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J-BTC

BTC 4H – Repeating Accumulation Pattern, But Will It Hold Again?Bitcoin has shown a clear structural tendency to consolidate for ~43 days at key demand zones before breaking to new highs. This 4H chart highlights three nearly identical accumulation phases, each lasting around 260 bars with a clear base, fakeout, and bullish continuation. We’re now sitting in the fourth demand zone, with price revisiting the same volume pocket and reclaiming key structure. If history repeats, we may be looking at another breakout leg above $124K+. Key observations: – Each consolidation zone lasted ~43 days – Volume decreases into the base → demand absorption – Reclaim of structure precedes each leg up – Current consolidation mirrors previous 3 (in time, shape, and volume) ⚠️ A clean break below ~$112K would invalidate the pattern and suggest deeper retracement. Are we seeing another accumulation leg… or distribution in disguise? Drop your thoughts below. #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Crypto #TradingView #PriceAction #MarketStructure #BTC4H #CryptoAnalysis #Accumulation #Wyckoff #SwingTrading #PatternRecognition #TechnicalAnalysis
by Quant_Trading_Pro
ETH/BTC Golden Cross Ignites This is ETH/BTC on the daily chart. The golden cross is now confirmed: 50MA has officially crossed above the 200MA. Price reacted immediately, jumping straight to the 0.786 Fib level at 0.0347 a key resistance. This confirms the bullish structure we’ve been tracking: – Golden cross ✅ – Breakout above 200MA ✅ – Push into major resistance ✅ Now all eyes are on the 0.0347 zone. If price can flip it into support, momentum could accelerate quickly. Always take profits and manage risk. Interaction is welcome.
Long
by vagada
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #144👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into Bitcoin analysis. Today is the first day of the week and Bitcoin has made a bullish move. ⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe After the weekly candle closed, Bitcoin made an upward move and pulled back up to the 0.5 Fibonacci zone. ✔️ The long trigger I provided yesterday in the 1-Hour timeframe has been activated. If you opened a short-term position, it has likely already hit the target. If it was a long-term position with a larger stop, then it should still be open for now. 💫 The current 4-Hour candle has wicked into the 0.5 Fibonacci zone, which indicates a strong rejection from this area. If the candle closes red, the probability of starting the next bearish wave will increase significantly. 📊 Besides the resistance from the Fibonacci level, the SMA25 is also overlapping with this zone, so this upward move could also be seen as a pullback to the SMA25 before another drop begins. ✨ However, the candle hasn't closed yet, so it's too early to decide anything. In my opinion, Bitcoin has re-entered a choppy and sideways phase that doesn’t provide good and clean positions — most trades like yesterday’s need to be scalps. 🔍 If a deeper correction happens, our lower support levels are already identified (with the most important one being the 110000 zone). For shorts, I’ll look for entries below 110000. As for longs, I’ll wait for confirmation and stabilization above 116000. For now, I’m only observing this box between 110000 and 116000. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
1
Bitcoin Range for August?Historically August has been a tough month for crypto in the past with mostly flat to negative returns. For that reason, although not a perfect science, I would not be surprised if we see a rangebound environment continuation for BTC. So what would that look like? Structurally there are three thirds to the range, currently price is looking to break through into the upper third after bouncing off the bottom third bullish orderblock. Trade setups will naturally present themselves as rotational plays both bullish and bearish at the extremes of each of the thirds but much larger trades from the range top and bottom. Altcoins are lagging behind BTC structurally so where BTC has been choppy for a few weeks, most large cap alts have hit their highs and are now looking to settle into a range before the next leg up.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ProR35
4
BITCOIN PREDICTION: THIS Breaks - and BTC WILL CRASH TO HERE!!!!Yello Paradisers! I’m sharing my Bitcoin prediction with you. We’re using technical analysis on TradingView, specifically Elliott Wave theory. On the ultra-high time frame, we noticed a Shooting star candlestick pattern. We’re analyzing the channel where the zigzag formation is occurring. We’re also looking at bearish divergence on the ultra-high time frame chart and the zigzag on the high time frame chart. There’s a bullish divergence visible there. The Fibonacci level at $108,000 is also noteworthy, as is the volume, which shows that bears are still in control on the medium timeframe. We’re also analyzing the head and shoulders target plus bearish divergence on the low time frame. On the low time frame, we’re looking at the impulse of the flat C, which is an expanded flat and is currently creating its fourth wave. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
8
04/08/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $119,809.82 Last weeks low: $111,917.76 Midpoint: $115,863.79 First net outflow for BTC in seven weeks (-$643m) following the FOMC data release and also month end. Yet again no change by the FED but the chances of Septembers FOMC giving us a rate cut has drastically increased, currently at a 78.5% chance of a 25Bps cut. Month end usually gives us a pullback/sell-off as larger institutions window dress which often includes de-risking somewhat. We saw this last Thursday combined with the weekends typical lower volume has resulted in quite a significant correction for BTC. Altcoins have down the same as many assets reject from HTF resistance areas, the correction has been on the cards and isn't too worrying on the face of it. What I would say is August seasonality is generally not a bullish month and so expecting price to rebound and extend the rally would go against historical trends. I could see more of a ranging environment taking place for several weeks before any next leg up is possible. This week I would like to see where altcoins find support and establish a trading range where some rotational setups tend to present themselves.
by ProR35
Watching for intraday BTC bounce firstMorning folks, So, neither NFP data nor technical picture helped BTC to stay above 117. While US Treasury is started drain liquidity and borrow (they need 1 Trln this month), sending ~ 150 Bln to its TGA account with the Fed - BTC got hurt. Now price stands at vital area - previous tops. If BTC will drop under 110K, collapse could start. Let's hope that this will not happen... Meantime, we're at 112-113K support. We already talked about it before. Here we have reversal bar and bullish engulfing pattern, so maybe we could get a bit higher pullback on intraday chart. 113.8 and 113.1K support areas on 1H TF might be considered for long entry. Invalidation point for this plan is the low of engulfing pattern.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin reach its previous ATH?!Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its short-term descending channel. In case of an upward correction, Bitcoin can be sold from the specified supply zone, which is also at the intersection of the ceiling of the descending channel. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. In recent days, Bitcoin has stabilized below the $120,000 mark, a development that reflects increasing structural maturity in the market and strong institutional capital inflows. Unlike in previous cycles, where price rallies were largely driven by retail hype, the current liquidity flows are channeled through regulated and professional instruments like ETFs. During the month of July alone, Bitcoin ETFs attracted over $6 billion in inflows, marking the third-highest monthly inflow in their history. Leading this trend were BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC, which together recorded more than $1.2 billion in net inflows within a single week. This signals a shift in trust from traditional investors toward crypto markets—within transparent, traceable, and regulated frameworks. On-chain metrics further validate this shift. The MVRV ratio, which compares market value to realized value, is currently fluctuating between 2.2 and 2.34. These levels do not indicate profit-taking extremes nor fear of major corrections, but instead point to a healthy and rationally profitable market. Meanwhile, the supply of Bitcoin held in non-exchange wallets is rising, while exchange-held balances have dropped to their lowest levels in a decade, now accounting for just 1.25% of total supply. This trend implies reduced short-term selling pressure, as coins transition from liquid to long-term holdings. Trader behavior is also evolving. Unlike previous bull runs, profit-taking remains controlled. The SOPR index, which measures realized profit relative to purchase price, has not yet reached saturation levels. This suggests that current holders are not satisfied with existing gains and are anticipating higher price levels. Furthermore, metrics like daily active addresses remain stable, indicating a lack of speculative retail influx. The network’s current dynamics resemble those of mature traditional markets, where investment decisions are guided by analysis, discipline, and long-term perspective. Analysts at major financial institutions believe that if this trend continues, Bitcoin could reach targets of $180,000 to $200,000 by year-end. A more conservative scenario places the $95,000 to $100,000 range as a strong support zone—especially if political, regulatory, or macroeconomic pressures intensify. Overall, the convergence of institutional capital, rational trader behavior, stable on-chain conditions, and regulatory clarity has transformed Bitcoin into a more structured and dependable asset than ever before. Ultimately, Bitcoin is no longer just a speculative tool. It has secured its role as a legitimate asset within the portfolios of global financial institutions. Even if the pace of capital inflow is slower than in previous cycles, the underlying structure is more robust and sustainable—offering a clearer path toward broader global adoption and higher valuation. Nonetheless, recent data from CryptoQuant suggests that long-term Bitcoin holders (LTHs) have begun net selling near the $120,000 resistance zone—a psychologically significant level in Bitcoin’s price history. Analysts interpret this as a potential sign that veteran investors—those who entered during earlier market cycles—are now realizing profits as prices reach historic highs. If short-term holders follow suit, this shift could amplify selling pressure and trigger heightened price volatility.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
$BTC Breaking Down. Price bleeds, conviction doesn’t.Price bleeds, conviction doesn’t. This was originally posted previously <24hrs but was hidden due to a link. Here is the pic of the original so you can see S1 bounced perfectly, lets see how much momentum we can get. OG Thread continued.. Is this the dip worth buying? BTC is retesting key quant support zones after a high-volume rejection near $116K. Despite the short-term dip, structure remains bullish from a mid-term lens. • Quant Support Levels • S1: $112,412 • S2: $110,935 • S3: $108,711 • Resistance Levels: • R1: $116,113 • R2: $118,337 • R3: $119,814 On chain metrics: • On-chain data confirms short-term holder capitulation into high-ownership clusters at $112K–$110K. • Volatility contraction suggests a base-building phase, not a breakdown. • Cup-and-handle formation remains valid on higher timeframes. • Institutional Context: • Accumulation increasing below $115K. • Analysts projecting breakout potential to $129K–$133K if BTC can reclaim the $116.1K pivot. Quant traders are eyeing this pullback as a healthy setup — not a breakdown. I believe these are perfect accumulation levels anywhere in the blue square should be fine for a play to the upside. Want Quant levels? Let me know!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by crypticwaves
Bearish reversal?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 117,036.07 1st Support: 111,931.87 1st Resistance: 121,138.50 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by ICmarkets
