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PALANTIR PLUS GOLD — TWO IS A PAIR"Two is a pair" means that the number two represents a set of two identical or closely related items that are used together or considered a unit. For example, a pair of socks, a pair of shoes, or a pair of gloves. It can also refer to two people, animals, or things that are grouped together. Here's a more detailed breakdown: Definition: A pair is a set of two things that are alike, matched, or intended to be used together. Examples: "A pair of socks" - two socks designed to be worn on the feet. "A pair of scissors" - two blades joined together. "A pair of lovers" - two people romantically involved. Singular/Plural: The word "pair" can be singular or plural, depending on how it's used. For example: "This pair is comfortable" (singular) and "These two pairs are comfortable" (plural). Relationship: While "pair" often implies a strong connection or matching nature, it can also be used for things that are simply grouped together. For example, like Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR & Gold AMEX:GLD that match each other, for 18 straight months in a row. 💖 -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
NASDAQ:PLTR
by PandorraResearch
2
MR. COPPER GOES FUN. WITH DONALD TRUMP — IT IS A BULL RUNCopper prices in 2025 are up about 27 percent year-to-date, driven by a complex interplay of technical and fundamental factors, with geopolitical events such as the Trump administration's tariff policies and the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East having a significant impact. Fundamental Outlook: The main driver of copper prices in 2025 is the ongoing global surge in demand driven by the transition to clean energy. Copper is essential for electric vehicles (EVs), renewable energy infrastructure, and grid upgrades, all of which require extensive use of copper due to its superior electrical conductivity. For example, EVs use about 2-4 times more copper than traditional vehicles, and renewable installations such as wind turbines contain several tons of copper each. This structural growth in demand underpins the optimistic outlook for copper in the medium to long term. On the supply side, however, copper production is growing. The International Copper Study Group (ICSG) forecasts a global copper surplus of 289,000 tonnes in 2025, more than double the 2024 surplus. This surplus is driven by rising production, particularly from new or expanded operations in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Mongolia, Russia and elsewhere. Capacity increases in these regions, coupled with smelter growth, could contribute to a supply glut despite strong demand. Conversely, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could disrupt bauxite and alumina supply chains, a region that is a strategically important supplier of raw materials. Impact of Trump Tariffs: The Trump administration’s threats and actions to impose tariffs on U.S. copper imports have added volatility and complexity to the market. The tariff announcement triggered a sharp sell-off in early April 2025 as concerns about the impact on US manufactured demand and global trade flows grew. London Metal Exchange (LME) copper prices fell to one-month lows following China’s retaliatory tariffs, before partially recovering after some tariff exemptions and reductions were announced. The tariffs also distorted physical supply chains. Traders rushed to deliver copper to the US ahead of the tariffs, reducing copper availability in other regions such as China. This arbitrage resulted in a significant widening of the price differential between US CME copper contracts and LME copper prices, with US prices trading at a premium of over 10% to London. This premium reflects the tariff risk embedded in the US copper price and expectations of temporary domestic market tensions. Technical Outlook: Technically, copper prices have shown resilience despite the tariff shocks. Copper prices sold off after peaking in late March 2025 before the tariffs were announced, but have since begun to recover. Long-term trendlines and moving averages remain supportive, with the 100-week and 200-week moving averages trending higher and forming a bullish crossover earlier in the year. Long-term copper prices are once again attacking the 18-year resistance around $4.50/lb ($10/kg) that capped the upside in 2008 and again in the 2010s and first half of the 2020s, with a 1.5x rally in the next 1 to 3 years. The technical main chart of the COMEX December 2025 copper futures contract COMEX:HGZ2025 points to the possibility of an upside move, all the way to the $7 mark (around $15/kg) as early as H2 2025. Conclusion Going forward, copper prices are expected to remain volatile but supported by long-term structural demand growth, with the impact of tariffs likely to cause episodic disruptions rather than a sustained suppression of increasingly hot prices. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team😎
COMEX:HGZ2025
by PandorraResearch
ELON MUSK SAYS: BYE-BYE 300-ish, FOR TESLA INVESTORSTesla's stock has recently suffered a sharp decline, dropping nearly 7% in a single day to about $294, marking a significant fall from its December peak of over $488—a plunge of roughly 40% since then. This downturn is largely attributed to growing investor concerns over CEO Elon Musk's increasing political distractions, particularly his announcement to launch a new U.S. political party, the "America Party," which has intensified his public conflict with former President Donald Trump. Investors fear Musk's political ambitions could divert his focus from Tesla's core business at a critical time when the company is already grappling with challenges. Tesla recently reported its second consecutive quarterly decline in vehicle deliveries, with a 14% drop year-over-year, and sales slumping amid intensifying competition and production issues. Musk's political entanglements have also alienated key consumer bases, especially in Europe and China, where Tesla's sales have sharply fallen while competitors like BYD have surged. The stock's technical outlook is bleak, with Tesla's price well below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling sustained bearish momentum. The combination of disappointing sales, a distracted CEO, and deteriorating investor confidence has made Tesla the worst-performing major growth stock this year, eroding over $80 billion in market value in recent sessions. In previous posts we have already considered short position scenarios (see related ideas), and in Q3-Q4 2025 we are looking at new Elon Louboutins. The technical main chart reflects the dynamics of the July Call option on Tesla shares - OPRA:TSLA250718C275.0 TSLA 18 Jul 2025 Call 275, losing the $30 level, which indicates a continuing loss of the 300 level in Tesla shares. -- Best Labuten wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
T
by PandorraResearch
Oil Went Back to 'Pre-conflict' Level on Israel-Iran Ceasefire The Israel-Iran ceasefire has triggered a sharp reversal in global oil markets, sending prices tumbling back to levels seen before the recent conflict. Brent crude ICEEUR:BRN1! fell below $70 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate NYMEX:CL1! dropped to around $65, erasing the risk premium that had built up during nearly two weeks of hostilities. This rapid decline—nearly 17% from the conflict’s peak—reflects investor relief that the threat of major supply disruptions, especially through the vital Strait of Hormuz, has receded for now. However, the outlook remains uncertain. While the ceasefire has calmed immediate fears, the truce is fragile, with both sides accusing each other of violations within hours of its announcement. Shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz is still subdued, insurance costs for tankers remain elevated, and some shipowners are steering clear of the region, indicating persistent caution in energy logistics. If the ceasefire holds, markets may stabilize further, supporting global economic recovery and easing inflationary pressures. But any renewed escalation or disruption in the Strait of Hormuz could quickly reverse these gains, keeping energy markets on alert for further geopolitical shocks. The main technical graph for Dec'25 WTI Futures NYMEX:CLZ2025 indicates on 'cup and handle' technical structure with the nearest support around $62 per bll, and further 'double top' price action in upcoming development. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
NYMEX:CLZ2025
by PandorraResearch
GOLD GOES 'PREPARING FOR SCORCHING-HOT JULY'. UPSHOT OF 1H 2025Gold market shines bright in first half of 2025, with nearly 25 percent year-to-date gain, which becomes one of the best start of the year in history ever following 1H 2016 (became a launching pad for Gold to more than Triple in price over next decade) and 1H 1973 (where Gold bugs sharply skyrocketed to infinity and beyond, printed more than 10x over next decade). The gold spot market in July 2025 is shaped by both fundamental and technical factors supporting a cautiously bullish outlook. Fundamental perspectives Were you ready or not, Gold prices have surged significantly in 2025, driven by persistent global uncertainties including geopolitical conflicts (e.g., Middle East tensions), trade disputes, and inflation concerns. Central banks, notably the Federal Reserve, are expected to cut interest rates later in 2025, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold, a non-yielding asset. This monetary easing alongside continued inflation worries and safe-haven demand underpins strong gold fundamentals. Major financial institutions like J.P. Morgan and UBS forecast gold prices averaging