XAUUSD Hello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold has broken above a major resistance level, and price has closed firmly above this zone, signaling strong bullish momentum and a shift in market sentiment.
We expect a brief pullback in the short term, followed by a resumption of the upward move toward higher targets and new highs.
As long as price remains above the identified support level, the bullish outlook remains valid.
Is gold ready for its next leg up after the pullback? Share your thoughts below! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Harmonic Patterns
NZDJPY TECHNICALS AND FUNDAMENTALS DETAILED ANALYSISNZDJPY is currently trading around the 87.00 handle and has just bounced strongly from a well-respected support zone. The pair is now showing clear signs of recovery after a brief corrective dip, and price action on the 8H chart confirms a bullish reversal structure. The support held firmly, and we’ve already seen a solid rejection wick forming the foundation of this new impulsive leg up. With this momentum in play, I’m targeting the 90.00 zone in the coming sessions.
On the macro front, the New Zealand dollar is benefiting from a relatively hawkish RBNZ stance. Inflation pressures remain sticky in New Zealand, and the central bank has reiterated its cautious approach toward rate cuts. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen remains under persistent selling pressure due to the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose policy and intervention uncertainty. These diverging central bank outlooks are fueling continued upside in NZDJPY as carry trade flows remain in favor of the kiwi.
From a technical perspective, the market structure remains bullish. After retesting a previous higher low, price is climbing within a clean channel and has broken minor resistance levels convincingly. This aligns well with a swing continuation pattern toward the 90.00 mark. Momentum is supported by increasing bullish volume, and as long as we remain above 86.00, the bulls are firmly in control.
In my analysis, this is a textbook setup. We’re seeing higher lows, strong trend continuation, and a macro-backed directional bias. I’m long from 87.00 with a bullish outlook into 90.00. I’ll reassess price action as we approach major resistance levels, but until then, I remain confidently positioned with a clear technical and fundamental confluence.
Will gold continue to rise after a pullback?As for gold: the trend of daily, weekly and monthly cycles has remained unchanged, and the bulls remain unchanged; and the weekly line has started to rise continuously, and there is a high probability that it will gradually break upward; the daily line temporarily maintains 3245-3293 as the two low points of support at the bottom, and 3382-3452 as the two top high points of resistance to form an upward channel. The upper track is currently suppressed. Although Iran and Iran are still fighting fiercely over the weekend, the market has digested a lot, because today's Asian and European sessions did not continue the strong attack, but there was a wave of continuous declines; but this does not mean that it will fall back too much, and risk aversion will still be triggered at any time. Besides, leaving aside the news, the technical form is also bullish, and the highs and lows are gradually rising. The secondary high point was also broken, and there is a high probability of testing 3500 this week;
For today, due to the weakness of the European session and the rebound before and after the US session, pay attention to the 618 resistance 3436 and other pressures to go bearish first, and then continue to choose bullish when the two supports of 3404-3390 below are touched and stabilized; if the price cannot give the support position after 22:00 to the early morning, it is not ruled out that it will stabilize in advance;
Specific operation plan: It is recommended to go long and bullish at 3410, add more positions at 3408, target 3430-3440, stop loss 3400; short near 3443 above, add more positions at 3448, target 3430-3420, stop loss 3455.
GOLD/USD suggests a potential reversal from point D downward.🟢 Chart Instrument
Symbol: CFDs on Gold (US$/OZ) – XAU/USD
Timeframe: 4H (4-hour candles)
Platform: TradingView
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📐 Harmonic Pattern
The chart displays a Bearish Gartley pattern, typically identified by the labeled points X-A-B-C-D.
This pattern suggests a potential reversal from point D downward.
Fibonacci ratios are visible:
AB = 0.618 retracement of XA
BC = 0.886 retracement of AB
CD = 1.27–1.618 extension of BC
Pattern completes at point D (where the short trade is suggested).
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📉 Trade Setup (Short/Sell Bias)
Entry Zone: Around 3,415 – 3,520 USD (highlighted red zone)
Target Zone: Near 3,135 USD (marked “TARGET”)
Stop Loss Zone: Above 3,520 USD (indicated in red box)
Expected Movement: Sharp drop from resistance area to target support zone.
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🧱 Support Zones
Two key support levels are marked:
1. First target zone at ~3,135
2. Broader support range: 3,000 – 3,080
These support levels are likely areas where price could reverse or consolidate after falling.
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📆 Timeframe Focus
The projection extends toward Wednesday, June 25, suggesting this is a medium-term swing setup over the coming 1–2 weeks.
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✅ Summary
Pattern Type: Bearish Gartley
Action Plan: Wait for price to hit entry zone (point D), then short with target at 3,135.
Risk/Reward: Clearly defined with stop-loss and target zones
BITCOIN Is exactly where it should be this time on every Cycle!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has made a new All Time High (ATH) last month, following the April 2025 rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). No matter how odd this price action may look to some, BTC is simply replicating the pattern it has during every past Cycle around this time of its final year.
As you can see, besides April 2025, it made 1W MA50 pull-backs and rebounds on June 2021, July 2017 and July 2013. The consistency is remarkable and since we are already now half-way through June, historically Bitcoin only went upwards!
In fact, those pull-backs have been the strongest the market saw before the Cycles peaked on each and every occasion. Two Cycles peaked just above the 2.0 Fibonacci extension while in 2017 it peaked a little below the 5. Fib ext. This indicates that the minimum Cycle Top we can be expecting towards the end of the year is $160000 (marginally below the 2.0 Fib ext).
Many studies point towards the same Target. Do you think it's inevitable? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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AMD First touch of 1W MA50 after 8 months!Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) hit today its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in almost 8 months (since October 28 2024). This is a crucial test as the las time this level broke as a Resistance following a Channel Up bottom rebound was on the week of January 30 2023.
When that happened, the Bullish Leg extended the upside to complete a +143.12% rise, before the next 1W MA50 pull-back.
As a result, if we close the week above the 1W MA50, we expect to see $185 before the end of the year.
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Bearish continuation for the Loonie?The price has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3725
1st Support: 1.3430
1st Resistance: 1.3837
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BITCOIN Cup and Handle making double bounce on the 1D MA50.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to complete a Cup and Handle (C&H) formation, having consolidated for almost a month since the May 22 All Time High (ATH). What makes the bullish potential even stronger is that it is rising after making a Double Bottom on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since October 10 2024.
Given that the long-term pattern is a Channel Up and the 1D MA50 is acting as its natural support trend-line, the Cup and Handle can provide a short-term Target on its 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $122000. On the long-term the Channel Up still has the potential to lead it much higher.
So do you think that 122k is achievable after this Cup and Handle making double bounce on the 1D MA50? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Will gold continue to rise in the new week?Analyzing from the weekly level, the price of gold is supported by the support level of 3258-60. From the mid-line perspective, it is still in the mid-line bull market, and the price will only be under further pressure if it breaks the weekly support. Observing from the daily level, the price broke through the daily resistance again last Wednesday, and continued to soar after the breakthrough. The current price is testing the monthly high, and the subsequent gains and losses of the previous high are the key. At the same time, according to the four-hour level, as time goes by, we need to pay attention to the support of 3413-3407. This position is the key watershed of the short-term trend. At the same time, according to the one-hour level, the price has a short-term downward adjustment, so don't chase more for the time being, and focus on the subsequent retracement to the four-hour support before further rising. Short-term low-to-long thinking, focus on highs after pulling up.
Bitcoin - We have to see new highs now!Bitcoin - CRYPTO:BTCUSD - is now at the previous highs:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It could really not be more exciting on Bitcoin at the moment. With the current "all or nothing" potential breakout or double top creation, we will either see a bullrun or a bear market. So far, bulls are still strong, so the chances of a breakout luckily remain higher.
Levels to watch: $100.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold price falls back and continues to go longFrom the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10, and the short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold falls back to 3408-10 and goes long. Fall back to 3388-95 and add more positions. Stop loss 3384, target 3445-3450, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Gold intraday trading strategyToday's technical trend, from the hourly line, it opened slightly higher and hit a high point. The market was resistant to declines and rose in steps; the stochastic indicator on the 4-hour line continued to form a golden cross, which is a main long signal; in terms of form, the continuous positive and broken positive slowly rose, which is a main long signal; the sideways support is the support position of 3425-3428; it is recommended to follow the trend; refer to the retracement support; the upper pressure position is 3488-93; the stochastic indicator in the daily K-line formed a golden cross, which is a main long signal; in terms of form, the continuous positive rise is the main long signal; the upper track of BOLL temporarily stabilized, and the daily K-line is mainly a bullish signal; and in terms of form, the 3488-93 line is not a high point; the stochastic indicator in the weekly K-line formed a golden cross, which is a main long signal; in terms of form, the big positive line rose for the second time. In summary, today's thinking is mainly to continue to rise, and the pullback is a chance to go long!
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below is 3425-28, and the key support below is around the recent top and bottom conversion position of 3375-80. The intraday retracement relies on this position to continue to be bullish. Next week, we will focus on the suppression of 3488-93. The daily level continues to maintain the same rhythm of retracement and long positions. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold retracement 3425-28 line long, stop loss 3314, target 3488-3490 line, continue to hold if broken;
NASDAQ Close to the 1st 1D Golden Cross in 2 years!Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the December 2022 Low and is currently extending the gains of the latest Bullish Leg.
At the same time it is about to form the first 1D Golden Cross in more than 2 years (since March 08 2023). The last two major Bullish Legs of this pattern, before the previous one was interrupted by the Trade War, were pretty symmetrical, peaking at +49.21% and +47.47% respectively.
If the current one follows the +47.47% 'minimum', we should be expecting Nasdaq to hit 24000 by late Q3.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Potential bullish reversal?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could rise from this level to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 143.79
1st Support: 139.64
1st Resistance: 148.91
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has bounced off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 0.8081
1st Support: 0.7931
1st Resistance: 0.8308
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.