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A Long-term Bullish Trend ?With an upcoming Earnings report we can observe rather uncertain future behavior. But since the trend has been bearish for a longer period of time and the price is "nearly" at the same position which was achieved for the first time in early April in 2019, we can, mostly based only on the technical analysis and Earnings report, determine quite confidently that the price is ready to rise. Important data: EPS Estimate: -$3.12 Revenue Estimate: $106 million to $166.7 million Notable developments: Cost-cutting initiative = Targeting $1.1B in reductions by 2027 By the end of 2024 $9.5 billion allocated in investments
NASDAQ:MRNALong
by Tears_of_Yeltsin
2
$MAGS Repeating History? - Nasdaq Oscillator Flashes Caution📉 CBOE:MAGS (MAG 7 ETF) is showing striking similarities to its previous top, right before a 30% drop. Both price action and the Nasdaq Oscillator are echoing that same setup. 🔍 Key Observations: Price has rallied into a confluence of resistance near the previous breakdown zone. The Nasdaq Oscillator has returned to a historically high reading – the last time this happened, MAGS topped and dropped hard. A similar structure could suggest a -30% move, targeting the $32–$33 range. ⚠️ Caution: We’re in a potential bull trap zone. Unless we break cleanly above the red trendline and consolidate, this rally may be short-lived. 🧠 Smart money may already be unloading into this strength.
CBOE:MAGSShort
by SmartSignalss
ADMA Biologics, Inc. (ADMA) – Plasma Power with Policy TailwindsCompany Snapshot: ADMA Biologics NASDAQ:ADMA is carving out a dominant position in plasma-derived immunotherapies, with a 100% U.S.-based supply chain that delivers both regulatory resilience and logistical strength in a vital healthcare segment. Key Catalysts: Strategic Domestic Advantage 🇺🇸 Fully U.S.-based manufacturing and supply chain Aligns with national healthcare policy and reduces global exposure risk Elite Healthcare Partnerships 🏥 Works with Mayo Clinic & Cleveland Clinic Validates product quality and ensures recurring revenue streams Strong Insider Conviction 📈 CEO Adam Grossman purchased $1.2M in stock Insiders own 12%, showing long-term commitment Plasma Therapy Demand on the Rise 🚨 Growing market for immune deficiency and infectious disease treatments Reliable production scale + strategic partnerships = compounding value Investment Outlook: ✅ Bullish Above: $19.00–$20.00 🚀 Target Range: $29.00–$30.00 🔑 Thesis: Fully domestic moat + institutional partnerships + insider alignment = high-conviction growth biotech 📢 ADMA: A rare mid-cap with stability, growth, and a policy-aligned advantage. #BiotechStocks #PlasmaTherapy #Immunology #ADMA #InsiderBuying #HealthcareMoat
NASDAQ:ADMALong
by Richtv_official
US100 - Corrective Pullback into FVG + Golden Pocket setup?This 1H Nasdaq chart paints a classic structure of retracement within a bullish leg, offering potential for continuation after a clean corrective move into inefficiency. It's all about balance restoration before the next impulse. --- 1. Resistance Reaction & Local Distribution Price faced strong rejection at a clearly defined Resistance Zone , marking a point of supply where sellers stepped in with aggression. - The sharp rejection indicates profit-taking from earlier longs or a short-term distribution zone. - Structure is transitioning from impulsive to corrective, suggesting a pullback is unfolding rather than a trend reversal (at least for now). --- 2. Short-Term Demand Zone Holding Price (Gray Box) Before reaching deeper liquidity, price is hovering above a local demand block —a previously unmitigated consolidation that supported the last push up. - This gray zone may provide temporary support, but lacks depth of imbalance. - It's a weak floor, and smart money typically seeks deeper fills for proper re-accumulation. --- 3. Fair Value Gap Below (Primary Draw on Liquidity) The key area of interest lies just below, where a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) is formed. This imbalance represents a void in price action where buy-side inefficiency remains. - Aligned with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement range (confluence entry). - Price is likely to seek this inefficiency for proper rebalancing. - It’s not just a “fill the gap” play—it’s a liquidity grab where smart money is most likely waiting. This zone is ideal for reaccumulation before resuming the move higher. --- 4. Internal Structure Suggests Bullish Intent After Fill Price is forecasted to: - Step 1: Break beneath the short-term demand to draw in liquidity - Step 2: Tag the FVG zone, tapping into fresh demand - Step 3: Shift structure via higher low formation and breakout This is the behavior of an engineered retracement—not panic selling. --- 5. Macro Bias Still Bullish – Controlled Pullback While the short-term price action looks bearish, the context remains supportive of upward continuation: - No signs of aggressive selling below structure - Current flow is corrective, not distributive - FVG zone is strategically placed in alignment with optimal trade entry levels (OTE) If this zone holds, expect a return to bullish expansion targeting inefficiencies left behind on the push down. --- Conclusion: This setup is textbook: - Efficient rejection at resistance - Controlled retracement into FVG with Fibonacci confluence - Potential structural shift post-rebalance Watch for bullish intent to return once the imbalance is filled. Until then, this is not a breakdown—it's a setup.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Louigi_24
42
Nasdaq on Thin Ice? Smart Money is Bearish!📊 COT Analysis – NASDAQ E-MINI Futures Asset Managers → Consistently net long, but without accumulation: showing little conviction on new lows. Leveraged Money → Confirmed aggressive shorts, a clear sign that smart money doesn't believe in the bounce. ✅ COT Conclusion: Smart money is not buying the dip → fundamental bias = bearish. 🧠 Technical Breakdown + My Long Trade 📉 Structure: Strong rejection from the 16,700–17,300 zone, with a long weekly wick = signs of accumulation. Price formed a double bottom + weekly engulfing candle, right on the demand zone → confirming strong buyer pressure. 🎯 My Long Trade (LIVE SETUP): Entry: After confirmation of bullish price action on the blue demand zone Target: Supply zone 20,400–21,000 Exit: Closed just before the drop → perfect trade management, respecting structure and weekly resistance 📈 Post-trade context: Price then rejected violently from that zone → we’re now back around 18,400, and if 18,000 breaks, the door opens toward 16,700. 🧭 What’s Next? 🔹 If price pulls back to 19,200–19,500, I’ll look for a short setup 🔹 If it breaks below 18,000 → clean path toward 16,700–16,500 ✅ Trade Summary 🔥 Long from structural demand zone → exit at weekly supply 🧠 Setup based on price action + RSI and structural confluence 🐻 Now the bias shifts back to bearish: watch the 18k level closely
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
US30 Approaching Key Support Zone – Potential Reversal Ahead?📊 Chart Overview: Timeframe: Looks like an intraday (maybe 1H or 2H). Indicators: EMA 50 (Red): 38,964.7 EMA 200 (Blue): 39,637.0 🔍 Key Levels & Structure: 🔵 Support Zone (Highlighted): Around 36,800 – 37,200 range. This is a well-tested support level where price previously bounced. Current price action is approaching this zone again, which increases the chance of a potential bullish reaction. 🟣 Resistance Level: Defined around 40,500 area. Price has rejected multiple times from this zone. Previously served as a consolidation/decision area. 📍 Focus Point (Previous Support Turned Resistance): Near 38,700 – 39,000. This level may act as a reaction point on the way back up. 📉 Current Price Action: Strong downward momentum heading into the support zone. Price is under both EMAs, suggesting short-term bearish trend. However, the drawn arrow suggests a potential reversal bounce from the support. 🧠 Interpretation & Scenario Plan: 🅰️ Bullish Scenario: Price touches or sweeps the support zone. Bullish structure or reversal candle forms (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing). Break back above EMA 50 & Focus Point could confirm the shift. Target: Revisit Resistance Zone (above 40,000). 🅱️ Bearish Scenario: Support fails to hold. Clean break below 36,800 with volume could lead to accelerated sell-off. Watch for breakdown retests of support turned resistance. 🔔 Takeaway: ⚠️ Current move is bearish, but price is approaching a key demand zone. Bulls might step in if the zone holds. Confirmation is key before going long. Reclaiming EMAs would strengthen bullish bias.
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by MrStellanSight
6
Analysis of Nasdaq 100 (US100) based on Price ActionThis analysis examines the recent price action of the Nasdaq 100 (US100) and identifies potential scenarios based on key technical levels. Current Situation: The price has recently moved above a short-term downtrend line, which could indicate a shift in momentum. This development suggests a possibility of upward movement. Potential Bullish Scenario: A decisive break and sustained close above the recent resistance level of 19,224 may open the door for further gains. In such a scenario, the index might target the 20,329 level. A successful move beyond that could potentially lead to a test of the historical peak at 22,245. Potential Bearish Scenario: Conversely, if the index fails to overcome the 19,224 resistance, there is a chance it could retest previous support levels. These levels are identified at 17,592 and, subsequently, at 16,322. Conclusion: The US100 is currently at a critical juncture. The ability of the price to sustain a move above 19,224 may determine its short-to-medium-term trajectory. Both bullish and bearish scenarios remain possible, and traders should monitor price action closely around these key levels.
SKILLING:US100
by AccumulationPro
QQQ - Your guess is as good as mineMarkets are all over the place. I know ground breaking info. I don't think there is any clear answer to what is next. Even if Trump does reduce tariffs on China, they are still going to be some of the highest in recent history. However, it looks like Trump has flinched and China has the upper hand. That is just likely going to make Trump more erratic since his policies are emotional/ego driven and not strategic. Overall, there are likely some short-term gains to be have as the market likes to always push up when not in an panic sell. For now, the worst of the news is over and the low from the other week is likely going to be the bottom for the near future. I expect stock to continue this up and down until the tariffs work there way through the system and we see the true effect on the economy. We punched above the 20 day SMA yesterday and will likely test it for support today and tomorrow. If it holds, I wouldn't be surprised to see prices test the 200 day. Hard to know what crazy stuff Trump will do over the weekend, so we will have to see. Good luck and enjoy the ride.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Dr_Roboto
1
Upcoming Saia Earnings Announcement Draws Investor Attention Saia Inc. (NASDAQ:SAIA) is expected to release its first-quarter earnings soon, drawing investor attention amid recent downward revisions in analyst estimates. Wall Street forecasts earnings of $2.77 per share, marking an 18.1% decline from the same quarter last year. Revenue is projected to increase by 7.3% year-over-year to $810.08 million. Over the past month, consensus EPS estimates have been revised down by 7.6%, reflecting a shift in analyst sentiment. These estimate changes are often used as signals to predict short-term stock movement. Beyond the top and bottom lines, analysts have modeled key metrics to provide deeper insight into the company's performance. The operating ratio, a critical efficiency indicator in the transportation sector, is projected to rise to 87.6% from 84.4% a year earlier. A higher ratio suggests an increase in operating costs relative to revenue. Analysts also expect Saia’s Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) revenue per hundredweight to drop to $24.75 from last year’s $26.51, signaling potential pricing pressure. Saia stock has declined 14.4% over the past month, underperforming the S&P 500’s 8.9% drop. The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), suggesting performance in line with the broader market. Technical Analysis Saia’s share price has broken below a key support level at $360, continuing a bearish trend. The next support lies near $258. All major moving averages are above the current price and sloping downward—50-day at $447, 100-day at $458, and 200-day at $404—confirming the downward momentum.
NASDAQ:SAIAShort
by DEXWireNews
Analysts Revise Alaska Air Group Forecasts Ahead of EarningsAlaska Air Group Inc. (NYSE:ALK) is scheduled to report its first-quarter earnings results after markets close on Wednesday, April 23. Analysts expect the airline to post a loss of $0.77 per share. This compares to a loss of $0.92 per share during the same period last year. Revenue is projected to come in at $3.16 billion, up from $2.23 billion a year earlier, according to Benzinga Pro. The company last reported earnings on January 22, posting better-than-expected results for both revenue and earnings per share. As anticipation builds for the upcoming earnings call, several top analysts have adjusted their outlooks. Barclays analyst Brandon Oglenski maintained an "Overweight" rating on April 8 but lowered the price target from $80 to $62. Susquehanna’s Christopher Stathoulopoulos, with a 74% accuracy rate, kept a "Positive" rating but cut the price target from $95 to $55 on April 7. UBS's Thomas Wadewitz downgraded the stock to "Neutral" from "Buy" and dropped the target from $75 to $54. On March 18, Citigroup analyst Stephen Trent reaffirmed a "Buy" rating and slightly trimmed the price target from $83 to $81. JP Morgan’s Jamie Baker raised the target from $85 to $89 while maintaining an "Overweight" rating on March 3. On Tuesday, Alaska Air shares rose 2.93% to close at $44.94. Technical Analysis The stock found support near the $44 level, forming a potential base. If this support holds, ALK may target the $50 range or higher. However, a break below support could push the price down toward $40. All major moving averages are trending lower. The 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages stand at $57, $61, and $51, respectively, signaling ongoing bearish momentum.
NYSE:ALKLong
by DEXWireNews
Global Payments Inc. Hits 52-Week Low Amid Analysts DowngradeGlobal Payments Inc. (NYSE:GPN) dropped to a new 52-week low of $66.90 on Monday after Wells Fargo slashed its price target from $105.00 to $77.00. The firm issued an "equal weight" rating. Shares last traded at $67.22, down from the prior close of $69.46, with over 1.25 million shares changing hands. Several other analysts also revised their targets. Barclays reduced its price from $125.00 to $110.00 and maintained an "overweight" rating. Citigroup cut its target slightly from $138.00 to $135.00 while retaining a “buy” recommendation. Morgan Stanley followed suit with a target cut from $166.00 to $163.00 and kept an “overweight” stance. Evercore ISI began coverage with an “in-line” rating and set its target at $85.00. Meanwhile, Robert W. Baird lowered its price objective significantly from $145.00 to $100.00 while keeping an “outperform” rating. MarketBeat data shows that 15 analysts currently rate the stock as a hold. Eleven analysts recommend buying, and one has issued a sell rating. The average consensus price target now stands at $117.36. Technical Analysis The daily chart highlights a sharp sell-off with high volume in April, pushing GPN below critical support. The price failed to hold the $92 level, breaking down with a gap and falling into oversold territory. Moving averages point to downward momentum. The 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages all hover above the current price. RSI currently sits at 32.27, close to the oversold threshold. A minor bounce has occurred from the low, but resistance near $92 could cap gains. If selling pressure resumes, the price may revisit $66 or break lower towards $60.
NYSE:GPNShort
by DEXWireNews
Nasdaq 100 Prepares for Launch — Reclaiming Critical GroundNAS100 8H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 💻🧠 OVERALL TREND 📈 UPTREND — Structure is shifting bullish. Recent higher lows and strong rebounds from April lows confirm the current upward momentum. This is supported by 12/13 Moving Averages flashing BUY , including critical 50- and 200-period EMAs/SMA clusters. MACD and Momentum indicators also favor continued upside. 🔴 RESISTANCE ZONES 22,248.00 — 🔴 SELL STOPLOSS | Final Pivot High 21,955.77 — 🔴 SELL ORDER 2 21,364.19 — 🔴 SELL ORDER 1 🎯 TARGETS & BUY ORDERS 21,065.42 — 🎯 TP4 | EXIT THE RALLY 19,989.54 — 🎯 TP3 | Momentum confirmation 19,291.55 — 🎯 TP2 | Mid Pivot Zone 18,286.55 — 🎯 TP1 | Initial Profit Target 17,258.99 — ✅ BUY ORDER 1 16,630.74 — ✅ BUY ORDER 2 16,335.10 — ✅ BUY STOPLOSS | Pivot Low 🟢 SUPPORT STRUCTURE PIVOT LOW @ 18,286 — Support holding for now PIVOT LOW @ 17,258 — Strong confluence with previous structure BUY ORDER zones between 16,330 – 17,258 — Demand cluster for reversals 🤓 STRUCTURAL NOTES MACD shows bullish divergence with a rising histogram and crossover confirmation Momentum (+694) and RSI (66.69) suggest strength, though nearing overbought territory Price has reclaimed 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200 MA levels — rare alignment of major trend confirmation Only outlier: Hull MA (9) signaling short-term overextension — may suggest brief consolidation before continuation 🌍 GLOBAL TECHNICAL SUMMARY 📊 12 of 13 Major Moving Averages = BUY 📈 MACD & Momentum Oscillators = BUY 🧭 Majority of Oscillators = Neutral — supporting a “calm before breakout” thesis ⚖️ CCI shows slight overbought = caution near resistance zones 📉 No major bearish divergence detected — trend remains intact TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎 📈 Bullish Bias above 18,286.55 (TP1) targeting 19,291.55 (TP2) and beyond 📉 Bearish rejection likely near 21,065+ if volume fades — monitor RSI/MACD 👀 Watch for volume confirmation as we approach 19,989.55 🧪 STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION CONSERVATIVE BREAKOUT ENTRY: — Entry: 18,286.55 — TP Levels: 19,291.55 / 19,989.55 / 21,065.42 — SL: Below 17,258.99 RISK-ON DIP BUY STRATEGY: — Buy Zone: 16,630 – 17,258 — TP: 18,286.55 / 19,291.55 — SL: Below 16,335.10 “Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience”
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ProfessorCEWard
Quick technical piece on Nasdaq100From the technical side, we are near the short-term downside resistance line, which if broken, may open the door towards higher areas. But will it be enough? Let's take a look. MARKETSCOM:US100 Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:US100
by Marketscom
Barclays Raises TechnipFMC (FTI) Price Target to $43TechnipFMC (NYSE: NYSE:FTI ) closed at $31.23 on the previous trading day, staying close to its one-year high of $33.45. Evercore ISI analyst Jason Bandel maintained a Buy rating on the stock, setting a price target of $39. Meanwhile, Barclays reaffirmed its Buy rating with a higher target of $43 in a report dated March 26. Currently, the consensus among Wall Street analysts rates TechnipFMC as a “Strong Buy.” The average price target stands at $37.22, suggesting an upside of 19.18% from current levels. The stock has an average daily trading volume of 4.33 million shares. TechnipFMC’s performance is under close watch, though analyst Jason Bandel has posted a -5.4% average return with a 31.58% success rate. He follows the energy sector, covering companies like Helmerich & Payne and NOV in addition to FTI. Insider activity on the stock shows negative sentiment. Over the past quarter, 55 corporate insiders have sold shares. Earlier this month, Director Eleazar de Carvalho Filho sold 9,381 shares worth $279,178.56. Technical Analysis The stock recently bounced off a key support zone around $22, close to the 200-day moving average at $21.86. This bounce formed a bullish reversal setup. The price is now hovering near $25.20. If it holds this area, the next resistance is around the $28.00 level, followed by a possible move back toward its recent high of $33.45. The volume profile shows increased buying near the bottom of the bounce, suggesting accumulation. RSI is around 42, indicating neutral momentum but potential for recovery if buying pressure continues. A break above $28 may signal continuation toward $33.45.
NYSE:FTI
by DEXWireNews
1
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Potential bearish reversalThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) could rise towards an overlap resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 18,144.20 which is an overlap resistance. Stop loss is at 18,800.00 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 16,779.34 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:NAS100Short
by Tradu
What Is the McClellan Oscillator (NYMO), and How to Use ItWhat Is the McClellan Oscillator (NYMO), and How to Use It in Trading? The McClellan Oscillator is a widely used market breadth indicator that helps traders analyse momentum and market strength. It focuses on the relationship between advancing and declining stocks, offering unique insights beyond price movements. This article explains how the McClellan Oscillator works, its interpretation, and how it compares to other tools. What Is the McClellan Oscillator? The McClellan Oscillator is a market breadth indicator that traders use to measure momentum in stock market indices. It’s calculated based on the Advance/Decline Line, which tracks the net number of advancing stocks (those rising in price) minus declining stocks (those falling in price) over a given period. The NYSE McClellan Oscillator is the most common variant, often called the NYMO indicator. However, it can also be applied to any other stock index, like the Dow Jones, Nasdaq, or FTSE 100. Here’s how it works: the indicator uses two exponential moving averages (EMAs) of the advance/decline data—a 19-day EMA for short-term trends and a 39-day EMA for long-term trends. The difference between these two EMAs gives you the oscillator’s value. Positive readings mean more stocks are advancing than declining, pointing to bullish momentum. Negative readings suggest the opposite, with bearish sentiment dominating. What makes the McClellan indicator particularly useful is its ability to highlight shifts in market momentum that might not be obvious from price movements alone. For example, even if a stock index is rising, a declining indicator could signal that fewer stocks are participating in the rally—a potential warning of weakening breadth. This indicator is versatile and works well across various timeframes, but it’s particularly popular for analysing daily or weekly market trends. While it’s not designed to provide direct buy or sell signals, it helps traders identify when markets are gaining or losing momentum, Understanding the Advance/Decline Line The Advance/Decline (A/D) Line is a market breadth indicator that tracks the difference between the number of advancing stocks and declining stocks. It’s calculated cumulatively, adding each day’s net result to the previous total. This gives a running tally that reflects the broader participation of stocks in a market’s movement, rather than just focusing on a handful of large-cap stocks. When the A/D Line shows consistent strength or weakness, the McClellan Oscillator amplifies this data, making it potentially easier to spot underlying trends in market breadth. In essence, the A/D Line provides the raw data, while the McClellan refines it into actionable insights. How to Calculate the McClellan Oscillator The McClellan Oscillator formula effectively smooths out the daily fluctuations in the A/D data, allowing traders to focus on broader shifts in momentum. Here’s how it’s calculated: - Calculate the 19-day EMA of the A/D line (short-term trend). - Calculate the 39-day EMA of the A/D line (long-term trend). - Subtract the 39-day EMA from the 19-day EMA. The result is the McClellan Oscillator’s value. Giving the formula: - McClellan Oscillator = 19-day EMA of A/D - 39-day EMA of A/D The result is a line that fluctuates around a midpoint. In practice, a trader might apply the McClellan Oscillator to the S&P 500 on a daily or weekly timeframe, providing insights for trading. Interpretation of the Oscillator’s Values - Positive values occur when the 19-day EMA is above the 39-day EMA, indicating that advancing stocks dominate and the market has bullish momentum. - Negative values occur when the 19-day EMA is below the 39-day EMA, reflecting a bearish trend with declining stocks in control. - A value near zero suggests balance, where advancing and declining stocks are roughly equal. Signals Generated The indicator is popular for identifying shifts in momentum and potential trend changes. Overbought and Oversold Conditions - Readings at or above +100 typically indicate an overbought market, where the upward momentum may be overextended. - Readings at or below -100 suggest an oversold market, with the potential for a recovery. Crossing Zero When the indicator crosses above or below zero, it can indicate shifts in market sentiment, with traders often monitoring these transitions closely. Divergences - A positive divergence occurs when the indicator rises while the index declines, signalling potential bullish momentum building. - A negative divergence happens when the indicator falls while the index rises, hinting at weakening momentum. Using the McClellan Oscillator With Other Indicators The McClellan Oscillator is a valuable tool for analysing market breadth, but its insights become even more powerful when combined with other indicators. Pairing it with complementary tools can help traders confirm signals, refine their analysis, and better understand overall market conditions. Relative Strength Index (RSI) The Relative Strength Index (RSI) measures the strength and speed of price movements, identifying overbought or oversold conditions. While the McClellan Oscillator focuses on market breadth, using RSI along with it can provide confirmation. For example, if both indicators show overbought conditions, it strengthens the case for a potential market pullback. Moving Averages Simple or exponential moving averages of price data can help confirm trends identified by the McClellan Oscillator. For instance, if it signals bullish momentum and the index moves above its moving average, this alignment may suggest stronger market conditions. Volume Indicators (e.g., On-Balance Volume) Volume is a key component of market analysis. Combining the Oscillator with volume-based indicators can clarify whether breadth signals are supported by strong participation, improving the reliability of momentum shifts. Bollinger Bands Bollinger Bands measure volatility and provide insight into price ranges. When combined with the McClellan Oscillator, they can help traders assess whether market breadth signals align with overextended price movements, providing additional context. VIX (Volatility Index) The VIX measures market sentiment and fear. Cross-referencing it with the McClellan Oscillator can reveal whether market breadth momentum aligns with changes in risk appetite, offering a deeper understanding of sentiment shifts. Comparing the McClellan Oscillator With Related Indicators The McClellan Oscillator, McClellan Summation Index, and Advance/Decline Ratio all provide insights into market breadth, but they differ in focus and application. McClellan Oscillator vs McClellan Summation Index While the Oscillator measures short-term momentum using the difference between 19-day and 39-day EMAs of the Advance/Decline (A/D) Line, the McClellan Summation Index takes a longer-term perspective. It is a cumulative total of the Oscillator's daily values, creating a broader view of market trends. Think of the Summation Index as the "big picture" complement to the Oscillator's granular analysis. Traders often use the Summation Index to track longer-term trends and identify major turning points, while the Oscillator is more popular when monitoring immediate momentum shifts and overbought/oversold conditions. McClellan Oscillator vs Advance/Decline Ratio The Advance/Decline Ratio is a simpler calculation, dividing the number of advancing stocks by the number of declining stocks. While it provides a snapshot of market breadth, it lacks the depth of analysis offered by the McClellan Oscillator. The Oscillator refines raw A/D data with exponential moving averages, smoothing out noise and making it potentially easier to identify meaningful trends and divergences. The A/D Ratio, on the other hand, is more reactive and generally better suited for short-term intraday signals. Advantages and Limitations of the McClellan Oscillator The McClellan Oscillator is a powerful tool for analysing market breadth, but like any indicator, it has strengths and weaknesses. Understanding both can help traders decide how best to integrate it into their analysis. Advantages - Focus on Market Breadth: By analysing the Advance/Decline data, the indicator provides a clearer picture of how many stocks are participating in a trend, not just the performance of index heavyweights. - Momentum Insights: Its ability to highlight shifts in short-term momentum allows traders to spot potential turning points before they become evident in price action. - Identification of Divergences: It excels at identifying divergences between market breadth and price, offering early signals of weakening trends or upcoming reversals. - Overbought/Oversold Signals: Its range helps traders analyse extreme conditions (+100/-100), which can signal potential market corrections or recoveries. Limitations - Not a Standalone Tool: The indicator is combined with other indicators or broader analysis, as it doesn’t provide specific entry or exit signals. - False Signals in Volatile Markets: During periods of high volatility or low trading volume, the oscillator may generate misleading signals, making context crucial. - Short-Term Focus: While excellent for momentum analysis, it doesn’t provide the long-term perspective offered by tools like the McClellan Summation Index. The Bottom Line The McClellan Oscillator is a powerful tool for analysing market breadth, helping traders gain insights into momentum and potential market shifts. While not a standalone solution, it is often combined with other indicators for a well-rounded approach. FAQ What Is a NYMO Oscillator? The NYMO oscillator, short for the New York McClellan Oscillator, is a market breadth indicator based on the Advance/Decline stock data of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). The NYMO index calculates the difference between a 19-day and 39-day exponential moving average (EMA) of the Advance/Decline line, providing insights into stock market momentum and sentiment. What Does the McClellan Oscillator Show? The McClellan Oscillator shows the balance of advancing and declining stocks in a market. Positive values indicate bullish momentum, while negative values reflect bearish sentiment. It’s often used to identify potential shifts in momentum or divergences between market breadth and price. What Is the McClellan Oscillator in MACD? The McClellan Oscillator and MACD are distinct indicators, but both use moving averages. While MACD measures price momentum, the Oscillator focuses on market breadth by analysing the Advance/Decline Line. What Is the McClellan Summation Indicator? The McClellan Summation Index is a cumulative version of the McClellan Oscillator. It provides a broader view of market trends, tracking long-term momentum and overall market strength. What Is the Nasdaq McClellan Oscillator? The Nasdaq McClellan Oscillator, sometimes called the NAMO, applies the same calculation as the NYMO but uses Advance/Decline data from the Nasdaq exchange. It helps traders analyse momentum and breadth in technology-heavy markets. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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