Harmonic Patterns
CAD/CHF – Bearish Continuation Setup🔍 **CAD/CHF – Bearish Continuation Setup**
The CAD/CHF pair is set up for a continuation of its bearish trend, with the macroeconomic calendar showing no major events for either currency that could disrupt technical flows. Canadian Housing Starts data is minor, and there is nothing significant for the Swiss franc, making this an ideal week for technical setups.
On the daily chart, CAD/CHF is firmly bearish, showing persistent lower highs and lower lows as price rides down a well-defined channel. Attempts to rally have consistently failed at order blocks located in premium zones, with each mitigation quickly sold into by institutional players. This is confirmed by the repeated sweeps of liquidity above prior highs before price resumes its decline.
The H1 and M15 timeframes show precise execution of smart money concepts: the most recent rally into premium was met with an aggressive bearish rejection, break of structure, and clear loss of bullish momentum on the RSI. The structure remains bearish and intact, with no signs of exhaustion or reversal.
Given the overall technical picture and the lack of upcoming news, the most probable scenario is continued movement lower into unmitigated discount zones. Traders should look to enter short on pullbacks to premium order blocks, with stops placed above the most recent liquidity highs, and targets set at well-defined support and imbalance zones below.
**In summary:**
CAD/CHF remains a sell this week, as bearish momentum and smart money distribution dominate. The lack of news supports pure price action trades, making this an attractive opportunity for SMC-based strategies.
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AUD/NZD – Smart Money Rejection Setup🔍 **AUD/NZD – Smart Money Rejection Setup**
AUD/NZD is consolidating after forming a clear bearish structure on the daily and 1H timeframes. Price recently swept liquidity above the previous day’s high and rejected strongly from the premium zone.
On M15, we observed a CHoCH and BOS, with a bearish rejection candle confirming redistribution. RSI has flipped downward, reinforcing bearish intent.
🎯 Risk-Reward: 1:3+
🧠 With no major macroeconomic drivers this week, this setup favors pure technical structure based on Smart Money concepts. Execution should follow mitigation confirmation.
GBPUSD - Still Bullish - Dont trap your self ! Hi Guyz, welcome to other episode of analysis for GBPUSD.
From our 1H chat, it is seen that as per DOW Theory, the market has broken the HL and it seems like market has entered into the bearish trend However, the catch is there is no divergence followed by the break of HL. It implies that market is taking a corrective move, which is 50 percent of FIB level. Thus, there is a formation of AB=CD harmonic pattern.
we plan our entry on the break of "B" point and projected TP in our case is "D" point.
stop loss is placed beneath HL as marked.
USDJPY H1 I Bullish Bounce Off the 50%Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 143.74, a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 144.79, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 143.29, a pullback support.
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Is this week a chance for gold to break through 3,500?
⭐️Gold Information:
Gold prices surged for the third consecutive trading day on Friday as geopolitical tensions intensified after Israel launched a military strike on Iranian targets, including nuclear facilities and key leaders. The escalation of the situation triggered widespread risk aversion in global markets, stimulating demand for safe-haven assets. As of the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading at $3,431.
Gold surged to a five-week high of $3,446 before giving up gains as traders took profits before the weekend. Geopolitical turmoil, coupled with dovish signals released by recent US inflation data, reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin to cut interest rates later this year - despite improved consumer confidence. These factors together support the bullish momentum of gold.
⭐️Personal Comment:
Continued military tensions next week are a big driving force for gold prices to continue to break through 3,500
. 🔥 Technical aspects:
Based on the resistance and support levels of gold prices in the H4 framework, the following important key areas can be identified:
Resistance: $3488, $3502, $3562
Support: $3382, $3342
6.16 Can gold reach a new high?6.16 Can gold reach a new high?
As the war between Israel and Iran in the Middle East continues to heat up, the international gold price has continued to break through strongly.
