Gold Cooling After Spike – $3375 Key Level to WatchBy analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after surging to $3450 amid the Iran–Israel conflict, gold faced a pullback following a liquidity sweep above that level.
Currently, gold is trading around $3392, and after a potential correction down to $3375, I expect to see further upside movement.
⚠️ Stay cautious — gold remains highly volatile and sudden moves are likely!
Metals
3400 3380 are the two points that determine the trend of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical risks
2. Expected Fed policy
📈 Market analysis:
This week, the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, retail sales data, initial jobless claims and geopolitical situation will be the core factors affecting global markets. In the short term, gold rebounded after hitting the 3383 line. This round of decline was relatively rapid. At the same time, there is a certain resistance at the 3405-3410 line above in the short term, which is also the main reason for our long orders to leave the market. In the short term, it is recommended to first look at the support situation at the 3380 line below, and then enter the long order after obtaining effective support above this position. On the contrary, if it falls below this short-term support, the gold price is expected to fall to the 3350 mark! For the evening layout, it is recommended to focus on the 3400 long-short watershed, pay attention to the 3410 line of resistance, and pay attention to the 3380 line of support below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3390-3380
TP 3400-3410-3420
SELL 3400-3390
TP 3380-3360-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out to perfection once again!!
We started with our Bullish target at 3440 hit followed with no ema5 cross and lock confirming the perfect rejection, showcasing the accuracy of our levels. This rejection went onto hitting our Bearish target, followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 3393, which was also hit perfectly.
We will now look for ema5 lock below 3393 to open the swing range or failure to lock below will see the upper Goldturns tested again.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3440 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3463
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3463 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3483
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3483 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3508
BEARISH TARGETS
3418 -DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3418 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3393 DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3393 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3372
3353
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3353 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3330
3306
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD 16 June – Liquidity Trap or Smart Money Rotation? XAUUSD 16 June – Liquidity Trap or Smart Money Rotation?
Gold surprised many traders with a sharp spike during the Asian session, only to reverse aggressively hours later. While headlines screamed “war” and panic, the price behavior told a different story—one of strategic distribution and smart money rotation...
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Context
Geopolitical triggers: Rising tensions in the Middle East (Israel-Iran) and political assassinations triggered emotional buying across safe-haven assets like gold and oil.
Institutional rotation: Major funds appear to be offloading gold positions to rebalance into equities (in correction) and oil (strong upside potential).
Market narrative: News-induced FOMO drives retail into overbought zones, allowing larger players to exit at premium prices.
📈 Technical Overview (M30 Structure)
Price Action: Gold tapped into major resistance at 3456–3458, showing an aggressive rejection shortly after.
EMA Behavior: EMAs (13/34/89/200) are flattening across M15 and M30—early signs of a possible bearish crossover.
Volume Drop: Declining volume after the spike suggests buyer exhaustion, reinforcing the idea of a bull trap.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): A visible liquidity void remains below the 3390 area. Price often returns to fill these zones.
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
✅ Scenario A: Buy from Demand Zone (Liquidity Fill)
Entry: 3383 – 3385
Stop Loss: 3377
Targets: 3386 → 3390 → 3394 → 3398 → 3402 → 3406 → 3410+
📌 Best executed during London or NY session if price shows absorption or reversal confirmation.
❌ Scenario B: Sell from Resistance Only on Clear Rejection
Entry: 3456 – 3458
Stop Loss: 3462
Targets: 3452 → 3448 → 3444 → 3440 → 3435 → 3430
⚠️ Only enter shorts if clear bearish engulfing or pin-bar setup forms near resistance zone.
🧠 Market Psychology
Retail FOMO is being exploited by larger players to exit risk positions.
Liquidity engineering is likely in play—smart money drives price up on headlines, then exits into buyer momentum.
Equity & Oil rotation signals a shift in institutional preference short-term.
📌 Final Thoughts
This isn’t a time to chase breakouts. Gold is entering a volatile re-accumulation phase where news is being weaponized to induce emotional trading. The real edge lies in waiting for price to come to your level and only executing with confirmation.
