What is Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA)?🔵 What is Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA)?
Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) is a timeless investment strategy that involves investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, regardless of the asset's price. It’s one of the most effective ways to build a position over time while minimizing the impact of market volatility.
The term "Dollar Cost Averaging" was popularized in the early 20th century by Benjamin Graham — the father of value investing and mentor to Warren Buffett. Graham advocated DCA as a way to remove emotions and guesswork from investing. By spreading out purchases, investors could avoid mistiming the market and reduce risk exposure.
Today, DCA remains a core strategy for retail investors, especially in volatile markets like cryptocurrencies and growth stocks.
🔵 How Does DCA Work?
The concept is simple: instead of investing a lump sum all at once, you break your total investment into smaller, equal parts and invest them over time — for example, weekly or monthly.
Invest $100 every week into Bitcoin.
Keep buying consistently — regardless of whether price goes up or down.
Over time, this smooths out your average entry price.
You buy more when price is low, and less when price is high.
Example:
If BTC is at $30,000 one month, you buy a small amount.
If BTC drops to $25,000 the next month, you buy more units with the same $100.
Over time, your entry price averages out — reducing the risk of buying at a peak.
🔵 Why Use DCA?
DCA offers both psychological and mathematical advantages:
Reduces timing risk: You don’t need to predict market tops or bottoms.
Builds discipline: Encourages consistent investing habits.
Prevents emotional mistakes: Avoids FOMO buying and panic selling.
Smooths volatility: Especially useful in crypto or fast-moving assets.
🔵 Smart DCA: Buying Into Market Bottoms
While classic DCA is powerful on its own, it becomes even more effective when combined with market structure. A popular approach is to only DCA when the asset is trading below its long-term average — such as the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) or using RSI (Relative Strength Index).
What is the 200-day SMA?
It’s the average closing price over the last 200 days — a key indicator of long-term trend direction.
Why DCA Below the 200 SMA?
Historically, many market bottoms occur below the 200 SMA. Using this as a filter helps you avoid accumulating during overvalued or overheated conditions.
SDCA with RSI
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) helps identify momentum exhaustion. When RSI drops below 30, it often marks deeply oversold conditions — especially on the daily chart for BTC.
How to use it:
Only DCA when price is below the 200-day SMA.
You accumulate during crashes, fear, and corrections.
Avoid buying when price is extended far above long-term value.
🔵 Scaling DCA Based on Undervaluation
To further optimize the strategy, you can scale your DCA amounts depending on how far below the 200 SMA the price is.
Example:
Price is 5% below 200 SMA → invest normal amount.
Price is 15% below → double your investment.
Price is 25% below → triple your investment.
This creates a dynamic DCA system that responds to market conditions — helping you build larger positions when prices are truly discounted.
🔵 When DCA Doesn’t Work
Like any strategy, DCA has limitations. It’s not magic — just a system to reduce timing errors.
In strong uptrends, a lump sum investment can outperform DCA.
In declining assets with no recovery (bad fundamentals), DCA becomes risky.
DCA works best on quality assets with long-term growth potential.
Always combine DCA with research and risk management — don’t blindly accumulate assets just because they’re down.
🔵 Final Thoughts
Dollar Cost Averaging isn’t about buying the exact bottom — it’s about consistency , discipline , and risk control . Whether you’re investing in Bitcoin, stocks, or ETFs, DCA offers a stress-free approach to enter the market and smooth out volatility over time.
Smart traders take it one step further: using moving averages and structure to focus their DCA efforts where value is highest.
DCA won’t make you rich overnight — but it will help you sleep at night.
This article is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always do your own research and invest responsibly.
Investing
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 13, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index has displayed both upward and downward movements throughout this week's trading session, narrowly missing the targeted Outer Index Rally level of 6073. Currently, the index is characterized by a bearish trend, warranting attention towards the Mean Support level of 5940, with additional critical support identified at 5888.
Conversely, there exists a significant potential that, upon reaching the Mean Support of 5940, the index may recover and rise to the Mean Resistance level of 6046. This upward movement could facilitate an interim rally, culminating in the completion of the Outer Index Rally at 6073 and enabling the index to address the Key Resistance level positioned at 6150.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 13, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current trading session, the Eurodollar has exhibited notable volatility, mirroring patterns observed in the preceding week. The currency has surpassed both the Mean Resistance level of 1.145 and the Key Resistance level of 1.151, subsequently retesting the significant completed Outer Currency Rally level at 1.157.
Recent analyses indicate that the Euro is likely to revisit both the Key Resistance and the completed Outer Currency Rally and expand further to the next Outer Currency Rally of 1.177 in the forthcoming trading session(s). However, there exists a potential for a continuation of the downward trend from the current level, which could lead to the price action targeting the Mean Support level at 1.149 and possibly a further extension to the Mean Support level at 1.140.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 13, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Throughout the past week, Bitcoin has exhibited considerable volatility. After reaching a peak at the first Mean Resistance level of 109500, the cryptocurrency experienced a significant decline. Nevertheless, on Friday, Bitcoin demonstrated a notable recovery, ascending to a newly established resistance now designated as the new Mean Resistance level marked at 110300.
At this juncture, Bitcoin is retracing downward as it retests the initial Mean Support level of 104000 while aiming to target the Mean Support at 101500 and the ultimate Inner Coin Dip at 96500. It is essential to recognize the potential for an upward rally from the Mean Support levels of $ 104,000 and/or $ 101,500, which could culminate in a retest of the Mean Resistance level of $ 110,300.
What's going on with $OSCR? Let's break it down!🚨 What's going on with NYSE:OSCR ? Let's break it down! 👇
📌 Long-term investors: Every dip = buy/add opportunity
📌 Traders: Short term, we may fill the $13.31 GAP
🔹 Massive volume shelf & consolidation between $11-$17 for nearly 2 years—the bigger the base, the bigger the breakout!
🔹 Rising trendline since April lows—if this breaks, expect a move to $13.31 GAP, possibly $11-$12. Strong support here unless bad news or a market correction hits.
🔹 Break above $18.27 (earnings pop) = 🚀 $20+ short term
🔹 200DMA rejection after retest from below = bearish short term
🔹 WR% is making a lower low instead of swinging higher—watching this closely.
🧐 Overall: We’re in a consolidation phase—when it moves, expect it to be quick & explosive 🔥 Best strategy: DCA & wait for the inevitable surge to $20+ (barring major setbacks).
Stay patient. Stay focused. NYSE:OSCR ’s move is coming! 💪
PayPal: Rebound or Rerun?PayPal in 2025: A breakout with backbone or just another spineless fintech?
PayPal is still in the rehabilitation ward after its fall from grace in 2021. Management drama, growth slowdown — the full fintech fatigue package. But something has shifted behind the scenes. A new CEO is cutting costs, AI integration is being whispered about, and earnings have started to surprise again. Wall Street pretends not to notice — but volume tells a different story.
Technically, we’re looking at a well-formed inverse head and shoulders. The neckline stretches from $72.00 to $74.76, aligning with the 0.5 Fibonacci level. A confirmed breakout above this zone opens the path to a clear target at $93.66 — the 1.0 Fibonacci extension. Multiple EMA clusters and strong pattern symmetry reinforce the setup. But no fairy tales here: the real entry comes after a retest. Without confirmation, it’s just another pretty formation for chart enthusiasts.
$HIMS setting up for its next big move—here’s what I’m watching!🔥 NYSE:HIMS setting up for its next big move—here’s what I’m watching! 🔥
📉 Eyeing momentum down to $44-$48, and I’m not mad about it!
🔄 That flip from resistance to support is key for long-term price growth.
🚀 Bull flag breakout could come sooner—stay locked in! Keeping an eye on it all for the next trade entry on this beast!
💬 What’s your take? Are we bouncing or breaking out? Drop your thoughts below! ⬇️
SPX 500 to 17,000 in 7 years.This chart represents the S&P 500, showcasing its performance over time, including quarterly data.
It captures everything.
Every recession.
Every war.
Every president.
Every variation of the monetary base as superpowers rise and fall.
Whenever I hear a bear in the stock market declare that THE TOP has been reached, and we are about to CRASH -50% to -90%
I find myself drawn to these comprehensive long term charts.
If the bulls are genuinely in control and we have merely undergone an intermediate-term correction, then the long-term bull market that commenced at the 2009 low remains robust, with many more years ahead.
The chart also illustrates that the three significant bull market phases typically last around 18-20 years following a major breakout.
And they yield a comparable number of X's.
It's all quite fascinating, if you ask me.
See you in the future!
Stocks & ETF : Breaking out and Ready for Massive Bull runBelow is the list of stocks and ETFs that are in the early stage of breakout with ultra volume level. Good time to buy.
NSE:SCHNEIDER
NSE:ASAHIINDIA
NSE:HINDZINC
NSE:ABREL
NSE:TATAINVEST
NSE:UJJIVANSFB
NSE:PNBHOUSING
NSE:BANDHANBNK
NSE:DLF
NSE:ICICIGI
NSE:IDFCFIRSTB
NSE:SHRIRAMFIN
NSE:AUTOBEES
NSE:INDUSINDBK
NSE:ABB
NSE:TATACHEM
NSE:GODREJPROP
NSE:SIGNATURE
NSE:JPPOWER
NSE:HFCL
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) - Daily Price Consolidation Under ResistanceBitcoin (BTCUSD) price has been in a short-term downtrend since June 2025.
Price is currently consolidating under $106,000 resistance.
Watching to see if an evening star candle pattern prints on the daily chart, for a very-short-term pullback.
Support targets: $105,000, $104,000, $101,000, $100,000.
Resistance targets: $107,000, $109,000, $110,000, $112,000.
Bitcoin has been correlating with the USA stock market, tech stocks, consumer sentiment, and breaking news.
$OSCR 190% Upside! The MASSIVE move is already in MOTION! The MASSIVE move on NYSE:OSCR is already in MOTION! 🚀
🎯 Targets:
2025 = $28+
2026 = $35+
2027 = $45+
Falling Wedge Breakout
Approaching CupnHandle breakout
WR% Is swinging from green to red
MACD is about to flip bullish
Massive Volume Shelf launch
Fundamentals are next level
Massively undervalued
What else could you want?!
📈 Breakout confirmed. Momentum building. Smart money positioning. Are you ready?! 👇
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 6, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index has demonstrated an upward trajectory during this week's trading session, surpassing the established Outer Index Rally level of 5955 and the Key Resistance level of 5965. Currently, the index is exhibiting a bullish trend, with a focus on the Outer Index Dip target, set at 6073. Furthermore, additional critical levels have been identified, including Key Resistance at 6150 and the Next Outer Index Rally at 6235. Conversely, there is a potential decline in index prices from the current level or upon completion of the Outer Index Dip 6073, which may lead to a retest of the Mean Support at 5940, with the possibility of extending the pullback to the Mean Support at 5888.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 6, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current trading session, the Eurodollar has exhibited notable volatility, mirroring patterns observed in the previous week. The currency surpassed a significant Mean Resistance level of 1.142 and encountered substantial resistive price action near the crucial Key Resistance level of 1.151. Recent analyses indicate that the Euro is likely to approach the critical Mean Support level at 1.137 and may decline to the subsequent Mean Support level at 1.129. Nevertheless, there exists the possibility of an upward movement from the current level or the Mean Support at 1.137, which could result in a target Mean Resistance of 1.145 and a retest of the Key Resistance at 1.151.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 6, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has experienced a notable downturn throughout the week; however, on Friday, it made a substantial upward movement, effectively recovering all previous losses. It is currently positioned to establish a temporary pause at the Mean Resistance level of $106,000, which may facilitate the development of upward momentum from this point. This situation may pose challenges to achieving the Inner Coin Rally target of $ 114,500, which is contingent upon the Mean Resistance at $ 109,500 and Key Resistance at $ 111,700. It is essential to acknowledge the possibility of a downward pullback from the Mean Resistance level of $106,000, which could result in a decline toward the Mean Support level of $101500.
