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XCU/USD: Low-Risk Loot Opportunity!🔥 THE COPPER HEIST: XCU/USD Robbery Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 🔥 🌟 Attention, Market Robbers & Money Makers! 🌟 (Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!) 🤑💰💸✈️ Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, here’s our master heist plan for the XCU/USD "The Copper" Metals Market! This is a high-probability long setup, but we must escape before the police (bears) set their trap near the red zone! 🚨📉 📌 THE HEIST BLUEPRINT ✔ Entry Strategy (Breakout or Pullback) ✔ Stop Loss (Protect Your Loot!) ✔ Target (Escape Before the Cops Arrive!) 🚀 ENTRY: TIME TO STRIKE! "The heist is ON! Wait for the ATR breakout (5.00000) before moving!" Option 1: Place Buy Stop orders above the Moving Average. Option 2: Use Buy Limit orders on pullbacks (15m/30m recent swing lows). 📢 ALERT! Set a breakout alarm—don’t miss the move! 🛑 STOP LOSS: PROTECT YOUR LOOT! "Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're entering on a Buy Stop, DON’T set your SL until AFTER the breakout! 📍 Thief SL Placement: Recent swing low + Moving Average (5H TF) → 4.80000 ⚠️ WARNING: If you ignore this, you’re playing with fire! 🔥 (Your risk, not mine!) 🎯 TARGET: CASH OUT & ESCAPE! 🏴‍☠️ First Take-Profit: 5.25000 (or exit early if the market turns!) 💰 Scalpers: Only trade LONG—use trailing SL to lock in profits! 📊 MARKET STATUS: NEUTRAL (But Bullish Potential! 🐂) Fundamentals? Check COT Reports, Macro Data, Geopolitics, News Sentiment! 🔗 Links in bio0 for full analysis! 👉🌎📰 🚨 TRADING ALERT: NEWS = VOLATILITY! ⚠️ Avoid new trades during major news! 🔒 Use Trailing SL to protect open positions! 💥 BOOST THIS HEIST PLAN! Hit 👍 LIKE & 🔄 SHARE to strengthen our robbery squad! 🚀 More heists coming soon—stay tuned! 🤑💎 🎯 FINAL WORD: "Take profits, treat yourself—you deserve it! 💸🏆"
OANDA:XCUUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
GOLD – Bearish Momentum Below 3329 Ahead of US-China TalksFX:XAUUSD – Bearish Momentum Below 3329 Ahead of US-China Talks Overview: Gold remains under bearish pressure as markets await the outcome of the upcoming call between U.S. President Trump and China’s President in London. The event is contributing to uncertainty and risk-off sentiment, favoring downside momentum. Technically, price action remains weak while trading below the pivot level at 3329. A confirmed 1H close below 3311 would likely extend the bearish move toward 3292 and 3275. On the other hand, a 1H or 15-minute close above 3329 could trigger a bullish correction toward 3347. A confirmed break above 3347 would shift the trend toward a more sustained uptrend, targeting 3366 and 3404. Key Levels: Pivot: 3329 Support: 3311, 3292, 3275 Resistance: 3347, 3366, 3404
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
1
Gold drops over 20 USD, pressured by US-China negotiations.In the early trading session on Tuesday (June 10th), the price of gold XAUUSD dropped sharply from around 3,328 USD/ounce to about 3,305 USD/ounce. Bloomberg pointed out that the price of gold decreased during the early Asian trading session on Tuesday when both sides in the US-China trade talks hinted at a willingness to make concessions. The easing of tensions between Washington and Beijing could reduce the appeal of gold. Senior officials from the US and China initiated the second round of trade talks in London, the first since the Geneva meeting in early May. On the afternoon of June 9th, local time, the first meeting of the China-US Economic and Trade Consultation Mechanism was held in London, UK. The meeting will continue on June 10th, local time. The US delegation, led by Treasury Secretary Benjamin Bessant, also included Commerce Secretary Lutnick and US Trade Representative Greer. Bessant told reporters in London that they had a "good meeting," while Lutnick called the discussions "effective." Bloomberg reported that the US hinted at the possibility of lifting export controls on certain technologies in exchange for China easing restrictions on rare earth exports. The easing of tensions in the US-China trade war is a key factor currently creating downward pressure on gold, which has already risen more than 26% this year. Gold traders are also awaiting the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data this week to assess the "health" of the US economy and predict the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut trajectory. Technical Outlook for XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD After recovering in yesterday's trading session, supported by the confluence of the EMA21 and Fibonacci retracement at 0.382%, gold has dropped back to test this area at the start of today's trading session. Gold may continue to face selling pressure in the short term once the price breaks below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, with the short-term target at around 3,250 