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BTC Approaching Key Confluence Zone: Pivot + PRZ + LiquidationsBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) appears to have broken the Support lines and is currently declining . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a corrective wave C . The corrective wave structure is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect Bitcoin to start rising again from the Support zone($104,380-$103,660) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($104,471-$103,124) , Monthly Pivot Point , Support line , and 50_SMA(Daily) , and the small CME Gap($106,190-$106,150) will also fill. Note: Stop Loss: $102,520 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
14
₿itcoin: Holding steadySince our last update, Bitcoin has traded in a relatively stable range. As expected, there's still a strong case for the crypto leader to climb into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. However, a deeper pullback below the $100,000 mark remains a real possibility before that move unfolds. Regardless of the path it takes, we continue to expect Bitcoin to reach this upper zone, completing green wave B. From there, a corrective wave C—also in green—is likely to follow, driving the price down toward the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. This move would mark the end of the broader orange wave a. For now, we’re watching for a potential b-wave recovery before the final leg lower toward the bottom of blue wave (ii) takes shape. That said, there's still a 30% chance that blue wave (i) isn’t done yet and could extend significantly above $130,891 before any meaningful correction begins. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
Dollar's Decline: Global Economic ShiftsYou're probably wondering why I'm talking about the dollar on the Bitcoin chart. It's because I want you to look a few steps ahead. That's why this post is for people like that. 1. Global Economic Transformations: Collapse of the Jamaican Monetary System Insights and Logic: We are witnessing the end of the Jamaican monetary system, established in 1976 following the collapse of the Bretton Woods system. The Jamaican system's key feature is free (yet conditionally market-driven) exchange rates and the global dominance of the U.S. dollar. For decades, the U.S. utilized the dollar's reserve currency status to finance budget and trade deficits without equivalent value returns—a beneficial "global tax." Facts: Currently, over 60% of global reserves are denominated in dollars (IMF data), but diversification is accelerating. The U.S. is facing a "liquidity trap": to sustain markets, the Fed must print money, exacerbating inflation and weakening the dollar's global effectiveness. Analogy: Just as Nixon abolished the gold standard in 1971, we are now witnessing the abolition of the dollar's global standard—not abandoning the dollar as a reserve currency, but its monopoly. 2. Political Environment in the U.S.: Trump, Tariffs, and Managed Uncertainty Insights: Court decisions against Trump's tariffs are political tools, especially prior to congressional elections. Democrats aren't just fighting for power—they systematically undermine Trump's economic policies in voters' eyes. Systematic Explanation: Virtually any presidential decree in the U.S. can be challenged legally. Lower-court decisions rarely withstand appeals, yet they create temporary buffers allowing policy adjustments. This enables Trump to recalibrate his trade model systematically without losing face. Conclusion: The U.S. operates under "managed uncertainty," where seemingly chaotic political behaviors are structured adaptation mechanisms to global changes. 3. Mass Market and Sixth Technological Paradigm: NBIC as Foundation for Future Growth Insights: The future mass market will be built around NBIC technologies: * Nano—new materials and sensors; * Bio—biotech, genetic engineering, life extension; * Info—digital platforms, neural networks, blockchain; * Cogno—cognitive interfaces, AI, neural interfaces. Historical Analogy: Just as cars and mobile phones defined the mass market of the 20th century, longevity treatments, AI services, and neural devices will define the 21st century. Facts: Examples of current "false starts": Nvidia, Palantir, OpenAI—stock price volatility relates not to technology failures but premature valuation. Forecast: The next 20 years will see growth in new sectors, dominated by those capturing mass consumers, not just investors. 4. Digitalization and Geo-economics: Telegram, AI, and Control Facts: Telegram plans to integrate Grok neural network—a signal of the digital merger of communication, payment platforms, and behavioral analytics. Insight: Telegram as a future super-app: messaging, finance, AI assistance—all-in-one. This is a media reset: traditional platforms like Bloomberg and CNBC lose influence to those controlling data flows directly. Conclusion: Information landscapes become automated—algorithms, not journalists, manage narratives. 5. **Europe: From "Progress Locomotive" to Stagnation and Subcontracting** Facts: Germany has been in recession for three consecutive years. The average age is 46. Pension burdens and social standards make the economic model (Rhineland capitalism) unsustainable. Ideological Crisis: Europe is split into "transhumanist" (West) and "neoconservative" (East) factions. The neoconservative revolution is gaining ground in Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, Romania, and even eastern Germany. Conclusion: Europe is skipping the sixth technological paradigm, becoming a "comfortable but uncompetitive" zone. Europe's "Japanification"—a path without acute crises but also without growth. 6. Future Growth Centers: Asia and the Global South with Risks Facts and Locations: Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand—dynamic economies with high ROI and moderate political risks. Philippines, Taiwan—potential proxy-conflict zones between the U.S. and China. Logic: Global capital moves towards higher returns rather than better living standards. Asia becomes a new economic and geopolitical battleground similar to 20th-century Europe. 7. Role of Cryptocurrencies and USDT, USDC: Transition to Digital Dollar Facts: U.S. authorities view cryptocurrencies, especially USDT, as tools to reboot the dollar model. USDT effectively integrates the dollar into the crypto economy, maintaining Treasury demand and allowing dollar exports outside the U.S. Insights: Unlike CBDCs, the U.S. digital dollar (via stablecoins) enables global expansion rather than local control. The U.S. aims to lead the new monetary evolution—digital dominance instead of fiat. 8. Prospects in Latin America: Argentina, Mexico, and Risks Argentina Analysis: President Milei implements neoliberal reforms akin to Ukraine's: reduced state role and deregulation. Possible outcomes: deindustrialization, increased poverty, export dependency. Positives: No war risks, resource-rich (oil, wine, food), good medicine and education standards (legacy). Mexico: High growth yet severe crime levels—excellent for business, risky for life. 9. Global Hybrid War Instead of a Third World War Concept: Not a "world war" but a global hybrid war: multiple power centers, proxy conflicts, shifting alliances. Theaters of conflict: Asia (especially the South China Sea), potentially the Middle East and Africa. Strategic Conclusion: Avoid proxy countries; prefer "neutral dynamic" regions like Indonesia, Vietnam. About DXY I have been talking about the fall of the dollar index for a very long time. September is coming soon Best regards EXCAVO
by EXCAVO
23
Ascending Inverse H&S on the BTC weekly chartThe longer it takes to break above this neckline the higher the breakout target will be. I have arbitrarily placed the measured move line at July 18th 2025. If the breakout were to happen on that day the measured move target is around 208k, which could take quite awhile to reach or if we entered a truly hyperparabolic blow off top we could reach such a target way quicker than when the dotted measured move line reaches it. *not financial advice*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
BITCOIN All boxes checked. Couldn't be more bullish than this!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has filled numerous bullish conditions with the latest being holding the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. This is basically the 3rd time testing and holding it since June 05. Even if that doesn't hold, we have the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) directly below it as the ultimate long-term Support. This trend-line just so happens to be exactly on the neckline of the Right Shoulder on the long-term Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern that has been in development since December 17 2024. On top of all these, the market also formed a 1D Golden Cross a month ago, always a strong long-term bullish signal. IH&S patterns typically target their 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which sits at $168000. Is that another indication that Bitcoin is going after 150k at least on its next run? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
99K and 97.5K potential targetsMorning folks, As you can see, not occasionally last time we chose only nearest 107K and 109K targets. Market indeed looks a bit heavy. Now short-term context turns bearish and we consider reaching of 99K target as rather high. Next potential target area is 97.K - butterfly target and daily Fib support. Obviously now we do not consider any new longs and need some clear signs of sentiment changing, that we do not have by far. Let's see what will happen around support area
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
BVOL: Volatility Compression Before the Final ExpansionThis chart might not get as much attention as BTC dominance or TOTAL, but Bitcoin volatility (BVOL) is one of the cleanest leading indicators when it comes to identifying market tops and bottoms. Just look at the history — every major macro top or bottom in BTC price has correlated with a peak or trough in this chart. Whether it was the ATH in March 2024, the October 2024 breakout, or the deep pullbacks into key lows, BVOL has nailed the timing with precision. Right now, we’re seeing volatility compressing hard — currently sitting around 13.17 — and heading into my targeted demand zone which has historically marked major inflection points. 🧠 What does this mean? Volatility this low = market indecision + positioning. It’s when liquidity gets sucked dry before a major expansion move. My expectation is: - BVOL will soon hit demand and reverse - BTC will complete its current correction - Once volatility expands again, it likely aligns with a reversal and move into new ATHs — the final bullish phase of this cycle Just like in past cycles, low volatility precedes explosive directional moves. This current compression is setting the stage — once the lid comes off, the move is usually fast and decisive. ⚠️ Watch this closely. BTC correcting into demand + BVOL hitting this low = confluence for the next trending leg. Big picture context: We’re deep into the 4-year cycle structure, with a macro top expected into Q3/Q4 2025. This setup supports the idea that after this consolidation and volatility reset, BTC could make one final leg up before distribution begins. Let the volatility tell the story — it usually whispers before it roars.
BITMEX:BVOLLong
by marshyyy
2
Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Structure – Technical BreakdownBitcoin 4-Year Cycle Structure – Technical Breakdown This chart examines Bitcoin’s historical 4-year cycle behaviour, focusing on the repeating market structure observed across the last three cycles: Bull Market → Bear Market → Accumulation/Recovery → Halving → Expansion. Key Observations: 🔹 Cycle Timing Consistency Each of the past three cycles has shown a consistent duration between the halving and the final bull market peak—typically between 500–550 days. Based on that timing, the current cycle suggests we are still ~100 days away from a potential macro top. 🔹 Post-Halving Correction is Expected Corrections shortly after the halving have historically marked mid-cycle retracements, not macro tops. The current pullback is structurally aligned with the 2017 and 2021 expansions, where Bitcoin consolidated before pushing to final highs. 🔹 Altcoin Market Segments Lagging TOTAL2 (Total Market Cap excluding BTC) TOTAL3 (Excluding BTC & ETH) OTHERS (Altcoins excluding top 10 by market cap) All remain below their prior cycle all-time highs, which historically occurs before the full market cycle concludes. These segments often accelerate after BTC has established dominance, typically in the later stages of the bull market. 🔹 USDT Dominance Suggests More Upside USDT.D is still trending down, which historically reflects increasing risk appetite and capital rotation into crypto assets. Prior cycle tops have aligned with much lower dominance levels, indicating further downside risk for USDT.D, and potential upside for crypto markets. Conclusion: Despite short-term volatility, the technical structure across Bitcoin and broader market indicators suggests the cycle remains in its expansion phase. Timing models, altcoin lag, and dominance signals all point to further upside potential before a full cycle peak is in. 1W: 1M:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by marshyyy
BTC – Stop Hunt at the Edge of ValueThis is what a liquidity raid looks like. Price just swept the bottom of the range, tapped into the low-volume zone (as seen on the volume profile), and reclaimed — classic sign of a trap sprung. Key points: The downtrend line labeled “comp” = compression — bulls forced to capitulate into a thin zone High probability deviation with stop run and reclaim — this fuels the next move up The green box shows risk-defined entry off the sweep low Targeting the prior high: 106,787 Volume imbalance filled = no inefficiency above — price can now move cleanly Execution mindset: Trap spring → retrace into structure → expansion Risk is clear, liquidity is engineered, structure remains Late shorts just became the fuel. Watch the reclaim of the box top. If that flips support, we ride momentum. 📈 For more setups like this — including pre-breakout traps — check the description in the profile.
by SmartFlowsI
BTCUSD: Nowhere near a top yet.Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.257, MACD = 443.000, ADX = 29.912) due to high volatility recently but the bullish long term trend is intact and even more so, hasn't yet started the year-end rally. The Mayer Multiple Bands have always priced a Cycle's Top on their red trendline so no matter how high that may seem from the current market price, the TP zone should be between the orange (2 Stdev above) and red (3 Stdev above) trendines. Minimum TP = 200,000 for this Cycle. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
It's an Evacuation Through Green Candles💥 "One Last Leap of Faith?" - What Bitcoin Might Be Hiding Before September The world’s on fire: Israel, Iran, Strait of Hormuz, oil, elections, the dollar, rates, black swan whispers. And someone’s out here saying Bitcoin might still go up? Yes. We are. Not because we believe - but because we see. 📉 Everyone’s afraid. The whales aren’t. When the crowd goes into survival mode, the real game begins. Whales aren’t exiting - they’re accumulating. ETFs aren’t pausing - they’re inflowing. The technical setup isn’t breaking - it’s compressing like a spring. $104,000. Coil building. If we break out - targets at $132K–$140K are absolutely in play. 👉 But that’s not the point. The point is why this is happening while the world is burning. 🧠 The idea: Bitcoin isn’t a safe haven. It’s a distribution machine. Gold is for panic. Bitcoin is for structure. Institutions don’t ask “is it scary?” - they ask “where’s liquidity?” Everything is aligning for one last upside move. Until September. After that - chaos is back on the table. 💣 The Global Playbook: Now (Summer) - Consolidation, ETF flows, geopolitical fear - Strategic entries, low exposure Breakout - FOMO panic, retail rushes in - Profit-taking via options September–Fall - Macro/geopolitical shock - Already in cash or hedged 📌 Bottom Line Yes, Bitcoin might pump. Not because the world is fine - but because someone needs to exit beautifully. If you're reading this - you're early enough to think. Markets don’t reward justice. They reward positioning. 🛠 What to do right now: Watch the $104,000 level - it's the pivot Breakout = final upside push to $132K–140K Keep your eyes on September - reversal zone Think in scenarios: entry, exit, protection Follow EXCAVO - we don’t guess, we read the game I've been talking about this scenario for a long time
by EXCAVO
25
Could Microstrategy be a 1 Trillion dollar mcap company?!Microstrategy and Michael Saylor evoke a spectrum of opinions, with analysts offering a diverse range of potential future valuations. High risk, high reward! The destiny of Microstrategy’s market capitalization is clearly linked to Bitcoin’s performance. The company has been utilizing debt to acquire the cryptocurrency, aiming to create significant spreads. This leverage is the reason why the stock has significantly outperformed Bitcoin throughout 2024. I am confident that Bitcoin can indeed reach $200k, with a potential upper price target of $250K for this cycle, indicating a potentially explosive Q3 and Q4. The lingering question is how much additional FOMO and premium Saylor can cultivate for his leveraged vehicle in such an environment? That's why charting is such a key component to any personal investing strategy IMHO, as we navigate these markets.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by BallaJi
2
AUDNZD BULISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDNZD is currently trading around 1.078 and is on the verge of a classic falling wedge breakout, which is a bullish reversal pattern typically seen after a downtrend. Price action has been compressing within this wedge formation, suggesting an imminent breakout as market pressure builds. A decisive close above the descending trendline would be a powerful signal of bullish continuation, with a near-term upside target of 1.086. The structure has held multiple rejections at both resistance and support, highlighting strong accumulation behavior from institutional participants. Fundamentally, the Australian dollar is gaining relative strength due to the Reserve Bank of Australia maintaining a hawkish tone, supported by persistent inflation and labor market resilience. In contrast, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand recently surprised the market by signaling a potential end to its hiking cycle, citing slower growth and inflation moderation. This divergence in monetary policy outlook is creating favorable conditions for AUDNZD bulls, particularly as global risk appetite improves and commodity-linked currencies gain traction. Technically, this 4-hour chart pattern aligns perfectly with recent AUD strength across the board, particularly in pairs like AUDUSD and AUDJPY which have broken key resistance levels. The tight consolidation near the wedge’s upper boundary, coupled with bullish candlestick formations, suggests buyers are stepping in ahead of the breakout. With a clean invalidation below 1.075, the risk-reward ratio here is compelling, especially for momentum traders looking to catch an impulsive leg higher toward 1.086 and beyond. This setup is high-conviction. AUDNZD is poised for a breakout that aligns with both technical and macro fundamentals. As a professional trader, I’m tracking this setup closely, and any confirmation candle above the trendline will trigger my entry. I expect bullish continuation in line with AUD’s broader strength and NZD’s underperformance.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1