The key is whether it can rise above 115854.56 Hello, traders! Follow us to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) The key is whether it can rise above the newly created DOM (60) indicator point of 119086.64. If this fails and the price declines, we need to check for support near the previous all-time high (ATH) of 108,353.0. Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is rising near 108,353.0, this area is expected to serve as important support and resistance. - (1D chart) This period of volatility is expected to continue until August 6th. Therefore, the key question is whether the price can rise above 115,854.56 and maintain its upward momentum. If not, further declines are likely. - To rise above 115,856.56, - The StochRSI indicator must rise within the oversold zone and remain above K > D. - The On-Bottom Volume indicator must continue its upward trend with OBV > OBVEMA. - The TC (Trend Check) indicator should maintain an upward trend. (If possible, it's best to rise above the 0 point.) If the above conditions are met and the price rises above 115854.56, it is expected to attempt to rise above 119177.56. This period of volatility is a significant period of volatility. Therefore, if the price falls below the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range and encounters resistance during this period, you should prepare for further declines. - The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range. However, if the price rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, a stepwise upward trend is likely, while a decline in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range is likely to result in a stepwise downward trend. Therefore, a split trading strategy is recommended as the basic trading strategy. When executing a trade, appropriate profit taking secures the liquidity of your investment, giving you the opportunity to seize new opportunities. To achieve this, you should consider your intended investment horizon before initiating the trade and divide the trade accordingly. - The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is currently at 89294.25. Therefore, I believe the market believes it's in a position to take profit. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. -------------------------------------------------- - This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
3
ETH | Ethereum - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25📈 Market Context: Traders are currently anticipating a potential 0.25% rate cut at the September FOMC meeting, which continues to support the broader bullish outlook. While the market pulled back following weaker-than-expected Non-Farm Payroll data, overall sentiment remains optimistic. Greed has cooled off into a more neutral stance. Historically, August often brings some consolidation or pullbacks — but the structural bias for crypto market remains bullish. 🧾 Weekly Recap: ETH started the retracement movement after building a bullish trend over the past couple of weeks. It’s mainly being affected by Bitcoin's bearishness, so we’re closely following BTC’s price action. ETH has tapped into the Weekly Fair Value Gap, which is a key level for me. We may see a bounce from here. 📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan: I expect to see another low on ETH before we go up — as I’m also anticipating one more leg down on Bitcoin. So I’ll wait for a final bearish expansion and a trap for late sellers before positioning for longs. After that, I want to see price closing above the purple line at $3500. 🎯 Setup Trigger: A candle close above the $3500 level will be my signal to look for long setups. 📋 Trade Management: Stoploss: Below the swing low that breaks above $3500 Take Profit: Targeting $3870, but will trail and lock in aggressively in case of deeper downside expansion. 💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
6
BTC | Bitcoin - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25📈 Market Context: Traders are currently anticipating a potential 0.25% rate cut at the September FOMC meeting, which continues to support the broader bullish outlook. While the market pulled back following weaker-than-expected Non-Farm Payroll data, overall sentiment remains optimistic. Greed has cooled off into a more neutral stance. Historically, August often brings some consolidation or pullbacks — but the structural bias for Bitcoin remains bullish. 🧾 Weekly Recap: • After printing new all-time highs, BTC began a healthy retracement. • Price action closely mirrored the Nasdaq's (NQ) pullback during the week. • We saw a small bounce mid-week, but no strong reversal confirmation yet. 📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan: → I’m watching for price to revisit the long-term bullish trendline. → A slight deviation into the HTF demand zone would be ideal for long entries. → Bonus confluence: This area also aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (Equilibrium level), providing a key discount zone. 🎯 Setup Trigger: I’ll be watching for a confirmed bullish break of structure (BOS) on the 1H–4H timeframes to signal a reversal. On confirmation, I’ll look to enter a swing long position. 📋 Trade Management: • Stoploss: Below the 1H–4H demand swing low • Take Profit: → I’ll trail stops and lock in profits aggressively → Main target: $119,820 💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
Smart Money Watching This Line — Are You?Bitcoin is holding strong above a key trendline that has acted as dynamic support since March. Every time price touched this line, buyers stepped in, and once again, it’s doing its job. What was once resistance has now flipped into solid support. The recent pullback seems healthy, and the price is trying to bounce from the trendline area again. As long as CRYPTOCAP:BTC respects this structure, the bullish momentum remains intact. If it holds, we could see another leg up from here. DYOR, NFA Thanks for reading!
