The market recently managed to close above the Breaker Block!Bitcoin Market Update (Extended & Insightful):
The current update for Bitcoin remains largely the same as the previous one. However, there have been some slight yet significant shifts in the market behavior.
The market recently managed to close above the Breaker Block (BPR), which initially seemed like a bullish signal. But as it approached the overhead supply zone, it faced strong rejection and started to decline again. This shows that sellers are still active at higher levels.
Right now, the market is treating the BPR as an inversion level, meaning it’s testing it as potential support. This level is crucial for determining Bitcoin's next move.
🔍 So, what’s the best approach now?
Patience is key at this point. The ideal strategy is to wait and watch. Let the market clearly break either the upper supply zone (which would confirm bullish momentum) or the lower BPR zone (indicating a bearish trend). Only then can we expect a strong directional move.
Until one of these key levels is decisively broken, Bitcoin is likely to continue consolidating within this range — moving sideways without a clear trend.
🧠 DYOR — Do Your Own Research!
Always analyze before making any trading decisions.
Markets
(iFVG) before continuing its fall.EUR/USD is now ready to move downward. The market has already cleared out all the liquidity above, which suggests that it's now in the mood to drop. Earlier, on the 4-hour timeframe, the market had formed a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), but that has now been broken to the downside.
Currently, there are chances that the market might touch the imbalance (iFVG) before continuing its fall. Keep an eye on that level and observe how the market reacts there. It could be an important zone.
Do Your Own Research (DYOR)! This is not financial advice.
Uncertainty: The Dollar's Unexpected Ally?The recent strengthening of the US dollar (USD) against the Israeli shekel (ILS) serves as a potent illustration of the dollar's enduring role as a safe-haven currency amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty. This trend is particularly pronounced in the context of escalating tensions involving Iran, Israel, and the United States. Investors consistently gravitate towards the perceived stability of the dollar during periods of global unrest, leading to its appreciation against more volatile and susceptible currencies, such as the shekel.
A significant driver of this dollar demand stems from the precarious security landscape in the Middle East. Reports detailing Israel's potential operation into Iran, coupled with the United States' proactive measures like authorizing voluntary departures of military dependents and preparing for a partial evacuation of its Baghdad embassy, signal Washington's anticipation of potential Iranian retaliation. Assertive declarations from Iranian officials, explicitly threatening US military bases and claiming intelligence on Israeli nuclear facilities, further amplify regional risks, compelling investors to seek the dollar's perceived safety.
Compounding this geopolitical volatility is the stalled US-Iran nuclear diplomacy. Hurdles persist not only over core issues, such as uranium enrichment and sanctions relief, but also over the basic scheduling of talks, with both sides expressing diminishing confidence in a resolution. The recent International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors meeting, where the US and European allies introduced a non-compliance resolution against Iran, adds another layer of diplomatic tension, threatening increased sanctions or nuclear expansion and reinforcing the perception of a volatile environment that inherently strengthens the dollar.
These escalating tensions have tangible economic repercussions, further fueling investor flight to safety. The immediate aftermath has seen a significant increase in oil prices due to anticipated supply disruptions and a notable depreciation of the Iranian rial against the dollar. Warnings from maritime authorities regarding increased military activity in critical waterways also reflect broad market apprehension. During such periods of instability, capital naturally flows into assets perceived as low-risk, making the US dollar, backed by the world's largest economy and its status as a global reserve currency, the primary beneficiary. This flight-to-safety dynamic during major regional conflicts involving key global players consistently bolsters the dollar's value.
Current bullish movement there are still significant resistanceGold Market Update
In the short term, the gold market has entered an uptrend. This upward movement has been supported by a Market Structure Shift (MSS) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS), indicating a bullish momentum and a potential reversal or continuation of the trend to the upside.
However, despite the current bullish movement, there are still significant technical resistances that need to be considered before assuming a sustained rally. At the moment, gold is approaching a trendline resistance, which has historically acted as a barrier, limiting further upward price movement. In addition to this, there is also the presence of a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) in the same region, adding to the confluence of potential resistance zones.
If the price is able to break above both the trendline resistance and the bearish FVG, it would confirm the strength of the bullish trend, and we could expect the market to continue climbing higher, potentially testing even stronger resistance levels above.
On the other hand, if the market fails to break through this key resistance area and gets rejected, we may witness a retracement or a corrective move. In such a case, gold could decline back down toward the lower marked trendline, which would then act as the next significant support level.
In conclusion, the immediate price action around this resistance zone will be crucial in determining the next direction for gold. Traders and investors should watch closely for confirmation of either a breakout or a rejection before making any decisive moves.
Europe’s Center is CRUMBLING: VGK on the Brink? 🚨 Europe’s Center is CRUMBLING: VGK on the Brink? 🚨
Europe’s elections just lit a FUSE! 💥 Poland (May 18), Portugal (May 18), and Romania (May 4 & 18) held off populists, but the center’s hanging by a thread—50% in Poland went right-wing, Portugal’s Chega is shaking things up.
Immigration and globalization fury could rattle EU trade & policy. 📉 VGK ($75.53) is inches from its yearly high ($75.56)—ready to crash or soar?
💡 Trade Idea: Plot VGK price action with election dates (May 4, May 18, June 1, 2025) to spot volatility breakouts. Watch for support near $70 or resistance at $76.
❓ Your Move? Will VGK tank or rally on Europe’s chaos? Drop your trade below! 👇
Europe’s Political Powder Keg: Markets on Edge!🔥 Europe’s Political Powder Keg: Markets on Edge! 🔥
Europe’s elections just dropped a BOMB! 💣 Poland (May 18), Portugal (May 18), and Romania (May 4 & 18) rejected far-right surges, but the center’s crumbling. 🇪🇺 Poland’s pro-EU Trzaskowski barely leads—June 1 runoff could flip it! Portugal’s Chega is shaking the old guard, and Romania’s Nicușor Dan rides an anti-corruption wave.
Why care? Political chaos = market volatility. 📉 EUR/USD is wobbling, DAX could tank, and defense stocks (🇺🇦 ties) are in play.
💡 Trade Idea: Overlay EUR/USD with election dates (May 4, May 18, June 1) to catch volatility spikes.
❓ What’s your move? Will Europe’s turmoil crash markets or spark a rally? Drop your take below! 👇
Why it's time to take a closer look at Palantir stockWell well well, a good mystery starts with a whisper. For Palantir, it began in 2003, in the shadows of war-torn Iraq and Afghanistan. U.S. forces were struggling. Data was scattered. Decisions were delayed. Then came a company that promised to stitch the chaos together - to map the battlefield, spot terrorists, and maybe, just maybe, save lives!
After two decades: Palantir is no longer just a software firm - it's a silent architect behind some of the West’s most mission-critical operations.
🕵️♂️ Mission?
Not just to build technology. Not just to analyze data. But to influence life-and-death decisions - "Our product is used on occasion to kill people," their leadership says without blinking.
💼 Game?
Winning Defense Department contracts - and commercial giants too.
They've hired former Pentagon insiders, like Gregory Barbaccia and Shyam Sankar, and even political power players like Machalagh Carr, formerly Chief of Staff to House Speaker Kevin McCarthy. Play chess, not checkers?
💉 During the COVID-19 pandemic, Palantir stepped into the public health arena, building the infrastructure to track outbreaks and distribute vaccines for the U.S. government. They weren’t just responding - they were organizing the response.
🧠 And now? AI is their battlefield.
In August 2024, they deepened ties with Microsoft, integrating Azure OpenAI with Palantir's AIP - but not just anywhere. In classified environments. The stakes? National security. The client? The U.S. government.
Magnificent Seven: Still Magnificent? Or Diverging for Good?The Nasdaq 100 has bounced, but under the surface, the “Magnificent Seven” are no longer marching in sync.
And this divergence matters, especially if you’re trading QQQ or using it as a momentum proxy.
⚔️ Leadership Rotation in Real Time
- Nvidia (NVDA): Still a beast. Making fresh highs, clear institutional momentum.
- Microsoft (MSFT): Quiet strength — not flashy, but technically clean.
- Meta, Amazon: Holding up, consolidating after major runs.
- Apple (AAPL) and Tesla (TSLA): Weak links. AAPL can't find a bid. TSLA is stuck below major resistance.
Trading QQQ directly?
Consider weighting your thesis by what’s working under the hood.
- QQQ reclaimed the 200-day MA with the May 12's gap echoing the broader S&P move.
- Look for a retest of the resistance and the previous high of 540
- Play breakouts with confirmation, or mean-reverting pullbacks.
🧠 Final Take
The Magnificent Seven are splitting into two camps: those still driving the rally, and those dragging it.
Tariffs Shocked the World, But Look What Happened NextTrump's “Liberation Day” reciprocal tariff announcement triggered a sharp selloff in the S&P 500 on the 2nd April. A classic policy shock! But the market has since clawed back every point.
So what now? Let’s break it down by strategy.
🔎 Long-Term Investors: Stay the Course
1) This recovery reinforces one truth: When you own quality businesses, Volatility ≠ Risk. Policy creates opportunity, not exit signals.
2) Stick with great companies, buy on fear, and ignore the noise. The next 10 years won’t be won by panic.
⚡ Momentum Traders: Technical Reversal Delivered
1) S&P 500 bounced above its 30-day MA. With the May 12th’s bullish gap (post temporary tariff pause) confirming the trend shift.
2) This was a textbook momentum setup. But if you didn’t plan for the whipsaw, you missed the edge.
📈 What This Means Now
Short-term volatility is likely to continue as tariffs, rates, and elections are all on the table.
Watch for pullbacks into structure and keep risk tight as news-driven moves will be fast and brutal.
Choose your timeframe. Respect the trend. Don’t confuse noise with signal.
The edge now isn’t in prediction — it’s in preparation.
MES1!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 05/06/2025MES1!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 05/06/2025
📈 5625 5638 5650
📉 5614 5602 5590
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
Please like and share for more ES/NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 05/06/2025MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 05/06/2025
📈 19840 19900 19965
📉 19779 19717 19655
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
Please like and share for more ES/NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
SPY Day Trade Plan for 05/06/2025SPY Day Trade Plan for 05/06/2025
📈 560.55 562.50
📉 556.64 554.69
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
Please like and share for more ES/NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
May 6, 2025 - Markets Hold Their Breath Before Powell SpeaksHello everyone, it’s May 6, 2025 and markets are once again at the mercy of politics, Powell, and presidential mood swings.
After a 9-day rally, U.S. markets finally took a breather yesterday, with mild profit-taking ahead of the much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision. Investors are caught between two competing visions: Trump’s push for massive rate cuts, insisting inflation is a myth cooked up by bureaucrats, and Powell’s more sober stance acknowledging inflation isn’t dead, the economy is softening, and premature easing could trigger full-blown stagflation.
With Friday’s job report stronger than expected, Powell is expected to hold rates steady, staying cautious while tariffs and growth clouds loom. Markets are pricing in a July cut at best, but uncertainty lingers mostly around what Trump might tweet in reaction to Powell’s speech tomorrow night.
Meanwhile, despite the 90-day tariff moratorium, the trade war narrative hasn’t vanished. NYSE:F suspended its 2025 outlook, citing $1.5 billion in expected tariff costs and four major risks: disrupted supply chains, retaliatory measures, unclear tax policies, and emission rules. NASDAQ:MAT is also hedging its bets shifting production out of China and pausing forecasts, while begging for zero tariffs on toys “for the kids.” Their stocks dropped modestly after hours.
OANDA:XAUUSD surged again to $3,368, as fear and safe-haven demand ticked up. BLACKBULL:WTI rebounded to over $58 following an OPEC statement, helping airline stocks breathe a bit. BINANCE:BTCUSDT continued its meteoric rise, now sitting around $94,400.
On the macro front, inflation data like CPI and PPI are being shrugged off everyone’s waiting to see if Powell plays ball with Trump. There’s hope, too, that all this chaos is just Trump’s way of muscling the world into negotiation especially China and if a “deal” emerges, markets could rip higher. Until then, we’re stuck dancing between uncertainty and hope.
Asia opened strong this morning, led by China’s cautious optimism. Futures point slightly lower in the U.S., and volatility remains king. The Fed could flip the script tomorrow or keep us hanging. Stay buckled in.
Tariffs, and Tumult: Wall Street Waits on Super WednesdayHello everyone, it’s April 30, 2025. The TVC:DJI just closed its sixth consecutive green session, with markets clinging to hope as rumors swirl of a first tariff deal—possibly with India—though nothing is confirmed. That tiny breadcrumb of optimism was enough to boost sentiment late in yesterday’s session, even if volatility is dipping below 25% and investor enthusiasm seems to be fading in lockstep.
U.S. macro data continues to paint a picture of “not great, but not terrible.” Consumer confidence and job openings (JOLTS) came in below expectations but not disastrously so, prompting markets to collectively shrug and declare everything “less worse than feared.” It’s a strategy now: ignore bad data as long as it isn’t apocalyptic.
As earnings roll in, companies are split between those who pretend the tariff storm is “manageable” (hello, NASDAQ:COKE ) and those flying blind through economic fog ( NYSE:UPS , Snap, and Super Micro—who might be losing a major client named Nvidia). The overall takeaway? Visibility is garbage, and most companies are bracing rather than building.
All eyes are now on today’s so-called Super Wednesday, packed with economic data (U.S. GDP, PCE, ADP jobs, Chicago PMI) and mega-earnings from NASDAQ:MSFT and NASDAQ:META . But as usual, expectations may outpace reality. Markets often dream of clarity and wake up to more noise.
Meanwhile, China flashed its first big red light: a manufacturing PMI of 49, signaling contraction—the lowest in two years. No shock, considering their ongoing trade war with the U.S., which seems to be giving the global economy the flu.
On the political front, Trump celebrated his 100 days in office with a campaign-style detour to Detroit, throwing shade at Fed Chair Jerome Powell while declaring the economy in perfect health (despite the worst market performance since Nixon’s early days). He promised tax cuts, again, while doubling down on trade threats. Powell, of course, is just trying to survive the week.
Oil briefly dipped under $60 as markets considered the broader implications of economic warfare, gold sits at $3,311, and Bitcoin hovers around $95,000—looking resilient despite the madness.
As for corporate earnings, Starbucks missed on sales due to weak U.S. demand, Pfizer beat on EPS but saw revenue fall, and Visa continues to rake in profits as Americans keep spending like inflation isn’t real. Novartis crushed it but got no love from the market because apparently, +22% net income just isn’t sexy enough.
In short: chaos remains king. Markets seem oddly calm on the surface, but under the hood, it’s still all about tariffs, Trump tweets, and the fantasy that maybe—just maybe—some clarity will come today. Don’t hold your breath.
Enjoy the ride, and see you tomorrow for more market mayhem.
April 28, 2025 - Broken Supply Chains, and the DC CircusHello everyone, it’s April 28, 2025. The week ahead promises to be spectacular (or a complete disaster) depending on which way the wind blows out of Washington. So far, the futures are down about 0.6% this morning, as everyone’s trying to cut risk ahead of a week crammed with Big Tech earnings ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:AMZN , NASDAQ:META ), a mountain of macro data (PCE, GDP, ISM, jobs), and of course, the never-ending Trump tariff soap opera.
On the US politics front, Trump stayed uncharacteristically quiet over the weekend, no new bombshells. But whispers about “talks” with China surfaced, without any real confirmation. Meanwhile, several countries are supposedly rushing to negotiate tariff deals with the US. Expect headlines (and chaos) throughout the week.
Supply chains are starting to crack. Container traffic from China to the US has plunged 60%, and if deals aren’t made by mid-May, we could be staring down empty shelves and layoffs in transport and retail sectors. Think “Black Friday” without anything to buy.
Meanwhile, the drama at the Fed continues. Kevin Warsh, still salty about not replacing Powell, attacked the Fed’s “media circus” style, blaming it for post-Covid inflation. Warsh wants the Fed to go old-school: shut up, protect the dollar, and stop playing superhero. No forecasts, no endless press conferences. Just cigars and silence.
On the macro side, this week’s economic data could turn into a horror show: weak jobs numbers, soft GDP, slowing PCE, all raising the probability of recession. If that happens, expect markets to start begging the Fed to cut rates sooner rather than later.
Assets snapshot:
• BLACKBULL:WTI : $63.36
• OANDA:XAUUSD : $3,307
• INDEX:BTCUSD : $94,000
In short: expect maximum volatility, endless surprises from DC, and a market that could spin on a dime. Stay sharp, stay skeptical, and brace for anything.
3 Oversold Stocks Poised for a Rally – MAS, IQV & TMOBelow is today’s SmartApingAI snapshot of three highly oversold names showing early signs of a rebound. Scroll down for a quick refresher on each company’s fundamentals, key technicals, and what makes them attractive at current levels.
1. Masco Corp ( NYSE:MAS )
What They Do:
Masco designs, manufactures and sells a broad range of home-improvement and new-construction products, including faucets, cabinets, hardware, coatings and architectural products.
Customers:
• Homeowners tackling renovation projects
• Professional contractors and builders
Income Source:
Primarily through the sale of mid-range to premium fixtures, cabinetry systems and paint/coatings.
Geographic Footprint:
• ~85% North America
• ~15% Europe
Product Pricing:
Mid-range to premium, with strong brand recognition in kitchen and bath fixtures.
SmartAping AI Model Target Price:
$81.36
Technical Snapshot:
• Broke below—and then bounced off—the $57 weekly support zone
• Now trading at $60.42, up from the intra-week low
• WiseStrat Macro ASI: deeply oversold at –120, turning bullish
• WiseStrat Micro ASI: still bearish, suggesting cautious position sizing
Why Watch:
Home-improvement spending has held up despite moderating housing starts, and MAS’s disciplined balance sheet and dividend yield (~2%) make it a compelling recovery play if consumer confidence picks up.
2. IQVIA Holdings Inc ( NYSE:IQV )
What They Do:
IQVIA provides data analytics, research services and technology solutions that power clinical trials, market research and real-world evidence for the life-sciences industry.
Customers:
• Pharma and biotech firms
• Medical device companies
• Healthcare providers and payers
Income Source:
Subscription and project-based fees for data platforms, consulting and trial execution services.
Geographic Footprint:
• 50% Americas
• 30% EMEA (Europe, Middle East & Africa)
• 20% Asia-Pacific
Product Pricing:
Variable, tailored to project scope—from high-volume data subscriptions to multi-million-dollar trial outsourcing contracts.
SmartAping AI Model Target Price:
$275.35
Technical Snapshot:
• Dropped below the $137 weekly support last week, then staged a relief rally
• Currently at $150.28
• WiseStrat Macro ASI: extremely oversold at –127, now in bullish reversal mode
• WiseStrat Micro ASI: turning positive, hinting at building short-term momentum
Why Watch:
With global R&D spend on track to exceed $250 billion this year, IQVIA’s blend of analytics and CRO services is in high demand. A seasonal uptick in trial starts could catalyze upside toward our $275 target.
3. Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc ( NYSE:TMO )
What They Do:
Thermo Fisher supplies scientific instruments, reagents and software used in research, diagnostics, manufacturing and safety testing across life-sciences and industrial markets.
Customers:
• Academic, government and corporate research labs
• Clinical and diagnostic facilities
• Biopharma manufacturers
Income Source:
Sales of equipment (from a few hundred to multi-million dollars), consumables, and service contracts.
Geographic Footprint:
• ~50% North America
• ~30% Europe
• ~20% Asia-Pacific & other
Product Pricing:
Ranges widely: entry-level lab kits to high-end sequencers and complete lab automation lines.
SmartAping AI Model Target Price:
$645.83
Technical Snapshot:
• Tested and held the $412.73 weekly support last week, bouncing back to $424.24
• WiseStrat Macro ASI: oversold at –129, now showing bullish tilt
• WiseStrat Micro ASI: still negative, cautioning potential retest of $412
Why Watch:
Strong long-term secular drivers—gene therapy, personalized medicine and diagnostics—remain intact. A washout in biotech funding fears has left TMO trading at a rare discount to growth peers.
April 25, 2025 - Trump’s Tango, Tech, and Insider DramaHello everyone, it’s April 25, 2025. We’re closing in on Trump’s 100-day mark back in the White House, and if there’s one word to sum up his impact on markets: chaos. With 137 executive orders signed already, he’s turned global markets into a high-stakes rollercoaster though this week saw signs of recovery, confidence remains fragile, and volatility is still running the show.
The main trigger? You guessed it: Trump and his tariff diplomacy. After weeks of U-turns, threats, and NYSE:TWTR meltdowns, he’s finally announced that talks with China have begun. That was enough to send the AMEX:SPY up 2%, pull the CME_MINI:NQ1! out of correction territory (+2.74%), and ignite a 5.63% jump in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, even though it’s still miles below its all-time high.
OANDA:XAUUSD is sitting at $3,332, BLACKBULL:WTI hovers around $63.21, and INDEX:BTCUSD has skyrocketed to $93,200. Not bad for a week that started in total disarray.
Now here’s where things get fishy: US indices started climbing before Trump’s announcement—classic “somebody knew something.” Insider trading? Just your average Thursday. And while Trump claims talks are underway, the Chinese side played coy, denying any ongoing negotiations. Either someone’s lying, or the talks are happening over dim sum in DC.
Beyond geopolitics, NASDAQ:GOOG crushed earnings expectations and added a juicy dividend and GETTEX:70B in buybacks, exploding 6% after-hours. Meanwhile, NASDAQ:INTC flopped—flat profits, poor outlook, and a CEO trying to turn cost-cutting into a growth story. The market wasn’t buying it: down 5.7% after-hours.
NYSE:NOW , though, is living its best life. Strong results, AI momentum, and federal contracts boosted shares 15%. Other names like NASDAQ:PEP , NYSE:PG , and NASDAQ:AAL warned on the future thanks to—you guessed it—political and economic uncertainty.
On the macro front, ECONOMICS:USIJC (US jobless claims) ticked higher, inflation seems to be cooling, and if next week’s PCE and employment data confirm the slowdown, the Fed might just blink and cut rates in May. Market hopes are pinned on Powell holding steady—unless, of course, Trump decides to live-tweet through it.
Futures are up 0.37% ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) this morning, signaling optimism—possibly misplaced—in Trump’s “friendly” overtures toward China. Let’s just say we’re one golf game away from another market tantrum.
Enjoy your weekend, stay alert, and cross your fingers for a quiet Sunday tweet-wise.
April 24, 2025 - Not getting fired (yet)Hello everyone, it’s April 24, 2025, welcome back to another wild episode of “Trumponomics: The Market Edition.” For the second day in a row, global markets are on the rise, and yes, it’s all thanks to the Trump playbook: slap tariffs everywhere, terrify the market, escalate tensions, then toss out a gesture of peace and voilà — rally mode engaged.
The key word this morning? Relief. Relief that Trump might chill out on China, and Powell isn’t getting fired (yet). But let’s not pop the champagne too soon — anyone betting against a weekend plot twist from Trump hasn’t been paying attention.
In the US, the Fed’s Beige Book (a.k.a. the economy’s mood diary) painted a picture that’s… let’s say “limp but not lifeless.” Only 5 of the 12 Fed districts saw growth, and even that was more “walker with tennis balls” than Olympic sprint. Inflation? Creeping in slowly, with companies sharpening their price-hike pencils just in case Trump cranks up the tariff heat again. Employment? Not awful, but nothing to brag about. And uncertainty? It was mentioned 80 times in the report. That’s not a joke.
Meanwhile, auto sales are up — not because the economy’s booming, but because Americans are panic-buying ahead of expected price surges from more tariffs. Business travel is tanking, and tourism’s taking a nosedive. Welcome to the “Not-quite-a-crisis-but-definitely-not-fine” States of America.
As for OANDA:XAUUSD , after a brief flirtation with $3,500, it’s cooled down to $3,337. BLACKBULL:WTI is holding at $62.86. And INDEX:BTCUSD ? It’s back in the spotlight at $92,000 and climbing — yes, people are talking about it again, which should tell you something about the vibe out there.
On the politics front, Trump hinted that the tariff moratorium could be revoked for some countries, and he’s back to pestering Powell to cut rates. Classic. Meanwhile, Wall Street is just trying not to get whiplash. NYSE:BA numbers came in better than feared, and NASDAQ:NVDA supply chain via INX looks solid despite wild swings.
Today’s economic calendar includes durable goods data and jobless claims in the CME_MINI:ES1! are down 0.2% — looks like investors are just bracing for the next Trump curveball.
TL;DR: Markets are riding the Trump-coaster, gold cooled off, crypto’s surging, and America’s economy is wobbling but still upright — for now. Keep your helmets on.
EUR/GBP – Trendline Break & Retest: Reversal Confirmed?Technical Outlook:
EUR/GBP has broken above the descending trendline and is now retesting it from above near 0.8540–0.8560. This zone is critical — holding it confirms a trend reversal. If successful, the next upside targets are 0.8625 and 0.8680. RSI remains above 50, and MACD continues to support bullish momentum.
Fundamentals:
Dovish expectations from the BoE weigh on the pound. The euro gains support from improving inflation outlook and capital inflows. Interest rate differentials now favor EUR.
Scenarios:
📈 Main: bounce from 0.8540–0.8560 → move to 0.8625 and 0.8680
📉 Alt: break below 0.8540 → retracement to 0.8500–0.8480
Another market manipulation. It is spiraling out of control!I’m not here to express political opinions, but let’s be real—the Trump family launching meme coins, rugging retail investors, and manipulating markets is spiraling out of control.
💥 $TRUMP and $MELANIA were just the beginning.
Today, we witnessed what could be the biggest market manipulation in history, and it was executed with textbook precision:
Step one: float a fake news headline to test the market reaction.
Step two: publish a deliberately confusing statement where Trump says everything and its opposite.
Many misunderstood it as a “90-day tariff pause.”
🕛 The timing?
The announcement dropped at 12:30 PM EST—midnight in Asia, and 7 PM in Europe, when banks and institutions were closed.
🎯 Only the U.S. was awake and able to buy the pump.
Everyone else? Left sidelined.
No politician in modern history has manipulated global markets to this extent.
It’s turning Wall Street into a Las Vegas casino for the elite.
To make matters worse, Trump even tweeted a sarcastic:
“It’s a great day to buy stocks.”
🧨 Reality check:
He lowered current tariffs by just 10%
Hit China with a massive 125% tariff
Recession risk? Still on the table
Economic uncertainty? Worse than ever
You think China will just let this slide? Retaliation is coming.
What we're seeing is a nation burning its credibility while recklessly using financial power to create chaos.
🚨 If you think your money is safe in markets run by these people, think again.
This isn't trading anymore—it's Russian Roulette. Markets needs stability.
DYOR
Gold ETF(GLD) - Gold is the Safe Haven?Is Gold the safe haven from all the market turmoil? Looking at the chart, it would appear that Gold is unfazed by current market conditions. Price is still making All-Time Highs as price continues to swing above the 25(green), 100,(yellow) and 200(blue) day EMAs. Further fears in the Bond market may increase interest in Gold as a stable asset. What are you thoughts? What are some other assets that are defying 'gravity'?