around $3,500–$3,675 per ounce in late 2025, with potential to reach $4,000/oz by mid-2026. Central bank gold purchases and diversification away from US dollar assets also support demand. Technical perspectives Technically, gold has experienced volatile but mostly sideways trading in a roughly $300 range around $3,200–$3,500 since mid-2025, reflecting consolidation after a strong rally earlier in the year. Key support lies near $3,000 and $3,200 levels (125-Day, or 6-Month SMA), with resistance around $3,500 to $3,800. Indicators such as moving averages and RSI suggest an upward trend with possible short-term corrections. A breakout above $3,500 could trigger further gains toward $3,800, while a drop below $3,200 may lead to testing $3,000 support. Overall, July is expected to see continued range-bound trading amid new external uncertainties, with bullish momentum intact. In summary, gold’s fundamentals remain robust due to macroeconomic and geopolitical drivers, while technicals point to consolidation with potential for renewed upward moves in the July 2025 spot market. -- Best #GODL wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PandorraResearch
NYSE COMPOSITE INDEX. BACK TO 20 000 MARK — KEY RESISTANCE LINEThe NYSE Composite TVC:NYA is a stock market index, that covering all common stock listed on the New York Stock Exchange, including American depositary receipts, real estate investment trusts, tracking stocks, and foreign listings. Over 2,000 stocks are covered in the index, of which over 1,600 are from United States corporations and over 360 are foreign listings. However foreign companies are very prevalent among the largest companies in the index: of the 100 companies in the index having the largest market capitalization (and thus the largest impact on the index), more than half (55) are non-U.S. issues. Thanks to many non-U.S. components, NYSE Composite index shows nearly 5 per cent return in 2025 so far, outperforms major U.S. stock indices like Dow Jones Industrial (+0.24%), S&P500 (+1.91%), as well as Nasdaq-100 (+3.21%). Trade negotiations and tariff expectations have been central drivers of the NYSE Composite Index's recent recovery, shaping both market sentiment and underlying corporate fundamentals. Trade Negotiations. Market Sensitivity and Relief Rallies Financial markets, including the NYSE Composite, have reacted sharply to developments in trade negotiations. Historically, when trade talks break down or new tariffs are announced, U.S. stocks tend to sell off due to concerns over higher costs, supply chain disruptions, and reduced global demand. Conversely, when negotiations resume or tariffs are delayed, markets often rebound. For example, during the 2018–2019 U.S.–China trade war, U.S. stocks experienced heightened volatility, but rallied strongly after the announcement of the Phase I trade deal, as uncertainty eased and the threat of further escalation diminished. This pattern has repeated in 2025: the NYSE Composite has staged recoveries following signs of progress in trade talks or delays in tariff implementation, as investors anticipate less disruption to global commerce and corporate earnings. Tariff Expectations. Impact on Earnings, Valuations, and Sentiment Tariffs directly affect corporate earnings by raising input costs for companies that rely on imported goods. According to Goldman Sachs Research, every five-percentage-point increase in the U.S. tariff rate is estimated to reduce S&P 500 earnings per share by roughly 1-2%. If companies absorb these costs, profit margins are squeezed; if they pass them on to consumers, sales may decline. The NYSE Composite, which tracks a broad swath of U.S. and international companies, is similarly exposed. Expectations around tariffs also influence equity valuations. Elevated policy uncertainty—driven by unpredictable tariff announcements—raises the risk premium investors demand, often compressing price-to-earnings multiples and weighing on stock prices. When clarity emerges, such as the announcement of a tariff pause or the prospect of a negotiated settlement, uncertainty recedes, and valuations can recover, fueling index gains. The Role of Policy Announcements and Market Psychology. Trade policy announcements have acted as economic shocks, affecting global trade relationships and growth forecasts. For instance, after the U.S. announced new tariffs in early 2025, recession odds rose and GDP growth forecasts were slashed, prompting a broad market sell-off. However, the subsequent announcement of a 90-day tariff pause and renewed negotiations led to a stabilization and partial recovery in equities, as investors reassessed the likelihood of a severe downturn. Market psychology amplifies these moves. As trade rhetoric intensifies, investor sentiment can become excessively pessimistic, sometimes overshooting the actual economic impact of