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XAUMO XAUUSD (Gold Spot) ANALYSIS | AUG 01, 2025 | CAIRO TIME GMThis is a stealth bullish accumulation day. Market maker completed a fake drop and now prepping breakout. Play long bias from control zone with stop-hunt fade backup. Schabacker would call this a false breakdown spring + congestion base rally. XAUUSD (Gold Spot) ANALYSIS | AUG 01, 2025 | CAIRO TIME GMT+3 🔍 Multi-Timeframe Technical Breakdown (Daily → 5m) 1️⃣ Price Action & Patterns Daily: Bullish rejection tail forming (pin bar) off VAL (3,288). Strong buyer defense. 4H: Classic bullish engulfing off VAL support. High rejection wick to downside. Micro-structure shows market maker trap. 1H: V-shape recovery seen. Absorption bar confirmed via footprint delta spike. 15m: Buyers stepping in at POC (3,289.35), stealthy buying—confirmed by divergence between delta & price. 5m: Accumulation in box range between 3,289–3,292. High absorption on bid side, low offer lifting—sign of stealth long build. 2️⃣ Volume & Delta Footprint POC Cluster across all TFs: 3,289.00–3,291.50 is the control zone. Volume Node Rejection at 3,288 = confirmed buyer base. Delta: Absorption → sellers hitting bids but no follow-through = market maker trap → bullish implication. Volume Spike at 3,288 = fakeout move likely manipulated to hunt stops. 3️⃣ Support/Resistance VAL: 3,288 🔥 Strong Demand Zone POC: 3,289.35–3,291.75 🧠 Smart Money Zone VAH: 3,292.80 🎯 Break above confirms momentum Res. Extension: 3,296.20, 3,300 Fibonacci Confluence: 3,288 = 61.8% golden retracement from recent rally 5️⃣Volatility Compression near VAH = Volatility Expansion imminent. Expect Breakout in next 1–2 hours (likely post 09:00 Cairo Time – Kill Zone) 6️⃣ Market Maker Philosophy Last 3 days show liquidity vacuum trap below 3,288. MM has triggered stop hunts to shake weak longs. Building long inventory stealthily under POC. Expecting rally trap to suck in breakout buyers → then retrace → final breakout continuation. 🧨 JEWEL TRADE ENTRY (Highest Probability) 📈 Order: Buy Stop 🎯 Entry: 3,293.10 🛑 Stop Loss: 3,287.70 💰 Take Profit: 3,302.40 📊 Confidence: 87% 🧠 Justification: Breakout of VAH/Golden Zone + High Volume Node = Trend Shift Confirmed This is for EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY, and not financial advise.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Schabacker's Gold Trap Inside the Trap: Schabacker Congestion, VWAP Warfare & The Silent Distribution on XAU/USD 1. The Congestion Area – Schabacker Style 🔍 What We Saw: Price action rotated in a tight range: 3,324.5 - 3,329.5. This is not random. This is Schabacker’s classic Congestion Zone: Duration: 12+ hours Width: ~5 points Volume: tapering near edges Failed breakouts on both sides = classic neutral wedge compression. 🎯 Schabacker Teaching Applied: "Congestion areas are places of rest and preparation — they are the breeding grounds of significant breakouts or breakdowns." From his bible “Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits”: Congestion after a trend → likely a continuation (but confirm via breakout volume). Multiple failed breakouts = deceptive strength/weakness → traps. Range becomes psychological equilibrium → breakout from this zone is explosive. 📘 Lesson: Watch for breakout confirmation only AFTER price escapes the congestion and retests the range (confirm with volume and delta). If volume weakens and price returns inside = fakeout, fade that sh*t. 🔥 How Schabacker Explains July 29 Price Action "This was a classic congestion scenario with symmetrical compression, rejecting value high and value low over and over — a balanced market ripe for an imbalanced expansion." Price coiled with lower highs + higher lows inside the value zone = triangle-like congestion. Breakout attempts both sides failed = energy stored. Delta flipped negative toward the close + volume dried = distribution inside the congestion. ✅ Congestion was not random chop. It was the Smart Money disguising their exit before slamming price. ⚔️ ENHANCED STRATEGIC OUTLOOK FOR TODAY (JULY 30, 2025) 🎯 Bias: Short bias unless proven wrong by breakout + acceptance above 3,329.50 Schabacker’s congestion broken to the downside = high probability short trigger. First target = edge of congestion zone @ 3,316.80 (previous VAL). Second target (extension) = swing low anchor near 3,310. 📘 Volatility Note: After tight range like this (Schabacker Box), volatility expansion is imminent. Don’t get caught trading inside — trade the break and retest. 💣 HYPOTHETICAL TRADE PLAN: SCHABACKER STRATEGY IN PLAY Order Type: 🔻 Sell Stop Below Congestion Break Entry: 3,322.00 Stop Loss: 3,330.00 (above congestion top + failed breakout zone) Take Profit 1: 3,316.80 (edge of range, VAL) Take Profit 2: 3,310.00 (target from congestion width projection) Confidence: 78% 🧠 Justification: Factor Explanation VWAP Flatlined = balanced market FVRP Price camped near POC = equilibrium Footprint Absorption at highs, silent selling = distribution confirmed Delta Early buyer strength flipped = trap Schabacker Congestion Classic box breakout setup = timing the expansion 🧠 EDUCATIONAL SUMMARY — WHAT YOU JUST LEARNED ✅ Schabacker’s Congestion Area Tactics Congestion after a move Leads to continuation (trend resumes after pause) Multiple failed breakouts Traps traders = setup for fakeout fade Volume dries inside box = Explosive breakout likely Use congestion width To project breakout targets You don't fade chop — you exploit it after the breakout. Don't waste your bullets inside the box. Wait for the beast to break loose — then you unload.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE