EURUSD ANALYSIS - LONGPrice has successfully broken out of the falling wedge on both the daily and weekly charts, signaling strong bullish momentum. After hitting resistance around 1.1555 (61.8% Fib), we’re seeing a healthy pullback towards 1.1500-1.1488 support. As long as bulls defend 1.1400, I’m looking for continuation towards 1.1555 and 1.1894 swing targets. Watching price action closely at the current pullback zone for potential long entries.
Longsetup
ETH UPDATE 🛡️ Ethereum Holds the Line — Critical Support Zone Tested Again
Because Ethereum has plummeted over 14% since Wednesday, traders and long-term holders are worried. Bullish investors expected ETH to break over $3,000 and confirm a wider cryptocurrency rise days earlier.
However, global turmoil has slowed markets. Israel's assaults on Iran and retaliations shook global markets on Thursday, causing crypto asset volatility and risk-off.
Historical trends between August 2021 and early 2024 suggest that keeping $2,500 has led to rallies reaching $4,000. Rekt believes Ethereum must maintain consistency around this zone to prevent a deeper retreat and maintain bullish momentum.
ETH has held $2,500 over five weeks, proving its stability despite numerous testing. In the weeks ahead, altcoins and the crypto market will depend on whether Ethereum can maintain this footing again.
Ethereum fell sharply from $2,830 this week to $2,556. On the daily chart, ETH has been rangebound between $2,500 and $2,830 for weeks. Ethereum has held above the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, which are rising, despite international threats.
The red 200-day moving average at $2,642 has provided resistance. A retracement followed ETH's short break above this level, which it failed to keep. Recent volumes have increased due to heightened attention and emotive price responses in the Israel-Iran conflict.
The $2,500–$2,520 support zone is important. This region has been a floor before and might rocket bulls if they recover control. A clear fall below $2,500 might turn sentiment negative and lead to $2,300.
This retrace was never weakness — it was refinementDOGE delivered the exact narrative I’ve come to expect from algorithmic flow on the low timeframes. This wasn’t about volatility. This was about cleanup.
The play:
After the initial spike, price formed a visible FVG and retraced into the 0.5–0.618 fib zone. That’s not random — that’s rebalancing. Not only did we see a fade into the midpoint, but volume increased into the dip, not out of it.
What this does is simple: it clears out early longs, taps deeper liquidity, and prepares for re-delivery — all while structure remains intact.
Expectation:
Two paths are mapped — both favoring upside:
Ideal scenario: sweep 0.618 or 0.786 (down to 0.1726) → quick rejection → rally back into the FVG and above
Conservative: hold above 0.1761 fib (0.5) and slowly grind into 0.1795
Final target remains the inefficiency fill near 0.1825
Risk profile:
Entry: 0.174–0.176 zone
Invalidation: below 0.169
TP1: 0.1795
TP2: 0.1825
I’m not interested in chasing. I’m interested in absorption. This is where smart entries are born — deep in discount, backed by displacement.
Final word:
“If you can’t see the intention behind the pullback, you’re not trading Smart Money — you’re reacting to it.”
Price returned. I was already waitingThis wasn’t a pullback — it was a reset. And Smart Money doesn’t chase price. It sets traps. This is one of them.
Breakdown:
SOL delivered into a confluence zone where multiple models align:
Daily FVG overlaps perfectly with a 4H Order Block
0.5 fib retracement (141.82) tagging the midpoint of the prior expansion leg
Volatility spike? Engineered. Not reactive.
Retail is shaken. I’m composed. This is the zone you mark before price even gets there — because when it does, you don’t hesitate.
Trade logic:
Entry: 141.8–146.0 (inside D FVG + 4H OB)
SL: Below the 0.618 fib / 130.8 invalidation
TP1: 152.8 (0.382)
TP2: 166.4 (0.236)
Final draw: 188.4 — full inefficiency fill and premium rebalance
This isn’t about hitting every level. It’s about understanding why these levels matter. Structure tells the story. The fib just refines the sentence.
Final words:
“Smart Money doesn’t trade the reaction. It trades the setup that creates it.”
ETH ANALYSIS📊 #ETH Analysis : Update
✅As we said earlier, #ETH performed same. Now we can see that #ETH is trading in a bullish flag pattern and its a bullish pattern. We could expect around 10% bullish move if it sustain above its major support.
👀Current Price: $2555
🚀 Target Price: $2815
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #ETH price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#ETH #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
USDCAD LONG FORECAST Q2 W24 D13 Y25USDCAD LONG FORECAST Q2 W24 D13 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅1H order block
✅HTF 50 EMA
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure to be identified
✅15’ order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Ethereum is deciding where it wants to live.This is not a trade idea, this is a long term concept, most of my portfolio is swing when bull market comes (monthly/yearly) not trade (daily/weekly).
This is a solid question that will have to be played out in the upcoming years, Ethereum keeps changing its monetary policy and right now has less supply increase than BTC (due to burning mechanisms), will that stay forever? What will happen in the future to the policy? What it will mean for price?
Right now we can clearly see this is a bull case for future months.
XAU/USD 1H – Clean Impulsive Setup UnfoldingGold has completed a clean Wave (2) correction, bottoming at $3,292.30, respecting both structural demand and fib confluence. Price is now showing early signs of Wave (3) development to the upside.
📌 Key Structure:
Wave (1) High: $3,403.30
Wave (2) Low: $3,292.30 (confirmed higher low structure)
Market is now consolidating slightly above the 0.5 fib level ($3,324.45), with bullish structure still intact.
📈 Technical Confluence:
Price is holding the internal bullish trendline
RSI is neutral but building potential upside momentum
Price action is forming higher lows, indicating strength post-correction
🎯 Next Bullish Targets:
$3,366.08 (0.236 fib level of Wave (2) correction)
$3,403.30 (Wave (1) high retest)
Final Wave (3) extension zone: $3,445 – $3,500
📉 Invalidation Level:
A break and close below $3,292.30 would invalidate this Wave (2) bottom and open the door for a deeper correction.
✅ Bias:
Bullish, as long as price holds above the 0.618 – 0.705 fib zone. A strong push from this area could confirm the next leg of Wave (3).
@WrightWayInvestments
@wrightwayinvestments
@wrightwayinvestments
While they panic at 0.618, I loadThis is the type of setup that filters out noise traders. Four-hour price delivered into a stacked FVG zone — aligned with equilibrium, and structured to reprice.
Here’s the logic:
After taking out short-term highs near 111.9k, price repriced sharply — not randomly, but with algorithmic precision — into a series of untouched 240min FVGs.
Price tapped the upper imbalance, hovered at the 0.618 fib retrace (107.3k), and held. That’s not weakness. That’s orderflow.
Below this sits the final FVG + golden 0.786 (106.4k) and round number zone near 105.2k. That’s your invalidation layer. Anything inside it? Still Smart Money accumulation.
Above? The draw remains clear: inefficiency fill to 110.6k and liquidity resting above 111.9k.
My framework:
Bias: Bullish unless 105.2k gets violated with intent
Entry: 107.3k–106.4k
TP1: 108.5k (fib 0.382)
TP2: 110.6k (inefficiency fill)
Final objective: 111.9k raid
Volume confirms the handoff — sellers are trapped chasing the leg, Smart Money has already shifted to accumulation.
Final thought:
I don’t wait for signals. I wait for price to make sense. And here, it’s giving every reason to load.
“Fear at 0.618 is the edge of amateurs. Patience at imbalance is where precision lives.”
Can gold price maintain the uptrend above 3400?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices advanced by approximately 0.97% on Wednesday, buoyed by signs of easing inflation in the United States (US), which reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could resume rate cuts as early as September. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,363.
The May Consumer Price Index (CPI) report shows a slowdown in price pressures compared to April, prompting a surge in demand for the yellow metal. In response, gold briefly rallied to an intraday high near $3,360 before paring back some of those gains, as investors recalibrated their outlook on the Fed’s policy path.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Middle East concerns, along with information about influential high tariffs on countries without trade agreements. Gold prices have recovered, but there is no long-term stability.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3428- 3430 SL 3435
TP1: $3410
TP2: $3395
TP3: $3382
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3345-$3343 SL $3338
TP1: $3355
TP2: $3367
TP3: $3380
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Aggressive Trend Trade 1HAggressive Trend Trade 1H
- short trend
+ volumed T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp+
Daily Trend
+ long impulse
+ T2 level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction"
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short balance
+ expanding ICE
+ support level
+ unsuccessful biggest volume manipulation"
Yearly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- below exhaustion volume?
- below SOS"
Will add more when 5M, 1H or 1D will show entry point
Lemonade Inc.: Breakout in Motion — Cup, Flag, and No BrakesLemonade Inc. (LMND) is accelerating after a clean breakout from a textbook cup with handle pattern, where the handle formed as a tight bullish flag. The breakout occurred around $32, and since then, price action has been sharp, controlled, and uncorrected — currently trading at $42.42 with buyers clearly in charge.
On the fundamental side, LMND is moving through a recovery phase: operational losses are narrowing, revenue is stabilizing, and the company is aggressively leveraging AI to automate its insurance processes. Expansion into Europe continues, and institutional interest is visibly rising — confirmed by volume building alongside price. Within the insuretech sector, LMND is starting to look like a comeback story rather than a cautionary tale.
Technically, the setup remains strong:
– Golden Cross confirmed (EMA50 crossing EMA200)
– EMA50/100/200 all below price — bullish structure firmly intact
– Volume expanding on up-days — healthy confirmation
– RSI hovering in the 60–65 range — momentum is intact, no signs of exhaustion
Targets remain aligned with the structure:
– tp1 = $64 — measured move from the flag
– tp2 = $94 — full realization of the cup pattern
Tactically, this is no longer a “wait and see” setup — the move is in progress. No correction so far, only continuation. Momentum traders may consider entries into strength. Above $45, the move could accelerate further as more participants recognize the structure.
LMND is showing technical and fundamental alignment — confirmed breakout, improving narrative, and strong trend structure. While the impulse holds, this chart favors continuation, not hesitation.
Did You Catch the Sweep & Shift on GBPAUD?Sometimes the market whispers its intentions before making a move — and this was one of those moments. This GBPAUD setup was built on the core principles of Candle Range Theory (CRT):
Sweep of the Previous Day’s Low (PDL)
Break of Structure (BOS) confirming a shift in momentum
Entry retracement into the Fair Value Gap (FVG)
What stood out here was the precision of the sweep and how price reacted cleanly after BOS, tapping into the FVG zone and immediately pushing toward the high-probability target.
No indicators, no noise, just clean market structure and smart money behavior.
The temptation to enter early was real, but the edge came from waiting for price to validate itself. A textbook example of how patience and plan adherence outweigh prediction .
Boeing (BA): Watching for a Break Above 218.80NYSE:BA has a strong chance of breaking above the 218.80 level , with a potential move toward 221.98 .
I plan to enter 1 tick above 218.80, with a stop-loss based on the 5-minute ATR (period 10).
🔍 Technical Outlook:
BA is currently moving within an upward ABCD channel. The projected upside is capped by a strong resistance zone at 221.98 – a level derived from the daily chart and previous price action. The market may or may not react to it, but it’s a logical target within a solid risk-to-reward setup.
One aspect I particularly like about this setup is the market’s inability to close significantly below the previous pivot high at 215.80. This suggests underlying strength. If we see a confident move above resistance, the trade could be triggered with momentum.
NC HAMMER CRYPTO utoo bThis is just a quick insight on AIOZ.... looks good, if were looking at the fib retracement it has a long way to hit the 0.618 fib retracement which is a little over 100% retracement. This is a possibility when btc goes up, just keep it in mind, and good luck, have fun with it!
GBPUSD – Holding the Uptrend, Eyeing Resistance BreakoutThe GBPUSD pair continues to respect a well-defined ascending channel on the H4 chart. Each time price retraces to the lower boundary, buying pressure has consistently stepped in. Currently, price is hovering near the channel’s lower edge and the EMA89 – forming a technical support area around 1.35370. If this zone holds, there is a strong potential for a rebound toward the resistance zone near 1.36100–1.36300, which has rejected price twice before.
From a news perspective, markets are awaiting the U.S. CPI report tomorrow. If inflation data comes in weaker, expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates will increase, putting pressure on the USD and allowing GBP to extend gains. Additionally, the Bank of England is expected to maintain a more hawkish stance due to persistent domestic inflation – which further supports the pound’s upward momentum.
Watching the EMA and lower channel boundary is key. If a clear bullish signal forms at this zone, a trend-following long strategy could carry a high probability of success.
BTCUSDT – Uptrend Intact, Resistance Still in PlayBitcoin is currently moving within a healthy uptrend, showing a strong rebound from the 101,332 USDT support zone—aligned with the EMA 89 on the daily chart. Following an impressive recovery, the price is now approaching the 111,892 resistance area, which previously halted the bullish momentum and triggered a deep correction.
However, recent price action shows signs of stalling, suggesting a possible consolidation phase. If BTC fails to break above 111,892, a mild pullback toward the 104,000–101,000 zone may occur to build fresh momentum for the next bullish leg.
From a news perspective, the crypto market is buoyed by improving sentiment after weak U.S. job data, increasing the odds of an earlier-than-expected Fed rate cut. Additionally, continued capital inflows into Bitcoin ETFs are supporting medium-term upside potential for BTC.
EURUSD – Still a chance to rebound if support holdsEURUSD has recently pulled back slightly after approaching resistance near the rising trendline. Currently, price is heading back to retest the support zone around 1.13200 – a key confluence area with the EMA89 and previous swing lows. This is a crucial level. If it holds, there’s a strong possibility for a rebound toward the 1.14280 resistance area.
On the H4 timeframe, the price structure remains within an ascending channel with no clear signs of trend reversal. The formation of higher lows suggests that buying pressure is still present. Notably, if this week’s CPI, PPI, and NFP data come in weaker than expected, market sentiment may shift further toward the idea of an early Fed rate cut – potentially providing a lift for EURUSD.
Additionally, rising geopolitical tensions could increase risk aversion, weakening the USD and further supporting the euro.
EURUSD – Upper Boundary Holds Firm, Watch for a PullbackEURUSD remains well-contained within its ascending channel, but price has repeatedly been rejected near the upper boundary around the 1.14790 zone. This highlights that profit-taking pressure near the previous high remains significant.
The current bounce from the lower boundary is unconvincing, as the recent highs are not surpassing the previous ones. While EMA34 and EMA89 are still offering support, if price moves toward 1.14790 but fails to break through, a “minor double top” pattern may emerge—raising the risk of a short-term correction.
A notable scenario would be a rejection at 1.14790, followed by a pullback toward the lower channel boundary around 1.13870. A break below this level could temporarily invalidate the short-term uptrend.
At this stage, buyers should remain patient and only look to re-enter near clear support zones. Avoid chasing entries near major resistance areas.
TSLA: Uptrend channel bounce, trading between 50 and 200-day SMAHey guys/gals!
So we all know that Tesla took a massive drop last week. It fell about 14%, and was down even 3% after hours at one point. I think we can all agree this crash wasn't technicals driven - it was clearly headline impacted. This was a clear black swan even t, and even in my case, nothing like this has ever happened to me as a trader. It was unforeseeable, forced me to hedge overnight and I'm still having nightmares (lol). Definitely one to remember as I don't think something like this would happen with any other stock. Tesla is truly unique in this sense.
But looking at the bigger picture, the bounce that we experienced on Friday must've been technicals driven, and psychologically influenced, as I am almost certain that the crash was a massive overreaction. People woke up the next day and thought this was severely discounted over a couple social media tweets (I won't go into the politics of things).
As you see on the chart, Tesla may in a new upward channel. At first I figured this may be a bear flag, however due to the upcoming catalyst like the Robotaxi launch - this would likely only be a bear flag if prices crashes below the lower support trend line.
As long as price is within the channel, I'd say things are holding up. We'd likely see a jump towards the upper side of the channel - however it's important to note that $300 and £360 are major resistance points. Robotaxi launch and any future tweets will definitely move price, and I think those will be a factor in determining whether price goes up or crashes below the trend line.
Another thing to point out is that price is currently trading between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The 50-day SMA is acting as vital support, whereas the 200-day SMA is the resistance. If there is a break above the 200-day SMA, price will likely go higher. The opposite may happen if price crashes below the 50-day SMA.
Either way, headlines and technicals mentioned above will continue to influence price.
Note: not financial advice.
GBPUSD - Technical analysis 2HGood morning, traders, dear TradingView. It's Nika.
I want to share this trading idea, for a reason we have very important resistance level breakout!
I think the price of this pair will continue growing and will reach level 1.37097!
So some of you can just open long now, or wait and enter after a little correction.
Thank you.
Have a profitable day.