Today's gold price may fall to 3340-3350Today's gold price may fall to 3340-3350
As shown in Figure 4h
The current support level of gold price is 3370-3380. Once it falls below this range, the gold price will fall further to 3350-3340.
At that time, we considered that it was a good choice to buy the bottom of gold price in the 3340-3350 range, and it was also a relatively stable and conservative strategy.
Technical analysis:
As shown in the figure: At present, we believe that the white channel of gold price is the main rising channel.
Gold price fluctuation range: 3350-3450, lower support level: 3400
The performance of gold price is also the same, and there is strong resistance near 3400.
The current fluctuation range of gold price: 3380-3400, lower support level: 3370
Operation strategy:
1: As long as the gold price falls below 3400, it will be mainly short at high prices.
2: Once it falls below 3370, the next target of gold price, 3350, will be a high probability event.
3: The macro trend of gold prices is still bullish. It is recommended to hold long positions and wait for the performance of the 3340-3350 range.
4: Conservatives can wait for the opening of the US market before making a decision
5: Radicals can choose to ambush in advance after judging that the gold price stabilizes in the 3370-3350 range, lightly position, reserve enough bargain-hunting positions, and cover positions at any time.
Harmonic Patterns
Gold trend analysis and operation ideasGold, the price has rebounded from the previous high of 3500 to 3120 in this round. After continuous rise, it fell under pressure at 3452 on Monday due to the decline of market risk aversion; the article emphasizes that there is still room for the weekly support MA5-3360 below, and it can be bearish; the actual rebound during the day was 3403 and then fell back to 3373, and now reported 3383, which is in line with expectations;
The short structure of the 2H chart is obvious, the short-term resistance in the evening is 3386-3390, and the strong resistance is 3396; the short-term support is 3373, the strong support is 3360, and the break is expected to fall to 3340;
Strategy 1: Sell near 3386, SL3400, TP3360; Hold after break;
AUDJPYAUDJPY: 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rates, Bank Lending Rates, and Carry Trade Advantage (June 2025)
1. 10-Year Government Bond Yields
Australia (AUD):
The 10-year Australian government bond yield is currently around 4.48%–4.53%.
Japan (JPY):
The 10-year Japanese government bond yield is about 1.48% as of June 16, 2025.
2. Central Bank Interest Rate Decisions
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA):
The RBA cut its cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.85% in May 2025, citing progress in reducing inflation and global uncertainties.
Bank of Japan (BOJ):
The BOJ held its key short-term policy interest rate steady at 0.5% at its June 2025 meeting, maintaining the highest level since 2008.
3. Bank Lending Rates
Australia:
The average overdraft bank lending rate is 10.51% as of April 2025.
Japan:
The long-term prime bank lending rate is 2.05% (April 2025), while the average commercial bank lending rate is reported at 1.625% as of February 2025.
4. Interest Rate Differential
Policy Rate Differential:3.85%3.85% (RBA) − 0.5%0.5% (BOJ) = 3.35%.
10-Year Bond Yield Differential:4.48%4.48% (Australia) − 1.48%1.48% (Japan) = 3.00%.
5. Carry Trade Advantage
Mechanism:
Investors borrow in the low-yielding Japanese yen (JPY) and invest in higher-yielding Australian dollar (AUD) assets, profiting from the interest rate differential.
Current Advantage:
The wide gap in both policy rates and bond yields makes AUDJPY one of the most attractive carry trade pairs in 2025. The 3.35%–3.00% differential offers steady potential returns, especially in a stable or risk-on market environment.
Risks:
If global risk sentiment deteriorates, the yen can strengthen rapidly as a safe haven, unwinding carry trades.
Sudden shifts in RBA or BOJ policy could narrow the differential and reduce the carry trade's appeal.
6. Summary Table
Factor Australia (AUD) Japan (JPY) Differential / Impact
10Y Bond Yield 4.48–4.53% 1.48% 3.00% (AUD advantage)
Policy Rate 3.85% 0.5% 3.35% (AUD advantage)
Bank Lending Rate 10.51% 1.625–2.05% AUD much higher
Carry Trade Outlook High yield, attractive Low yield, funding Strong incentive for AUDJPY long
Conclusion
The AUDJPY pair is strongly supported by a wide interest rate and bond yield differential, making it a favored target for carry trade strategies in 2025. The RBA’s relatively high rates and the BOJ’s ultra-low rates, combined with stable economic conditions, provide a consistent yield advantage for investors holding long AUDJPY positions. However, traders should monitor global risk sentiment and central bank policy shifts, as these can quickly change the carry trade landscape
RIOT / 2hNASDAQ:RIOT has retraced up by 7.46% in total, which may be considered the 4th wave of wave A, in which five overlapping waves seem to be expanding down.
