Learn TOP 3 Elements of a Perfect SWING TRADE (GOLD, FOREX)
In the today's post, I will share with you a formula of ideal swing trading setup.
✔️Element 1 - Market Trend
When you are planning a swing trade, it is highly recommendable that the direction of your trade would match with the direction of the market trend.
If the market is trading in a bullish trend, you should look for buying the market while if the market is bearish, you should look for shorting.
Take a look at CHFJPY pair on a daily. Obviously, the market is trading in a bullish trend and your should look for swing BUYING opportunity.
✔️Element 2 - Key Level
You should look for a trading opportunity from a key structure.
IF the market is bullish, you should look for buying from a key horizontal or vertical SUPPORT, WHILE if the market is bearish, you should look for shorting from a key horizontal or vertical RESISTANCE.
CHFJPY is currently approaching a rising trend line - a key vertical support.
Please, note that if the price is NOT on a key structure, you should patiently wait for the test of the closest one.
✔️Element 3 - Confirmation
Once the market is on a key level, do not open a trading position blindly. Look for a confirmation - for the sign of strength of the buyers, if you want to buy or for the sign of strength of the sellers, if you are planning to short.
There are dozens of confirmation strategies, one of the most accurate is the price action confirmation.
Analyzing a 4H time frame on CHFJPY, we can spot a falling wedge pattern. While the price is stuck within that, the minor trend remains bearish. Bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge will be the important sign of strength of the buyers and can be your strong bullish confirmation.
Following these 3 conditions, you will achieve high win rate in swing trading. Try these techniques yourself and good luck in your trading journey.
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Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Short trade
🟥 Sell-side Trade Log
📉 Pair: SHIB/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session PM
🧠 Setup: Breakout / Liquidity Sweep
📅 Date: Friday, 23rd May 2025
🕕 Time: 6:00 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 0.00001555
🔹 Profit Target: 0.00001440 (+7.40%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.00001564 (-0.58%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 12.78
🔍 Reasoning:
This sell-side trade was executed following a sweep of local buy-side liquidity and a rejection from overhead resistance during the LND session. Price action confirmed the shift in order flow with strong bearish momentum and displacement to the downside. The entry capitalised on a microstructure break and the presence of a nearby Fair Value Gap (FVG), targeting inefficiency below.
Short trade
Entry Day:
🟥 Sell-side Trade Log
📉 Pair: BTC/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session PM
🧠 Setup: Rejection from Supply Zone + FVG Target
📅 Date: Thursday, 22nd May 2025
🕘 Time: 9:00 PM
🔹 Entry Price: 111,675.68
🔹 Profit Target: 109,058.96 (+2.34%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 112,042.74 (-0.33%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 7.13
🔍 Reasoning:
This sell-side trade was initiated after BTC reached a pivotal supply zone, with the price breaking previous highs, indicating a possible reversal. A clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) below provides a logical downside target, representing an unmitigated imbalance where price is likely to revisit. The entry aligned with Tokyo PM session volatility and was structured to capitalise on this inefficiency.
Overview 30min TF
Dow Jones Index (US30): Time to Grow
As I predicted yesterday, US30 nicely respected
a wide daily support cluster.
A pullback from that is now confirmed with a violation
of a minor horizontal resistance on a 4H.
The index may reach 42200 level soon.
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Skeptic |Ethereum (ETH) Analysis: Altcoin Rally Ready to ExplodeHey everyone, Skeptic here! Did you see Bitcoin finally smash through the $107K resistance? Now, with BTC.D dropping, liquidity’s flowing back into altcoins like ETH , which could be gearing up for some wild rallies! 😊 Stick with me for a deep dive into Ethereum’s charts. Let’s start with the Daily Timeframe. 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
After breaking the downward curve trendline, ETH has started a sustainable uptrend. Rising volume and Bitcoin’s rally confirm this move, so we can cautiously say the weekly major uptrend is regaining steam. This gets confirmed if we hold above the daily resistance at 2886.63 . Our spot trigger is a consolidation above 2886.63 , backed by increasing volume and momentum, plus a key condition: ETH/BTC needs to be in an uptrend.
