Elevance Health | ELV | Long at $286.00What are seeing in the healthcare and health insurance provider industry right now is destruction before a once-in-a-lifetime boom. The baby boomer generation is between 60 and 79 right now and the amount of healthcare service that will be needed to serve that population is staggering. Institutions are crushing them to get in - it's just near-term noise, in my opinion. My personal strategy is buy and hold every healthcare opportunity (i.e. NYSE:CNC , NYSE:UNH , NYSE:HUM etc).
Elevance Health NYSE:ELV just dropped heavily due to lower-than-expected Q2 2025 earnings, a cut in full-year profit guidance from $34.15-$34.85 to ~$30 EPS, and elevated medical costs in Medicaid and ACA plans. It's near-term pain (may last 1-2 years) which will highly likely lead to long-term growth. The price has touched my historical simple moving average "crash" band. I would not be shocked to see the price drop further into the $260s before a rise. However, the near-term doom could go further into the year. I am anticipating another drop to the "major crash" simple moving average band into the $190s and $220s to close out the remaining price gaps on the daily chart that occurred during the COVID crash. Not to say it will absolutely reach that area, but it's locations on the chart I have for additional buys.
Thus, at $286.00, NYSE:ELV is in a personal buy zone (starter position) with more opportunities to gather shares likely near $260 before a bounce. However, if the market or healthcare industry really turns, additional buys planned for $245 and $212 for a long-term hold.
Targets into 2028:
$335.00 (+17.1%)
$386.00 (+35.0%)