Wave Analysis >> The rising leading diagonal in wave (1) ended with a diagonal as its 5th wave inside at 10.86. Its correction in the same-degree wave (2) is underway toward the origin of the ending diagonal >> 7.93.
Trend Analysis >> The trend turned to correcting down. It might be a relatively deep retracement that will take a few weeks to develop.
The retracement targets >> 8.20 >> 7.93 >> 7.67
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XRPUSD is moving within the 2.1215 - 2.3370 range👀 Possible scenario:
XRP is consolidating between $2.05 and $2.40, forming a bullish pennant on the weekly chart — similar to the 2017 setup before a 1300% rally. Analyst Mikybull Crypto predicts a 530% surge to $14 if resistance breaks. For continued upside, XRP must break above the 200-day SMA ($2.37) and hold above $2.65. RSI has climbed from 29 to 52, signaling recovery. A breakout above $2.65 could lead to $3.00 or even the 7-year high of $3.31. Failure to break $2.37 may send price back to $2.05.
Network activity is surging: XRPL is averaging 295K daily active addresses — 7x the 3-month average. Whale wallets (holding 1M+ XRP) hit a record 2,708, signaling growing institutional interest. Trident Digital plans a $500M XRP treasury, Circle launched USDC on XRPL, and Guggenheim is issuing digital commercial paper on the network. A spot XRP ETF approval could drive price to $25. Trading volume jumped 245%, open interest rose to $4.02B, and derivatives volume hit $9.8B. Price hovers around $2.22 as the market reacts to on-chain momentum.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Support level is now located at 2.1215
Now, the resistance level is located at 2.3370.
EURUSD: Awaiting Confirmation to Continue the UptrendThe EUR/USD pair closed yesterday at 1.1550, moving within the 1.1526–1.1558 range. The euro continues its bullish trend, driven by U.S. inflation data coming in lower than expected, which increases expectations of an upcoming rate cut by the Fed. In addition, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East—particularly between Israel and Iran—have slightly weakened the U.S. dollar, providing additional support to the euro.
From a technical perspective, the price is currently correcting toward the 1.1480 area, where the ascending trendline converges with the exponential moving average. This is a key support zone. If it holds and a clear bullish signal emerges, EURUSD could rebound and move toward the 1.1610 resistance level.
Main scenario: look for buying opportunities around 1.1480 if a bullish confirmation appears, targeting 1.1610.
Alternative scenario: if the 1.1480 level is broken, the short-term uptrend could be at risk.
XRPUSD Daily Analysis – Bullish Setup Forming Inside Key Range!XRP is currently trading at $2.2138, consolidating just above a critical demand zone and preparing for what could be a strong bullish breakout. The range-bound structure is tightening, and pressure is building for the next major move.
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
🔹 Major Demand Zone (Support) – $2.1470 to $1.8547:
Price has bounced multiple times from this orange demand zone, showing consistent buying interest and strong liquidity protection. It’s acting as a base for a possible bull rally.
🔹 Mid-Range Resistance – $2.5586:
This level has held firm since March. A clean breakout above it could attract massive volume and bullish continuation.
🔹 Final Bullish Target – $3.2967:
A powerful supply zone resides here, which is also the yearly high area. If XRP breaks $2.55 convincingly, we may see a strong push toward this zone.
🔄 Current Price Action:
Price has been accumulating sideways between $2.15 and $2.55.
Volatility is contracting, indicating a possible breakout ahead.
Recent candle rejections suggest buyers are stepping in at every dip.
📊 Trade Plan:
🔽 Buy Zone: $2.15–$2.20 (near demand)
🔼 Take Profit Levels: $2.55 and $3.29
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $1.85 (break of demand)
🧠 Fundamental Context:
🗓️ With major U.S. news events around the corner, volatility may spike. XRP could ride a wave of positive momentum, especially if sentiment improves toward altcoins. Keep an eye on regulatory headlines as well – XRP tends to react sharply.
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💬 Are you loading your XRP bags here or waiting for confirmation?
Comment your analysis below! 👇
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AUDUSD TECHNICALS AND FUNDAMENTALS DETAILED ANALYSISAUDUSD has officially broken out of a multi-week ascending triangle structure, and momentum is now building for a bullish continuation. The price is currently trading around 0.6533 after a strong breakout above the 0.6520 resistance zone. This consolidation was forming higher lows, signaling accumulation and bullish intent. The clean breakout above the horizontal resistance confirms buyers are in control. With this pattern validated, my short-term target is 0.6700–0.6750, aligning with the measured move projection.
