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Bitcoin - Trend Shift Confirmed, Eyes on $102.8K LiquidityMarket Context Bitcoin showed signs of exhaustion after a strong short-term rally within a clean upward channel on the 1H chart. Price action had been respecting the trend structure until a key deviation occurred near $108,500, where we saw an internal liquidity sweep that hinted at potential distribution. Fake-Out Confirmation and Shift in Momentum After taking out local highs around $108.5K, price failed to continue higher and instead reversed sharply, confirming the sweep as a classic fake-out. This kind of internal liquidity grab is typically used to trap breakout buyers before reversing and targeting previous lows. Break of Structure and Channel Retest The rising channel was broken convincingly, and price has now retested the underside of the channel, aligning with the 50% equilibrium of the entire high-to-low range. This reinforces the bearish bias and suggests the market has likely shifted from accumulation to distribution. Downside Targets and Key Levels Immediate support sits around $104.6K, which served as a consolidation base during the earlier run-up. If this level fails to hold, the next key target would be a sweep of the previous significant low at $102.8K. This area is marked as a point of interest and could offer a reaction or reversal. Price Expectations and Trade Outlook As long as price remains below the broken channel and under $107K, the bearish scenario remains in play. I’m watching for bearish continuation into $104.6K first, and a potential full sweep toward $102.8K if that support fails. Conclusion The internal sweep followed by impulsive rejection, combined with a clear channel breakdown and retest, shifts the bias to bearish. A move into the $104.6K region seems probable, with a lower liquidity target at $102.8K in sight if downside pressure accelerates. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by TehThomas
35
Smart Money Just Flipped Bearish on USD/CAD. Are You Still Long?🧠 1. COT Context & Institutional Flows 🇨🇦 CAD COT Report (CME) – June 10, 2025 Non-Commercials (speculators): net short 93,143 contracts (19,651 long vs. 112,794 short), with a short reduction of -14,319 → early bearish unwinding. Commercials: net long 91,207 contracts (223,285 long vs. 132,078 short), with strong accumulation (+27,999 longs). 🔄 Net open interest change: +18,436 → renewed institutional interest on the long CAD side. 🇺🇸 USD Index COT Report (ICE) – June 10, 2025 Non-Commercials: net long 1,402 contracts (17,027 long vs. 15,625 short), with a +1,279 increase in longs → modest USD support. Commercials remain net short -35 contracts, no clear shift. 🔄 Total open interest +2,652 → mild bullish interest in USD. 📌 Implication: Strong institutional support for CAD, USD mildly supported. Net positioning favors downside pressure on USD/CAD. 💹 2. Technical Analysis & Price Action Primary trend: clearly bearish from the 1.38 zone. Current price: 1.3552, testing a macro demand zone (1.3470–1.3540). Daily RSI remains deeply oversold → possible technical bounce, but no reversal structure confirmed. Recent candles show lower highs and lower lows, with no bullish momentum. 📌 Implication: The bearish trend remains in control. A technical rebound is possible, but bias stays short as long as price trades below 1.3640. 📈 3. Retail Sentiment 77% of retail traders are long USD/CAD, with an average entry at 1.3646. Only 23% are short, positioned better at 1.3790. 📌 Implication: Retail is heavily long → contrarian bearish signal confirmed. 📊 4. Seasonality June is historically weak for USD/CAD: 5Y Avg: -0.0118 2Y Avg: -0.0081 The June seasonal curve shows a stronger downside acceleration into the second half of the month. 📌 Implication: Seasonality adds downward pressure into month-end.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
5
EURJPY Just Broke Out – Is This the Start of a Summer Rally?📊 1. COT Report – Euro & Yen EUR (Euro FX – CME): Non-Commercials: Long: +5,968 | Short: -4,293 → Net Long increasing Commercials: Long: +11,480 | Short: +24,451 → Net Short → Speculators are clearly bullish on the euro. JPY (Japanese Yen – CME): Non-Commercials: Long: -5,319 | Short: +1,235 → Net Long decreasing Commercials: Long: +31,893 | Short: +25,462 → Hedging, but still net short → The yen continues to be sold, especially by institutional players. 📌 EUR/JPY COT Summary: Speculators are buying EUR and selling JPY → strong bullish bias on EUR/JPY. 🧠 2. Retail Sentiment 80% of retail traders are short EUR/JPY, with an average entry at 161.50 Current price is around 167.20 → retail is heavily underwater ✅ Strong contrarian bullish signal 📉 3. Technical Analysis Price broke out of a long-term range, printing new yearly highs RSI is overbought but with no active bearish divergence Price sits inside a major supply zone between 166.50 and 168.00, where previous rejections occurred A potential pullback to the 164.60–164.15 area aligns with ascending trendline support 🟡 Likely Scenario: A healthy technical pullback to 164.50–165.00 to cool off RSI, followed by a continuation higher if supported by momentum and COT positioning 📅 4. Seasonality June is historically a bullish month for EUR/JPY: 5-year avg: +1.167% 2-year avg: +2.41% → Seasonality supports more upside into early July 🌍 5. Macro Context BoJ remains dovish, no sign of imminent tightening ECB is steady but relatively less dovish → rate differential still favors the euro No signs yet of verbal intervention from Japan.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
3
They called it consolidation. I called it accumulation.Price was coiled in a defined OB + FVG combo — building pressure while the rest of the market slept. The moment we swept the low into the Order Block, the trade became personal. This wasn’t noise — it was alignment. Why I entered: Daily FVG + OB overlap — textbook Smart Money entry zone Volume spike at the OB low, signaling smart accumulation Structural BOS confirmation on intraday after sweep What followed was an impulsive push through inefficiencies, climbing level by level toward pre-defined liquidity pools. Targets: TP1: 2.6464 — rebalancing zone TP2: 3.00 — clean inefficiency top TP3: 3.39 — liquidity magnet Trade thesis: Entry was set between 2.05–2.10, stop placed with precision below the OB. No guessing. Just calculated structure + narrative. I don’t chase moves. I let price come to my zone. And when it does, I strike with full conviction. Final words: “Your edge doesn’t scream. It sits quietly in imbalance — waiting.”
