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Nasdaq's Drop: A Temporary Rebound Before More Downside?I've been calling for a strong correction in the Nasdaq (and all major U.S. indices) since the start of the year—long before the tax war even began. I warned that a break below 20,000 was likely, with my final target set around 17,500. And indeed, the index has fallen—regardless of what the so-called "cause" might be. Right now, Nasdaq is trading at 18,400, sitting right at a minor horizontal support zone. ________________________________________ A Short-Term Rebound Before More Downside? 📉 Overall Bias Remains Bearish – The broader trend still points lower. 📈 Rebound Likely – A push above 19,000 in the coming days wouldn’t be surprising. ⚠️ High-Risk Setup – Going long here is risky, given the current macroeconomic backdrop. ________________________________________ Trading Strategy: Short-Term vs. Long-Term ✅ For Short-Term Traders & Speculators – A temporary upside correction could offer a buying opportunity. ❌ For Swing & Long-Term Traders – It's better to wait for this rebound to fade and position short for the next leg down. While a bounce could be on the cards, the bigger picture still points lower—I remain bearish in the long run. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by Mihai_Iacob
Expand Energy (EXE) – Fueling Growth in the LNG BoomCompany Overview: Expand Energy NASDAQ:EXE is strategically positioned near the Gulf Coast, enabling it to capitalize on rising global LNG demand with a disciplined growth strategy. Key Catalysts: $2.7 Billion Capital Plan (2025) 💰 $500M for debt reduction & share buybacks, improving financial flexibility. Balances growth investments with shareholder returns. Production Expansion 📈 2024: 6.41 Bcfe/d 2025: 7.1 Bcfe/d 🚀 2026: 7.5 Bcfe/d 🌍 Scalable drilling & infrastructure investments enhance efficiency. Strategic LNG Market Positioning ⚡ Located near key export hubs, maximizing access to high-demand markets. Flexible capacity investments ensure adaptability to pricing trends. Investment Outlook: ✅ Bullish Above: $95.00-$96.00 🚀 Upside Target: $140.00-$145.00 📈 Growth Drivers: LNG market demand, financial discipline, and production scalability. 🔥 Expand Energy – Driving the Next Wave of LNG Growth. #EXE #Energy #LNG
NASDAQ:EXELong
by Richtv_official
Nano Nuclear Energy – Pioneering Next-Gen Small Modular ReactorsCompany Overview: Nano Nuclear Energy NASDAQ:NNE is revolutionizing clean, compact nuclear power with small modular reactors (SMRs), addressing data centers, remote sites, and disaster relief energy needs. Key Catalysts: ZEUS Microreactor Development 🚀 Successfully assembled first hardware, marking a key milestone toward commercialization & revenue generation. Patent-Backed Innovation 🏆 Filed four new patents in February 2025 for its Annular Linear Induction Pump (ALIP). Strengthens NNE’s edge in molten-salt & liquid-metal reactor technology. Surging Global Electricity Demand ⚡ Aligns with the growing need for cost-effective, sustainable energy solutions. Ideal for off-grid, military, and high-demand industrial applications. Investment Outlook: ✅ Bullish Above: $21.50-$22.00 🚀 Upside Target: $44.00-$47.00 📈 Growth Drivers: Breakthrough SMR tech, patent leadership, and clean energy demand. 🔥 Nano Nuclear – Powering the Future, One Microreactor at a Time. #NNE #NuclearEnergy #CleanTech
NASDAQ:NNELong
by Richtv_official
BTC TARIFF TALKAs President Trump steps up on the stage to deliver his tariff plan BTC had a steady price rise going into the talk, a nice HH & HL LTF structure up into range high/ last weeks high, then as the speech began all of the progress made throughout the day wiped in less than 2 hours to reset BTC's price to Tuesdays low. In the end the news event gave volatility as expected but ultimately the structure remains the same, rangebound. As the Tax year comes to an end it would be a hard ask for this choppy price action to shift bullish when institutions are going to be window dressing their portfolios for the next financial year. In essence A continued LTF range with an overall HTF bearish trend looks to continue, this is compounded by yet another failed attempt at the 4H 200 EMA which had temporarily been broken but sent back below by the tariff announcements. The SPX, DJI & NASDAQ Futures pre-market is looks dreadful so a revisit on the range low is probable on the cards at some stage today.
by ProR35
NASDAQ Trade Plan: From 4-Hour Trend to 15-Minute Execution!NAS100 Strategy: Using Fibonacci and Market Structure for Precision! 📊 In this NASDAQ (NAS100) trade idea, I focus on a top-down approach starting with the 4-hour chart. If the 4-hour trend is bullish, I look for higher highs and higher lows. If bearish, I focus on lower highs and lower lows. 🔄 My key strategy is identifying pullbacks into equilibrium—around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level—within any price swing. This is my point of interest. Once price moves into this area, I shift to the 15-minute chart to refine my entry. 🔍 Here, I wait for a break of structure during the pullback, aligning with the overall trend direction. This approach allows for precise execution while staying in sync with the larger trend. 🚀 ⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
FX:NAS100Short
by fxtraderanthony
6
NAS100 Analysis: Reversal Predictions Based on Trading MathDear Trader, Please find attached my analysis of $Subject, which uses mathematical calculations to identify potential reversal times and price levels. The analysis details projected south and north price targets (horizontal lines on the chart), along with estimated time frames for possible reversals (vertical lines on the chart, accurate to within +/- 1-2 candles). Please note that all times indicated on the chart, including the vertical lines representing potential reversal times, are based on the UTC+4 time zone. To increase the probability of these analysis, I recommend monitoring the 5-minute and 15-minute charts for the following key reversal candlestick patterns: Doji’s Hammer/Inverted Hammer Double/Triple Bottom/Top Shooting Star Morning Star Hanging Man I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future research. Regards, Shunya Trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by shoonya0000
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed higher on the daily chart. However, following the announcement of mutual tariffs after the previous session’s close, the index experienced a significant gap-down. On the daily chart, the MACD has crossed below the signal line, generating a sell signal, though confirmation is still pending. If today's session closes with a bearish candle, we must monitor whether this leads to a third wave of selling, signaling further downside. Due to the gap-down, the price is now significantly distanced from the 3-day and 5-day moving averages (MAs), making it crucial to observe whether the price rebounds intraday or continues to decline further. With the first support level at 19,000 now breached, the next key support is around 18,500. When considering buy positions, it is essential to manage stop-loss risk carefully. On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has appeared but is not yet confirmed. If confirmed, it could trigger a third wave of selling pressure, potentially leading to further declines. Given the increased market volatility, a cautious approach is recommended—reducing leverage and only trading at key price levels to minimize potential losses. Crude Oil Crude oil closed higher while maintaining a range-bound movement around $72. On the daily chart, the MACD has moved above the signal line and the zero line, establishing a bullish trend. However, following the mutual tariff announcement, the price gapped down, dropping below $70. The strongest support zone lies around $68, making it crucial to observe whether the MACD adjusts and aligns with the signal line before rebounding from this support level to resume the bullish trend. On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has appeared, but with multiple support levels nearby and both MACD and the signal line still above the zero line, the market is likely to attempt rebounds. A buy-the-dip approach remains favorable, but caution is necessary given today’s OPEC meeting, which could lead to increased volatility. Gold Gold closed higher, finding support at the 5-day MA. Following the mutual tariff announcement, the price initially gapped up to around 3,200, before pulling back. As previously mentioned, the upward target for this wave is around 3,216, with strong buying momentum continuing. On the daily chart, gold is trading between the 5-day MA and the upper Bollinger Band, maintaining a one-way bullish structure. A bullish strategy remains favorable unless the daily close falls below the 10-day MA. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD remains above the zero line and previously attempted to break above the signal line but has since pulled back. Since buying momentum is still present, if the price finds support at a key supply zone, another leg higher could occur, potentially triggering a golden cross in the MACD and leading to a third wave of buying pressure. Short positions should be approached with caution, and given the increased market volatility, risk management is crucial. Whether buying or selling, stop-loss discipline is essential to manage potential risks. Market volatility has surged since the pre-market session due to Trump’s mutual tariff policies. Volatility is both an opportunity and a risk for traders. Do not let greed lead to losses in a market that doesn’t match your trading style. Adjust position sizes accordingly and only trade within your comfort zone. The market is always open. Do not focus solely on today—take a steady and stable approach to trading. Wishing you a successful trading day! If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed higher on the daily chart. Although a sell signal briefly appeared in the previous session, the MACD failed to form a bearish crossover with the signal line, instead finding support and rebounding. The index strongly bounced from its low, reaching the 5-day moving average (MA) before closing with an upper wick. Since the MACD is supporting the signal line and potentially resuming an upward trend, the key level to watch is whether the price can break through the strong resistance at 19,625–19,675. As long as the MACD does not confirm a bearish crossover, it is advisable to trade within the range. On the 240-minute chart, the index rebounded from the bottom while generating a buy signal. However, with strong resistance around 19,675, if the price pulls back once more, it could either form a double bottom or resume a strong upward move from a single-bottom structure. Although the MACD has crossed above the signal line (golden cross) on the 240-minute chart, it is still far from the zero line, suggesting that further pullbacks may occur after additional gains. It is important to avoid chasing the price and instead focus on buying dips at key support levels while maintaining a range-trading approach. Crude Oil Oil closed flat, facing resistance at $72. On the daily chart, the price broke above the 240-day MA and is now testing resistance from a previous supply zone. It is likely to consolidate within a range while pulling up the short-term moving averages. The daily MACD has moved above the zero line, lifting the signal line as well. If the price remains in a range-bound consolidation, the signal line will eventually rise above the zero line, further supporting a bullish structure. Key upcoming events include today’s oil inventory report and tomorrow’s OPEC meeting, which could act as catalysts for either a continuation of the rally or a pullback. Since there is still a gap between the 3-day and 5-day MAs, range trading remains the best approach. On the 240-minute chart, strong buying momentum continues, but given the heavy supply at previous resistance levels, a period of sideways movement or a pullback is likely. If a bearish crossover occurs on the 240-minute chart, oil could drop below $70. For now, monitor whether the uptrend can hold, and if it does, consider trading within the range while managing downside risks. Gold Gold closed lower after an overshoot to the upside. On the daily chart, the price was in an overextended high position, with a significant gap from the 3-day and 5-day MAs. After a brief rally, selling pressure emerged, leading to a bearish close. Since gold has yet to properly test the 5-day MA, a pullback to this level remains a possibility. However, the daily MACD is still trending upward, and liquidity remains strong, increasing the likelihood of a one-way rally unless the 10-day MA is broken. Short positions should be approached with caution. On the 240-minute chart, a bearish crossover has occurred, leading to a pullback from the high. However, since the uptrend remains intact, even if the MACD crosses below the signal line, the fact that it is still above the zero line suggests a potential rebound. The best strategy is to focus on buying dips at key support levels, as the market is likely to consolidate before resuming a trend move. Be cautious when trading within a range-bound market. With Friday’s U.S. employment report approaching, market volatility remains elevated. Trump’s tariff policies are increasing concerns about inflation and a potential economic slowdown. The interpretation of upcoming economic data will be crucial in determining market direction. Risk management remains essential, so trade cautiously and stay prepared. Wishing you a successful trading day! If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
2025-04-01 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bear trend line from 20536 broken again and market is probing higher to remain in a trading range at the lows. Bears need lower lows below 19300 tomorrow and bulls want to continue with the higher highs and higher lows. As long as the big bear trend line from 20452 holds, bears remain in control and see this as a more complex W2. To keep this possibility alive, the bounce has to stay below 20000. current market cycle: strong bear trend but currently in W2 key levels: 19000 - 20600 bull case: Bull wedge, stairs pattern, doesn’t matter what you want to call this, it’s not strong buying. We have deep pullbacks that retrace more than 60% of the move and we are barely making higher highs. If bulls want to hit 20000, they need a stronger breakout above this wedge and for now I doubt it. Bulls did good in trapping late bears hoping for bigger selling already but as long as bears can scale in higher and make money because we stay low, bulls are not winning this. Their next target is the big bear trend line around 20000 which is also close enough to the daily 20ema. Invalidation is below 18960. bear case: Bears can argue this is a retest of the breakout but they need to print a strong down day again soon. Otherwise this could lead to more sideways to up movement and break the bear trend line. For now the pullback is still minor, compared to the move from 20500 to 19000 and bears remain in full control until the bear trend line is broken. Problem for the bears is the weekly tf. We are at prior bigger support since market has not closed below 19000 since 2024-04. Bears don’t want to repeat the pattern from last year, where we went straight down for 4 weeks, to then rally 25% form low to high. short term: Slightly bearish around 19600 for trading back down to 19500 or maybe 400. Bull wedge is valid until clearly broken and as of now I think the odds for either side to break out are even. The closer we get to the big bear trend line, the better they become for the bears again. medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We don’t know if we have printed the W1 of the new bear trend or repeat the pattern from 2024, where we sold of very strong to reverse even more strongly and make new all time highs. Market needs a bounce and around 20000/20500 we will see the real battle for the next weeks. trade of the day: Big down, big up, big confusion. Buy low, sell high and scalp. Market clearly is not in trending mode since the pull-backs are too deep and every decent follow-through buying & selling is followed by disappointment. Best trade was buying near 19300, since it was bigger support yesterday and just a breakout-retest from Monday.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