"Iran is seriously considering whether to block the Strait of Hormuz, said Esmail Kosari, a member of the Iranian Parliament's Security Committee." If the conflict between Iran and Israel continues to escalate in the past two days, gold will continue to hit a new high.
If you listened to my advice on Friday and opened a position below 3420, you can pay attention to the support of 3430, because there has been a high move at the opening today, but it only broke through 3450. It proves that the short pressure is very large, and the strength of today's correction will not be small. If the correction breaks through 3430, it may continue to fall to around 3415. At this time, you can continue to increase your position. If the correction does not break through 3430, you can increase your position with a light position.
Pay attention to the international situation at any time. The price of gold has been fluctuating at a high level. If it can stand firm, then the recent price of gold at 3500 is not its limit.
Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can help you.
H1 pullback in bullish H4 mThe market is at a point where we must sell, it's at a maximum of Elliott Waves, wave 5 is already extremely extended, so prepare for a mega drop of several weeks while everyone continues to buy at the lows, it will continue to go down. In summary, we have a bullish market on H4, now there will be a correction on H1, that is, a bearish trend on H1 for several weeks; it is not an ABC, but 5 bearish waves
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Triple Top Trouble? NAS100 May Be Losing SteamThe NAS100 has formed a potential triple top, and key trendlines are starting to break to the downside. This could signal a short-term correction before bulls attempt another push for new highs. A temporary drop might offer a better long setup if momentum resets.
Middle East Conflict Boosts Gold – But Is a Pullback Coming FirsGold is surging as the Middle East conflict intensifies, fueling a rush to safety. We’ve seen a clear breakout from the recent range, with a significant gap up at the open. While momentum could drive price to new highs, I’m eyeing a pullback to key zones for a cleaner entry—either at the trendline retest or a daily weakness setup.
Beyond the Headlines - Gold Outlook June 16-20, 2025Beyond the Headlines: Gold's Ascent Amidst Global Shifts & Key Technicals 🌐🚀
Everything about the last week can be found here:
OANDA:XAUUSD 💰📈
We all know what's going on, I believe. Israel struck Iran 💥, and this conflict will likely take a bit before things cool down. 🥶
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## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰
### Israel / Iran
Since June 12, Israel launched "Operation Rising Lion," targeting Iranian nuclear sites like Natanz and Esfahan – over 128 killed, Iran claims. 🇮🇷 retaliated with missile and drone strikes on Haifa and Tel Aviv, killing at least 10. 🚀
**Outlook:** 🔥 Tensions are spiraling. Without urgent mediation, full-scale regional war remains a real risk. 💣
### India / Pakistan
Since the May ceasefire, few clashes have occurred. However, both navies increased readiness, signaling potential escalation at sea. 🚢
**Outlook:** ⚖️ Peace is fragile. A strategic dialogue is key to avoiding a renewed border or maritime conflict. 🙏
### Gaza Conflict
Between June 7–15, Israeli strikes killed at least 41 Palestinians, including 8 near an aid center in Rafah. Over 55,000 total deaths, and famine is looming. 💔
**Outlook:** 🆘 Gaza remains a humanitarian catastrophe. Global pressure for access and a ceasefire must intensify. 🕊️
### Russia / Ukraine
June 13–15: Russia returned the bodies of 1,200 Ukrainian soldiers in a rare POW swap gesture. 🤝 Fighting remains intense in Sumy and Toretsk; Russia hit a major oil refinery. 🏭
**Outlook:** 🕊️ While symbolic moves continue, no peace is in sight – battlefield outcomes will shape diplomacy. ⚔️
### U.S. - China Trade War
The U.S. hiked tariffs to 55% on key Chinese goods. 🇺🇸🇨🇳 responded with 10% on U.S. imports. Talks yielded a partial truce, but military-use rare earths remain unresolved. 💻
