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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

Dollar Bounce to 103 Incoming or Straight to 96?Will the Dollar Keep Tumbling, or Are We About to Bounce Back to 103 in May? Checking out the monthly charts, April finally delivered a close under that critical 100 level, breaking a floor that held firm for years: Zooming into the weekly chart, we’ve retraced back to test the 100 level from below. It’s now acting as resistance—so, is another big drop coming? Long term, my bias is clear: the dollar looks set to keep sliding lower after breaking the crucial 100 mark. But if we flip to the daily charts, we can clearly see signs of a short-term bounce brewing. It looks like price might want to squeeze back inside the range, aiming for that juicy sell zone around the 103 mark—the very origin of the leg down that initially broke 100: This 103 area is a prime spot for short-term bulls, and an even better opportunity to start loading up on shorts for a move down towards the Monthly buy zone around 96. Personally, I won’t trade USDX directly to the upside—I'll instead use this analysis to play setups on pairs like EURUSD and AUDUSD, as they're approaching key resistance areas right now. My game plan: wait patiently for price to reach around 103, then start hunting for sell signals. But first, we’ll need a solid daily close back above 100, something I think we could see happen this week. Don’t forget—we’ve got the Fed’s interest rate decision coming up, which might trigger some volatility. We could easily rally up to 103 ahead of the decision and then see a sell-off afterward. Of course, if the Fed throws us a curveball, the dollar might never get back above 100, and just continue dropping straight away. Right now, the 100 level is crucial—so watch closely. What’s your take? Drop your thoughts below! 😊
PEPPERSTONE:USDXLong
by TheFxAce
7
Long trade 📘 Trade Journal Entry BTCUSD (Buy Side) 🗓 Date: Monday, 5th May 2025 ⏰ Time: 12:00 PM 📍 Session: London to New York Overlap (AM) Pair: BTC/USD 📈 Direction: Long (Buy Side) 🔹 Entry Details: Entry Price: 93,883.46 Take Profit: 94,533.51 (+0.69%) Stop Loss: 93,858.02 (−0.03%) Risk-Reward Ratio: 25.55 🔹 Trade Context: Entered during the London–New York overlap, a peak liquidity window where breakout and continuation setups often occur.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by davidjulien369
Long trade 15min TF overview Entry — DOGEUSDT (Buy Side) 🗓 Date: Monday, 5th May 2025 ⏰ Time: 2:30 AM 📍 Session: Tokyo to London AM Transition Pair: DOGE/USDT 📈 Direction: Long (Buy Side) 🔹 Entry Details: Entry Price: 0.17316 Take Profit: 0.17465 (+0.86%) Stop Loss: 0.17277 (−0.23%) Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.82 🔹 Trade Context: Entered during the Tokyo–London session transition, where directional momentum often begins to form. Structure showed higher highs, indicating sustained buyside pressure. Entry aligned with a respected Fair Value Gap (FVG), which held the price 🔹 Trade Reasoning: ✅ Buyside pressure confirmed through price action ✅ Higher highs forming on the intraday chart ✅ Entry from a respected FVG, confirming support
Long
by davidjulien369
NAS100 - Stock Market, Waiting for FOMC?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect corrective moves from the specified range, but if the index continues to move upwards towards 21,000 points, we can look for the next Nasdaq short positions with a risk-reward ratio. Last week, U.S. equity markets experienced $8.9 billion in capital outflows, while equity markets in Japan and the European Union saw net inflows. Additionally, U.S. Treasury bonds recorded an outflow of $4.5 billion—the largest since December 2023. Meanwhile, the gold market witnessed its first weekly investment decline since January. Looking ahead, financial markets are focused on the upcoming earnings reports from major companies across sectors such as technology, healthcare, automotive, energy, and financial services. These reports are expected to significantly influence equity trends, investment strategies, and corporate outlooks. Below is a daily breakdown of key companies set to release earnings this week: Monday, May 5, 2025 The week starts with a focus on the healthcare and biotech sectors: • Before market open: Companies such as Palantir, Ford, Onsemi, and Tyson Foods will report earnings. Palantir and Ford are particularly noteworthy for investors in the tech and auto sectors. • After market close: Healthcare firms like Hims & Hers Health, Axsome Therapeutics, and financial company CNA Financial will report. Tuesday, May 6, 2025 Tuesday highlights several key tech earnings: • Before market open: Celsius, Datadog, Rivian, and Tempus will publish their results. Rivian’s report is especially anticipated due to the intense competition in the electric vehicle space. • After market close: Tech giants like AMD and Arista Networks will release earnings, along with Marriott from the hospitality sector. Wednesday, May 7, 2025 A packed day for earnings reports: • Before market open: Reports from Uber and Teva are expected, along with ARM Holdings, a key player in semiconductors. • After market close: AppLovin, Unity, and Robinhood will release their reports—representing digital gaming, software, and fintech respectively. Thursday, May 8, 2025 This day centers on digital health, cryptocurrency, and e-commerce: • Before market open: Peloton and Shopify