Nasdaq updated forecast with sell-side & buy-side targetsNQ futures aiming at 18900 level off these last highs. Now seeing developing weakness... expecting sellers to take it down for one more low as we approach the implementation of Trump's tariffs on 4/2. Look for renewed buyer strength after the next set of lows as we approach the next FOMC rate decision into first half of May 2025. This is a great swing trade setup for TQQQ, if desired, or long dated in-the-money QQQ call options.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by DaveTradesLive
NASDAQ Huge Bullish Divergence points to 21350 inside April.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the July 11 2024 High. The latest rally that started on March 11 2025 after a brutal 3-week downtrend/ Bearish Leg, got rejected on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as the market digested the disappointing PCE. Despite this aggressive rejection, the price hit and rebounded yesterday exactly at the bottom of the Channel Up with the previous such contact going back to the August 05 2024 Low. Not to mention that both the March 11 2025 and August 08 2024 Lows were formed exactly on the secondary Higher Lows trend-line. What's perhaps more critical than any of these though, is that the 1D RSI didn't make a new Low last week and remains above the oversold barrier on a Higher Low trend-line that is a huge technical Bullish Divergence against the price's Lower Lows. As with the August 22 2024 High, our first short-term Target is on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 21350. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower with a gap-down amid growing recession fears. Although it did not reach the 20-month moving average (MA) on the monthly chart, last month’s long bearish candlestick has resulted in a sell signal on the monthly futures chart—the first time in three years since February 2022. From a monthly perspective, the 16,900–17,500 range appears to be a good buying zone, but it is important to monitor whether the index reaches this level within this month’s candle. The 20-month MA is likely to be briefly breached, even if a lower wick forms. On the weekly chart, the Nasdaq is currently finding short-term support around 19,000, but given the large gap between the 3-week and 5-week MAs, a rebound remains a possibility. On the daily chart, a sell signal has not yet been confirmed. If further declines confirm a bearish crossover, the Nasdaq could enter a third wave of selling, with a target of 17,300. The key question is whether the market experiences another sharp drop. However, given the significant distance from the 5-day MA, the more likely scenario is sideways movement for a few days, allowing the moving averages to catch up before a potential further decline. In this case, it is advisable to trade within the range but always use stop-losses. The 240-minute chart also shows strong downward movement. While the market is in oversold territory, making short-selling more favorable, there is also the possibility of a range-bound pattern forming on the daily chart. If taking buy positions at the lows, strict stop-loss management is essential. Crude Oil Oil closed higher following news of tariffs imposed on Russian oil. The price successfully broke above the key resistance at $70, also surpassing the 240-day MA. On the monthly chart, oil has now entered a range where further upside potential exists, and there is a possibility that the MACD could attempt a bullish crossover with the signal line. On the daily chart, the MACD has moved above the zero line, pulling the signal line upward. If the price stays above the 240-day MA, it may form a strong trend reversal pattern with accelerated gains. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD remains above the zero line and is crossing above the signal line, indicating continued buying momentum. Overall, it is best to focus on buying dips, as April’s first trading session could see the price gapping above the 240-day MA. Holding overnight short positions carries risk, so caution is advised. Gold Gold closed higher, driven by strong demand for safe-haven assets. On the monthly chart, gold formed a long bullish candlestick. However, given the large gap between the price and the 3-month & 5-month MAs, a pullback remains a possibility. The key question is whether gold will continue rising before a correction or correct first before resuming its uptrend. It is best to monitor the price action closely. On the daily chart, the MACD is forming a third wave of buying pressure, opening the possibility for a price target around 3,216. Thus, it is advisable to focus on buying dips, while being cautious about chasing highs due to potential volatility. The 240-minute chart indicates that strong buying momentum continues, as gold remains in overbought territory. Since this is the beginning of a new month, key economic reports—including the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the U.S. Jobs Report—could significantly impact gold’s volatility. For both buy and sell positions, it is essential to set stop-loss levels, as increased volatility is expected. With Trump’s tariff policies increasing the risk of a global recession, liquidity in global equity markets is drying up, reducing the attractiveness of stocks. The clear contrast between Nasdaq and gold’s performance is likely to persist for some time. As we enter April’s first trading session, trade cautiously and adapt to market conditions. Wishing you a successful trading day! If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
2
NASDAQ: Forming the bottom. Don't miss the 2025 rally to 28,000.Nasdaq is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.342, MACD = -382.320, ADX = 38.919), headed towards oversold territory. 1W is also headed towards an oversold state (RSI = 36.953) as the price has crossed under the 1W MA50 and is approaching the 1W MA100. This is currently waiting at the bottom of the 2 year Channel Up. This 6 month correction is so far technically nothing but the bearish wave of this Channel Up and has been almost as strong (-15.89%) as the previous in July-Aug 2024. Notice an key technical tendency here, no correction/bearish wave has ever crossed under the S1 level of two highs before. The current S1 is at 18,400. So taking those conditions into consideration as well as the fact that the 1W RSI is at the bottom of its Channel Down, we see this week as the bottom formation candle that will start a new bullish wave. The prior two such waves both made an incredibly symmetric rise of +52.60%, so expecting the same puts our target at TP = 28,000, most likely by December 2025-January 2026. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by InvestingScope
3
Nasdaq 100 Opens the Door to a New Bearish TrendThe Nasdaq has been one of the indices showing the strongest selling bias in recent sessions. Over the past four trading days, it has fallen by more than 7% , as the market remains gripped by uncertainty surrounding White House trade policies and the threat of a new trade war. The proposed 25% tariffs on several countries are expected to take effect on April 2, and so far, there has been no official indication of a change in schedule. This has increased fears of a potential global economic slowdown, and if these conditions persist, it could further pressure equity indices, especially those already showing strong short-term bearish momentum. New Potential Downtrend Since February 20, the Nasdaq has been experiencing consistent selling pressure, driving the index below the 19,000-point level. Recent bullish attempts have so far failed to break through this new downward trendline, which now stands as the dominant technical structure for the index. If selling pressure remains intact, the current bearish trend could extend over the coming sessions. ADX Indicator Although the ADX line remains above the 20 level—generally considered the threshold for trend strength—it has been sloping downward, suggesting that the recent buying momentum may be losing strength, potentially leading to a short-term pause in market activity. RSI Indicator The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a similar picture. The RSI is hovering near the oversold zone at 30, and a bullish divergence has formed, as the Nasdaq has made lower lows, while the RSI has posted higher lows. This could indicate that selling momentum may be weakening, potentially paving the way for a short-term bullish correction. Key Levels: 20,500 points – Distant resistance: This level aligns with the 200-period moving average. Price action approaching this area could revive bullish sentiment and potentially invalidate the current downtrend visible on the chart. 19,700 points – Near resistance: This level marks the upper boundary of the short-term descending trendline. It may serve as a tentative area for corrective upward movements in the upcoming sessions. 18,800 points – Key support: This level corresponds to 2024’s neutral price zone. If the price breaks below it, it could reinforce the current bearish trend and lead to further downside. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by FOREXcom
Agape ATP Corporation (ATPC) Technical Analysis | 31 March 2025Agape ATP Corporation (ATPC) has demonstrated a significant breakout above a key resistance level, with the current price trading at $1.18, reflecting an increase of +0.85% on the day. The bullish move is backed by an increase in trading volume from the previous trading day, which signals renewed investor interest and growing confidence in the stock’s upward trajectory. This breakout marks a shift in sentiment, indicating the potential for a sustained rally as the price decisively cleared its previous consolidation range. The price action has remained consistently above the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) slope cross indicator, with the dynamic support now situated between $1.12 and $1.17. The bullish crossover of the EMA signals confirms a strengthening uptrend, as the widening of the EMA cloud suggests that buying pressure is increasing. Historically, such a pattern indicates that the breakout is not merely a short-term spike but a shift toward higher price levels, paving the way for sustained gains. The EMA zone is expected to act as a buffer against any minor retracement, maintaining bullish momentum. Adding to the bullish outlook is the Relative Strength Index (RSI) Divergence Indicator (14, close), which currently stands at 81.14, suggesting that the stock has entered overbought territory. While an overbought condition often raises concerns of a potential