Let’s take a quick peek at the ETH/BTC chart.
For a long time, ETH/BTC was in a sharp downtrend on the daily, but recently, it’s kicked off an uptrend momentum. A break above the 0.02588 resistance would confirm ETH/BTC’s uptrend, signaling it’s time to buy spot ETH. Until that break, I don’t recommend jumping in. Always confirm with ETH/BTC—otherwise, Bitcoin is the safer buy since, if ETH/BTC stays bearish, Bitcoin will likely outperform ETH.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
Let’s zoom into the 4-hour timeframe for long and short triggers. For my long setup, I’ve already opened a position after the break of 2701.33 .
On the 15-minute timeframe, rising volume and RSI hitting overbought during the breakout gave solid confirmation. It looks like it’s pulling back to this level now, but there’s a chance it could be a fakeout. I’m letting it play out—if it hits my stop loss, no big deal; I’ve got risk management in place, and one stop won’t blow up my account :) For a short setup, a break below 2381.51 , coinciding with a break below ETH/BTC support at 0.02289 , could be your short trigger. But I don’t recommend it—the major uptrend is bullish, so shorting means going against the trend, which is risky.
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it really helps! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Let's grow together! 🤍
Stock Of The Day / 05.22.25 / NEE05.22.2025 / NYSE:NEE
Fundamentals . Negative background due to the bill to cancel tax benefits for clean energy companies.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Downtrend.
Premarket: Gap Down on moderate volume.
Trading session: The primary impulse from the opening of the session was stopped at 66.50. Buyers' strength is insufficient and the price retests the 66.50 level, and the next pullback was significantly smaller than the previous one. We are considering a short trade to continue the downward movement.
Trading scenario: #breakout with retest of the 66.50 level
Entry: 66.36 after the breakdown and holding the price below the level.
Stop: 66.66 we hide it above the high of the last pullback.
Exit: Cover part of the position at 64.46 after a reaction to the round level of 64.00 and when the structure of the downtrend is broken, cover the remaining part of the position at 64.64 upon confirmation that downtrend is changed to uptrend.
Risk Rewards: 1/5
P.S. In order to understand the idea of the Stock Of The Day analysis, please read the following information .
BTC - Why THIS TIME is DIFFERENT (⊙ˍ⊙)This time IS DIFFERENT. Bitcoin has made a new ATH as I predicted in a few previous posts, but something's off...🤔
If we look at BTC from a macro view, the dates for this run up was quite extended. We do see some similarities in terms of the retracement (highlighted in blue) but from a timeframe analysis, there is no comparing this high to the previous:
stretching from March to October where classical bear market symptoms were show - lower highs and lower lows, with a duration unlike any of the previous cycles.
Interestingly, the previous season we increased not even 7% from the previous peak. And if we were to look at the same fractal, that places us around $116k.
But the ONE thing, that has had me suspicious this entire time (🥁) was ETH. Overlaying the ETH chart, we see that historically, ETH peaked a week or two after the BTC ATH - until this time.
The fact that BTC made such a dramatic ATH and Ethereum didn't? That was a new one. And even up to now, ETH is still 80% away only from it's previous ATH - imagine the altseason we will have IF ETH makes a new ATH... or will this time just be , different ?
My Thoughts #010I still am waiting for a clear set up but here is my thoughts
The pair could still sell but also buy.
Sells
When we take out the safe low as choch then I will wait for retest then take my entry
Buys
When we reach demand zone and we get a choch
Then I will buy and hold until the all time high
Anything can happen
Use proper risk management
Let's do the most
AUDCAD re-entry DocumentationRe-entry on my Monday trade as no confluence was broken;
Market structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at Both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Weekly
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.89500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.21
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability : Manage Your Risk : Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique : Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.