Natural Gas Explodes - Bullish Option ContractsTechnical Breakout Observed! Huge upside potential!
Inverse Head & Shoulders breakout on daily chart.
Weekly Bullish Cross 7/20 MA.
- Increased Demand: After a sluggish 2024, demand for natural gas is rebounding—especially for electricity generation in North America and Asia. This is tightening the market and pushing prices up.
- LNG Export Boom: New liquefied natural gas (LNG) export terminals, like the one coming online in British Columbia, are expanding shipping capacity. That’s opening up more international markets and driving up prices domestically.
- Geopolitical Tensions: Broader energy markets are reacting to instability in the Middle East, particularly between Iran and Israel. While this directly impacts oil, it also creates uncertainty across all energy commodities, including natural gas.
- Inventory and Supply Adjustments: After oversupply in 2024, producers are now recalibrating. But with inventories still low in some regions, prices are sensitive to even small disruptions
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Natural Gas - Soaring Upside - Option Plays!Technical Breakout Observed! Huge upside potential
- Increased Demand: After a sluggish 2024, demand for natural gas is rebounding—especially for electricity generation in North America and Asia. This is tightening the market and pushing prices up.
- LNG Export Boom: New liquefied natural gas (LNG) export terminals, like the one coming online in British Columbia, are expanding shipping capacity. That’s opening up more international markets and driving up prices domestically.
- Geopolitical Tensions: Broader energy markets are reacting to instability in the Middle East, particularly between Iran and Israel. While this directly impacts oil, it also creates uncertainty across all energy commodities, including natural gas.
- Inventory and Supply Adjustments: After oversupply in 2024, producers are now recalibrating. But with inventories still low in some regions, prices are sensitive to even small disruptions
Do You Smell That...Natural Gas Burning!Recent Trends: The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported the seventh consecutive weekly gain in inventories since late April, indicating a steady buildup ahead of summer demand.
Regional Highlights:
East: 340 Bcf
Midwest: 396 Bcf
Mountain: 166 Bcf
Pacific: 199 Bcf
South Central: 658 Bcf
Next inventory report is June 12 2025
June 5 - 122B Build
May 29 - 101B build
May 22 - 120B Build
These last builds have come in higher than consensus andd price is still holding.
A weekly Bullish cross of the 7 / 20 MA is about to occur. This indicates high provability of higher prices on the next few months if this can hold above the key MA's.
Natural Gas Roaring & SoaringNat gas had an epi +8% rally today.
The question is do the bull have more gas left in the tank or do the bears start to take over and press price lower?
We had news across the energy sector that spiked most energy assets.
Typically news based pops of this nature don't last.
If we get back above 3.84/3.85 then there might be a convincing opportunity to press this long
As of now i still lean bearish but holding no Nat Gas position.
Natural Gas Rip or Dip?Natural Gas has had some choppy price action as of late. There has been no clear directional trend.
I remain bearish until we clear the $3.85 level.
If Natural gas rejects off this level we should test the $3.00
If natural gas gets above this $3.85 level bulls should try to retest the major high pivot.
Natural Gas - Are you buying the dip?Natural gas is going through some distribution and it looks like its going lower.
However there is a very strong base around $3 that can be a good risk to reward buy zone.
Remember this is one of the most volatile asset classes amd can overshoot key levels. Size accordingly and leave yourself maneuverabilty.
Natural Gas Goes Kaboom!Profits have been secured I the Natural gas trade. That being said I still think Nat gas equities can push higher.
On the UNG chart we just saw the 20 day MA & 50 Day MA bullishly crossover each other.
Last time this happened Nat gas had a 4-5 day parabolic move.
The bulls must be careful to not push this commodity up too quickly because it makes the pattern less likely to have a continued breakout.
We are still putting in Lower weekly highs, so the next test of the most recent pivot high is going to be crucial.
If the bulls can trigger the weekly inverse head and shoulder pattern there's going to be a great long continuation opportunity. Until we break the pivot high & create a higher high traders must use caution now that we've had a large move occur.
AR, EQT, CPK, LNG are all set to push higher if Nat gas holds these gains.
Natural Gas: Weak Day / Strong WeekNatural gas had a bit of profit taking today and you can't blame the bulls for trimming especially since we did the same.
The Daily chart now needs a couple days of consolidation before another sustainable push.
The weekly chart recaptured the 50 Weekly MA...very good near term sign.
This can now be used as a support level to trade against for very tight stoploss swing traders.
As long as we remain above the breakout neckline we should be likely heading to retest 2.75 & $2.90
Levels below can cause nat gas to fail and fall substantially. Alway remembers the Weekly trend still has Lower highs in place.
Natural Gas waking up? Nat gas showed some poise today.
Holding green in a red market where most commodities saw negative price action.
This is impressive to see because Nat gas has a long historical trend of diverging from many commodities.
The price action today also saw a red to green reversal further emphasizing the positive potential trend shift.
Nat gas stocks were discounted today despite the stronger price action in the commodity.
