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Gold Correction = Bearish Divergence + Wedge + Zigzag CompleteGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) today after the release of the US CPI indices . Although the figures seemed to be in gold's favor, traders still seem to be determined to continue the price correction. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has managed to complete the Zigzag Correction. We should wait for the next 5 down waves . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Gold appears to have successfully formed a Rising Wedge Pattern . I expect Gold to drop to at least $3,296 AFTER breaking the lower line of the Rising Wedge Pattern . Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $3,380 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
32
Gold may rise due to CPI and falling dollarMay CPI in the US rose by 2.4% - just below the forecast of 2.5%. This reinforced expectations of a Fed rate cut despite continued pressure from tariffs. The dollar is weakening, gold may gain in this situation Gold is forming an upward structure. The fundamental background is changing and moving to the side of gold. Before the rise there may be a liquidity grab from below Price is in consolidation. If trading shifts to the upper half of the current range, then a breakout and continued growth can be considered in this case
FX:XAUUSDLong
by AndeWave
15
XAUUSD Video Analysis Brief – Weekly Forecast Summary (2025)This video summarizes the key scenarios and technical outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) on the weekly timeframe, integrating both Fibonacci-based projections and macro fundamentals. Core Setup Gold is currently positioned near the 161.8% Fibonacci extension (~$3,276). A breakout toward $3,500 is possible before a potential corrective move. Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation Gold breaks above $3,435 → rallies to $4300 → continues toward major Fibonacci targets: TP: $4,320, which is the Fibonacci level 261.8% Scenario 2: Correction First Gold fails to hold above $3,435 → triggers a healthy correction to: TP1: $2,920 TP2: $2,650 If support 161.8% level holds in the correction zone, a renewed bullish phase is expected. Macro Alignment Central bank gold buying (notably BRICS) supports the long-term bid. Fed policy leaning dovish → tailwinds for gold. Inverse correlation with DXY: DXY below 98.95 → bullish for gold DXY above 100 → signals correction Effect on Altcoins If correction is risk-on driven, capital may rotate into altcoins. If triggered by macro stress or USD strength, alts may fall alongside gold. This analysis offers a multi-scenario framework to navigate the next major moves in gold, with key levels to watch for traders, investors, and macro analysts alike.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BitonGroup
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-12: BaseRally In Trend ModeToday's pattern suggests the markets may attempt to identify a base and move higher (rally) off that base level. Given the overnight price activity, I suggest the process of identifying the base level could prompt a deeper early decline in price - possibly attempting to retest 595-597 lows before finding support and attempting to rally. As I've been warning over the past few weeks/months, I'm still seeing the Excess Phase Peak pattern playing out as a Flag Termination - rolling into a downtrend and attempting to move back towards the $480 lows as a real possibility. I've been warning and watching for the breakdown in trend - but we've not seen it yet. Thus, we are still BULLISH until we get a confirmation of a solid breakdown. That would be a move below the 580-585 level at this point. We need to see some type of solid breakdown in price, breaking away from the FLAG setup and moving downward, before I could confidently suggest the Flag Breakdown has happened. Gold and Silver are making a big move higher. Gold is finally starting to move back above $3400 and I believe watching Silver, Gold, & Platinum rally suggests FEAR is elevating as we move into the end of June. I still believe Gold has a chance to rally above $4k before the end of June. We'll see if it happens. BTCUSD is moving into a DUAL-EPP pattern. This is very interesting. Watch the video as I highlight why this could prompt a dual-stage EPP breakdown in Bitcoin over the next 20 to 50+ days. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
XAUUSD: Strategy and Analysis for June 12Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance: 3400-3420, support: 3310 Four-hour chart resistance: 3400, support: 3325 One-hour chart resistance: 3385, support: 3340. Spot gold soared after the release of CPI as investors responded to optimistic inflation data. Trump's interest rate cut speech restored the confidence of gold bulls, but with the strong pressure of 3380 above, the market fell again, and the frequency of gold long and short switching accelerated, verifying the daily level of shock. From a technical point of view, although the daily line has not risen continuously, there is a very obvious feature of the daily cycle, that is, the middle track of Bollinger has not broken, and multiple attempts have not changed this technical point. This is the support point for the short-term retracement and the defense point for the long-term rise. If the NY market stands firm at 3380, it is expected to rise to the 3410 US dollar line. The short-term key support position below is around 3345, and it will be short-term bearish only after it falls below. Personally, I suggest that you give priority to buying in the NY market. Buy: 3380near SL:3375 Buy: 3345near SL:3340
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
How Gold Could Be Affected by Possible Iran Conflict? Gold begins the new day on a bullish note following escalating developments in the Middle East. Yesterday, markets were focused on the US–China deal. Although an agreement was reached, tariffs but overall trade tensions remain elevated. Combined with the lower-than-expected core CPI, gold mostly moved sideways, apart from intraday noise. However, this could change in the days ahead. US–Iran nuclear negotiations appear to be stalling. A new round of talks is scheduled for Sunday, June 15. The negative newsflow escalated with Iran’s defense minister warned that US bases in the region could be targeted if conflict breaks out. US ordered all non-essential personnel to evacuate and approved the voluntary departure of military family members from the region. Simultaneously, reports surfaced that "Israel is ready to strike Iran." The negative newsflow continued today. The International Atomic Energy Agency passed a resolution declaring Iran non-compliant with its international obligations. In retaliation, Iran announced it would build a new uranium enrichment facility at a hidden and secure location and unveiled plans for new military drills. The timing of this escalation raises the risk of direct conflict. Netanyahu’s government is facing collapse, with the possibility of new elections looming. At the same time, Iran is nearing nuclear weapons capability. While Trump is more openly supportive of Israel than Biden, he is reluctant to involve the US in any direct or indirect conflict. This dynamic raises the chances of an Israeli strike on Iran. Adding to the tension is the upcoming July 9 deadline for tariffs. Trump intends to send unilateral tariff agreements to trade partners with a “take it or leave it” approach. This could sharply increase trade tensions and further support gold prices. Today's news flow is heavily bullish for gold, and the technical outlook aligns with it. The triangle formation has broken, and gold has retested the upper boundary, gaining momentum from that level. If current risk levels remain elevated, especially if multiple strikes on Iran occur, a medium-term move above 3600 could begin. Despite the strong bullish setup, we are in a market where sentiment can shift in minutes, with major news emerging almost daily. In this environment, it's crucial to define key levels and indicators for risk management. At the moment, the 50-day EMA appears to be holding well as a support level. This moving average could be the final line that determines the medium-term direction for gold. If it breaks, the bullish outlook may no longer be valid.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ftdsystem
Long profit-taking,how to position gold before unemployment data📰 Impact of news: 1. Pay attention to the initial unemployment claims data 📈 Market analysis: After being pulled down, the gold price quickly rebounded to around 3385, and the RSI showed a V-shaped reversal. It is not recommended to chase the rise at present. In the short term, pay attention to the upper resistance area of 3385-3395. If the gold price effectively breaks through this resistance area, it is expected to touch the 3400-3410 line. On the contrary, it encounters resistance and pressure at the 3385-3395 line, and may retreat to the 3370-3360 line in the short term. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3385-3395 TP 3370-3360 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
GOLD | Bullish Momentum Holds Above 3376, Eyes on 3404 and 3431GOLD | OVERVIEW Gold remains in bullish momentum following the CPI result of 2.4%, which came in below expectations. This increases the likelihood of a rate cut by the Fed, providing strong support for gold. As long as the price trades above 3376 and 3351, the bullish trend is expected to continue toward 3404. A confirmed stabilization above 3404 could open the path toward 3431. Bearish Correction till 3376 available. Pivot: 3376 Resistance Lines: 3404, 3431 Support Lines: 3366, 3347
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
Gold (XAUUSD) Eyes 3,330 Zone as Safe-Haven Demand Builds!!Hey Traders, In today’s trading session, we’re keeping a close watch on XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 3,330 zone. Gold continues to trade within a strong uptrend, and is currently undergoing a healthy correction, bringing it near a key support/resistance level that could act as a springboard for the next leg higher. From a fundamental perspective, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have led to the evacuation of diplomatic personnel and increasing concerns of potential military escalation. As uncertainty grows, safe-haven assets like gold tend to attract stronger demand from investors seeking protection against volatility and risk. If the situation deteriorates further, we could see a surge in gold prices as market participants hedge against geopolitical instability. Trade safe, Joe
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
17
Gold Extends Gains, Eyes 3400📊 Market Overview • Following softer-than-expected US CPI data, gold surged strongly. • This morning, gold touched a high of 3377 before pulling back slightly to around 3372. • A weaker USD and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts remain key bullish drivers. 📉 Technical Analysis • Key Resistance: $3,380 – $3,400 • Nearest Support: $3,325 – $3,310 • EMA09: Price remains above EMA09, signaling a short-term uptrend. • Candlestick & Momentum: Gold has broken out of a consolidation zone with strong momentum, though short-term overbought signals are emerging. 📌 Outlook Gold may enter a mild pullback within the 3370–3380 zone before finding fresh momentum from upcoming Fed signals or macro data. Caution is advised when trading near major resistance. 💡 Trading Strategy 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3375–3377 🎯 TP: 3355 ❌ SL: 3385 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3325–3330 🎯 TP: 3350 ❌ SL: 3315
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
5
TOP 10 Stats of the Current Gold Bull Market in 2025 and Outlook📊 Top 10 Stats of the Current Gold Bull Market (2025) 1. 🥇 Gold price per ounce: Around $3,338–$3,364, with a recent all-time high above $3,500 in April 2025 2. 📈 Year-to-date gain: About +29% in 2025 so far, after a +30% gain in 2024 3. 🏦 Central bank buying: More than 1,000 tonnes bought for the fourth straight year, reserves near record levels 4. 🔒 Inflation hedge: Strong inverse correlation with real yields; high demand driven by inflation and geopolitical worries 5. 📊 Gold vs S&P 500: Both reached new highs together; gold is up about 27% YTD while the S&P 500 is up only around 2% 6. 💍 Jewellery demand: Global gold jewelry demand is down about 9% in 2024, projected to drop another 16% in 2025 due to high prices 7. ⚖️ Gold-to-silver ratio: Now around 94, down from a peak of 105—showing silver is regaining ground 8. 🏅 Record closes: More than 40 record daily closes for gold in 2025, prices consolidating around $3,290–$3,400 9. 🏛️ Technical breakout: Broke out of a 13-year “cup-and-handle” technical pattern in March 2024 10. 🔮 2025 forecasts: Predictions range from $3,600–$4,000 by Q2 2026, with some expecting as high as $4,500 if risks rise ________________________________________ 🔄 How This Gold Bull Market Compares to Past Bull Markets 1️⃣ 1968–1980 Super Bull • 🕰️ Gold climbed from ~$35 to ~$850, a massive 2,330% gain over 12 years • 🔥 Driven by double-digit inflation, end of the gold standard, and political turmoil • ⚠️ Huge corrections, including a nearly 45% drop in 1974–76, but rapid rebounds 2️⃣ 1999–2008 Bull Market • 💹 Gold surged from ~$252 to ~$1,023 (about +305%) in 9 years • 🚀 Fueled by the commodities supercycle and concerns about global imbalances • 📉 Big correction during the 2008 financial crisis, but gold rebounded fast 3️⃣ 2018–2025 (Current Cycle) • ⏳ Gold broke out in 2024 from a 13-year sideways base • 💥 Up nearly 200% from the 2018 lows to over $3,500 • 🏦 Central banks are the biggest buyers, unlike earlier cycles • 🛡️ Corrections have been milder—2022 saw only a 20% drop • 🏃‍♂️ Fast recovery: new highs reached within months, not years ________________________________________ 📊 Quick Comparison Table Metric 1968–80 Super Bull 1999–2008 Bull 2018–2025 Current 🚀 Total Gain ~2,330% ~305% ~200% so far ⏲️ Length 12 years 9 years 7 years so far 💔 Biggest Drawdown –45% (1974–76) –30% (2008) –20% (2022) 🏦 Central Bank Role Moderate Emerging Dominant 📉 Correction Speed Years to recover 4 years Months 🏛️ Technical Pattern Secular breakout Multiple peaks Broke 13-yr base ________________________________________ 🧭 What Makes the Current Bull Market Unique • 🏦 Central banks are setting the pace with record-breaking demand • 🩹 Corrections are less severe and recoveries are quicker • 📈 Gold is rallying alongside stocks, which is rare historically • 🏛️ The breakout from a 13-year consolidation signals strong structural support • 🔮 Major forecasts predict further highs through 2026, suggesting this may become one of the strongest cycles ever
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
31
XAUUSD Breakout Brewing -- Squeeze Setup in Play📆 June 12, 2025 | ⏱ 4H Chart Analysis Gold (XAUUSD) is pressing against a key trendline resistance while holding a clean, ascending trendline from early March — forming a classic triangle squeeze. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: The long-term bullish trendline has been respected three times, with each touch followed by strong buying interest (see orange circles). Current price action is compressing between this trendline and descending resistance, tightening toward a potential breakout zone. Two likely outcomes on the table: 🔺 Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above $3,385 could fuel a rally toward $3,500–$3,520, especially if momentum accelerates. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: Breakdown below $3,260 risks deeper correction toward the $3,000 psychological level, aligning with prior demand zones. 📊 Indicators Insight: EMA(15) & EMA(60) have flattened → signaling potential volatility expansion ahead. Volume is building slightly, adding weight to a coming move. ================================================================= ⚖️ Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice) 🟢 Buy on breakout above 3,385, Target: 3,500+ 🔴 Sell on breakdown below 3,260, Target: 3,000 📌 Wait for confirmation and avoid chasing within the squeeze range. 💬 What's your take — will gold break through or bounce back? 📌 Follow for consistent multi-timeframe setups across Gold, Silver, and FX majors — 2–3 times weekly. #XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutSetup #Forex #EMA #SqueezePlay #TrianglePattern #tradingview #MJTrading
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by MJElahifx
1
XAG/USD - Channel Breakout (11.06.2025) The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a CHannel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 3587 2nd Support – 3555 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAGUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
43
Silver Tests Key Long-Term ResistanceSilver is testing the 34.85 level, a critical resistance both in the short and long term. Since 2013, a cup and handle formation has developed just beneath this level. A confirmed breakout could signal sustained long-term bullish momentum. Supporting this outlook, the gold/silver ratio has recently shown a decisive tilt in gold's favor, reaching historically extreme levels. This test of 34.85 might be the catalyst silver bulls have been waiting for and a return to normal signal for gold/silver ratio with pair trade oppurtunity. However, caution is warranted. Silver is known for sharp intraday and weekly reversals. Confirming the breakout or false breakout could become tricky.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by ftdsystem
Gold Extends Gains Post-CPI | All Eyes on PPI for the Next Move XAUUSD – Gold Extends Gains Post-CPI | All Eyes on PPI for the Next Move 🌍 Macro Pulse: CPI Sparks Momentum, But Will PPI Sustain It? Gold surged following softer-than-expected US inflation data on Tuesday, with the CPI rising just 0.1% MoM and 2.4% YoY—both below forecasts. This triggered a broad sell-off in the USD, a pullback in Treasury yields, and a renewed appetite for non-yielding safe havens like gold. Markets are now increasingly pricing in a rate cut by the Fed in September, adding further fuel to the rally. However, Wednesday’s US PPI data could either reinforce this bullish sentiment or reverse it sharply. 📉 Technical Landscape – H1 & H4 View 🔹 Trend Bias The bullish structure remains intact, with price carving out higher highs and higher lows since the 3312 level. The recent breakout above 3370 confirms bullish momentum. 🔹 Price Channels Gold continues to track within a defined ascending channel. A potential retest of the lower trendline near 3345–3350 could provide a dip-buying opportunity. 🔹 EMA Structure The price trades comfortably above the 13, 34, 89, and 200 EMAs. Short-term EMA crossovers are supportive of continued upside. 🔹 Critical Resistance Ahead: 3392 – 3395 A key technical zone combining Fibonacci extension levels and recent rejection wicks. A decisive break or rejection here will set the tone for the next 48 hours. 🧠 Market Psychology & PPI Scenarios The market is currently optimistic, but still cautious. The PPI report due later today will likely serve as the next directional trigger: If PPI prints below estimates → reinforces disinflation narrative → potential breakout above 3,400 with upside targets towards 3,420+. If PPI comes in hot → raises concerns about sticky input costs → possible short-term reversal or consolidation. Expect volatility to spike during the New York session. 🎯 Today’s Tactical Trade Setups – 12 June 🟢 Buy Zone: 3324 – 3322 Stop Loss: 3318 Take Profit Targets: 3330 – 3334 – 3338 – 3342 – 3346 – 3350 🟢 Buy Scalp Zone: 3337 – 3335 SL: 3330 TPs: 3341 – 3345 – 3350 – 3354 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 🔴 Sell Zone: 3392 – 3394 Stop Loss: 3398 Take Profit Targets: 3388 – 3384 – 3380 – 3375 – 3370 – 3360 – 3350 ✅ Final Take Gold bulls are in control, but the PPI data will likely dictate whether momentum continues or stalls. With key resistance just ahead and macro risk on the table, this is not the time to trade blindly. 🧭 Strategy Tip: Let price confirm the reaction to PPI. Don’t pre-position into volatility. Play the breakout or the fade—but wait for clarity.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Repeated sweeps, gold trend analysis and operation layout📰 Impact of news: 1. Pay attention to the initial unemployment claims data 📈 Market analysis: Gold price jumped higher in Asian session. The short-term upper pressure is at 3375. Once it breaks, the upward route of bulls will be opened. The RSI indicator in the 1H chart began to retreat after touching the overbought area. Last night's high of 3360 is now a breakthrough, and the previous strong suppression is at 3350. This morning's Asian session was also broken and stabilized. Then 3360-3350 has changed from a suppression position to a support position. Therefore, the next position we should pay close attention to should be around 3360-3350. If it can fall back to 3360-3350 in the future, it is possible to enter the market to do more, but at the same time, it is also necessary to defend 3345. Independent trading requires a SL. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3360-3350 TP 3370-3380-3400 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
Gold Rallies as Rate Cut Bets Heat UpGold prices extended gains today, driven primarily by lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data, which has increased speculation that the Federal Reserve may soon cut interest rates. The weaker inflation reading sent the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields lower, giving gold a strong push to the upside. Currently, markets are pricing in a 68% chance of a Fed rate cut in September, which is generally seen as bullish for gold buyers. Another supporting factor is growing investor caution amid lingering uncertainties in U.S.–China trade relations, further boosting demand for safe-haven assets. At the time of writing, gold is trading around $3,372, up more than 170 pips on the day.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Edward_TradingFX