From a macro perspective, AUD is gaining strength due to a divergence in monetary policy outlooks. The Reserve Bank of Australia remains hawkish, supported by sticky inflation data and a tight labor market, while the Federal Reserve has recently hinted at a dovish turn, acknowledging signs of economic slowdown. Additionally, a weaker U.S. dollar index (DXY) and rising commodity prices—especially iron ore and copper—are tailwinds for the Australian dollar. These fundamental shifts are reinforcing the bullish technical breakout.
On the 8H chart, the ascending triangle is a clear signal of bullish pressure. The zone around 0.6450–0.6520 acted as strong demand during the consolidation phase. A successful breakout retest of this zone could offer secondary entry opportunities. The risk-reward ratio is attractive, with a defined invalidation below the trendline and a target extending toward yearly highs near 0.6750.
This setup stands out as high-probability. With bullish price action, supportive fundamentals, and risk-on sentiment returning across FX majors, AUDUSD is primed for further upside. I’m holding long with conviction, expecting continuation toward the projected breakout target. This trade aligns with current market structure, trend strength, and macro drivers—perfect timing in a trending market environment.
6.17 Gold Trend after the Big Drop6.17 Gold Trend after the Big Drop
Yesterday, gold continued to fall after rising, and the bulls lacked effective momentum to fight back. During the US trading session, the geopolitical risk aversion sentiment temporarily eased and accelerated the break, making it more difficult to rise in the short term.
In addition to the current decline in oil prices and gold prices, the conflict between Iran and Israel may end with one side kneeling down and surrendering. If this happens, the current gold price will continue to fall.
The current technical side shows that the hourly moving average tends to flatten, and yesterday's low of 3383 has become a key support level. The opening rebound touched the 3403 line and then fell under pressure again, proving that this area is a range of fluctuations between long and short watersheds.
If it cannot stand above 3400 before the opening of the US market, the bears will rely on the moving average to launch a new round of offensives, with the lower targets of 3375 and 3360.
If there is no good news at present, it is recommended to rebound high short strategy.
Thank you for your attention, I hope my analysis can help you.
$BTC Holding But Still Bearish Bias Due to War Risk
Bitcoin is trading around $106K, but fear from escalating US–Iran–Israel tensions is keeping the market cautious.
🔸 Key Support Zone: $99,763 – $103,112
As long as BTC stays above this area, it's safe. But if broken, expect a move toward $90,209.
🔸 Upside Target: $110K (Paused)
Breakout chances remain low unless global tensions ease.
🔸 Risk Level: $99K
A daily close below this flips the chart fully bearish.
🔸 Action Plan:
We're still in a short bias zone due to war fears. Hedge remains active. Stay light, stay alert — volatility can spike fast.
ETH didn’t rally — it cleared inefficiency and pausedThis isn’t the move. This is the setup for the move.
ETH tagged 2658.22 — premium — and stalled right where Smart Money pauses before redistributing or rotating.
Here’s how this lines up:
Price swept into the 0 fib (2658.22), then hesitated — that’s not weakness, that’s precision
Just below sits a clean FVG at 2594–2575, right between the 0.382–0.5 fibs
Below that: OB near 2527–2492 — last line of defense before momentum flips
Right now, ETH is offering a reactive pullback opportunity. If bulls hold 2594–2575 with a bounce, we rotate higher again. But if they don’t — 2527 becomes the decision zone.
Execution lens:
Ideal re-entry zone: 2594–2575
Invalidation: sustained close below 2555 = expect OB tap
If FVG holds, expect revisit of 2658 → extension toward 2680s
This setup isn’t done. It’s developing. Wait for price to speak — not hope.
For more plays built like this — mapped in advance, not after the fact — check the profile description
BTC/USD Likely a bullish order block or accumulation zone.Price Action: The market is in a downward correction after hitting a resistance area.
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📊 Key Marked Zones and Concepts
1. High Higher (Left Side):
Indicates previous higher high formed in an uptrend structure.
2. Demand Zone (Below High):
Area where buyers previously stepped in strongly.
Likely a bullish order block or accumulation zone.
3. BOS (Break of Structure):
Two BOS points are marked, confirming market structure breaks:
Left BOS: Marks transition from uptrend to a possible downtrend.
Right BOS: Confirms shift again or continuation of downward correction.
