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Harmonic Patterns

KAS-USDT (Bybit spot), 4-hour candles TA+Trade plan1. Market context & chart structure Asset / venue / timeframe: KAS-USDT (Bybit spot), 4-hour candles, data to 12 Jun 2025 06:45 UTC (see image). Primary pattern in play: Price has compressed into a contracting (symmetrical) triangle that began after the 28 May low. The apex is only ~1–2 candles away, so a decisive break is statistically imminent. Preceding structure: 17-day descending channel → capitulation into a falling-wedge reversal (27–28 May). Two-legged double-bottom (“Bottom 2”) at 0.075–0.078 USDT. Sideways rectangle 29 May-7 Jun, now morphing into the present triangle. Key horizontal levels (4 h closes): 0.0930 (upper triangle rail / neckline) · 0.0891 (local supply) · 0.0797 (strong demand / wedge base) · 0.0620 (monthly support) Volume picture: Realised volume has been drying up since 31 May, a classic pre-breakout contraction. A spike on the break will confirm direction. 2. Indicator read-out Market Cipher B - Green momentum wave printing, money-flow bars just turned positive Mildly bullish, Early bull divergence vs 28 May RSI(14) - 46 and curling up - Neutral-to-bullish Hidden bullish divergence vs price higher-lows Stoch RSI 26/24 and crossing up from oversold Bullish Momentum reset complete ArTy Money-Flow Index +3.5 and rising Bullish Positive inflow after five sessions of outflow Collectively the oscillators favour an upside resolution, provided volume confirms. 3. Scenario probability matrix Scenario Trigger & confirmation Option 1 – Uptrend continuation 4 h close ≥ 0.0925 USDT with volume ≥ 2× 20-period average Measured-move 0.107 → 0.118; extended fib 1.618 ≈ 0.125–0.128 Est. probability: 60 % Option 2 – Downtrend resumption 4 h close ≤ 0.079 USDT with similar volume spike 0.072 (range EQ) → 0.067–0.062 structural support Est. probability: 40 % Weighting derives from: oscillator bias, shrinking supply above 0.092 (order-book heat-map), but tempered by external models calling for a short-term dip toward 0.067 USDT 4. Trading plan Component Long (Option 1) Short (Option 2) Entry Buy stop 0.0926 USDT Sell stop 0.0789 USDT Initial stop-loss 0.0838 USDT 0.0870 USDT (back inside triangle) Primary target-1 0.1050 (≈1R) 0.0725 (≈1R) Secondary target-2 0.1180 (≈2.5R) 0.0670 (≈2.5R) Position size Risk ≤ 1 % of account per trade (adjust contracts accordingly) 5. Additional catalysts & risk factors Macro-beta: BTC dominance and broad market risk-on / risk-off could swamp pattern-based setups; monitor DXY and SPX correlations. Protocol news: Kaspa’s DAG-based roadmap upgrades and potential exchange listings remain upside catalysts. Conversely, lack of progress or regulatory headlines could accelerate a downside break. kaspa.org Weekend liquidity gaps: KAS often shows slippage outside US trading hours; consider reducing size or using wide stops if breakout occurs late Friday–Sunday. 6. To sum up Bias: I lean 60 % toward Option 1 (bullish breakout) provided we get a 4 h close above 0.092 with volume confirmation. Otherwise, a flush to the 0.07 area (Option 2) is the alternative. Trade the break, not the prediction, and keep risk tight.
Long
by elfabiiani
1
USD/CHF H1 | Pullback resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementUSD/CHF is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.8189 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 0.8212 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 0.8156 which is a multi-swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
Last week Bitcoin created massive liquidity at a key resistance!🚨 Bitcoin Update – A Bullish Storm Is Brewing? 💥 Last week, Bitcoin created massive liquidity at a key resistance zone, and guess what? That liquidity is still untouched. The market hasn’t fully tapped into it yet — and that’s a big deal. Recently, BTC smashed through resistance and even left behind a Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), signaling strength. But hold on—after this breakout, the market is showing signs of a minor pullback, likely to retest its marked IRL (Important Reaction Level). 📉 It’s cooling off temporarily... but don’t blink. This zone could act as a springboard for the next big leg up. 💡 Here’s the kicker: there’s still a ton of liquidity waiting above. If the market wants it—and it usually does—there’s a high probability (80%+) of another bullish push. 👀 Watch this area closely. It’s a make-or-break zone. 📊 Do Your Own Research (DYOR) – this is not financial advice, just a friendly nudge from the charts.