We remain bullish and long UNG, our call positions in the money.
Natural Gas: are bulls capitulating? The bulls have made 9 attempts at breaking out. All attempts have failed which has led us to this sharp decline.
Nat gas is holding the 20 day MA but it does look somewhat vulnerable to going lower.
The death cross is getting closer and closer as we approach the 50 MA & 200 MA downtrending intersection.
Our members stopped out of the second half of UNG in profits
I am now hoping and waiting for a sub $2 pierce retest. we shall see if we get it.
Natural gas is the downtrend resuming? Nat gas still fits all the criteria for a large downtrend.
Lower highs & Lower lows are still in place on the weekly timeframe.
This obviously swings probabilities in favour of lower price.
However historically were still at some oversold levels.
Just because this asset is oversold honest mean it can't go lower.
Im watching the daily 50MA & 200MA closely...do we get the death cross formation to occur again?
Usually this signal provides a near term bounce but medium term decline.
Natural Gas: Do or Die!We secured half of our profits yesterday, however I still think we have a very good chance of higher price.
Nat gas needs to make a decision by getting above this key Covid trend line.
We are observing another "death cross" formation developing. If price action keeps rejecting the daily 200MA we may go lower.
Today inventories came out: consensus was 42B actual -6B
This was a dramatic forecast miss & supports higher price / more demand.
If Nat gas can get above this key covid trend line, we are well on our way to $3+
Natural Gas...bullish turnaround!Nat gas has carved out a nice potential base to move higher.
We have seen a failed breakdown whcih usualkly indicates a bullish reversal.
They say the biggest moves come from failed patterns an it certainly looks like a failed bearish trendline break.
If this is the case, Nat gas has a nice 15-20% upside before things get really interesting.
We may be witnessing a weekly inverse head & shouldrs pattern developing.
Time will tell but we are long.
Natural Gas...New All time lows? Natural gas has seen a failed breakout on the daily chart. After this failed breakout occured its been weeks of relentless sell side pressure.
We have lost key weekly and daily supports, which doesn't help the bullish case.
There is 1 small positive on the daily chart: a positive RSI bullish divergence.
Understanding how this commodity works, one should be prepared for a downside case of $1.60. Its not a guarantee but a possibility.
The Nat gas resource stocks are mixed and showing sings of volume accumulation.
I'm watching the $1.95 Gap fill on Nat Gas very closely. If the bulls defend that area we could rally quickly.
Keep your eye om the "Death Cross" signal, usually a buy signal for a short term bounce.
Natural Gas: Will the bulls ever come back? Another sell side day for nat gas...what else is new?
back to the same technical support trend line for Nat gas. technically this is support. If this trend line holds we will see an epic bounce IMO.
If we break this are we could be testing $1.90.
I believe that this is still a great risk to reward to accumulate for the long term, while understanding there could still be another 20% down if we break this level...so HODL accordingly.
Natural gas...time to buy? Natural gas just keeps bleeding lower.
Despite the oversold intra day condition this commodity is finding no support.
Natural gas equities are mixed right now, but are definitely showing some signs of accumulation.
We think the next 2 support zones on Nat gas if we lose this critical area are $2.21 & $2.00
Beware Nat gas tends to overshoot.
This trendline we are holding right now connects through major lows going back to 2020.
Natural Gas Bleeding LowerNatural gas has seen negative price action since we got the golden cross.
The 50 & 200 moving average is touted as a bullish signal but often sold into in the near term.
This sell off in Nat gas is going quick and deep.
The problem with that is the sector is leveraged with triples & doubles.
If we complete the measured move down, we should see a bit lower price.
Intra day I would not be surprised for a sharp dead cat bounce.
Natural Gas & Trading Indicator!Nat gas closed the week negative.
We have now had 2 consecutive weeks of sell side pressure.
Next week we will get the golden cross on the daily chart.
Typically this is a medium to long term signal.
Using the prior day high and low signal is an extremely useful tool for traders to identify support and resistance.
Natural Gas - Time to buy? Natural Gas is going through some much needed consolidation.
Holding above the 50 & 200 MA, a golden cross is setting up.
Typically golden cross signals see sellers in the near term before medium and ling term buyers step in.
Nat gas equities have been struggling lately and appear to be needing to go a touch lower until they are ready for a larger move.
Our members just took 21% win on our AMEX:KOLD short.
Natural Gas, Bitcoin & QQQ : Whats the next trade?Natural GAs has had a nice pullback over the last few days.
Are we going to see this correction go deeper than the last pullback?
Potentially we are observing a failed breakout on the daily chart.
Bitcoin: has triggered bearish formations on the hourly chart.
Sitting right at intermediate support, BTC needs to hold the 50MA or run the risk of flushing lower.
BTC is still chopping in a sideways range that favors lower price action until we break the neckline.
QQQ / Nasdaq : In the strongest uptrend. This looks likely to push a bit higher but its nearing major resistance in a very extended move.