AUD/USD Breakdown in Progress – Time to Sell the Aussie?Hey traders! AUD/USD just gave us a clean rejection from a major supply zone. Let’s break this down 👇
---
🟦 Supply Zone: 0.65100 – 0.65300
The pair was rejected sharply from a strong supply area after multiple failed attempts to break through. This is a clear sign of seller dominance in this region.
🔻 Current Price: 0.64980 – Showing early signs of a bearish reversal.
---
📉 What I'm Watching Next:
First key support: 0.64487
If that breaks, next target = 0.63698
(strong demand zone + previous liquidity grab area)
🟠 Watch for bearish continuation candles around 0.64800 to confirm further downside pressure.
---
📅 Upcoming Risk Events:
U.S. economic data releases on June 13 could fuel more volatility – mark your calendar!
---
💡 Trade Setup Idea:
Short on retest of 0.65000–0.65100
🎯 Target 1: 0.64487
🎯 Target 2: 0.63700
🛑 SL: Above 0.65350 (above supply zone)
---
🔔 Are the bears taking over AUD/USD?
Comment your thoughts or charts below!
📲 Don’t forget to follow me for more clean breakdowns!
#AUDUSD #ForexAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoney #TradingView #FXSignals #SupplyDemand #LuxAlgo
Harmonic Patterns
XAU/USD – Bullish Outlook (15M Chart)📈 XAU/USD – Bullish Outlook (15M Chart)
Gold is reclaiming intraday demand zones and showing signs of a short-term bullish continuation. Structure suggests possible movement toward the next supply area:
🔹 Key Breakout Zone: 3313.43–3316.85
🔹 Next Target: 3221–3224
🔹 Final Target: 3339.3–3345.6
📍 Price reacted cleanly from the 3314–3320 demand zone, forming higher highs. If the recent breakout zone holds, bullish momentum may take price into the upper supply.
⚠️ Look for bullish confirmation on lower timeframe retests before entering longs.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #FXFOREVER #SmartMoney #PriceAction #MarketStructure #BullishBias
Gold Bulls Are Back? Major Demand Zone Holding Strong!Demand Zone Rejection Confirmed (3,297.18 – 3,307.00)
Price recently tapped into a key demand zone (highlighted in orange), and we saw a strong bullish rejection. Buyers stepped in aggressively after a fakeout below 3,297, indicating possible accumulation.
📉 This area has acted as a historical support, and bulls are clearly defending it again.
---
🟦 Supply Zone in Focus (3,375.00 – 3,390.00)
If this momentum continues, I'm eyeing the next major resistance/supply zone up near 3,380–3,390. This is where price sharply sold off previously, so I’ll be watching closely for reaction or breakout.
---
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
🟢 Support: 3,297.18 (Strong demand)
🔵 Resistance: 3,356.03, 3,380.00
📍 Current Price: 3,329.26
---
📅 Upcoming Events:
⚡️ Volatility alert approaching — watch out for market-moving U.S. news.
---
✅ Trade Idea:
If bullish momentum holds above 3,310 and confirms support, I’ll look for long entries targeting the supply zone.
Stop below 3,297 | TP near 3,375–3,390
---
💬 What do you think? Will gold break through the supply zone or reject again?
Drop your thoughts or setups below! 👇👇
🔔 Follow for more real-time chart breakdowns.
#XAUUSD #Gold #PriceAction #SupplyDemand #SmartMoney #Forex #TradingView
CHECK XAUUSD SIGNAL READ CAPTAIN 📈 Trade Setup Summary:
Current Price: 3,329.960
Entry Zone: Around the current price (marked by the purple zone).
Stop Loss: 3,322.000
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: ~3,340.000
Take Profit 2: Slightly above 3,340.000 (estimated around 3,345)
Last Target: 3,350.000
BTC/USDT Analysis (15m) – Short Position Setup📌 BTC/USDT Analysis (15m) – Short Position Setup
🔍 After a sharp rally, the market started a corrective phase and formed a bearish structure with lower highs.
A sell limit order is placed at the 110063 supply zone, targeting potential continuation to the downside.
🎯 Target: 108578
⛔️ Stop Loss: 110557
⚠️ Risk/Reward: Favorable and aligned with current market structure.
Trading Gold with Leverage: Smart or Dangerous?XAUUSD trading (Gold vs. US Dollar) is a popular choice among global traders due to its high liquidity, strong volatility, and profit potential. One of the tools that help traders amplify their returns is financial leverage. However, using leverage also carries significant risks if not managed properly. So, what exactly is leverage in XAUUSD trading? Should you use it? Let’s explore the advantages and disadvantages below.
1. What is Leverage in XAUUSD Trading?
Leverage is a financial tool that allows traders to control a larger position in the market than the capital they actually own. For example, with 1:100 leverage, you only need $1,000 to trade a position worth $100,000.
In the XAUUSD market, brokers often offer leverage ranging from 1:50 to 1:500, or even up to 1:2000—depending on their risk policies and regulations.
2. Pros of Using Leverage in XAUUSD Trading
🔹 Amplifies Potential Profits
Leverage allows traders to maximize profits with a relatively small amount of capital. When the market moves in the expected direction, the gains can be multiplied significantly.
🔹 Lower Capital Requirement
Instead of needing $10,000 to trade 1 lot of gold, a trader may only need $100–$500 depending on the leverage. This lowers the entry barrier and offers greater flexibility in capital management.
🔹 Enables Strategy Diversification
With the same amount of capital, traders can open multiple positions across different timeframes or strategies. Leverage allows for broader portfolio diversification while still maintaining control over total risk.
🔹 Takes Advantage of Short-Term Opportunities
Gold markets often react strongly to news and economic data. Leverage lets traders capitalize on short-term price swings, enabling faster profits without needing to hold positions long-term.
3. Cons and Risks of Using Leverage in XAUUSD Trading
Risk of Account Blowout
The higher the leverage, the lower the safety margin. A small market move against the position can trigger a margin call or stop-out, resulting in a full loss of the initial capital.
Emotional and Psychological Stress
High leverage often leads traders to gamble instead of follow a strategy, increasing the likelihood of emotional decisions and impulsive trading behaviors.
Difficult to Manage During Volatility
XAUUSD is a highly volatile asset, especially during U.S. sessions or major news releases (like CPI, Fed announcements, NFP). Over-leveraging can lead to rapid losses in seconds during sudden price spikes.
Increased Emotional Pressure
When using high leverage, every small fluctuation feels significant, causing stress and encouraging poor decisions—like exiting too early or revenge trading.
4. Conclusion: Should You Use Leverage in XAUUSD Trading?
Yes, but only with a disciplined and strategic approach.
Use moderate leverage (e.g. 1:100 or lower if you're a beginner)
Always set clear stop-loss and take-profit levels
Risk no more than 2% of your account per trade
Avoid “all-in” trades and don’t let emotions dictate position size
In Summary
Leverage in XAUUSD trading is a double-edged sword. Used wisely, it accelerates your profit potential. Used recklessly, it can wipe out your account in moments. The key is to trade with discipline, knowledge, and a solid plan to harness the power of leverage without falling into its traps.
GOLD Relationship Between Gold, Dollar (DXY), Bond Prices, and 10-Year Bond Yields
1. Gold and the Dollar (DXY)
Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so there is a strong inverse relationship between gold prices and the dollar index (DXY).
When the DXY strengthens, gold becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand and pushing gold prices down.
Recently, gold prices dipped about 0.4% to around $3,294/oz as the DXY shed 0.3%, reflecting a cautious market awaiting U.S.-China trade talks and reacting to stronger U.S. jobs data that tempered expectations of Fed rate cuts.
2. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yields
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and gold generally have an inverse relationship. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, making bonds more attractive.
However, both gold and bond yields can rise simultaneously during inflationary periods or economic uncertainty, reflecting inflation expectations and safe-haven demand.
Recent data shows yields near 4.5%, with gold holding elevated levels above $3,300 and attempted 3328 before dropping due to inflation concerns and geopolitical risks, despite some downward pressure from rising yields.
3. Gold and Bond Prices
Bond prices move inversely to yields; when yields rise, bond prices fall.
Falling bond prices (rising yields) often signal inflation or risk concerns, which can boost gold as an inflation hedge.
Yet, rising yields also raise the opportunity cost of holding gold, which can cap gold’s upside. This dynamic explains why the correlation between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, sometimes showing near-zero correlation .
4. Macro and Market Drivers
Inflation and Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade talks) support gold demand despite dollar strength and rising yields.
Central Bank Buying: Central banks remain significant gold buyers, underpinning long-term price support.
Economic Data and Fed Policy: Strong U.S. jobs reports reduce expectations of Fed rate cuts, pushing yields up and dollar strength, which can pressure gold short term.
Conclusion
Gold prices in June 2025 are influenced by a complex interplay of factors: a slightly weaker dollar recently has supported gold, but rising 10-year Treasury yields and falling bond prices exert downward pressure. Inflation concerns and geopolitical risks continue to underpin gold’s appeal as a safe haven and inflation hedge. The usual inverse relationship between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, reflecting evolving market dynamics and the balance between inflation expectations and real yields.
#gold #dollar
Ethereum Consolidates in Tight Range – Breakout Imminent?Ethereum has been trading within a defined high time frame range between $2,400 support and $2,800 resistance for nearly a month, dating back to May 12. This prolonged sideways action indicates a consolidation phase that could either be accumulation or distribution—depending on how price reacts to the edges of the range.
The most notable aspect of current price action is the steady decline in volume. As volume drops, volatility tends to compress, increasing the probability of an eventual breakout. However, for any breakout to be validated, it must be supported by a significant surge in volume. A weak breakout without follow-through volume risks a deviation that traps traders and reverts back into the range.
Structurally, Ethereum remains bullish. The broader trend is still intact, with price forming higher highs. A pullback from current levels into the lower boundary of the range could present a chance for a higher low to form, offering further confirmation of trend continuation. Alternatively, an upside breakout from this range—without a deeper pullback—would still be valid, provided it’s volume-backed.
For now, Ethereum remains in a holding pattern. Traders should be patient and wait for a clear move beyond either $2,800 or $2,400 with volume confirmation before taking directional trades. A break above $2,800 could trigger bullish continuation, while a break below $2,400 would shift structure and suggest deeper downside risk
Bitcoin is Super Bullish Right Now - Here is my BTC trade planSince Bitcoin is super bullish on monthly and weekly time frame, my focus is to trade trend continuation pull backs on the 4HR time frame.
For this particular trade, I want to see a pull back to a key level of either imbalance or the old high serving as new support for price.
I will be taking a bullish trend continuation setup on that 4HR pull back.
Target:
I expect to see Bitcoin break that all time high of 111k level and go as high as 150k per one.
EUR/JPY – The Crash Is Loading...Retail just got wiped out again.
Look at this chart — liquidity was taken above the previous highs, exactly where retail traders expected a breakout.
But here’s the truth:
This was never a breakout — it was smart money manipulation.
The market created fake momentum to trap buyers, then swept their stop losses and filled institutional sell orders at premium pricing.
Now the path is set:
Liquidity is taken ✅
No strong continuation after breakout ❌
Perfect rejection candle forming 🧠
Price is likely to retrace all the way to the 162.00 demand zone and even deeper
⚔️ Why You Need to Act Now:
This is a textbook high risk-reward opportunity:
Entry after liquidity sweep
SL tight above the wick
Massive downside room
Smart money already positioned — you should be too
💡 Remember: The market doesn’t move by luck — it moves by manipulation.
Those who understand that… capitalize on it.
EUR/JPY – The Crash Is Loading...Retail just got wiped out again.
Look at this chart — liquidity was taken above the previous highs, exactly where retail traders expected a breakout.
But here’s the truth:
This was never a breakout — it was smart money manipulation.
The market created fake momentum to trap buyers, then swept their stop losses and filled institutional sell orders at premium pricing.
Now the path is set:
Liquidity is taken ✅
No strong continuation after breakout ❌
Perfect rejection candle forming 🧠
Price is likely to retrace all the way to the 162.00 demand zone and even deeper
⚔️ Why You Need to Act Now:
This is a textbook high risk-reward opportunity:
Entry after liquidity sweep
SL tight above the wick
Massive downside room
Smart money already positioned — you should be too
💡 Remember: The market doesn’t move by luck — it moves by manipulation.
Those who understand that… capitalize on it.
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISXAUUSD is currently forming a clean bullish pennant pattern on the daily timeframe, signaling a potential continuation of the dominant uptrend. After a strong impulsive rally that pushed gold prices to new highs, the market entered into a consolidation phase, tightening within the pennant structure. This type of price action typically precedes a breakout, and with current price action hovering near the upper boundary of the pennant, a bullish breakout looks imminent. If we break above this consolidation zone, the next target stands at 3500, in line with the measured move projection from the prior leg.
From a fundamental standpoint, gold remains in strong demand amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and shifting central bank policies. Recent data out of the US showed signs of a cooling labor market and slowing inflation pressures, increasing the odds of the Federal Reserve leaning toward rate cuts in the second half of 2025. A dovish Fed would weaken the US dollar and lower Treasury yields—two key drivers that historically push gold prices higher. Additionally, continued central bank gold buying globally, especially from emerging markets, is providing a strong underlying bid for XAU.
The current consolidation is healthy and is allowing the market to build momentum before another leg up. Volatility is compressing, volume remains steady, and price structure is respecting key trendlines. Once we get confirmation with a breakout and close above the upper pennant boundary, it would open the door to a swift move toward the 3500 region. Traders should monitor volume and RSI closely for early signs of breakout confirmation.
In this environment of economic uncertainty, demand for safe-haven assets like gold is only increasing. With technicals and fundamentals aligned, XAUUSD is gearing up for a powerful bullish wave. As long as we hold above the key 3280–3300 support range, the bullish thesis remains fully intact. This setup offers excellent reward-to-risk potential and is one of the more compelling opportunities currently on the radar.
Bitcoin (BTC): Heading Towards The All Time Hight Bitcoin is still pushing into the second day of the week, where the price is heading towards the ATH area for a retest and potential breakout (which we have been looking for). Now if we keep that same momentum, we are guaranteed to retest the ATH area, where high volatility can be expected!
Swallow Academy
XAGUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal off the 61.8% FibBased on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 36.87, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 36.37, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 36.87, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price could rise toward our sell entry level at 1.3547, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.3518, a swing low support.
The stop loss is set at 1.3567, a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
On the 4-hour timeframe, GBPUSD has broken below its ascending trendline and is now trading below a key resistance zone.
We expect the pair to consolidate briefly within this area, and then move lower toward the specified support level.
As long as the price remains below the resistance and the broken trendline, the bearish bias remains valid.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️