USD, followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level. However, as of now, the technical positions still show potential for price increase, as the support from EMA21 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement has not been broken. The short-term recovery target remains at 3,350 USD, followed by the key resistance level at 3,371 USD, which is also the price point of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement. Considering the current position, gold still has a bullish outlook, with the potential for a price drop mentioned earlier. The key levels to watch are as follows: Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250 USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 USD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Analysis of Gold Trading Strategy for June 10th - 11th, 2025Identify strategies through this video: Key Support and Resistance Levels of XAUUSD Support Levels: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250 USD Resistance Levels: 3,336 – 3,346 USD With the current technical backdrop, gold still has short-term bullish potential, but it is essential to closely monitor key support and resistance levels. The gold market remains full of potential, but also presents challenges. Wishing you successful and effective trading!"
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Nasdaq at Supply Zone – Rejection or Breakout? (READ THE CAPTIONBy examining the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is still trading within the supply zone around 21,850. We are still waiting for a strong rejection from this level, which could lead to a short-term price correction in this index. The potential downside targets are: 21,000, 20,700, 20,200, and 19,150. The key supply range lies between 21,400 and 22,200. Additionally, there is a possibility of a liquidity grab or stop-hunt above 22,200 before any real drop begins. This analysis will be considered invalid if price closes above 22,400 in the next three weeks. On the fundamental side, there are several macro factors to watch: Interest Rate Expectations: Although inflation in the U.S. has cooled compared to last year, the Fed remains cautious. If upcoming CPI or PPI prints show unexpected resilience, the likelihood of rate cuts this year could diminish, pressuring tech-heavy indices like Nasdaq. Tech Sector Valuations: Valuations in major tech names — such as NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft — have reached historically high multiples. This makes Nasdaq particularly vulnerable to correction, especially if earnings disappoint or growth expectations soften. Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing tensions between the U.S. and China over trade and technology, as well as potential instability in the Middle East, could contribute to a risk-off sentiment — further supporting the case for a short-term pullback. Earnings Season Ahead: Q2 earnings season is around the corner. Any signs of slowing revenue growth or reduced forward guidance from major tech firms could act as a catalyst for the expected correction. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
IG:NASDAQShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
12
GOLD drops more than 20 USD, US-China negotiationsIn the early morning trading session on Tuesday (June 10), the spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly dropped sharply from around 3,328 USD/ounce to around 3,305 USD/ounce. Bloomberg pointed out that the price of gold fell in the early morning trading session in Asia on Tuesday as both sides in the Sino-US trade talks hinted at their willingness to make concessions. Easing tensions between Washington and Beijing could reduce the appeal of gold Senior officials from the United States and China launched the second round of trade talks in London, the first round since the Geneva meeting in early May. On the afternoon of June 9, local time, the first meeting of the China-US economic and trade consultation mechanism was held in London, UK. On June 10, local time, the first meeting of the China-US economic and trade consultation mechanism will continue. The US delegation, led by Treasury Secretary Benjamin Bessant, was also attended by Commerce Secretary Lutnick and US Trade Representative Greer. Bessant told reporters in London that they had a “good meeting,” while Lutnick called the discussions “productive.” Bloomberg reported that the US side had hinted that it was willing to lift export controls on some technology in exchange for China easing restrictions on rare earth exports. The easing of tensions in the US-China trade war is the main factor currently putting downward pressure on gold, which has risen more than 26% this year. Gold traders are also looking ahead to this week’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data to gauge the health of the US economy and predict the trajectory of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD After recovering in yesterday's trading session thanks to support from the confluence of EMA21 with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, gold has fallen back to test this area in the early trading session today. Gold may continue to face selling pressure in the short term, once the bearish momentum breaks below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, then the short term target will be around $3,250 followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement. However, up to now, the technical position still shows the possibility of increasing prices with the support from EMA21 with Fibonacci retracement 0.382% has not been broken, the recovery target is still at 3,350 USD in the short term, then 3,371 USD, an important resistance level which is also the price point of Fibonacci retracement 0.236%. Based on the current position, gold still has a bullish outlook with the possible downside mentioned above, and the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250 USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3371 →Take Profit 1 3359 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3353 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3274 - 3276⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3270 →Take Profit 1 3282 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3288
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
GoldCurrent Price Level: The current price is around $3,304.00. This is marked as the Entry Point for a potential long position. Support and Resistance Zones: Support Zone: Around $3,293.00, highlighted in red, indicating the stop-loss level to minimize loss. Resistance Zones: Several profit-taking levels are identified at 3,318.00∗∗,∗∗3,318.00**, **3,318.00∗∗,∗∗3,335.00, 3,360.00∗∗,and∗∗3,360.00**, and **3,360.00∗∗,and∗∗3,392.00. After achieving 1st TP. shift stop to entry
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tdawly_Official
WILL GOLD CONTINUE ITS RALLY OR FACE A MAJOR CORRECTION? XAUUSD – WILL GOLD CONTINUE ITS RALLY OR FACE A MAJOR CORRECTION? Gold is at a pivotal point after experiencing a significant correction following its recent rally. With the market showing mixed signals, the question now is whether gold will continue its upward trajectory or experience further corrections before breaking new highs. The current global economic climate, combined with macroeconomic factors, will be the driving forces behind gold's next move. 🌍 MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK & MARKET SENTIMENT US Dollar Strength: The USD has been strengthening, which has put some pressure on gold prices. However, this comes amid uncertainty in global trade relations, particularly between the US and China, which is creating mixed market sentiment. Gold remains a key asset for hedging against currency risks and geopolitical tensions. Federal Reserve's Stance on Interest Rates: The Fed has signaled that while inflation remains a concern, it’s unlikely to cut interest rates in the near future. This could limit gold's upside potential in the short term, but the metal remains attractive due to its safe-haven status. Geopolitical Tensions: With ongoing concerns over US-China trade talks and tensions surrounding Ukraine, investors continue to flock to gold as a hedge against political and economic instability. These external pressures continue to fuel demand for gold. 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 – EMA 13/34/89/200) Current Correction: Gold has been correcting after a strong surge, testing key support levels like 3300. On the H1 timeframe, the EMA indicators suggest consolidation and weakness, signaling that further pullbacks are possible before any potential breakout. Technical Pattern – "Flag" Formation: Gold is forming a bearish flag pattern, indicating a temporary pause after a strong upward trend. This pattern suggests that gold might continue to trade sideways, with a breakout above key resistance levels leading to a continuation of the uptrend. Key Resistance and Support Levels: Gold is facing significant resistance levels at 3320 and 3330, while key support levels at 3300 and 3270 will be crucial to watch in the coming sessions. 