Long
by Peter_Wade
ARBUSDT Forming Bullish WaveARBUSDT is currently showing strong bullish momentum, forming a bullish wave pattern that suggests the beginning of a sustained upward trend. The recent price action confirms growing investor confidence, as the coin has started to recover from previous lows with higher highs and higher lows. This type of wave formation is often a signal of accumulation and trend reversal, particularly when combined with increasing volume, as seen on recent daily candles. The volume profile further reinforces the bullish outlook, with consistent buy-side pressure indicating accumulation by both retail traders and larger market participants. The ARB ecosystem has been gaining traction in the Layer 2 scaling space, and this renewed market attention is now translating into price strength. With the current pattern development, traders could expect a potential price gain of 50% to 60% in the upcoming sessions, assuming the current bullish momentum continues. From a technical standpoint, the price is carving out a clean impulsive move, commonly referred to as a bullish wave, which is typically followed by a corrective wave before another strong leg upward. Investors who missed the early breakout may find attractive entries on minor pullbacks. Moreover, the broader sentiment across the Layer 2 and Ethereum scaling sectors is improving, giving ARBUSDT a favorable macro tailwind. As interest in projects with real utility continues to grow, ARB stands out due to its rapid development and growing ecosystem adoption. If this trend persists, ARBUSDT is well-positioned to outperform in the short to mid-term, making it one of the more promising altcoin plays currently on watch. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
USD/JPY H1 | Bearish downtrend to extend deeper?USD/JPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 144.10 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 144.80 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 143.37 which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
GOLD GOLD .the current london time of gold trading session is locked at 3376-3374.we hope they unlock the price at 3350-3355 to enable 3427-3430 and higher lock zone another unlock key at 3367 will be watched if it has the potential for upswing and unlock,otherwise it gets locked into 3350-3355 unlock zone . from technical perspective unlock of 3323 yesterday will need a cool off at 3350-3355 to unlock another long position. the dollar index got unlock key at 98.263 descending trendline upholding long position. the 2hr and 1hr aligns with the structure.(lock /unlock) lets watch and see what she does. stay cautious
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
The bulls rise strongly and continue to rise after falling backFrom the 4-hour analysis, today's support is around 3345-50. If the intraday retracement relies on this position, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3320-25. Before the daily level falls below this position, any retracement is a long opportunity. Maintain the main tone of participating in the trend. Gold operation strategy: 1. If gold falls back to 3340-45 and does not break, go long, stop loss 3335, target 3375-3380, continue to hold if it breaks
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AgnesGreen
1
Gold: Rebounding and Stabilizing Near 3340Gold Market Outlook: Watching Inflation, Technical Pressure Builds Markets are squarely focused on the upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which could serve as a pivotal moment for shaping Federal Reserve policy expectations ahead of the September meeting. Current market pricing suggests a roughly 52% probability of a rate cut, but this is highly sensitive to how inflation data unfolds. The consensus anticipates headline CPI growth of 0.2% and core inflation at 0.3%. Any deviation—especially a softer reading—could significantly sway sentiment in favor of monetary easing, thereby reinforcing gold’s appeal as a defensive asset. Beyond the macroeconomic calendar, broader geopolitical undercurrents continue to influence the landscape. Optimism stemming from recent progress in U.S.