**Outlook:** 🔧 Tech remains the battleground. Without progress on critical materials, the trade war may deepen. 📉
### Global Trade War
The OECD revised global growth downward due to rising tariffs from the U.S. targeting 🇨🇳, 🇲🇽, 🇨🇦. Global trade volume is expected to shrink by 0.2–1.5%. 📉
**Outlook:** ⛓️ Supply chain disruption is spreading. Global trade will stay under pressure without coordinated policy. 🌍➡️🌍
### Trump vs. Powell
Trump labeled Powell a "numbskull" for not cutting rates, suggesting he might "force something" if re-elected. 🗳️ The Fed maintains policy independence ahead of a critical June decision. 🏛️
**Outlook:** ⚔️ Political pressure on the Fed is mounting. Expect more friction as the election cycle heats up. 🔥
### U.S. Inflation
CPI rose 2.4% YoY in May (from 2.3%); Core CPI held steady at 2.8%. Monthly growth was modest at 0.1%. Key rises were seen in healthcare and vehicle prices. 🚗🏥
**Outlook:** Inflation is stable but sticky. 🚦 The Fed will likely hold rates steady until clearer disinflation signals appear. 📊
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## Technical View 📐📈
### Market Structure:
Gold shows a clear **bullish market structure** with higher highs and higher lows. ⬆️ Recent price action suggests we're in a strong uptrend with institutional buying pressure. 🏦
### Key Levels:
* The chart shows a significant low around the **$3,245 area** (marked as "Low") which could act as a key institutional support level. 💪
* The current high near **$3,446** represents a potential institutional resistance zone. 🛑
* Look for potential **order blocks** around the **$3,380-$3,400 range** where price consolidated before the recent breakout. 🧱
### Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
There appear to be several gaps in the price action during volatile moves, particularly during strong rally phases. These could act as future support/resistance areas. 📉📈
### Gann Analysis:
The price movement shows strong adherence to Gann principles:
* The rally from the low follows a steep angle, suggesting strong momentum. 🚀
* Key Gann angles would place support around the **$3,300-$3,320 zone**. 📐
* The current price near **$3,436** is testing natural resistance levels based on Gann square calculations. 📏
### Fibonacci Levels:
From the significant swing low to the current high:
* 23.6% retracement: ~$3,395 📉
* 38.2% retracement: ~$3,370 📉
* 50% retracement: ~$3,345 📉
* 61.8% retracement: ~$3,320 📉
The golden ratio levels suggest key support on any pullback would be around the **$3,370-$3,345 zone**. ✨
### Institutional Levels:
* **Weekly/Monthly Levels:** The **$3,400** and **$3,450** areas appear to be significant institutional levels based on round numbers and previous price action. 🏦💰
* **Smart Money:** The accumulation pattern before the breakout suggests institutional participation. 🧠💡
### Cycle Timing:
Based on the timeframe (appears to be 30-minute bars from May 26-June 15):
* We're seeing approximately **3-week cycles** in the major moves. 🗓️
* The current rally phase appears to be in its mature stage. 🌳
* The next potential cycle turn could be approaching, suggesting caution for new longs at current levels. ⚠️
---
### Trading Considerations:
* Watch for rejection at current levels near **$3,446**. 📉
* Key support confluence around **$3,370-$3,345** for potential re-entry. 🎯
* Volume and momentum divergences would be critical for timing any reversal. 📊🔄
Other indicators tend to show bullish scenario enhancements. 🚀
Gold has formed a ** Standard Bullish Flag pattern ** over a time from early April till today. 🚩🐂
Also, the structure of a ** reverse Head & Shoulders ** is existing and has broken the neckline! 🔄🗣️
Another indicator is an existing "** Ascending Bull Flag **." ⬆️🚩
Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Bitcoin at Risk of Major Pullback! Key Support Levels to Watch BTCUSD is showing signs of weakness after rejecting the strong supply zone near $110K. Price has started forming lower highs and currently sits around $104,739, with bearish momentum gradually building. 👀
🔻 If the selling pressure continues, we could see price testing the next key support at $94,444 – a previously strong breakout level.