📍 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH Resistance Levels: 3320 – 3330 – 3338 – 3350 – 3360 Support Levels: 3300 – 3270 – 3250 🧭 RECOMMENDED TRADE SETUPS 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3270 – 3272 SL: 3265 TP: 3280 → 3300 → 3320 → 3330 → 3350 🔻 SELL ZONE: 3320 – 3325 SL: 3330 TP: 3310 → 3295 → 3280 → 3265 ✅ SUMMARY Gold is currently experiencing a correction after a solid rally, but the long-term outlook remains bullish. Macro-economic factors, including the Fed’s policies and geopolitical risks, are likely to drive gold prices higher in the future. However, short-term fluctuations should be expected as the market tests key resistance and support levels. Traders should focus on well-defined entry and exit points within these key levels and maintain a disciplined risk management strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Lundin Mining Outlook - Copper trade - Coming monthsIm getting really bullish on this stock. With a few copper mines left in the world with tiny lifespans, Lundin mining comes in with copper mines that will deliver for the next 15-20 years. Taking advantage of these high copper prices in the coming raging bull market. If the price close above the upper resistance line then it will most likely take off. Eventually we will most likely get a pullback to make the resistance line to a support level. Im using DCA method for entry on this one. Always make your own analysis and your own decision. Don´t see this as a financial advice. I only show you what I do. Nothing else. OMXSTO:LUMI CMCMARKETS:COPPERN2025 COMEX:HG1! OANDA:XCUUSD CAPITALCOM:COPPER
OMXSTO:LUMILong
by Mr_Anonymous_Investor
Gold rises and then falls, short at 3330📰 Impact of news: 1. Geopolitical situation 2. Impact of the US dollar trend on gold 📈 Market analysis: Gold rebounded again after falling to 3301, but the upper 3330-3340 line still has strong suppression on gold. Judging from the current trend, because the gold price has risen in the short term and returned to the 3325-3327 line, the short-term resistance is still 3330-3335 and it is expected to fall under pressure. Look for the 3315-3310 position. If it falls below this support, look down to the 3300-3290 line. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3330-3340 TP 3315-3310-3300 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
GOLD → Hunt for liquidity ahead of continued correctionFX:XAUUSD is strengthening due to uncertainty while the dollar consolidates. Amid heightened volatility, a retest of the 3340 liquidity zone may form, and if buyers fail to keep the price above this zone, gold may form a correction Demand for the dollar is supported by the rise in USD/JPY after soft comments on interest rates by Bank of Japan Governor Ueda. Gold is responding with a correction. Traders remain cautious ahead of the outcome of the second day of trade talks between the US and China in London. Donald Trump confirmed that dialogue with Beijing is continuing, but key differences remain. Investors are also awaiting US inflation data (CPI), which could determine the further dynamics of the dollar and gold. Meanwhile, inflation expectations in the US fell from 3.6% to 3.2% in May. Technically, gold broke the structure and confirmed key resistance during the correction. A hunt for liquidity is possible before the decline continues towards the key target of 3275. Resistance levels: 3340, 3361 Support levels: 3301, 3275 The price is forming a new trading range of 3340 - 3301 (3294). Before declining, especially if the fundamental background changes to positive as negotiations progress, gold may test the liquidity zone of 3340 and form a false breakout, which will trigger a continuation of the correction to 3275. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
Trading Gold with Leverage: Smart or Dangerous?XAUUSD trading (Gold vs. US Dollar) is a popular choice among global traders due to its high liquidity, strong volatility, and profit potential. One of the tools that help traders amplify their returns is financial leverage. However, using leverage also carries significant risks if not managed properly. So, what exactly is leverage in XAUUSD trading? Should you use it? Let’s explore the advantages and disadvantages below. 1. What is Leverage in XAUUSD Trading? Leverage is a financial tool that allows traders to control a larger position in the market than the capital they actually own. For example, with 1:100 leverage, you only need $1,000 to trade a position worth $100,000. In the XAUUSD market, brokers often offer leverage ranging from 1:50 to 1:500, or even up to 1:2000—depending on their risk policies and regulations. 2. Pros of Using Leverage in XAUUSD Trading 🔹 Amplifies Potential Profits Leverage allows traders to maximize profits with a relatively small amount of capital. When the market moves in the expected direction, the gains can be multiplied significantly. 🔹 Lower Capital Requirement Instead of needing $10,000 to trade 1 lot of gold, a trader may only need $100–$500 depending on the leverage. This lowers the entry barrier and offers greater flexibility in capital management. 🔹 Enables Strategy Diversification With the same amount of capital, traders can open multiple positions across different timeframes or strategies. Leverage allows for broader portfolio diversification while still maintaining control over total risk. 🔹 Takes Advantage of Short-Term Opportunities Gold markets often react strongly to news and economic data. Leverage lets traders capitalize on short-term price swings, enabling faster profits without needing to hold positions long-term. 3. Cons and Risks of Using Leverage in XAUUSD Trading Risk of Account Blowout The higher the leverage, the lower the safety margin. A small market move against the position can trigger a margin call or stop-out, resulting in a full loss of the initial capital. Emotional and Psychological Stress High leverage often leads traders to gamble instead of follow a strategy, increasing the likelihood of emotional decisions and impulsive trading behaviors. Difficult to Manage During Volatility XAUUSD is a highly volatile asset, especially during U.S. sessions or major news releases (like CPI, Fed announcements, NFP). Over-leveraging can lead to rapid losses in seconds during sudden price spikes. Increased Emotional Pressure When using high leverage, every small fluctuation feels significant, causing stress and encouraging poor decisions—like exiting too early or revenge trading. 4. Conclusion: Should You Use Leverage in XAUUSD Trading? Yes, but only with a disciplined and strategic approach. Use moderate leverage (e.g. 1:100 or lower if you're a beginner) Always set clear stop-loss and take-profit levels Risk no more than 2% of your account per trade Avoid “all-in” trades and don’t let emotions dictate position size In Summary Leverage in XAUUSD trading is a double-edged sword. Used wisely, it accelerates your profit potential. Used recklessly, it can wipe out your account in moments. The key is to trade with discipline, knowledge, and a solid plan to harness the power of leverage without falling into its traps.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Henrybillion
XAGUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal off the 61.8% FibBased on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 36.87, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement. Our take profit is set at 36.37, an overlap support. The stop loss is set at 36.87, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAGUSDShort
by Tradu
Weekly IDEA on Gold/XAUUSD 9-13 June 2025Technical Confluences: Bearish FVG: Fresh Fair Value Gap formed due to aggressive sell-off. FVG = supply zone, acting as magnet for liquidity + rejection Broken Channel Retest: Price fell below the ascending channel Now retesting the channel, a classic structure behavior before continuation. Liquidity Below: Clear clean lows visible around $3,290 → $3,250 → $3,120. These levels could serve as liquidity targets for institutional movement Rejection Candlestick Anticipated: If a strong rejection candle (e.g., bearish engulfing / wick trap) forms inside FVG, entry confidence increases. 📌 Trade Idea (Signal) Sell Limit Idea Entry Zone: $3,332 – $3,344 SL: $3,355 (above FVG and channel invalidation) TP1: $3,290 TP2: $3,250 TP3: $3,120 RR: Approx. 3R+ ❗ Alternate Bullish Scenario: If price reclaims and closes back inside the channel (above $3,355): The current bearish setup is invalidated. Bullish momentum could resume with possible push toward $3,400 → $3,445. 🧠 Final Thoughts: This is a classic SMC + market structure confluence. Wait for rejection confirmation inside the FVG for higher probability. Avoid chasing the move — precision entry at supply is key.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 9th June 2025Market Structure: The overall trend remains bearish, with a series of lower highs and lower lows. Recent bullish retracement is corrective and approaching a key supply zone (3340 region). Zones of Interest: Supply Zone (Sell Area): 3335–3340 This area acted as a previous area of institutional selling. Price is expected to tap into this zone before resuming the downward move. Demand Zone (Target): 3295–3305 This level served as a previous strong demand zone and aligns with previous reaction zones. Liquidity & Structure: Liquidity grab expected above minor highs around 3330–3335 before a potential reversal. Structure shows a liquidity sweep, followed by a market shift confirming the bearish move. Key Confluences: Bearish market structure Return to supply Clear risk-to-reward setup Anticipated lower high formation Clean FVG + OB alignment in supply zone 📉 Trade Idea / Signal Type: Sell Limit Entry: 3335–3340 Stop Loss: 3355 (above supply zone highs) Take Profit: 3320 Take Profit: 3300 Risk–Reward: ~1:3 🧠 Trade Plan Wait for price to enter 3335–3340 zone. Look for confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, BOS, CHoCH on LTF). Execute short with SL above the zone. Target the 3300 handle which aligns with the HTF demand zone and price imbalance fill.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
1
GOLD → Correction before a decline or continuation of the trend?FX:XAUUSD is testing the liquidity zone during the Asian session and forming a false breakout. The metal is recovering, but the fundamental background remains unstable... On Monday, gold is holding steady at around $3,300 amid a weaker dollar and caution among traders ahead of US-China talks and the release of US inflation data (CPI) on Wednesday. Strong NFP data for May strengthened the dollar and lowered expectations for a Fed rate cut. However, domestic problems in the US are putting pressure on the currency... Markets are adjusting positions ahead of CPI. Geopolitics and domestic unrest in the US are holding back gold's decline, despite possible optimism about a trade deal. Technically, the trend is bullish, with the price previously breaking the structure but rising in the Asian session after a false breakdown of the order block and the 3300 liquidity zone. Further movement depends on 3330 - 3340 Resistance levels: 33301, 3339, 3375 Support levels: 3301, 3275 The price is heading towards 3330-3340 for a retest. If the dollar continues to decline and gold manages to consolidate above 3340, the bullish trend may continue. BUT! A false breakout of the 3330-3340 zone could trigger a further decline after the bullish structure breaks down. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11
Silver surge has more bullish upsideSilver is breaking out. Its strength is no accident. The US is running a structural deficit north of 6% of GDP in a full-employment economy. The bond market has absorbed the pain so far, but pressure is building. Investors are starting to look for insurance. Silver is one of the cleanest ways to play the dollar’s long-term debasement. The metal is trading well above its 200-day moving average. The US$31.50-32.00 zone now acts as solid support. Any pullback into that range is likely to be short-lived. Silver doesn’t move in straight lines. It runs, consolidates, then runs again, usually in 50–90 day cycles. The current setup fits that rhythm. The gold-to-silver ratio is still near 100x. Historically, the average is closer to 60-70x. That gives silver more room to catch up. Traders can short gold and go long silver to play that mean reversion. Or simply buy silver outright and short the dollar. ETF inflows into silver have picked up, showing broader market interest. The main risk? A sudden shift in Fed tone or falling inflation expectations. But that seems unlikely near term. Silver isn’t just a trade. It’s a message. A hedge against fiscal irresponsibility and the cost of kicking the can too far.
TVC:SILVER
by Blueberry
16
Silver & Gold Surge: SLV Inflows & GLD TargetsThe precious metals market is currently experiencing a significant surge, with both silver and gold capturing the attention of investors worldwide. This rally is underpinned by a confluence of factors, ranging from robust investment inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to evolving macroeconomic landscapes and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The iShares Silver Trust (SLV) ETF has witnessed an unprecedented influx of capital, signaling a strong bullish sentiment for the white metal, while gold, represented by the GLD, is poised for a potential rebound, with analysts eyeing key price levels. Understanding the intricate dynamics driving these movements is crucial for anyone looking to navigate the contemporary financial markets. SLV ETF Inflows Surge: Silver's Accelerated Rally The iShares Silver Trust (SLV), the world's largest silver-backed exchange-traded fund, has recently recorded its most substantial inflows in years, marking a pivotal moment for the silver market. Last week alone, the SLV ETF saw weekly inflows surge by $451 million, a dramatic increase from previous weeks, pushing its year-to-date inflows to over $458 million and its total assets under management to more than $17 billion. This remarkable accumulation of capital into SLV signifies a profound shift in investor sentiment, reflecting a strong conviction that silver prices are set for continued appreciation. When investors pour money into an ETF like SLV, it directly translates into the fund acquiring more physical silver, thereby tightening supply and exerting upward pressure on prices. This massive inflow is not merely speculative; it indicates a broad-based belief among both institutional and retail investors in silver's potential. Several key factors are fueling this accelerated rally in silver prices. One significant driver is the record-breaking surge in gold prices. Historically, silver has often been referred to as "poor man's gold" due to its similar safe-haven properties but lower price point. When gold experiences a substantial rally, silver often follows suit, as investors look for a more affordable alternative within the precious metals complex. Gold's recent ascent to nearly $3,500 per ounce has undoubtedly created a halo effect for silver, drawing in capital from those seeking exposure to precious metals without the higher entry cost of gold. Another compelling reason for silver's outperformance is its perceived undervaluation relative to gold. The gold/silver ratio, which measures how many ounces of silver are needed to buy one ounce of gold, had peaked at around 106 when gold was surging. However, this ratio has since dropped significantly to around 92, indicating that silver has begun to catch up, suggesting it was previously undervalued. This rebalancing of the ratio has encouraged investors to shift their focus towards silver, anticipating further narrowing of the gap. Beyond its role as a monetary metal and safe haven, industrial demand plays a uniquely critical role in silver's price dynamics, distinguishing it from gold. Silver is an indispensable component in numerous high-tech and green energy applications due to its exceptional electrical conductivity, thermal properties, and reflectivity. The renewable energy sector, particularly photovoltaic (PV) solar panels, consumes substantial amounts of silver, with each panel containing approximately 20 grams of the metal. The global push towards decarbonization and the increasing adoption of solar energy are creating an insatiable demand for silver. Additionally, its use in electric vehicles (EVs), electronics manufacturing, 5G technology, and medical devices further bolsters its industrial consumption. Reports indicate that global silver demand reached 1.2 billion ounces in 2024, driven by these industrial applications, with a significant supply deficit projected to continue. This robust and growing industrial demand provides a strong fundamental floor for silver prices, making it less susceptible to purely speculative swings. Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties also contribute to silver's appeal as a safe-haven asset. In times of global instability, investors tend to flock to tangible assets like precious metals to preserve wealth. While gold typically garners more attention in such scenarios, silver also benefits from this flight to safety. The ongoing geopolitical developments and concerns about inflation continue to reinforce the attractiveness of both gold and silver as hedges against economic volatility and currency depreciation. From a technical analysis perspective, silver's rally appears robust. The iShares Silver Trust (SLV) has broken above significant resistance levels, such as $31.75, which had previously acted as a ceiling. The ETF is trading well above its 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), indicating a strong bullish trend. While the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved closer to overbought levels, the overall trend remains bullish, and the MACD indicator continues to signal upward momentum. Analysts suggest that if these technical indicators hold, silver could target the $40 mark in the near future. The breadth of participation from both institutional and retail investors, coupled with increasing trading volumes, suggests that this rally has stronger foundations than typical short-term spikes. Furthermore, expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve are also providing tailwinds for precious metals. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like silver and gold, making them more attractive to investors. The anticipation of such policy shifts often prompts investors to front-run these decisions, leading to increased demand for precious metals. GLD ETF Weekly Forecast: Gold's Rebound Potential While silver commands attention with its recent surge, gold, represented by the GLD remains the cornerstone of the precious metals market. Gold recently hit record highs, touching nearly $3,500 per ounce, before experiencing a slight retreat due to profit-taking and some strengthening of the US Dollar. However, analysts are now forecasting a potential rebound, with a target of $3430 on the cards for the current week, indicating that the bullish sentiment for gold remains largely intact. GLD is influenced by a diverse array of factors, making its price movements complex yet predictable to those who understand its drivers. One of the primary factors is gold's status as a safe-haven asset. During periods of economic uncertainty, political instability, or market volatility, investors traditionally turn to gold to preserve capital. Recent geopolitical tensions, such as the ongoing conflict in Eastern Europe, have consistently driven inflows into gold, as it acts as a hedge against global crises. The strength or weakness of the US Dollar plays a crucial role in gold's price. Gold is primarily priced in US Dollars, meaning that a weaker dollar makes gold comparatively cheaper for buyers holding other currencies, thereby increasing demand and pushing prices up. Conversely, a stronger dollar can make gold more expensive, potentially dampening demand. While there has been some recent dollar strength, the overall sentiment regarding the dollar's long-term trajectory and its inverse relationship with gold remains a key determinant. Interest rates and monetary policy, particularly from the US Federal Reserve, significantly impact gold prices. As a non-yielding asset, gold becomes less attractive when interest rates are high, as investors can earn better returns from interest-bearing assets. Conversely, lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it more appealing. The anticipation of future rate cuts by central banks often provides a strong impetus for gold rallies. Inflation and deflationary pressures also influence gold's appeal. Gold is widely regarded as a hedge against inflation. When the purchasing power of fiat currencies erodes due to rising inflation, investors often turn to gold to protect their wealth. Conversely, in deflationary environments, gold's appeal as a store of value can also increase. Recent inflation data, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), are closely watched for their potential impact on gold's trajectory. Central bank reserves and their purchasing trends are another significant, albeit often overlooked, factor. Central banks globally hold gold as a reserve asset to diversify their portfolios and safeguard against financial turmoil. Increased gold purchases by central banks signal a broader institutional confidence in gold and can significantly impact its demand and price. Supply and demand dynamics in the physical gold market, including mining production, recycling, and demand from jewelry and industrial sectors, also play a role. While new supply from mining is relatively small compared to the total existing stock, changes in production levels can still influence prices. Investment demand through ETFs and other financial products further contributes to the overall demand picture. From a technical standpoint, gold's recent retreat from its $3,500 peak has led to some profit-taking. However, key support levels are being tested, and analysts are looking for a rebound. The immediate resistance levels are around $3340-$3345, with a more significant hurdle at $3400. A decisive break above these levels, particularly $3400, could pave the way for a retest of the $3430 mark and potentially higher, towards $3500 and even $3600. The current bias for gold remains bullish, with buying opportunities identified at key pivot levels. The market is closely watching economic reports, such as the upcoming CPI data, as well as geopolitical developments, which could act as catalysts for gold's next major move. The Interplay Between Gold and Silver The intertwined fortunes of gold and silver are a recurring theme in the precious metals market. While both are considered safe-haven assets, their individual characteristics lead to nuanced differences in their price drivers. Gold is predominantly viewed as a monetary asset and a store of value, making it highly sensitive to macroeconomic indicators, interest rates, and geopolitical stability. Silver, while sharing these attributes, also benefits significantly from its extensive industrial applications. This dual nature often makes silver more volatile than gold, as it reacts to both investment demand and industrial cycles. The recent outperformance of silver, as evidenced by the massive SLV ETF inflows, suggests a market correction where silver is catching up to gold's earlier gains. The narrowing gold-silver ratio indicates that investors believe silver was undervalued and is now reasserting its true worth. This dynamic creates a powerful feedback loop: as gold rallies, it draws attention to the precious metals sector, prompting investors to look for relative value, which often leads them to silver. As silver then accelerates, it further validates the strength of the broader precious metals market. The current environment, characterized by persistent inflation concerns, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and the global push towards green energy technologies, provides a fertile ground for both gold and silver. Gold offers a traditional hedge against uncertainty, while silver provides exposure to both safe-haven demand and the booming industrial sector. The significant institutional inflows into SLV underscore a growing recognition of silver's unique position at the intersection of finance and industry. In conclusion, the precious metals market is currently in a robust uptrend, driven by a powerful combination of investment demand, safe-haven appeal, and fundamental industrial growth. The unprecedented inflows into the SLV ETF signal a strong bullish outlook for silver, fueled by its undervaluation relative to gold and its critical role in emerging green technologies. Concurrently, gold, despite recent fluctuations, maintains a strong bullish bias, with analysts forecasting a rebound to key price levels, supported by its enduring safe-haven status and macroeconomic tailwinds. For investors, understanding these intertwined dynamics and monitoring key economic and geopolitical developments will be paramount in capitalizing on the ongoing rally in both gold and silver. The message is clear: the precious metals are shining bright, and their current momentum suggests further upside potential.
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