4. FVG (Fair Value Gap):
Indicates an imbalance in price action.
Price may revisit this zone to "fill the gap."
5. Resistance (Top Right):
Price reached this level and is rejecting downward.
Could be a short-entry zone, as indicated by the red-to-green risk box (risk-to-reward trade setup).
6. Support (Bottom):
A larger green support block exists far below current price (~$91,000–$82,000).
Possibly a target area for longer-term bears.
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🎯 Trade Setup Visible
Short Position Active:
Entry near resistance zone (~108K–110K).
Stop-loss above resistance (~115K).
Take-profit near $102,760 or lower, aligned with BOS and demand area.
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🧠 Interpretation
This analysis shows that:
The trader expects BTC to drop from the resistance zone.
The bearish BOS and FVG support a retracement or reversal.
Targeting a deeper correction toward support or earlier demand zones.
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1546
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1497
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 1.1611
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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XAUUSD bullish move possible.This chart represents a technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a concise breakdown of the key points:
🔹 Structure & Key Levels:
Liquidity Sweep: Price initially swept the liquidity above the recent highs, triggering stop-losses of early sellers or weak buyers.
Support Zone: Marked around the 3410–3415 range, where price has shown rejection and stability.
Prime Zone for Long Position: Below support, around 3400–3405, this area is marked as an ideal entry for long trades based on strong bullish reactions in the past.
🔸 Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Reaction from Support: Price may respect the current support zone and begin an upward move towards the resistance area around 3450.
Deeper Pullback into Prime Zone: If support breaks, price could dip into the prime long entry zone before reversing upwards.
✅ Conclusion:
The chart suggests a buy (long) setup is likely, especially from the support or prime zone, targeting the previous highs near 3450. Risk management would be important if the price breaks below 3390.96 (red zone), which could invalidate the long setup.
Gold: Key Levels Amidst Bull-Bear ClashDaily Technical Analysis
Daily Chart
Gold trended sideways-up last week, repeatedly testing upper resistance without a decisive breakout, though bullish momentum remains robust 🚀💪. The Bollinger Bands are expanding upward with price near the upper band, moving averages in bullish alignment, and MACD forming a golden cross above the zero axis with an expanding red histogram—signaling a dominant long-term uptrend 🔥📈!
4-Hour Chart
After reaching an intraday high of 3451, price corrected lower, forming small bearish candles that indicate short-term bearish momentum 📉🔻. However, moving averages still maintain a bullish order, with initial support at the psychological level of 3400. If price stabilizes here, further upside may resume 📈🚀. MACD has formed a bearish cross at high levels with a nascent green histogram, suggesting near-term correction is needed ⚠️🔄!
1-Hour Chart
Price is in a correction channel after retreating from highs, suppressed by short-term moving averages 📉🔽. Note that 3382 acts as a key prior support—if price pulls back to this zone, it may trigger bullish rebounds 💪🔥! RSI hovers around 50, indicating balanced long-short forces with an unclear near-term direction 🤷♂️🔀.
Gold Trading Strategies
sell@ 3430-3450
tp:3410-3400
buy@3400-3403
tp:3420-3430 (3450 if 3430 breaks)🚀
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GBPUSD Approaching Key Supply Zone – Watch This Breakout The British Pound is currently trading around 1.3591, showing bullish momentum — but it's now pressing against a major daily supply zone near 1.3620 - 1.3577. This area has historically rejected price action, making it a critical point of interest.
🔵 Key Resistance Zone (Supply): 1.3577 - 1.3620
🔵 Next Support Levels to Watch If Rejected:
• 1.2967 (Mid-level structure & former resistance)
• 1.2744 (Weekly support)
• 1.2273 (High-demand zone + March accumulation zone)
🔻 Bearish Outlook (if rejection occurs):
Expect sellers to step in strongly around this supply zone. A confirmed rejection here could trigger a multi-leg bearish correction toward the 1.2967 level, and possibly even the 1.2470 or 1.2270 demand zones below.
📌 Bullish Case:
A breakout above 1.3620 with strong volume could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, targeting new highs into Q3.
🧠 Strategy Tips:
• Look for bearish candlestick confirmation on the daily around 1.3577 - 1.3620
• Monitor fundamentals — especially upcoming UK & US economic data
• Use a tight SL above the zone if shorting, or wait for a confirmed retest breakout to go long
📅 Timeframe: Daily (1D)
🔍 Indicator: Supply & Demand Visible Range (LuxAlgo)
📊 What are your thoughts — rejection or breakout? Let’s discuss in the comments!👇
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