🎯 Zone to Watch: 3383 – 3385
📉 Avoid chasing moves
📊 Respect your SL & manage risk like a pro
—
🧭 Stay patient. The next big move will reward those with discipline and timing.
XAU/USD Bullish Continuation SetupThe chart illustrates a bullish market structure for XAU/USD, with price action currently trending upwards. Key technical observations:
Support Zone:
Price has recently bounced from a support zone around 3,399.710, indicating strong buying interest.
Bullish Projection:
A bullish continuation is expected. The chart outlines a potential scenario with a minor retracement towards 3,432.835 or 3,399.710, followed by a strong upward move.
Targets:
Immediate resistance is around 3,502.669.
If broken, price may aim for 3,550.351.
Final projected target lies near 3,680.000, which aligns with a historical supply zone.
Indicators:
The green enveloping bands suggest increasing volatility, with the price respecting the upper band, supporting bullish momentum.
Conclusion:
XAU/USD appears poised for a bullish breakout continuation. A potential pullback could offer a buy opportunity, targeting higher resistance zones as long as the structure remains intact
Gold Outlook: Bulls Defend Support Amid Rising Geopolitical RiskGold (XAU/USD) remains within a strong bullish structure on the 4-hour chart, trading inside an ascending channel. Recently, price attempted to break above the key resistance near $3,450 but failed, leading to a minor pullback toward the mid-channel area around $3,428–$3,430, where buyers are currently defending support. The key support remains at $3,394–$3,400, which also coincides with the ascending channel’s lower boundary.
As long as price holds above this level, the bullish trend remains intact, and there is potential for a breakout above the $3,450 resistance zone. If a breakout occurs and price closes above $3,450 on the 4-hour chart, the next bullish targets would be around $3,475 and then $3,500–$3,510. On the downside, if price fails to hold $3,394, it may trigger a short-term bearish correction toward the next support zone around $3,380–$3,370.
Overall, gold is currently in a consolidation phase inside the $3,394–$3,450 range, with a bullish bias above $3,394. A breakout above $3,450 may trigger strong upward momentum, while a break below $3,394 could open the door for a deeper correction.
🔑 Key Levels
Support: ~$3,394–$3,400 (channel floor) and intermediate support at $3,430–$3,440 .
Resistance: Immediate resistance zone is $3,445–$3,450, with broader upside potential toward $3,500+ if that break occurs.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Newmont Corp | NEM | Long at $48.00While gold prices have soared recently, gold mining stocks have lagged. Newmont Corp NYSE:NEM , the world's largest gold mining corporation, may be undervalued if the miners take off to catch up to the gold demand/price. Currently sitting near $48.00 and at a historical moving average that it will need to break to show a true trend reversal, NYSE:NEM is in a personal buy zone. Now, the price may break down at the simple moving average and test the patience of shareholders, but the long game may benefit those who can tolerate the volatility.
Target #1 = $57.00
Target #2 = $71.00
SILVER: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 36.344 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Long Signal Explained
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 3396.6
Sl - 3389.4
Tp - 3413.3
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Hanzo / Gold 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 3345
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3400
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
GOLD: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,393.80 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,414.38.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,622 (UPDATE)Gold moving perfectly, according to our bullish analysis which I posted for you all last week. Gold been bullish for a technical perspective for a while, now we're seeing the elite push out the fundamental factor of the Israel attack on Iran, to help Gold keep moving up.
Gold is still within a 'Bullish Accumulation' phase, hence why it's not moving up very strong. Bare in mind, we are in the FINAL WAVE 5 bullish move on a HTF, so we can experience choppy price action.
XAUUSD - Is the gold bullish trend over?!Gold is trading in its ascending channel on the four-hour timeframe, above the EMA200 and EMA50. We should wait for consolidation or not above the drawn trend line to determine the future path of gold, which can be entered after its failure in the formed line, and on the other hand, if gold corrects towards the demand zone, it can be purchased in the short term with appropriate risk-reward.