pullback, in the context of a strong breakout, it typically serves as a confirmation of the stock’s strength. Stocks that experience such momentum tend to remain in overbought territory for extended periods before any meaningful consolidation occurs. The RSI divergence, which previously indicated bearish pressure, has been invalidated by the recent surge, giving further credence to the current bullish momentum. The breakout above $1.18 is significant as it marks the upper limit of a prolonged consolidation phase where buyers have consistently absorbed selling pressure. Throughout this consolidation, the emergence of multiple “Long” buy signals, combined with a noticeable reduction in “Short” signals, indicated that accumulation was underway. The recent breakout confirms that buyers have taken control, and the subsiding of selling pressure further strengthens the bullish case. The consistency of these buy signals, coupled with increased volume, suggests that the breakout is not merely speculative but supported by strong underlying demand. Overall, the technical setup suggests that ATPC is well-positioned for further upside. The combination of a decisive breakout, increasing volume, and sustained bullish signals points to the likelihood of continued gains. With momentum firmly in favour of the bulls and the stock showing resilience above key levels, the outlook remains positive. Investors should monitor the price action closely for confirmation of continued strength, with a focus on maintaining support above $1.12 while aiming for potential targets of $1.25 to $1.30 in the near term. If momentum persists, a further extension toward $1.40 could be possible, supported by the bullish market sentiment surrounding the stock.
NASDAQ:ATPCLong
by HASHInvests200
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed sharply lower, forming a long bearish candlestick, as recession fears intensified. The index fell toward the lower Bollinger Band on the daily chart, while the MACD moved closer to the signal line, indicating a correction. On the weekly chart, the Nasdaq faced resistance slightly above the 5-week MA, forming an upper wick and closing lower. The MACD is falling steeply, and the signal line is also in a downtrend, suggesting the potential for an overshooting move downward before forming a bottom. From a daily perspective, key support zones to watch are around 19,000 (first level) and 18,500 (second level). The MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, but if a bearish crossover (death cross) occurs, a strong third wave of selling pressure could emerge. Therefore, caution is advised for long positions. However, since the MACD has not yet confirmed a bearish crossover, there is also the possibility of a rebound off the signal line. It is crucial to wait for a confirmed trend reversal before taking long positions. On the 240-minute chart, strong sell signals have emerged, leading to a steep decline. The current price action resembles the movement seen on February 21, but since the bottom is not yet clear, it is best to adopt a conservative approach. For short positions, the 3-day moving average can be used as a reference level. For long positions, the lower Bollinger Band may provide a short-term buying opportunity. As today marks the last trading day of the month, watch closely to see if the Nasdaq reaches the 20-month MA or ends the month with a lower wick. Crude Oil Oil closed lower, facing resistance at $70. It has fallen back below the 5-day MA, trapping the price within a range-bound structure. On the weekly chart, oil was rejected at the 10-week MA, and since the MACD has not yet formed a bullish crossover, there is a chance that oil could retest its previous double-bottom level. A consolidation phase between the 5-week and 10-week MAs appears likely. On the daily chart, as the price corrected, the MACD began converging with the signal line. If oil retraces to around $68, a short-term buying opportunity may arise. For oil to resume its uptrend, it needs to pull back toward $68, rebound, and break above $70 with strong momentum. However, this move would likely require a global catalyst. On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and signal line remain above the zero line, suggesting a higher probability of a rebound and a golden cross formation. Overall, the best approach is to focus on dip-buying opportunities during this phase. Gold Gold closed higher, breaking to a new all-time high on the daily chart. Last week, there was a possibility of a pullback toward the 5-week MA, but the MACD has turned upward, surpassing its previous high, reducing the likelihood of a bearish divergence and increasing the probability of further upside. However, since gold has not yet tested the 5-week MA, a short-term correction remains a possibility. On the daily chart, buying opportunities were available at the 3-day MA following a strong bullish candle. A pullback to the 5-day MA within the next few days remains possible, and if this happens, it could present another dip-buying opportunity. Based on wave analysis, gold could target around 3,216. To confirm this upside scenario, the daily chart must show stronger bullish momentum, eliminating the risk of MACD divergence. On the 240-minute chart, gold has been experiencing strong upward momentum, making it a buy-on-dips market. However, for a more comfortable long position, the MACD needs to exceed its previous peak. Overall, a long-only strategy remains preferable. For short positions, it is difficult to pinpoint the exact peak, so strict stop-loss management is essential. This week, key economic events include the ISM Manufacturing & Services PMIs and Friday's U.S. jobs report, which could increase gold's volatility. Stay cautious. Today marks the final trading session of March. Tariff-related news and gold’s record highs indicate rising market volatility. Stay adaptive to the market’s movements and trade safely as we close the monthly candle. Wishing you a successful trading day! If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard
10
NAS100 - Stock market still in a downtrend?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down, it will be clear that it is heading for further moves. At the channel ceiling, I could be close to the next sell-off. As the new US tariffs are set to take effect on April 2, new evidence suggests that they may be less than the markets had expected. According to a recent report in the Toronto Star, Canada is likely to face the lowest level of tariffs, while Mexico, another member of the US trade agreement, is likely to face a similar situation. In addition, Trump’s recent statements about significant progress in controlling fentanyl (an industrial drug), are seen as a positive sign for improving trade relations. In this regard, CNBC reported that VAT and non-tariff barriers will not be taken into account in calculating the tariff rate, or at least not fully. The main concern is that by threatening to impose a 25% tariff, Trump is actually preparing Canada and Mexico to accept higher rates than the current conditions. It seems that his goal is to impose the highest possible tariff level. This decision could be an incentive to increase tariff revenue to reduce taxes. Of course, such an approach is associated with high risks, since any level of tariffs can lead to retaliatory measures from trading partners. In the case of Europe, tariffs imposed on American goods are higher than in other countries, but a large part of them relate to the automotive industry. Europe has previously announced that it is ready to reduce these tariffs. The question now is whether the EU will take a different approach than Mexico and Canada? That is, first impose higher tariffs and then negotiate to reduce them. This scenario could ultimately benefit the US economy, as the bulk of its trade is with Mexico and Canada. Meanwhile, China remains a complex challenge, as it is the main target of Trump’s tariff policies. In addition, the US president recently proposed imposing tariffs on Venezuela, which could be a pretext for intensifying trade pressure on China. Polls show that 50% of the market expects new tariffs on China, which indicates the level of investor concern. The European Union has reacted to the Trump administration’s decision to impose new tariffs on imported cars and expressed regret over the move. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has said the bloc will seek a negotiated solution to ease tensions, but she has also stressed that Europe’s economic interests will be protected against US trade policies. The US credit rating has risen to a new low, according to a new report from Moody’s, which warns that tax cuts and trade tariffs could widen the country’s budget deficit. Analysts at Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank say investors expect the effective tariff rate on all imports to be between 9% and 10%, although some analysts at Goldman Sachs have suggested a rate of 18%. However, inflation and exchange rate expectations point to lower figures. If Trump’s promise of “reciprocal tariffs” is implemented, the effective tariff rate could be even lower than 5 percent, although this depends on whether the agricultural sector is also subject to tariffs. Some reports also suggest that non-tariff barriers may be completely ignored. According to Deutsche Bank, it is very difficult to determine market expectations precisely. But if the tariff rate ultimately falls between 5 and 7.5 percent, markets are likely to react with more confidence. Otherwise, more volatility and turbulence in financial markets are expected. At the beginning of the year, markets were in a positive and optimistic mood. The Republican victory in the election, the continuation of tax breaks and the possibility of new support packages were among the factors that reinforced this optimism. However, factors such as the high US budget deficit, the deadlock in Congress and the high inflation rate have now challenged this optimism. Meanwhile, two important support tools that were effective in the past may no longer be as effective: 1. During Trump’s first term, the stock market was of particular importance to him. Even during the COVID-19 crisis, he constantly talked about the stock market and considered it part of his successes. The term “Put Trump” meant that even if he made harsh statements, he ultimately acted in the market’s favor. 2. But now, in Trump’s second administration, he talks about “short-term pain” and “economic detoxification.” Tariff threats, reduced investment and policy uncertainty have caused the S&P 500 to fall 10% since February. Trump still considers the market important, but he is no longer as staunchly supportive of it as he used to be. In addition, this week will include the release of a series of key economic data. Including: • Tuesday: ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTS. • Wednesday: ADP Private Employment Report •Thursday: ISM services index and weekly jobless claims. One of the big risks to the markets is that economic data remains weak while the ISM price sub-indices rise. Such a situation could signal a deflationary tailwind. In such a situation, even if the Federal Reserve moves to lower interest rates, it will still be difficult for the stock market to grow.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND