Harmonic Patterns
Aligning with smart money concepts and institutional order flow.XAUUSD is currently experiencing a significant decline after sweeping the liquidity resting above its previous highs. This downward movement has also resulted in a break of the key trendline, signaling potential for further bearish momentum. The market now appears to be heading toward the marked Fair Value Gap (FVG) within the demand zone, where additional liquidity is also positioned along the broken trendline. Furthermore, there's another FVG located below the current price level, providing a strong confluence for a continued drop. It’s advisable to remain patient and wait for the price to reach this FVG zone. Once it does, we could potentially find a high-probability buying opportunity from that level, aligning with smart money concepts and institutional order flow!
DYOR! Not Financial Advice.
$COIN Daily/Weekly — Setting up for Knife Action Below 235 📉 COIN Daily/Weekly — Setting up for Knife Action Below 235 🔪
Thesis:
Price action continues to mirror prior failed consolidations followed by sharp flushes. After weak consolidation near 277, we are seeing early signs of exhaustion. Current price sitting at 242.71, directly above a key pivot zone at 235. Historical behavior suggests we could see another aggressive leg lower if 235 breaks.
Key Levels:
🔑 235 — critical trigger level for downside.
🔻 208 — primary target (prior support + measured move target).
❌ 250-255 — invalidation zone on strong upside reclaim.
Historical Context:
Previous breakdowns off similar consolidations have produced sharp -24% to -37% drops within 35-42 days.
Current measured move targets a similar ~24% decline in 42 days to 209 area.
Weak consolidation above 235 usually precedes these knife moves.
Trigger Plan:
Watch for early week failed push into 242-245.
Breakdown through 235 triggers short entries.
Momentum into 208 target ideally within 1-2 weeks, though conservatively allowing for 42 days based on historical pattern.
Indicators (Supporting Bearish Bias):
📊 RSI stuck near neutral but rolling over.
📉 MACD losing bullish momentum.
🔻 Volume has historically spiked into breakdowns.
Summary:
Expecting a flush below 235 to 208 if weakness confirms. Quick failed rallies into 242-245 could offer ideal short entries. Any weekly close under 235 will confirm bearish momentum shift.
⚠️ As always, this is not financial advice — strictly my personal trade plan.
- Taz
DAX H4 I Bullish Bounce OfBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 23,196.26, a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6 Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 23,655.66, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 22,911.69, a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDUSD H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward buy entry level at 0.6456, an overlap support.
Our take profit is set at 0.6493, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.6429, a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAU(GOLD) - ATH SOON?The below image illustrated is M-Prof
This 4H SVP chart of Gold (XAU/USD) shows a clear uptrend structure supported by consistently shifting value areas, POCs, and VAHs toward higher prices. The price action has built strong acceptance near 3,320 and 3,370 zones, both showing overlapping value and consolidation before new legs higher. Notably, after a tight range between June 10–12, price broke out with aggressive initiative buying visible through vertical profiles and newly formed higher VAH/POC levels near 3,435. This suggests strong buyer conviction, and the current session holding above the previous VAH/POC indicates potential continuation unless price falls back into the old range. The move looks healthy, with demand pushing new value upward and little resistance unless exhaustion prints near 3,450+ which clearly states that the purple line cant be happening but if it happens it would be the best buys! Also the small move of green can aid them to new ATH!
NZD/SGD – Bearish Outlook in a Quiet News Week
NZD/SGD faces a week of low-impact data for both the New Zealand and Singaporean dollars. When economic calendars are quiet, SGD tends to attract flows due to its reputation as a safe and stable currency, especially in the Asia-Pacific region.
The New Zealand dollar, being more sensitive to global risk sentiment and commodity flows, lacks the support of any domestic catalysts and can be pressured by risk aversion or global uncertainty.
**In summary:**
A lack of meaningful news leaves NZD/SGD vulnerable to a bearish drift, as the Singapore dollar's safe-haven status comes to the fore.
AUD/SGD – Sell Bias on Macro Fundamentals
AUD/SGD enters the week with no significant economic events for either the Australian or Singaporean dollar. In such a scenario, the Singapore dollar's defensive nature and stability tend to come into play, while the Australian dollar, as a risk-on currency, can weaken in quiet or uncertain global environments.
