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Harmonic Patterns

EURAUD - Bearish Trend to Start - Harmonic + Divergence ComboHello Friends, Market after making series of HH and HLs, have finally made a fantastic Bearish Divergence on 1H time frame which is clear sign of correction. Further market has almost completed AB=CD harmonic pattern, which is suggesting Potential Reversal Point as marked. these confluences suggest a bearish trend to start We are waiting for the neckline (HL) to break with a good candle and then we enter into the market with TP1 and TP2 with a R:R of 1:1 and 1:2 respectively. Further, place stoploss slightly above the HH.
Short
by ProTradeProfessor
Rush and Choke: Why the Patient Dog Wins in the MarketsWhere I come from, the expression “the patient dog eats the fattest bone” is sometimes seen as a myth—mostly because people want to get it fast. But that mindset doesn’t work in trading. In this game, you have to be patient. Rushing into trades, chasing the market, or trying to force profits will only lead to unnecessary losses. If you’re not careful, that "bone" you’re so eager to grab might just get stuck in your throat. Patience in trading means waiting for the right setup, managing your emotions, and trusting your strategy. It’s about playing the long game, not the fast one. So remember: in the markets, the patient dog doesn’t just eat—the patient dog feasts.
BLACKBULL:US30
by Mdstorms
1
The key resistance zone shows obvious suppression.Spot gold continued its upward trend, with the intraday high reaching $3,398.55 per ounce, hitting a new weekly high. This rally was not only boosted by the lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data but also closely related to the sharp escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Investors' expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September have intensified, and the risk of potential conflicts in the Middle East are jointly driving a surge in demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Affected by the moderate inflation data, the U.S. Dollar Index fell 0.4% on Wednesday, and in the early Asian session on Thursday, it dropped to 98.42, a new one-week low, nearing the six-week low of 98.35 set last week. The weakening U.S. dollar provided additional support for gold prices, as gold is priced in U.S. dollars, and a depreciating dollar typically pushes up gold prices. Meanwhile, after falling due to tariff shocks in the spring, U.S. stocks have gradually recovered, but uncertainties about the details of trade agreements have kept market volatility alive. The decline in U.S. Treasury yields has also created a favorable environment for rising gold prices. Focus on the resistance at the $3,400 level. Currently, the bullish momentum has not broken through this key resistance zone, and the technicals conform to the logic of "washing the market with a prior rise followed by a fall". In terms of operation, it is recommended to try shorting when resistance is encountered below $3,400. In the short term, observe the rebound momentum of gold prices. If it fails to effectively break through the $3,400 resistance area, seize the opportunity for shorting at highs. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term. Trading Strategy: sell@3400-3390 TP:3370-3360
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Ashbur
Bullish momentum remains robust.International oil prices surged then pulled back. Brent crude oil futures fell 47 cents to $69.40 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) dropped 33 cents to $67.84. In the previous session, both Brent and WTI recorded over 4% gains, hitting their highest levels since early April. On Wednesday, U.S. President Trump stated that the U.S. is withdrawing some personnel from the Middle East due to the region's potential danger, reiterating that Iran will not be allowed to develop nuclear weapons. Meanwhile, market surveys showed the U.S. is preparing partial evacuations of personnel from its embassy in Iraq and allowing family members in Bahrain and other areas to leave. U.S. and Iraqi sources revealed the move primarily stems from heightened security risks in the region. Current upward momentum in the oil market is driven by dual factors: geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and unexpected declines in U.S. inventories. In the short term, as long as tensions between Iran and the U.S. show no signs of easing, the market will continue to monitor potential supply disruption risks. Additionally, the alleviation of trade concerns and global economic recovery expectations will provide strong long-term support for oil prices. However, risks of sharp volatility from sudden deterioration in geopolitical situations should be vigilantly monitored. With moving averages diverging upward, the short-term objective trend is clearly established as bullish. It is expected that crude oil prices will continue to rise and hit new highs. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term. Trading Strategy: buy@65.5.0-66.0 TP:67.5-68.0
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by Ashbur
Crude Oil Breaks out of Channel More Upside Ahead?Hey traders so in continuation of the last post which was Can Crude Oil Close above $68? The answer is YES that didn't take long. 😁 One rule to live by that I have learned as a trader is Always Expect the Unexpected in Trading! So I bored out of my mind watching paint dry and then all of sudden Boom out of nowhere news that changes everything can happen in the blink of eye in these markets! So what Happened Opec? Iraq? Inventory Reports? Well truthfully it great to read to the news but I prefer to read the charts instead. The charts are already showing you that demand has increased so regardless of if you caught the news yesterday or not the charts have already told the story. Ok so now what it has closed above $68 which a strong bullish candle on 06/11 so did we miss the move? Not at all especially if this is the beginning of new trend so best way to trade the break out of a channel is watch for it to retest the breakout zone. So the breakout zone on the charts was $65 but now at $68 so if we can get a retest of $65-66 I believe it would be a great place to buy back in this market. Like I always say don't chase the market let it come to you. The party has already started but that doesn't mean you missed the party. We might get a second invitation at $65 or $66 so if trading this market place a buy order around there and stop loss somewhere below support and half way in the channel around $62-63 below to give the market room to breathe. What if we don't get a retest? Well thats how it is sometimes I would rather wait for the market to pullback then enter at the highest price of the move. I have missed moves sometimes because of this disicpline but sooner or later eventually the profit taking will bring it back down. Patience is key imo unless you don't mind buying at the high. Also Seasonally Oil Prices normally get increased demand due to the summer driving season. I will say sometimes there are fake channel breakouts to watch out for but this one looks bullish imo. Always use Risk Management! (Just in case your wrong in your analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by TradeTheIndex
Will CAD bulls eventually fade away?During the North American session, the USD/CAD exchange rate continued its downward trend and is currently trading above 1.3600, approaching the support zone at 1.3600. If the exchange rate effectively holds the 1.3600 support zone, accompanied by RSI bottom divergence and MACD death cross repair signals, there may be a short-term technical rebound. The initial resistance above is still at 1.3700. If it can break through, it may open up space to 1.3800. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Long
by Ashbur
The US dollar retreats as the Japanese yen stages a resurgence.The USD/JPY has continued to decline, hitting a low of around 143.50 during the European session, marking a new weekly low. In terms of exchange rate dynamics, the key support level lies at 142.500, which has withstood multiple tests recently without being breached. A valid break below this level would open up further downward space, with the next support to be monitored at 141.78 (lower Bollinger Band). On the upside, resistance is seen near 145.500, a level that has repeatedly formed phased highs and suppressed price rebounds. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Short
by Ashbur
USD Weakness Persists: Can EUR/USD Target 1.18? The EUR/USD exchange rate has continued to strengthen, breaking through the psychological barrier of 1.1600 during the intraday session, marking the first time it has reached this level since November 2021. The pair surged to an intraday high of 1.1630, driven by the confluence of a persistently weakening US dollar and enhanced economic resilience in the Eurozone. Technically, the EUR/USD currently exhibits a robust bullish pattern. If it can sustain above the 1.1600 threshold, it is poised to test the 1.1800 resistance zone. Conversely, a false breakout followed by a retracement below 1.1500 would warrant caution, as it may signal a attenuation of bullish momentum and potential reversal risks. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Short
by Ashbur
#GLMR/USDT#GLMR The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading towards a strong breakout and retest. We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.0790. We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend. We are heading towards stability above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 0.0800 First target: 0.0822 Second target: 0.0850 Third target: 0.0880
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
#UMA/USDT#UMA The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading toward a strong breakout and retest. We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 1.36. We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend. We are heading toward stability above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 1.41 First target: 1.45 Second target: 1.50 Third target: 1.57
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
GOLD GOLD complete sell on lock zone check previous post Federal Reserve Interpretation of May CPI Data Key CPI Figures (May 2025) Headline CPI: MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior 0.2%). YoY: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast, prior 2.3%). Core CPI (ex-food/energy): MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior 0.2%). YoY: 2.8% (vs. 2.9% forecast). Fed’s Likely Interpretation Cooling Inflation Momentum: The softer-than-expected MoM and core CPI prints suggest inflation is moderating, particularly in goods categories like gasoline (-2.6% MoM) and autos. Shelter inflation (3.9% YoY) also cooled slightly, a critical factor for the Fed. Annual CPI (2.4%) remains above the Fed’s 2% target but shows progress from pandemic-era peaks. Tariff Impact Delayed: The data reflects limited immediate pass-through from Trump’s April tariffs, which are expected to raise prices by ~1.5% over time. The Fed will remain cautious, as tariff effects could materialize in late 2025, complicating the inflation trajectory. Labor Market Resilience: Despite softer inflation, unemployment held at 4.2% in May, and wage growth stayed elevated (3.9% YoY). This gives the Fed flexibility to prioritize inflation containment over premature easing. Policy Implications: Near-Term Hold: The Fed is almost certain to keep rates at 4.25–4.50% in June, aligning with its "higher for longer" stance. Dovish Tilt for 2025: Markets now price a ~75% chance of a September cut (up from ~55% pre-CPI). The Fed may signal openness to easing if inflation continues trending toward 2% and tariff impacts remain muted. Market Reactions Bonds: 10-year Treasury yields to 4.12%, reflecting bets on future rate cuts. Dollar: The DXY dipped to 98.50 but stabilized as traders weighed Fed caution against global risks. Equities: Nasdaq and S&P 500 rallied on reduced stagflation fears. What’s Next? June 12 PCE Data: The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge will confirm whether disinflation is broadening. Federal Reserve Interpretation of June 12 Economic Data Key Data Points PPI (Producer Price Index) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior -0.5%). Core PPI (ex-food/energy) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior -0.4%). Unemployment Claims: 248K (vs. 242K forecast, prior 247K). Fed’s Likely Interpretation 1. Subdued Producer Inflation Cooling Input Costs: Both headline and core PPI rose 0.1% MoM, below expectations, signaling muted producer-side inflation. This follows prior declines (-0.5% headline, -0.4% core), suggesting persistent disinflationary pressures in supply chains. Implication: Weak PPI supports the Fed’s view that inflation is moderating, reducing urgency for rate hikes. However, the Fed will remain cautious about potential tariff-driven price spikes later in 2025. 2. Labor Market Softening Rising Jobless Claims: Claims increased for the second straight week (248K vs. 242K forecast), aligning with May’s softer ADP and NFP reports. The 4-week average now sits at 243K, the highest since September 2023. Implication: A cooling labor market supports arguments for rate cuts to avoid over-tightening, but the Fed will seek confirmation in future reports (e.g., June NFP). 3. Policy Outlook September Rate Cut Odds: Markets now price a ~70% chance of a September cut (up from ~65% pre-data). The Fed is likely to hold rates steady in July but may signal openness to easing if disinflation broadens. Balancing Risks: While PPI and claims data lean dovish, the Fed remains wary of premature easing given: Sticky Services Inflation: CPI services ex-energy rose 4.1% YoY in May. Tariff Uncertainty: Trump’s tariffs could add 1.5% to inflation by late 2025. Market Reactions Bonds: 10-year Treasury yields fell 3 bps to 4.09%, reflecting rate-cut bets. DXY: Dollar index dipped to 98.30, pressured by dovish Fed expectations. Conclusion The Fed will view today’s data as reinforcing the case for rate cuts in 2025, but policymakers will likely wait Q2 GDP before committing. While PPI and jobless claims suggest easing inflation and labor momentum, the Fed’s cautious stance on tariffs and services inflation means a September cut remains the baseline scenario, contingent on sustained disinflation. July Meeting: Likely a hold, but the Fed’s updated dot plot could hint at 2025 cuts. Tariff Watch: Delayed price pressures from tariffs remain a wildcard, keeping the Fed data-dependent. Summary The Fed will view May’s CPI as encouraging but insufficient to justify imminent rate cuts. While inflation moderation supports a dovish pivot later in 2025, policymakers will demand more evidence of sustained disinflation and clarity on tariff impacts before easing. #gold
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Shavyfxhub
1
GOLD Federal Reserve Interpretation of May CPI Data Key CPI Figures (May 2025) Headline CPI: MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior 0.2%). YoY: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast, prior 2.3%). Core CPI (ex-food/energy): MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior 0.2%). YoY: 2.8% (vs. 2.9% forecast). Fed’s Likely Interpretation Cooling Inflation Momentum: The softer-than-expected MoM and core CPI prints suggest inflation is moderating, particularly in goods categories like gasoline (-2.6% MoM) and autos. Shelter inflation (3.9% YoY) also cooled slightly, a critical factor for the Fed. Annual CPI (2.4%) remains above the Fed’s 2% target but shows progress from pandemic-era peaks. Tariff Impact Delayed: The data reflects limited immediate pass-through from Trump’s April tariffs, which are expected to raise prices by ~1.5% over time. The Fed will remain cautious, as tariff effects could materialize in late 2025, complicating the inflation trajectory. Labor Market Resilience: Despite softer inflation, unemployment held at 4.2% in May, and wage growth stayed elevated (3.9% YoY). This gives the Fed flexibility to prioritize inflation containment over premature easing. Policy Implications: Near-Term Hold: The Fed is almost certain to keep rates at 4.25–4.50% in June, aligning with its "higher for longer" stance. Dovish Tilt for 2025: Markets now price a ~75% chance of a September cut (up from ~55% pre-CPI). The Fed may signal openness to easing if inflation continues trending toward 2% and tariff impacts remain muted. Market Reactions Bonds: 10-year Treasury yields to 4.12%, reflecting bets on future rate cuts. Dollar: The DXY dipped to 98.50 but stabilized as traders weighed Fed caution against global risks. Equities: Nasdaq and S&P 500 rallied on reduced stagflation fears. What’s Next? June 12 PCE Data: The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge will confirm whether disinflation is broadening. Federal Reserve Interpretation of June 12 Economic Data Key Data Points PPI (Producer Price Index) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior -0.5%). Core PPI (ex-food/energy) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior -0.4%). Unemployment Claims: 248K (vs. 242K forecast, prior 247K). Fed’s Likely Interpretation 1. Subdued Producer Inflation Cooling Input Costs: Both headline and core PPI rose 0.1% MoM, below expectations, signaling muted producer-side inflation. This follows prior declines (-0.5% headline, -0.4% core), suggesting persistent disinflationary pressures in supply chains. Implication: Weak PPI supports the Fed’s view that inflation is moderating, reducing urgency for rate hikes. However, the Fed will remain cautious about potential tariff-driven price spikes later in 2025. 2. Labor Market Softening Rising Jobless Claims: Claims increased for the second straight week (248K vs. 242K forecast), aligning with May’s softer ADP and NFP reports. The 4-week average now sits at 243K, the highest since September 2023. Implication: A cooling labor market supports arguments for rate cuts to avoid over-tightening, but the Fed will seek confirmation in future reports (e.g., June NFP). 3. Policy Outlook September Rate Cut Odds: Markets now price a ~70% chance of a September cut (up from ~65% pre-data). The Fed is likely to hold rates steady in July but may signal openness to easing if disinflation broadens. Balancing Risks: While PPI and claims data lean dovish, the Fed remains wary of premature easing given: Sticky Services Inflation: CPI services ex-energy rose 4.1% YoY in May. Tariff Uncertainty: Trump’s tariffs could add 1.5% to inflation by late 2025. Market Reactions Bonds: 10-year Treasury yields fell 3 bps to 4.09%, reflecting rate-cut bets. DXY: Dollar index dipped to 98.30, pressured by dovish Fed expectations. Conclusion The Fed will view today’s data as reinforcing the case for rate cuts in 2025, but policymakers will likely wait Q2 GDP before committing. While PPI and jobless claims suggest easing inflation and labor momentum, the Fed’s cautious stance on tariffs and services inflation means a September cut remains the baseline scenario, contingent on sustained disinflation. July Meeting: Likely a hold, but the Fed’s updated dot plot could hint at 2025 cuts. Tariff Watch: Delayed price pressures from tariffs remain a wildcard, keeping the Fed data-dependent. Summary The Fed will view May’s CPI as encouraging but insufficient to justify imminent rate cuts. While inflation moderation supports a dovish pivot later in 2025, policymakers will demand more evidence of sustained disinflation and clarity on tariff impacts before easing. #gold
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
13june Nifty50 brekout and Breakdown leval✅ Bullish (Buy/Call - CE) Zones: 24628–Above 10m hold CE by zone 24788 –Above 10m hold CE by zone 24970 –Above 10m hold CE by zone 25170 –Above 10m hold CE by zone 25388 - Above 10m Closing: Shot Cover Possible 24488 -Above 10m hold CE By Safe Zone Bearish (Buy/Put - PE) Zones: 25388 -Below 10m hold PE by zone 25170 –Below 10m hold PE by zone 24970 -Below 10m PE By Risky Zone 24628 -Below 10m Hold PE by Risky Zone 24488. BELOW UNWINDING POSSIBLE
NSE:NIFTY
by mayuraj_820