Harmonic Patterns
BTC - Update on Suspected Flash Crash ScenarioFor those of you who have been following my ideas, and I don’t think that would be many - understandably so, because these ideas seem so outrageous and out of the norm - I feel obligated to provide updated numbers per my own personal trade ideas.
I expect BTC to flash crash. In summary, here is why:
1. DXY is breaking down and retesting a major bearish trendline on the monthly. This alongside geopolitical events and sentiment, I expect the dollar to fall rapidly and store of value assets such as BTC to see a multi year bull run.
2. The market has been steadily bringing BTC up since late 2022. This leaves a trail of long position stop losses below the price, leaving a massive chain reaction of sell orders ready to set off one into the next. In other words, the orders required to make the drop are already in the chart.
3. It’s a question of when - BTC is under 3 intersecting bearish trendlines, and we can see how price breaks above and below these support / resistance levels historically. Eventually they will hold and play out, estimating when is tricky - that’s why I use DXY to predict it.
It’s difficult to pinpoint where the upper resistance is - but a pretty solid pick is around 105,200. I’ve used various numbers in the past for this idea, but it’s always refining and evolving based on what I see price doing.
I’m proposing two movements for a massive liquidation sweep of the lows prior to a 3-5 year bull run where BTC sees those quarter million dollar prices.
Scenario 1:
105,200 to 35,000
35,000 retrace to 77,000 ( although this doesn’t have to happen, I just anticipate a 3 wave corrective move)
77,000 to 10,000 (could be as low as 7,000)
7,000 and upwards of 200,000 (after all liquidity is absorbed and reclaimed)
Scenario 2:
105,200 straight down (for the most part) to 17,000 to 20,000
17-20,000 and upwards to 200,000 plus
Personally I feel scenario one is most likely. I’ve been trading this market since 2017 and the newfound “ stability “ of Bitcoin during the last 2 years cannot be trusted. This upwards move IS NOT a bull run. It’s a BEARISH RETEST.
Bearish retests typically move straight up, exactly as what’s been happening - following by a drop roughly 10 times as fast.
Same ideas on the larger time frames as smaller time frames.
WHEN DO I EXPECT THIS TO HAPPEN?
Starting any minute and spanning over the next several days to week.
Anyway - that’s my update for those of you who are interested.
Understand this stuff gets laughed at - but I experienced the same treatment when I told my group to long BTC at 16,500 in Jan 2023 to a target of 90,000. It’s not new to me and I expect it.
Doing my best to help advise and open your minds to alternative ideas.
live trade and break down 5k profits, 3500 targetGold price sticks to positive bias as sustained safe-haven buying offsets modest USD strength
Gold price sticks to its bullish tone for the third consecutive day on Friday and trades close to its highest level since April 22 through the first half of the European session. Against the backdrop of trade-related uncertainties, a further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East tempers investors' appetite for riskier assets.
XAUUSD on pump due to war H1 & H4 Timeframe Analysis
Gold is currently showing a bullish trend due to the ongoing Middle East crisis.if this Escalation between Iran isreal then focus on buying gold on every DIP.
Bullish scanario:
I’ve identified my re-entry zones and plan to buy on every dip, focusing on scalping with buy positions only.
3380-3390 is the optimal buying area although it H4 candle closes above 3435 then traget will be 3480.
My target is the potential extension towards the $3480 milestone.
Bearish Scenario:
However, if gold closes the week below the $3380 level, I expect it to shift into a ranging market 3380-3330 and I will reassess my outlook.
#XAUUSD
GBPJPY Strong rebound. Buy opportunity.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within an Ascending Triangle pattern. Today's geopolitics made the price form its latest Higher Low at the bottom of the pattern, which also coincided with a 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) test, and rebounded.
That was a clear buy signal on the 4H RSI Support that signaled the last three bottom buys. Our Target is the top of the pattern at 196.300.
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USDJPY Strong support formed. Excellent buy opportunity.The USDJPY pair is trading within a Channel Down since the start of the year but following the April 22 Low, it has been rising on Higher Lows. Today that trend-line was tested and again produced a rebound (so far).
Since the April 22 Low was very close to the 139.600 Support (from the September 16 2024 Low), there are higher probabilities that we will have a trend change to bullish, at least for the medium-term.
The natural Resistance now is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), so we will target just below it at 148.675 (Resistance 1).
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$FANG Trade Setup – June 2025Watching a potential Ichimoku breakout forming on the daily chart for $FANG. Price has reclaimed the Kijun-sen and is flirting with the top of the cloud (Senkou Span A). If we see confirmation above the cloud, this could trigger a mid-term bullish leg.
🔹 Entry: ~$137.73
🔹 Target: $157.12 (+14.04%)
🔹 Stop Loss: $132.26 (-3.97%)
🔹 R:R Ratio: ~3.5:1
Key Technicals:
✅ Price approaching a flat Kumo resistance.
✅ MACD still bearish but flattening, possible crossover setup.
✅ Williams %R at -60.95, rising out of oversold zone.
🔁 Fractal support near the entry level.
📉 Volume slightly increasing on green days.
Bias: Bullish continuation if price clears the cloud with volume. Watching for confirmation candle above $139.
GOLD Technical analysis.This chart describes a bullish trade setup on Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe.
Analysis:
Entry Zone: Price is expected to retrace down into the demand zone (around 3360.79) before moving up.
Support Area: The green zone marks a bullish order block or demand zone where buyers previously stepped in.
Target: If price respects the demand zone, the projected target is near 3500.00.
Stop Loss: Placed below the demand zone, around 3337.19, ensuring a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Trade Plan Summary:
Wait for the price to tap into the demand zone before entering a buy trade, targeting the next liquidity area near $3500. If price fails to hold that zone, the trade idea becomes invalid.