Nu Holdings: Is Latin America's Fintech Star Sustainable?Nu Holdings Ltd. stands as a prominent neobank, revolutionizing financial services across Latin America. The company leverages the region's accelerating smartphone adoption and burgeoning digital payment trends, offering a comprehensive suite of services from checking accounts to insurance. Nu's impressive trajectory includes acquiring 118.6 million customers, accumulating $54 billion in assets, and consistently demonstrating robust revenue and net income growth, primarily driven by its strong presence in Brazil, Mexico, and Colombia; - this strategic alignment with digital transformation positions Nu as a significant player in the evolving financial landscape.
Despite its remarkable expansion and optimistic projections for continued customer and asset growth, Nu faces notable financial headwinds. The company experiences an erosion in its net interest margin (NIM), influenced by increased funding costs from attracting new, high-quality customers and a strategic shift towards lower-yield, secured lending products. Furthermore, the depreciation of the Brazilian Real and Mexican Peso against the US dollar impacts their reported earnings. Nu's ambitious ventures, such as the NuCel mobile phone service, require substantial capital investments, introducing execution risks and demanding efficient capital allocation.
Beyond internal financial dynamics, a significant, albeit external, geopolitical risk looms: a potential Chinese invasion of Taiwan. This event would trigger a global embargo on China, leading to unprecedented supply chain disruptions, widespread stagflation, and hyperinflation worldwide. Such a catastrophic economic cascade would profoundly impact Nu Holdings, even given its regional focus. It would likely result in drastically reduced consumer spending, a surge in loan defaults, severe challenges in accessing funding, further currency devaluations, and soaring operational costs, thereby threatening the company's stability and growth prospects.
Ultimately, Nu Holdings presents a compelling growth narrative rooted in its innovative model and strong market penetration. However, internal pressures from evolving interest margins and high capital expenditure, combined with the low-probability but high-impact global economic upheaval stemming from geopolitical tensions, necessitate a cautious and comprehensive assessment. Investors must weigh Nu's demonstrated success against these complex, intertwined risks, acknowledging that its future prosperity is inextricably linked to both regional economic stability and the broader global geopolitical climate.
GOOG In Trouble!I first started warning about GOOG back on March 18, 2025
Since GOOG has formed this big bear flag outside the structure in the middle of nowhere.
This is an indication of more weakness to come!
GTF out is in order for bulls. It is better to be out of the market wishing you were in and then in the market wishing you were out!
I can only provide the setup. The rest is up to you.
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SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Price Testing Resistance Trendline - DailySPY (S&P500 ETF) price is currently testing a resistance trendline above ($593 to $595 price levels).
SPY price in the medium-term has been uptrending since April and May 2025.
SPY price in the short-term has been consolidating sideways, and a large volume breakout or breakdown has not occurred yet.
The 12EMA (blue line) has been holding as support for 5 trading days. Resistance targets to the upside would be $598 to $600.
The grey gap and the 26EMA (purple line) are downside support targets if a rally does not occur this month ($576 to $567).
Breaking news and tariff trade deals are supposed to occur in June and July 2025.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) - Price Testing 26EMA and 12EMA - Daily ChartBitcoin (BTCUSDT) price is currently testing the 26EMA and 12EMA price levels on the Daily chart.
Bitcoin price has been in a medium-term uptrend since April and May 2025.
However, a short-term downtrend pullback has occurred and the price recently bounced up from the 26EMA zone ($104,000).
A morning star candle price pattern printed above the 26 EMA support line.
Large buyer volume could confirm the price candle pattern and Bitcoin price could rally up above 12EMA resistance ($106,000).
If price continues to reject and fall below $106,000 the downtrend would likely continue into June 2025.
Breaking news and stock market correlations could affect the price of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.
Tariff news and trade deals are supposed to occur throughout June and July 2025.
EURUSD CRACK!I first turned bullish on the EUR back in November 2024 after the disastrous election results.
I have always felt the 105 area was a good area to go long, fundamentally going back all the way to 2017. Here is an example.
After 17 years of data, we can all agree that the 105 area was a great value to get long the EUR. Now we see a major CRACK! in the chart with the fundamentals to back it up.
Again, I remind you I am a MACRO Trader. So my trades hold for a long, long time unless the facts change. I don't do 3 pips and i am out crap!
Let this be a WARNING! To the dollar bulls!
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