Long
by SmartFlowst
EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.16075 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.15775..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
AUD_JPY MOVE DOWN AHEAD|SHORT| ✅AUD_JPY made a retest of The strong horizontal resistance of 93.900 Level of 106.083 and as you Can see the pair is already Making a local pullback from The level which sends a clear Bearish signal to us therefore We will be expecting a Further bearish correction SHORT🔥 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅ 

 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by ProSignalsFx
1
Retail is 86% Long on GBPCHF… But Smart Money Is Setting a Trap📊 1. RETAIL SENTIMENT Long Positions: 86% – Average Entry: 1.1196 Short Positions: 14% – Average Entry: 1.0999 Current Price: 1.1010 Analysis: Retail positioning is heavily skewed towards longs, with the average long entry significantly above the current market price. This creates vulnerability to downside pressure through stop-loss hunting or a bearish squeeze. Such extreme retail bias often acts as a contrarian signal: smart money may continue pushing the price lower to flush out retail traders before any meaningful reversal occurs. 🧾 2. COMMITMENTS OF TRADERS – COT REPORT (June 10, 2025) 🔹 British Pound (GBP) Non-Commercials (Speculators): Net Long increasing by +7.4K → now at +51.6K Commercials (Hedgers): Net Short decreasing by -13.9K → now at -60.5K Total Open Interest: Decreased by -19K Interpretation: Speculators are maintaining strong long exposure on GBP, while commercials are covering some shorts—potentially signaling a short-term pause in bullish momentum. However, the drop in overall open interest suggests possible consolidation or short-term uncertainty. 🔹 Swiss Franc (CHF) Non-Commercials: Net Shorts reduced by -2.7K Commercials: Net Longs increased by +2.5K Total Open Interest: Increased by +5.6K Interpretation: The CHF is gaining strength. Commercial participants are increasing their long exposure while speculators reduce their shorts—this positive divergence supports a bullish outlook on CHF, especially against retail-heavy long pairs like GBP. 📈 3. CHF SEASONALITY – JUNE Average CHF Performance in June: 20-Year Avg: +0.0099 15-Year Avg: +0.0138 10-Year Avg: +0.0099 5-Year Avg: +0.0039 Analysis: Historically, June is a seasonally strong month for the Swiss Franc. This seasonal bias aligns with current macro conditions, reinforcing the bullish case for CHF. 📊 4. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (Daily Chart) Pattern: Descending channel with a recent false breakdown and re-entry Key Support Zone: 1.0980–1.1000 → tested and defended with a bullish wick Target Resistance: 1.1170–1.1200 → prior retail cluster, supply zone, and average long entry Scenario: A confirmed breakout of the channel could trigger a short squeeze toward 1.1170–1.1200 📌 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK The current GBP/CHF setup is technically and sentimentally delicate. The price sits on a major daily demand zone, while sentiment and macro flows suggest downside pressure remains in play—but also allow room for a potential contrarian rally (short squeeze). 👉 Action Plan: Wait for intraday/daily confirmation: Go long above 1.1045 (breakout confirmation) → target 1.1170 Go short below 1.0980 (bearish continuation) → target 1.0860
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
4
The FVG told the story. The chart just caught upThis wasn’t a pump. It was a re-delivery. Price tapped into the daily Fair Value Gap, respected the zone, and printed structure off the low. The retracement didn’t break us — it loaded us. The logic: The move began from an untouched Daily FVG — clean displacement, low retest, and now price is working its way through old inefficiencies. There’s no breakout here. Just one thing: delivery. TP: 0.0163 — high timeframe imbalance resolution and prior volume pivot The setup didn’t beg. It whispered. And now it’s unfolding, with confluence from every angle — market structure, volume, and intention. Execution: Entry: 0.0109–0.0113 (already in the zone) SL: Below 0.0092 TP: 0.0163 Let others laugh at frogs. I’m here to extract liquidity from their disbelief. Final thought: “The move doesn’t care if you believe in it. It just needs a reason to unfold.”
Long
by SmartFlowst
$BANANOUSDT New ATH possible, nay, plausible?? An extreme local inverse head and shoulders formation can be observed in the area circled in white. trading just under local VWAP, great entry for anyone lacking potassium. HL double bottom observable on the daily chart. if recent trends continue to develop, a strong surge past $0.00162477 could lead to a increase in momentum. $0.00210914 would be the next resistance, although weaker than the one currently testing. if price continues to develop past $0.00236478, ill be looking for TP1 at $0.00274825, another rough patch through til $0.00339408 follows, about 50% thru that zone would be a good TP2 and 100% thru the zone would be my TP3. the last major resistance would be at $0.00385154 (TP4). after that, a new ATH for COINEX:BANANOUSDT becomes an increasing plausibility. i am long potassium at $0.00143801 ANYONE HAVE MUSCLE CRAMPS?
Long
by NightmanDaymansAntagonist
2
ETHUSD: Next Move Is Down! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse ETHUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 2,545.9 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 2,529.4..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
EURUSD: Will Go Up! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.15524 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.15663.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Long
by FreeXauusdSignals