Over the past week, the gold market moved within a narrow, calm range and showed little reaction to encouraging inflation data—until geopolitical developments once again shifted the landscape. Heightened tensions in the Middle East brought safe-haven demand back to the forefront of traders’ minds.
Following initial reports of regional unrest, gold quickly climbed from $3,324 to a weekly high of $3,377. Although the price saw a brief correction down to around $3,345, it resumed its upward momentum and opened Thursday’s trading session just one dollar below the symbolic $3,400 mark.
Rich Checkan, President and CEO of Asset Strategies International, commented on these recent geopolitical developments, stating: “The market’s direction is clear: it’s upward. With tensions rising following Israel’s attack on Iran, there’s no doubt gold will continue its climb next week.”
Darin Newsom, senior analyst at Barchart.com, also pointed to rising risks both domestically and globally: “Gold is on an upward path. Domestic unrest in the U.S., escalating conflict in the Middle East, broad selling of the U.S. dollar by other countries, and expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady—all support gold’s rise.”
Meanwhile, Daniel Pavilonis, senior broker at RJO Futures, analyzed the simultaneous reactions of gold and oil amid the recent Middle East tensions, looking for clues on their future direction. He explained: “Oil’s behavior can serve as an indicator for gold, as both are seen as inflation hedges and are sensitive to bond yields.”
Surprised that gold hasn’t yet reclaimed its April highs, Pavilonis emphasized: “If tensions escalate further, we could see additional gains. But if Iran moves toward negotiations or a truce, gold could remain elevated but range-bound, similar to the past two months. Breaking previous highs would require a stronger catalyst and a more significant worsening of the crisis.” He noted that while geopolitical tensions are currently the primary driver of gold’s strength, such rallies are typically short-lived.
Pavilonis added: “We saw a similar pattern last April—gold and oil spiked sharply but quickly corrected. Back then, trade war concerns with China persisted, inflation rates had fallen noticeably, and the initial supportive factors for gold gradually faded. Now, once again, a fresh geopolitical shock has emerged that may temporarily drive gold higher.”
After a week where market attention focused mainly on U.S. inflation data, investors’ focus in the coming days will shift to central bank policy decisions and potential signals regarding the future path of interest rates.
The trading week begins Monday with the release of the Empire State Manufacturing Index, offering an early view of industrial activity in New York. That same day, the Bank of Japan will announce its latest interest rate decision, potentially setting a new tone for Asian markets and the yen’s value.
On Tuesday, U.S. May retail sales data will be published—a key indicator of consumer strength. Signs of weakness could bolster market expectations for a rate cut.
Wednesday will be the pivotal day, as the Federal Reserve reveals its rate decision. While markets have fully priced in a pause in tightening, attention will focus on Jerome Powell’s remarks for any hints of rate cuts in the coming months. Also on Wednesday, May housing starts data and weekly jobless claims will be released.
With U.S. markets closed Thursday for Juneteenth, the spotlight will shift to monetary policy decisions from the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England, both of which could impact currency market volatility. The week wraps up Friday with the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, a leading gauge closely watched by traders to assess the health of the manufacturing sector in the U.S. Northeast.
GOLD LIVE TRADE SIGNAL – June 16, 2025 (Price: $3415)🔵 Setup: BUY on Breakout — targeting continuation after corrective pullback
📉 Market Structure:
Bullish impulse completed a clear 5-wave Elliott structure
Current pullback forming a potential Wave 2 or IV
Price sitting above the breakout zone (~3391.6 support)
✅ Trade Details:
Entry: Buy @ 3422 (on bullish candle close above local resistance zone)
Stop Loss: 3408 (below consolidation low)
Target 1: 3445
Target 2: 3468
RRR: ~1:2.3
Confidence: HIGH — strong momentum wave + clean structure
🔍 Technical Confluence:
Wave (2) retracement respected
Channel breakout held (blue ascending)
Minor resistance around 3420 is being retested
Volume likely to spike in NY session
Caution: Avoid entry if price breaks below 3391.6 – would invalidate short-term structure.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-16 : Up-Down-Up PatternToday's Up-Down-Up Pattern suggests the markets will transition into a moderate upward trending price bar - which is quite interesting in the world we have today.
War and a big weekend of events, protests and other new items could drive market trends over the next few days.
Still, the SPY Cycle Pattern for today is an Up-Down-Up - which suggests last Thursday was an Up bar, last Friday was a Down bar, and today should be an Up bar.
The Gold/Silver pattern is a POP pattern in Counter-trend.
I believe the US markets are benefiting as a safe-haven for capital as the global turmoil drives global investors to seek safety and security for their capital.
That means as long as the world continues to spin out of control, the US markets and the US-Dollar will act as a moderate safe-haven for capital.
Gold and Silver should also benefit from this global chaos.
Bitcoin is benefiting from the strength of the US markets (and the technology sector) as well.
Let's see how this week start to play out. I'm waiting for some more news.
Could be very interesting this week.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Buy on dips and seize rising opportunities📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical risks
2. Expected Fed policy
📈 Market analysis:
The market opened higher in the morning and then continued to fall. From a medium-term perspective, the market is still in a medium-term bullish position. The price will only be under further pressure if it breaks below the weekly support. Observing from the daily level, the price broke through the daily resistance again last Wednesday and continued to soar after the breakthrough. The current price is testing the monthly high, and the subsequent gains and losses of the previous high are the key. Judging from the 1H chart, the short-term death cross continues to fall. At the same time, according to the 4H level, as time goes by, we need to pay attention to the support of 3413-3403. This support is the key watershed of the short-term trend. As long as it does not fall below this support, the bulls still have a chance.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3413-3403
TP 3430-3440
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold pullback supported at 3377Gold (XAU/USD) is trading lower during the first half of the European session, ending a three-day winning streak that had pushed it near a two-month high earlier on Monday. A stronger performance in equity markets is reducing demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
However, losses are limited due to a few key factors:
Ongoing Middle East tensions are keeping risk sentiment in check.
Expectations of Fed rate cuts in 2025 are weighing on the US Dollar, supporting gold.
Traders are cautious ahead of the upcoming two-day FOMC meeting starting Tuesday.
Despite the dip, gold is holding above the $3,400 level.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3444
Resistance Level 2: 3460
Resistance Level 3: 3483
Support Level 1: 3377
Support Level 2: 3360
Support Level 3: 3340
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,327.72.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,385.41.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
xauusd Entry Level:
3,416.000 USD
Price is currently at 3,425.640 USD, so the entry was already triggered and the position is active and in profit.
Stop-Loss (SL):
3,407.500 USD
Positioned below the minor FVG area; protects against deeper downside if structure fails.
Take-Profit Targets (TP):
TP1: 3,423.000 USD (short-term scalp zone — already reached)
TP2: 3,439.000 USD (medium-term resistance)
TP3: 3,452.500 USD (strong upside target; likely near a previous high)
Shift Stop to entry after reaching TP1
GOLD Eyes New Highs Amid Geopolitical Risk and Bullish StructureGOLD – Safe-Haven Demand Lifts Gold, Eyes on New Highs if Tensions Escalate
Gold futures pared some gains after approaching fresh record highs earlier in the session. The metal rallied strongly on Friday as escalating Middle East tensions — particularly between Israel and Iran — drove investors toward safe-haven assets.
Analysts note that if the conflict intensifies further in the coming days, new highs could be within reach for gold.
Technical Outlook:
A short-term correction toward 3404 or 3390 is likely. However, as long as the price holds above this support zone, the bullish trend is expected to continue toward 3448, with potential to reach 3486.
For a bearish shift, the price must break below the 3391–3381 area with at least a confirmed 1H close, which would open the path toward 3347.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 3431, 3449, 3486
• Support: 3404, 3391, 3381
GOLD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,419.53
Target Level: 3,348.85
Stop Loss: 3,466.65
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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