Gold Eyes New All-Time High as Bullish Trend StrengthensGold continues to push higher in a powerful uptrend, approaching a fresh all-time high with strong bullish momentum. Technical indicators and market structure remain supportive of further upside, with a key Fibonacci extension target at $4,144 now coming into focus.
Gold has maintained a robust weekly bullish trend, characterized by a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Price action remains technically strong across all timeframes, and with price now pressing against previous all-time highs, the next move could either be a temporary consolidation or an explosive breakout into new territory.
Key Technical Points
- Trend Structure Remains Intact: Higher highs and higher lows dominate all major timeframes.
- Moving Averages in Full Bullish Alignment: All key moving averages remain beneath price
action, acting as dynamic support.
- Point of Control Reclaims: Previous consolidations at volume highs have led to continued
breakouts.
- Fibonacci Extension Target at $4,144: This level represents the next major technical upside
target if momentum persists.
From a market structure standpoint, gold is in a textbook uptrend. There have been no breakdowns of prior swing lows, and each move higher has been followed by a constructive consolidation or higher low formation. This consistency reinforces the overall strength of the bullish trend.
All major moving averages (MAs) — whether short-term (21 EMA), medium-term (50 SMA), or long-term (200 EMA) — are stacked beneath current price across all key timeframes. This configuration confirms strong trend alignment and dynamic support, giving buyers further confidence to hold or add on dips.
One of the most bullish technical characteristics has been the repeated reclaiming of key volume zones, particularly the point of control (POC) within high-volume nodes. Price has consistently consolidated around these zones before breaking higher, indicating strong accumulation and controlled trend continuation.
Additional Context: Fibonacci Target and Price Path:
A Fibonacci extension measured from the recent swing low to the swing high projects a technical upside target of $4,144. This is a natural continuation level based on prior market rhythm and trend extension. If gold breaks its all-time high with conviction, this extension becomes the next likely area for price to reach, assuming bullish momentum continues.
What to Expect in the Coming Price Action:
As gold approaches its all-time high, two key scenarios are in play: a minor pullback for a new higher low, or an impulsive breakout toward the $4,144 Fibonacci target. Given the strength in structure and momentum, the path of least resistance remains to the upside — but traders should monitor lower timeframes for confirmation.
Harmonic Patterns
GOLD TRADERS PAY ATTENTION! | XAUUSD 15M SUPPLY ZONE IN PLAY!Price just tapped into a key supply zone (highlighted in blue) around 3390–3395, showing early signs of potential rejection. This level has historically acted as a strong resistance, and we’re now seeing clear exhaustion on the recent bullish momentum.
🧠 What I'm Watching:
📌 Supply Zone: 3390–3395 — Price just entered this key resistance
📉 Targets Below:
3348: Mid-level liquidity grab zone
3310: Major demand zone + volume imbalance (orange zone)
⏳ Volume tapering as price approaches resistance — possible trap for late buyers?
📉 SELL IDEA (If rejection confirms):
Entry: Below 3388
SL: Above 3396
TP1: 3348
TP2: 3310
Bonus: Watch for a liquidity sweep and fakeout candle around 3395 before the real drop!
🧨 Important Clue:
The visible range POC is sitting just below 3390, aligning perfectly with the supply zone. This is a high-probability reversal confluence for intraday traders. 👀
🔥 TIP:
Watch for a break of structure below 3380 for extra confirmation before jumping in. Patience = precision!
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💬 Let’s discuss — is this another fakeout or real reversal? 💡 Follow for more setups like this!
#XAUUSD #Gold #PriceAction #SmartMoney #SupplyDemand #Scalping #DayTrading #ReversalZone #LiquidityGrab #FrankFx
USDJPY MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
XAUUSD on Drop H1 & H4 Timeframe
Gold is still on parallel channel
What possible scenario we have?
Bullish scanario
if H1 or H4 candle closes above 3385-3390 then we will continue to buy and look at 3420 is the target
For sellers
If 3380 invalidated gold remains low and candle closes below then keep focus on 3350-3330 target for liquidity sweeps and break of falling wedge pattern. I'm holding my sell trades let make gold fall
Keep in mind both zones
Above 3390 buy
Below 3380 sell
#XAUUSD
XAU/USD 2-Hour Chart – Trend Analysis & Bearish ForecastThis 2-hour chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) displays a detailed technical analysis indicating a potential bearish move. Key elements include:
Resistance Trendline (Red): Highlighting multiple rejection points around the 3,390–3,400 USD range.
Support Trendline (Green): Connecting higher lows, suggesting a potential ascending channel.
Key Zones: Horizontal grey boxes show support/resistance areas at 3,320, 3,280, and 3,240 USD.
Forecast Path (Black Arrows): A projected bearish movement, indicating price may test support levels around 3,280 or lower if the trendline breaks.
Price Action: Currently near resistance at 3,383.76 USD with short-term upside momentum.
Upcoming Risk Events: Marked economic calendar icons suggest potential U.S. news impact.
Alt rivers and jump in terminal mood pattern Daily chart Finishing a terminal fractal While the downtrend is expansive The flat waves and patterns promise a near 100% uptrend The 4-hour chart is completing a flat terminal pattern According to the pattern, it could overshadow today's price from tomorrow and continue to grow until the price target is above the resistance level of 150
The strategy remains unchanged: buy on dipsThe key to the short-term trend of gold lies in the rising channel of the technical aspect. The hourly chart shows that the price is running along the trajectory of gradually rising lows. In this form, the upward momentum is stronger. When the trend is upward, any pullback is a signal of bullish accumulation, which is a good time to enter the market and do more. In a strong market, the pullback range is often limited, and it is more of a short-term bullish pullback to accumulate power. The current key pressure above is in the 3355-3360 first-line range. If the price can break through and stabilize this level, the rising rhythm will most likely accelerate. At this time, the operation does not need to be complicated, just follow the trend: try to go long with a light position when stepping back, and you can cover your position according to the situation after breaking through, so that profits can grow naturally in the continuation of the trend. Remember, the power of the trend is far greater than short-term fluctuations. Instead of worrying about whether it has risen too much, it is better to follow the trend and treat every pullback as an opportunity to confirm the trend.
The recommended strategy for gold remains unchanged: go long in the current price range of 3330-3325, stop loss 3320, target 3360
GOLD Federal Reserve Interpretation of May CPI Data
Key CPI Figures (May 2025)
Headline CPI:
MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior 0.2%).
YoY: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast, prior 2.3%).
Core CPI (ex-food/energy):
MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior 0.2%).
YoY: 2.8% (vs. 2.9% forecast).
Fed’s Likely Interpretation
Cooling Inflation Momentum:
The softer-than-expected MoM and core CPI prints suggest inflation is moderating, particularly in goods categories like gasoline (-2.6% MoM) and autos. Shelter inflation (3.9% YoY) also cooled slightly, a critical factor for the Fed.
Annual CPI (2.4%) remains above the Fed’s 2% target but shows progress from pandemic-era peaks.
Tariff Impact Delayed:
The data reflects limited immediate pass-through from Trump’s April tariffs, which are expected to raise prices by ~1.5% over time. The Fed will remain cautious, as tariff effects could materialize in late 2025, complicating the inflation trajectory.
Labor Market Resilience:
Despite softer inflation, unemployment held at 4.2% in May, and wage growth stayed elevated (3.9% YoY). This gives the Fed flexibility to prioritize inflation containment over premature easing.
Policy Implications:
Near-Term Hold: The Fed is almost certain to keep rates at 4.25–4.50% in June, aligning with its "higher for longer" stance.
Dovish Tilt for 2025: Markets now price a ~75% chance of a September cut (up from ~55% pre-CPI). The Fed may signal openness to easing if inflation continues trending toward 2% and tariff impacts remain muted.
Market Reactions
Bonds: 10-year Treasury yields to 4.12%, reflecting bets on future rate cuts.
Dollar: The DXY dipped to 98.50 but stabilized as traders weighed Fed caution against global risks.
Equities: Nasdaq and S&P 500 rallied on reduced stagflation fears.
What’s Next?
June 12 PCE Data: The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge will confirm whether disinflation is broadening.
Federal Reserve Interpretation of June 12 Economic Data
Key Data Points
PPI (Producer Price Index) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior -0.5%).
Core PPI (ex-food/energy) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior -0.4%).
Unemployment Claims: 248K (vs. 242K forecast, prior 247K).
Fed’s Likely Interpretation
1. Subdued Producer Inflation
Cooling Input Costs: Both headline and core PPI rose 0.1% MoM, below expectations, signaling muted producer-side inflation. This follows prior declines (-0.5% headline, -0.4% core), suggesting persistent disinflationary pressures in supply chains.
Implication: Weak PPI supports the Fed’s view that inflation is moderating, reducing urgency for rate hikes. However, the Fed will remain cautious about potential tariff-driven price spikes later in 2025.
2. Labor Market Softening
Rising Jobless Claims: Claims increased for the second straight week (248K vs. 242K forecast), aligning with May’s softer ADP and NFP reports. The 4-week average now sits at 243K, the highest since September 2023.
Implication: A cooling labor market supports arguments for rate cuts to avoid over-tightening, but the Fed will seek confirmation in future reports (e.g., June NFP).
3. Policy Outlook
September Rate Cut Odds: Markets now price a ~70% chance of a September cut (up from ~65% pre-data). The Fed is likely to hold rates steady in July but may signal openness to easing if disinflation broadens.
Balancing Risks: While PPI and claims data lean dovish, the Fed remains wary of premature easing given:
Sticky Services Inflation: CPI services ex-energy rose 4.1% YoY in May.
Tariff Uncertainty: Trump’s tariffs could add 1.5% to inflation by late 2025.
Market Reactions
Bonds: 10-year Treasury yields fell 3 bps to 4.09%, reflecting rate-cut bets.
DXY: Dollar index dipped to 98.30, pressured by dovish Fed expectations.
Conclusion
The Fed will view today’s data as reinforcing the case for rate cuts in 2025, but policymakers will likely wait Q2 GDP before committing. While PPI and jobless claims suggest easing inflation and labor momentum, the Fed’s cautious stance on tariffs and services inflation means a September cut remains the baseline scenario, contingent on sustained disinflation.
July Meeting: Likely a hold, but the Fed’s updated dot plot could hint at 2025 cuts.
Tariff Watch: Delayed price pressures from tariffs remain a wildcard, keeping the Fed data-dependent.
Summary
The Fed will view May’s CPI as encouraging but insufficient to justify imminent rate cuts. While inflation moderation supports a dovish pivot later in 2025, policymakers will demand more evidence of sustained disinflation and clarity on tariff impacts before easing.
#gold
VIRTUALUSDT Forming BullishVIRTUALUSDT is showcasing a powerful bullish structure after a prolonged accumulation phase near the $0.80 to $1.00 support zone. The breakout from this accumulation base has resulted in a parabolic move, confirming a strong shift in trend. Currently, the pair is forming a bullish continuation pattern, with high volume inflows suggesting increasing investor confidence. The recent consolidation above previous resistance is a positive signal for trend continuation, and technical targets show potential for a 120% to 130% upside in the coming sessions.
The setup aligns with classic market psychology, where a strong move is often followed by a period of profit-taking before the next leg higher. The technical projection zones around $2.60 to $3.00 are realistic based on the depth of the prior impulse move. Furthermore, VIRTUALUSDT is gaining traction in the DeFi and virtual asset space, with its protocol generating buzz in 2025's altcoin resurgence. This combination of narrative and chart structure makes it a potential top mover.
From a risk-reward perspective, this pair presents a favorable long entry with minimal downside if stop losses are positioned just below recent swing lows. As the broader market recovers, strong technicals like these could deliver amplified gains compared to average tokens. It's worth noting that smart money often positions itself before explosive runs—and this chart suggests accumulation has already occurred.
Investors and swing traders should keep this pair on their radar as it continues to carve higher highs and higher lows. If momentum persists, VIRTUALUSDT could become one of the standout performers in the altcoin space this quarter.
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ASRUSDT Forming Falling WedgeASRUSDT is gaining strong bullish traction after a successful breakout from a falling wedge pattern. This setup is widely recognized in technical analysis as a bullish reversal structure, and the breakout here is backed by consistent price action above the key resistance zone highlighted in red. ASR has now flipped this zone into support, and the trendline structure suggests a continuation move is underway.
The recent candles are forming a clear uptrend, and the momentum is being supported by healthy volume flow, indicating that accumulation might be happening behind the scenes. With the breakout fully confirmed, a potential 40% to 50% upside move is projected based on the measured target approach, aligning with price ranges between $2.5 and above. Traders should watch for continuation patterns or bull flags as the uptrend evolves.
The ASR token is part of a growing fan-token economy that has started to attract fresh attention in 2025. As investor interest increases, demand for utility-driven and fan-based tokens could fuel further upside. This positions ASR as a strong candidate for both speculative and long-term plays. If the broader altcoin market continues to move positively, ASR could outperform thanks to both technical strength and thematic interest.
With its current setup, ASRUSDT looks set to rally further and may present a compelling opportunity for traders who position early. Keep an eye on pullbacks to key support levels as potential re-entry zones if missed on the initial breakout.
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WALMART testing its 1D MA50! Will it bounce?Walmart (WMT) hit yesterday its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since April 21. It appears that the rebound from the Trade War Low has turned sideways on a Double Top formation and the 1D MA50 is the first Support to be tested, with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) following.
This pattern resembles the August - September 2022 Bull Flag, which despite breaking below its 1D MA50, it resumed the uptrend shortly after and hit the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the next 1D MA50 pull-back.
As a result, we expect the stock to reach $110.00 (Fib 1.382) by the end of the Summer.
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ARDRUSDT Forming Descending TriangleARDRUSDT is showing a powerful breakout from a descending triangle pattern, indicating a strong bullish reversal in progress. The breakout candle is backed by solid volume, reinforcing the strength of the move and hinting at a potential trend shift. Historically, this pattern signals the end of consolidation and the start of a significant upward rally, especially when confirmed by a volume surge as seen here.
With the price currently above key resistance levels, ARDR is now poised for a sharp move to the upside. The projected gain stands around 90% to 100%+, based on the height of the triangle formation and historical breakout behavior. This makes ARDRUSDT a high-reward setup for swing traders and mid-term holders who are looking for undervalued assets with upside potential in the altcoin space.
The Ardor blockchain project has continued to evolve in the background, with real-world use cases and innovative multi-chain architecture. As the market begins to price in utility-driven growth, coins like ARDR tend to outperform during bullish cycles. Moreover, increased investor interest in lower-cap, fundamentally strong altcoins is starting to reflect in the current price momentum.
Given the technical breakout and rising community engagement, ARDR could attract more attention in the coming days. Keep an eye on this pair as it potentially leads the next wave of altcoin rallies, especially if Bitcoin maintains stability or trends upward.
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Gold rises to 3400 and becomes the next breakthrough pointGold continued to rise during the day, then fell sharply and entered a clear upward trend after a wave of wash-out. The expected target for the week was gradually realized - the 3370 line has been broken, and the next core target is the 3400 mark. From a technical perspective, the daily line closed with a large positive column on Wednesday and stood firmly on the Bollinger middle track. The moving average system is in an upward divergent state. Under the strong pattern, it is expected to further challenge the Bollinger upper track high point near 3400; the H4 cycle is due to the current round of Bollinger opening enlarged, or continue the unilateral upward rhythm.
Gold recommendation: light position long at the current price of 3360, and cover the position when it falls back to around 3350. Stop loss 3343 target 3390
WTI OIL Massive rejection on the 1D MA200.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a Channel Down for over a year now and today its latest Bullish Leg hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since February 03 2025.
Unless we see a sustainable structured rise that turns it into a Support, the long-term bearish trend should prevail, and the market has already reacted to this with a strong rejection.
With the 1D RSI almost overbought (>70.00), being consistent with the last 3 major tops, we expect a gradual decline towards Support 1, as it happened on the January - February 2025 Bearish Leg.
Our Target is just above it at $55.50.
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6.12 Gold Market6.12 Gold Market
Yesterday, affected by CPI data, gold surged and fell back to clean up the market. Before closing, affected by the news, it rose again and closed positive on the daily line. The bulls are obviously strong, and today we will keep the idea of going long at low levels.
Support levels are 3365, 3375, and 3345. After the correction, we will go long based on the support.
Pressure levels are 3390 and 3400. Consider going short based on the actual situation.
BUY: around 3375
SL: 3364
TP: 3388-3400
Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can help you.
Analysis of the latest market trends of gold surge and plungeFrom the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3338-45. If the intraday retracement relies on this position, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3320-25. Before the daily level falls below this position, any retracement is a long opportunity. Maintain the main tone of participating in the trend.
Gold operation strategy:
If gold falls back to 3338-45 and does not break, go long, stop loss 3329, target 3375-3380, and continue to hold if it breaks;
BITCOIN Megaphone is the last step before $150k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is repeating almost to the exact point the 2023/ 2024 uptrend, as right now it is in the process of forming a Megaphone pattern similar to the one during December 2023 - January 2024.
Before that, both patterns started the uptrend when a 1D Death Cross formed the bottom. After the 1st Bullish Leg, a Channel Up on a 1D Golden Cross marked the transition to the 2nd Bullish Leg that eventually led to the Megaphone.
In 2024, when BTC broke above the Megaphone, it started the final Bullish Leg that peaked a little above the 1.786 Fibonacci extension from the bottom. During that process, the 1D RSI sequences among the two fractals have been similar.
As result, aiming for the $150000, which is marginally below the 1.786 Fib ext, is a solid target.
Do you think the pattern will continue to be repeated? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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