With China-related risks still lingering in the background and no domestic news to lift AUD, it is fundamentally vulnerable to underperformance against SGD.
**In summary:**
Expect AUD/SGD to trade with a bearish bias this week, as macro conditions and risk-off sentiment benefit the Singapore dollar over the Australian dollar in the absence of meaningful news.
EUR/NZD – Favoring the Sell Side on Euro Weakness
This week, EUR/NZD is fundamentally tilted toward the sell side. The eurozone features ZEW economic sentiment data and a speech from the Bundesbank president—events that could underscore ongoing economic weakness in Europe. Meanwhile, the New Zealand economic docket only includes sentiment and current account data, unlikely to produce major surprises.
If European data underwhelms or the Bundesbank takes a dovish tone, EUR is likely to remain soft. With the New Zealand dollar's fundamental backdrop stable and little in the way of local risk, the relative balance of scheduled events suggests downside potential for EUR/NZD.
**In summary:**
Macro and news-based factors both point to EUR/NZD favoring a sell bias this week, as the EUR faces more event-driven downside risk and NZD remains steady.
NZD/CHF – Macro Sell Bias This Week
For the week ahead, NZD/CHF presents a sell opportunity from a fundamental perspective. The economic calendar is light for both the New Zealand dollar and the Swiss franc, with only minor sentiment and current account data for NZD and Swiss PPI data for CHF, neither of which typically spark major market moves.
When newsflow is quiet, the market often defaults to macro themes and risk sentiment. The Swiss franc, as a traditional safe haven, tends to outperform higher-yield, risk-sensitive currencies like the New Zealand dollar in these circumstances—especially when there is any degree of uncertainty in global markets.
With no strong catalysts to push NZD higher, and CHF retaining its position as a stable, defensive currency, the environment favors continued or renewed downside for NZD/CHF this week.
**In summary:**
Expect NZD/CHF to trade with a bearish bias, as macro conditions and the absence of significant data support CHF strength over NZD weakness.
AUD/CHF – Macro Sell Outlook Based on News & Calendar
This week, the macroeconomic calendar is notably quiet for both the Australian dollar and the Swiss franc, with no high-impact events scheduled for either currency. In such a news-light environment, currency markets tend to default to broader macro themes, risk sentiment, and the underlying characteristics of each currency.
The Swiss franc (CHF) is widely regarded as a classic safe-haven currency, attracting demand during periods of uncertainty or when global markets lack direction. Conversely, the Australian dollar (AUD) is considered a risk-sensitive, growth-oriented currency that often underperforms when there is little optimism or momentum in the global economy.
With China-related concerns still hanging over the Australian economy and no domestic news or catalysts expected to boost AUD this week, the backdrop remains unfavorable for the Australian dollar. The absence of positive drivers for AUD, combined with the CHF’s defensive nature, creates a natural bias in favor of the Swiss franc.
**In summary:**
For the week ahead, AUD/CHF is fundamentally skewed toward the downside. With no news-based reasons to buy AUD, and with CHF likely to benefit from a stable, risk-averse environment, the pair favors a sell (short) bias on macroeconomic and news calendar grounds.
AUD/CHF – Smart Money Swing Setup🔍 **AUD/CHF – Smart Money Swing Setup**
Price continues its bearish structure on H4, with lower highs and lower lows aligning with institutional order flow. M15 confirmed a bearish CHoCH and BOS with liquidity above equal highs, offering a clean Sell Limit opportunity.
We have identified a high-probability target near 0.51500 — a strong H4 demand zone aligned with previous lows and an unmitigated order block.
🎯 Risk-Reward ~1:5
No major macro news this week for AUD or CHF, providing a clean environment for price action to unfold. Wait for mitigation and confirmation before entry.
USD/CAD H1 | Bearish downtrend to extend deeper?USD/CAD is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.3615 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 1.3660 which is a level that sits above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 1.3565 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
WTI Oil H1 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 71.83 which is a multi-swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 68.50 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 77.60 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.