🚨 A break below $94K could open the way for a deeper correction toward the $76,318 demand zone, which aligns with a prior consolidation base and high-volume node. This level also overlaps with a visible range support and the March-April demand block (orange zone), making it a critical area for bulls to defend.
🔍 Technical Overview:
Resistance zone: $109,000 – $110,000 (rejection confirmed)
Key supports:
$94,444 → retest likely
$76,318 → major demand zone + potential long entry
Structure: Lower high forming, bearish signals increasing
Indicators: Potential bearish divergence forming (RSI not shown but implied)
🧠 What to Watch:
Watch for volume spike and candle pattern confirmation on the $94K level.
A clean break below $94K with retest could offer swing short setups.
Bulls will need to reclaim $110K to regain momentum.
💬 What’s your take? Are we heading for $76K or will bulls defend $94K? Comment below!
#BTC #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #BitcoinAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #SupportResistance #Bearish #CryptoTrading #SwingTrade #TradingView
Btcusd is about to be bullishbtcusd is getting ready for tomorrow's FOMC news and we are expecting a massive bullish break out to the moon.
Reasons
1, descending triangle pattern
2, in the bigger picture of the chart, we can see a bullish flag pattern.
3, in weekly timeframe, we can see the chart is a support zone
$DXYAs tensions rise in the Middle East, the dollar remains a safe haven.
We could see a temporary bullish run on the dollar as capital seeks safety.
But for me, Bitcoin was the first signal that smart money is shifting into alternative assets like Gold, Silver, and beyond.
Stay alert. The market speaks before the news does.
Trump's comments boost risk aversionThe 4-hour K-line pattern of gold shows that the upward trend remains intact. The focus of the day is on the strong support range of 3360-3365 (technical resonance with the 5-week moving average). Before the price effectively breaks below the support band, the bulls still have upward momentum, otherwise the trend may reverse. The 3365-3420 range is maintained for the day. In the evening, the gold operation strategy, Mr. Weng, suggested that the callback to the 3370-3375 area should be arranged in batches. If the support of 3360-3365 is broken, add positions to go long.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to go long at the callback to 3370-3375 for gold now, and add positions to go long at the support level of 3360-3365, with a stop loss at 3352 and a target of 3380-3420.
Bullish Cypher Pattern Forming on JUPUSDT (4H)A textbook bullish Cypher pattern has completed at point D, showing clear harmonic symmetry and strong reaction from a key confluence support zone.
🔍 Pattern Breakdown:
XA leg shows strong impulsive movement, confirming initial bullish momentum.
AB retracement held near 0.382-0.618 Fibonacci zone, maintaining structure integrity.
BC extension reached over 1.272, validating Cypher geometry.
CD leg perfectly aligns at the 0.786 XA retracement – a typical Cypher completion point.
📉 Price is currently respecting the support and forming a potential reversal zone, with early signs of bullish momentum building. If price breaks the descending trendline, we could see a strong upside continuation.
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Render (RNDR/USDT) – Cypher Pattern Formed on 4H TimeframeA bullish Cypher harmonic pattern has completed on the 4H chart of RNDR/USDT. This technical structure suggests a potential reversal from the recent bearish move.
🧩 Pattern Details:
XA leg: Strong bullish impulse
AB retracement: 38.2% of XA
BC extension: 1.62 of AB
CD completion: Near 78.6% of XC – a textbook Cypher pattern
🔑 Key Fibonacci Levels:
AB = 0.378
BC = 1.62
CD = 0.683 – 0.786
D point (Potential Reversal Zone): $3.28
📈 Bullish Expectation:
If price holds above the D point and confirms support, possible targets are:
TP1: $4.50
TP2: $5.20+
🛡️ Risk Management:
Place stop loss below $3.00 (below pattern invalidation)
Wait for confirmation (bullish candle, volume spike, etc.) before entering
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