will report. Shopify’s performance is particularly critical in the online retail sector. • After market close: Crypto firm Coinbase and online sports betting platform DraftKings are in focus. Friday, May 9, 2025 Fewer companies will report, but some are of strategic interest: • Firms like 1stdibs, Ani Pharmaceuticals, and Embecta are scheduled, as well as Telos and Algonquin—key names in energy and cybersecurity investing. This week, markets are closely monitoring Wednesday’s FOMC meeting. At the March session, the Fed left rates unchanged and signaled only two potential cuts totaling 50 basis points for the year, based on its dot plot—suggesting a cautious approach to monetary easing. Simultaneously, April’s U.S. Services PMI is set to be released today, providing clearer insights into post-tariff business activity. Amazon’s CEO stated that, so far, there is no indication of reduced demand due to tariff concerns. Some inventory spikes were noted in specific categories, likely driven by stockpiling ahead of tariff implementation. Retail prices, on average, have not significantly increased, and most sellers have yet to raise prices—though that could change depending on how tariff policies evolve. Notably, essential goods have grown at twice the rate of other categories and now account for a third of all unit sales in the U.S. Following April’s jobs report, the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in June dropped from 75% to 42%. With only one more employment report due before the June 18 meeting, hopes for an early policy shift have faded. Some analysts argue that without the tariff conflict, the Fed might already be cutting rates, given the downward trend in inflation, steady growth, and Congressional focus on fiscal measures. The April jobs data showed that the U.S. labor market remains resilient—neither too strong to spark inflation fears nor too weak to trigger panic. After the release, with market confidence rebounding, Goldman Sachs forecasted the Fed’s first rate cut to come at the July 30 meeting. The consensus expectation is for the Fed funds rate to remain in the current 4.25%-4.5% range, unchanged since January. The CME FedWatch tool currently assigns just a 1.8% chance of a rate cut at the upcoming meeting. Economists warn that Trump’s newly imposed tariffs—active since April—could drive up prices and hurt employment, challenging the Fed’s dual mandate of controlling both inflation and joblessness. However, recent data shows inflation remained mild in March and the labor market held steady in April. Nancy Vanden Houten, Chief U.S. Economist at Oxford Economics, wrote: “The data is strong enough for the Fed to stay on the sidelines and monitor how tariffs influence inflation and expectations.” While hard data remains stable, forecasts and sentiment surveys signal looming challenges. Business leaders and individuals express concern that rising costs may burden consumers and businesses in the coming months or years, possibly even tipping the economy into recession.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
Skeptic |EUR/USD Analysis: Key Triggers and Setups for Big MovesHey everyone, Skeptic here! Welcome back to another analysis. Today, we’re diving into EUR/USD , a pair that’s super active and sitting at a critical spot. The triggers I’m about to break down could set us up for some solid risk/reward plays. Like always, let’s start with the Daily Timeframe to get the lay of the land. Here we go! 📊 📅 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture On the daily chart, we’ve got a clean upward channel that’s been rock-solid, with the price reacting nicely to the floor, ceiling, and midline. It’s hit the floor 4 times and the ceiling 4 times, so this channel is a reliable trigger we can work with. 💪 The 7-period SMA is hanging out above the candles, showing us the bullish momentum is still in play. Friday’s candle was a bullish indecision candle, which hints at a possible break of the channel’s floor. If that break happens, our first target could be 1.12006 . You can clone the channel and slide it lower to spot your next targets and support levels—check the chart below for a visual. Simple and effective! 🔍 ⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups Let’s zoom into the 4-hour timeframe to find our long and short triggers. Here’s what we’re looking at: Long Setup 📈 Wait for a solid break above the key resistance at 1.13485 . That’s our green light to jump into a long position. Targets? We’re aiming for 1.14235 first, and potentially the channel’s midline if the move keeps going. Quick tip: Take some profits at these levels, but don’t close out too soon—let’s milk those R/R ratios! 😉 Short Setup 📉 On the bearish side, watch for a break below support at 1.12676 , especially if the RSI dips into oversold. That could be a strong short trigger , as it’d also confirm a break of the upward channel, opening the door for a deeper pullback. Since we’ve had a decent uptrend, this short setup could be extra reliable if the trigger hits. Let’s stay sharp! 🐻 🧠 Why Multi-Timeframe Analysis Matters A multi-timeframe approach is like having a cheat code for trading. It helps us align the signals we find on lower timeframes with the bigger trends and cycles on higher ones. Want to dig deeper? I just wrote an article on this—definitely worth a read if you want to level up your game. 📚 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
by SkepticWise
3