EURUSD !!! (Big move is loading)
📈 EUR/USD – Wave 4 Buy Opportunity (2H TF)
Published by Greenfireforex | June 13, 2025
The EUR/USD pair is completing a corrective Wave 4, retracing into a premium FVG (Fair Value Gap) demand zone between 1.1500–1.1475. Price tapped into a high-probability reversal block just below the psychological level of 1.1500, offering a potential long entry.
🔹 Technical Confluences:
Wave 4 corrective structure
Fair Value Gap (Buyers) zone
Liquidity grab near 1.1478
Bullish projection towards 1.1637 (Wave 5 target)
🔸 Entry Idea:
Long from the FVG demand zone with confirmation (price action / bullish engulfing / lower timeframe structure break).
📍 Targets:
TP1: 1.1500
TP2: 1.1570
TP3 (wave projection): 1.16375
🛑 Invalidation:
Clean break below 1.1470 zone with momentum could invalidate the bullish setup.
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📊 Strategy: Elliott Wave + FVG + Price Action
💡 Watch for reaction around CPI & USD news (14th–18th June)
Hashtags (for IG/TradingView):
#EURUSD #WaveAnalysis #Forex #ForexSetup #PriceAction #ElliottWave #SmartMoney #FXTrade #ForexBreakout
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BITCOIN Short Position Update – June 11, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
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Bitcoin downside perspective shared.
Currently, Bitcoin appears to have entered an overheated zone based on both Elliott Wave Theory and harmonic pattern analysis.
While it has been continuously setting new highs alongside Ethereum, the technical structure suggests the possibility of a short-term pause.
Accordingly, a bearish idea is shared.
The first target is set at 108,600.
More detailed ratio analysis and additional reasoning will be shared through an idea update once the first target is reached.
Flexible response according to market conditions is necessary.
Weaker PPI Caps Dollar Strength in GBP/USDGBP/USD fell to around 1.3530 early Friday as escalating tensions in the Middle East supported demand for the US Dollar. Israel’s preemptive strike on Iran raised fears of retaliation, with Iranian officials warning of severe consequences for both the US and Israel, pressuring risk-linked currencies like the Pound. However, weaker US PPI data limited further USD strength. May’s PPI increased just 0.1%, below the 0.2% forecast, while the core PPI also came in softer. Attention now turns to the upcoming Michigan consumer sentiment report.
Resistance is at 1.3600, with support around 1.3425.
Yen Rallies as Risk Aversion ReturnsThe Japanese yen strengthened to approximately 143 per dollar, marking a third consecutive day of gains as investors turned to safe-haven assets following Israel’s preemptive strike on Iran. The operation, aimed at nuclear facilities, heightened global risk aversion. Adding to market uncertainty were renewed U.S. tariff threats by Trump. Meanwhile, BoJ Governor Ueda reiterated the bank’s readiness to raise interest rates if inflation nears the 2% target.
Resistance is at 145.30, while support stands near 142.50.
Russell 2000 H1 | Pullback resistance at 61.8% Fibo retracementThe Russell 2000 (US2000) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 2,112.73 which is a pullback resistance that aligns closely with the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements.
Stop loss is at 2,135.00 which is a level that sits above the 50% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracements and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 2,071.60 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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SUI — Trading with Geometry: Why Harmonics Work So WellSUI has been respecting technical levels with remarkable consistency. After bouncing from the $2.8467 low, it surged sharply — completing a clean Cypher Harmonic Pattern. This led to a high-probability short setup at the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement (Point D) around $3.5573.
🎯 Trade Setup Breakdown
Pattern: Cypher Harmonic
Entry (Point D): $3.5573 (0.786 retracement of XC)
Target: $3.1191 (0.618 retracement of CD)
Stop-Loss: Above Point X
The 0.618 fib retracement of the CD leg coincides with a significant key low from May 6, 2025, adding structural confluence. This is an ideal level to monitor for absorption, reaction, or potential reversal behaviour.
🧠 Educational Insight: How to Trade Harmonic Patterns Like a Pro
Harmonic patterns aren't just visually appealing — they represent high-probability setups based on market structure, Fibonacci geometry, and behavioural cycles. The most critical part of every harmonic pattern?
You enter at Point D.
Whether the pattern is bullish or bearish, Point D is your trigger:
In bearish patterns (like this Cypher), you short from Point D.
In bullish patterns, you long from Point D.
This works because Point D marks the exhaustion of the corrective leg, where trapped traders and liquidity often sit. The structure often aligns with supply or demand zones, order blocks, or FVGs (Fair Value Gaps).
💡 Important: Harmonic patterns are most effective on higher timeframes — 4H and above. On lower timeframes, noise increases and reliability drops significantly. For clean execution and meaningful structure, stay with mid to high timeframes.
Here’s how to trade it effectively:
✅ Wait for the full pattern to form — don’t front-run
✅ Use fib levels and structure confluence to validate Point D
✅ Use order flow tools (like Exocharts) to confirm absorption or volume shift
✅ Enter on Point D with your stop-loss just beyond X
✅ Take profits at common retracement levels like the 0.382 or 0.618 of the CD leg
Patience is key. Harmonic traders wait for the market to complete the cycle — then strike with a plan.
📌 Final Thoughts
SUI is delivering clean harmonic respect, and this setup is no exception. Whether you're already short or waiting for further confirmation, keep an eye on volume, liquidity zones, and reaction levels around $3.1191. If this zone holds, it may serve as a pivot for the next move.
Pattern. Precision. Patience. That's how you catch high-probability trades like this.
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