Long
by unichartz
NeoWave Alert: BTC G-Wave Sets Up a Brutal Drop After $116K PumpAs anticipated in our previous NeoWave analysis, the market appears to be deep within Wave G of a Contracting Diametric structure (A–G), originating from the March 2025 high. ⸻ 🔻 Key Developments: • After rejecting from $119,000–119,500 (Wave F resistance), price dipped to $112,000, breaking below the previous channel’s lower bound, and now appears to be forming a steeper descending channel. • This new channel’s resistance has shifted lower to $116,000, becoming a potential bull trap zone. • The bounce from $112K is likely a liquidity sweep, preparing for one final upside to $116K, followed by aggressive distribution. ⸻ 💡 Trading Thesis: We’re likely seeing a trap-style rally within Wave G, aiming to: • Attract liquidity up to $116K • Induce late longs before initiating a more violent selloff toward $105K or lower ⸻ 🔍 Smart Money Confluence (SMC / ICT) • 🟥 Confirmed bearish structure on 1H (Lower Highs + BOS) • 🟨 Liquidity above $120K already swept during Wave F • 📉 Order blocks around 119.5K rejected • 🔻 Price currently trades above $114K, but trapped inside a sharper descending range • 🧲 Unfilled FVGs between $113K–$110K may serve as magnets ⸻ 🧠 Wave G Structure (Diametric) • Possibly unfolding as a Zigzag or Complex Combination • Channel boundary now capped at $116K • Wave G likely targets a breakdown below Wave E ($113K) and toward $105K ⸻ 📌 Primary Scenario: • Final push to $116K → strong rejection expected • Bearish continuation targeting $110K → $105K 🧯 Invalidations: • Clean breakout & daily close above $120.5K invalidates this diametric structure • Watch for triangle or flat morphing if structure shifts ⸻ ⚠️ Risk Management: • $116K = key distribution zone • Watch closely for rejection and breakdown confirmation • Shorts valid below $114K with tight invalidation above $117K ⸻ 📌 Conclusion: Bitcoin is nearing the climax of a multi-month complex correction. The current setup favors a liquidity trap toward $116K, followed by continuation of Wave G toward major demand zones. Smart money bias remains bearish below $117K. ⸻ 💬 Drop your alternate wave counts or SMC confirmations in the comments!
Long
by CryptoPilot
Bitcoin: 113K Support Bounce Buy Signal.Bitcoin has retraced thanks mostly to "unexpected" revisions to labor market statistics. While this move has many making outrageous forecasts, price has simply retraced to the 113K support levels and has generated a swing trade long signal (break of 114K). IF the momentum stays intact, it is within reason to anticipate a test of the low 120K's while a more aggressive expectations would be a break out into the 130K's. Keep in mind if 123K is broken, even by a small amount, that would confirm the current movement as the wave 5 of 5 which means it becomes the most vulnerable to a broader correction. This NFP report and BLS situation is the perfect example of a catalyst that NO ONE in the financial "expert" space saw coming. Even Chairman Powell on Wednesday was pointing out how stable employment growth has been and emphasized the importance of this statistic for their rate decisions. Which means the Federal Reserve is making decisions based on totally inaccurate data. Which also means the entire market has been priced completely wrong for months. My point is, "official" information that you may be basing your investments on can be totally inaccurate and can be revealed out of nowhere. This risk alone puts every investor at the mercy of the market and why it is so important to recognize the limitations of ANY market information through the lens of RISK management. I have been writing about a potential bullish range breakout beyond 120K for a test of the 130s OR if the range support breaks instead, to watch for a test of the key support at 113K. There is NO way to know which way the market will choose in advance, it all depends on the outcomes of specific events which act as catalysts for one scenario or the other. This is why being knowledgeable about wave counts and other forecasting techniques can be very helpful in terms of gauging risk and potential. And based on this, AS LONG AS the 108K area is NOT overlapped, the current price structure is still within the boundaries of a bullish sub wave 4. This is why I am still short term bullish on Bitcoin and why I believe the current buy signal has potential to test at least the low 120's in the coming weeks. IF the 108K area is broken instead, that reduce the chances of a short term bullish break out, and may be the proof that the broader Wave 5 structure is complete. The risk at this point can be measure from the 112K low area and nearest profit objective 118K which offers an attractive reward/risk. Measure everything from RISK first, and always be prepared to be wrong. If the market pays, consider it a gift. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by MarcPMarkets
17