and strong bullish candles since October 2023. Current Candle: Huge wick into FIB extension (1.618–2.0) = 3,440–3,500 (top-out risk). 🧠 KEY MONTHLY LEVELS TO WATCH Type/Zone Price Range Quick Note 🔴 Premium Supply 3,440–3,500 FIB extension (1.618–2.0), big rejection wick, bull exhaustion 🟠 Resistance 3,222–3,242 Prior OB + last BOS area, possible retest zone ⚠️ Mid-Zone 3,160–3,185 Equilibrium, liquidity trap, key short-term support 🟢 Demand 3,050–2,960 Big monthly OB + FVG, unmitigated base, strong support 🔵 Discount 2,950–2,800 Previous reaccumulation, structure demand from 2023 rallies 🗺️ MACRO & MARKET CONTEXT Geopolitical Tension: Wars, inflation, and Fed confusion (CPI/UoM). Market Mood: Sentiment weak, uncertainty high after May FOMC & Powell. Central Bank Flow: Dips bought, but profit-taking near highs — “wait and react” mode. 🧭 SCENARIOS FOR MAY Bullish Plan: If price holds above 3,160–3,185 ➔ look for re-entry toward 3,240 and possible retest of upper wicks (3,440+). Needs H4 CHoCH + volume for confirmation. Bearish Plan: Lose 3,160 ➔ look for a drop toward 3,050–2,960. If that fails, watch for deeper retrace to 2,800–2,950. ⚙️ FIBONACCI EXTENSION SUMMARY 1.272: ✅ Hit 1.618: 3,440 (Tapped) 2.0: 3,500 (Wick/Exhaustion) 🧠 FINAL WORD Gold’s monthly “moonshot” stalled at 3,500 — don’t chase, just watch how price reacts to the 3,160–3,185 key range. Lose it? Expect deeper cool-off. Hold it? Reload for one more push toward the highs. Stay focused, trade smart, and let structure guide your next moves! Drop a comment if you want the weekly/daily breakdowns. — GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Daily Sniper Plan for Friday, May 23👋 Hey Gold Snipers, Ready to Slice Through the Noise? The market has been throwing shadows and traps all day — but structure doesn’t lie. As we head into May 23, we’ve mapped out the real levels that matter. No hype. Just clean logic. You want sniper entries? Here's where we hunt 🧠🎯 🔭 Bias for May 23: Bearish-to-Neutral Short-term bias is bearish as long as 3298 holds as resistance If bulls reclaim 3300+ with momentum, we shift into bullish continuation bias toward 3332–3345 Until then, we’re playing inside structure → fading premium, buying deep discount only on confirmation 🧭 Market Update Gold spent most of Thursday chopping inside indecision, dancing between reclaimed zones and rejected premiums. But smart money leaves a trail — and tonight, structure gave us the blueprint: CHoCH confirmed from 3345 → now forming a lower high structure EMA 5/21 still locked bearish on M15–H1, while price holds under the OB flip zone RSI is showing divergence near key demand FVGs still exposed both above and below = imbalance-driven reactions likely Momentum is building... but direction depends on how we react to these zones👇 🧩 Plan for Friday, May 23 – Built Around Key Zones 🔺 Sell Zone: 3314–3320 💥 Premium OB reaction area → If price taps and rejects, this is where shorts load → EMA 100 and previous LH sit here — high probability fade level → Watch for M5 CHoCH or bearish engulfing to trigger sniper logic ⚖️ Flip Zone: 3292–3298 🧠 Former demand turned resistance — now the pivot of truth → If price rejects here again, expect quick drop to 3260s → BUT... if bulls reclaim and hold above 3300, this flips the script → In that case, structure opens doors to: 🟡3314 🟡3332 Even 3345+ (liquidity sweep zone) We adapt with structure — not emotions. 🟩 Buy Zone #1: 3263–3273 ✅ CHoCH support base + FVG + RSI bounce → This is sniper ground if price returns here cleanly → Look for EMA 5/21 bull lock + M15 BOS → Reactive zone, not for the impulsive — confirmation or nothing 🟩 Buy Zone #2: 3242–3250 🔑 Deep liquidity sweep + fib 78–88.6% → If price runs the 3260 zone and traps liquidity, this is the reload zone → Needs strong wick + RSI divergence + internal BOS to act ❌ Breakdown/Invalidation Zone: 3222–3230 🚨 Below here = no more sniper longs → Structure flips HTF bearish → If it breaks with volume and OB rejection on retest = prepare for deeper slide 🧠 Final Thoughts: This isn’t about signals. It’s about structure. Gold moves best when we wait — not when we guess. We mapped every key zone. Now we wait for confirmation, follow the logic, and let the amateurs get baited in between. 🎯 Bias stays bearish under 3298. Above 3300, we start building toward higher liquidity zones — but confirmation is king. 💬 Let me know which zone you're watching. 🔁 Share this plan if it helped clarify your direction. 🟡 Like + Follow GoldFxMinds for sniper-level structure — every session.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldFxMinds
3
XAUUSD H4 OUTLOOK – “Bounce, Trap or Breakdown?🧠 Market Context: Gold is consolidating between a major bullish defense zone (3090–3110) and multiple bearish supply layers above. We remain below the last major lower high and within a bearish H4 flow, though macro HTF structure is still bullish. If 3090 fails, the next deeper demand blocks will be critical. 🔁 STRUCTURAL FLOW: Bias: Bearish ST | Bullish HTF Trend: Lower highs | Weak demand bounces Flow: Retesting internal supply | Reaction from demand confirmed 📍 SNIPER ZONES Type Price Range Description 🔴 Extended Premium Supply 3365–3380 HTF OB + imbalance + wick zone 🔴 Premium Reversal Block 3312–3325 Upper imbalance + internal LH supply 🔴 Mid-Term Supply 3275–3285 May 13 rejection zone 🔴 Internal Trap Supply 3240–3255 Retest of old OB + inefficiency 🟢 Reactive Demand Zone 3160–3172 Internal CHoCH + RSI confluence + bounce base 🟢 HTF Buy Block 3090–3110 Final CHoCH origin + strong rejection 🟢 Deep Discount Demand 3050–3072 Unmitigated WICK OB below liquidity 🟢 FVG-Demand Layer 2980–3000 Weekly imbalance + final LTF liquidity pocket 🟢 Weekly Strong Low Zone 2890–2925 Last major HL before macro expansion ⚠️ Notes: Above 3325, price would need a strong break in structure to flip bias short-term. Below 3090, watch for bounce reactions at 3050 or the full discount zone into 2980. Until then, internal traps are likely during news week flow. 🔥 Follow @GoldFxMinds for sniper updates and market recaps 🧠 Which zone do you expect to be hit first: 3380 or 3050? Drop your thoughts below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD DAILY OUTLOOK – MAY 19, 2025“Between Bounce & Breakdown – Watch the Mid-Zone Traps 🎯” 🧠 Market Overview: Gold bounced last week from the 3160–3172 buy block, confirming demand at discount, but price remains stuck under multiple bearish supply layers. Until we reclaim structure above 3285, this is still a bearish pullback inside a bullish macro trend. → We’re now trading between sniper zones, where volume fades, fakeouts rise, and only confirmation wins. 🔍 STRUCTURE FLOW 🟩 3160–3172 → Confirmed buy zone from last week, clean bounce with CHoCH 🔴 3365–3375 → Daily rejection supply zone, created by imbalance wick & H4 OB 🟧 Price is now inside “mid-trap” territory (3205–3285) = avoid trading blindly 📌 KEY SNIPER ZONES (REFINED) 🔹 Zone Type Price Range Confluences 🟢 Buy Zone 1 3160–3172 OB + EQ liquidity + confirmed CHoCH (D1-H1 confluence) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 3212–3225 Internal FVG + H1 OB origin + 61.8% fib retrace 🔴 Sell Zone 1 3275–3285 Previous H4 OB + bearish NY reaction trap zone 🔴 Sell Zone 2 3312–3324 Internal liquidity sweep + imbalance fill 🔴 Sell Zone 3 3365–3375 Strong rejection + top of H4 imbalance ⚙️ TECHNICAL OUTLOOK: EMA50/100 now sloping down = bearish short-term tone RSI near neutral (no divergence = trend-follow only) Daily candle closed inside mid-zone → no clear momentum = trade only on LTF CHoCH confirmations 🔔 RISK EVENTS (THIS WEEK) Thu, May 23 → Unemployment Claims + Flash PMIs + Housing Data Fri, May 24 → New Home Sales + FOMC Financial Stability Report (tentative) → Expect fakeouts ahead of these. Stay reactive, not predictive. 🧭 DAILY PLAN 🔽 If price reclaims 3275–3285 and fails → sniper sell entry → TP 3225 / 3172 🔼 If price dips to 3212–3225 with M15 CHoCH → scalp buy to 3260–3270 ❌ Avoid entries in 3230–3265 → mid-zone chop trap 🧠 Final Thoughts: You don’t chase gold in mid-range. You don’t sell bottoms or buy tops. You wait at the edge of structure — with logic, confluence, and confirmation. That’s sniper mode. 🔥 Like & Follow @GoldFxMinds for intraday sniper plans 💬 Drop your bias below — Break below 3172 or bounce back to 3320?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds