J-BTC
Bitcoin Dominance & The Fall of AltcoinsBitcoin has sold off sharply in recent session.
Allowing alt coins to capture small percentages of bitcoins liquidity which resulted in epic bullish moves.
Now that Bitcoin is retesting a major moving average (50 MA) we might see BTC recapture some of that crypto dominance.
Other alt coins are well off of their 50 day moving average making them a riskier buy.
When BTC dominance starts to take leadership we often see alt coins and the total market cap sell off.
Bitcoin dominance is hitting a multi year trendline and looks poised to capture some of the alt liquidity.
We still think BTC can sell off and go lower, but on a relative basis it should hold up better than other alt coins & Ethereum.
There are some key nuances that are building and shaping up for a very similar topping formation that occurred in 2021.
Bitcoin Hits $40,000, It Will Recover —Name Your AltcoinSorry, there is a typo there on the title, I meant to say: Bitcoin hits $114,000, soon to recover.
As you can see from our trading range, Bitcoin just went beyond the lower boundary and hit a new low, the lowest since 10-July but there is good news. There isn't room for prices to move much lower, this is part of the consolidation phase.
The first low happened 25-July and notice the high (bear) volume. The second low happens today and we have lower volume compared to 25-July, but Bitcoin hit a lower low. This reveals that the bearish move is already weak and losing force. It also reveals the fact that Bitcoin is about to recover.
Also notice the RSI, 2H. It hit oversold recently and went the lowest in a long while. Reversals tend to happen when the RSI becomes oversold.
Bitcoin is testing the lower boundary of the trading range, when this happens, the action reverses and moves back up. Prepare to see Bitcoin back above $120,000. It is normal and it will happen... But it is wise to give the market a few days. 5-August was bad last year. It gets bad but it also marks the bottom. Once the bottom is hit, growth long-term.
— Name Your Altcoin
Leave a comment with the altcoins you are holding now and I will do an analysis for you. The altcoins will also recover and we are witnessing just a small retrace. Hold strong as this is the most important part. We will have a very strong new bullish wave develop within days.
As Bitcoin moves to test support, it will reverse to test resistance next. Which one is your top altcoins choice?
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
$BTC New Cycle: It’s Hard Not to Notice the ShiftSince December 2024, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has been closely following the SPX500, forming three similar cycles—each decreasing in intensity and shorter in duration.
The similarities are striking, especially when analyzing the MACD and RSI.
Each cycle ends with a bearish divergence.
Each cycle sees a rebound or bottom during consolidation, often touching the top of the previous cycle.
Most importantly, the cycles are accelerating.
However, it’s difficult to draw a definitive conclusion. These patterns are new in Bitcoin’s history, and there's no past reference for such institutional-driven behavior.
I believe the entry of institutions is reshaping Bitcoin’s rhythm. Their strategy is accumulation, not speculation, which brings more stability but also alters traditional crypto cycles.
What do you think will be the consequences of this shift?
Drop your thoughts in the comments👇
BTC Breaks Down: Retest Could Lead to More LossesHello guys!
Bitcoin has officially broken below the descending channel it was stuck in for weeks. Right now, price is pulling back to retest the broken channel, which is now acting as resistance around the 114,700 zone.
What I'm watching:
Broken channel = bearish signal
Retest zone around 114,700
Downside target near 110,400
So far, it looks like a clean setup for further downside, unless bulls manage to reclaim that broken trendline. Until then, the pressure remains to the downside.
Let’s see how price reacts here... Rejection = short opportunity.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #143👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis. Today, the weekly candle will close and the market will return to its normal condition starting tomorrow. It’s very important to have a solid analysis today so we can make profits in the upcoming week.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, Bitcoin had another short drop and wicked down to around the 111747 zone, but then returned above the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
💥 Even from this timeframe, it’s clear that a long trigger has formed on lower timeframes, and it seems like a V-pattern is being formed, which we’ll analyze in the lower timeframes.
📊 If the market activates the long trigger today, I’ll try to enter so I don’t miss out in case a bullish move starts with the new weekly candle and I can have an open position.
✔️ The RSI oscillator also entered the oversold zone yesterday and exited it. Since Bitcoin is still above the 110000 zone, I still view the trend as bullish. So this double bottom that formed on the RSI is a very good sign for bullish momentum in the market.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-Hour timeframe, we had a short trigger at the 114560 zone in the previous analysis, which was activated and the price moved down. I had mentioned in that analysis that I wouldn’t open a short position with this trigger, and I didn’t.
🔽 Now the position of that trigger has shifted and moved to the 114028 zone. Today I’m watching the market closely, and if the price moves up toward this trigger with increasing volume, I’ll open a long position if 114028 breaks.
🔍 This is one of those positions where you can use either a small or large stop loss. If you go with a larger stop, you can ride the next bullish leg that may push the price back toward the 120000 zone. But if you go with a smaller stop, it becomes a short-term trade that will be closed with smaller risk-to-reward ratios.
📈 Personally, I prefer to go with a larger stop loss so that if Bitcoin starts another bullish leg, I can have a well-positioned entry. (Just make sure to practice proper risk management — I personally won’t risk more than 0.25% on this position since the main momentum hasn’t entered yet.)
💫 As for short positions, I won’t provide any triggers for now because I’m not opening shorts myself, and if you open one, I won’t be able to guide you on what to do with it.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC -MACD Triggered the Breakout Early, MACD MasteryYou didn’t need 20 indicators. Just one system that actually worked.
The MACD Liquidity Tracker Strategy flipped long on BTC just before the latest 4H breakout — catching an 11.39% move with perfect histogram and EMA alignment.
🔍 Here’s what happened:
– Histogram flipped positive on July 23
– EMA filter cleared — clean long trigger
– Histogram rose into a momentum peak
– Strategy closed just before consolidation
This is exactly what the Liquidity Tracker was built for:
✅ Spot clean trend shifts
✅ Confirm strength via momentum
✅ Filter out noise using EMAs
⚙️ Settings Used:
– MACD: 25 Fast / 60 Slow / 220 Signal
– EMA Filter: 50 / 9 / 3
– Entry Mode: Histogram + Crossover Combo
BTC New Upodate (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
We previously stated that Bitcoin lacks the strength to move upward, and we expect the price to soon reach the green zone (114K-112K).
The price is now dropping toward this zone, which is the rebuy area.
The process of reaching the green zone has been and still is somewhat time-consuming, and during this time, it may repeatedly mislead beginners.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Seven topics explaining why Ethereum might be heading towards atSeven topics explaining why Ethereum might be heading towards at least $4,500 after returning to its trend:
1. Market Sentiment and Bullish Reversal
When Ethereum breaks out of a consolidation phase or a downtrend, it often signals a shift in market psychology. A bullish reversal can be triggered by technical patterns such as ascending triangles, breakouts above key resistance levels, or bullish candlestick formations. Positive news (e.g., regulatory clarity, major partnerships, or favorable market reports) enhances investor confidence. Once traders recognize a trend reversal, it leads to increased buying momentum, further propelling ETH higher. This shift in sentiment often acts as a self-fulfilling prophecy, attracting more capital into the asset.
2. Institutional Adoption and Investment
Institutional investors, including hedge funds, asset managers, and pension funds, play a crucial role in cryptocurrency price dynamics. Large-scale investments, ETFs, or custodial solutions designed for institutional clients can generate significant buy pressure. Notable endorsements from major financial firms or integration of Ethereum-based products into mainstream financial platforms can serve as a validation, encouraging broader participation. This institutional involvement often brings stability and confidence, supporting sustained upward movement towards higher targets like $4,500.
3. DeFi and NFT Growth
Ethereum's ecosystem is the backbone of the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector and NFTs. The expanding adoption of DeFi applications (lending, borrowing, staking) and booming NFT markets increase demand for ETH, since it is essential for transaction fees and smart contract execution. As new projects and use cases emerge, the utility of ETH grows, directly impacting its value. Additionally, mainstream adoption of DeFi and NFTs draws more retail and institutional investors into the ecosystem, contributing to price appreciation.
4. Network Developments
Ethereum continues to undergo significant upgrades to address scalability, security, and sustainability. Ethereum 2.0, with features like proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus, shard chains, and Layer 2 scaling solutions (like Rollups), greatly enhance network efficiency. These upgrades improve user experience and reduce transaction costs, making Ethereum more attractive for developers and users. The improving technology infrastructure can result in increased transaction volume, user activity, and investor confidence, which collectively drive the price upward.
5. Macro and Cryptocurrency Market Factors
Broader macroeconomic conditions influence Ethereum’s price. A declining dollar, inflation concerns, or global economic uncertainty can push investors toward alternative assets like cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin’s market movement often correlates with ETH, and a bullish Bitcoin trend can lift ETH prices as well. Additionally, positive regulatory developments or a general rally in the crypto market can create a favorable environment, supporting Ethereum’s ascent to higher levels.
6. Technical Indicators
Traders rely heavily on technical analysis. Breakouts above significant resistance levels (e.g., previous highs around $3,500 or $4,000), increased trading volume, and bullish chart patterns such as flags or bullish divergence reinforce the upward trend. These technical signals attract momentum traders and institutional players, which accelerate the price increase. Consistent bullish technicals contribute to a self-sustaining upward trajectory toward the $4,500 target.
7. Supply Dynamics
Ethereum's supply mechanics significantly influence its price. The implementation of EIP-1559 introduced a fee-burning mechanism that reduces circulating supply over time, creating a deflationary pressure. When network activity is high, more ETH is burned, decreasing supply and potentially increasing scarcity. Furthermore, the transition to Ethereum 2.0's proof-of-stake reduces issuance, limiting new ETH supply entering the market. These supply-side dynamics, combined with growing demand, can lead to significant appreciation, moving ETH toward and beyond the $4,500 level.
ETH to + $4,5007 topics explaining why Ethereum might be heading towards at least $4,500 after returning to its trend:
1. Market Sentiment and Bullish Reversal
When Ethereum breaks out of a consolidation phase or a downtrend, it often signals a shift in market psychology. A bullish reversal can be triggered by technical patterns such as ascending triangles, breakouts above key resistance levels, or bullish candlestick formations. Positive news (e.g., regulatory clarity, major partnerships, or favorable market reports) enhances investor confidence. Once traders recognize a trend reversal, it leads to increased buying momentum, further propelling ETH higher. This shift in sentiment often acts as a self-fulfilling prophecy, attracting more capital into the asset.
2. Institutional Adoption and Investment
Institutional investors, including hedge funds, asset managers, and pension funds, play a crucial role in cryptocurrency price dynamics. Large-scale investments, ETFs, or custodial solutions designed for institutional clients can generate significant buy pressure. Notable endorsements from major financial firms or integration of Ethereum-based products into mainstream financial platforms can serve as a validation, encouraging broader participation. This institutional involvement often brings stability and confidence, supporting sustained upward movement towards higher targets like $4,500.
3. DeFi and NFT Growth
Ethereum's ecosystem is the backbone of the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector and NFTs. The expanding adoption of DeFi applications (lending, borrowing, staking) and booming NFT markets increase demand for ETH, since it is essential for transaction fees and smart contract execution. As new projects and use cases emerge, the utility of ETH grows, directly impacting its value. Additionally, mainstream adoption of DeFi and NFTs draws more retail and institutional investors into the ecosystem, contributing to price appreciation.
4. Network Developments
Ethereum continues to undergo significant upgrades to address scalability, security, and sustainability. Ethereum 2.0, with features like proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus, shard chains, and Layer 2 scaling solutions (like Rollups), greatly enhance network efficiency. These upgrades improve user experience and reduce transaction costs, making Ethereum more attractive for developers and users. The improving technology infrastructure can result in increased transaction volume, user activity, and investor confidence, which collectively drive the price upward.
5. Macro and Cryptocurrency Market Factors
Broader macroeconomic conditions influence Ethereum’s price. A declining dollar, inflation concerns, or global economic uncertainty can push investors toward alternative assets like cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin’s market movement often correlates with ETH, and a bullish Bitcoin trend can lift ETH prices as well. Additionally, positive regulatory developments or a general rally in the crypto market can create a favorable environment, supporting Ethereum’s ascent to higher levels.
6. Technical Indicators
Traders rely heavily on technical analysis. Breakouts above significant resistance levels (e.g., previous highs around $3,500 or $4,000), increased trading volume, and bullish chart patterns such as flags or bullish divergence reinforce the upward trend. These technical signals attract momentum traders and institutional players, which accelerate the price increase. Consistent bullish technicals contribute to a self-sustaining upward trajectory toward the $4,500 target.
7. Supply Dynamics
Ethereum's supply mechanics significantly influence its price. The implementation of EIP-1559 introduced a fee-burning mechanism that reduces circulating supply over time, creating a deflationary pressure. When network activity is high, more ETH is burned, decreasing supply and potentially increasing scarcity. Furthermore, the transition to Ethereum 2.0's proof-of-stake reduces issuance, limiting new ETH supply entering the market. These supply-side dynamics, combined with growing demand, can lead to significant appreciation, moving ETH toward and beyond the $4,500 level.
BRIEFING Week #31 : S&P ATH may have been a TrapHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Bitcoin can continue to decline and break support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Following an earlier upward trend, bitcoin entered a prolonged phase of consolidation, forming a large upward pennant where price action was tightly contested between the seller zone near 117000 and an ascending support line. This period of balance, however, has recently resolved to the downside with a significant change in market structure. A decisive breakdown has occurred, with the price breaking below the pennant's long-standing support line, signaling that sellers have ultimately gained control. Currently, after the initial drop, the asset is undergoing a minor upward correction, which appears to be a classic retest of the broken structure from below. The primary working hypothesis is a brief scenario that anticipates this corrective rally will fail upon encountering resistance from the broken trendline. A confirmed rejection from this area would validate the bearish breakdown and likely initiate the next major impulsive leg downwards. The first objective for this move is the buyer zone around the 112000 support level, but given the significance of the pattern breakdown, a continuation of the fall is expected. Therefore, the ultimate target price for this scenario is placed at the 109,000 level, representing a logical measured move target following the resolution of the large consolidation pattern. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
BITCOIN LONG FROM SUPPORT|
✅BITCOIN has retested a key support level of 112k
And as the coin is already making a bullish rebound
A move up to retest the supply level above at 115k is likely
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$BTC One Last Flush Before the Next Leg Up!Technical Analysis really is a beautiful thing.
As mentioned, price heading down to ~$111k.
Had a small bounce off the 50DMA at $112k.
Hopefully PA doesn’t range for too long in the previous ATH POI. That will really take steam out of the bull’s engine.
I’m expecting one last flush to push the RSI a bit lower before we can continue the trend back up.
As always in a bull market, BTFD!
BTC/USD 1D Chart 🔼 Resistance:
• USD 123,263 - local peak, strong resistance (green line)
• USD 119,120 - level tested several times, recent reflection
• 116,224 USD - zone of previous consolidations
🔽 support:
• 110,945 USD - SMA #2 (movable average), tested in the past
• 107,804 USD - local hole
• USD 103,542 - strong support from the past (historical retention of declines)
⸻
📊 Technical indicators
📉 Trend:
• The yellow upward trend line has been broken - a potential bull weakness signal.
• The candle pierces the trend line from the bottom - it is possible to change the direction to a side or downward trend.
📈 Medium walking (SMA):
• The red SMA #1 line acted as dynamic resistance.
• The price is currently testing SMA #2 as support.
• SMA #5 (blue, approx. 98,600 USD) is very strong long -term support.
📉 Macd:
• The MacD line is below the signal line → Bear signal (Bearish).
• Red histogram - inheritance impetus is growing.
📉 RSI:
• RSI has fallen below the level of 50 → the advantage of supply.
• Currently, it is approaching the supply of supply overload (<30), which can herald the technical reflection.
⸻
🔮 Scenarios
✅ Scenario Bycza (Bullish):
• Maintenance of a price above 110.945 USD (SMA #2).
• Return above the trend line or testing USD 116,224 and piercing up.
❌ Bear scenario (Bearish):
• Loss of support to 110.945 USD → decrease to USD 107,800.
• If this does not keep the course, the next strong level is USD 103,500.
⸻
🧠 Applications:
• Short -term: the market looks weak, the candle breaks the upward trend.
• Medium -term: still in the game, but if it does not reflect from the current levels, a greater correction is possible.
• Commercial decisions: It is worth waiting for confirmation of the direction (reflection from support or continuation of declines).
Bitcoin Enters Correction Mode?Bitcoin is already trading at support in the form of the previous all-time high and EMA55. Bitcoin is down more than 8% since its 14-July all-time high. We can see that a correction is already in, a retrace. This retrace we consider part of the normal workings of the market, price fluctuations which invariably always show up. The end result is a higher high, a rising wave, higher prices on the long haul.
Support is strong at current prices but even stronger is the support zone right above $100,000. As long as Bitcoin trades above $100,000, we will continue with a strong bullish outlook. If Bitcoin manages to move and close below $100,000 monthly or weekly, we will consider the short-term, the mid-term and update our map if necessary. For now, the bulls are still in control.
When Bitcoin peaked 22-May it went sideways for an entire month. From a peak of $112,000 it hit a low of $100,000. Now we have a peak around $123,000 and prices can easily swing around in this wide range.
After a few weeks, or several months, exactly as it happened last time, Bitcoin will go up. So you can expect retraces and corrections, but this is only short-term long-term we grow.
Namaste.
Could this be the end of Bitcoin’s trend?The Current State of Bitcoin’s Trend: Has the Uptrend Come to an End...?
Based on recent analyses, Bitcoin has exited its 4-hour channel over the past few days, and there is still a possibility for further correction. However, this does not mean that the uptrend for Bitcoin is over.
My targets for Bitcoin remain the same as before: 123,700 and 129,710. It’s even possible that we might see a wick above these prices.
For those with more capital who are looking to buy Bitcoin, there are two good entry levels:
110,880
109,770
Everything else is clearly shown on the chart. Please be cautious, as there will likely be high volatility once the market opens.
Be sure to open the analysis link and boost the analysis with your likes.
BITCOIN: THE PERFECT STORM - MULTIPLE BREAKOUT PATTERNS ALIGNED⚠️ CRITICAL SUPPORT LEVELS
🛡️ Support 1: $115,000 (-3%) - Triangle support
🛡️ Support 2: $110,000 (-7%) - Channel support
🔴 DANGER ZONE: $105,000 (-11%) - Multiple pattern failure
So...
Strategy: Quick profits on pattern completion 🎨
Entry: $115k (Triangle breakout confirmation) 📊
Stop Loss: $114k below (Tight risk management) ❌
Target: $125k (+10%) ✅
Time Horizon: 2-3 weeks 📅
Risk/Reward: 1:6 🎯
________________ NOTE _____________
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Bitcoin is highly volatile and risky. Only invest what you can afford to lose completely. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately 🚨
BTCUSDT 1D – Retesting Key Support, Will Bulls Hold the Line?Bitcoin is retesting a crucial structural support level around $112K after its recent local top near $120K. This zone previously acted as resistance and is now being tested as support — a textbook bullish continuation signal if it holds.
Historically, these flips (from resistance to support) have triggered strong upside momentum, as seen after the $78K breakout earlier this cycle. However, failure to hold this level could open the door for a deeper correction toward $100K or even the $90K region.
This chart outlines the major structural zones:
Long-term accumulation base near $70–78K
Resistance flip zone at $110–112K
Local resistance near $120K
📌 If bulls defend this zone and reclaim momentum, we could see another push toward cycle highs. If not, patience is key — the next high-conviction entry may come lower.
How are you positioning around this zone? Let me know in the comments 👇
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #142👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's get into the Bitcoin analysis. Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its correction and we need to see what is going to happen in the market today.
📅 Daily Timeframe
First, let’s take a look at the higher timeframe. On the daily chart, that curved upward trendline we had was broken by yesterday's candle, and the breakout candle had high volume.
✔️ For now, I don’t consider this trendline as broken and I’m waiting to get confirmation of the break.
🔍 Currently, the price is in a correction phase, and this correction is quite natural since the price had very low volatility for a long time and was stuck below the 120000 zone.
💥 But no trend reversal has occurred yet. In my opinion, as long as the price is above the 110000 zone, the trend is bullish, and I will consider the trend reversal confirmed only if a lower high and a lower low below 110000 are formed.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, the corrective movement of the price continued, and after a pause at the 0.5 Fibonacci level, another bearish leg formed down to the 0.618 zone.
🔔 The RSI oscillator also entered the oversold area and then exited it again. I believe there’s a high possibility that until the end of the week, Bitcoin will range in these areas and the probability of a bullish or bearish move is much lower.
🔽 However, if the 0.618 Fibonacci level breaks, the price can move to lower areas like the 111000 zone. I think the likelihood of this happening in the future is high because that zone is a strong PRZ, and at the same time, it counts as a pullback to the 110000 zone.
📈 In the bullish scenario, if the price is supported from this area and starts to move upward, since we currently have no highs below the 116000 zone, we need to wait until the first bullish leg is formed and then enter on the second leg after the new high is broken.
⚡️ For now, I’m not opening any short or long positions. I prefer the price to form more structure so I can make a more comfortable decision.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
#BITCOIN - Short-Term Options [EXPLAINED]As expected, the price dumped below the descending channel , currently consolidating right below one's support level.
As expected, the price dumped below the descending channel , currently consolidating right below one's support level. On the chart I've described two possible options for the price movement: strictly positive and hmm.. okey.
Strictly positive: some consolidation below the support with, then quick retrace back inside the channel and new upward rally on the next working week. Entering LONG position will make sense after the breakout of the $116,500 resistance, not earlier.
Hmm.. okey: Bitcoin is not strong enough to come back inside the channel and dumps to $111,000 support level. Near this level we must see some consolidation to gather more power. Possible fakes down to $108,000. In some time (1 week+) we will have chances of going back up.
👉 Overall, the support of $111,000 is crucial right now. If we lose it, Bitcoin goes towards $100,000 and the current bullish phase might be considered as finished. For now we still have chances.