-China trade discussions has buoyed risk appetite, yet this is tempered by lingering concerns after a court ruling upheld former President Trump’s authority to maintain certain tariffs. This legal development introduces fresh layers of ambiguity, keeping the U.S. dollar on the defensive and lending indirect support to gold prices. From a technical standpoint, gold remains confined within the narrowing bounds of a symmetrical triangle pattern—a classic sign of consolidation and potential volatility ahead. The price action reflects a broader indecisiveness prevalent across multiple asset classes, as traders await clearer macro signals before committing to directional moves. Key support lies at 3301, 3330, and 3340, while resistance is seen at 3349, 3361, and 3375. Special attention should be paid to the critical 3330–3340 range, which has acted as a magnet for price in recent sessions. A decisive break and sustained hold above this zone—especially if supported by softer inflation data—could hand the bulls a tactical advantage, opening the door for a push toward higher resistance areas and renewed bullish momentum. In summary, gold is at a technical and fundamental crossroads. Inflation data will likely determine whether the metal can break free from its current consolidation or remain range-bound amid ongoing uncertainty.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by lonelyPlayer0
EQUITAS BANK-NO BRAINER ??!! Trend & Structure: Price has broken out of a long-term falling trendline, indicating a potential trend reversal. Immediate resistance at ₹65 has been cleared, suggesting bullish momentum. Breakout level is marked and retested, forming a higher low, adding confirmation to the uptrend. Volume: Breakout is accompanied by rising volume, a positive sign of strength and confirmation of buyer interest. RSI (14): RSI is currently at 67.28, approaching the overbought zone (above 70). No visible bearish divergence yet, but worth watching near ₹88 levels. Key Levels: ✅ Support: ₹60 (strong base, also marked as Stoploss) ✅ Breakout Level: Around ₹65 (previous resistance, now support) 🚩 Next Resistance Zones: ₹88 (significant supply zone) ₹111 (major resistance) ✅ What's Good (Strengths): Clear breakout above trendline and prior resistance. Volume confirms breakout strength. RSI shows momentum favoring bulls. Well-marked stop loss and resistance levels. Price action forming higher lows and attempting to form higher highs – early sign of uptrend initiation.
NSE:EQUITASBNK
by Pushpmegh
$BTC Rejected at Key Resistance – Global War Concerns Pressure P Bitcoin failed to break above the $110K resistance, facing sharp rejection for the third time. Rising global war tensions have triggered risk-off sentiment across markets, and Bitcoin is now showing signs of a deeper pullback. 🔸 Key Support Zone at 99K – 100K: This zone is the last strong support holding the bullish structure. A break below it could trigger a larger correction. Eyes on this zone for possible bounce or breakdown. 🔸 Upside Target: 110k+ (Invalidated) Unless BTC reclaims $110K with strong momentum, upside targets are currently paused. 🔸 Risk Level at 99K: A daily close below $99K would confirm bearish momentum and open room toward $90K next. 🔸 Outlooks: Stay cautious due to macro instability (global war risk). 🔹 If price bounces near $99K → short-term long trades possible. 🔹 If it breaks below $99K → prepare for continuation to $90K. Avoid heavy exposure until the trend clears.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoSkullSignal
BTC to new ATH - 115K? When? OWing to the MP and TPO's The current market profile indicates that Bitcoin has recently experienced a sharp move up, forming a double distribution structure with value areas clearly separated. Price attempted to hold above the upper distribution’s value area high but failed and is now back inside the lower distribution, suggesting rejection at higher prices. This opens up a potential short opportunity if price retests the 109650 to 110000 zone and shows weakness, with a possible target near 107300 to 107000 where the previous low-volume node and value area low are located. On the other hand, the area around 106600 to 106800 has acted as a strong support zone during the earlier rally. If the price moves down and shows signs of absorption or support near this zone, it may offer a favorable long opportunity back toward 108300 to 108500, where the previous value area high lies. The market is currently in a responsive phase, and directional bias should depend on how price reacts around these key zones. What i see is what i learned, and i do expect a straight fall down but cant forget the small OB which can pull things up! Sideways momentum to NEW ATH
Long
by MastaCrypta