tariffs. This creates conditions for relief rallies when negotiations show progress or when the tariff outlook becomes less severe than feared. Technical challenge NYSE Composite index has experiencied record values on Friday, November 29, 2024, following so-called Trump-a-Rally. The best Closing high was 20,272.04 ponts at those day and the best Intraday high was 20,332.50 points, also at the same day. However unability to finish the year 2024 firmly above 20 000 round number, sharply pushed stock market bulls into fart and double-digit decline earlier in 2025. The main chart indicates on major resistance again, near 20 000 point while technical indicator RSI (14) still goes sluggish. Conclusion The NYSE Composite Index's recovery has been closely tied to the ebb and flow of trade negotiations and tariff expectations. Positive developments in negotiations and reduced tariff threats have alleviated uncertainty, supported earnings expectations, and improved investor sentiment, all of which have contributed to the index's rebound. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
TVC:NYA
by PandorraResearch
TESLA GOES READY FOR ITS NEW LEG DOWN. HERE'S WHAT WE KNOW ABOUTTesla stock declined after Elon Musk’s departure from the Trump administration due to a combination of reputational, operational, and market factors: Political Backlash and Brand Damage. Musk’s close association with the Trump administration and his leadership of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) generated widespread protests and alienated many of Tesla’s traditional, progressive customer base. This political controversy led to a decline in consumer interest and unsettled investors who were concerned about the brand’s long-term appeal. Sales and Profit Declines. Tesla faced falling sales and profits, with deliveries dropping in key markets like China and Europe, partly due to intensifying competition and partly due to the backlash against Musk’s political activities. The company reported a 13% year-over-year decline in deliveries, and operating profits fell as well. Investor Concerns Over Leadership Focus. Investors grew worried that Musk’s political involvement was distracting him from Tesla’s core business at a critical time. There was a perception that the company was losing its competitive edge and that Musk’s attention was divided, which amplified concerns about Tesla’s future growth. Market Correction After “Trump Bump”. Tesla’s stock had surged after Trump’s election, buoyed by expectations of favorable policies. However, as Musk’s political involvement became a liability and operational challenges mounted, the post-election gains evaporated, and the stock corrected sharply downward. In summary, Musk’s controversial political role, combined with operational headwinds and shifting investor sentiment, triggered a significant decline in Tesla’s stock after his exit from the Trump administration. -- Best wishes @PandorraResearch Team
NASDAQ:TSLA
by PandorraResearch
2
IBIT — Ishares Bitcoin Trust. Under Bearish PressureThe iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) has been a mixed performer year to date, with its price up and down around 20 percent this year and currently tracking for low double-digit returns in 2025. The ETF currently trades around $59.36–$60.40, with assets under management of around $68 billion and a 0.1 percent premium to net asset value (NAV). 1-Hour Technical Outlook On the 1-hour time frame, technical indicators are mixed but generally bearish: Moving Averages: Short-term moving averages (e.g. 200-hour SMA/EMA) are currently signaling a Sell signal as the price moved below these averages in late May. Support and resistance: The ETF faces resistance around $61, corresponding to the broken 200-hour SMA, and support around $54, with stronger volume-based support around $47, corresponding to the beginning of the April rally. RSI indicator: Over the last 20 days, the RSI(55) indicator has already been briefly noted below the baseline of 50, highlighting the need for more active risk management, since, as we can see from the chart, the indicator has again moved into the risk zone in late May and early June (where it currently remains), accordingly, for a longer term. Volatility: During the recovery period in April-May 2025, the ETF demonstrated moderate intraday volatility (with half the 200-hour sigma value (σ) of about 3.5 percent), while the 20-hour decline on May 22-23, which exceeded this value, has provided at that time clear arguments for more active risk management. To summarize, we can say that NASDAQ:IBIT is experiencing a pullback, technical indicators point to local persistence of bearish sentiment, following the classic, empirically proven adage of the financial market "Sell in May - and Go away." -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
NASDAQ:IBIT
by PandorraResearch
2