Multiple Time Frame Analysis
“BTC: Liquidity Sweep Flipped the Script — Now Watching Bullish BTC moved slick today — I was originally watching for a sell-side mitigation inside the range, but price swept liquidity and reversed quickly without even tapping the OB. No clean mitigation, just a sharp flip. That shift told me bulls are back in control.
Now price is operating with bullish intent. I’m focused on a bullish OB inside the same range — once I get confirmation with a proper OB mitigation following the sweep, I’ll be looking to take longs.
Patience and precision here. Let price do the talking.
Bless Trading!
$BTC 55 EMA Cross Over 50 W MA on a Daily Chart 162% Gain?
The last time that the 50 Day MA crossed under the 50 Week MA and the then the 55 EMA crossed over the 55 EMA it took 8 bars or 56 days. This move led to about a 162% gain.
The same thing just happened today, the 56th day within 8 bars, the 55 EMA crossing over the 50 Week MA. The Stoc RSI, RSI, and MACD are near the same or very similar values.
Will history repeat?
$SOL rejecting resistance $50-75 targetSol looks to be rejecting resistance here, which sets it up for a large move lower.
I think it's likely that unless price can flip the resistance above as support, that we revisit the support levels.
Pretty simple chart. All of crypto looks the same, look out below.
Short trade
15min TF entry
🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📉 Pair: AUD/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session AM (7:00 PM NY time)
🧠 Setup: Breakout (Downside)
📅 Date: Tuesday, 13th May 2025
🕖 Time: 7:00 PM (New York Time)
🔹 Entry Price: 0.64382
🔹 Profit Target: 0.64208 (-0.81%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.64762 (+0.05%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 16.87
🔍 Reasoning:
This sellside breakout trade was initiated following a rejection at a pivotal resistance level within an ascending channel. We assume sellside pressure will continue to break to the downside as momentum failed to hold above the upper boundary, triggering a move through structural support. The setup was reinforced by confluence from channel dynamics and directional intent.
NEAR Harmonic Reversal Setup with Clear Demand ConfirmationNEAR is shaping up beautifully within a bullish harmonic formation, completing around the 1.239 Fibonacci zone, precisely where price tapped into a major structural low and bounced back into the immediate buyback zone. This bullish reaction aligns with a clean demand retest and marks the beginning of a potential macro reversal.
Price action is now gearing towards the mid-range resistance near 4.91, and a break above this level will serve as a high-conviction trigger toward the major target at 9.05. Final projected leg leads into the high extension region of 23.99, forming a long range bullish continuation model.
As long as the demand zone holds firm, this remains one of the most structurally sound altcoins to monitor for exponential upside. Full validation will be confirmed once we reclaim above 4.91 with volume.
XLM: The bull flag that wants $1.50Time Frame: Midterm (expect to close before end of 2025
Entry point: 19-33c
Exit: $1.40-$1.50
Stellar, often seen as a younger brother of XRP, hasn’t seen much of the spotlight from its more well known older brother, but has performed better than almost all major currencies since the Trump election win in November 2024. Where as ETH and other currencies are performing poorly since Trump’s election win, Stellar has performed amazingly and still 200% up from Nov 5th 2024. So with that great gain already, why does Ralfetto believe there is more to come?
So what is XLM?
XLM, is an open-source, decentralized payments network. It uses blockchain technology to allow users to transfer funds quickly and at a very low cost. The payments network does not show preference to any national currency; instead, the network has its own native cryptocurrency, Stellar Lumens.
So why is XLM worth investing in?
Firstly, at Ralfetto, our views are our own and we are just providing our thesis why we like it, your investment decisions are your own. We are of the belief that XLM will be part of the new X/Grok ecosystem as its payment option. We see alot of evidence pointing to it (alongside XRP). XLM is also ISO compliant which makes it one of a few that supports this technology.
What is the chart telling us?
XLM looks like a bull flag with a target to push it to $1.5. With that type of move, we do expect some fall back given a 5x return.
How we are investing
We believe XLM/Stellar will reach two major targets within 3 years. The first in 2025 of $1.40-150 which is our take profit level 2. After that we expect some volatility before it reaches its final destination of $4.50. There may be further upside but we will be having moving stops once it hits both targets.
EURUSD Daily analysis $$$OANDA:EURUSD 1H : Bullish MSS + OB + IMB 15m : Bullish BOS + OB + IMB
One hour after taking the ssl and forming the mss, it has become bullish
15: After the formation of the bos ob, I think the market will turn around and react to this ob, or if this ob breaks, I will look for confirmation to sell in the formed bearish zone until the one-hour ob
XAUUSD Daily analysisOANDA:XAUUSD 1H: Bearish BOS + OB + IMB 15m : Bearish BOS + liquidity + OB + IMB
Well, the one-hour timeframe for gold is very clearly bearish. But in the last few breaks, there are many imbs left, I think that maybe the bos is the last liquidity and the market will not react to it.
15: The market is bearish in 15 minutes, but in the ceiling area of the last break, there is a lot of liquidity left and the market has already met the 15-minute ob that has formed and has also given confirmation, but it is risky, I will wait for liquidity and confirmation.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Technical Outlook & Trading Plan
As we discussed on the yesterday's live stream,
Gold is currently in a consolidation stage.
The price is stuck within a wide horizontal channel on a daily
and we see a test of its support at the moment.
With the absence of high impact news in the economic calendar,
I assume that a consolidation will continue and there is a high
chance to see a pullback.
Your confirmation signal will be a bullish breakout and a 4H candle close
above 3271 - upper boundary of the intraday horizontal range.
There will be a strong possibility of a rise to at least to 3320 level.
Alternatively, a bearish violation of a support of the range on a daily
and a daily candle close below that may trigger a further decline.
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